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Injuries uncover budget differentials for Double Gameweek 35

As we come to the business end of the season, one last opportunity presents itself to score 100+ points in a matter of days and to ultimately gain lost ground in mini-leagues through Double Gameweek 35.

With the exception of Arsenal, none of the top six teams has what I would consider reasonable back-to-back games during this period.

It makes it all the more important to look out for those differentials that can provide an extra edge.

Here are three low-owned players that may be of interest to you…


Nacho Monreal

Price: £5.4m

Ownership: 1.3%

DGW35 fixtures: Crystal Palace (home) | Wolves (away)

There is no denying that Arsenal have struggled defensively this season. They only kept their first away clean sheet in the league on Monday night (the last team to do so) and that was against a 10-man Watford team.

However, things are beginning to click with their backline after registering three clean sheets in their last four games. They missed Laurent Koscielny for most of the season which meant that at times they struggled with a makeshift defence, but now that he has re-established himself in the side, they are making improvements.

Nacho Monreal (£5.4m) has been an ever-present for the majority of this calendar year. Although his offensive prowess has not yielded much in the way of attacking returns this season, he did score five goals and two assists in the 2017/18 campaign.

One thing of note compared to last year is that Monreal is getting more of his touches on average in the final third (20% v 15.5%), which shows that he is still able to reach the right places and in turn it underpins his four attacking returns since August. The Spaniard is more than capable of adding to that tally before the end of the season.

As for Arsenal’s next two opponents, Crystal Palace have only scored three goals at the Emirates since February 2014 and Wolves are averaging less than a goal per game from Gameweek 30.

Both of these reasons, combined with Arsenal’s recent defensive form makes Monreal viable even if Arsenal’s European commitments are due to continue into May.



Abdoulaye Doucouré

Price: £5.9m

Ownership: 2.8%

DGW35 Fixtures: Huddersfield (away) | Southampton (home)

Abdoulaye Doucouré (£5.9m) has been flying under the radar this season and it’s a surprise that his ownership is so low.

The Watford midfielder is one of the highest FPL point scorers in 2018/19 among those in his position that are priced at £6.0m or below.

Doucouré’s heatmaps for the 2016/17 campaign (left) and 2018/19 season (right)

Just from his heatmap alone, you can see how much of a box-to-box midfielder he really is compared to the role he fulfilled in his first campaign in English football.

It is possible that the first impressions he gave off back in the 2016/17 season have stuck with some FPL managers who may not realise how advanced he is now actually playing.

Doucouré has had three shots on target in his last four games, two of which were converted into goals, although he didn’t score for the first 14 Gameweeks.

With Deeney suspended and questions over the fitness of Deulofeu and Pereyra, I expect Doucouré to step up again.

Of course, he seldom starts in a traditional attacking midfield role which is a cause for concern, but he is venturing into the penalty box quite often.

Do not underestimate his importance to Watford’s overall gameplay.

The Hornets’ are playing one of their Double Gameweek 35 matches away from home, the other at Vicarage Road.

Their upcoming opponents have conceded a combined total of 56 goals in 17 Huddersfield home matches and 16 Southampton road-trips since August. I would expect Hornets to score against each of them and given Doucouré is the most likely to start both matches, he feels the Watford asset with the lowest risk attached to them for this Double Gameweek.

Fernando Llorente

Price: £5.1m

Ownership: 0.9%

DGW35 Fixture: Manchester City (away) | Brighton (home)

If there’s one thing we’ve learnt over the last seven days it’s that Tottenham don’t have to rely solely on Harry Kane for their goals.

Mauricio Pochettino’s men have scored seven goals in their last two games.

Fernando Llorente (£5.1m) was involved in two of those goals, which is significant considering that for most of the season he’s effectively been a utility player.

He’s only mustered 13 goals in 58 competitive appearances for Tottenham but you can’t expect much else from a player that doesn’t regularly start in the Premier League.

