Spot the Differential

Spot the Differential – Gameweek 1

Having rolled out the Scout Picks on Friday evening, we now turn our attentions to the first Differential article of the new campaign. If you’re new to this, the idea is to highlight certain Fantasy assets with low ownership – typically under 5% – ahead of each Gameweek and wax lyrical over their chances for the fixture ahead. This term we’re concentrating on just one player per Gameweek and, to get the ball rolling, we’ve opted for a proven Premier League goalscorer…

Let’s be honest – last season was a bit of a write-off for Darren Bent. The Villa forward arrived on the back of 41 goals over his previous couple of campaigns but the installation of Alex McLeish to the Villa Park hotseat put paid to the forward’s Fantasy potential, as the midlands outfit attempted to grind out results under the former Birmingham boss. As a result, Villa returned a meagre 37 goals over 2011/12, the second lowest tally in the league and only one more than Stoke; starved of service up top, Bent managed just nine goals before his season was ended in early March due to an ankle injury.

With McLeish now nothing more than a bad memory, Villa fans approach the new season with far greater enthusiasm. New boss Paul Lambert has handed his players a license to attack as he looks to replicate the offensive threat of former club Norwich; the Canaries racked up 52 goals upon their top-flight return under the Scot, a goal haul bettered only by the top six last time round. Already, Bent has been singing the praises of the new man in charge, with a change in tactics set to alter how we assess Villa’s Fantasy prospects for the season ahead:

“He wants us to be really dangerous and create loads of chances. He wants us to be an attacking outfit. He has a philosophy where he says: ‘If we’re going to lose, we’re going to lose having a go’. He wants us to have a right good go at every single team. That’s how it should be. We have attacking players in the team who can cause real damage and he’s told them to go out and do their stuff. It’s certainly going to be a dream for me playing that way as a striker.”

Villa roll up to West Ham for their Upton Park opener on the back of decent pre-season form. Lambert’s side have racked up eight goals in their final four fixtures and Bent signed off on summer duties with a smartly-taken brace against Bundesliga outfit Werder Bremen – aided by the creativity of Charles N’Zogbia, Brett Holman and Stephen Ireland, he could well be set to spoil Big Sam’s party tomorrow afternoon.

Bearing in mind the Hammers managed just seven clean sheets at home in the Championship last season, Lambert’s men will be anticipating goals. With spot-kick duties in his locker, an ownership currently under 3% and a strong set of fixtures to follow, Bent looks the man most likely to produce as the Villains seek to exorcise the ghost of McLeish with a new-found sense of optimism.

Paul Is certain he won't make the same mistakes next season. Follow them on Twitter

4,290 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Chris_Fàbregas #DOOS…
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 8 months ago

    I don't know whether or not to go with Bent, or stay with Defoe.. I personally think Defoe is essential for my 3rd striker spot between GW2 - 5. Unless Spurs sign another striker soon.

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    1. I Am ToTo
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      both are good choices and good fixture
      but the % of bent scoring is higher

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    2. ...---...
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      Listen, I don't know what your funds are but I'll tell you this...Darren Bent is in for a bloody good season, akin to the 24(?) goals he scored a couple of seasons ago. All this guy want's to do is bulge the net and Lambert is more than happy to let him do nothing else. Defoe on the other hand is to busy bulging something else to be taken seriously.

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      1. Flycroft
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 8 months ago

        +1 for a great read and well made point

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  2. I Am ToTo
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 8 months ago

    will tevez play for the whole games?? with dzeko adebayor and ballotilli out there??

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    1. I Am ToTo
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      or manc will play with 3 stikers ?

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    2. O Fenomeno
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      Adebayor or Balotelli definitely won't come on. It is possible Dzeko will come on at some point.

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  3. Ibracadabra
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 8 months ago

    100% agree w/ this article Paul... In fact posted a similar version of it about 12 hours ago! Cheers and good luck to all this weekend. http://www.nevercaptainnickybutt.com/2012/08/funny-feeling-friday-darren-bent.html

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  4. baulchy
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 8 months ago

    It is worth going Podoski and Agureo over Tevez and Rooney because the Man U forwards will steal points off each other??

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  5. ssetem
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 8 months ago

    A) Friedel,Federici
    Ivanovic,Cuellar,Demel,Hangeland,Zabaleta
    Kacaniklic,Mata,Noble,Bale,Pienaar
    Podolski,Aguero,Tevez

    or

    B) Friedel,Federici
    Ivanovic,Cuellar,Demel,Hangeland,Zabaleta
    Kacaniklic,Mata,Noble,Bale,Santi Cazorla
    Graham,Aguero,Tevez

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    1. van der irwin
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      b

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      1. ssetem
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 8 months ago

        how about B but Lampard instead of Santi?

