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FPL Gameweek 38 – an analysis of the key underlying stats

The 2018/19 season comes to a conclusion this Sunday, with all 20 Premier League clubs kicking off simultaneously at 15:00 BST.

Gameweek 38 represents the final chance to claw back a mini-league deficit or improve an overall rank for those Fantasy managers who are struggling.

For the front-runners amongst us, there may be more ‘defensive’ strategies employed as impressive ranks and mini-league leads are consolidated.

Ahead of this weekend’s later-than-usual deadline, we take a look at the data available to subscribers in our Members’ area and present the eye-catching statistics that could influence Fantasy managers’ decisions and transfers whatever the approach.

We’ve run down the stand-out stats in every position, as well as looking at the strengths and weaknesses of various teams to assess which Fantasy Premier League assets could have a profitable Gameweek 38.

Members can read on for our analysis below.

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997 Comments Post a Comment
  1. PortoGuy
      1 month, 7 days ago

      2.4 itb 0ft
      Foster
      TAA Laporte Robbo Valery
      Mane Pogba Bilva
      Rashford Jimenez Aguero

      Ryan Jota Camarasa Bednarek

      A.Jimenez to Wilson/Zaha/Rondon/Long
      B.Camarasa to Redmond/Fraser/Moura
      C.No hit

      Thanks.

      1. Atwood
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 7 days ago

        Wouldn't do anything, Jiminez can definitely score at Anfield.

      2. ItOnlyTook9Years
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 7 days ago

        C

      3. donlobatto
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 7 days ago

        No hit mate

      4. PortoGuy
          1 month, 7 days ago

          Thanks guys

        • bbaggins79
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 7 days ago

          no hit

      5. Atwood
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 7 days ago

        Defending a 15 point lead.
        Should I do a covering transfer here? Thinking maybe Son > Pogba.

        **My squad**

        Foster
        Bednarek - Shaw - TAA
        Sterling - Son - Salah - Eriksen - Hjojberg
        Aguero - Jiminez

        Ryan - Llorente - Duffy - Dunk

        **My rival's differentials**

        Gunn
        Trippier - Laporte
        Pogba - Mane
        Vardy - Zaha

        1. ItOnlyTook9Years
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 7 days ago

          Vardy or Mane probably the ones to worry most about, but I assume you'd need a hit for them? Which isn't worth it

          1. Atwood
            • 9 Years
            1 month, 7 days ago

            Nah, got 2.5 in the bank so can afford pretty much anyone.

            1. ItOnlyTook9Years
              • 3 Years
              1 month, 7 days ago

              Can you afford Jimi to Vardy?

              1. Atwood
                • 9 Years
                1 month, 7 days ago

                Urgh, 0.1 short...

        2. PortoGuy
            1 month, 7 days ago

            I'd do it if ft

        3. rocco10
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 7 days ago

          #1 OR has done two transfers

          Anyone wanna guess?

          1. Atwood
            • 9 Years
            1 month, 7 days ago

            Did he have 2FT's?

          2. Sterling Malory
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            1 month, 7 days ago

            Son and Jota out

            Pogba and Mili in maybe?

            1. Oscar Slater
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 4 Years
              1 month, 7 days ago

              Babel essential this weekend so I'd be surprised if he wasn't one of them.

          3. tucaoneo
              1 month, 7 days ago

              Don't make early transfers. He is not listening to the experts.

              1. bbaggins79
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 8 Years
                1 month, 7 days ago

                i did warn him

            • Batchain
              • 5 Years
              1 month, 7 days ago

              I could ask him if you like as I play in a masters football team with him on Sat (this is going to do nothing to scotch the belief that every New Zealander knows every other New Zealander.)

          4. ItOnlyTook9Years
            • 3 Years
            1 month, 7 days ago

            Bench 1 (2 if Robbo is fit):

            A) Jimi
            B) Deulefeu
            C) Mili
            D) Shaw
            E) JWP

            1. donlobatto
              • 1 Year
              1 month, 7 days ago

              D (and B)

            2. bbaggins79
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              1 month, 7 days ago

              shaw, always shaw

          5. donlobatto
            • 1 Year
            1 month, 7 days ago

            Lost on last page. Appreciate the advice.

