Scout Picks

Gameweek 38 Scout Picks – Goals expected outside Man City and Liverpool games

We’ve included three attacking players from Liverpool and Manchester City for our final Scout Picks of the season.

The two title-chasing clubs may be the only ones with anything left on the line to play for other than proud, but that doesn’t mean there won’t be goals elsewhere.

Using the Scout Squad submissions by Paul, Neale, Az and Peter, and an analysis of the Fantasy Football Scout members data, we have come up with a XI for you.

For the last time in 2018/19, we line up in a 3-4-3 formation and at a total cost of £82.8m, we are £0.7m inside our budget.

Goalkeeper

Sergio Rico (£4.4m) finds himself in the Scout Picks at just the right time to make sure we didn’t go the whole season without including one of Fulham’s defensive assets. Name-checked by three of our pundits, and selected as the best option by Paul, the Cottagers’ shot-stopper faces a Newcastle attack that has managed just three big chances in their last six away matches, the worst of any team in that time. Meanwhile, no goalkeeper has more saves than Rico in their last six at home.

Defender

Aymeric Laporte (£6.3m) was an easy inclusion for the Gameweek 38 Scout Picks. Manchester City have kept 10 clean sheets in their last 12 Premier League outings and travel to Brighton on the final day of the season. The Seagulls are bottom of the league for shots on target, big chances and goal conversion over their last six at home. Laporte himself has added two attacking returns in the last six Gameweeks and his threat from set pieces is always in his favour.

Trent Alexander-Arnold (£5.8m) is once again our chosen representative from the Liverpool defence. Price continues to be on the right-back’s side as well as his attacking potential. Compared to colleagues Andrew Robertson and Virgil van Dijk, the England international has the superior minutes per chance and minutes per chance created in the last six home matches. In that time, Liverpool are in the top two for fewest shots allowed in the box and big chances conceded.

Luke Shaw (£5.0m) completes our three-man defence ahead of Cardiff’s trip to Old Trafford. Manchester United may not be in the best form right now but the Bluebirds have been sufficiently poor on their travels this season that we believe a clean sheet at least is on the cards. In their last six away matches, Cardiff have been in the bottom two for shots inside the box and big chances. Meanwhile, Shaw himself has created more big chances than any other defender in the last six matches.

Midfielders

Mohamed Salah (£13.3m) should be back in the Liverpool side on Sunday afternoon for the visit of Wolves following his concussion and he comes into Gameweek 38 as the Scout Squad’s unanimous best midfield option. The Egyptian remains on an incredible run of form that has seen him get at least one attacking return in each of his last six matches in a row – his longest stretch without a blank all season. In those fixtures, no player has registered more shots on goal, efforts in the box or shots on target than Salah either. Wolves might have a good record against the top-six but considering they rarely keep clean sheets, Liverpool’s Egyptian star certainly has what it takes to reward his owners in Gameweek 38.

Raheem Sterling (£11.7m) is our chosen Manchester City attacker for the trip to Brighton. In the last six away matches, none of his colleagues has managed more shots in the box or efforts on target, while he also has the best expected goals (xG) score among Manchester City players in that sample. That has translated to 11 attacking returns on the road this season, more than any of his team-mates in 2018/19.

Sadio Mané (£10.3m) has been one of the most reliable attacking options in home matches this season. The Liverpool man has 12 goals in his 11 Premier League outings at Anfield, which have come from some encouraging underlying statistics. In the last four at home he has the second-highest number of big chances among all players, as well as the second-best xG too. Just as is the case with Salah, Wolves’ have asked tough questions away at top-six sides in 2018/19 but are yet to keep a clean sheet.

Nathan Redmond (£5.5m) looks like one of the most appealing budget midfielder for Gameweek 38 as Southampton host Huddersfield on Sunday afternoon. The Terriers are bottom of the league for shots allowed in the box over the last six away matches, as well as for their 18 goals shipped. Meanwhile, Redmond currently ranks fourth for big chances and third for xG out of all players in their last four at home.