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  6. FantasyFreak
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 8 months ago

    Which 2 to bench??

    a)Guthrie
    b)Noble
    c)Dyer
    d)Barnett

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    1. van der irwin
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      c and d

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  7. Tiki-Taka
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 8 months ago

    Best pair of 4.5 keepers to rotate with eachother?

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  8. Lord Flashheart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 8 months ago

    Who to bench this gw - vdv (newc) or Graham (qpr)

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    1. Chris_Fàbregas #DOOS…
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      DVD..

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    2. van der irwin
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      never bench vdv i say

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    3. Arselona
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      graham

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  9. Arselona
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 8 months ago

    most nailed on fulham defender at 4.5?

    Kelly, Hughes or Baird

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    1. van der irwin
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      hughes

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      1. Arselona
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 8 months ago

        will he be bumped if Senderos comes back?

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        1. Flycroft
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 8 months ago

          ive bought him, hope not but not a huge deal if i have to transfer him out in the future. how long is senderos meant to be out for?

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  10. _Bazinga_
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 8 months ago

    RMT please?

    Federici—(Howard)
    Hangeland—A. Cole—Gorkss—(Shawcross)—(Fabio)
    Lampard—Kagawa—Toure—Sinclair—(Noble)
    Aguero—Torres—Pogrebnyak

    Got 1.0 in the bank, any advice?

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    1. Munsoned
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      is sinclair going to play?

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      1. _Bazinga_
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 8 months ago

        I'm not sure, there will be a decision made later on, do u have any idea who to replace him with?

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  11. som3awy
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 8 months ago

    Djebril Cisse or Petric?

    Bent or Podolski?

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  12. Lovzat
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 8 months ago

    who are the best cheap defenders ? 4 or 4,5 ? thanks !

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    1. van der irwin
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      Gorkss 4

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  13. I Am ToTo
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 8 months ago

    is silva starting??

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  14. s_jbuntin
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 8 months ago

    hello is it just me or does any 1 else think that bale wont be as good this year because ady not around to convert all them bale crosses

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    1. van der irwin
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      he'll be just as good. i'm sure spurs will sign ady or some big dude to bang them in. bale all the way

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      1. s_jbuntin
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 8 months ago

        there not going to sign somebody by tommorrow

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    2. I Am ToTo
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      no

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    3. O Fenomeno
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      -1

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      1. s_jbuntin
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 8 months ago

        can no1 remember the season with out ady bale didnt do that well

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  15. Deicide
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 8 months ago

    DDG Federici

    Clyne Demel Cuellar Lescott Cashley

    Hazard Bale Larsson Taarabt Noble

    Petric Torres Aguero

    0 in the bank

    Can someone give me suggestions? If things are bad with my team in GW1 i think i'll quit. I can't build a better team than that one .

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    1. The buck stops with me
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      You may be quitting big guy

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    2. I Am ToTo
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      no lescot and clichy pick one

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  16. goriuanx
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 8 months ago

    Finally content with this.

    Al Habsi | Begovic
    Rafael | Ivanovic | Zabaleta | Demel | Clyne
    Cazorla | Mata | Bale | Snodgrass | Guthrie
    Torres | Tevez | Graham

    +1mill in the bank.

    Thoughts?

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    1. The buck stops with me
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      Darren bent? Good player good fixtures. I think Swansea not same team as last year

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      1. I Am ToTo
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 8 months ago

        graham have micho now

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    2. I Am ToTo
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      teves and silva better choice
      give cazorla couple of weeks to see whats he's doing
      btw is silva playing??
      teves will play the whole games with dzeko, adebayor and balotilli their??

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    3. Drip Doctor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      Mine is very similar so I like it.

      Friedel Federichi
      Zabaleta Ivanovic Rafael Nelson Clyne
      Vdv Lamps Yaya Taarabt Noble
      Torres Tevez Graham
      2m in the bank.

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  17. Arselona
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 8 months ago

    bench Boyce or BennettR?

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  18. s_jbuntin
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 8 months ago

    hello is it just me or does any 1 else think that bale wont be as good this year because ady not around to convert all them bale crosses ?

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    1. Munsoned
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      it's just you

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  19. average villa-boas
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 8 months ago

    help....... haha
    A.) hangeland + nasri
    B.) ivan/cole + pienaar (0.5m extra)

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  20. Flycroft
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 8 months ago

    anyone else sticking with hazard?

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    1. Arselona
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      i want him badly in my team but cant fit him in..

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  21. sir alex barraclough
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 8 months ago

    Didnt get reply so posting again.

    De Gea – Bego
    Cole – Zabaleta – Hangeland – Jenkinson – Tierney
    Van der Vaart – Mata – Nasri – Michu – Guthrie
    Torres – Tevez – Graham

    Is it a good idea going Jenkinson? Considering my first 3 free transfers are already planned??
    Dont like Guthrie as im not playing him DGW, whos the best replacement??