If his short stint at Swansea was anything to go by, it shows the Llorente can score a goal on average almost every other game in England’s top flight.

Furthermore, in his last string of Premier League starts between Gameweek 23 and 26, the veteran forward recorded a goal and three assists.

The only concern is that even with Kane out he isn’t guaranteed to start as shown on Wednesday night with his game-changing substitute appearance.

It will be interesting to see how Tottenham will play against Man City in a matter of a few days.

This match, as well as their second match against Brighton, are key for their Champions’ League aspirations next season.

With Kane highly unlikely to be involved in Double Gameweek 35 (or the rest of the season for that matter), Llorente is the ideal budget attacking asset from a top-five team.

920 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Mackans
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 1 day ago

    Laporte or Verthongen for the rest of the season?

    1. Walcoff life
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 1 day ago

      Vert

      1. Mackans
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 1 day ago

        Why?

    2. EMBOLOFAN
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 1 day ago

      laporte comfortably

      1. Mackans
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 1 day ago

        Why?

    3. AndyCook
        5 years, 1 day ago

        Vertonghen

        1. Mackans
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 1 day ago

          Why?

          1. AndyCook
              5 years, 1 day ago

              Spurs should be picking up a lot of clean sheets at home - Brighton, West Ham and Everton. Could keep Bournemouth out too, can only see City keeping out three sides as an absolute max. Spurs tend to score less goals too which favours bonus points to defenders.

            • GreennRed
              • 12 Years
              5 years, 1 day ago

              Vertonghen because he's nailed on, Spurs should concede less than City, just!

        2. Eddie
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          5 years, 1 day ago

          Laporte. No CL and city have better defence.

      • JollyGoodYellows
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 1 day ago

        Vardy + Dunk > Llorente + Boly (-4)?

        Means I can do Eriksen > Salah next week.

        1. Walcoff life
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 1 day ago

          Yeah

        2. The_Fish
          • 5 Years
          5 years, 1 day ago

          Not for me

          1. JollyGoodYellows
            • 5 Years
            5 years, 1 day ago

            Other options? Struggling this week

            1. The_Fish
              • 5 Years
              5 years, 1 day ago

              I have both and keeping both. Getting Mane and Firmino in next week for Vardy and Eriksen

      • manu4life99
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 1 day ago

        Duffy to any 6.0m def for a 4pt hit?

        1. ㅤRising
          • 5 Years
          5 years, 1 day ago

          If you have multiple Brighton def then I would do it, go for Vertonghen maybe

      • Walcoff life
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 1 day ago

        Im considering Duffy to Doherty (-4) myself, but you have him aleady

      • UshFPL
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 1 day ago

        1 FT, what to do?
        A. Keep Vardy
        B. Laca
        C. Firmino

        1. The_Fish
          • 5 Years
          5 years, 1 day ago

          I’m doing c next week

      • Kroos Kontrol
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 1 day ago

        Vardy -> Laca worth a hit?

        1. The_Fish
          • 5 Years
          5 years, 1 day ago

          No

        2. Make Arrows Green Again
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 1 day ago

          No

      • Mackans
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 1 day ago

        What's the best option? (I will only play Llorente/Sucess this GW)

        Llorente & Monreal
        Success & Verthongen

        1. The_Fish
          • 5 Years
          5 years, 1 day ago

          A. Success is rubbish.

        2. EMBOLOFAN
          • 5 Years
          5 years, 1 day ago

          B. he's rubbish and he costs nowt and never needs to play

      • DR0GBA
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 1 day ago

        Bottomed

        Ryan - Boruc
        TAA - Robbo - Luiz - Clyne - Jonny
        Hazard - Sterling - Son - Eriksen - Fraser
        Vardy - Barnes - Jimenez

        Vardy, Barnes, Clyne > Llorente, Lacazette, Cathcart (-8)

        Playing BB so need to get rid of Barnes and Clyne

        A) Yes
        B) No

      • popcoin
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 1 day ago

        Duffy -> Koscielny/Monreal/Vertonghen for -4?

