Scout Picks

Gameweek 38 Scout Picks – Goals expected outside Man City and Liverpool games

We’ve included three attacking players from Liverpool and Manchester City for our final Scout Picks of the season.

The two title-chasing clubs may be the only ones with anything left on the line to play for other than proud, but that doesn’t mean there won’t be goals elsewhere.

Using the Scout Squad submissions by Paul, Neale, Az and Peter, and an analysis of the Fantasy Football Scout members data, we have come up with a XI for you.

For the last time in 2018/19, we line up in a 3-4-3 formation and at a total cost of £82.8m, we are £0.7m inside our budget.

Goalkeeper

Sergio Rico (£4.4m) finds himself in the Scout Picks at just the right time to make sure we didn’t go the whole season without including one of Fulham’s defensive assets. Name-checked by three of our pundits, and selected as the best option by Paul, the Cottagers’ shot-stopper faces a Newcastle attack that has managed just three big chances in their last six away matches, the worst of any team in that time. Meanwhile, no goalkeeper has more saves than Rico in their last six at home.

Defender

Aymeric Laporte (£6.3m) was an easy inclusion for the Gameweek 38 Scout Picks. Manchester City have kept 10 clean sheets in their last 12 Premier League outings and travel to Brighton on the final day of the season. The Seagulls are bottom of the league for shots on target, big chances and goal conversion over their last six at home. Laporte himself has added two attacking returns in the last six Gameweeks and his threat from set pieces is always in his favour.

Trent Alexander-Arnold (£5.8m) is once again our chosen representative from the Liverpool defence. Price continues to be on the right-back’s side as well as his attacking potential. Compared to colleagues Andrew Robertson and Virgil van Dijk, the England international has the superior minutes per chance and minutes per chance created in the last six home matches. In that time, Liverpool are in the top two for fewest shots allowed in the box and big chances conceded.

Luke Shaw (£5.0m) completes our three-man defence ahead of Cardiff’s trip to Old Trafford. Manchester United may not be in the best form right now but the Bluebirds have been sufficiently poor on their travels this season that we believe a clean sheet at least is on the cards. In their last six away matches, Cardiff have been in the bottom two for shots inside the box and big chances. Meanwhile, Shaw himself has created more big chances than any other defender in the last six matches.

Midfielders

Mohamed Salah (£13.3m) should be back in the Liverpool side on Sunday afternoon for the visit of Wolves following his concussion and he comes into Gameweek 38 as the Scout Squad’s unanimous best midfield option. The Egyptian remains on an incredible run of form that has seen him get at least one attacking return in each of his last six matches in a row – his longest stretch without a blank all season. In those fixtures, no player has registered more shots on goal, efforts in the box or shots on target than Salah either. Wolves might have a good record against the top-six but considering they rarely keep clean sheets, Liverpool’s Egyptian star certainly has what it takes to reward his owners in Gameweek 38.

Raheem Sterling (£11.7m) is our chosen Manchester City attacker for the trip to Brighton. In the last six away matches, none of his colleagues has managed more shots in the box or efforts on target, while he also has the best expected goals (xG) score among Manchester City players in that sample. That has translated to 11 attacking returns on the road this season, more than any of his team-mates in 2018/19.

Sadio Mané (£10.3m) has been one of the most reliable attacking options in home matches this season. The Liverpool man has 12 goals in his 11 Premier League outings at Anfield, which have come from some encouraging underlying statistics. In the last four at home he has the second-highest number of big chances among all players, as well as the second-best xG too. Just as is the case with Salah, Wolves’ have asked tough questions away at top-six sides in 2018/19 but are yet to keep a clean sheet.

Nathan Redmond (£5.5m) looks like one of the most appealing budget midfielder for Gameweek 38 as Southampton host Huddersfield on Sunday afternoon. The Terriers are bottom of the league for shots allowed in the box over the last six away matches, as well as for their 18 goals shipped. Meanwhile, Redmond currently ranks fourth for big chances and third for xG out of all players in their last four at home.

