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Projections & Rate My Team Are Live

Wednesday’s release of the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) game means we’re now ready to officially launch our Projections and Rate My Team tool. Both have been updated and are available in our Members Area.

Members can get access to these areas via the menu bar and start putting both to use in their pre-season selections.

Once the season starts, members will be able to enter their FPL IDs to add their current squads. Until that point, squads can be built using the Build My Team feature. Once a team is built, it can be saved and shared by bookmarking the URL.

We will be tweaking this numbers on a daily basis as new players enter the game and as the summer friendlies reveal more on likely starting line-ups and tactics.

Once again this term, the projections are based on the Rate My Team statistical model, developed by Chris Atkinson.

Below you’ll find an FAQ on our Projections and Rate My Team, plus links to movies with Chris that talk you through the functionality of the tool and even the methods that go into building and maintaining it week on week.

Access to these tools requires membership and these are available for the pre-season price of £12.50 (RRP £15.00). Registered users can upgrade their accounts via this link, while new users can register as members here.

View this page for full details on all our benefits for members.

How do I use the Projections?
Crucially, these tables can be used as another opinion-former when comparing players. Every player is rated for goals, assists, clean sheets etc based on values created by the “Rate My Team” statistical model – the values returned for each player are the expected values in accordance with its calculations.

A good way of thinking about them is to consider them average values for each player. If the season was played out 500 times, the values you’ll find in these projection tables are the average that the model would expect the player to score in each Gameweek.

One of the most useful aspects of the Projections is the value column. You can sort by this to find the best value (Points Per FPL Million) delivered by players in each position.

With tables for the season and the opening six Gameweeks, you can get a view on long-term and short-term returns and value.

What are these values based on?
The Rate My Team statistical model is a complex beast – it uses historical data stretching back a number of seasons and, of course, specific player and team data.

When generating the player values, the model looks at the specific fixture in each Gameweek, assessing the strength of both teams before calculating the likely team goals scored and how these goals will translate to specific player stats. The probability of a player taking part in the match is also a key ingredient – factors such as rotation, injuries and suspensions are taken into account and fed into the algorithm.

When will these Projections be updated?
We will update the projections almost each day during pre-season. As we get more data on likely first choice line-ups and as the transfer market moves to cast doubt over starters, we will adapt and tweak the model accordingly. A new player can have a major impact on the projections and Rate My Team, influencing the projected output of his new team-mates.

The projections will also be updated throughout the season – again, almost on a daily basis, providing a week by week view of what the model expects each player to score for the remaining Gameweeks to help guide your selections and transfers. Major updates are made on both Tuesday and Friday in order to build the latest team news into the numbers.

What is Rate My Team?
Rate My team is a statistical model built specifically to assess every player in the Premier League and return their expected values for Fantasy Premier League (FPL) points in a given Gameweek. The system is a complex and thorough one which, of course, plots the probabilities of a player’s time on the pitch, their expected number of goals, assists, bonus points, yellow and red cards, clean sheets, own goals, goals conceded and saves.

The strength of the opponent they are facing in a given Gameweek is also crucial; so every team has an attacking and defensive rating, every player a probability of playing a given match, with injuries, suspensions and international absence factored in.

How Can It Help Me?
If you’re a member, you can use the Rate My Team tool in a number of ways. Firstly, you can use it to predict what specific players will score, on average, over the next X number of Gameweeks. You have a players’ table that can be filtered by position or FPL cost and which can be extended to show any number of Gameweeks. You can also sort on “Value” to find those players projected to offer the best points per million return.

However, this is just one part of the functionality. Once the season starts, Rate My Team can also analyse your existing FPL line-up, recommend captains, vice captains, your bench and order of substitutes and allow you to model your future transfers.

How Accurate is Rate My Team?
We’re not going to try and claim that Rate My Team is X% accurate – we’ve never attempted to track a figure, focusing our efforts on keeping the tool up to date to serve those who use it.

Instead what we will say that both Tom Fenley and Simon March were members of Fantasy Football Scout and also used Rate My Team – Tom and Simon were, as many will know, FPL champions in 2014/15 and 2013/14.

We’ve previously created a number of movies, together with the creator of Rate My Team Chris Atkinson, which explain the tools in full detail. You can view these below.

Projections & Rate My Team Preview

Rate My Team – Under the Hood

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.”

2,086 Comments Post a Comment
  1. 17legend85
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    2 months, 7 days ago

    Is Kane a must?

