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Projections & Rate My Team Are Live

Wednesday’s release of the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) game means we’re now ready to officially launch our Projections and Rate My Team tool. Both have been updated and are available in our Members Area.

Members can get access to these areas via the menu bar and start putting both to use in their pre-season selections.

Once the season starts, members will be able to enter their FPL IDs to add their current squads. Until that point, squads can be built using the Build My Team feature. Once a team is built, it can be saved and shared by bookmarking the URL.

We will be tweaking this numbers on a daily basis as new players enter the game and as the summer friendlies reveal more on likely starting line-ups and tactics.

Once again this term, the projections are based on the Rate My Team statistical model, developed by Chris Atkinson.

Below you’ll find an FAQ on our Projections and Rate My Team, plus links to movies with Chris that talk you through the functionality of the tool and even the methods that go into building and maintaining it week on week.

Access to these tools requires membership and these are available for the pre-season price of £12.50 (RRP £15.00). Registered users can upgrade their accounts via this link, while new users can register as members here.

View this page for full details on all our benefits for members.

How do I use the Projections?
Crucially, these tables can be used as another opinion-former when comparing players. Every player is rated for goals, assists, clean sheets etc based on values created by the “Rate My Team” statistical model – the values returned for each player are the expected values in accordance with its calculations.

A good way of thinking about them is to consider them average values for each player. If the season was played out 500 times, the values you’ll find in these projection tables are the average that the model would expect the player to score in each Gameweek.

One of the most useful aspects of the Projections is the value column. You can sort by this to find the best value (Points Per FPL Million) delivered by players in each position.

With tables for the season and the opening six Gameweeks, you can get a view on long-term and short-term returns and value.

What are these values based on?
The Rate My Team statistical model is a complex beast – it uses historical data stretching back a number of seasons and, of course, specific player and team data.

When generating the player values, the model looks at the specific fixture in each Gameweek, assessing the strength of both teams before calculating the likely team goals scored and how these goals will translate to specific player stats. The probability of a player taking part in the match is also a key ingredient – factors such as rotation, injuries and suspensions are taken into account and fed into the algorithm.

When will these Projections be updated?
We will update the projections almost each day during pre-season. As we get more data on likely first choice line-ups and as the transfer market moves to cast doubt over starters, we will adapt and tweak the model accordingly. A new player can have a major impact on the projections and Rate My Team, influencing the projected output of his new team-mates.

The projections will also be updated throughout the season – again, almost on a daily basis, providing a week by week view of what the model expects each player to score for the remaining Gameweeks to help guide your selections and transfers. Major updates are made on both Tuesday and Friday in order to build the latest team news into the numbers.

What is Rate My Team?
Rate My team is a statistical model built specifically to assess every player in the Premier League and return their expected values for Fantasy Premier League (FPL) points in a given Gameweek. The system is a complex and thorough one which, of course, plots the probabilities of a player’s time on the pitch, their expected number of goals, assists, bonus points, yellow and red cards, clean sheets, own goals, goals conceded and saves.

The strength of the opponent they are facing in a given Gameweek is also crucial; so every team has an attacking and defensive rating, every player a probability of playing a given match, with injuries, suspensions and international absence factored in.

How Can It Help Me?
If you’re a member, you can use the Rate My Team tool in a number of ways. Firstly, you can use it to predict what specific players will score, on average, over the next X number of Gameweeks. You have a players’ table that can be filtered by position or FPL cost and which can be extended to show any number of Gameweeks. You can also sort on “Value” to find those players projected to offer the best points per million return.

However, this is just one part of the functionality. Once the season starts, Rate My Team can also analyse your existing FPL line-up, recommend captains, vice captains, your bench and order of substitutes and allow you to model your future transfers.

How Accurate is Rate My Team?
We’re not going to try and claim that Rate My Team is X% accurate – we’ve never attempted to track a figure, focusing our efforts on keeping the tool up to date to serve those who use it.

