Spot the Differential

Kolasinac’s penalty box touches make him an appealing FPL differential

With yet another Fantasy Premier League Gameweek upon us, we’ve taken to championing the cases of three overlooked FPL assets in our regular Friday feature.

All of these differentials have an FPL ownership of 3% or less and each player enjoys an appealing home fixture in Gameweek 16.

Javier Hernandez (£6.3m)

FPL ownership: 2.7%

A hamstring injury sustained by Marko Arnautovic (£7.1m) leaves a West Ham-shaped hole in many Fantasy managers’ squads, with the Austrian set to be unavailable for the next month.

The Hammers’ fixtures are the best in the league over the next six Gameweeks (at least, according to our Season Ticker) and there has been plenty of Fantasy investment over the past month, with Lukasz Fabianski (£4.6m) and Felipe Anderson (£7.2m) both rising in price in the past few days.

Another West Ham player to enjoy a price hike last night was our first differential pick of the week: Javier Hernandez.

Chicarito’s place in the West Ham starting XI looks perhaps even more secure now, with Arnautovic injured and there being room for two strikers in Manuel Pellegrini’s 4-4-2.

Lucas Perez (£6.2m) and Andy Carroll (£5.4m) may eat into Hernandez’s gametime over the coming month but this weekend we’re backing the Mexican striker to deliver at home against Crystal Palace.

Hernandez’s performance in the win over Cardiff in midweek admittedly causes some concern, with the striker not having a single penalty box touch or shot on goal before his substitution midway through the second half.

The Mexico international was starved of service against the Bluebirds though and we’ll instead focus on his display at St. James’ Park a week ago, when he scored twice and racked up four big chances against the Magpies – twice as many as any FPL forward in Gameweek 14.

No team has created more of these big chances over the last five Gameweeks than the Hammers, with only two clubs having recorded more shots in the box over that period.

Sead Kolasinac (£4.9m)

FPL ownership: 1.5%

Arsenal are one of only three clubs in the Premier League not to have registered a clean sheet over the last eight Gameweeks but this differential defender’s appeal is less about his side’s solidity at the back and more concerned with his attacking potential.

Sead Kolasinac has registered an incredible 27 penalty box touches over the last four Gameweeks, nine more than any other FPL defender and indeed more than any forward has managed during this period.

While he has only recorded two attempts on goal over the last four rounds of Premier League matches, no defender can better his record of ten key passes and three big chances created over that spell.

Two assists in the 2-1 win over Bournemouth a fortnight ago highlighted his attacking potential, which has been increased since Unai Emery switched to a wing-back system.

The injury to Rob Holding (£4.4m) is a worry given the dearth of fit centre-halves available to Emery and if the Gunners boss wishes to continue with a 3-4-2-1 he may be relying on the return to fitness of Nacho Monreal (£5.4m) this weekend.

Nevertheless, even as an orthodox left-back Kolasinac can be counted upon to bomb forward at will and, from a defensive perspective, the Gunners will be up against a Huddersfield side who have created fewer big chances away from home than any other Premier League club in 2018/19.

Victor Camarasa (£4.6m)

FPL ownership: 1.5%

Callum Paterson (£5.3m) is the obvious go-to Cardiff City asset this Saturday for the match against Southampton, given that the “out of position” FPL midfielder looks set to lead the line against a Saints side that has conceded more goals (15) than any other Premier League club over the last five Gameweeks.

However, we’ll instead look towards the man who has been supporting him in attack over the past few weeks: Victor Camarasa.

The budget midfielder and set-piece specialist has effectively been playing as a “number 10” behind Paterson recently and with FPL managers casting a wary eye over the inevitable rotation over the coming month, Cardiff’s on-loan midfielder could be a decent bench fodder option to be called upon in an emergency: Camarasa has started the last 14 games for the Welsh club since his move from Betis.

Our interest was piqued further this morning when Neil Warnock confirmed that Camarasa would succeed Joe Ralls (£4.7m) as the Bluebirds’ first-choice penalty-taker from this weekend onwards.

