Minimising investment in goalkeepers has long been a popular adage among seasoned Fantasy managers. Year after year, we find ourselves searching for budget offerings who offer the sought-after combination of clean sheet and save-point potential.
The wider meta, however, often runs contrary to this strategy – with premium goalkeepers such as Thibaut Courtois, Hugo Lloris and David de Gea consistently ranking among the most popular players in Fantasy Premier League in terms of ownership.
I always go on impulse but if I'm torn in decision then I'll turn to stats to help me out, what fun is a game if you're told what to do by a computer..?
This ^^
All this XG, XA, triple x can all be quite misleading. We would all have Tadic and joselu in our teams 🙂
Impulse and form over numbers imo. I use numbers only if there is 2 players I can't decide between. Obviously if you don't watch the games then I see they can be helpful but stats really are overrated and don't tell a story
I'm a big fan of stats obviously but use them as just one element of my decision making.
For me, I find that data either creates a lead on a player, or confirms it. As the data gets better and more thorough, it becomes better at both roles - xGI, in particular, is a very compelling addition. However I don't consciously make a decision on data alone.
Even it works, it's always worth blaming Jonty.
All clear bill of health for tonight?
The data's useful but if that's all that matters then I'd be able to compete in Fantasy NFL which, I can assure you, but be an afront to global sports generally. I was looking at the team xGC stats yesterday, though, and they were properly noteworthy. Definitely changed my mid-term plans.
I started playing fpl gw12 last year, having never seen a premier league or knowing a single player. Had a €250 bet with a friend it was a game about maths rather than soccer knowledge. Picked a team solely on ICT etc from fpl site.
Smashed it and was 100 points ahead within weeks of starting.
Which planet did you come from?
Haha Maybe it's obvious.. Planet Venus 😉 suppose us women don't get as tied up with soccer
I should add that I'm now addicted and literally watch 3 matches a day on weekends.
A) Hazard, Abraham
B) Choupo-Moting, Morata
?
A
B. Also you can easily change Moting as there are MFs in this price range unlike with Abraham and FWs in that price range
Eriksen to Salah a no brainer?
The Dane has another tough game against ROI whilst Salah puts his feet up.
Have another FT , do I change my current front 3?
Kane - Jesus - Morata
Lukakuless could hurt me.
Maybe downgrade Jesus to Rashford for cover and save funds for next week?
I just don't see the prospect of Jesus with the constant rotation and obviously not as guaranteed as we thought in the beginning of the season. Much more consistent points out there.
Jesus > Rashford looks good, will allow you to invest in another premium mid
Should I play Abraham (bur) or RLC (EVE) this week?
RLC probably, can't see Swansea scoring at Turf Moor
Stats project Abraham slightly higher than RLC this week....but it's a coin toss really. I had the same choice.
Ruben.
Thanks all. Abraham always the danger with the form, but RLC’s got a much better fixture.
Afternoon All. Yay or nay to the following or suggestions for alternative defenders to bring in. Thanks in advance:
Cedric & B.Davies out - Dann & Daniels in
Yay.
Not sure about Dann.
This article wouldn't exist if it wasn't for a broken fax machine.
Ridiculous that - I'd forgotten. Do you reckon any clubs still use fax when they're deliberately trying to slow down a deal?
I think so. Got no sympathy for the team on the receiving end though. They have over 3 months to strike a deal, if you really want the player you shouldn't leave it to the last day never mind the last few hours.
Are Palace's players being overhyped?
Their upcoming fixtures may look good, but they still are at the bottom of the table and have to prove they're worth investing in.
Having said that, if you have Loftus, do you plan playing him this gameweek while benching someone more expensive?
I own Carroll and switching to RLC has crossed my mind, but still it'd be hard to bench someone else before him..
RLC or Zaha worth it imo, otherwise stay clear
Dream pivot, play Ruben and bench Carroll.
They are very cheap and nailed in fairness, I think that's a big part of the appeal. If Scott Dann was 5.5 for example they're wouldn't be a lot of interest, or if Sperrin was 4.5, Zaha was 7.5 etc
very good point was considering Zaha but getting away from this idea, until i change my mind again of course 🙂
Think I’ll play RLC over Abraham this week. It’s a good fixture, and if he’s still up there in the 10 position there’s good potential.
What should I do with this lot? Help is appreciate. Thank you!
