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Moneyball – Pavel Pogrebnyak

Spending money on your bench is a tricky proposition: you need to balance the cost of leaving cash on the sidelines every week versus the risk of having insufficient talent to take up the slack when your first team players are injured or suspended. You might be able to squeeze in the odd 6.0 player to ride the bench but you simply can’t afford to have 20.0+ of talent on there, generating zero points each week; trade-offs have to be made.

Chris Glover Creator of the plfantasy blog, providing a stats focused approach to fantasy football. Exiled to Canada but still prefer my sports played on grass rather than ice. Follow them on Twitter

800 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Pasqualinho
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    This gives me another option to get the 1.4 I need to upgrade Michu to Bale.

    Either:
    RVP to Rooney
    A Cole to any 5.2 def (probably Stoke)
    Lambert to Pog

    ...and at the moment I have no idea. I could even keep Michu.

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    1. the axolotl
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      stoke cole

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    2. anyclues
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      RVP to rooney

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      1. Pasqualinho
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        I'd really like to see how Man Utd fare over the next couple of weeks before I'd be sure on this move. If Rooney/RVP keep rotating positions up top and out wide then Roo is clearly the better value - however if Roo drops deep against the good teams (as many predict) then the money should be on RVP - at least until the fixtures ease up.

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    3. heartsattack
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      I'd keep RVP. The best move would maybe be Cole to Huth.

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      1. Pasqualinho
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Not enough cash for Huth - would have to be ShawX or Wilson.

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        1. heartsattack
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          Shawcross I'd say. I'd be watching Rooney over the next few weeks before I jumped ship on RvP.

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          1. Pasqualinho
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 6 months ago

            Thanks - I'm inclined to agree. I can always make that move in a couple of weeks. Still considering offloading Lambert, though - Pog's fixtures are much better.

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    4. King Nil Miss ✩
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      I was thinking this was the GW that I would ditch Michu, but him being upfront for the Swans now put me off... decided on having 5 good mids atm, with Rooney coming later.

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    5. GOB
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Dump Cole

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  2. SMOOTH
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    lost on last page

    any of these transfers good bets?

    A) rvp to aguero to fund michu to mata
    B) baines to distin to fund michu to mata

    C) A or B but pienaar instead of michu.

    A+B involve starting clyne
    C would mean i get to play michu

    note that i have tevez so A/B would mean a front line of aguero tevez ba

    plan to do this for 2 weeks and then bring in rooney for aguero or tevez

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  3. Van The Man
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Sorry for the repost:

    Who do you pundits think will score more points this weekend- Jelly or Giroud??
    Thinking of getting Kun in for one of them for free.

    Thanks!

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    1. floydy_floyd
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      2 points for both imho. Giroud is poo and everton struggle v l'pool

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      1. Van The Man
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Your opinion might change if Giroud gets a brace tomorrow!

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    2. TheSteady ¤ Wines th…
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Maximum is 6 + baps for both

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      1. Van The Man
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Expect goals in the derby even though its Liv!
        At least i hope so!

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    3. Le Limpar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Giroud(c)

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      1. Van The Man
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Would be happy to see him get a brace!

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  4. Nibbsy
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Yaya - HBA? Already have Tevez and no other Newcastle.

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    1. floydy_floyd
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      yep good shout

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    2. heco87
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Would tempt me.

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    3. Van The Man
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Yes

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    4. floydy_floyd
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      castles fixtures are super sick

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    5. heartsattack
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Dunno. City have very good fixtures. Is there no other way you can get Hba.

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      1. Nibbsy
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Yeah but is Yaya really the man to take advantage of them? Do have Tevez too.

        Couldn't get HBA without a hit otherwise.

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        1. heartsattack
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          It might well be worth it but despite his poor run of fantasy form yaya is still getting into goal scoring positions. Missed one from 2 yards the other week. If I had him I think I'd keep him tbh.

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  5. TheSteady ¤ Wines th…
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Howard

    Baines-Hughes-Ridgewell

    Ben Arfa-Bale-Cazorla-Noble

    Crouch-RVP-Berbatov

    Bench:Green-Michu-Clyne-Demel
    0.5M in bank
    Undecided on captain…..