        I feel like it’s relying on 1 clean sheet to get 2 or 3 points more than Duffy with hit factored in

        1. Fpl Richie
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          5 years, 1 day ago

          It will make a small gain with a hit - the deciding factor is whether you want them after this week. If that's the case, Spurs look slightly better CS wise.

          1. popcoin
            • 12 Years
            5 years, 1 day ago

            Very true, if good going forward then get them this week for the (small) gain. But GW36 I could play Trent (HUD), Cathcart (WOL) and Valery (BOU).

            Reckon Vertonghen is rotation risk with Champo League?

            1. Fpl Richie
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              5 years, 1 day ago

              He's as nailed as the others if not more so.

      • lankdog
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 1 day ago

        Which one?
        A) Eriksen Ozil Vardy (FT)
        B) Moura Sterling Vardy (-4)
        C) Eriksen Sterling Gray (-8)

      • Amey
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 1 day ago

        United should really try N get Doucoure.
        Beast of a player 😮

      • Mackans
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 1 day ago

        How about Sucess as an enabler, if you only play him this week?

        1. The_Fish
          • 5 Years
          5 years, 1 day ago

          Not nailed, is also rubbish.

        2. thomashl
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 1 day ago

          Just don’t. Had him too much of this season

        3. S.Kuqi
          • 11 Years
          5 years, 1 day ago

          Have and will play him. Not expecting anything

      • some witty pun
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 1 day ago

        So which move is better
        A) Vardy -> Laca
        B) Duffy -> Cathcart?

        1. EMBOLOFAN
          • 5 Years
          5 years, 1 day ago

          A but both are sideways

          1. thomashl
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            5 years, 1 day ago

            How are they sideways? They’re not from the same team and Ars have double fixtures while Vardy doesn’t

      • Tsparkes10
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 1 day ago

        Currently:

        Foster
        Doh Kolas Robo
        Jota Son Moura KDB Martial
        Jimenez Vardy
        (Lloris, Lukaku , Val, Doh)

        Thinking:
        A) Lukaku, Duffy to Firminho, Watford defender (BB)
        B) Lukaku, Martial to Firminho, Mane (BB)
        C) Lukaku, Martial to Mane, DCL. TC Son, Jimenez or Jota and BB 37

        1. AndyCook
            5 years, 1 day ago

            I’m not sure I’d be rushing to get Firmino for this week

          • AndyCook
              5 years, 1 day ago

              Lukaku and Martial to Sterling and Wilson?

              1. Tsparkes10
                • 5 Years
                5 years, 1 day ago

                Not a bad shout that tbf. Kinda wanting to preper for triple pool 36 though. Hmm

                1. AndyCook
                    5 years, 1 day ago

                    B I like a lot. Depends how you feel about going with Sterling for the rest of the season but could be fine! Liverpool boys will do well.

                    1. Tsparkes10
                      • 5 Years
                      5 years, 1 day ago

                      Cheers. It's either Mane or Sterling tbh. Difficult one

            • Atimis
              • 7 Years
              5 years, 1 day ago

              Cant decide between Jimenez and Sterling (c), what are yo doing?

              1. Amey
                • 5 Years
                5 years, 1 day ago

                Raz ©

              2. AndyCook
                  5 years, 1 day ago

                  Which would give you bigger regrets if you got it wrong? Sterling captain

                  1. Atimis
                    • 7 Years
                    5 years, 1 day ago

                    True that

                    1. AndyCook
                        5 years, 1 day ago

                        Jiminez might do well but it has all the marks of being one of those ones that looks a bit mad in hindsight when Sterling is tearing it up

                • The_Fish
                  • 5 Years
                  5 years, 1 day ago

                  Anyone with Sterling not captaining him?

                  1. Robson-Canoe
                    • 8 Years
                    5 years, 1 day ago

                    Lots of people

                  2. The Ejiptian King
                    • 5 Years
                    5 years, 1 day ago

                    Yep, I'm on Aguero.

