2nd May 2008

Santa In. Defoe Out.

posted in Team Selection |

Not my recommendations as such but rather the overwhelming trend going on in the FPL game right now. As an extra treat - I’d thought I’d dip into the wonderful world that is the Fantasy Premier League statistics and take a look at the gameweek’s transfer activity thus far.

Predictably there are a lot of FPL managers putting stock in Blackburn administering a whacking to Derby this weekend. Looking at the gameweek’s “transfers in” stats both Bentley and Santa Cruz top the rankings for midfielders and strikers, while many are also banking on the Rovers backline to notch a cleany - Warnock is the most popular defensive signing and Friedal is topping the keeper rankings.

Certainly Derby are the whipping boys and Santa and Bentley should benefit to some degree - even if it’s bonus after a modest victory. A clean sheet does look likely, although it’s worth noting that Derby need 4 points to rid themselves of the mantle of the worst Premiership side ever (statistically). That’s bound to see them put up a considerable fight at Ewood. I can certainly see a victory for Rovers but I wouldn’t be surprised if the margin is not as wide as anticipated.

Elsewhere there is strong investment in Villa once again, with Young, Barry and Agbonlahor all ranked highly. Laursen is also fairing well as a defensive investment - he hasn’t scored since January 12 but it appears that his goal threat is still a major temptation, particularly against Wigan who do struggle for goals away from home.

Birmingham’s Larsson and Fulham’s Davies are getting some interest as budget purchases - no doubt to help free up some Santa/Bentley cash. Tevez is also figuring noticeably high in the forward rankings - fuelled by the injury doubt surrounding Rooney for the final two games.

At first glance there are few surprises in the “outs” column. The Portsmouth pair of James and Defoe are leading the way by some margin. James is a major injury doubt of course, while Defoe’s form seems likely to suffer from Pompey’s apathetic approach with the FA Cup final looming. In midfield, it appears that patience in Rafa’s rotation has worn thin enough to warrant shedding Gerrard.

An interesting one this - I would expect him to start at home to City this weekend in Liverpool’s final home game. Gerrard appears to be a decent bet for a good return if Liverpool can banish Wednesday’s defeat from their system. The same applies to Torres. He has been transferred out quite widely prior to the weekend but should start given that he has apparently shaken off the slight hamstring injury that saw him subbed in extra time. He is prolific at Anfield and will be looking to sign off in style in this final home game.



There are 23 Comments made on this post.
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  1. Gravatar S on May 2nd, 2008 at 13:09 (Reply)

    …and 17 people have transferred in Eduardo this gameweek,

    Intersting one that, maybe they know something…

  2. Gravatar Leighton on May 2nd, 2008 at 13:13 (Reply)

    Thanks Mark,

    Liverpool’s anti-climatic season will cause plenty of no-takers in this fixture. Liverpool have been so prolific at home recently - if they can shrug off Wednesday’s disappointment this could be the dark-horse fixture to give Torres and co quite a few points…

  3. Gravatar Helpsy on May 2nd, 2008 at 13:39 (Reply)

    Looks like i’ve followed the majority this week bringing Santa Cruz in for Defoe.

    I’m pretty happy with my team this week although not sure whether to go with Alves or Downing?

    1. Gravatar CK on May 2nd, 2008 at 13:57 (Reply)

      Downing!

  4. Gravatar Arun on May 2nd, 2008 at 13:50 (Reply)

    i’m unloading keane for santa and keeping Defoe in.

    Keane is up against a Reading side fighting relegation, while defoe faces a boro D that allowed Sunderland to put three past them last week.

    wise surely?

  5. Gravatar Leighton on May 2nd, 2008 at 14:04 (Reply)

    My current front line of Adebayor/Defoe/Berbatov needs tinkering with.

    Adebayor is now likely to play a full game with Van Persie out but the game v Everton could be tight. I’m leaving Berbatov in as he’s done OK of late and Reading have been his favourite team to play against this season. Defoe has fired blanks lately with a lack of assistance from teammates and he’s on the way out of the team for certain this week…

  6. Gravatar Arun on May 2nd, 2008 at 14:08 (Reply)

    Probably live to regret this, but for the record - Reading to win 1-0 and Portsmouth to draw with Boro 2-2 or lose 2-1 but defoe to get the goal.

  7. Gravatar Colin on May 2nd, 2008 at 14:11 (Reply)

    I can’t decide.. I am topping my league by a slim 7 points. I will put in Santa as it is wise to put in the best scorer for each team playing derby.

