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Sep 24

Weekend Scout Notes - Carry On Abroad

Determined to keep the site updated during my holiday period, I’m updating this from my hotel lobby on my new laptop across a rather dodgy connection. Nonetheless, helped along by the countless Brit Bars fed by Sky Spots on the Canary Islands, my Scout Notes are of familiar length and breadth. Be warned though, future updates this week may well be hampered by sun cream leaking onto my keyboard or the hotel staff realising I’m dismantling their modem and lobby pc setup to get myself connected. The danger of being found out just adds an extra thrill to each post…

There’s only one place to start for alphabetical, table topping or just about any kind of reason you can think of at that‘s at the Emirates. What’s left to say about Wenger‘s men? They continue to turn their free-flowing football into convincing performances and are banging in the goals and reaping in the points. Saturday’s demolition of Derby once again saw Fabregas and Adebayor take starring roles. The Spaniard is now far and away the most productive Fantasy player, having added four goals to his established repertoire of assist and Man of the Match bonus points. It’s hard to imagine a Fantasy team competing at the top without Fabregas in the ranks right now. If you’re playing the Fantasy Premier League game meanwhile, there appears to be no serious alternative for a captain than Fabregas, at least whilst the United pairing of Ronaldo and Rooney find their feet for the season.

Adebayor meanwhile is now the Premiership’s top scorer. He’s stolen a march on teammate Van Persie who was rested for this game. Many, including myself anticipated surge of points for Van Persie in the absence of Henry, however, it seems that Adebayor is the one who has taken that step up in terms of goal output. Significantly, Adebayor’s price is considerable lower than that of Van Persie throughout the Fantasy games. While there’s a temptation to think that his best scoring weeks are behind him having hit a hat-trick here, there is certainly some value in making the Adebayor for Van Persie trade at this point given the form of the two players. I’ve no doubt that RVP will come good, perhaps with a big points haul next weekend at West Ham. However, over the course of the season, it appears that Van Persie is the more likely to be rested when Wenger calls upon Eduardo before or after Champions League ties. Plus Adebayor has netted two penalties so Van Persie could struggle to get those duties back. Given the number of penalties Arsenal are capable of winning, that is a significant factor.

Wenger’s lineup was hindered by the absence of Rosicky and Hleb through injury while he chose to rest Gilberto. That saw starts for Diaby and Walcott in midfield while Eduardo got a start up front with Van Persie rested. Fabregas was subbed after 70 minutes but only after he had contributed a goal and two more assists. However, it will be worth seeing what Wenger does next time, post Champions League with Rosicky and Hleb as available rotation options. West Ham “entertain” the Gunners next before Wenger plays host to Sunderland and Bolton before a crunch clash at Anfield.

Little can be said about Derby other than they are, as widely expected, struggling for a foothold. Their players offer little Fantasy value right now. Instead its worth making a note of their forthcoming opposition in order to spot opportunities for other sides to improve their goals for tally. This is a pivotal period for Derby’s chances of survival. Bolton at home are next for Billy Davies’ men in what looks like a crucial game for both clubs. Derby then visit Reading and Fulham before facing Everton at home.

Aston Villa were unchanged once more this weekend as they beat Everton 2-0. Carew did suffer an injury just before the hour mark and was subbed. He now looks set for a spell on the sidelines with the Villa doctors apparently “concerned”.Harewood will therefore come into the equation in the coming weeks. He was fit enough to claim a spot on the bench and came on for Luke Moore with 10 minutes to go. Their defence, like Portsmouth’s, is emerging as a decent proposition. All four of Mellberg, Laursen, Knight and Bouma look decent options given their prices although the threat of Curtis Davies, looming on the bench could cast doubt over Zat Knight’s prolonged run in the side should his form falter at any point. Villa have a visit to White Hart Lane next, followed by home games against West Ham and United and a trip to Bolton at the end of the month.

