Opinion

FPL Question Time – Salah Triple Captain and faith in Maddison for Gameweek 12

Liverpool’s upcoming match against basement boys Fulham has caused a few managers to drop the T-word this week.

The form of both sides means that Mohamed Salah is being talked about as a potential Triple Captain already.

We’ve put that suggestion as well as issues connected with James Maddison, Richarlison and Aleksandar Mitrovic to our latest Question Time panel.

Who’s on the panel this week?

Lejuan Basson – A South Africa-based FPL manager who finished an enviable 24th in the world in 2017/18.

Ben Crabtree – A proud Evertonian and the overall winner of FPL in 2016/17.

Simon March – Another of the select group to have finished first in the world, this time in 2014/15.

Question 1 – Ben

George Williams: Is it a wise move to triple captain Mohamed Salah against Fulham, considering their defensive record?

“My approach to the Triple Captain chip is quite standard: use it in a double Gameweek. However, this has not reaped any noticeable rewards with even my FPL title-winning winning season only bring in nine Aguero points, becoming 27. Not bad, but clearly there were plenty of better single Gameweeks I could have used it in.

“Looking at Salah, or more accurately scouting the Fulham defence, there’s a high chance there’s two goals for liverpool, a huge chance of three goals and a big chance of four goals.

“Salah is directly involved in a large percentage of Liverpool’s attacking returns so returns seem as close to guaranteed as you can get.

“I do think it’s a wise move that should make good use of the chip. Time will tell if the double Gameweeks create a better opportunity but I wouldn’t actually be too sure they will.”

Question 2 – Simon

Craig: What key stats and skills are central to help you look through the noise and pick good FF players while excluding the trend players who don’t always deliver.

“If you are looking at stats to help guide your FPL decisions, I think there are two key rules to follow; make sure you’re looking at enough data, and make sure you’re looking at it in context.

“In general, it’s a good idea not to let yourself be overly-influenced by small samples of data, the most common being the tendency to over-emphasise a player’s most recent performance, particularly when it contrasts with their performance over a longer period.

“Often, we’re using stats to pick between two or three players. One method is to begin with the desired result, e.g. goals for a striker, then look at stats that are most closely associated with that result, such as shots on target, and then work backwards to include ever-broader indicators such as; shots in the box, shot accuracy, total attempts and average position until you have a ‘funnel’ of stats. If a player fares well across the whole funnel, then there’s a decent chance that they’ll sustain their form. If they perform well in one stat and not in others, there’s a good chance that they won’t. Again though, the sample size is key to making good insights here.

“Context is also important. A player’s stats might look good because their fixtures have been favourable and, therefore, they might not be sustainable if their upcoming fixtures are much tougher (and vice versa). It’s also worth looking at a team’s performance as a whole. A player can have good looking stats but, if their team is struggling, they’ll face an uphill battle each Gameweek to convert them into FPL points.

“Finally, it’s important to remember that good stats don’t always tell a positive story. For example, a defender ranking highly for, say, headed clearances could indicate that they play for a team that is frequently under defensive pressure and, therefore, at greater risk of conceding. So, when looking at defenders, in particular, it’s often best to look at the team first, and how defensively solid they are overall, before considering the stats of individual players.”

Question 3 – Lejuan

Mostafa: How long should we keep faith in James Maddison?

“Even though I don’t own Maddison I’ve been very impressed with him the last two games I’ve watched.

“He has provided some very good chances that his team-mates have been close to scoring.

“Two specific examples are Vicente Iborra’s header against West Ham that was straight at the goalkeeper, and his rebounded shot which Jamie Vardy saw handled by Sol Bamba.

“So if I did own him I’d keep him for at least the next four gameweeks where he has some really good fixtures. A home match against Burnley in Gameweek 12 looks particularly appealing.”

Question 4 – Ben

Jpkelly2: Who is best replacement over the next four to six weeks for an off-the-boil Aleksandar Mitrovic?

“It’s hard to judge a Mitrovic replacement without knowing the rest of a team and money in the bank. If someone is eyeing up a mid-priced midfielder and in need of a bit of money, Mitrovic to Jiménez could help.

“The Wolves forward offers good value but I found it frustrating owning him and changed last week to Arnautovic.

“Arnautovic is, without doubt, the best pick, assuming you don’t own him already. If you need a bit of money to get him I’d downgrade the weakest link elsewhere in your team to make it possible.

“Wilson is the man on fire at the moment and while it can’t be considered a bad move to go for him given his form over 11 Gameweeks, I feel Bournemouth’s form is due to dip. In part because of fixtures and also because they’re a team who seem to play in cycles and average out in the end to a solid mid-table finish.