Elliot, de Gea
Ward, Duffy, Fernández, Jones, Otamendi
Eriksen, Richarlison, Sterling, Choupo-Moting, Carroll
Kane, Lukaku, Vardy
Value of the team is 102.6, 0.0 in bank and two free transfers. Thank you!
Carroll to RLC
Foster Elliott
Jones Ward Fernandez Kiko Rosenoir
Salah Richarilson Sterling Gross TC
Lukaku Kane Kun
2FTs, 0.6m and a wildcard in hand.
The safe correct thing to do would be to get one of Pope/Speroni and Moreno/Dann for Foster and Fernandez. Think I might do a mini wildcard and get Speroni Francis and Zaha for Foster Fernandez and Gross. Sane and Morata on my watchlist but no space in the inn at the moment. Thoughts?
Swansea have a really nice run of fixtures, id keep Fernandez
They're a bit crap though.
I agree they are not very good but Clements will improve that back line, don't think it's worth a hit to drop him but for free, go for it
Swansea are garbage. Absolute garbage.
Gross has STOKE at home lol.
Just the first two transfers and the job's a good 'un.
Just fancy Zaha so much more.
He's never really been a good fantasy asset, historically.
Just a thought:
Kane + Fernandez - combined price 17.3m - combined points 101 - combined form - 6.3
Azpi + Morata - combined price 17.1m - combined points 130 - combined form - 13.7
Have you considered upgrading Rosenior? Could help to have a playing 15 come the Xmas fixture congestion.
I'd keep rather have Gross than Zaha matey, if I were you I'd do fernandez to dann and save the other FT
Which is better with 2Fts?
A. Davies & Silva > Francis & Salah
B. Vardy & Silva > Morata & Richarlison
B
can you get francis, salah and morata with a hit?
Hi guys, done WC today, rate my team please: Elliot, Speroni
Moreno, Smalling, Daniels, Mee, Dunk
Silva, Richarlison, Salah, Gross, Loftus cheek
Kane, Morata, Kaku? any good? Thanks
scrap one of those forwards, that defence in particular will thank you for it
Yeah maybe Kaku > Rashford and upgrade smalling to Azpil
Don't like smalling he could lose his place if they change shape or with returning players, other than that it looks good.
Not sure on Smallings value but i would much prefer Jones
This
GW12 points for:
A) Foster (CHE)
B) Elliot (man)
C) Pope (SWA)
A) 1
B) 2
C) 6
3
2
8
1
1
10
7
2
7
So Foster to Pope could be worth a -4 for Foster this week. Also have Mee but think I may double up.
Potentially but it would be risky, wouldn't do it personally
Not worth it- 1 to 2 point gain if youre lucky
i wouldnt do that
1, 0, 8
Best route into Chelsea defence barring Azpilicueta/Alonso (too expensive unfortunately)?
Kortwah
already have DDG and not getting rid
No point spending money on any others at the moment - all rotation risks
Courtois
Courteous
If Christiansen starts on Saturday, he will be a great option
With Mhki struggling to kick a football, is Rashford a legitimate option?
No.
Yes for me- worth a punt as a cheaper 3rd striker- especially if you don't have lukaku
Had him for 5 weeks and he has matched Lukakus returns give or take a point or two.
Not even considered dropping him
Hi guys, how does this team look???? I was thinking of doing Silva to Richarlison/Coutinho and Monreal to Azpi - (for the long term?) i have 1.3 itb
Fabianski Pereira
Monreal Naughton Jones Simpson Rangel
Salah Silva Zaha Sterling RLC
Aguero Kane Abraham
thanks
See below
Maybe Monreal to Azpi is enough for this week.
thanks guys
Right, finally working towards my WC...advise please? 20m left
ryan elliot
mee moreno dann daniels Jones
salah sterling richarlison XXX XXX
kane kaku XXX
A: Zaha + RLC + Firmino
B: Sane + Gross + Niasse
C: something else?
B imo.
RLC 4.5 Morata?
B doesnt look bad
Nit a bad suggestion. Like morata and good fixtures
Elliott
Ota-Bavies-Jones-Ward
Hazard-Salah-Eriksen-Richarlison Kun-Morata
(Foster-Joselu-Caroll-Mbemba)
A. Hold FT
B. Hazard-Joselu --> Lukaku-RLC (-4)
C. Bavies --> Moreno, next week Kun --> Kane
D. Others
Thanks, sorry repost.