    My question is: Should I do a transfer, or stick with it? If I should do a transfer, please suggest some I could do…. HEEELP 🙂

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    1. Elniñorules
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      I'll wait for the repost.

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      1. GreenWindmill
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        😉

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      2. heco87
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Loves it,

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    2. GreenWindmill
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      No transfers, put Michu in for Noble and captain Bale.

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    3. Kevin Twine
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Stick

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  6. Mr Sarcastic
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Rangel=> Wilson for a hit??

    Positive:
    I can play Wilson gw9 (SUN) and gw11 (QPR) instead of gw9 Hughes (rdg) and Demel (new)
    Gaining value + gives me better bench - f.e. guthrie doesn't play Rangel won't come in!

    Negative:
    Hit for a defender....

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    1. Van The Man
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Not worth a hit!

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      1. Mr Sarcastic
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        okay.....I'm just worried that I'm forced to take that hit for gw11 and then I've lost some value + this weeks points...

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  7. OPTA FPL
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Spurs forum fans expect to see Ade starts this week after poor performance of Defoe in Europa League 😕

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    1. Elniñorules
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      They've been saying that from gw1

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    2. Piggs Boson
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Well that's installed doubt in my plan to get him in tonight 😐

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      1. OPTA FPL
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        me too

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    3. Paolo Di Laernu - low rep r…
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Would not be surprised by this.

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    4. Scroobius Mac
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      I think Defoe is 85% to start this week but you always have that little shadow of doubt.

      As good as Defoe has been, and I'm far from his biggest fan, you sacrifice your number 10 out of the game when playing him because he can't hold it up.

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    5. Bubbles
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      I think/hope he'll keep his place for a little bit yet.

      And just a few days ago, AVB said:
      "Obviously, every player wants to play, at the moment we are using the structure of one striker and Defoe has been doing extremely well," Villas-Boas told Sky Sports News.

      "I think Ade has done extremely well in the games where he has come in for the squad, certainly he is in contention for games where we play with two strikers."

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      1. Bubbles
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        There's a little bit of a doubt there, I suppose, but I'll still bring him in. It's worth the gamble, imo. It's putting me off (c) him though.

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        1. OPTA FPL
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          I thkn he should drop Dempsey/Siggy and play 4-4-2 if he wants to give Ade a chance. Defoe is playing well

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    6. Spike ⚽️
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Ade is doubtful (back problem). Defoe got the assist for Spurs goal and very little service in the Europa League game

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      1. OPTA FPL
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Ade is fit for this weekend

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        1. Spike ⚽️
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          Rikawa, I didnt realise this was you. Thanks for the info 🙂

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  8. Crouch Potato!
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Yorkie the Lion runs away with the mascot race, I am fuming! He is wearing the most streamlined outfit I have ever seen. A disgrace, our wonderful sport of mascot racing is heading down a rocky road.

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    1. GreenWindmill
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      They still do mascot racing 😯

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      1. Crouch Potato!
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        I'm afraid so.

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        1. GreenWindmill
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          Is it still a steeplechase type affair with 'hilarious' falling over and struggling to get back up because of the bulky costumes?

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          1. Crouch Potato!
            • 12 Years
            11 years, 6 months ago

            Only saw it briefly on Sky sports, a sprint, at some racecourse I think.

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            1. GreenWindmill
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              Shameful.

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  9. snowman
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    which two to start a cole, much or mcclean?

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    1. snowman
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      michu#

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    2. Daniel_tsl
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Cole and Michu

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  10. SW6
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    I'm already playing Cameron so who recommends doubling up stoke with begovic as well or play Guzan v Norwich instead to spread the potential CS chance.

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    1. Van The Man
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Cameron nailed on??

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  11. bantamdave
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Michael Kightly...viable option for the Stoke midfield?

    Playing time a concern, only played 90 mins twice, with some games just over the hour.

    Thoughts?

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    1. heco87
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Considered him closely this week ... decent short term punt I'd say... not really sure what the deal is with Etherington these days.