No budget midfield option available for under £5.0m has created as many chances as Camarasa this season, either.

With Kenneth Zohore (£4.7m) set for a return to fitness by Gameweek 18, Paterson’s run as a makeshift striker could be coming to an end – but the corner-taking Camarasa looks as secure as any player in Warnock’s starting XI.

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874 Comments Post a Comment
  1. West Hammered
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    anybody else thinking about selling Alonso, seems his one bad game from being dropped

    1. fr3d
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Yes

    2. Champione
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      considering TAA or cheap def to get funds for premium attackers

    3. Valar(Keith)
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Yup.. TAA Doherty and Digne/Kola every week just looks like too much value to ignore at the moment

      1. West Hammered
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        not sure on Kola as monreal back in training now but I'm thinking of either Bellerin or TAA to replace him already have Doherty and Robertson

    4. R.C
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Just read Sarri's comments

    5. ThisTimeNxtYrRodney
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      He's out after this week for me to acommodate bringing in laca or auba. I've got him first on bench this week as well as I don't fancy any returns against city. I have a feeling he is ready for a rest.

    6. maratus
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Im happy to own him, season keeper.

  2. AC Yew
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Any ideas what to do here guys:
    Ederson
    Robertson | Digne | Alonso | Doherty
    Salah | Hazard | Gray | Fraser 
    Aubemayang | Arnautovic 
    (AwB | Kamara | Masuaku) £1.0 in the bank. 1 FT

    Was planning Salah --Sterling & Arnautovic - Lacazette but due to price rises 0.1 short 
    Wildcard still to play.

    TIA

    1. Champione
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Think I would use the wildcard

      1. Millie7
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        not wildcard worthy

      2. AC Yew
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Considered this but only about 5 changes I would make on a wildcard so considering leaving for a few weeks as backup for injuries and bringing in players that hit form in that time

    2. R.C
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Hazard to Sterling
      Arnie to Jimenez?

  3. Champione
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Save or get a Arsenal cap? 1 FT, 0.0 ITB. Auba or Laca means Alonso or Salah out.

    Dubravka
    Robertson Doherty Digne Diop
    Salah (C) Sterling Felipe Anderson Richarlison
    Jimenez

    Hamer Alonso Mitrovic Arnie

  4. Reckoner
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    (repost, sorry!)

    Quick poll: Perreira (Lei) to Kolasinac for a -4 ? (would bench AWB).

    Surely a CS at least for ARS?

    1. Champione
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      yes, more fun!

    2. BenDavies
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      no

  5. El-Kloppico
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Has there been any presser from Mou? Any news on Martial?

    1. mgilbert86
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      He will have late fitness test but we prob wont hear anything prior to the game

      1. La Roja
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        I was wonder if there is a cool kid who would post training pics

      2. El-Kloppico
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Cheers.
        Disgusted for bringing him instead of the like of DSilva or Eriksen.. juat because of the Soton game.. and he was benched.

        1. mgilbert86
          • 11 Years
          5 years, 3 months ago

          I would sell, its not like you want him against liverpool regardless of fulham game

        2. The 5% Team
          • 5 Years
          5 years, 3 months ago

          same here...at least he got a goal last match

  6. La Roja
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Why Sarri was talking about Alonso vs Emerson at press conference?

    Feels like Mark sneaked in and asked FPL related questions...

    1. El-Kloppico
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Coz he has the option..

    2. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      This place is seriously obsessed with Mark.

      1. BenDavies
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Yeah, he's only the creator of the site or something

      2. Arctic monkeys
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        It's mark's place

  7. BobbyDoesNotLook
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    I am finally ready to let Mane go.

    Sane or Son(/other Spurs), I have Kane and zero City players currently? Short and long term answers wanted since I still have wc.