Forwards

Jamie Vardy (£9.0m) looks set to enjoy the final day of the 2018/19 season. In the last four home matches, no player has registered shots inside the box, more efforts on target or more big chances. That has yielded five goals and an assist ahead of a meeting with Chelsea at the King Power Stadium. The Blues are still without a clean sheet on the road in 2019, will be without the injured N’Golo Kanté and Antonio Rüdiger while doubts hang over the fitness of Andreas Christensen too. Furthermore, Chelsea come to Leicester just a few days after playing 120 minutes against Eintracht Frankfurt in the Europa League, which will have almost certainly drained them physically and mentally.

After Bournemouth’s troubles on their travels earlier this season, Callum Wilson (£6.8m) has all of a sudden become the king of football on the road in the closing stages of the campaign. In the last four away matches, no fit player has been afforded more big chances or a higher xG score. Furthermore, in such games, Wilson is also second-best for shots on target, so he stands a good chance of converting his opportunities. His Gameweek 38 opponents Crystal Palace are in the bottom four for goal attempts conceded in the box over the last four home matches, are without centre-backs James Tomkins and Mamadou Sakho while Scott Dann is now a doubt.

Shane Long (£4.7m) completes our Scout Picks team for Gameweek 38 as another option who gets to enjoy facing that travel sick Huddersfield side. We’ve already covered how vulnerable the Terriers will be when they come to Southampton, as Redmond also has decent points potential this week. Long himself has actually been afforded more big chances than the midfielder in his last four home matches, ranking third best in the whole league. His accuracy of 57% over that period suggests his chances of converted more big opportunities are quite high.

Substitutes

Budget man Yan Valery (£4.1m) gets a place on the bench for Gameweek 38 ahead of Huddersfield’s visit to Southampton. The Saints have not exactly been adept at keeping clean sheets under Ralph Hasenhüttl but their visitors on Sunday remain the division’s joint-lowest scorers on the road in 2018/19.

Like his colleague Wilson, Ryan Fraser (£6.3m) has been impressive on the road of late with six attacking returns in his last Premier League away trips. He will also get to play against a potentially makeshift Crystal Palace side who have struggled at home this season.

Marcus Rashford (£7.3m) is probably one of the few attacking Manchester United options we can be confident will get a start against Cardiff on Sunday afternoon. There is not a great deal of form to go on for the forward but given the Bluebirds are in the bottom three for shots conceded in the box over the last six away matches, he should get plenty of chances.

Community Champion

Representing the community against the Scout Picks in Gameweek 38 is Karan14. He has opted for a 3-4-3 of Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Van Dijk, Kompany, Laporte; Redmond, Bernardo Silva, Pogba; Wood, Mitrovic, Zaha

The community member who beats our picks by the biggest margin over the campaign will win a £100 Amazon Voucher and a place in our Contributors and Moderators League for the following season.

It was a win for the Scout Picks over Greyhead in Gameweek 37 by a 46-45 scoreline. fclackless‘s winning margin of 33 points (77-44) in Gameweek 10 is still the current target to beat.

3,966 Comments Post a Comment
  1. JoeSoap
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Son>Pogba/Bilva/Fraser (pick one please) Have Aguero.

    1. Boberella
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      I went Fraser.
      All good picks though.

    2. zotter
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Pogba

    3. JoeSoap
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Thanks all

    4. BoomBoomShacktheroom
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Fraser for me.

      1. JoeSoap
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Thanks

  2. VanDijksToWatchOutFor
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Sorry but been out all day, have I missed any news about lineups or injuries today?

    1. EMBOLOFAN
      1 month, 6 days ago

      mufc squad leaked via MEN

      1. VanDijksToWatchOutFor
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Ah, thanks. Am I reading right that Shaw and lindelof not named but apart from that everyone is there?

      2. Kiwivillan
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        The squad they publish every week or the starting XI?