“Personally, Murray isn’t for me although some returns would be likely. I’d rather look to find the money to upgrade to Vardy (fixtures) or Morata (Sarri’s latest enlightened pupil?).

“If money’s tight, you own Arnautovic already and are looking for something different, Zaha could be a shout. Spurs and Man United aren’t looking great defensively and after that, his fixtures become enticing, especially as he’ll be one of the most nailed forwards over the Christmas period.”

Question 5 – Lejuan

Victor Valov: Richarlison or Gylfi Sigurdsson (or both)?

“I think there could be a strong argument for either Richarlison or Sigurdsson.

“The Icelandic international has been on a really nice run lately and is getting into great scoring positions, which is in addition to his fantastic creative ability.

“I do, however, feel Richarlison has more potential and could hurt you more with his ownership. He’s cheaper too.

“If you don’t own either and don’t have a great rank then Sigurdsson would be my choice to propel you upwards.”

Become a Member and access our data

Memberships for the 2018/19 campaign are now available for the price of just £15.

Join now to get the following:

  • Plot your transfer strategies using the fully interactive Season Ticker.
  • Get projections for every Premier League player provided by the Rate My Team statistical model.
  • Use Rate My Team throughout the season to guide your selections and transfers.
  • Get access to over 130+ exclusive members articles over the season.
  • Analyse our OPTA-powered statistic tables specifically tailored for Fantasy Football Managers.
  • Use our exclusive tool to build custom stats tables from over 100 OPTA player and team stats.
  • View heatmaps and expected goals data for every player.
  • Use our powerful comparison tool to analyse players head-to-head.

CLICK HERE TO BECOME A FANTASY FOOTBALL SCOUT MEMBER

1,403 Comments Post a Comment
  1. DA Minnion
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 5 days ago

    Would love to see llorente score. Has had such a raw deal at spurs.

    1. DA Minnion
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 5 days ago

      There you go.

  2. Pieterke30
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 5 days ago

    Might downgrade Ederson to afford Mitro to Arnie.

    To who?
    Most seem to favour Fabianski? Great fixtures and historically good for save points (at Swansea). But can WHM actually defend? One single CS so far, and Pellegrini is an attack-minded manager.

    Why not go for Patricio? Isnt he the best sub-5.0 GK in the game for the whole season?

    1. Inazuma X1
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 5 days ago

      I am leaning towards Fab but honestly can't decide between these 3:

      1. Fabianski
      2. Ryan
      3. Patricio

      1. Inazuma X1
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 5 days ago

        among*

        1. ChristoBisto
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 5 days ago

          Between was correct.

  3. Ha.
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 5 days ago

    1-1
    Kane

    1. Ha.
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 5 days ago

      Llorente A

  4. Team Cruel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 5 days ago

    OMG Kane

  5. Inazuma X1
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 5 days ago

    HALP. Can't decide between Fabianski or Ryan.

    1. Pieterke30
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 5 days ago

      Then just get Patricio imo

      1. Inazuma X1
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 5 days ago

        Only thing stopping me is that I have Doherty too

        1. Pieterke30
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          1 month, 5 days ago

          Yeah.

          Imo, Patricio - Fabianski - Ryan. In that order

    2. TaiwanHC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 5 days ago

      Fab

  6. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 5 days ago

    OMG kane

    1. Patch
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 5 days ago

      Might be time to start shoring up funds to have Kane...

      1. Pieterke30
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 5 days ago

        Because he scored a goal right now?

        1. RonChi
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          1 month, 5 days ago

          2 🙂

    1. ted mcsheenery
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 5 days ago

      cheers

  7. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 5 days ago

    Thoughts on this plan people? Cheers 🙂

    GW12: Mitro >> Ings
    GW13: Firmino >> Kun
    GW14: Richarlison >> Pedro (1 week punt FUL home)
    GW15: WC (get Spurs / Arsenal and a strong squad for the tough Christmas rotation)

    Pat
    Robbo Alonso Mendy
    Hazard Richarlison Salah Kenedy
    Firmino Arnie Mitrovic
    (Hamer / Cairney / AWB / Bennett)

    1. Inazuma X1
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 5 days ago

      Just tell us your WC plans? xD

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 5 days ago

        Haha 🙂

  8. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 5 days ago

    Trent coming on. Double shift tonight

  9. Scotty B
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 5 days ago

    Surely if you have TAA you play him this week at home to Fulham?