Forwards

Jamie Vardy (£9.0m) looks set to enjoy the final day of the 2018/19 season. In the last four home matches, no player has registered shots inside the box, more efforts on target or more big chances. That has yielded five goals and an assist ahead of a meeting with Chelsea at the King Power Stadium. The Blues are still without a clean sheet on the road in 2019, will be without the injured N’Golo Kanté and Antonio Rüdiger while doubts hang over the fitness of Andreas Christensen too. Furthermore, Chelsea come to Leicester just a few days after playing 120 minutes against Eintracht Frankfurt in the Europa League, which will have almost certainly drained them physically and mentally.

After Bournemouth’s troubles on their travels earlier this season, Callum Wilson (£6.8m) has all of a sudden become the king of football on the road in the closing stages of the campaign. In the last four away matches, no fit player has been afforded more big chances or a higher xG score. Furthermore, in such games, Wilson is also second-best for shots on target, so he stands a good chance of converting his opportunities. His Gameweek 38 opponents Crystal Palace are in the bottom four for goal attempts conceded in the box over the last four home matches, are without centre-backs James Tomkins and Mamadou Sakho while Scott Dann is now a doubt.

Shane Long (£4.7m) completes our Scout Picks team for Gameweek 38 as another option who gets to enjoy facing that travel sick Huddersfield side. We’ve already covered how vulnerable the Terriers will be when they come to Southampton, as Redmond also has decent points potential this week. Long himself has actually been afforded more big chances than the midfielder in his last four home matches, ranking third best in the whole league. His accuracy of 57% over that period suggests his chances of converted more big opportunities are quite high.

Substitutes

Budget man Yan Valery (£4.1m) gets a place on the bench for Gameweek 38 ahead of Huddersfield’s visit to Southampton. The Saints have not exactly been adept at keeping clean sheets under Ralph Hasenhüttl but their visitors on Sunday remain the division’s joint-lowest scorers on the road in 2018/19.

Like his colleague Wilson, Ryan Fraser (£6.3m) has been impressive on the road of late with six attacking returns in his last Premier League away trips. He will also get to play against a potentially makeshift Crystal Palace side who have struggled at home this season.

Marcus Rashford (£7.3m) is probably one of the few attacking Manchester United options we can be confident will get a start against Cardiff on Sunday afternoon. There is not a great deal of form to go on for the forward but given the Bluebirds are in the bottom three for shots conceded in the box over the last six away matches, he should get plenty of chances.

Community Champion

Representing the community against the Scout Picks in Gameweek 38 is Karan14. He has opted for a 3-4-3 of Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Van Dijk, Kompany, Laporte; Redmond, Bernardo Silva, Pogba; Wood, Mitrovic, Zaha

The community member who beats our picks by the biggest margin over the campaign will win a £100 Amazon Voucher and a place in our Contributors and Moderators League for the following season.

It was a win for the Scout Picks over Greyhead in Gameweek 37 by a 46-45 scoreline. fclackless‘s winning margin of 33 points (77-44) in Gameweek 10 is still the current target to beat.

3,966 Comments Post a Comment
  1. AnzhiBabakin (AKA: FC Akhma…
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    I'm chasing with little to lose (outside 100k). Anything worth a hit?
    A. Jota to Redmond (may captain).
    B. Llorente to Long and start over Jota.
    C. If Robbo reported out, bring in Laporte.

    Already done Son and Jim to Fraser and Vardy, have 0itb.

    1. Srv210
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 6 days ago

      C ...I don't fancy saints to score a lot..but just my opinion

    2. 007 [RoboKlopp]
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      C

    3. michudagawd
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      C

  2. michudagawd
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    What would you do with this lot with one free transfer? Willing to take a hit if necessary. 1m itb.

    Lloris
    Valery Laporte Robbo
    Mané JWP Babel Hazard
    Jimenez Rashford Aguero

    Foster - Doherty Masina Son

    Cheers.

    1. AnzhiBabakin (AKA: FC Akhma…
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Jim to Wilson,Zaha,Arnie.
      I'd go Wilson.