          1. Kiwivillan
            • 5 Years
            1 month, 6 days ago

            I read same squad on United fansite yesterday. Not really special info

  3. BoomBoomShacktheroom
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    7 points behind ML leader
    A) son to Pogba (-4 and covers his Pogba)
    B) no hit

    Gunn
    TAA vvd Bednarek
    Mane(c) Bilva Jota Martial
    Wilson Vardy Aguero

    Lloris; Kiko, Boly, son

    1. EMBOLOFAN
      1 month, 6 days ago

      son to pogba
      if u still have son ur other transfer was prob a mistake

      1. BoomBoomShacktheroom
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Cheers embolo. I wanted vardy so got him in.

    2. zotter
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Martial Jota are problems. Can play Jota so bring pogba in

    3. JoeSoap
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      A

  4. yakirh
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Aguero or Salah captain?

    1. EMBOLOFAN
      1 month, 6 days ago

      there is a poll

    2. JoeSoap
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      On Salah

  5. Tsparkes10
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Help please. 2 FT 0.3 ITB

    Lloris
    Robo Kolas Val
    Mane Jota Son Sterl Lucas
    Kun Origi
    (Foster, Jiminez, Masina, Doh)

    ML Rival is 24 ahead so going to be tough. His main differentials are Haz, Vardy, TAA and Redmond to my Lucas, Kun, Robo, Jota.

    Thinking get Laporte, Rondon and someone else in?

    1. EMBOLOFAN
      1 month, 6 days ago

      its gw38 just field a team and stop taking hits for garbage players mate

      1. pingissimus
        1 month, 6 days ago

        I know you don’t like him but since gw11 very few strikers have outperformed Rondón.

      2. Tsparkes10
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Hahaha fair enough. I'll just go with gut

  6. Vidal Castro
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Have a 23 pt lead in my ML, my rival has his TC. There's a good chance he might TC Aguero or maybe Mane.

    Should I get in:

    A) Salah who I like better for the GW

    B) Mane to cover but I wouldn't captain

    Thanks everyone for the great feedbacks this year.

    1. zotter
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      A regardless.

  7. Pras United
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    So how many of your 15 in GW38 were also in your GW1 squad (doesn’t matter if you transferred them out):

    For me just Aguero and Salah.

    1. EMBOLOFAN
      1 month, 6 days ago

      salah robbo trent

      1. Pras United
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Nice call having Liv def double up from the start!

        1. EMBOLOFAN
          1 month, 6 days ago

          have never had any other liverpool players funnily enough

          1. Pras United
            • 7 Years
            1 month, 6 days ago

            Hence your good season!

            1. EMBOLOFAN
              1 month, 6 days ago

              has a lot to do with it i think!

    2. Lingard’s Shin Guards
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Mane and Aguero

    3. grumpyman
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Robbo my only constant. But going to ship him out tomorrow.

      1. Pras United
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Wow really so your 15 will be completely different?

      2. donlobatto
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Why shipping when indications are he should play?

    4. donlobatto
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Like this question!

      For me:
      Foster, Robbo, Salah, Aguero

    5. Kiwivillan
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Doherty TAA Mane Aguero and Salah if I get back today which likely

      1. Pras United
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        5/15 is very good indeed - you would have done well in the zombie challenge

      2. EMBOLOFAN
        1 month, 6 days ago

        mad

    6. Jimmers
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Foster all the way from GW1 and Salah, Jota and Aguero who have been transferred back in

      1. Pras United
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        What a difference between early season Jota and 2019 Jota eh..

        1. Tired and weary
          • 6 Years
          1 month, 6 days ago

          Ha, yep tell me about it! Kept the faith until about GW5

    7. Indalo
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Robertson, Bernardo and Aguero

    8. Rhys85
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Just Salah and Robbo for me.

    9. zotter
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Salah aguero Robertson

    10. Tsparkes10
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Aguero and Lucas :/

      1. Pras United
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Moura..What a maverick!

    11. pingissimus
      1 month, 6 days ago

      None!!!

      I’d quite like Mo

      1. pingissimus
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Mo and TAA back.