    Also who to play if Mane to Sane/Son? Current:

    Fab (Pat)
    Doherty Robbo Alonso (Laporte, Awb)
    Salah Sane/Son Richarlison Fraser (Stephens)
    Kane (C) Wilson Jimenez

    So many players playing each other 😐

    1. SAKA AND EMILE SMITH ROWE
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      City MF’s are a must, got Sané/Sterling myself and want B.Silva aswell for Richarlison next GW, highest scoring team this season by some way

  8. J.Litmanen
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    this WC gtg?
    Fabianski
    TAA - Bellerin - Doherty
    Sterling - F.Anderson - Richarlison - Sané
    Kane - Aubameyang - Jimenez

    Hamer, AWB, Schindler, Gunnarsson.

    Would this be better:

    A: Downgrade Sané to Son, upgrade Doherty to Laporte and run a 4-4-2 instead?

    1. BobbyDoesNotLook
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Did you mean upgrade some other def? I would not use money to upgrade Doherty because after he scores again you can visit tori.

      1. J.Litmanen
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        well I could upgrade TAA or Bellerin to Laporte I suppose, but would that make sense? Can't afford Schindler to Laporte.

        1. BobbyDoesNotLook
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 3 months ago

          I have Laporte and have not been a huge fan because only attacking returns could come from set pieces. I would be quite happy with those assets.

  9. Team Cruel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    What moves is Mark making this GW?

    1. El-Kloppico
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Forward and backward imo

    2. R.C
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Probs removing Arnie

  10. Merlinho
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Start Foster or Hennessey this weekend?

    1. BenDavies
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      hennessey

  11. HD7
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Only Robbo and Alonso have survived from the untiuchables.
    Kun Hazard gone and Salah will be replaced by Sterling after this GW.

    Should I also sell one of Robbo Alonso In your point of view?

    1. bombayblues
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Will be taking out Alonso next week. Not getting enough returns for a 7.0 defender

    2. SuperDan
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Kun will be back next week. Everyone will be buying him back then

  12. Mesh
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Which would you rather have going forward?

    A. Salah and Sane
    B. Hazard and Sterling

    1. bombayblues
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      A

    2. BenDavies
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      b

    3. Jules Rimet
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Sane and Sterling

    4. bialk
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Sane and Sterling

  13. bombayblues
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Have the following team

    Fab (Patricio)
    Laporte. Doherty. AWB
    Sane. Martial. Richarlison. Fraser (Mane)
    Kane. Jimenez. Arnie

    1.1 ITB. 1 FT

    1. Arnie = Wilson
    2. Arnie = Hernandez
    3. Arnie + Mane = Laca + Anderson? (-4)

  14. HD7
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    If Holding injury makes Kolasinac constant starter shoud Kola be preferred or Bellerin is the best pick from Arsenal?

  15. George James
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Play one from each ( Already playing Doherty)

    A) Hennessy
    B) Mcarthy

    1) Bennet
    2) AWB

  16. Jules Rimet
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Would you say that this is the season that FPL became mainstream?
    My neighbor plays it, my colleagues at work play it, my friends play it.

    1. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      No. Last season or season before that.

  17. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Captain out of:
    A) Aubameyang
    B) Son
    C) Richarlison
    D) F. Anderson
    Thanks!

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Come on. I think you know.

      1. Not again Shirley
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        You say that but Auba not that obvs as may start on bench. Rich could be the one but I prefer Siggy if you have him

  18. Jaok
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Thoughts on this wildcard?

    Fab steele
    Laporte TAA Doherty awb ____
    Son Sterling _____ rich høybjerg
    Kane aube _____

    A: mitro son fernandez
    B: Jimenez Son Kola
    C: Jimenez Sane Yoshida

  19. PeteMorr
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    A) play Bennett
    B) play AWB
    C) transfer Bennett to anyone (3.6 itb) for a hit, if so who? (rest of def is Robbo/Digne/Trippier)

    1. Lav
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      B

    2. TerryVenables
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      A

  20. Deulofail
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Play Yedlin (WOL) or Antonio (CPL)?

    1. Eat my goal!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Antonio

      1. Deulofail
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Just finished watching I'm Alan Partridge in it's entirety for the first time. Well butter my arse!

        1. Eat my goal!
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          5 years, 3 months ago

          Ha, which series?