Instead what we will say that both Tom Fenley and Simon March were members of Fantasy Football Scout and also used Rate My Team – Tom and Simon were, as many will know, FPL champions in 2014/15 and 2013/14.

We’ve previously created a number of movies, together with the creator of Rate My Team Chris Atkinson, which explain the tools in full detail. You can view these below.

Projections & Rate My Team Preview

Rate My Team – Under the Hood

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.”

2,087 Comments Post a Comment
  1. 17legend85
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 months, 10 days ago

    Is Kane a must?

    1. Milan signed Bonucci
      4 months, 10 days ago

      Not at all. There is plenty of viable options up front. Aguero/Jesus/Laca/luka
      Even cheaper strikers like Benteke/Defoe/Deeney are in a good spot this year.

      Nevertheless, we all know what Hurrykane can do

    2. The Laowai
      4 months, 8 days ago

      no sir he is not. Ive opted for Alli over Kane and Kaku as my main man upfront.

    3. John Holywell
      4 months, 8 days ago

      I personally have gone with Ali and got the Cheapest Firminho, Benteke and Gabbiadini. Thoughts?

    4. Rocco23LFC
      4 months, 23 hours ago

      What do you think of my team gone heavy on a liverpool midfield think we will be quick out the blocks wether the players last allseason time will tell my bench is just who i could afford really and see who looked good in the 1st 2 games before i try an balance it out any way let me know what you all think
      GONE 343 FORMATION

      GK: FABIANSKI
      CB: VALENCIA
      CB: TRIPPIER
      CB: MEE
      MID: MANÉ
      MID: SALAH
      MID: ALLI
      MID: COUTINHO
      STKR: LUKAKU
      STKR: ROONEY
      STKR: GAYLE
      BENCH
      SUB: LOFTUS CHEEK
      SUB: RANGEL
      SUB: HANLEY
      SUB GK: MAENPAA???????

    5. superhoofy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      1 month, 23 days ago

      No player is a must - at 12.5 he is last seasons player and poor value. He has potential for high returns as a captain but no more than lukaku, morato or the city strikers who are all cheaper - not in my team

  2. Suave EU
    4 months, 10 days ago

    Hi all,

    Could do with some help please? I keep tinkering my team and it changes dramatically each time, so the tinkering fails. If someone could please help me by tinkering this one slightly?

    De Gea
    Clyne | D Luiz | Holgate
    Pogba | KdB | Tadic | Chadli | McArthur
    Lukaku | Aguero

    Hennessy | Gayle | Cresswell | Dunk

    1. Doosra - ☭Bolivia Giroud…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 months, 10 days ago

      Hennessy is a silly choice. Holgate may be seen off. Clyne is injured. KDB is poor value. Tadic will not score goals. Chadli is a poorer pick than Phillips. Cresswell has crap fixtures.

      Other than that, it's fine. 2/10

      1. Suave EU
        4 months, 10 days ago

        This will probably change before the first fixture.

        KdB poor value? I was stuck with Phillips & Chadli and I like to be a bit different at times, take a risk and all that.
        I was gonna watch Clyne's situation but given he's 5.5 he's an easy swap out if he's not back in time. Probably right about Cresswell.
        Tadic, was willing to take a punt given their first five games.

        1. I Member
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          4 months, 10 days ago

          KDB could be the highest scoring mid in the game. Nailed in my team.

  3. Andymac85
    4 months, 10 days ago

    Do love a template team. Gone for something slightly different here. I hope Newcastle have a good run after the tough 1st game. 3,4,3 formation rotating RLC with Ritchie For the 4th mid spot.

    Forster (Elliott)
    Alonso,Trippier,Cedric(Lascelles, Hunemeier)
    Coutinho,Tadic,Pogba, RLC or Ritchie
    Lazacette,Kane,Rooney

    What's the thoughts.

    1. Doosra - ☭Bolivia Giroud…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 months, 10 days ago

      It is a nice team, but it is not different. And you only have 2 ½ captains.

      1. Andymac85
        4 months, 10 days ago

        Haha who's the half? I see Alonso isn't that popular.