                  3. tokara
                    • 9 Years
                    5 years, 1 day ago

                    mi, having him is already differential

                  4. PepTalk
                    • 7 Years
                    5 years, 1 day ago

                    I won't be, for a variety of reasons. I'm 40 points behind ml rival so feeling the need to do something different (currently have armband on Son). Secondly, City's fixtures aren't great...they may well batter a rotated Spurs side but I'm not so sure...followed by Utd away- who knows what that game will throw up. Sterling is obviously key for the rest of the season but I'd put Son or Jimi in front of him for this week.

                • Tommo1888
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 14 Years
                  5 years, 1 day ago

                  Jonny , Bennett or Saiss to start both ?? Want a wolves defender but these are all I can afford

                  1. ㅤRising
                    • 5 Years
                    5 years, 1 day ago

                    They are all risks, maybe if you have Duffy you can straight swap to Boly

                • Wild Rover
                  • 13 Years
                  5 years, 1 day ago

                  Nasty, I think Jordan Cousins of QPR has just broken his leg 🙁

                  1. Party time
                      5 years, 1 day ago

                      Sad if true. Eduardo & Ramsey can give him tips on how to recover from that

                  2. thomashl
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 7 Years
                    5 years, 1 day ago

                    GTG / hold transfer?

                    Ryan Foster
                    Robbo Doherty Vert Valery Duffy
                    Son Eriksen Mane Jota JWP
                    Kun Vardy Jimi(c)

                    2.1 itb

                    Thanks!

                  3. The 12th Man
                    • 10 Years
                    5 years, 1 day ago

                    Price no issue.
                    Yoshida or Bertrand to go with Valery?

                    1. Amey
                      • 5 Years
                      5 years, 1 day ago

                      Bertrand

                      1. The 12th Man
                        • 10 Years
                        5 years, 1 day ago

                        In that case think I’m going to dodge Deulofeu because of the yellow flag and go
                        Dunk,Erikson,Deeney > Bertrand,Redmond,Firmino-8

                    2. The_Fish
                      • 5 Years
                      5 years, 1 day ago

                      Bertrand

                  4. Fpl Richie
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 8 Years
                    5 years, 1 day ago

                    Okay, think I can go ahead with...
                    Duffy and Deeney to Llorente and Cathcart (-4). Spreads the risk from a double Brighton defence.

                    Leaves me the money to do...
                    Kola or Doherty to TAA and/or Eriksen to KDB. One for free, the other for a hit (in GW36).
                    Any thoughts? Can just do crazy and add the Erik move early, but it looks 50-50.

                    1. EMBOLOFAN
                      • 5 Years
                      5 years, 1 day ago

                      you dont need to "spread risk" in fpl. duffy to cath isnt worth -4

                      1. Fpl Richie
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 8 Years
                        5 years, 1 day ago

                        It's partly to raise funds if I'm honest, I'd be okay with breaking even.

                        1. EMBOLOFAN
                          • 5 Years
                          5 years, 1 day ago

                          as a whole it still isnt worth a hit

                  5. MarcusAurelius
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 8 Years
                    5 years, 1 day ago

                    Hazard to Sterling for a hit worth it? Already have Kun

                    1. The_Fish
                      • 5 Years
                      5 years, 1 day ago

                      Easily imo.

                      1. MarcusAurelius
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 8 Years
                        5 years, 1 day ago

                        I’m thinking the same. I was going to do it GW36 anyway. ML rival is 30 points behind and has Sterling and Hazard but no Kun

                      2. EMBOLOFAN
                        • 5 Years
                        5 years, 1 day ago

                        on what basis?

                    2. EMBOLOFAN
                      • 5 Years
                      5 years, 1 day ago

                      no

                    3. AndyCook
                        5 years, 1 day ago

                        I reckon I wouldn’t.