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    1. Cevap
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      i would say no...but then again i had him in my original plans...

      how about noble?

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    2. average villa-boas
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      wouldnt see a problem wit that idea, i take it ur playin 3 at d backs? so good cover if ur not happy wit him but dont want get rid straight away if u have transfers planned for first 3 weeks..
      ive picked him aswell, 4.5m cud be a steal...

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      1. sir alex barraclough
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 8 months ago

        Yea thanks for that, your right if he stays playing for more than a few weeks then he could be an awesome signing 😉

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  22. Cevap
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 8 months ago

    so what are people's thoughts on Hazard. lots of RMT's had Hazard, but he seems to have disappeared! Is it b/c of the CS game or is it more than that?...and that leads to my next question...

    hazard or santi?

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    1. Flycroft
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      im taking a punt on him, against wigan and reading anything could happen. feel he has far more goal scoring potential than mata and everybody knee jerked off the wagon after the CS backheel fiasco. im getting both of them!

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      1. Cevap
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 8 months ago

        i was thinking much of the same. i can't imagine one preseason game would have such an impact on choosing him

        i have no arsenal coverage and hope that does not hurt me...but i do have Tot, Chelsea, United, City

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        1. Flycroft
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 8 months ago

          i have the rest of the coverage minus united. hazard is in for gw1 in teh hope of some bonza points then will downgrade to a 6.5 and bang rvp in gw3. best of luck

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          1. Cevap
            • 13 Years
            11 years, 8 months ago

            cheers, same to you!

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  23. baulchy
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 8 months ago

    Valencia, VDV or Santi for GW1??

    A.) Agureo and Podoski
    or
    B.) Rooney and Tevez

    cheers

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    1. Cevap
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      valencia

      B

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    2. colin1201
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      if its just for gw 1, i'd go santi since he's got the easiest fixture.

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    3. aussiegooner
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      VDV and A.

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    4. 1966 was a great year for E…
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      Just for GW1, Santi, but I'd rather have VDV for the first few games.

      A for GW1, B longer term.

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  24. aussiegooner
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 8 months ago

    How much of a risk is Kagawa at this point?

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    1. Flycroft
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      less of a risk than an average pick... expect him to play but he will surely be deeper if rvp plays

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    2. som3awy
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      I'd say avoid Man Utd mids until after GW 2. That's what I'm doing.

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      1. aussiegooner
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 8 months ago

        Yeah, well I'm very tempted by VDV at only 0.5 more.

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    3. 1966 was a great year for E…
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      I think he'll play, but he's a risk no doubt.

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    4. ...---...
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      Like Cazorla & Hazard (though not quite as much so) the guy is over priced. He may well hit the floor running and transpire to be a bargain but he's a "wait and see" in my notebook.

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      1. aussiegooner
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 8 months ago

        Yeah. I could not justify bringing in Hazard at 9.5. Cazorla is maybe a risk worth taking but I'm already taking a risk on Pod.

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  25. The buck stops with me
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 8 months ago

    Who is Santiago sorry or my ignorance?

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  26. aflickering
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 8 months ago

    been thinking about this whole valencia right back malarkey...

    knowing how much fergie respects baines (and, i'm sure, baines' past combinations with pienaar), he'd want a right winger who'll track back and double up when required. he's not going to be trusting nani to do this, and valencia's always been good at it, so he's PROBABLY gonna be the man, unless rafael really is too unfit to play. thoughts?

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    1. 1966 was a great year for E…
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      I'd say Rafael is 90% sure to play.

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  27. colin1201
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 8 months ago

    RMT please.

    DDG, federici

    lescott, hangeland, cuellar, fabio, mccartney

    siggy, mata, silva, noble, michu

    tevez, torres graham.

    Any feedback is welcome, thanks in advance!

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    1. ssetem
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      people say silva is a doubt to play.
      siggy is same price as VDV, but might outscore him 😀

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  28. ssetem
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 8 months ago

    Friedel,Federici
    Ivanovic,Cuellar,Demel,Hangeland,Zabaleta
    Kacaniklic,Mata,Noble,Van der Vaart,Hazard
    Graham,Aguero,Tevez

    how about this

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    1. colin1201
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      i personally wldnt double up on chelsea mids since they've no game on gw 3.

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  29. Bumbaclot
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 8 months ago

    really need some help here everybody!

    Cazorla and petric OR Michu and Podolski??

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    1. I Am ToTo
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 8 months ago

      michu and podolski have better fix

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  30. I Am ToTo
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 8 months ago

    i think rafaal will be playing now sense jones is injured
    right?

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