        1. Doosra - ☭Bolivia Giroud…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          4 months, 10 days ago

          Lacazette.

  4. money face bandwagon
    4 months, 10 days ago

    rmt please

    foster begovic

    cedric trippier lindelof (francis dunk)

    coutinho alli sane (carroll RLC)

    lukaku lacazette benteke

    the last playing spot will be chosen from the 4 sub players every week

    1. The Laowai
      4 months, 8 days ago

      looks like my first draft... almost maybe downgrade benteke and upgrade carroll for me anyway

  5. oak_ac
    4 months, 10 days ago

    RMT PLEASE:

    Foster Boruc
    Lindelöf Trippier Cédric Lowton Hudson
    Coutinho Redmond Alli Ritchie McArthur
    Kane Lukaku Gayle

    0.5 in the bank

    1. Suave EU
      4 months, 9 days ago

      Not sure who your last two defenders are. I don't like Redmond as an option I feel he's too inconsistent for me.

      Stand out thing for me is no City?

    2. The Laowai
      4 months, 8 days ago

      Alli and Kane! really think its more of which this year.

  6. discobiscuits
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 months, 9 days ago

    First time asking. RMT please:

    De Gea
    Lindelof / Milner / Bertrand
    Pedro / Fabregas / Willian / Zaha
    Lacazette/ Defoe / Lukaku

  7. Shoemaker
    4 months, 9 days ago

    Hi
    New to this.
    Could someone RMT please, thanks.

    Begovic (Elliot)

    Trippier, Daniels, Cédric (Hünemeier, Rangel)

    Zaha, Coutinho, Alli, Willian, KDB

    Jesus, Lacazette (Fletcher)

    1. Shoemaker
      4 months, 9 days ago

      Is viable? Or would I need to utilise subs?

      Thanks again

    2. Lebowski85
      4 months, 8 days ago

      General rule is that if you have gash subs, your 11 needs to be nailed on to start, no questions asked.

      1. Lebowski85
        4 months, 8 days ago

        I'd say Trippier and Jesus are you likely rotation risks but at present I see nothing to suggest they won't play, unless they sign people of course

    3. The Laowai
      4 months, 8 days ago

      great team there tho personaly id swap KDB for sane and use that to upgrade upfront

  8. Hullcitytiger96
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 months, 9 days ago

    Mignolet - 4m
    David Luiz - Vertonghen - Cedric - Mee- Francis
    De Bruyne - Mane - Alli - Ince - Loftus Cheek
    Lacazette - Rooney - Llorente

    Worried my attack is really awful so should downgrade a mid but not sure who I'd want up top instead

    1. The Laowai
      4 months, 8 days ago

      KDB mane to sane and cout .... ? would be able to upgrade ince and llorente

  9. The Laowai
    4 months, 8 days ago

    RMT please, thanks. ( 1st draft )

    Pickford (Foster)

    Trippier, Francis, Cédric (Hünemeier, Mee)

    Sane, Alli, Pogba , Klaassen (lof-cheek)

    Kaku, Lacazette, Gayle

    Players im looking to maybe shift from this draft are Pogba and if giroud stays Lacazette. Im going for Gayle as my budget option upfront because of his Goals/Min stats.

  10. Don Broly
    4 months, 8 days ago

    RMT

    Courtios
    Ake Cahill Bailly Cedric
    Ali Coutinho Ramsey
    Lukaku Lacazette Austin

    Bench
    Begovic, Loftus-Cheek, Carrol (Swansea), Lascellas

  11. josiahdclark
    4 months, 8 days ago

    Rate my team, please:

    GK- Heaton, Pickford

    Def- Lindelöf, Daniels, Milner, Trippier, Dawson

    Mid- Alli, Sigurdsson, Bernardo Silva, Loftus-Cheek, Mkhitarayan

    Att- Jesus, Rooney, Berahino

    (Value £100m)

    What about dropping Rooney and Sigurdsson for Defoe and Klaassen? (£95.5m)

  12. John Holywell
    4 months, 8 days ago

    I have changed my team constantly due to many players being injured or out of form but right now my team is:

    De Gea, Lorris

    Bertrand, Clyne (or Mustafi but he is in bad form), Smalling. David Luiz, Alderwiereld.