      1. michudagawd
        • 6 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        I'm worried Hazard won't start. Should I dump him for a hit?

        1. AnzhiBabakin (AKA: FC Akhma…
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 6 days ago

          Probably not. If you could afford Salah then that would be different

          1. michudagawd
            • 6 Years
            1 month, 6 days ago

            I can do Hazard and Son to Salah and Fraser for a hit. How does that look?

            1. AnzhiBabakin (AKA: FC Akhma…
              • 3 Years
              1 month, 6 days ago

              I'd be tempted by that yes

              1. michudagawd
                • 6 Years
                1 month, 6 days ago

                Cheers.

                1. AnzhiBabakin (AKA: FC Akhma…
                  • 3 Years
                  1 month, 6 days ago

                  Some help above if you have the time amigo? 😉

        2. ZICO SENNA
          • 7 Years
          1 month, 6 days ago

          Why on earth wouldn’t Haz start

          1. michudagawd
            • 6 Years
            1 month, 6 days ago

            Chelsea with CL secured for next season coming off the back of a very draining match on Thursday night.

    2. Bat Man
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Looks good maybe Jim out for Wilson

      1. michudagawd
        • 6 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Dump Hazard for a hit?

  3. LloristheHounds
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Behind ML by 7 points!
    Worth taking a - 4 hit to bring in pogba or bilva???

    Differentials are salah, hazard, laporte, foster, long, moura

    1. FlockofSeagulls
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Hell no. You can easily make up that 7 points with those differentials and a good Captain pick.

      1. LloristheHounds
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 6 days ago

        I'd probably captain aguero to cover his aguero cap.
        Foster
        TAA, laporte, Shaw, valery
        Salah, hazard, moura, (jota, son)
        Aguero, long, Jimenez

        His team is
        Lloris
        TAA, doherty, valery
        Mane, sterling, jota, JWP,
        Aguero, rashford, Jimenez

        He's made 1 trade and think it's to get doherty out for man city defence

  4. Srv210
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Can't get Redmond as I have 3 Southampton players so which one to get up to 8.3m

    A) babel
    B) Fraser
    C) Bola
    D) Townsend
    E) others

    1. AnzhiBabakin (AKA: FC Akhma…
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      B. But A would be fun too.

      1. AnzhiBabakin (AKA: FC Akhma…
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Who is bola?

        1. Srv210
          • 1 Year
          1 month, 6 days ago

          It is Bilva ...damn autocorrect is more wrong than it's right

          1. AnzhiBabakin (AKA: FC Akhma…
            • 3 Years
            1 month, 6 days ago

            Ah okay. Probably bola then!

  5. wanaj84
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    TC captain

    Aguero
    Hazard
    Sterling
    Mane
    pogba

    help me

    1. RamaJama
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Sterling

    2. Herju
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      I go with Aguero. He’s on the race for top score

      1. wanaj84
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        tqvm

        what about jimi to someone for -4
        who?
        rondon
        wilson?
        zaha?

        or jota > b.silva better?

        1. Herju
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 6 days ago

          If you have aguero and sterling, Wilson is good option. But if you don’t have them, i’ll prefer to choice bsilva. He’s nail in the front with aguero and sterling i think.

          1. wanaj84
            • 3 Years
            1 month, 6 days ago

            tqvm

  6. Powers106
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Thoughts on my WC team? The bench is utter garbage lol but nice midfield...thanks!

    Gunn (Speroni)
    TAA - WBA - Diop ( Kelly - Suttner)
    Salah - Sterling - Bilva - Mane - Redmond
    Aguero c - Wilson (Crouch)

    1. Bat Man
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Why playing WC now?

      1. Powers106
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Better than holding for next GW i think, just never needed it

        1. Bat Man
          • 1 Year
          1 month, 6 days ago

          Fair enough I wouldn’t go with Diop though

  7. Bat Man
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Hazard + Son:
    A. Salah + Fraser/Redmond
    B. Sterling + Bernardo
    For a -4

    1. michudagawd
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      I'm considering A with Fraser.