Everton meanwhile disappointed and struggle for consistent results and lineup. They were without playmaker Arteta through injury, so turned to Piennar, Jagielka, Osman and Neville in midfield. Anichebe got the nod over Yakubu, as Moyes tinkered again by following through on his promise to rotate his forwards. It appears Moyes considers his squad big enough to allow for such rotation but the struggle for consistency seems to suggest otherwise. Meanwhile, Andy Johnson is still looking for his first Premiership goal and despite showing glimpses this term, must surely be one of the major fantasy disappointments so far. Arteta and maybe Lescott remain their only Fantasy targets worth considering at this point. Everton host Boro next befre travelling to Newcastle. They then have Liverpool at home and end the month with a trip to Derby.

Blackburn were without skipper Ryan Nelson as they were turned over by Portsmouth. Ooijer came in for Nelson as expected and Rovers were unchanged elsewhere. It’s in attacking terms that Blackburn continue to frustrate. They have the players - Gamst Pedersen, Bentley, McCarthy and Santa Cruz - but none of this quartet seem to be able to establish some consistent form and points scoring. This result could see Hughes shake things up with Derbyshire given the nod for the jaded McCarthy next time out. Blackburn travel to Sunderland next then have home games against Birmingham and Reading before ending October at White Hart Lane.

Portsmouth meanwhile are looking strong. Their defence is emerging as a front runner to rival United, Chelsea and Liverpool. A second consecutive clean sheet shows James and his defence to be well worth considering in the weeks ahead. Outside of the defence there are signs of stability in terms of team selection. Bouba Diop and Muntariare established but around them Kranjcar came into the midfield equation this weekend for his first start. Davis kept his place but will surely be under threat from Lauren and Mendes soon enough while Taylor looks to be limited to cameo roles until he cracks his first 30 yard goal. Up front Utaka and Kanu look solid although Harry went with a 4-5-1 for this game as Utaka continues to be employed out wide, although that isn’t preventing him contributing Fantasy points with another assist for Kanu’s goal this weekend. Harry plays host to Reading next before visiting Fulham and Wigan. They end Octobe with a home game against West Ham. A decent run of games then.

Sammy Lee rang the changes for Bolton against Spurs. He ditched the 4-4-2 at long last and drafted in Campo to play his familiar holding role in midfield as Bolton shifted to 4-5-1. Hunt was also dropped to the bench as Joey O’Brien got his first start at right-back after months on the sidelines through injury. Cid was also out of the sixteen with a knock, as Andy O’Brien started in the centre of defence. Alonso dropped to the bench to accommodate Diouf’s move from attack to a wide midfield role. The result was a more assured performance from Bolton with Campo impressing. However, the move to 4-5-1 could have an impact on the output of Anelka who seemed to be the one player who benefited from 4-4-2. His form, in the light of this change of ploy by Lee, will be worth monitoring in the weeks to come. He remains Bolton’s only major Fantasy prospect. Bolton travel to Derby next before hosting Chelsea and visiting the Emirates. They end the month with a home game to Villa.

Spurs were without Kaboul for this game which saw recall for Rocha at centre-back. Jol preferred Zokora to Huddlestone, while Tanio started with Bale absent from the 16 presumably with a knock. Lennon was benched along with Bent and Defoe, despite his scoring exploits in Europe in the week. Changes, and big ones at that, seem likely in the month ahead given Spurs’ position in the table. Jol’s expected departure makes the majority of the Spurs side a risk for Fantasy Managers although Keane’s consistency is tempting and Bales’ potential as a defender playing midfield is also a decent offering when he’s fit. Although it’s worth noting that Bales place in the side is far from established given the availability of Malbranque, Lennon and now Tanio, plus the impending changes that could be immanent at White Hart Lane. Spurs have Villa at home next. They then travel to Liverpool and Newcastle and end October by playing host to Blackburn.

Fulham made one change for the visit of City as Sanchez recalled Healy to the starting eleven, dropping Kamara to the bench. Dempsey continued in a striking role then. Kamara did appear at half-time and did enough to suggest he’ll be challenging hard for a recall next time out. Dempsey remains the best bet in this Fulham side then whilst Sanchez continues to employ him as a forward. Simon Davies is the other player that offers some potential, chipping in with his first Premiership goal this weekend. He’s been a consistent points scorer since his arrival from Everton and remains integral to Fulham’s set pieces. Fulham go to Chelsea next followed by Portsmouth and Derby at home and Sunderland away.