    1. Milan signed Bonucci
        2 months, 7 days ago

        Not at all. There is plenty of viable options up front. Aguero/Jesus/Laca/luka
        Even cheaper strikers like Benteke/Defoe/Deeney are in a good spot this year.

        Nevertheless, we all know what Hurrykane can do

      • PedroBear
          2 months, 5 days ago

          no sir he is not. Ive opted for Alli over Kane and Kaku as my main man upfront.

        • John Holywell
            2 months, 5 days ago

            I personally have gone with Ali and got the Cheapest Firminho, Benteke and Gabbiadini. Thoughts?

          • Rocco23LFC
              1 month, 28 days ago

              What do you think of my team gone heavy on a liverpool midfield think we will be quick out the blocks wether the players last allseason time will tell my bench is just who i could afford really and see who looked good in the 1st 2 games before i try an balance it out any way let me know what you all think
              GONE 343 FORMATION

              GK: FABIANSKI
              CB: VALENCIA
              CB: TRIPPIER
              CB: MEE
              MID: MANÉ
              MID: SALAH
              MID: ALLI
              MID: COUTINHO
              STKR: LUKAKU
              STKR: ROONEY
              STKR: GAYLE
              BENCH
              SUB: LOFTUS CHEEK
              SUB: RANGEL
              SUB: HANLEY
              SUB GK: MAENPAA???????

          • Suave EU
              2 months, 7 days ago

              Hi all,

              Could do with some help please? I keep tinkering my team and it changes dramatically each time, so the tinkering fails. If someone could please help me by tinkering this one slightly?

              De Gea
              Clyne | D Luiz | Holgate
              Pogba | KdB | Tadic | Chadli | McArthur
              Lukaku | Aguero

              Hennessy | Gayle | Cresswell | Dunk

              1. Doosra - ☭Bolivia Giroud…
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                2 months, 7 days ago

                Hennessy is a silly choice. Holgate may be seen off. Clyne is injured. KDB is poor value. Tadic will not score goals. Chadli is a poorer pick than Phillips. Cresswell has crap fixtures.

                Other than that, it's fine. 2/10

                1. Suave EU
                    2 months, 7 days ago

                    This will probably change before the first fixture.

                    KdB poor value? I was stuck with Phillips & Chadli and I like to be a bit different at times, take a risk and all that.
                    I was gonna watch Clyne's situation but given he's 5.5 he's an easy swap out if he's not back in time. Probably right about Cresswell.
                    Tadic, was willing to take a punt given their first five games.

                    1. I Member
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      2 months, 7 days ago

                      KDB could be the highest scoring mid in the game. Nailed in my team.

              2. Andymac85
                  2 months, 7 days ago

                  Do love a template team. Gone for something slightly different here. I hope Newcastle have a good run after the tough 1st game. 3,4,3 formation rotating RLC with Ritchie For the 4th mid spot.

                  Forster (Elliott)
                  Alonso,Trippier,Cedric(Lascelles, Hunemeier)
                  Coutinho,Tadic,Pogba, RLC or Ritchie
                  Lazacette,Kane,Rooney

                  What's the thoughts.

                  1. Doosra - ☭Bolivia Giroud…
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    2 months, 7 days ago

                    It is a nice team, but it is not different. And you only have 2 ½ captains.

                    1. Andymac85
                        2 months, 7 days ago

                        Haha who's the half? I see Alonso isn't that popular.

                        1. Doosra - ☭Bolivia Giroud…
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          2 months, 7 days ago

                          Lacazette.

                  2. money face bandwagon
                      2 months, 7 days ago

                      rmt please

                      foster begovic

                      cedric trippier lindelof (francis dunk)

                      coutinho alli sane (carroll RLC)

                      lukaku lacazette benteke

                      the last playing spot will be chosen from the 4 sub players every week

                      1. PedroBear
                          2 months, 5 days ago

                          looks like my first draft... almost maybe downgrade benteke and upgrade carroll for me anyway

                      2. oak_ac
                          2 months, 7 days ago

                          RMT PLEASE:

                          Foster Boruc
                          Lindelöf Trippier Cédric Lowton Hudson
                          Coutinho Redmond Alli Ritchie McArthur
                          Kane Lukaku Gayle

                          0.5 in the bank

                          1. Suave EU
                              2 months, 7 days ago

                              Not sure who your last two defenders are. I don't like Redmond as an option I feel he's too inconsistent for me.