  8. Freshy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Should know about Salah, Shaw or Robertson status before shutdown correct?

    1. Bat Man
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 6 days ago

      God knows

    2. Hart-ake
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Maybe not....

  9. RamaJama
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Who to get for Son for FT?

    A) Pogba
    B) Bilva

    Have Sterling, Aguero, Salah, Mane, jimenez, Long

    1. AnzhiBabakin (AKA: FC Akhma…
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      A from those 2

  10. jia you jia you
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    28 points ahead of Deulofail at the top of the No Salah League but he has FH chip to play! Interesting to see who comes out on top.

  11. john25
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Hey guys, I see Long is in the GW38 team but is he nailed on to start?

    Cheers

  12. valuewizard
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Hey guys, help pls

    A) Son > Pogba free transfer (defending 20 pts lead)
    B) Son+Jimmy > Pogba + Wilson -4
    C) Son+Jimmy > Fraser + Vardy -4
    D) Son+Jimmy > Redmond + Vardy -4
    E) Son+Jimmy > Pogba + Wilson -4

    1. valuewizard
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Rival has pogboom

      1. 420king
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Need more info, who'd you bench if you bought Wilson/Vardy?

        1. valuewizard
          1 month, 6 days ago

          420KING. Jimmy will play if not -4

          1. 420king
            • 4 Years
            1 month, 6 days ago

            Well could be worth it due to a bigger ceiling but you never know. Who is your rival playing?

            1. valuewizard
              1 month, 6 days ago

              same

              1. 420king
                • 4 Years
                1 month, 6 days ago

                Maybe just A then, specially if he doesn't have any other scary differentials.

                1. valuewizard
                  1 month, 6 days ago

                  I think he will bring either auba or vardy in. So who is the bigger threat of vardy/pogba?

                  1. 420king
                    • 4 Years
                    1 month, 6 days ago

                    Bookies think Pogba, but they might be underestimating Leicester.

    2. El Fenomeno R9
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      50/50 between B and E 😉

    3. barcaa7
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 6 days ago

      B

    4. AnzhiBabakin (AKA: FC Akhma…
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      C or D

    5. waldo666
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      A

  13. valuewizard
    1 month, 6 days ago

    I have both jota and jimenez, my bench is bad. haha B and E ;P

  14. 420king
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Failed to get any answer last time around, best to just spread my questions:

    Foster
    TAA Laporte Valery
    Sterling Mane Pogba JWP Son*
    Aguero Zaha
    (Ryan Jimenez Doherty Duffy)

    Are any of my 10 starters a risk of being benched? Would you take a hit with this team or just replace Son?

    1. valuewizard
      1 month, 6 days ago

      rep son

      1. 420king
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Yeah, of course, I've still got 1FT. My question was if a hit is needed.

        1. valuewizard
          1 month, 6 days ago

          nope. only replace

  15. Hart-ake
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Fraser or Redmond is so tough.

    1. emodabi
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      It is actually, that is why I am thinking to have both 🙂

    2. valuewizard
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Yes. If u had JWP? fraser or red?

      1. Hart-ake
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Got Jwp and Wilson.

        1. valuewizard
          1 month, 6 days ago

          haha tough one then

    3. semiconductor
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      I would go Fraser who is one of the best delivering players. I'm trying to figure Redmond or Deulofeu because I won't afford Fraser

    4. Bat Man
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 6 days ago

      AWB is defending one

      1. Hart-ake
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Yea, this is a good point.

        And Redmond up front at home to Hudd.

  16. emodabi
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Hello Lads,

    I am within the 10K and chasing in ML(25 points). I still have TC

    Here is my team:
    Foster
    Alexander-Arnold, Robertson,Valery
    Jota,Mané,Sterling,Fraser
    Wilson,Agüero,Jiménez

    Bench: Leno,Eriksen , Kolasinac, Doherty

    I am thinking to transfer
    A) Jota, Jimenez out for Redmond, Zaha/Arnie , bench Eriksen and play 343
    B) Jota, Eriksen ==> Pogba, Redmond , play 352
    c) Jota, Jimenez==> Redmond, Long , bench Eriksen and play 343
    D) Jota, Jimenez==> Redmond, Rashford , bench Eriksen and play 343
    E) Else

    Probably will Triple Captain Augero, althought tempted by Redmond.