City once again went with a 4-5-1 with Mpenza the preferred option up front. Ireland started the game as part of a five man midfield despite all his “issues” in the week. Geovanni proved his fitness with an 80th minute appearance. Petrov was City’s star performer in attacking terms, unleashing a brace to get off the mark for the season. He and Elano continue to offer some decent value as mid-priced midfield options considering that City now have a run of three home games. Their defence had a bad day against free-scoring Fulham and although Schmeichel cannot be blamed for the goals, you do have to wonder whether Sven will look to recall Isaksson given that his defence was seriously breached for the first time this season. City face three consecutive home games against Newcastle, Boro and Birmingham before they visit Chelsea.

Rafa once again opted to leave Torres on the bench for the home game with Birmingham. Kuyt and Vornonin started then with Crouch appearing with Torres later in the second-half. Liverpool were without Agger and Alonso through injury Hypia and Mascherano started. Riise was recalled at left-back with Arbeloa moving to right and Finnan rested to the bench for the first time. More evidence that Arbeloa has emerged as the best bet in the Liverpool defence aside from Carragher of course. Gerrard is yet to hit run of form following his opening day free-kick at Villa while the threat of rotation looms over the rest of the Liverpool side making uneasy options for Fantasy managers. Liverpool have visits to Wigan and City in between games at home to Spurs and Arsenal in the next month.

Birmingham meanwhile earned their second consecutive clean sheet which hints at some potential for bargain defenders. Bruce gave a debut to midfielders Oubina and Palacios as he opted for the a 4-5-1 as expected. He duly lost Oubina after just 13 minutes to ruptured cruciate ligaments that seem set to end the Spaniard’s season. That injury saw the introduction of McSheffrey early on. The back four for Birmingham, with Ridgewell starring this weekend, will be of most interest to Fantasy managers aside from Kapo who has settled well in midfield. A third clean sheet in a row looks tough with United at home next. That’s followed by visits to Blackburn and City and a home game with Wigan.

United’s win over Chelsea was somewhat overshadowed by all the post Jose fuss but couldn’t mask the fact that this match featured two sides struggling to get out of third gear for one reason or another. The return of Rooney and Ronaldo to the United starting lineup has failed to galvanise their attack which remains in slumber compared to the vibrancy of Arsenal’s attacking play. Tevez did at least get off the mark for the season here but remains a risk with Saha threatening to start after appearing from the bench to seal this win from the penalty spot. It’s interesting that Saha should take the spot kick with Ronaldo and Rooney on the pitch - perhaps Sir Alex is looking to feed Saha’s confidence knowing that he could well need to turn to the Frenchman as a key figure in the week’s ahead. Elsewhere in the United lineup Nani was dropped to the bench as Giggs moved back into midfield as expected, while Hargreaves missed out through injury once again. United travel to Birmingham next. They then play host to Wigan, visit Villa and end October at home to Boro. A run of games which should provide the platform for Rooney and Ronaldo to kick start their seasons.

For Chelsea Ben-Haim was handed a start by his new manager and compatriot as expected, so Alex dropped to the bench. Grant went with a lone striker - playing just Shevchenko in a central striking role. His plans were of course disrupted by Mikel’s dismissal on the half hour mark so it will be interesting to see the side Grant puts out next time out. A 4-4-2 seems likely and perhaps Drogba and Lampard may be in contention. For now then, Chelsea players are a no-go at least until things settle for form to be established. Mikel faces a 3-match ban for his dismissla which will see him miss the Carling Cup tie in midweek in addition to games against Fulham and Bolton. Chelsea are to appeal he decision with news on that to arrive in midweek.

Boro were forced into one change to their starting lineup with Aliadiere sidelined for weeks. Tuncay partnered Mido from the start then. Elsewhere, Southgate also drafted in Gary O’Neil for his first start, leaving Boateng on the bench. O’Neil had a storming game that included the assist for Arca’s second goal of the season and now looks established on the right of midfield. Boateng could now struggle to gain a starting role. Having said that, the injuries from this game may open up a route for a recall. Southgate lost Arca in this game and reports today confirmed that he’ll face at least two months with medial ligament damage. Tuncay and Mido also came off in this game with injuries but there’s a chance that both will be available for next weekend following updates today. Downing remains the key Fantasy target within the Boro side, adding his third goal of the season in this game. Boro’s forthcoming fixtures look tough. They face three of the next four away from home with visits to Everton, City, and United with Chelsea to come at home.

