Spot the Differential

Spot The Differential – Gameweek 23

With forwards still struggling to bring in the points, we’ve chosen a pair of midfielders and a budget defender as our first trio of differentials for 2018.

A Bournemouth winger who has quietly been producing sensational numbers in recent weeks takes centre stage. A Chelsea stalwart with kind fixtures also catches the eye, while the prospect of a double-figure score has drawn us back to a West Brom defender favoured heavily in the early season.

Jordon Ibe

Bournemouth’s Jordon Ibe is emerging as a fresh budget fifth midfielder option on the back of some fine recent showings.

Setting us back just 4.8 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), the winger has impressively registered more shots (17) than any other midfielder over the last four Gameweeks.

Indeed, only Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah (seven) has produced more efforts on target than Ibe (six) over that spell.

The Cherries winger notched his fourth assist of the season in the 2-2 draw with Brighton & Hove Albion in Gameweek 22 and has also impressed with his creativity.

He has registered 13 key passes over the same four-match spell, which is bettered only by Brighton’s Pascal Gross (14) among midfielders.

Ibe is benefitting from a sustained run in the side.

The signing from Liverpool has started the last five, having previously only been selected in the starting XI for seven of the opening 17 matches.

It remains to be seen if Ibe can retain a starting role on the right flank, though Ibe’s convincing recent form could force the returning Junior Stanislas to compete with Ryan Fraser for a role on the left.

Eddie Howe’s men entertain Arsenal tomorrow, colliding with a Gunners rearguard that has shipped eight goals in their last four encounters.

Arsene Wenger’s side, who will be without key defenders Laurent Koscielny and Nacho Monreal, have also allowed 46 shots from inside the penalty area over their last four matches. Only West Ham United (47) have conceded more.

Ibe, meanwhile, has helped the Cherries fire 50 shots from inside the box since Gameweek 19, more than any other side.

With the fixture list (whu che STK hud NEW) also kind for some time to come, the 0.4%-owned winger looks an enticing option for those getting frustrated by the injury-prone Ruben Loftus-Cheek.

Cesc Fabregas

A home fixture against a Leicester City side that has managed just a single clean sheet on their travels this season brings Chelsea’s Cesc Fabregas into our thinking.

The Spain international has registered a modest one goal and four assists so far but is impressively creating a chance every 22 minutes – more frequently than any player who has made at least two starts.

Fabregas is currently benefitting from playing as the most advanced of the three central midfielders for the champions, pulling the strings behind Eden Hazard and Alvaro Morata.

Chelsea’s upcoming schedule remains favourable over the coming weeks (bha BOU wat WBA), so the 3.4%-owned playmaker could also provide a longer-term solution.

Available at just 6.8, Fabregas can be a cheaper option from the Blues attack at a time when Morata and, to a lesser extent, Hazard are struggling to justify their premium price tags.

For those Fantasy managers who need to find differentials capable of double-figure hauls, the Chelsea midfielder looks worthy of serious consideration over these next five Gameweeks.

Ahmed Hegazi

Although the West Bromwich Albion defender is nominally part of 18.9% of FPL squads, a high proportion of those are doubtless unmanaged ‘ghostship teams’, ensuring that the Egyptian is now a differential of sorts among active managers.

It is fair to say that this afternoon’s home clash against Brighton has all the hallmarks of a 0-0 draw – both sides have had four goalless draws this season, more than any other teams.

The centre-back, who has now returned to his original starting price of 4.5, has picked up bonus points on three occasions when the Baggies have kept a clean sheet.

He has registered an eye-catching 219 clearances, blocks and interceptions, which is 102 more than any team-mate and third overall among defenders.

Hegazi also boasts a significant set-piece threat – only three defenders have had more big chances (four) than the three for the Baggies centre-back.

Most significantly, Brighton have conceded more goals (14) from set-plays than any other side this season and also rank first for the most set-piece chances allowed, with 112.

With the potential to produce points at both ends of the pitch, Hegazi is finally back on the radar as an option – albeit in the short-term.

1,378 Comments Post a Comment
  1. AFC49
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    What to do with this team?

    Pope
    Dunk, Otamendi, Christensen, Masuaku
    Salah, Sterling, Eriksen, Arnie
    Kane, Aguero

    Adrian, RLC*, Kenny, DCL

    1FT, 0.4 ITB

    1. WINNING!
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Save FT

    2. Collie01
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Save FT

  2. Puzzle
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    1. Richarlison -> Lingard
    2. Azpilicueta -> Alonso
    3. Azpilicueta, Richarlison -> Alonso, Lingard (-4)
    4. Son, Maguire -> Lingard, Alonso.

    Will have to play Maguire if I dont sell him.