                              Stand out thing for me is no City?

                            • PedroBear
                                2 months, 5 days ago

                                Alli and Kane! really think its more of which this year.

                            • discobiscuits
                              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                              2 months, 6 days ago

                              First time asking. RMT please:

                              De Gea
                              Lindelof / Milner / Bertrand
                              Pedro / Fabregas / Willian / Zaha
                              Lacazette/ Defoe / Lukaku

                            • Shoemaker
                                2 months, 6 days ago

                                Hi
                                New to this.
                                Could someone RMT please, thanks.

                                Begovic (Elliot)

                                Trippier, Daniels, Cédric (Hünemeier, Rangel)

                                Zaha, Coutinho, Alli, Willian, KDB

                                Jesus, Lacazette (Fletcher)

                                1. Shoemaker
                                    2 months, 6 days ago

                                    Is viable? Or would I need to utilise subs?

                                    Thanks again

                                  • Lebowski85
                                      2 months, 6 days ago

                                      General rule is that if you have gash subs, your 11 needs to be nailed on to start, no questions asked.

                                      1. Lebowski85
                                          2 months, 6 days ago

                                          I'd say Trippier and Jesus are you likely rotation risks but at present I see nothing to suggest they won't play, unless they sign people of course

                                      2. PedroBear
                                          2 months, 5 days ago

                                          great team there tho personaly id swap KDB for sane and use that to upgrade upfront

                                      3. Hullcitytiger96
                                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                        2 months, 6 days ago

                                        Mignolet - 4m
                                        David Luiz - Vertonghen - Cedric - Mee- Francis
                                        De Bruyne - Mane - Alli - Ince - Loftus Cheek
                                        Lacazette - Rooney - Llorente

                                        Worried my attack is really awful so should downgrade a mid but not sure who I'd want up top instead

                                        1. PedroBear
                                            2 months, 5 days ago

                                            KDB mane to sane and cout .... ? would be able to upgrade ince and llorente

                                        2. PedroBear
                                            2 months, 5 days ago

                                            RMT please, thanks. ( 1st draft )

                                            Pickford (Foster)

                                            Trippier, Francis, Cédric (Hünemeier, Mee)

                                            Sane, Alli, Pogba , Klaassen (lof-cheek)

                                            Kaku, Lacazette, Gayle

                                            Players im looking to maybe shift from this draft are Pogba and if giroud stays Lacazette. Im going for Gayle as my budget option upfront because of his Goals/Min stats.

                                          • Don Broly
                                              2 months, 5 days ago

                                              RMT

                                              Courtios
                                              Ake Cahill Bailly Cedric
                                              Ali Coutinho Ramsey
                                              Lukaku Lacazette Austin

                                              Bench
                                              Begovic, Loftus-Cheek, Carrol (Swansea), Lascellas

                                            • josiahdclark
                                                2 months, 5 days ago

                                                Rate my team, please:

                                                GK- Heaton, Pickford

                                                Def- Lindelöf, Daniels, Milner, Trippier, Dawson

                                                Mid- Alli, Sigurdsson, Bernardo Silva, Loftus-Cheek, Mkhitarayan

                                                Att- Jesus, Rooney, Berahino

                                                (Value £100m)

                                                What about dropping Rooney and Sigurdsson for Defoe and Klaassen? (£95.5m)

                                              • John Holywell
                                                  2 months, 5 days ago

                                                  I have changed my team constantly due to many players being injured or out of form but right now my team is:

                                                  De Gea, Lorris

                                                  Bertrand, Clyne (or Mustafi but he is in bad form), Smalling. David Luiz, Alderwiereld.

                                                  Alli. Weijnaldum, Redmond, Zaha,Willian (or Fabregas)

                                                  Benteke, Firminho, Italian Southampton player (forgot his name)

                                                  All budget used. I know it's bad, help!

                                                  1. John Holywell
                                                      2 months, 5 days ago

                                                      Sorry guys It's Gabiadinhi, I chose him because he was in good form towards the end of last season and nearly won them the League cup

                                                  2. Simon79
                                                      2 months, 5 days ago

                                                      Okay first time posting on here! So please any thoughts on below? I have used advice on FFS regarding attacking wing backs

                                                      Forster
                                                      Monreal, trippier,alonso, dunk
                                                      Alli, Fulton, Kante, snodgrass
                                                      Lukaku, lacacazetti

                                                      1. John Holywell
                                                          2 months, 5 days ago

                                                          Don't use Kante and the other low scoring players they are unlikely to score. Use wingers they wre cheap such as Redmond and Zaha to use as cheep players and utilise your whole team as well as bench in case of injury or poor form.