Agüero to Kane
There's a whole article on Rate my wildcard a for this week, you might get more attention there
For those above ^
i doubt it
Yeah that article is dead now
Good to go? 1.7m in the bank:
Elliot
Alonso | Jones | Daniels
Salah | Sterling | Silva | Richarlison | Choupo-Moting
Kane | Morata (C)
Krul | Kiko | Crouch | Naughton
Great first-eleven. Just a hunch: Ryan will have done a dash-load of travelling this week and so if Krul was going to be given a run-out ... You've lost nothing by switching them cos if he doesn't play Eliott's back on anyway. Just sayin'.
Great point, thanks!
Lovely. Look at ditching Choupo Moting next week.
Also I'd personally switch the armband over the Harry.
Reply fail to Reckoner above
Thanks, yeah torn on the Captaincy.
3rd forward:
Having in mind form, fixtures, nailedonness, packed festive schedule, team strength and almost everything including global warming, which one do you choose for that spot?
I think im going for Niasse
Kane Morata Rashford for me
although that sounds tempting
Sticking with my current front 3 until Jan - Kane, Aguero and Jesus. The only one I'd consider buying/selling is Jesus to Morata but I shall see how they both look in the next couple of games.
i currently have Andre Gray , i brought him in for the 3 nice fixtures while Deeney is suspended , he got me 5 points in his first game for me which was an ok start , he now has 2 more games to impress or else he'll be banished into the wilderness whence he came
Don't want to start the whole second guessing Pep game but is Jesus favoured in starting games away from home? Perhaps for his work rate. Any thoughts are appreciated. Need to remove one of Jesus or Firmino this week for Morata.
You might be on to something, but only Pep knows
Hoping that Aguero's air miles will count against him and Jesus will start at the weekend. Either way, I'm selling him the week after as he isn't good value.
Any of these routes worth it for Salah?
Fab Elliot
Azpi Ota Jones Ward Simpson
Haz Sterling Richarlison Tarroll Stephens
Kane Jesus Vardy
A) Ota Stephens Vardy > Duffy Salah Niasse -4 (allows Jesus > Morata next gw)
B) Ota Haz Vardy > Duffy Salah Morata -4 (allows Jesus > Lukaku)
C) Sterling Vardy > Salah Abraham (allows Jesus > Kun Kaku Morata)
Really like B
Jesus to Lukaku (c) for a -4? No, right?
Depends what other captiancy candidates you have, I'd try and avoid the hit.
C on Aguero right now, Kane and Salah also options.
What do you reckon people ?
A. Davies & Vardy > Mee & Morata
B. Eriksen & Joselu > D.Gray & Morata
C. Eriksen & Vardy > Fabregas & Lukaku
D. Eriksen & Vardy > Mahrez & Morata
Current team below, 2FT & .7 itb
Elliot, Foster
Alonso, Jones, Davies, Kolasinac, Mbemba
Eriksen, Salah, Sterling, Richarilson, RLC
Kane, Vardy, Joselu
A definitely looks good moves
Keep Cresswell this week away at Watford or make the transfer to Daniels/Jones? (Depending on Jones' fitness)
If fit bring Jones in 100%
Get Jones, keep him for a season
Jones
best defender for 4.9 or less to go with;
Mee, Daniels, Dann, Moreno .......
Dunk or Duffy?
oh yeah, forgot about those guys...perfect!
i guess the next question is, dunk or duffy?
daffy duck
duffy has more points so i guess i choose him
It's Daniels vs Mee for me, close win for Daniels.
havng them both in my super cheapo defence
Is it wise to keep Luiz and see if he plays? Got Duffy on my bench to come in for him if he doesn't play but also got still 1FT and no Jones in my team..
Yes, wait and see.
Soo.....whats the verdict then?! Yay or nay?
Bloody hell
Beric spotted!
x
lol , good to see you too
hiya
Blimey. I'd missed your return. Good to see you about.
I'm trying to find your first ever post now but it pre-dates HomeCrowd so would have to plunder the zipped up archives!.
ah amazing! it has been a while! hope you're good mark 🙂
6 years, 5 months agoDoes anybody use the influence/creativity/threat/ICT index tabs on the FPL website and pay much attention?
I've always gone off impulse and the eye test but this season, maybe in part being on here for the first time and noting xG and xA, I've paid a bit more attention to the statistical side of things.
Should we really use these stats to make our decision on transfers? Or just rely on our impulse and the form of the player and his respective team?
I blame Jonty.