    If he doesn't play as expected he gets auto subbed out

    1. Syd.
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 5 days ago

      That is correct Shirley

    2. Inazuma X1
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 5 days ago

      Depends on your subs.

    3. TaiwanHC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 5 days ago

      You are completely right

    4. the snazzy viking
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 5 days ago

      thanks sherlock

  10. Team Cruel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 5 days ago

    Kane has a very good record in London derbies and he has three in a row coming up. Avoid at your own peril.

    1. Syd.
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 5 days ago

      Ok

    2. Bolivian Seaman
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 5 days ago

      The london derby theory is actually wrong but I do think kane is going to do well

      1. RonChi
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        1 month, 5 days ago

        Can you please explain to me why you think he will do well. I am trying to learn how managers think.

    3. Pieterke30
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 5 days ago

      Too expensive

    4. the snazzy viking
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 5 days ago

      blank v West Ham

  11. Inazuma X1
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 5 days ago

    How do you change your display picture?

    1. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 5 days ago

      Don't.

      Remain gravless.

    2. Yank Revolution
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 5 days ago

      Gravatar.com

  12. Forza Papac
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 5 days ago

    1-0 Barca

  13. Batigol
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 5 days ago

    Apologies, this has almost certainly already been asked and answered, but was the TAA substitution tonight tactical or due to an injury?

    1. Syd.
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 5 days ago

      Tactical

      He wasn't having a good game

      1. Batigol
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 5 days ago

        Thanks. Hasn’t played well for a while now to be honest. Was surprised to see him start against such a physical team.

  14. dark91
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 5 days ago

    And Malcom "the fraud" scores

  15. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 5 days ago

    Did Mitro drop last night and he’s on -79 already? I’ve lose 0.2 on him already 🙁

    1. Pieterke30
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 5 days ago

      Is he gonna drop again tonight, we think?

      1. Ha.
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 5 days ago

        Not tonight, but next coupl of days

      2. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 5 days ago

        This week again for sure but I’m trying to hold out for pressers. Think I’m getting Ings got a 3 game punt

  16. Ha.
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 5 days ago

    That was a chance, Llorente...

  17. Inazuma X1
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 5 days ago

    GriezmannnnnnNN!!

  18. Grievez
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 5 days ago

    Gomez or Lovren the better option?

  19. Spiderman Utd
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 5 days ago

    If season was to end today, who do you think would rise/fall the most in price for next season. I think Arnie+ and Jesus-.

    1. Ha.
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 5 days ago

      Richarlison?

      1. Ha.
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 5 days ago

        Jota a 4.5m mid

    2. Syd.
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 5 days ago

      Salah

      £13 million for 67 points just wouldn't be justified

    3. Hits from the Bong
        1 month, 5 days ago

        Hazard has risen the most.

      • Inazuma X1
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 5 days ago

        Hazard+

        Otamendi- (if he doesn't get starts?)

      • Silecro
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 5 days ago

        Fraser and Lukaku

      • ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 5 days ago

        Arnie and Sanchez

      • Hits from the Bong
          1 month, 5 days ago

          Wilson+ Sanchez-

      • Nosy Nutella
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 5 days ago

        Which transfer should I do?

        A) Fraser and Lascalles —> Shaqiri and Balbuena

        B) Lascalles and Pereira —> VVD and Balbuena

      • ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 5 days ago

        OMG kane.

        1. Nosy Nutella
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 5 days ago

          OMG

      • Ha.
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 5 days ago

        2-1
        Kane

        1. Ha.
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 5 days ago

          Only the two deflections

      • Team Cruel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 5 days ago

        The real Kane is back

      • Syd.
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 5 days ago

        Spurs 2-1

        Europa League here they come

      • Monkey Hanger
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 5 days ago

        HARRYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY

      • ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 5 days ago

        Kane essential

      • ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 5 days ago

        News article please

        "Is kane essential?'

      • the snazzy viking
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 5 days ago

        Kane = god

      • diesel001
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 5 days ago

        No Lucas and Kane scores two goals. What a surprise

        Poch needs to screw Moura - put him back on the bench and go back to the Son-Eriksen-Alli-Kane attack.

        1. Pieterke30
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          1 month, 5 days ago

          Kane started playing well when moura came off, indeed

          1. diesel001
            • 2 Years
            1 month, 5 days ago

            Of course:

            1) Moura dribbles when he should pass to Kane
            2) Moura's passing is that good so if he tries to pass to Kane it isn't as successful as another Spurs player
            3) Moura is more selfish than his replacements so takes some of Kane's shots
            4) If Moura is wide his crossing is terrible so he can't assist Kane