    12. Kanchelskis
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Robbo, Salah, Mane, Jimenez, Kun

      1. Pras United
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Excellent again! 5/15 is great

    13. RedLightning
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Just Robertson and Wan-Bissaka.
      But there are a few others that I should have kept, such as Jimenez, Salah and/or Mane, and possibly Aguero.

    14. MeatPieSausageRoll
      1 month, 6 days ago

      4

      Foster + my 3 Liverpool - Robbo, Salah, Mane

    15. Weasel Boy
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Salah Robbo and Aguero

    16. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 6 days ago

      TAA, Jota, Eriksen and Aguero...

  8. Tross007
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Pogba or Bilva?

    1. JoeSoap
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Pogba

    2. Kanchelskis
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Pogba

  9. Fasya
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Why people put so much faith in Redmond?
    Traditionaly the guy likes him, tadic, willian has been a troll fpl wise.
    good in the stats but never delivered good points.
    is it huddersfield?

    1. EMBOLOFAN
      1 month, 6 days ago

      6 goals in 2 years, no idea

      spose hes cheap

  10. jr3jonny
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Probably a stupid question, but who scores more points this GW between Lucas Moura and Eden Hazard?

    1. EMBOLOFAN
      1 month, 6 days ago

      so many variables but id rather have hazard

      1. All Out of Mounie
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Do you think he'll start?

      2. jr3jonny
        • 6 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Cheers, I have both and thinking of ditching Moura for Pogba.

  11. AnzhiBabakin (AKA: FC Akhma…
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    With son likely to drop and Fraser to rise I won't be able to afford my Fraser move tomorrow, so...

    A. Son and Jimi to Vardy and Fraser (have exact cash).
    B. Same players to Vardy and Redmond (wait until tomorrow). Have double saints already (gunn, Valery).

    1. EMBOLOFAN
      1 month, 6 days ago

      not much in it, doesnt really matter. if you want fraser just do it now no reason to wait

  12. Hansel
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    A) Jimenez + Wilson
    B) Redmond + Vardy (-4)

    1. Kanchelskis
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Maybe B just

  13. Lingard’s Shin Guards
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Any particular reason why Aguero is more popular than Sterling in the captaincy poll?

    1. EMBOLOFAN
      1 month, 6 days ago

      aguerooOooOo

    2. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Sterling's FPL form isn't particularly great.

      1. Kiwivillan
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Aguero hasn't had many away hauls

    3. Game&Watch
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Higher ownership mostly.

  14. Atwood
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Do we know the reason for Shaw not being in the squad?

    1. EMBOLOFAN
      1 month, 6 days ago

      hes obese

    2. Kiwivillan
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Too many pies

    3. MeatPieSausageRoll
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Shawy’s been one of few our few decent players this season.

      We’re using tomorrow’s game like an audition to see who gets to stay for next season.

      Lindy’s done enough this season too so I expect him to miss out. Everyone else is playing for there jersey

      1. All Out of Mounie
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Rashford too?

        1. MeatPieSausageRoll
          1 month, 6 days ago

          He plays imo. Kind of torn on whether i want him gone or not so he needs this to prove himself

    4. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      I think all we know is that he was not seen arriving at Lowry Hotel and assumption made therefore not in squad. But as home game could be reason not at hotel so I would wait for any news pre deadline.

  15. Cookie Kid
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Who to use free transfer on/ie who scores more?

    A) Pogba
    B) Robbo

  16. some witty pun
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Son to
    A) Pogba
    B) Bilva
    C) Redmond

    1. Kiwivillan
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Fraser?

      1. Game&Watch
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Agreed. If you have Fraser I would go Pog

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      C

  17. Dockers
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Zaha or Wilson??

    Ps. My daughter loves Wilf so slightly biased

    1. RomeluAndJuliet
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Willy

      1. Dockers
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Shame

    2. MeatPieSausageRoll
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Are you David Moyes?

      1. Dockers
        1 month, 6 days ago

        If I go with Zaha I can’t get bilva but let the kid down if I go with Wilson. Hmmm

    3. Game&Watch
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Check double digit hauls for both players this season..

