The Numbers Game – Burnley

Depends on prices

Sadio

Mane all day long.Even if most expensive.Coutinho is so inconsistent hate owning him.And Salah is a unknown.

Mané I envisage starting with.

Only if you promise to never ask this question again.

A small part of me wants every player who joins Liverpool from Southampton to fail 👿

Was he 6.5 before? If so I think he stays at that.

6.5

Too much possible rotation up front for Saints for me.
Austin/Long/Gabbi.I'll skip.
Prob get Redmond instead.

if that happens my third forward worries are over.

With those fixtures can't look beyond Rondon for that 3rd striker spot...

Same thing is going to happen as with Slimani and Musa.

If he gets picked to start he will be a great option. He was 6.0 this season which would be massive, if he can nail down a starting berth. But as b&w85 pointed out, the foxes have bough players for similar funds and they've not been starters. He's a wait and see for me.

Me too, but simply because I despise the Mexico team and always love seeing them fail

I was quite surprised at that rumour as well, I thought he was above that. Spurs have the youngest team in the prem and it's being built for the future...it's good stuff...and Poch is a great manager. I thought Pep would do the same.

Yes a few meters is significant. If you have 100 meter length pitch, just a couple extra meters in width adds 200 meters in area. That's a noticeable increase in amount of ground a team has to cover

I think people like the anonymity of place like this. Nobody wants to look at some of the ugly gits who frequent here usually

No idea...

I have no idea. Could do with a nice cold whisky on the rocks right now, but I have a drinking ban 🙁

How long have you been dry now?

My daughter swears by sucking her thumb. You could try that ?

I've found that watching Manchester United play usually solves that one

Now I'm hungry but def won't sleep if I eat at this time of night :(w

No idea...but I do know he's a very good defender who should take his chance to step up.

Me. I think liverpool have burnt their bridges there.

Either way he'd be good at sub 6m but he won't be

Oh aye. Is he due to go there?

Pulis seems to fancy Rondon for his aerial prowess (attacking and defence). He is ideal for WBs counter attack setup as a target man, for that reason I just dont see Jrod starting over Rondon. He might be used as a wide attacker and compete with Chadli or Phillips

you slept? or just noting the sun rose?

Because nobody knows where and when he will move to.

I've seen him mentioned tonight at least once, which looking at the amount of FPL posts made is pretty high 😉

I did...above 😉

People are. You haven't seen the posts perhaps, but people are.

Yeah he has been linked to teams in the prem for years now it feel like...if he is under 5.5 I would be interested.

Here comes the Will Hughes on fire chants 😀

Is a favorite in FIFA. Let's see how he does in PL.

😯

Gameweeks between which Chelsea defenders got the most points:
Gw 7-22.
Cahill -105 points
Alonso - 109 points
Azpilicueta - 86 points.

Ah but how many STARTED with more than one of them??

Cahill's ownership started increasing at a high rate from gw 10. By that time, the ship had sailed some distance.
It kept on increasing from then and he was owned by 680k people by gw 38.

Had Alonso, McAuley and Coleman for a lot of their most prolific runs, they really were fantastic. I dont think they will be as prolific this season when output vs price is factored in so wont be in my gw1 team.

Only Valencia is penciled in atm.

Another Fantasy darling, Kyle Walker was more of a home bird.
Scores at home: 90
Away scores: 52.

The most underrated defender among the above lot Charlie Daniels started off at the same price as that of Fpl rising star John Stones.
His performances were very inconsistent and his points spread throughout the season.
He would have been a good fire and forget option for people looking at two 5m defenders rather than a 5.5 and 4.5.

Going 3-5-2/4-4-2 is my plan this season. I just dont see any potential big scorers in the 3rd striker spots.

Heaton 5/Foster 4.5 = 9.5

Kompany 6 Valencia 6 Cedric 5
(H)T Smith 4.5 (B)Rosenior 4 = 25.5

Alexis 12 Sigurdsson 7.5 King 7
Tadic 6.5 (N)Ritchie 5.5 = 38.5

Kane 12 Jesus 10 (H)Quaner 4.5 = 26.5

0 ITB

(Benteke/Firmino to replace Jesus if he is rotated or not as involved in goals as I would like and upgrade a mid)

I think I disagree.

On the first page of that tab there were:
11 Keepers
7 Defenders
12 Midfielders

.
Of the 11 keepers:
4.0m = 2
4.5m = 3
5.0m = 2
5.5m = 4

Top 3: 4.5m, 5.0m, 4.5m

Keepers are generally the best value players in the game. There were a lot of them here of all valuations. This tells me to go as cheap as possible. All you need is to find a decent 4.5m and you're set! with a great value player in the 1 active slot.

