Spot the Differential

Kolasinac’s penalty box touches make him an appealing FPL differential

With yet another Fantasy Premier League Gameweek upon us, we’ve taken to championing the cases of three overlooked FPL assets in our regular Friday feature.

All of these differentials have an FPL ownership of 3% or less and each player enjoys an appealing home fixture in Gameweek 16.

Javier Hernandez (£6.3m)

FPL ownership: 2.7%

A hamstring injury sustained by Marko Arnautovic (£7.1m) leaves a West Ham-shaped hole in many Fantasy managers’ squads, with the Austrian set to be unavailable for the next month.

The Hammers’ fixtures are the best in the league over the next six Gameweeks (at least, according to our Season Ticker) and there has been plenty of Fantasy investment over the past month, with Lukasz Fabianski (£4.6m) and Felipe Anderson (£7.2m) both rising in price in the past few days.

Another West Ham player to enjoy a price hike last night was our first differential pick of the week: Javier Hernandez.

Chicarito’s place in the West Ham starting XI looks perhaps even more secure now, with Arnautovic injured and there being room for two strikers in Manuel Pellegrini’s 4-4-2.

Lucas Perez (£6.2m) and Andy Carroll (£5.4m) may eat into Hernandez’s gametime over the coming month but this weekend we’re backing the Mexican striker to deliver at home against Crystal Palace.

Hernandez’s performance in the win over Cardiff in midweek admittedly causes some concern, with the striker not having a single penalty box touch or shot on goal before his substitution midway through the second half.

The Mexico international was starved of service against the Bluebirds though and we’ll instead focus on his display at St. James’ Park a week ago, when he scored twice and racked up four big chances against the Magpies – twice as many as any FPL forward in Gameweek 14.

No team has created more of these big chances over the last five Gameweeks than the Hammers, with only two clubs having recorded more shots in the box over that period.

Sead Kolasinac (£4.9m)

FPL ownership: 1.5%

Arsenal are one of only three clubs in the Premier League not to have registered a clean sheet over the last eight Gameweeks but this differential defender’s appeal is less about his side’s solidity at the back and more concerned with his attacking potential.

Sead Kolasinac has registered an incredible 27 penalty box touches over the last four Gameweeks, nine more than any other FPL defender and indeed more than any forward has managed during this period.

While he has only recorded two attempts on goal over the last four rounds of Premier League matches, no defender can better his record of ten key passes and three big chances created over that spell.

Two assists in the 2-1 win over Bournemouth a fortnight ago highlighted his attacking potential, which has been increased since Unai Emery switched to a wing-back system.

The injury to Rob Holding (£4.4m) is a worry given the dearth of fit centre-halves available to Emery and if the Gunners boss wishes to continue with a 3-4-2-1 he may be relying on the return to fitness of Nacho Monreal (£5.4m) this weekend.

Nevertheless, even as an orthodox left-back Kolasinac can be counted upon to bomb forward at will and, from a defensive perspective, the Gunners will be up against a Huddersfield side who have created fewer big chances away from home than any other Premier League club in 2018/19.

Victor Camarasa (£4.6m)

FPL ownership: 1.5%

Callum Paterson (£5.3m) is the obvious go-to Cardiff City asset this Saturday for the match against Southampton, given that the “out of position” FPL midfielder looks set to lead the line against a Saints side that has conceded more goals (15) than any other Premier League club over the last five Gameweeks.

However, we’ll instead look towards the man who has been supporting him in attack over the past few weeks: Victor Camarasa.

The budget midfielder and set-piece specialist has effectively been playing as a “number 10” behind Paterson recently and with FPL managers casting a wary eye over the inevitable rotation over the coming month, Cardiff’s on-loan midfielder could be a decent bench fodder option to be called upon in an emergency: Camarasa has started the last 14 games for the Welsh club since his move from Betis.

Our interest was piqued further this morning when Neil Warnock confirmed that Camarasa would succeed Joe Ralls (£4.7m) as the Bluebirds’ first-choice penalty-taker from this weekend onwards.

No budget midfield option available for under £5.0m has created as many chances as Camarasa this season, either.

With Kenneth Zohore (£4.7m) set for a return to fitness by Gameweek 18, Paterson’s run as a makeshift striker could be coming to an end – but the corner-taking Camarasa looks as secure as any player in Warnock’s starting XI.

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874 Comments Post a Comment
  1. tabby98
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Richarlison or Son?

    1. Kub3
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Richarlison. Guaranteed starts.

    2. FPL Forward Thinker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Richarlison this week . Son 17&18

    3. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Rich

  2. FPL Maldini
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Are we convinced that Kane will start with Barca around the corner?

    1. fr3d
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      People say so

    2. Kun Tozser
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      When does he get rested?

    3. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Yes

    4. Champagne supernova
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      I reckon he will start on the bench and come on if they need him, they have a must win game midwweek.