    However it is at the expense of either Berbatov or Defoe. Middlesborough are rubbish and poor definsively but pompey also have totally dropped off due to the cup no doubt. Tottenham however have also been poor of late and Reading seem fairly solid at home. I am actually thinking defoe has more chance of doing well than berbatov this week.

    Given tottenham play liverpool and pompey play fulham is taking berbatov out the better long term plan you think?

    1. Gravatar Leighton on May 2nd, 2008 at 14:58 (Reply)

      Couldn’t disagree more about the Defoe/Berbatov scenario.

      Pompey will not be “busting a gut” in their last game of the season a week before the Cup Final and Fulham will still need the points. Pompey have only scored twice in their last four games while Fulham have banged in more in one game.

      At least Spurs are scoring and the Liverpool v Spurs game offers a significant opportunity of an open entertaining game with a few goals.

      It won’t be the first time I will have to eat my words but after watching Defoe against Blackburn I had already made my mind up, despite the fact he had about 5 chances.

  8. Gravatar Arun on May 2nd, 2008 at 14:23 (Reply)

    hadn’t even looked towards the following week! but that seems to back up what I was saying!

    Hope people in my leagues (I’m ahead by 50 in one and 25 points behind in another - in 4th place, its tight at the top!)take Defoe out as he could easily get a couple!

  9. Gravatar Ste23 on May 2nd, 2008 at 14:26 (Reply)

    I was going to draft in Santa for Berby, but I already have swapped Brad for James this week.
    Berby will start so thats 2 points and it will cost me 4 points to make the change, so is Santa going to get me 6 points or more? & Berby doesnt do anything all game, not worth it.
    This is my first season and if I thought like this at the begining I would doing alot better

    1. Gravatar Luke on May 2nd, 2008 at 15:09 (Reply)

      hey ste23. I’m in exactly the same position as you. I have sold James and considering selling either Adebayor or Berby for Santa. Like you I’m leaning towards not making the sell.

  10. Gravatar ben on May 2nd, 2008 at 14:52 (Reply)

    just an update for your team news Mark - looks like Skrtel could well play…he returned to training today says the Liverpool site

    1. Gravatar Mark on May 2nd, 2008 at 15:23 (Reply)

      Thanks Ben…Arteta has just been ruled out too.

      I’ll do another pass this evening to bring this bang up to date before the picks.

  11. Gravatar Untitled on May 2nd, 2008 at 15:37 (Reply)

    Anyone think Gerrard’s worth a punt for one week only?

  12. Gravatar Arun on May 2nd, 2008 at 15:43 (Reply)

    any thoughts on captains? santa ronny or barry even?

  13. Gravatar Jess on May 2nd, 2008 at 17:27 (Reply)

    Hi all . Need some help on a keeper decision . Presently have Harper an can see him letting a couple in v Chelsea . I will be taking a 4 point hit on a transfer so need a clean sheater !
    Question is will Fabianski deffo start for Arsenal ? If so i’ll have him .

    cheers

  14. Gravatar the Moz on May 2nd, 2008 at 17:52 (Reply)

    Gerrard must be a temptation for Captain as well. I don’t have him and I’ll stick with Ronny.
    Adebayor will be worth considering. Everton’s defence will leak any time now.

    Goalie? - the Bolton guys on fire at the moment! I’m sticking O’Brien in defence this week.

  15. Gravatar Ken on May 2nd, 2008 at 18:51 (Reply)

    who do you think’s most likely to do the best out of: Carvalho, Nosworthy, Pienaar and Huddlestone. I know, awful choice, but I have to make one!

  16. Gravatar Jess on May 2nd, 2008 at 19:04 (Reply)

    cheers the Moz , never thought of Bolton . i’ll ponder it .
    Ken - got a feeling Newcastle have run out of steam –i’d go with Carvalho.

  17. Gravatar Ken on May 2nd, 2008 at 20:54 (Reply)

    i’ve got 20 points to catch up on - santa or ronaldo for captain?

    1. Gravatar Jolly John on May 2nd, 2008 at 21:22 (Reply)

      It will be business as usual for Ronaldo.

      Are you Ken from Street Fighter 2?

  18. Gravatar Nick on May 2nd, 2008 at 21:15 (Reply)

    I’m in a similar position Ken, 5 points off 2nd, but 50 off 1st, I’m saying Santa, cos I would rather concede 2nd taking a gamble than playing safe!!

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