    1. Aussie Rules
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      4

    2. Hedge
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      1

    3. Sandy Ravage
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      1

    4. Alexis Nonsense
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      1 this week

      2 next week

      then Son --> someone after that

  3. CRO KLOPP
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Should I save here?

    De gea
    Alonso, OTA, Duffy
    Eriksen, Son, Lingard, sterling, Arnie
    Kane (c),Firmino

    Elliot, Ogbonna, DCL, Kenny

    Ogbonna or Duffy?
    Cheers

    1. Aussie Rules
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Save FT and I'd play Ogb over Ota

  4. Gol D Roger
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Courtios

    Azpi otamendi jones yedlin

    Ibe. Steling salah lingard

    Morata. Kane (c)

    Elliot. Depoitre. Mariappa. Carroll

    Tempted to drop morata to tosun To accomodate lingard to pogba as a diff

    Thoughts ?

  5. Rory Rocky man
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Is kane a must this week?
    Currently have
    Morata and firmino with 2 million in bank

    1. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Not for a hit

    2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Don't think he is

    3. Clump
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Big Sam, big bus?

  6. YouReds
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Would you play Ogbonna over Oti ?

    1. Colonel Shoe 肝池
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      dont think id ever bench ota

    2. jimmy.floyd
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      I am

    3. Detweiler
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      No

    4. Aussie Rules
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Yes

    5. WVA
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      No

  7. My heart goes Salalalalah
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Play Courtois or Elliot? Struggling with this...

    1. Detweiler
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Courtois

  8. theBoose
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Who to take a two week punt on..?

    A) van La Parra
    B) Bellerin
    C) Wilson

    1. @FPLDIARYFPL
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      C

    2. Collie01
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      B

    3. Make United Great Again
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Honestly. None from that list

      1. theBoose
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Who's your pick then?

    4. Homo Neanderthalensis
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      C

    5. Aussie Rules
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      C

  9. Knallie
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Changes needed?

    Elliot
    Otamendi / Jones / Christensen
    Salah / Sterling / Son / Lingard (vc)
    Aguero / Kane (c) / Firmino
    Subs: Adrian / RLC / Long / Kenny

    my main question, also for the next few weeks:

    Son / Christensen or Alonso / Richarlison?

    1. @FPLDIARYFPL
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Nice team

    2. Ain't No Holebas Girl
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Very nice team, fun to own Alonso but not sold on Richarlison so prefer Son/Christ for balance

    3. WVA
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Really nice team.

      Alonso and Richarlinson

      My mine priority would be the keepers though

  10. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Have the following defenders:

    Alonso/ Jones/ Stones/ Dunk/ Dummett

    Is it ok to play Dummett who plays Swansea over Dunk who plays WBA and Stones who plays Liverpool?

    Thanks a lot!

    1. Ask Yourself
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Dunk for attacking threat and just as much CS potential as Duffy

      1. Ask Yourself
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Dummet*

  11. Hotdogs for Tea
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Kane has blanked the last two leagues games .... he won’t blank in the next 2 games

    1. Collie01
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Its impossible to predict. I sure hope not.

      1. Hotdogs for Tea
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Statistically proven 😉

    2. WINNING!
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      LOL bookmarked.

      1. Hotdogs for Tea
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        😉

    3. Homo Neanderthalensis
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      I hope he blanks! Or even sprains his ankle or something bad.. that would be music to my ears.

      1. Hotdogs for Tea
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Salty non owner ? 😉

        1. Homo Neanderthalensis
          • 10 Years
          6 years, 3 months ago

          Haha, A very joyous non-owner actually dude from my non-Kane 83 point haul last week.

          I just hope he doesn’t have another hattrick week and Aguero pops a few in instead lol.

          I make good ground up when Kane blanks 😉

  12. Clump
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Might have a little punt on Alonso (c). No one really standing out.
    Any thoughts?

    1. 32chickens
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      left field but good

  13. Big P
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Who is Fousseni Diabetes?

    1. 32chickens
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      type 1 or type 2?

      1. HVT
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        🙂

    2. Athletic Bilbo
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Friend of Insulingard

  14. 32chickens
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    i'm chasing.
    Lingard (c)-anyone else?

    1. Detweiler
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      I'd captain Kane - no need to take risks yet, it's only Jan

    2. Clump
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Decent shout this week.

    3. Homo Neanderthalensis
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      I’m going Pogba (C)

    4. Hedge
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Sounds good

  15. Alexis Nonsense
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Which one to play this gw?

    A) Tarkowski

    B) Ogbonna

    C) Milijovetic

    1. 32chickens
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      tarka the otter

  16. Detweiler
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Eriksen to Lingard for a -4?

    1. ChadW98
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Yes

    2. SAKA AND EMILE SMITH ROWE
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Not worth a hit

    3. 32chickens
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      good swap but not sure about the -4
      (As above)I am keen on lingard so I would do

      1. Detweiler
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Yeah - I think Lingard will outscore Eriksen but I think the -4 makes it tight. Perhaps I just wait for next week.