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    2. the axolotl
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      don't really think he'd deliver. one of those players that just pops up now and again before disappearing off the radar again

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    3. heartsattack
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      You've really answered your own question. If he's not getting the minutes hes not worth having.

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  12. Crouch Potato!
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Newcastle Utd fined 5,500 pounds as a result of 2 streakers running onto the pitch!

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    1. heco87
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Money well spent

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      1. Crouch Potato!
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        A lot of bollox! 😉

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  13. Nibbsy
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Santon or Simpson?

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    1. Paolo Di Laernu - low rep r…
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Simpson being cheaper is hard to ignore...although I don't know for sure if he's nailed on.

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      1. Nibbsy
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Yeah its that 0.2 making me think twice. Who else do they have in his position?

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        1. Paolo Di Laernu - low rep r…
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          I guess he is their only natural right back so it's probably a safe bet. I just don't want to tell you he's nailed on and for Pardew to do something mad...I'd feel bad! But yeah I guess he has to be their RB...not too risky.

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        2. GreenWindmill
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          Anita can play right back (although I can't see Simpson losing his place to him) or Santon can switch to the right and Ferguson in at left back. Simpson should be safe for now though imo.

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      2. maltasi
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        Nice juxtapositioning by Nibbsy!

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    2. OPTA FPL
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Santon. Simpson usually got stupid YC for me last year

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  14. Killitzer
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Help help help.

    Made a transfer that backfired last week (Defoe--Berba) and got punished with a dire week score. Now am wondering if I should just go for a 4 point hit or go for the WC??

    Team:
    Jussi (Fed)
    Ivan, Baines, Shawx (mcAuley, Hang)
    yaya, Michu, Carloza, Guthrie (Pienaar)
    Torres, Berb, Suarez

    Options:
    1. 4ph- Pieenar/Suarez----Mata/Ba or Defoe

    WC team:
    Begovic, Jussi
    Wisdom, Wilson, Baines, Ivan, Hughes
    Lennon, Michu, Mata, Sterling, Carloza
    Ba, Torres, Defoe (or Crouch, Rooney, Defoe)

    Any opinions pleeeease?

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  15. Paolo Di Laernu - low rep r…
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Play Rafael or Gorkss?

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    1. heco87
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      I'd play Gorkss, despite it being fairly unfashionable. That said, I had a dream that Rafael scored last night.

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      1. Paolo Di Laernu - low rep r…
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        👿 damn you

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        1. heco87
          • 13 Years
          11 years, 6 months ago

          Right hand side of the box, about 16 yards out, top corner, near post. Cech gets the slightest of fingertips to it, but still flies in.

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          1. Le Limpar
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 6 months ago

            Oh ffs, Hec, this isn't helping my Raf > Kolarov decision...

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            1. heco87
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              Lol

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            2. Scroobius Mac
              • 13 Years
              11 years, 6 months ago

              😆

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    2. Elniñorules
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Why would you play Rafael with that username?

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      1. Paolo Di Laernu - low rep r…
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 6 months ago

        😆

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    3. Rodders
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Raf for me. Can see him conceding but more likely to get something at the other end.

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  16. I.K
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    i want 2 to play gwk 9
    (a)michu (b)nolan (c)sterling

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    1. Viper
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Michu & Nolan imo..

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    2. Rodders
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      A + B

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  17. Ricky - it doesn\'t ta…
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    any berbatov owners consdiering [c] this weekend?

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    1. Viper
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Nah, not with Cazorla, Tevez, Bale & RVP on the scene. I'll be quite happy to take his points though!

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    2. heartsattack
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      I know it's a poor argument but last weekend was enough for me"

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    3. the axolotl
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      took that medicine last week, tasted foul. fulham away too

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  18. Brightside
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    In a tough spot with Pienaar missing this week:

    Should I take a -4 hit to change:

    Kacakinilic to Sterling?

    or

    Clyne to Wilson (other 4.5 def)?

    or

    play which one of the above?

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    1. asyrafdanial
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      kaca to sterling look worth,,

      but

      wilson are tempted me too

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  19. Viper
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Who to start?