                                                          1. Simon79
                                                              2 months, 5 days ago

                                                              Cheers John! Changes in progress

                                                              1. John Holywell
                                                                  2 months, 4 days ago

                                                                  Love your defence and attack but the midfield needs work! Who is Fulton?

                                                          2. Mr_Forest3
                                                            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                                            2 months, 5 days ago

                                                            How come the RMT tool recommends benching a goalkeeper that is expected to score more points than the other?

                                                          3. jessterlh
                                                            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                                            2 months, 4 days ago

                                                            Can anyone explain the details of how the RMT chooses starters vs bench. Some times if players are close it selects the lower score to start. Is that based on differential against overall ownership or spreading your starting team out across different teams (ie not all your eggs in one basket). Compare the results I get for Foster/Elliot across the first five weeks;
                                                            GW1 GW2 GW3 GW4 GW5
                                                            Foster 4.5m 3.61 3.56 b 3.83 3.56 3.61 b
                                                            Elliot 4m 2.86 b 3.24 3.13 b 2.91 b 3.34

                                                            Why would it start Elliot in GWs 2 and 5?
                                                            Thanks

                                                            1. jessterlh
                                                              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                                              2 months, 4 days ago

                                                              Just realized I had the same question as MR_FOREST3 above me. Any help out there?

                                                          4. Dan24
                                                              2 months, 4 days ago

                                                              Please can someone give me some feedback, first draft cobbled together.
                                                              Forster (Boruc)
                                                              Bellerin, Cahill, Aké (Cédric, Mee)
                                                              Willian, Bernardo Silva, Ramsey, RLC, Alli
                                                              Lacazette, Kayne (Murphy)

                                                            • goonplatoon
                                                                2 months, 4 days ago

                                                                A) Alli, Sane, Lukaku

                                                                B) Willian, KDB, Kane

                                                              • VelvetThunder
                                                                  2 months, 3 days ago

                                                                  Not certain this will be final yet but mine at the moment is
                                                                  Foster
                                                                  Trippier Lindelof Bertrand Yedlin
                                                                  Alli DeBruyne Coutinho Herrera
                                                                  Kane Jesus

                                                                  Subs: Myhill, Mee, McArthur, Quaner.

                                                                  Mee and McArthur especially allow for genuine subbing in should they have a more promising week 🙂

                                                                • jesus jesus
                                                                    2 months, 3 days ago

                                                                    stuck between strikers along side kaku - (a) kane and gayle or (b) jesus and firmino (19m) ??
                                                                    any 4m defenders out there that defo start ??

                                                                  • Fraz2208
                                                                      2 months, 3 days ago

                                                                      Hey guys need some help with this squad any thoughts appreciated
                                                                      Foster(Elliot)
                                                                      Lindelof trippier cedric ( lacelles hun)
                                                                      RLC sane pogba Sanchez ( carol)
                                                                      Aguero lacazette rashford

                                                                      1. VelvetThunder
                                                                          2 months, 3 days ago

                                                                          Not bad at all. My main worry would be Rashford. Considering United now have Lukaku, I'm not sure if Rashford is a nailed on starter, and even if he is, it would most likely be a wider role so goals would probably be at a premium. I'd suggest Josh King or Llorente represent would represent better options and they are also 7.5 mil. 🙂

                                                                      2. StreetLegal
                                                                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                                                        1 month, 28 days ago

                                                                        If anyone gets a spare minute, can I have some thoughts on this team please?

                                                                        Foster/Fabianski rotation

                                                                        Trippier/Lindelof/Bertrand/Dawson/Hunemeier
                                                                        Alli/Willian/Coutinho/Zaha/RLC
                                                                        Lukaku/Lacazete/Gayle

                                                                        Cheers all!

                                                                      3. Jeffrey Saxena
                                                                          1 month, 28 days ago

                                                                          Guys, need help with my team

                                                                          Gk
                                                                          Foster, Elliot

                                                                          Defenders
                                                                          Lindelof, Cedric, Smith, Simpson, Rangel

                                                                          Mid
                                                                          Pogba, willian, zaha, Alli, Dale Stephens

                                                                          Forward
                                                                          Firminho, lukaku, aguero

                                                                        • byebyeluis
                                                                            1 month, 25 days ago

                                                                            First time poster.