.
Of the 7 defenders:
4.5 = 1
5.0 = 2
5.5 = 1
6.0 = 3

Top 3: 6.0m, 6.0m, 4.5m

No prizes for guessing who the three 6.0m defenders were. But you're right, there was only one 4.5m here, which does suggest go larger. But there were 5 midfielders all more expensive than the 3 Chelsea defenders in the top 30, (8.5, 7.5, 8.5). So taking too much from the attacking areas for the defence can hurt overall.

Also there is hidden value in rotation. You can rotate defenders and simulate higher value players across the 3 active slots. This is why I personally prefer to go cheaper there. You can't really rotate mids in the same way as attacking returns are harder to predict.

subs not good enough?

slow article day ....

Good morning, not too bad. Weather is wet here in England but thankfully several degrees cooler

ooops

Quite well planned. All I need to plan is to how to avoid making kneejerk moves.

Kane, Alli, Mané, Jesus so far

I'm worried about City. Pep's got a lot of players to fit in - B. Silva, D. Silva, KdB, Sane, Sterling, Jesus, Kun going forward and he'll also need some sort of defensive counterbalance like Gundog/Fernandinho involved. Can see something like a 2-6-2 being implemented with 2 false centre backs... Pep meta team

Kane I think needs to go in. Sanchez too. Not too sure on Eriksen if I have Kane as well, and we need to look at Chelsea's opening fixtures, so it might be the case that Willian or Pedro sneaks in (Haz out) as a 3rd mid and I get Mane/Coutinho instead as the other premium.

Also looking at going 13.0 / 7.5 (Tekkers probs) / 4.5 up top to help facilitate a killer midfield.

Too big a risk. Che at home and Eve away the only only concerns in the first couple of months

Past form is not a big deal because he didn't have a proper preseason with Spurs because of some international tournaments.

All our picks have some risk but going without Kane is a bridge too far. I think you've mentioned going with Aguero and Jesus....that could be fantastic but equally there's risk there too with rest and rotation.

I'd rather have him when he blanks than don't have him when he explodes. It's an easy downgrade should they struggle at Wembley.

Always starts slow, plus a bit of a risk at Wembley.

Will have to see what the other options are. To some extent, going against having Kane - whom surely the maj will buy - in your team could be regarded as overthinking, though I'd be interested in the balance of "non-Kane" sides (assuming he is 13.0m)

Tbh I'll be experimenting in the first couple of weeks and playing quite puntily, then pull early WC as soon as it's clear what's working and what isn't, so I could well find myself Kane-less til I do that. Worry is he scores in GW1 and you end up paying 13.1... 13.2...

Morata might be in the mix if he moves to United, but that looks broadly on point

Yes

Yes. I'm quite tempted by Aguero instead of Jesus since he's a bit of a differential nowadays.

Yes

Don't know who my top two strikers will be. One will probably be jesus, and the other may be kane. The third will be a cheapy -- don't kn ow who

I'll monitor the prices but it's an easy downgrade if someone else emerges. He will probably get 25+ goals this season aswell so with patience you will probably gain that lost cash and more anyway. I've been to knee jerky previous seasons so I'm sticking to the proven players this year.

Could go either way, couldn't it?

Could drop in points if he has his customary slow start... but what if he smashes it early on?

As you say, it's easier to trade down and redistribute than desperately scrabble for funds if he scores in GW1 and suddenly there's a bandwagon for the most expensive player (probs) in the game.

All conjecture atm of course!

It's a gamble but you could pick up Kane for 0.1-0.4 below his starting price if he does indeed start the season slowly and has that high an ownership level.

Any casual players starting with him will quickly switch to someone else straight away rather than holding.

If he starts with a high ownership in GW1, which is likely, it will take a lot for meaningful price drops unless they change the price drop formula.

Not bad but we gotta see who they buy and how Moanie sets up the team. If Pogba has to play deep it's not good; if he's released to roam and get forward, he'll be value.

Nope. I'm considering Mkhitaryan for the same reasons. Since they finished 6th and were just stodgy all round last year, so we could see a ~0.5 trim in some of their assets' value I reckon, using what happened to 'Pool/Chelsea after 15/16 as an outline (Cout 8.0 / DC 9.5)

Mkhi started at 9.5 but ended 8.7. Price of 9.0 possible, 8.5 would be really generous (but unlikely)
Pog at 8.5 and ended 8.2. Could an 8.0 be on the cards? I think he'll be 8.5

Either way, getting some United in your team to begin with looks like a must - so either of those could fill a gap.
Unknown is Morata: if he signs, we suddenly will have a strong captain choice for GW1 (ditto if Kaku returns to Chelsea) and we might end up going for him over the other two.

Don't have any stats to hand but I seem to remember people posting on twitter figures regarding the number of chances created by Pogba but missed by Ibra et all.

If Man Utd do sign someone DM based to free him up then he could be a good shout as I see him less likely to be rotated than the other Man Utd options.

I think I want him aswell should United sign another DM. Might even be on penalties?

Right here on FFS! 🙂

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