    Alli. Weijnaldum, Redmond, Zaha,Willian (or Fabregas)

    Benteke, Firminho, Italian Southampton player (forgot his name)

    All budget used. I know it's bad, help!

    1. John Holywell
      4 months, 8 days ago

      Sorry guys It's Gabiadinhi, I chose him because he was in good form towards the end of last season and nearly won them the League cup

  13. Simon79
    4 months, 7 days ago

    Okay first time posting on here! So please any thoughts on below? I have used advice on FFS regarding attacking wing backs

    Forster
    Monreal, trippier,alonso, dunk
    Alli, Fulton, Kante, snodgrass
    Lukaku, lacacazetti

    1. John Holywell
      4 months, 7 days ago

      Don't use Kante and the other low scoring players they are unlikely to score. Use wingers they wre cheap such as Redmond and Zaha to use as cheep players and utilise your whole team as well as bench in case of injury or poor form.

      1. Simon79
        4 months, 7 days ago

        Cheers John! Changes in progress

        1. John Holywell
          4 months, 7 days ago

          Love your defence and attack but the midfield needs work! Who is Fulton?

  14. Mr_Forest3
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 months, 7 days ago

    How come the RMT tool recommends benching a goalkeeper that is expected to score more points than the other?

  15. jessterlh
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 months, 7 days ago

    Can anyone explain the details of how the RMT chooses starters vs bench. Some times if players are close it selects the lower score to start. Is that based on differential against overall ownership or spreading your starting team out across different teams (ie not all your eggs in one basket). Compare the results I get for Foster/Elliot across the first five weeks;
    GW1 GW2 GW3 GW4 GW5
    Foster 4.5m 3.61 3.56 b 3.83 3.56 3.61 b
    Elliot 4m 2.86 b 3.24 3.13 b 2.91 b 3.34

    Why would it start Elliot in GWs 2 and 5?
    Thanks

    1. jessterlh
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 months, 7 days ago

      Just realized I had the same question as MR_FOREST3 above me. Any help out there?

  16. Dan24
    4 months, 7 days ago

    Please can someone give me some feedback, first draft cobbled together.
    Forster (Boruc)
    Bellerin, Cahill, Aké (Cédric, Mee)
    Willian, Bernardo Silva, Ramsey, RLC, Alli
    Lacazette, Kayne (Murphy)

  17. goonplatoon
    4 months, 6 days ago

    A) Alli, Sane, Lukaku

    B) Willian, KDB, Kane

  18. VelvetThunder
    4 months, 6 days ago

    Not certain this will be final yet but mine at the moment is
    Foster
    Trippier Lindelof Bertrand Yedlin
    Alli DeBruyne Coutinho Herrera
    Kane Jesus

    Subs: Myhill, Mee, McArthur, Quaner.

    Mee and McArthur especially allow for genuine subbing in should they have a more promising week 🙂

  19. jesus jesus
    4 months, 6 days ago

    stuck between strikers along side kaku - (a) kane and gayle or (b) jesus and firmino (19m) ??
    any 4m defenders out there that defo start ??

  20. Fraz2208
    4 months, 6 days ago

    Hey guys need some help with this squad any thoughts appreciated
    Foster(Elliot)
    Lindelof trippier cedric ( lacelles hun)
    RLC sane pogba Sanchez ( carol)
    Aguero lacazette rashford

    1. VelvetThunder
      4 months, 6 days ago

      Not bad at all. My main worry would be Rashford. Considering United now have Lukaku, I'm not sure if Rashford is a nailed on starter, and even if he is, it would most likely be a wider role so goals would probably be at a premium. I'd suggest Josh King or Llorente represent would represent better options and they are also 7.5 mil. 🙂

  21. StreetLegal
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 months, 1 day ago

    If anyone gets a spare minute, can I have some thoughts on this team please?