    Federici or Jaask (Also starting Berbatov if that has any influence at all)..

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    1. Rodders
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      jaask for me

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  20. SMOOTH
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    please advise guys appreciate it

    A) rvp to aguero to fund michu to mata
    B) baines to distin to fund michu to mata

    C) A or B but pienaar instead of michu.

    A+B involve starting clyne
    C would mean i get to play michu

    note that i have tevez so A/B would mean a front line of aguero tevez ba

    plan to do this for 2 weeks and then bring in rooney for aguero or tevez

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  21. Waldaz
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    So, thoughts on Aguero (c)? Rested v WBA and one full week until West Ham. Yes he started mid-week, as did Tevez a few weeks ago in League cup, and after all the mass panic he still started at the weekend. Who's on the wagon?

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    1. 1mills
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      I'm going Aguero (c).

      I nearly decided not to today after reports on here earlier that he was only going to play 45mins per Mancini interview, (until it was realised the interview was not the second part of todays interview but from last season when Aguero first signed).

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  22. Denis Tueart on the wing
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Most points this GW - Mata or Yaya ?

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    1. Le Limpar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Mata - every week.

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    2. Rodders
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Mata

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  23. Paolo Di Laernu - low rep r…
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Newcastle scored 5 goals against WBA last year over 2 fixtures. Ba scored 2 in the home fixture...I'm liking those figures...making me think Ba is a safe captain's choice.

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    1. GreenWindmill
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      If this season's results all followed last season's this would be a very easy game 😉

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  24. George Agdgdgwngo
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Which Transfer chaps?

    A. Michu & Lambert > Sterling & Ba

    B. Hazard & Lambert > Sterling & Aguero

    C. Hazard & Lambert > Yaya & Ba

    D. None

    Current Team
    Jaask, Begs
    Baines, Rafeal, S. Taylor, Nelsen, Demel
    Michu, HBA, Santi, Pienaar, Hazard
    Lambert, RVP, Berb

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    1. Rodders
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      A if any. wouldn't be ditching Hazard. Would like to do lambert to Ba myself.

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    2. Lawrø
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      A but I've got Michu and Hazard and I'm not even thinking about ditching either of them!

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  25. Lawrø
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    A) Demel -----> Wilson
    B) Clyne -----> Wilson

    A or B? :L

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    1. George Agdgdgwngo
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      B. Southampton are terrible. Thoughts on mine above?

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    2. Rodders
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      B 100%

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    3. Van The Man
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      A imo.
      Clyne more attacking and SOT have good fixtures.

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    4. 1mills
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      I've got rid of Demel today for Wilson.

      West Ham's fixtures are terrible.

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  26. Rodders
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    a defence of Clyne, Baines, Rangel.

    Would you spend points to get a better back line for this week or just accept it?

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    1. George Agdgdgwngo
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      accept it. Never take a hit for a defender unless its baines!

      Thoughts on mine above?

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  27. the axolotl
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    pick a winner out of this lot for a last man standing. in last 10 out of 700;

    stoke villa newcastle norwich wigan west ham sunderland

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    1. heco87
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Newcastle (biased)

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    2. Rodders
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Newcastle

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    3. Viper
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Villa

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    4. the axolotl
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      i'm leaning towards stoke, villa would be next, then newcastle

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    5. GreenWindmill
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Villa because their fixtures suck after this week - the others are all still ok for a while.

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  28. Jubilanus / BSC Small Boys …
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    To start

    Foster or Schwarzer

    To buy (long term)

    Shawcross or Wilson

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    1. Viper
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Schwarzer & Wilson

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  29. Tim Canterbury
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    The article doesn't mention gametime. He's yet to complete 90 minutes! I was just about to add him to the watch list till I saw this

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    1. Paolo Di Laernu - low rep r…
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 6 months ago

      Yeah seems to get taken off after 75mins regularly...he is their superstar though...god forbid he got an injury

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  30. TheSteady ¤ Wines th…
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 6 months ago

    Which one to field: Noble(wig) or Michu(mci) ?
    Which one to captain: Cazorla(QPR) or Bale(sou) ?

    Cheers! 🙂

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