Scout Notes

The Stock Check – Gameweek 1 – Saturday

The Stock Check makes a return to these pages for the new campaign. Working in tandem with the Watchlist, this offers a same day appraisal of how the day’s matches influenced our view on players and teams.

On a tepid opening day, significant in the main for Leicester City’s defeat at Hull, we nonetheless witnessed a number of players boost early reputations, as a cast of mid-price midfielders and strikers came to the fore.

On the Rise

Nathan Redmond
Redmond overcame first half struggles to burst to life in the second period with a Saints equaliser. His underlying numbers were hugely encouraging – both in terms of creativity and threat. Available for 6.0, Redmond will likely curb interest in Dusan Tadic who also stood out in the 1-1 stalemate.

Riyad Mahrez
Mahrez’s return to penalty duties having relinquished them to Jamie Vardy in the latter part of last season was a huge break for his early adopters. We can now expect the 2% ownership gap between Mahrez and Vardy to open up further.

Ahmed Musa
Leicester’s record signing was thrown straight into the starting lineup at the KCOM stadium following an impressive pre-season. At 7.5 he’s an option in his own right but could also impact on Vardy’s output. He created more than he threatened in today’s defeat.

Demarai Gray
Ranieri made a statement by including the 20-year-old in his starting line-up – clearly Marc Albrighton’s start, at least away from home, now looks very tenuous. Gray is a 5.0 midfield option, fetched an assist and demands to be monitored.

Étienne Capoue
Two goals in a pre-season and a fine opening day effort. Capoue already looks to have established himself as the stand-out 4.5 option in midfield having been given license to join the attack in Walter Mazzarri’s 3-5-2.

Robert Snodgrass
The key figure in the Hull ranks, the former Leeds man hogged set-pieces throughout and provided the shock decisive strike. The three bonus points sealed his day and ensured a rise in stock.

Alvaro Negredo
A debut strike for the Spaniard who leapt to head home Gaston Ramirez’ assist. He was one of several mid-price strikers to flourish on the day, although arguably his forthcoming fixtures (sun wba CPL eve) promote him as the most attractive of that pack. Negredo soared to the top of the FPL “transfers in” hours after the final whistle.

Eric Lamela
The Argentine went into Gameweek 1 with 9% ownership as the fourth most popular Spurs midfielder. He followed up his five goals and nine assists last season with a headed equaliser at Goodison. Lamela showed enough to suggest that his £7.0m price tag could possibly see him challenge Dele Alli and Christian Eriksen (both 8.5) as the go-to Spurs midfield candidate.

Ross Barkley
A goal, four attempts and three chances created. Once again Barkley has started the season strongly – he’s now scored on the opening day for three consecutive seasons. Again, it suggests that he can deliver on his 7.5 price point but we’ve been here before. Deulofeu’s potential as a 6.5 midfield option deployed as a striker, remains a factor.

Salomon Rondon
Another 6.5 striker option to find the net, the Venezuelan boosted his stock following nine goals last season with a day one winner and a pair of bonus points. Like Negredo, the Baggies man boasts obliging forthcoming fixtures (EVE MID bou WHM).

The West Brom Defence
Tony Pulis’ side claimed the day’s other shut-out in the win at Crystal Palace with Ben Foster fetching the maximum bonus points. Gareth McAuley also earned bonus and remains the top owned West Brom defensive asset (9%). Their schedule suggests that further returns are imminent.

Shaqiri
The Swiss international hardly glittered in the Riverside stalemate and yet his curling free-kick brought him to our attention. Stoke’s fixtures are set to improve and further returns from Shaqiri could see the 6.0 midfielder unsettle Marko Arnautovic (7.5) as our chosen Potters asset.

Jordi Amat
Swansea had two 4.0 options earn clean sheets at Burnley, with Stephen Kingsley also fetching two bonus points. But Amat appears to have a stronger chance of retaining his start and warrants monitoring; he was the stand-out performer in the Swans’ rearguard.

Fernando Llorente
A promising debut for the Spaniard which saw him register an assist for Leroy Fer’s late goal. Llorente’s statistics were very promising and indicated that he’s another name in the mid-price that demands assessment.