Sunderland recalled Halford to right-back to cover the absence of Nosworthy through injury. McShane moved to the centre of defence once more. Elsewhere Sunderland lined up as expected although they lost Etuhu to a knock before the hour mark with Miller replacing him and eventually scoring the equaliser at the death. Keane has hinted in the press that the goal will earn Miller a starting role next time out so with Etuhu suspended for the Blackburn game, Miller should start. Sunderland follow that game against Rovers with games agains Fulham at home and Arsenal and West Ham away.

Reading managed to grind out a much needed win over Wigan. Kitson was on the score sheet once again and is emerging as his sides only decent points scorer. Doyle was recalled alongside him while Duberry was restored to the back four with Bikey dropping to the bench. Rosenior kept his place on the right of midfield but was replaced by Convey on the hour mark. Reading go to Portsmouth next. They then face Derby at home, Blackburn away and end the month at home to Newcastle.

Wigan meanwhile restored Kilbane to left-back for Boyce who dropped to the bench. Skoko started for Cotterill in midfield while Bent replaced the injured Heskey as expected. Bent got the goal with Koumas contributing an assist and two bonus points in the Fantasy Premier League game, despite suffering defeat. He, along with Sibierski remain the best options in the Wigan side, although their forthcoming fixtures seem to suggest goals over the next fortnight could be hard to come by. They host Liverpool next then visit Old Trafford. Portsmouth at home and Birmingham away complete a tough October.

Newcastle and West Ham continue to be unpredictable in their form. Viduka was the difference here, returning from injury to fire a brace. Nzogbia also emerged with a decent points tally even though he’s a midfielder being employed at left-back. Two assists and a third goal of the season continue to make him a decent option. In contrast, Milner is yet to fulfil his potential to this point. One notable selection decision by Big Sam saw Steven Taylor dropped to the bench as Beye made his full debut at right-back. Owen started despite a groin injury but limped off before the hour mark casting further doubts over his fitness in the short-terrm. Martins could well figure in the next couple then. Newcastle go to City next. Home games against Everton and Spurs follow with a visit to Reading to end the month.

West Ham brought Ferdinand back into their defence for Collins despite the clean sheet last time out. Cole came in for Bellamy as expected but was replaced by Camara on the hour. Ashton got his second of the season and remains the best bet amongst Curbishley’s men at least while consistency remains an issue. The Hammers are at home to Arsenal next. They then visit Villa Park, play host to Sunderland and end October on the road at Portsmouth.

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There are currently 23 responses

  1. Cheers mate, helpful stuff

    Decided i need to transfer in someone for Agger. Thinking of either a West Ham or Portsmouth defender, they seem good value and have been picking up clean sheets. Which team would be a better option? Both have a good run of games but i can’t decide which team

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  2. I reckon Portsmouth Ryan- they look strongest defensively- it’s the Tony Adams influence!

    I did a straight swap with Carragher for Agger though.

    Interesting about Newcastle’s Milner- I’ve finally had enough and brought in Petrov…3 home games for City coming up.

    And just when I thought I had a settled front two in Anelka and Van P- they’re both going through a wee slump.. Any ideas for a striker of equal price?

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  3. Can’t decide who to transfer out this week. One of Finnan, Geremi, Gerrard. I’m anxiously waiting on Arteta, but i’m assuming he’ll be back for next week.

    What do you guys reckon? Any of these guys definitely to go next week, or or should i swap one of my subs (Forssell didn’t play and could be swapped for someone like Kanu)?

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  4. @George: I’d say to keep Anelka for this week with Bolton versing Derby. after that they are versing Chelsea and Arsenal, which will be a tough few game weeks. Perhaps trade him for Martins/Viduka who are likely to start now that Owen has Re-injured himself.
    Tevez could also be worth a look after scoring his first goal for Man utd. If your looking for value, maybe try Utaka or Kanu.