            Plan is to use FT to do:
            Jota > Babel
            To give me:

            0.6itb
            Lloris
            Robbo*, Laporte, Valery
            Salah (C), Sterling, JWP, Babel, Mili
            Aguero, Wilson
            (Foster) (Jimi, Doherty, Yoshida*)

            Hopefully we get something definitive on Robbo tomorrow but if he’s out would you just leave it with Doherty coming in or bring in TAA or VVD for -4?

            Also would you start Jimi (liv) or Mili (BOU)?

            Cheers!

          6. Gravless are for Kinnear
            • 5 Years
            1 month, 7 days ago

            God save the queen

            1. Oscar Slater
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 4 Years
              1 month, 7 days ago

              ...The fascist regime

              1. SAY MY NAME
                • 1 Year
                1 month, 7 days ago

                that made you a moron, potential H-bomb 🙂

            2. Ask Yourself
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              1 month, 7 days ago

              She’s not a human being

            3. Birmingham Bromwich Villa
                1 month, 7 days ago

                Ban

            4. unitednations
              • 7 Years
              1 month, 7 days ago

              Leading one ML (£700) by 30 points. Trailing another ML (£450) by 20 points...dilemma! 1FT and 0m itb

              Foster -- Patricio
              Laporte • Shaw • Valery -- Kolasinac Doherty
              Pogba • Sterling • Mane • JWP • Son
              Kun • Jimenez -- Gray

              A: Son >> Redmond/Babel/Ozil/Fraser
              B: Jimenez >> Mitro/King and then start Kola (bench Son)
              C: Son + Jimenez >> Redmond + Rashford/Firmino/Vardy (-4)

              1. donlobatto
                • 1 Year
                1 month, 7 days ago

                How much do you have to buy into these MLs for??

                I need to find some better leagues for next season!

              2. SAY MY NAME
                • 1 Year
                1 month, 7 days ago

                A with fraser or Redmond, I like vardy for this week but probably not worth the hit

              3. bbaggins79
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 8 Years
                1 month, 7 days ago

                son > fraser

            5. billydesmond
                1 month, 7 days ago

                Transfer Son + Jimenez

                A) Mane + Long or Origi
                B) Vardy + Fraser or Milivojevic
                C) Pogba + Arnautovic or Zaha

                1. bbaggins79
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 8 Years
                  1 month, 7 days ago

                  b fraser

              • Adriano
                • 6 Years
                1 month, 7 days ago

                How would you rather have this he?

                A) Bernardo
                B) Fraser
                C) Babel

                I'm thinking to get Bernardo just to hedge against Aguero despite Fraser/Babel looking more enticing

                1. Adriano
                  • 6 Years
                  1 month, 7 days ago

                  *Who... Damn auto-correct

                2. Dakes.
                  • 2 Years
                  1 month, 7 days ago

                  I hehe'd at that first sentence.

                  Bernardo and Aguero scoring is more or less mutually exclusive though. However id probably still go for him

              • Athletic Nasherbo
                • 2 Years
                1 month, 7 days ago

                What would you do here chaps? 1FT 1.8ITB. Willing to take a hit.

                Foster
                Robertson* Laporte Valery
                Hazard Mane Jota Deulofeu
                Aguero Rashford Jiménez

                Patricio Son* Yoshida* Duffy

              • semiconductor
                • 4 Years
                1 month, 7 days ago

                With 16 points behind in mini league and with a FH in hand. Who should I punt on to gain those points. I'm going Salah who he doesn't have and trying to look for others. What do you think about Auba?

                1. El Fenomeno R9
                  • 3 Years
                  1 month, 7 days ago

                  Wait for press,maybe Utd kids and Origi could be good picks with Salah(C) and few differentials.

                  Auba good pick if he plays,think that will be high scoring game.