    Foster/Fabianski rotation

    Trippier/Lindelof/Bertrand/Dawson/Hunemeier
    Alli/Willian/Coutinho/Zaha/RLC
    Lukaku/Lacazete/Gayle

    Cheers all!

  22. Jeffrey Saxena
    4 months, 1 day ago

    Guys, need help with my team

    Gk
    Foster, Elliot

    Defenders
    Lindelof, Cedric, Smith, Simpson, Rangel

    Mid
    Pogba, willian, zaha, Alli, Dale Stephens

    Forward
    Firminho, lukaku, aguero

  23. byebyeluis
    3 months, 28 days ago

    First time poster.

    Team below... would welcome any input

    GK - Foster / Myhill
    DF - Trippier / Cedric / Rangel / Dunk / Mee
    MF - Ali / Sane / Coutinho / Willian / Ward-Prowse
    FW - Rodriquez / Jesus / Lukaku

  24. GgeorgeG
    3 months, 27 days ago

    RMT please: 4-4-2 formation

    GK: Foster

    DF: Trippier
    DF: D Luiz
    DF: Lindelof
    DF: Francis (Bournemouth)

    MID: Alli
    MID: De Bruyne
    MID: Zaha
    MID: Redmond

    FW: Kane
    FW: Lukaku

  25. KAR
    3 months, 23 days ago

    RMT (3-4-3)

    Foster (Elliot)
    Trippier, Cedric, Kolasinac (Mee, Rangel)
    KDB (or Alli), Coutinho, Ramsey, Willian (RLC)
    Lacazette, Aguero (or Lukaku), Chicharito

    KDB or Alli?
    Lukaku or Aguero?

  26. Royalmarky
    3 months, 17 days ago

    *****RMT*****

    Foster

    Mawson - Aké - Van Aanholt

    Willian - De Bruyne - Zaha - Ince

    Defoe - Lukaku - Kane

    (Elliot), (Matic), (Daniels, Hünemeier)

    Thoughts? *******Thanks*******

    1. Birds of Prey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      3 months, 17 days ago

      Your doubled on Bourne? Daniels> Mee Mawson> Bertrand
      Prefer Mili from CP than Matic cuz of pens and directs.Though that makes you way heavy on CP. Good luck.

  27. TitaniumSkull
    3 months, 14 days ago

    Foster / hart
    Cedric , Reid, Dawson , Rangel, hunemei
    Mane , Ali , debrune, ward-prawse,mikitarian or pogba (pls let me know which manu player is good)
    Gabbadini , Kane, Rodrigues

    What you guys think of my team. Thanks . Any changes? 🙂

  28. TitaniumSkull
    3 months, 14 days ago

    Foster / hart
    Cedric , Reid, Dawson , Rangel, hunemei
    Mane , Ali , debrune, ward-prawse,mikitarian or pogba (pls let me know which manu player is good)
    Gabbadini , Kane, Rodrigues

    What you guys think of my team. Thanks . Any changes?

  29. Viper F
    3 months, 14 days ago

    Hi Please RMT:

    GK: Foster- sub (Hart)
    DEF: Bertrand, Daniels, Dawson, Bellerin - sub (Mee)
    MID: Pogba, Alli, Zaha - subs (Carroll, Milivojevic)
    FOR: Lukaku, Kane, Gabbiadini

    Thanks

    1. TitaniumSkull
      3 months, 13 days ago

      Looks good. Maybe strengthen midfielder a bit. Westbrook /ham and Southampton have easy fixtures .
      What you think of my team.

  30. subhojit123
    3 months, 1 day ago

    Forster
    Betrand, Davies, Dawson, Cameron
    KBD, Salah, Eriksen
    Lukaku, Chicharito, Gabbiadini

    vs

    Forster
    Betrand, Davies, Hegazi, Cameron
    Mane, Eriksen, Loftus-Cheek
    Kane, Lukaku, Jesus

    which one should i go for? Dont want to include Mikhi or Pogba as ManU fixtures are toughing up.