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  5. Would you guys not consider Agbonlahor as a striking option although frustrating at times but now as Carew seems sidelined for a few weeks he could be worth a shout yes/no ?

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  6. @Alex. It’s got to be Geremi. i have him too (and will keep him for one more week as I’ve already transferred out VP this week). I’m thinking of replacing hime with and Aston Villa or Portsmouth defender or upgrading to Clichy. I can’t believe Finnan will be rested two weeks in a row and Stevie G will play more with Liverpool struggling.

    Do you think Man City letting in 3 goals was an off week or has their defense been found out? I have Ricahrds and Garrido and was hoping for lots of points with their 3 home games coming up

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  7. Call me Mr Picky (Hello Mr Picky, but I thought Pappa Snoop Bouba Diop got the kanu assist on Saturday, not Mr Utaka, who I do keep an eye out for as he is in my TFF team. It seems Utaka plays as a striker for home matches and out where the buses don’t go for away matches.

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  8. Anyone doubting Van Persie’s ability or importance to the Arsenal team is a fool. Yes, Adebayor has been in blistering form over the last week, but the games were against Tottenham and Derby! As a Gooner, I have seen him waste quite a few chances this season. I’m not saying he’s second best to Van Persie. He may well just be coming of age, but Van Persie’s first touch is often better and the Dutchman had a far better pre-season.

    Ideally, you’d have both in your team, but that may not always be fully beneficial. Hope this helps. As much as I’m tempted to trade Van Persie for Adebayor, I have used too many transfers already and am keeping the faith with Robin. Good luck everyone.

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  9. Yep, i agree, keep Anelka this week. I’m not going to get rid of Van Persie yet as Arsenal have a couple of tasty fixtures coming up after West Ham, and if he plays he could score BIG. Forwards worth getting in soon could be one of Tevez or Saha, Berbatov or Keane, Utaka or Kanu, Viduka- depending on how spread out the matches are, and maybe Yakubu in 2 or 3 weeks time. Just have to monitor how they’re’s doing. I guess you can plan when to get rid of players but knowing who to get in depends on fixtures, form & rotation risk (and fitness - Owen was always going to be a waste of time, and i had to laugh when everyone was signing him up).

    I swear people don’t look at the fixtures coming up - who is only now getting in Scharner, Downing etc, hello?

    Anyone know how likely Dempsey is to keep his place? Apparently he missed 2 sitters against Wigan and did nowt against Man c. Surely Sanchez will try Healy and Kamara together soon.

    How did people get on in the Premierleague game this week? 70 points was ok seeing as i had to take a 8 point hit for changes.

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  10. Anyone familiar with Portsmouth know who has been taking their set pieces since Taylor has dropped to the depths of the bench?

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  11. @Stevo,

    I would think Dempsey’s place is pretty safe for the next month or so, considering he scored or assited on all 5 of Fulham’s previous goals before ManCity, plus he is a natural midfielder, so he is versatile position-wise. Also scored against Brazil last month. I think going up against a bruiser like Richards was the problem against City. .

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  12. Gentleman do i go for either :

    Hyypia or Hriederson ?

    conisdering Pompy’s next 3-4 games.

    Thanks :)

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  13. I have van persie and Adebayor in the front, not sure who to drop or should I keep both?

    If I did drop one who would be a good pick up for the next couple of weeks?

    i have had VP all season and only picked up Adebayor last week, surely VP has to come good, he had a good 06/07 season points wise.

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  14. Moz; yeah i think geremi will be the one to go. Re: man city’s defense, i’m not sure it’s been found out per se, but i certainly don’t see them maintaining anything near the form of the start of the season.

    outside of the top four, i’d look towards villa (who seem to be becoming pretty tight at the back under martin o’neill), or maybe portsmouth. everton’s defense should come good at somepoint, i think they conceded one goal (and only one goal) in their first seven matches or something. infuriating if you had one of their defenders, cos their defense has played ok.

    i’m glad people agree with van persie, he’s gotta come good at somepoint.

