Scout Scribbles – Fellaini Knee Worry for Toffees

Team is

JJ, Ruddy

Baines, Vertonghen, McCartney, Gunter, Clyne

Santi, Bale, Michu, Ramirez, Kacaniklic

Suarez, RVP, Ba

Doing pretty well with this team at the moment (top 5k-ish), but considering a wildcard to:

JJ, McCarthey

Baines, McCartney, Barnett, Wilson, Hughes

Santi, Bale, Hazard, Sterling, Silva

Lambert, Ba, Aguero

Either that - or I have 2FTs which I could use to swap Ramirez and RVP for Silva and Berbatov, or just switch Ramirez to Lallana, saving the 2FTs for the next week to ship Michu and Suarez out.

Thoughts?

CAPTAIN FANTASTIC?.............

A. Cazorla - NOR (A)
B. Aguero - WBA (A)
C. Berbatov - AVL (H)

Fellaini has had 6000 transfers out in 6 hours, without a game for 10 days. Where is the decorum?

Would like some opinions on my squad from next week:

Foster, Begovic
Baines, Sagna, Cuellar, Wilson, Demel
Silva, Cazorla, Pienaar, Nolan, Noble
RVP, Tevez, Fletcher

Only thing I can see which needs to be changed after gw9 would possibly be Nolan -> Morrison although may hold on to him.

Might consider Rooney and Aguero over RVP and Tevez in the long run after monitoring for a few weeks.

Looking good?

How does:
Hazard -> Cazorla
Foster -> Bego
Ba -> Berba
Michu -> Mata
(in that order over next 3 weeks) look?

Fellaini sounding more like a case of Internationalitis from Everton's statement.

berbs shot up the watchlist to 3rd to add to the bandwagon

This is what one of my friends wrote on facebook, i think he's quite good...

How to be a football journalist, part 1.
1) Find out about an up and coming youngster. This can be through your own genuine research, listening to pundits, listening to agents or through playing FIFA. Make sure you can say he's the new "someone."
2) After said youngster has played well in a game (one game will do, as anyone can safely be judged after 90 mins) link ...him to big money spenders Man City and Chelsea. If he's under 19, also link him to Arsenal. If you're a bit unsure of him, add in Tottenham. If he looks very overrated and over priced, throw in Liverpool and Newcastle. If he's cheap, add Everton. If he's a complete unknown, add in any of those combinations, plus whichever team is flavour of the month.
2) Everytime he plays, mention him and link him to the clubs. Rotate the clubs every now and then, and quote "sources"
3) If he starts playing really well, link him to Man Utd.
4) If he starts to play badly, link him to QPR.
5) Continue to do this, until the player either:
A) Signs for one of the clubs you quoted, where you can then claim an exclusive. Good job, well done.
B) Signs a nice contact at his current club, where you can say he's still learning his trade/not ready for a big club/loyal to that club/was shit anyway. Throw in any contact release clauses you feel like.
C) Signs for another club. Make up something about it being for more money/Premier League being too physical/your choice of club turned him down/he's shit anyway.
6) Find another player and repeat.See more

Hey All,

Any chance of a RM Wildcard Team?

I've tried to stay away from the teams with diminishing fixture qualities as well as getting rid of a few of the early-season favorites who have disappointed over the last few weeks. I'd like to include Rooney/ RvP but I can't ignore Aguero who at 11.1 and a decent fixture list coming up looks great value.

Begovic, Jaask
Clark, Baines, Rafael, Fonte, Olsson
Mata, Cazorla, Morrison, Pienaar, Michu
Aguero, Lambert,Suarez

Half tempted to through Ba in over Suarez... Liverpool are just too hit and miss currently!

Cheers

Ba + Rafael or Berba + Ivanovic?

Squad is on a WC

XI: Mannone, Baines, Raf/Ivan, McCartney, Bale, Mata, Santi, Kaca, Kun, Suarez, Berba/Ba
Subs: Bego, Maloney, Barnett, Fonte

Mata not travelled with Spain huh.. interestin. Chelsea will score goals over the next 6 even though the fixtures look horrid on paper.. may get him over silva

As soon as your Reading fixture is over Suarez, you're leaving for the mighty Berbatov. It's nothing personal, oh wait, it is, you racist!!

defence needs some attention:

Vorm Cerny
Baines Ridgewell Boyce Demel Clyne

1 FT, £1.4m

what do?

With lots of people getting in Aguero and Silva am I as well just keeping Tevez or am I missing something important?