      1. F_Ivanovic
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Only thing that concerns me slightly is that he wasn't brought off after being 3-0 - seems strange to keep him on unless he's confident he can play every match without a rest.

        But Leicester won't be easy and Kane will start. He'll get rested at Burnley (H) if at all.

    5. FPL Forward Thinker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      I’d be more surprised if he didn’t start tbh

    6. Eat my goal!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      I think he starts and plays 65mins

  3. Stimps
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Good to go here bench wise etc? 4m itb

    Ryan
    Doherty TAA Kolasinac
    Salah Sterling Richarlison Anderson Fraser
    Auba (c) Wilson

    Hamer Ings Bennett AWB

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Yes I suppose. What’s your plan for the cash?

  4. goriuanx
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Time to switch grav for a bit.

    🙂

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Here goes.

      1. goriuanx
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        I tried to find a horse as beautiful as yours but such beauty doesn't exist.

        1. Rupert The Horse
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          5 years, 3 months ago

          I actually owned this horse.

          1. goriuanx
            • 13 Years
            5 years, 3 months ago

            What a beautiful horse indeed.

            I opted for the goat for my grav 😉

          2. Deulofail
            • 8 Years
            5 years, 3 months ago

            Slavery!

            1. Rupert The Horse
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 11 Years
              5 years, 3 months ago

              Ha. Brilliant

    2. La Roja
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Smaller forehead, giant pony tail

      Approved.

  5. Scotty B
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Schmeichel
    TAA Trippier Digne Alonso
    Richarlison Dilva Anderson Hazard
    Arnie Kane

    Stekelenburg Pereyra AWB Kamara

    1.5m ITB & 1 FT.

    Trippier & Arnie > Kolasanic & Lacazette (c) for a -4. Yay or nay?

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Neigh.

    2. SAKA AND EMILE SMITH ROWE
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Yes

    3. Eat my goal!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      yep - I think it stands a good chance of paying off

      1. Scotty B
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks

    4. fr3d
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      I know it's fun to be the only one in the world with Schmeichel but might be time to get rid soon

      1. Scotty B
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        8, 6, 2, 6, 5 last 5 game points 🙂

        1. fr3d
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 3 months ago

          😮

  6. Kun Tozser
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Ederson or Patricio?

    Wilson or Doherty?

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Ederson and Wilson.

    2. FPL Forward Thinker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Ederson and Wilson

  7. tabby98
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Hazard & Arnie ---> Auba & Richarlison for a -4?

    1. FPL Forward Thinker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      You’re gonna want Hazard back for his run from Gw17 ....no ?

    2. fr3d
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Looks good

    3. Wonderful Wizard Hazard
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      yup

  8. Blue&White85
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Captain Kane or Lacazette please?

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Laca

    2. Champagne supernova
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Lacezette

    3. Miles105
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      might get laca in and captain

    4. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Laca

    5. FPL Forward Thinker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Arsenal man unless you wanna watch spurs game late Saturday night

  9. Kub3
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Is anyone who has Auba and Salah captaining Salah? Just have a feeling he might get a couple tomorrow because I can see that game being really open.

    1. Greenbackbøøg…
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Liverpool games are never open this year

      1. Kub3
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        That’s true but both teams play attacking football.

    2. Basil1977
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      i own both and going Salah, i fancy an open game with goals where i feel huddersfield will keep it tight against arsenal.

  10. Greenbackbøøg…
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Last wildcard dilemma:

    Felipe + Kamara or
    Wilson + benchfodder mid (already own Fraser)

    1. goriuanx
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Wilson and Snodgrass?

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Not a bad call

      2. Greenbackbøøg…
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Could do this but would have a defence of Cedric + 4.4 + Kiko + AWB + Robbo, maybe a bit weak. Also don't like the idea of a benching dilemma every week

      3. Greenbackbøøg…
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Wonder if snoddy could be on penalties now without arnauto hmm

  11. HD7
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Buy:
    A) Bellerin
    B) Kola

    Captain:
    1)Auba
    2) Kane

    1. jimmy.floyd
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      B1

  12. OLLY G
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Which order would you bench these please?

    AWB
    Bennett
    Gibbs-White

    Thanks.

    1. jimmy.floyd
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Like you did

  13. jimmy.floyd
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Play two
    A Wilson
    B Fraser
    C Alonso
    D AWB

  14. Nightf0x
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    deiscion to be made in here, What to do? (WC in gw17)

    A- replace arnie, play 2 of wilson/martial/AWB/mahrez
    B- arnie martial -4 to dsilva andone (or) laca march (or) Fanderson chicha/murray/perez, play 1 mahrez/wilson/awb
    C- arnie mahrez -4 to laca snod, play awb/wilson

    1. Wonderful Wizard Hazard
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      a - doesn't seem worth it to take hits before a wc, why not just wc now?