                                                                            Team below... would welcome any input

                                                                            GK - Foster / Myhill
                                                                            DF - Trippier / Cedric / Rangel / Dunk / Mee
                                                                            MF - Ali / Sane / Coutinho / Willian / Ward-Prowse
                                                                            FW - Rodriquez / Jesus / Lukaku

                                                                          • GgeorgeG
                                                                              1 month, 25 days ago

                                                                              RMT please: 4-4-2 formation

                                                                              GK: Foster

                                                                              DF: Trippier
                                                                              DF: D Luiz
                                                                              DF: Lindelof
                                                                              DF: Francis (Bournemouth)

                                                                              MID: Alli
                                                                              MID: De Bruyne
                                                                              MID: Zaha
                                                                              MID: Redmond

                                                                              FW: Kane
                                                                              FW: Lukaku

                                                                            • KAR
                                                                                1 month, 20 days ago

                                                                                RMT (3-4-3)

                                                                                Foster (Elliot)
                                                                                Trippier, Cedric, Kolasinac (Mee, Rangel)
                                                                                KDB (or Alli), Coutinho, Ramsey, Willian (RLC)
                                                                                Lacazette, Aguero (or Lukaku), Chicharito

                                                                                KDB or Alli?
                                                                                Lukaku or Aguero?

                                                                              • Royalmarky
                                                                                  1 month, 14 days ago

                                                                                  *****RMT*****

                                                                                  Foster

                                                                                  Mawson - Aké - Van Aanholt

                                                                                  Willian - De Bruyne - Zaha - Ince

                                                                                  Defoe - Lukaku - Kane

                                                                                  (Elliot), (Matic), (Daniels, Hünemeier)

                                                                                  Thoughts? *******Thanks*******

                                                                                  1. Birds of Prey
                                                                                      1 month, 14 days ago

                                                                                      Your doubled on Bourne? Daniels> Mee Mawson> Bertrand
                                                                                      Prefer Mili from CP than Matic cuz of pens and directs.Though that makes you way heavy on CP. Good luck.

                                                                                  2. TitaniumSkull
                                                                                      1 month, 11 days ago

                                                                                      Foster / hart
                                                                                      Cedric , Reid, Dawson , Rangel, hunemei
                                                                                      Mane , Ali , debrune, ward-prawse,mikitarian or pogba (pls let me know which manu player is good)
                                                                                      Gabbadini , Kane, Rodrigues

                                                                                      What you guys think of my team. Thanks . Any changes? 🙂

                                                                                    • TitaniumSkull
                                                                                        1 month, 11 days ago

                                                                                        Foster / hart
                                                                                        Cedric , Reid, Dawson , Rangel, hunemei
                                                                                        Mane , Ali , debrune, ward-prawse,mikitarian or pogba (pls let me know which manu player is good)
                                                                                        Gabbadini , Kane, Rodrigues

                                                                                        What you guys think of my team. Thanks . Any changes?

                                                                                      • Viper F
                                                                                          1 month, 11 days ago

                                                                                          Hi Please RMT:

                                                                                          GK: Foster- sub (Hart)
                                                                                          DEF: Bertrand, Daniels, Dawson, Bellerin - sub (Mee)
                                                                                          MID: Pogba, Alli, Zaha - subs (Carroll, Milivojevic)
                                                                                          FOR: Lukaku, Kane, Gabbiadini

                                                                                          Thanks

                                                                                          1. TitaniumSkull
                                                                                              1 month, 10 days ago

                                                                                              Looks good. Maybe strengthen midfielder a bit. Westbrook /ham and Southampton have easy fixtures .
                                                                                              What you think of my team.

                                                                                          2. subhojit123
                                                                                              28 days, 12 hours ago

                                                                                              Forster
                                                                                              Betrand, Davies, Dawson, Cameron
                                                                                              KBD, Salah, Eriksen
                                                                                              Lukaku, Chicharito, Gabbiadini

                                                                                              vs

                                                                                              Forster
                                                                                              Betrand, Davies, Hegazi, Cameron
                                                                                              Mane, Eriksen, Loftus-Cheek
                                                                                              Kane, Lukaku, Jesus

                                                                                              which one should i go for? Dont want to include Mikhi or Pogba as ManU fixtures are toughing up.