    4. DGW blindness is for Kinnea…
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      No

    5. YouReds
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      I done this move for free, I don’t think it’s worth the hit though

  17. ChadW98
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Pope or Adrian?

    1. jack149331
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      adrian

  18. GreenArrows
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Hoping for a goal or 2 from Morata today...a slight differential

    1. Homo Neanderthalensis
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Good luck with that point chasing.. he’s proper off the boil.

    2. WVA
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      I am too but he is in shocking form

  19. @FPLDIARYFPL
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Elliot (fabianski)
    Christensen Jones Ogbonna (Kenny robertson)
    Salah Sterling Son Arnie Lingard (c)
    Kane Firmino (niasse)

    3.5 itb 0ft

    Planning to hold and get either augero or alonso next week.

    Im seeing the same midfield in a lot of teams. Is that a good sign!???

  20. Optic1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Upgrading Christensen > Alonso will cost me a -4 either this week or next week.

    A) Stick with Christensen this week.
    B) Take the hit sooner rather than later and get in Alonso this week

    First to 5 wins lads. Cheers as always.

    1. Detweiler
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      B if you're going to take one anyway

    2. 32chickens
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      A

    3. HVT
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Get A

    4. Optic1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Current team.

      Pope
      Jones Christensen Ogbonna
      Salah Eriksen Sterling Lingard Arnautovic
      Kane Firmino

      Joel Mee DCL Kenny 2.8itb

    5. Collie01
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      A.

      1. Collie01
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Actually B. Might as well do it this week if you are set on the hit anyway.

    6. Athletic Bilbo
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      B, should pay off over time, give yourself more time

      Did it myself last night

    7. Optic1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Cheers for the replies lads. Looks like I might just go for the -4 this week and hope for an early repayment.

      Top of my ML, 40k OR so hopefully doesn't damage that too much.

    8. WVA
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      B

  21. Gol D Roger
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Currently have depoitre as my 3rd striker

    Thinking of switching to Perez. Good fixture against swans?

    1. Detweiler
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      What about Murray? I'm looking to him as my DCL exit option

      1. Gol D Roger
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Tempted. Just feel the away fixture is skightly worse for bha

    2. Big P
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      It's v short term. Could be benches again next week

  22. Jafooli
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    That tweet 😮

    1. GreenArrows
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Here we go again.....

      1. Jafooli
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Go where? 😉

    2. Clump
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      #tweetgate

      1. Jafooli
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        You know it Clump 😛

    3. Collie01
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      At least wait until 11am

      1. Jafooli
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Early bird catches the most worms 😉

  23. thewhitepele
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Adrian
    Alondo Otamendi Ogbonna Mee*
    Salah Sterling Son Arnie
    Kane(c) Morata

    Elliott, Carroll, Kabasele, Quaner
    1FT, 0.8m ITB

    G2G or need to use FT?

  24. DV8R
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Already playing Alonso

    A) Play Christensen
    B) Play Dunk

    1. jack149331
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      christensen

    2. Detweiler
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      B I think

    3. Collie01
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      A. No point having double defense if you dont play both.

    4. Aussie Rules
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      A

  25. GreenArrows
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    After 4 green arrows, hoping for a really good GW to cement the good progress.

    Currently 164.2K....target is to beat last years PB of 82.8K, this is my 4th season.

  26. Ajax Down Trees
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Any one have any ideas how to improve this team and not lose a FT?

    Pope
    Christiensen - Otamendi - Dunk - Masuaku
    Hazard - Sterling - Salah - Richarlison
    Kane - Morata

    Subs: Elliot - Mee - RLC - DCL

    2 FT's, just 0.2m in bank, thinking I will want aguero in next week.

    thanks guys

    1. Hedge
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Rich to Lingard

  27. Where dahoud at
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Hows this looking for a wildcard

    Elliot
    Alonso, jones, zanka
    Pogba, mane, Arnautovic, lingard
    Kane (vc), aguero (c) ayew

    Bench, pickford, yedin, cork, vvd

    1. Detweiler
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      No Salah?

      1. Where dahoud at
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        Mane instead, salah wont keep that up, plus mane every bit as good

  28. jack149331
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    pick 2 with reasons please out of vardy arny and rich??

    1. Detweiler
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Rich and Army in the scout picks. Surely you have other players you can bench though.

      1. jack149331
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 3 months ago

        My team is:
        adrian/elliot
        dunk/ota/hegazi/shite/shite
        rich/salah/son/arny/sterling
        vardy/firm/kane

  29. Ramboros
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Kane has only blanked against 2 English goal keepers and scored 13 goals against the other 6 this season. Just something to think about for people that are scared of captaining him due to his tendencies to blank this season.

    1. Clump
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Kane has eaten 19 cheese butties this season, 7 of which had English cheddar on. On these days he wore blue socks and went to bed before 10:30.
      I've seen it all now 🙂

  30. Athletic Nasherbo
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 3 months ago

    Can someone give me a reason on who to play?

    A) Dunk
    B) Ogbonna

    1. jack149331
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      b as huddersfield can't score

    2. WVA
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 3 months ago

      Gona A