                  1. semiconductor
                    • 4 Years
                    1 month, 7 days ago

                    We wouldn't know who to pick from utd kids. I'll have Robertson/TAA+Mane+salah so won't have a spot for origi

              • BBC_TF
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 8 Years
                1 month, 7 days ago

                Son to who?

                1/ Bilva (bri)
                2/ Moura (EVE)
                3/ Pogba (CAR)

                1. El Fenomeno R9
                  • 3 Years
                  1 month, 7 days ago

                  All good options,go with gut

              • HD7
                • 2 Years
                1 month, 7 days ago

                Mates, when should there be a decision concerning Spurs appeal on Son Sed card?

                1. Birmingham Bromwich Villa
                    1 month, 7 days ago

                    On Monday

                    1. Birmingham Bromwich Villa
                        1 month, 7 days ago

                        I’d better explain that I am joking and don’t know.

                        1. Gravless are for Kinnear
                          • 5 Years
                          1 month, 7 days ago

                          *ban

                          1. Birmingham Bromwich Villa
                              1 month, 7 days ago

                              Whatever

                        2. HD7
                          • 2 Years
                          1 month, 7 days ago

                          what? so no chance for 38
                          Spurs doing it only for next season start?

                      • Klein
                        • 3 Years
                        1 month, 7 days ago

                        Should be before deadline. So sometime today imo

                    2. Taegugk Warrior
                      • 1 Year
                      1 month, 7 days ago

                      Vardy or Zaha...?

                      1. Birmingham Bromwich Villa
                          1 month, 7 days ago

                          Who u selling

                          1. Taegugk Warrior
                            • 1 Year
                            1 month, 7 days ago

                            Jimenez

                            1. Birmingham Bromwich Villa
                                1 month, 7 days ago

                                What’s your prediction on what Vardy and Zaha can achieve

                                Personally think Zaha will score more points this week.

                                But make the decision yours. Own it and go with your own prediction and judgement.

                                Can’t see anything to try to talk u out of either option

                          2. 007 [RoboKlopp]
                            • 2 Years
                            1 month, 7 days ago

                            Vardy

                          3. pingissimus
                              1 month, 7 days ago

                              After tonight definitely Vardy. Better choice in any event

                              1. Taegugk Warrior
                                • 1 Year
                                1 month, 7 days ago

                                Even against chelsea..?

                          4. nims076
                            • 2 Years
                            1 month, 7 days ago

                            Who to transfer in for Jiminez:

                            A. Vardy
                            B. Arnie
                            C. Rashford
                            D. Wilson

                            1. Klein
                              • 3 Years
                              1 month, 7 days ago

                              Vardy
                              Or mitrovic

                          5. yer old da
                            • 9 Years
                            1 month, 7 days ago

                            Should I start Bednarek or Llorente?

                            Already have Valery in my starting XI so the question is double down on the Saints defence at home to Huddersfield or play Llorente who’s likely to start.

                            1. yer old da
                              • 9 Years
                              1 month, 7 days ago

                              10 guaranteed starters are:

                              Foster
                              Laporte, TAA, Valery
                              Sterling, Hazard, Mane, Pogba
                              Aguero, Jimenez

                              11th starter a choice between Bednarek and Llorente.

                              On bench will be Ryan, Hojberg and Doherty.

                              1. pingissimus
                                  1 month, 7 days ago

                                  I’d go Llorente - just.

                                  Southampton defence is ho hum anyway and Huddersfield have punctured a few cs recently,

                            2. 007 [RoboKlopp]
                              • 2 Years
                              1 month, 7 days ago

                              Anyone doing Son --> Fraser?

                              1. waldo666
                                • 8 Years
                                1 month, 7 days ago

                                Considering it

                              2. rocco10
                                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                • 3 Years
                                1 month, 7 days ago

                                That or Redmond

                              3. Birmingham Bromwich Villa
                                  1 month, 7 days ago

                                  You?.