With City having fixtures of (SWA, whu, TOT, AVL) from gw9-12
and United having fixtures of (avl, nor, QPR, WHU, rdg) from gw11-15;
which combo is the best?:

A) RVP, Cazorla, Barfa (no City coverage)
B) RVP, Silva, Barfa
C) Aguero, Cazorla, Silva, -4pts (no United coverage)
D) Rooney, Cazorla, Silva, -4pts

How to be a tabloid football journalist part 2. England
When writing about England, remember that they are the best team in world. The Premier League is the best in the world, therefore England is the best team (nb, the Premier League has too many foreigners, and is ruining England. This isn't important until England call up someone you don't know. Once this happens, destroy the Premier League).
H...owever, when the world rankings are updated, mock them for putting England so high.
England should win EVERY game. If its a team within the top 10 rankings it should be by one goal. For those 11-15 it should be by 2. 16 - 25 should be by 3. 26 - 50 by 4. 50+ should be by 5. No arguments. It doesn't matter if teams raise their game against England because they view them as a big scalp, these rules must be abided to.
The opposition never play better than England. If England don't win, it's because they played badly.
If England don't win, it's a national disaster.
No one hates England. Except the homes nations. Then it's just banter.
England hate Germany, Argentina, France, Scotland, Wales, Ireland...
England v Germany is the biggest game in the world. And is certainly bigger than Germany v Holland. Who cares about that?
Our fans are the best in the world. Everyone loves our fans. The dark days of hooliganism and racism are in the past. Period.
If Rooney does not score, he played badly. Destroy him.
There will always be someone who should be in the squad (regardless of form/ability). If England lose, it's because he's not playing. If they win, it's despite of him.
Make sure you have a hero: someone who is the best in the world in a particular position. In doesn't matter if they're not, if you say it enough people will believe you.
When said player does not perform, destroy him.

Whats the opinion on Giroud in here? Dropped from 9.0>8.4 and he was quality in the last game by all accounts (backed up by 3BP's). Thinking with Arsenal's fixture list he could be a massive differential....

best defender for 6.7M?

my other trasfer is RVP Rooney

GW 64pt not bad but need to strength my defence…
With Gorkss barnett figaroua hangeland clyne and 0.9 mill in bank…

Any suggestions?? looking towards stoke with marc wilson?

Looking at Man City’s fixtures they are; away PL game, CL game, home PL game. Anyone think Aguero will always play the first 2 and be rested for the third (home game). Very concerned owner here.

Anyone else picking Bale as captain this week at home to Chelsea?

is this worth an 8 point hit

Hooveld to hughes already done

Tevez to Berbs

Lambert to Ba

yes or no

New post - http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2012/10/10/the-watchlist-updated-gameweek-8/

who will take fellaini's place if he's out?

I'm starting to look at turning the stats into some reliable predictions of points. Frequently we will look at goals and assists as the best indicators of potential. They're good but we can do better by looking at shots and chances created. Too many random factors come into play which, if we are looking for long term potential, we want to remove.

Take a look at the shots to goals ratio. There are three things that, along the way, stop a shot from becoming a goal

a) It is blocked
b) It is off-target
c) It is saved

Thinking in terms of probabilities, this can be expressed as

Expected Goals = Expected Shots x Pr(Not blocked) x Pr(On-target if not blocked) x Pr(Not saved if on target)

So my challenge is to figure out what those probabilities are based on what an individual player has done and all the experience to date can be seen as a reflection of two factors - those specific to the player and random noise.

If you made it this far then congratulations but I would appreciate some thoughts on how much these factors are linked to the player and how much is random or linked to factors that average over the season (eg opposition).

Let's start with the probability of the shot being on target. Some of this will depend on the player because how accurate they are and where they typically shoot from. In addition, if a player is always trying to put the ball in the top corner, they will miss more than someone heading at goal from close range.

So thoughts please on how much are accuracy stats for a player (over the first 7 GW) related to that player and how much is random (eg 70:30 or 30:70)?

Thanks

what do u guys think of tripling West Ham and Stoke coverage and rotating them...

Begovic & Jaas
Wilson & Demel
Walters & Noble

Hi

Just looking at possible changes over the next couple of gameweeks and wanted people's opinions.

Current team is as follows:

Begovic, Jaask
Baines, Jenkinson, Ivanovic, Demel, McCartney
Mata, Cazorla, Pienaar, Bale, Kacaniklic
Aguero, Ba, Jelevic

1.1m in reserve

Going to go Jenkinson to Sagna when that happens, and would like to get Silva in, but don't know what combo would be best. So which of the following do you think is better:

Piennar, Ba, jelevic - Silva, Berbatov, Crouch
Kac, Ba, Jelevic - Silva, Berba, Pogrebnyak
Piennar, Aguero, Jelevic - Silva, Berba, Torres

Or do I just stick with what i have?

Any opinions appreciated!

What you guys think of this wildcard team?

Mannone Begovic
Olsson Rafael Wilson Baines Nelsen
Cazorla Bale Mata Pienaar Sterling
Ba Berbatov Suarez

And if i make Bale > Lennon i could do ba>Aguero

Have Fellaini injured, also WHMs Reid and Demel and Gibbs, and Jenkinson will probably be replaced by Sagna..

Seems like I have to make a 4 or 8 point hit, but hope some of the players will be fit for next GW or that sagna won't replace Jenkinson yet... Headache!