Willy Caballero
Ousting Joe Hart to the bench, the Argentine could now present another 5.0 option in Pep Guardiola’s rearguard to rival Jon Stones. Doubts remain on City’s defence, however.

Sergio Aguero
Aguero’s stock is already sky high but it seems remiss not to mention the Argentine given his nine point return. This was not one of his more eye-catching shifts and yet still had six efforts on goal, a total matched only by Llorente over Saturday’s matches. Handed the armband by 34% of FPL managers, he duly delivered his expected strike.

Raheem Sterling
The assist for Aguero’s spot-kick was just part of a performance that drew glowing praise from his manager. Can Guardiola revive a player who was once pushing heavy-hitter status at Liverpool? Priced at 8.0, if the Spaniard can achieve that, we will have yet another midfield asset to consider.

In Decline

Jamie Vardy
Owners of the 10.0 striker suffered a sobering day as they witnessed Vardy miss several opportunities and, more significantly, relinquish spot-kick duties to Mahrez. A decline in ownership looks inevitable, even with back-to-back home matches to come. Vardy was top of the “transfers out” table at the time of writing.

The Leicester Defence
Claudio Ranieri’s assets are suffering sales from back to front, with diminishing confidence in the Foxes backline following the reversal on Humberside. N’Golo Kante’s absence already seems to be a factor.

Joe Hart
Dropped to the bench by Pep Guardiola, the 5.5 keeper option went into Gameweek 1 claiming 6.9% ownership: they must surely now be planning an immediate exit.

Hugo Lloris
Another keeper to suffer a blow, the Frenchman was forced to give way on 30 minutes with a hamstring injury. He’ll undergo scans, with Michel Vorm (5.0) destined to deputise during any term of absence – a situation worth monitoring.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

2,615 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Nabs Kebabs
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Last time I'll be leaving this here. Just because the majority say playing BB in a DGW is the better idea, doesn't mean it is.

    Ruth NZ's post that inspired me to play GW1.
    http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2016/08/05/sleeper-cesc-fabregas/?hc_page=7#hc_comment_13675873

    My team currently 60 overall.
    https://fantasy.premierleague.com/a/team/2179/event/1

    Take it as a "boast" if you like. The point is the tactic of playing BB early. I understand I got lucky, there is no doubt about it. But even if i got half the bench points I would be happy.

    My summary of Ruths post with a couple of my own thoughts:

    Value of BB in a SGW – 12pts
    Value of BB in a DGW – 24pts

    So is it worth chasing that 12 point “advantage?”

    No because:

    -You have to compromise your WC by playing it a week early and selling players that you wouldn’t want to sell early. Eg Hazard may have SUN a week before the main DGW. But He doesn’t have a DGW. So you sell him for a DGW’er on your WC a week before the DGW and miss his haul vs SUN.

    -Likely points hit(s) required to fix side after BB DGW

    -Almost impossible to get 15 players players twice in a DGW. Near the end of the season, rotation, injuries and even suspensions start catching up to players. I will play my second WC in the actual week of the big DGW and will get 11 “nailed on” DGW’ers.

    1. The Gambler.
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      fair play. I left 18 pts benched, which hurts.

    2. ⚽️ Barry Chocolate ⚽…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      It's all luck. No need to go overboard on the analysis

    3. Gr3g
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Have you counted the number of posts to copy/paste this on top of new page? 😉

    4. devils advocate
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Jesus not again, lol.

      We get it dude. Just enjoy your good result because I'm starting to hope you never get a good score again.

      Not to be mean or anything, but most of us got it and congratulated you after the first, second and third time you told us. 😉

  2. FootballFanatic365
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    what to do with these peice of sh**s ..?

    1. Long

    2.Townsend

    3. Fuchs

    4. Gray

    1. boredjames
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      I am annoyed at myself for getting Gray, but Townsend is home to Bournemouth next. I am excited by that

      1. bakayoko
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Townsend's got Tottenham (A)

    2. dandan299
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Its been one week don't go making wholesale changes! Gray had a couple of decent chance in his game. Townsend showed he has potential as a goal threat. Long may be worth planning to remove but at least he is starting and with Tadic and Redmond there should be plenty of chance creation. Fuchs looked very ordinary along with the entire leicester team, he would be my first transfer

    3. ⚽️ Barry Chocolate ⚽…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Fuchs

  3. Zos93
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    53 points with Valencia, Hazard, Iwobi and Costa to go. Not too shabby.