                                  1. 007 [RoboKlopp]
                                    • 2 Years
                                    1 month, 7 days ago

                                    Between Fraser or Pogba for me

                              4. Smurf
                                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                • 9 Years
                                1 month, 7 days ago

                                Not looking great for Hazard owners. Only a few days rest after playing 120 minutes.

                                1. ZICO SENNA
                                  • 7 Years
                                  1 month, 7 days ago

                                  why? what's he got to rest for last game of the season?

                                  1. Klein
                                    • 3 Years
                                    1 month, 7 days ago

                                    Thing called stamina?

                                2. Birmingham Bromwich Villa
                                    1 month, 7 days ago

                                    These guys are fit and won’t train hard at all on Friday or Saturday to manage their bodies. At least he is match fit and raring to play potentially last premier league game. Hope he stays at Chelsea.

                                    As much surprise to see a Pogba or a Fraser being left out starting XI as a Hazard.

                                3. marzo
                                  • 7 Years
                                  1 month, 7 days ago

                                  1. Kola + Son -> Kompany + Bilva (0.6m).
                                  2. Kola + Son -> Laporte + (7.3m) Fraser, Babel, Antonio, Deulofeu maybe?
                                  3. Other moves.

                                  Lloris.
                                  Bednarek, Kola, TAA.
                                  Salah (c), Mane, Son, JWP.
                                  Vardy, Aguero, Jimenez.
                                  Foster, Romeo, Duffy, Dunk.
                                  2ft, 0.0m. 120k. Hoping to make the Top 100k.

                                  1. Birmingham Bromwich Villa
                                      1 month, 7 days ago

                                      Shaw and Babel in. Trust me.

                                  2. Erlanger
                                    • 6 Years
                                    1 month, 7 days ago

                                    Play conservative or take the hit? Leaning towards A. Ahead in ML, just trying to finish as high as possible OR wise.

                                    A. Son to Pogba
                                    B. Son and Sterling > Salah and Lucas

                                    1. ZICO SENNA
                                      • 7 Years
                                      1 month, 7 days ago

                                      no chance i'd get rid of sterling, just do A

                                      1. Erlanger
                                        • 6 Years
                                        1 month, 7 days ago

                                        Appreciate your input!

                                  3. Taegugk Warrior
                                    • 1 Year
                                    1 month, 7 days ago

                                    Keep or ditch eriksen..?

                                    1. Birmingham Bromwich Villa
                                        1 month, 7 days ago

                                        Keep.

                                      • ZICO SENNA
                                        • 7 Years
                                        1 month, 7 days ago

                                        ditch for sure

                                    2. SPFC
                                      • 3 Years
                                      1 month, 7 days ago

                                      I'm playing a league with a new team to play only GW38

                                      Which chip would be better? TC or BB?

                                      1. Birmingham Bromwich Villa
                                          1 month, 7 days ago

                                          BB if you choose a strong 15 and are lucky for all to play. But risk some will miss out on last day.

                                          Extra 4 players versus another layer of your captain points.

                                          I say TC and spent well in starting XI with Southampton cheap defenders on bench.

                                          1. SPFC
                                            • 3 Years
                                            1 month, 7 days ago

                                            Thanks!

                                      2. GW38
                                        • 2 Years
                                        1 month, 7 days ago

                                        Time to make history, need some input from you chaps to enhance my chance to WIN. I’m currently only a few pts behind the leader in a 32 lads league with a lot of prestige and proper prizes on the table.

                                        0.0 ITB 1FT - The squad:

                                        Ryan
                                        TAA / Laporte / Valery
                                        Mane / Salah / Moura / Redmond / Sterling
                                        Long / Aguero

                                        Patricio Jimenez Duffy Dönk

                                        1) Transfer Patricio to Rico(Ful)?
                                        2) Or Döffy to Obi-Wan-Bissaka and bench Long?
                                        3) Do you have an idea? - I’d love to hear it.

                                        Thanks and best of luck fellows,

                                        1. SPFC
                                          • 3 Years
                                          1 month, 7 days ago

                                          Your team looks good.

                                          Ryan will have a lot of saves. I expect a tight score too.