                      • MarcusAurelius
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 8 Years
                        5 years, 1 day ago

                        Sterling looks unstoppable atm and hazards got a knock. Not having Sterling is too much of a worry

                    4. ignis88
                      • 7 Years
                      5 years, 1 day ago

                      Pereira -> Laporte (-4)

                      Y/N?

                      ML leader ahead by 11, has taken a hit and has Ederson, Walker and Péreira

                      1. EMBOLOFAN
                        • 5 Years
                        5 years, 1 day ago

                        no just do it next week

                    5. Winter_is_coming
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 10 Years
                      5 years, 1 day ago

                      Doherty worth the money ahead of Boly?

                      1. Fpl Richie
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 8 Years
                        5 years, 1 day ago

                        As an owner of Doherty. No.

                    6. King Barry
                      • 7 Years
                      5 years, 1 day ago

                      Current team - will BB this week

                      Foster/Ryan
                      TAA/Valery/Vert/Dunk/Doherty
                      Son/Eriksen/Jota/Mane/Martial
                      Vardy/Kun/Jimmi

                      Should I just transfer out Martial to Redmond or JWP or something else?

                    7. SEXY SOLO SAUCE
                      • 7 Years
                      5 years, 1 day ago

                      Is this worth a -8?

                      Peltier to Valery
                      Dunk to Kiko Femenia

                      Playing BB

                      Thanks

                      1. Winter_is_coming
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 10 Years
                        5 years, 1 day ago

                        Peltier definetely, not sure about Dunk (only if you already have 3 Brighton and reduce it to 2)

                        1. SEXY SOLO SAUCE
                          • 7 Years
                          5 years, 1 day ago

                          Annoyingly need to lose Dunk to someone 4.2 to afford Peltier to Valery!

                          Unless I just do Dunk to Valery

                          1. Winter_is_coming
                            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                            • 10 Years
                            5 years, 1 day ago

                            If you playing BB you need get rid of Peltier, so, if it for funds then both hits looks really ok.

                            1. SEXY SOLO SAUCE
                              • 7 Years
                              5 years, 1 day ago

                              Thanks, is Kiko nailed enough though? Unless there is someone better for 4.2?

                              1. Winter_is_coming
                                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                • 10 Years
                                5 years, 1 day ago

                                For this price I think only Yoshida and Bednarek are nailed.

                                1. SEXY SOLO SAUCE
                                  • 7 Years
                                  5 years, 1 day ago

                                  Great shout mate thanks, would mean I have triple Southampton defense though haha

                    8. Ravager
                      • 9 Years
                      5 years, 1 day ago

                      Camarasa > Redmond and BB?

                      1 FT 0.9 ITB

                      Lloris (Foster)

                      Duffy Robertson Laporte (Doherty,Valery)
                      Mane Son Jota Pogba (Camarasa)
                      Jimenez Vardy Aguero

                    9. Whats the Mata?
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 9 Years
                      5 years, 1 day ago

                      Would you do Eriksen + Deeney to Mane + Llorente (-4) if you have Son and no Liverpool attacking coverage?

                      1. The 12th Man
                        • 10 Years
                        5 years, 1 day ago

                        These would be my moves if I wasn’t chasing my ML leader who has Mane.
                        Instead I’m going Redmond,Firmino

                    10. Atimis
                      • 7 Years
                      5 years, 1 day ago

                      Is it worth getting Doherty or just go some cheapest Wolves option?

                      1. Winter_is_coming
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 10 Years
                        5 years, 1 day ago

                        That`s exactly my question. Boly looks more safe to start two games and have some attacking potential. But I`m chasing and Doherty still can have 10-15 points in one game like in the cup.

                    11. pol
                      • 13 Years
                      5 years, 1 day ago

                      A. Eriksen > Sterling
                      B. Dunk > TAA
                      C. Eriksen + Vardy > Sterling + Firmino (-4)
                      D. Dunk + Vardy > TAA + Laca (-4)

                      1. papa89
                        • 6 Years
                        5 years, 1 day ago

                        Having a similar situation, I am strongly considering potion C.