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  15. That’s it I’ve had it with Johnson, kicked him out and brought in Adebayor. Does it seem like that there hasn’t really been a consistent striker in the EPL this season? I mean sure Anelka’s done quite well but given Bolton’s plight he seems to be failing as well. Guys like Rooney and Van Persie seems to be still stuck in neutral while guys like Torres and Martins are taking fantasy managers along on their roller-coaster ride :(

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  16. @new_xieland: I have done exactly the same and just ditched Johnson for Adebayor - so all other Fantasy Managers take note - given my luck all season Andy Johnson will get at least a couple against Boro this weekend! ha ;-(
    Torres would be perfect if he ever played in the league but it seems Benitez has his priorty set on the Carling Cup! ha…

    Interested to know who everyone thinks I should play at the back this week out of:
    Baines, Richards, Geremi, Arbeloa and Laursen… Obvioulsy Arbeloa is in unless Benitez comes out saying he will rest him or something… but 2 out of remaining 4? Cheers…

    JK

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  17. Easy that one, JK - Richards and Baines. Geremi and Laursen are both handy subs though!

    Torres in an infuriating one. If he played from the start for even 70% of the matches he’d be cert because of his point scoring potential, but with his heafty price tag i feel that the money could be used better elsewhere, as the average points return from a regular would be slightly higher and they’d cost less. If he gets a run in the league set-up then i’ll go in for him.

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  18. Stevo 0-0, what is strange is that how could you know before any weekend game whether Torres get’s a run or not, he may start in ANY game and he may NOT START in ANY game, in EPL at least. there are no running strikes no logical patterns etc. it’s just damn bearded Rafa messing around.

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  19. @Gobbi, Torres will start all games vs. Chelsea, Man U and Arsenal I reckon. That’s about as predictable as Rafa will be I reckon…

    Of course those are the games where scoring points will be the hardest so I agree with you thats it’s very irritating…

    @Steve 0-0, yeah I made same decision but now need to decide if it would be better to play Smertin (as extra midfielder - and consider he is visiting his old club at the Bridge - lot to prove and they arent exactly a stable ship) or bring in a 4th defender - probably Geremi - dont fancy Villa to keep clean sheet at the Lane….Geremi taking lots of free kicks at mo! and could well be 0-0 against Man City.

    Thoughts?

    JK

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  20. With Torres, i think it’ll be a wait and see. But Liverpool really do have to press for the title, as that’s what the fans are demanding, so he can’t afford to drop more points and have him sitting on the bench. It would be handy to have Liverpool fail again without Torres - that, coupled with a match winning performance or two would surely mean he would HAVE to play in the subsequent matches. He’ll start to play more, i suspect, as he will be the difference in a lot of matches. Rafa is dupid though!

    Geremi ahead of Smertin for me. Geremi may well come off after 60 or 70 minutes, which would actually increase the chances of a clean sheet, plus he’s just as likely to do something in an attacking sense, given the opposition. Of course, both could do nothing, but Geremi gives slightly more potential for points.

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  21. @Steve0-0: But in the FPL game your defenders continue to ‘conceed goals’ even once they have been subbed! (i believe) so even if a player comes off, when the team concedes he also concedes! I know thats the case with a red card anyway. :-(

    I just sensed Smertin may have a lot to prove at the Bridge and Chelsea have not been tight at the back at all this season. Why Avram Grant and his Mossad contingent repeatedly choose Ben-Haim (Israeli) over Alex i do not understand!! Alex must play with Terry, at least until Carvalho is back.

    Captain this week? maybe Ronaldo with Utd vs Birmingham? or Van Persie? Fabregas is becoming too mainstream (everyone has him as captain) and surely he won’t score/assist again! ha… commentators curse…

    Thoughts???

    JK

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  22. @ JK, i made that mistake with Fabregas last week. Whilst his good form CANNOT (surely?!) carry on all season, i don’t think it’s sensible to drop him from captain whilst his form is so unbelievable. and whilst fabregas has been playing like last season’s ronaldo, rvp and this season’s ronaldo have hardly done anything. stick with fabregas.

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  23. @JK: Defenders in FPL do NOT concede goals once they have come off.
    Yes, captain choices this week is quite tough, probably can’t shy away from Fabregas with Arsenal scoring bags of goals frequently. plus the likes of man utd and Liverpool seem to be struggling to score in the past few games.

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