      1. Nightf0x
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        gw17 will have a whole week to play around with the WC, which is better

    2. jimmy.floyd
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      A

  15. valurth
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Captain Laca or Auba, have both

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Auba

    2. Numb
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Same here. I will probably go Auba even though I marginally prefer Laca's chances this week.

    3. jimmy.floyd
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Auba

    4. Footballprofessor
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      I go with Laca

  16. Forza Papac
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    If like me you own defenders from Liverpool, Wolves, Palace and are potentially looking to ship Alonso to Bellerin/Kola, I'd have a look at GW20.

    Liverpool v Arsenal
    Palace v Chelsea
    Spurs v Wolves

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      We will annihilate Arsenal.

      1. Forza Papac
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Who are you? Paul Merson?

  17. Come on you Kante
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    I have Kane but who else would be s good selection from spurs team?
    Ali/Eriksen/any def??

    1. Greenbackbøøg…
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Lloris maybe, Vertonghen, Son

    2. jimmy.floyd
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Eriksen

    3. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Lloris and Son

  18. cescpistols111
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Best replacements for Mane & Arnautovic? Current team is:

    Ederson Hamer
    Alonso TAA Digne AwB Doherty
    Hazard Mane Alli Rich Stephens
    Aguero Arnautovic Wilson

  19. Lord Flashheart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Auba or laca?

    Money does matter, and whoever comes is will be capped

    1. Giroud Depardieu
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Laca

  20. WrightnBright
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Silly season has officially begun for me. Always seem to take bigger risks and hits which I don’t do the rest of season! Can’t even blame excessive alcohol -yet!

    Just done a -12 for this lot, sexy bench eh?

    Hennessey
    Doherty TAA AWB
    Sane Sterling Richarlison Anderson
    Aubameyang(c) Lacazette Kane

    Hamer Schindler Gibbs-White Peltier

    1. jimmy.floyd
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Defence too weak

    2. XabiAlonso
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Some attack

      1. WrightnBright
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Yep, going AAT and see what happens! Having abit more fun with it rather than hoping on cleanies which are typically sparse over Xmas

    3. F_Ivanovic
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      How much is that team value?

  21. Deulofail
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Anyone else use Better FPL? I keep getting palpitations from the yellow flag they have on Lacazette for some reason.

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Nope

    2. Giroud Depardieu
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      The only flag Laca will be seeing is the white flag from Huddersfield

      1. Deulofail
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks for the reassurance mate 😀

  22. La Roja
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Need help

    A) Arnie Martial ➡ Laca Snoddy -4

    B) Arnie Alonso ➡ Laca Hector/Kola -4

    1. goriuanx
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      A for me.

    2. BigBillyBass
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      A as Martial is a doubt

    3. jimmy.floyd
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      B

    4. valurth
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      B

  23. BigBillyBass
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Do we reckon Chicharito is nailed now Arnie is out? Or will Pellegrini go with Perez/Carroll instead

  24. FPL Maldini
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Which one is a better captain punt?

    A) Alli

    B) Richarlison

    1. BenDavies
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      b

  25. Scotty B
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Doherty or Kolasanic?

    1. jimmy.floyd
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Kola

    2. Deulofail
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      To own? Doherty fo sho

    3. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Kola

  26. Daniel Exeter
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Anyone considering an Auba + Laca double up?

    1. Giroud Depardieu
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Did it last week

  27. Meinhoff
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Why no talk of Mkhi? Surely he's nailed with Ozil out of the team. And for only 6.7

    1. Lallama
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      He's so nailed that he did not start last match when ozil was out

    2. goriuanx
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Never, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever again.

    3. Lemongrab
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Probably because he's been awful this season.

    4. UnitedFan
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Nah fam, man's a dickhead blud, y'understand?

    5. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      He’s permanently excommunicated along with Walcott

    6. Garth Marenghi
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      Despite what everyone is saying, it could work, but short term, like this gw only.

  28. cuppatea78
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Thinking of selling Hazard for Sane this week and then Salah for Sterling next week.

    Good idea or bad?

    1. Garth Marenghi
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      No you want Raheem this week if you’re getting a city mid.

      1. cuppatea78
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 3 months ago

        Would love him this week but miss.out by £0.1 so can't afford him unless I sell Salah this week for him.

  29. valurth
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Who to Bench
    1 Doherty
    2 Digne
    3 TAA
    4 Wilson

    1. cuppatea78
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 3 months ago

      No idea. Tough one that

  30. Kuzser
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 3 months ago

    Looking for more opinions please!
    I have Trippier and Arnie and both are out...What is the best move?
    1) Trippier-> Bellerin/kola, play Fraser and camarasa
    2) play awb, keep trippier, Arnie-> Jimenez/ Chicha 
    3) Trippier-> bellerin/kola, Arnie-> Jimenez/Chicha for -4
    4) save ft, then reassess 

    Fab 4.0
    Taa Digne awb (trippier, schindler)
    Sane sterling Anderson Fraser camarasa
    Auba Kane (Arnie)