  4. Karan14
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Thinking of sticking with Vardy for at least 2 more GWs.

    But My problem is Morgan. Do I bench him for Friend/Amat or replace him for 5m or less defender?

    any good options? thanks for your help !

    1. ⚽️ Barry Chocolate ⚽…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Watch the ownership. Ditch if those figures plummet, I reckon he could go 4.8

    2. Glynn01
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      I've got that Morgan dilemma too!

  5. Syd.
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    That girl who beat Jessica Ennis Hill to the gold medal had 5 personal bests in the 7 events, some of them she really smashed her previous best. When I see things like that he Athletics the cynic in me says that looks suspect

    1. Rasping Drive
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      If she has a beard, I am with you 100%

    2. ⚽️ Barry Chocolate ⚽…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Is she Ruski, or from the former Eastern Bloc ?

      1. pitstop1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        She's 21 and her season's peaking as planned for her first Olympics. Entirely expected that she'd grab a haul of pbs. One of the less suspicious performances IMO.

      2. One-eyed Crook
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Belgian

  6. pundit of punts
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    62 points.

    OR - 1300. 😯

    Only Hazard left though.

    1. Rasping Drive
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Great score, good for you

    2. devils advocate
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Noice one brother!

  7. TheSaint
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Captain ibra or kun next week?

  8. Rasping Drive
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    23 Pts on the bench has to be a good sign, right?

    1. FootballFanatic365
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      25 here mate

      1. Rasping Drive
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        At least we have strong squads. That's what I keep telling myself

    2. dhamphiir
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      27 points
      Foster, Capoue, Pieters and Amat

  9. boredjames
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Seriously struggling to resist the temptation to ditch Gray for Negredo

    1. ⚽️ Barry Chocolate ⚽…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Agreed.

  10. Syd.
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    NEW POST !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  11. Francescoli
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    OR 605k.

    Hmmmm hopefully it's all green arrows from here!

    1. Pasqualinho
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      If you stay in the Top 1M GW rank for the majority of the season you'll get a very good OR - so I wouldn't worry about it.

  12. boombaba
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Is there a price change website ?

  13. ChelseaMaestro
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Mhmm should I sell eriksen because hes not playin at CAM cause of Alli so im not sure if he will do as good as he did last season
    Thoughts?

  14. ComeonChelsea
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Round 1 needs some lucky guesses. Look at the scouts team even, really struggling. At different times I had Barkley, Redmond, Negredo, Snodgrass and Capoue in drafts and the only one I kept was Redmond. Doh. The only guy in the world that had them all is probably the bloke on 84.

  15. Alexis Nonsense
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    My bench = Capoue, Foster, Evans.... 25 points lost

    Instead I got 6 points from Pieters, Tadic and Bojan

    Of course I had Lamela and Redmond in my team but switched the night before gw1 after reading to many opinions here...

    I always beat the scout picks...but I never trust myself 😛

  16. The Fat Cat
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Where or what's happened to the article showing player bonus points received etc???

    1. Carlton P
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      I'm also looking for this, was a good read. Looking how far Tadic was from getting baps

  17. Alexis Nonsense
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    When do prices start rise/fall?

    1. Carlton P
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      After Costa scores and everyone does Vardy > Costa

  18. Glynn01
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Already thinking about who my first transfer is gonna be and regretting making some of the last minute draft changes to Redmond, Snodgrass, McCauley and Negredo :/

    Foster (Heaton)
    Pieters, Shaw, Morgan (Funes Mori, Friend)
    Hazard, Firmino, Tadic, Townsend (Fletcher)
    Vardy, Aguero, Gray

    Thinking of losing Morgan.......... thoughts welcome!

    1. bojack
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Give it a week.

      If you take out Morgan he'll probably score a header v Arsenal!

      1. Glynn01
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Haha that wouldn't surprise me!

  19. Ruffio
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    51 points so far. Hazard still to play...
    30 more points on the bench, yikes!