                                          I would consider Moura >>> Tielemans or even Aguero >>>>> Vardy

                                          Tottenham will be exhausted after UCL and Leicester will play at home against a Chelsea that comes from 120 minutes.

                                          1. GW38
                                            • 2 Years
                                            1 month, 7 days ago

                                            Thanks, what is your rank?

                                      3. GrantShane
                                        • 1 Year
                                        1 month, 7 days ago

                                        A) Jota > Moura
                                        B) Lllorente > Wilson
                                        C) Doherty & Llorente > VVD & Long (-4)

                                        1. GW38
                                          • 2 Years
                                          1 month, 7 days ago

                                          A

                                      4. AK_FC
                                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                        • 4 Years
                                        1 month, 7 days ago

                                        A) Hazard & Wilson
                                        B) Salah & Long

                                        1. GW38
                                          • 2 Years
                                          1 month, 7 days ago

                                          B

                                        2. Chandler Bing
                                          • 3 Years
                                          1 month, 7 days ago

                                          Depends who your other Liverpool players are. Probably A either way though.

                                        3. 007 [RoboKlopp]
                                          • 2 Years
                                          1 month, 7 days ago

                                          B

                                      5. FootyFan
                                          1 month, 7 days ago

                                          First game week that I've felt clueless as to what to do. Any Ideas?

                                          Gunn (Ryan)

                                          TAA Laporte Shaw Valery (Masina)

                                          Mane Sterling Ward-Prowse (Jota, Son)

                                          Jimenez Aguero Vardy

                                          1FT 1.5m ITB

                                        • AlpoShearer
                                          • 1 Year
                                          1 month, 7 days ago

                                          A. Fraser
                                          B. Redmond (own JWP)

                                          1. Klein
                                            • 3 Years
                                            1 month, 7 days ago

                                            B

                                        • Niho992
                                            1 month, 7 days ago

                                            Are you considering Llorente?

                                          • rainy
                                            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                            • Has Moderation Rights
                                            • 3 Years
                                            1 month, 7 days ago

                                            Price Changes - 10th May 2019

                                            🔺  Alexander-Arnold (5.8), Mané (10.3), Agüero (12.0), Pogba (8.6), Lucas Moura (6.9)

                                            🔻  Brooks (5.0), N.Mendy (4.3)

                                            1. jia you jia you
                                              • 2 Years
                                              1 month, 7 days ago

                                              Wohoo, my first 5 nil of the season!

                                            2. waldo666
                                              • 8 Years
                                              1 month, 7 days ago

                                              Cheers, Rainy.

                                            3. fclackless [RoboKlopp]
                                              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                              • 1 Year
                                              1 month, 7 days ago

                                              cheers ... one more to go!

                                              1. Mo Mané Mo Problems
                                                • 5 Years
                                                1 month, 7 days ago

                                                I got called a pedant the other day, but hey.

                                                2 to go.

                                                It’s like being right, is being pedantic nowadays. When you could argue posts like this mislead people. 2019 I guess.

                                              2. rainy
                                                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                                • Has Moderation Rights
                                                • 3 Years
                                                1 month, 6 days ago

                                                Haha, cheers both of you. Had actually wondered if anyone would care by Saturday night 😉

                                            4. rojojojo
                                              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                              • 1 Year
                                              1 month, 7 days ago

                                              Got 0 in the bank so if son drops now I'll be priced out of son to pogba... On the other hand it might just make my decision for me if I don't want to rush a transfer tonight and I'll go redmond

                                            5. TRASH BOAT
                                              • 5 Years
                                              1 month, 7 days ago

                                              Thanks for doing this all season. First thing I check in the mornings...just your prices and not the garbage after ragging about now many risers and how big someones TV is. All that matters is the points at the end.

                                          • Niho992
                                              1 month, 7 days ago

                                              What to do with Ings? Would you start him or Doucoure? I already have JWP.

                                              1. Klein
                                                • 3 Years
                                                1 month, 7 days ago

                                                I would go for ings. If he doesnt play doubt he will make a cameo