      1. Dockers
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Fair play. Thx

    4. Kiwivillan
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Zaha 1 home goal all season

  18. aleksios
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Son to:
    a) Moura
    b) Mili
    c) Pogba

    Jimenez to :
    1) Zaha
    2) Wilson
    3) Rashford.

    Thanks.

    1. RomeluAndJuliet
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 6 days ago

      B2

    2. All Out of Mounie
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 6 days ago

      C and 2

  19. RomeluAndJuliet
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 6 days ago

    A) Llorente & Son --> Wilson + Fraser

    B) Eriksen & Son --> Hazard + Fraser ?

  20. All Out of Mounie
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 6 days ago

    What to do with Hazard?

    Haz Raz Pog Ster

    Maybe get Fraser and upgrade a striker? Or just keep Hazard?

    1. pingissimus
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Possibly limited minutes but he’s one player I’d back to come on and return.

    2. jr3jonny
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Raz and Ster are the same person!

      1. MeatPieSausageRoll
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Raz is Raheem

    3. All Out of Mounie
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Mane is one of the Raheems

  21. Lav
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Who does Son go to? 1.6m ITB

    Lloris - Ryan
    TAA - Digne - AWB - Cathcart - Valery
    Sterling - Mane - Son* - B.Silva - JWP
    Aguero - Jimenez - Wilson

    1. SweeSwee
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Redmond?

      1. Lav
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Already have JWP

  22. Baked baines
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    De Gea

    Robbo Laporte Doherty

    Mane Sterling Son Delofeu

    Aguero Wilson Jimi

    Foster Dunk Jota Duffy

    Have 2 FT’s

    A) Son + Jimi > Rashford +Pogba
    B) Jimi + Son + Doherty > Vardy + TAA + Redmond -4
    C) Something Else

    1. RomeluAndJuliet
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 6 days ago

      B

  23. AFC49
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    What to do with this team?

    Foster
    Valery, Laporte, Robbo*
    Sterling, Redmond, Mané, Son*
    Aguero, Jiménez, DCL*

    Ryan, Doherty, Jota, Duffy

    1FT, 0.2 ITB

  24. Siggy me timber
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Keep Gray or Jimenez?

  25. Atwood
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Defending a 15 point lead. Which of my rivals main differentials is most essential to cover?

    Laporte
    Pogba
    Mane
    Vardy
    Zaha

    1. SweeSwee
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Laporte

    2. zotter
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Mane

  26. The EJJ
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    My squad has turned into a mess with the news Shaw might be out. Any recommendations on what to do?

    Lloris, Foster
    Shaw, Bednarek, Robertson, Dunk, Doherty
    Mane, Salah, JWP, Jota, Son
    Gray, Aguero, Jimenez

    1ft. 0.4m in bank. Thinking Son -> Bernardo and Jota -> Redmond and just hope Shaw plays or Gray starts!

    1. SweeSwee
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      What news?

      1. The EJJ
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Apparently not in the squad according to Manchester Evening News

  27. vova
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Play Gray, Doucoure or Jota?

    Thank you 🙂

    1. SweeSwee
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Gray

    2. Tcheco
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Feeling a Doucoure goal tomorrow

      1. vova
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Do you think Watford will play their first team? They might rest some key players for the FA Cup final next week.

  28. SweeSwee
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Cathcart/Boly to Laporte for a hit?

    If yes, which one?

    Leaning towards Cathcart, think Wolves have an outside chance of a CS at Liverpool.

  29. hammersp2000
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Currently trying to choose between

    1 jiminez to Arnie
    2 jota to Redmond
    3 jiminez to long, jota to Fraser for a -4
    4 Jota to Redmond, jiminez to Wilson for a -4

    Thoughts?

  30. Tcheco
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Desperately in need of getting my captaincy right. Pick one & help me make up a 28 point gap in my ML 🙂

    (Starred players are differentials)

    A. Salah*
    B. Mane
    C. Sterling
    D. Aguero*
    E. Vardy*