          1. Deulofail
            • 8 Years
            5 years, 3 months ago

            Both!

          2. Eat my goal!
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            5 years, 3 months ago

            Coz there was knowing me knowing you back in the 90's

            and then I'm Alan Partridge

            1. Deulofail
              • 8 Years
              5 years, 3 months ago

              I'm Alan Partridge S1 & S2 🙂

              1. Eat my goal!
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 5 Years
                5 years, 3 months ago

                You enjoy? It's cringe at times but also f-ing funny

                1. Deulofail
                  • 8 Years
                  5 years, 3 months ago

                  Yeah very much. The second series is a bit more catch-phrasy than the first, which is good and bad. I found myself laughing out loud a lot, which is always a good sign for a comedy 😀

                  1. Eat my goal!
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 5 Years
                    5 years, 3 months ago

                    Yeh definitely, just search 'eat my goal alan partridge' on google and you'll know where I get my name from.

                    My fav bit of the series you watched is when he pierced his foot on the fence and then has to do the speech - funny sh*t

                    1. Deulofail
                      • 8 Years
                      5 years, 3 months ago

                      Yeah I'd already seen los of AP prior to watching the series, and quote a lot of it with my friends, including your username 😆

                      Lynn, I've pierced my foot on a spaiiiiiiiik

    2. Flaming Flamingo
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Yedlin

  21. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    KDB back soon according to Mr. Pep

    Soon we’ll be seeing [Sterling-Sané-KDB] teams

    Might do it myself

    1. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Unlikely, from a price perspective.

      1. Jules Rimet
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        105 tv its happening

        1. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
          • 14 Years
          5 years, 3 months ago

          This - my TV hit 105.5 with another couple of potential risers tonight...

          Sané is still at his base price & KDB is 0.3 below base, it’s feasible (if one were so inclined) to have all three

    2. BigBillyBass
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      KDB is far too risky in the short term

      1. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Agreed he needs a game or two, another great option when he’s properly back thouh

        1. BigBillyBass
          • 5 Years
          5 years, 3 months ago

          Agreed

  22. Duka
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Play one:

    a) Paterson (SOU)
    b) Digne (WAT)
    c) Doherty (new)

    1. Duka
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Sry,thats play 2 out of 3...

      1. Nomar
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        B and C

    2. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      C

    3. Rage Against The Raheem
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      B and C

  23. Merlinho
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Kolasinic or double up with TAA on Liverpool - which is the best mid-term do you guys think?

    1. Duka
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Kola short term, maybe mid term. TAA long term.

  24. R.C
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Is Trippier's price locked?

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Not sure. Nobody is buying or selling though.

    2. Eat my goal!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Only locked when Red flags are removed

    3. Legomané
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      No, not unless Red is removed and goes straight to Green is my understanding.

  25. BigBillyBass
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Who scores more points over the next 5 GWs?

    A) Chicharito + Fabianski
    B) Rondon + Doherty

    1. Lav
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      A

  26. Lav
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Best Arnie replacement? Have Schurrle & Wilson already.

    1. BigBillyBass
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Mitro or Chicharito

    2. Duka
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Mitro,Rondon,Jimenez

    3. Rage Against The Raheem
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Mitro seems most obvious with good fixtures coming up or more of a punt option is Rashford.

    4. Deulofail
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Check out the HT and the article it's under

  27. Pablitto
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Guys which 4,5M def is worth -4 ?

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      None really. Balbuena could be worth a punt.

  28. R.C
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Anyone going (K)ane over Auba?

    1. SAKA AND EMILE SMITH ROWE
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      I did on WC and went for Laca as my Arsenal attacker

  29. DaveVak
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Bench one of:
    1. Doherty (new)
    2. D.Silva (che) - Have Sterling
    3. Jimenez (new)
    4. Martial (FUL) - pre-injury, may not start

  30. La Roja
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Who is expected to replace Holding? I can’t see Kos or Nacho starting tomorrow.

    1. Legomané
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Perhaps Kola as RB in a back 4?

      1. Legomané
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        duh..LB