    Any Advise here, appreciated.

    1. Liftbox
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      All seem decent shouts imo
      I'm leaning D, but B has me intrigued.

      I have both Pogba and Rash so maybe it's false hope/owner bias.

      1. emodabi
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        I feel ManU will have a say on the final game. I wouldn´t say I was tempted with Pogba and Rashford as one of the options, I just felt Redmond looks great option as well. But if I have them I would Pogba and Rashford I will stick with them, a haul is expected here imo. Thanks buddy and good luck

    2. semiconductor
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      You really think Redmond is going to deliver?

      Out of those i would go A

      1. emodabi
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        I believe so, stats looks good, I don´t expect a haul but at least some return, my only worries that if ManU goes crazy and performed well, my rival has Pogba. Thanks and good luck in your game.

  17. barcaa7
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Son and Gray to ............
    a-Fraser , Vardy
    b-Redmond , Wilson

    1. AnzhiBabakin (AKA: FC Akhma…
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      A

      1. barcaa7
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Thanks

  18. Scratch
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Rival chasing me (17 points) is going for Antonio this week. Have to say it's an absolute shout. Watford likely to rest players and I doubt those who do play will go full throttle

  19. semiconductor
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Quick questions if you have the time. I'm 16 points behind but on FH.

    1. Redmond or Deulofeu?
    2. Double up Gunn and Valery or try another none top team?
    3. Who to get for bench? Upto 4.4m def or mid?
    4. Better chance of a CS out of those:
    Fulham, Newcastle, Watford, Crystal palace

    1. Scratch
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Redmond
      Nah
      Get a half decent full bench for inevitable rotations
      Impossible to say... Palace maybe ?

      1. semiconductor
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Thank you.
        You wouldn't double up? I'm going Laporte, TAA. Who would u replace from the saints double up?
        I have all playing bench. Not all decent though

    2. George James
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Redmomd
      Double
      McNeil
      Newcastle

      Thoughts on my post below?

      1. semiconductor
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Just did

        Thank you for ur reply.

  20. George James
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Best option?

    A) Kompany + Jiménez

    B) Duffy + Wilson

    C) Kompany + Wilson -4

    1. barcaa7
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 6 days ago

      c

    2. semiconductor
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      C

  21. seewhyaxe
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Good luck dz!

    Last day of the season, enjoy it and may the best team wins!

    1. semiconductor
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Good luck

  22. SAY MY NAME
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Robbo to TAA with FT to be safe? (rival has TAA)

    Foster
    Robbo*/Valery/Shaw
    Sterling/Salah(c)/Mane(vc)/Redmond/Pogba
    aguero/Jiminez

    ryan/bednarek/dunk/quaner

    good luck everyone on last gameweek, nearly time to start planning next season's squads 😀

    1. semiconductor
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      I did but I'm on a FH

      1. SAY MY NAME
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 6 days ago

        thanks, I think I will

  23. waldo666
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Crazy to start JWP and Bednarek over Doherty and Jimenez?

    1. semiconductor
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      No. Saints playing weakest team while wolves playing strongest

      1. waldo666
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Cheers

  24. barcaa7
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 6 days ago

    please help
    Son and Gray to ............
    a-Fraser , Vardy
    b-Redmond , Wilson

    1. waldo666
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      a

      1. barcaa7
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Thanks

    2. semiconductor
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Both very decent. Coin toss. You wouldn't know which will be the right choice so go with it instinct

      1. barcaa7
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Thanks

    3. 007 [RoboKlopp]
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      A

      1. barcaa7
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Thanks

  25. money face bandwagon
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Pogba or redmond to bring in?

    1. barcaa7
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Pogba

    2. waldo666
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Pogba

    3. ZICO SENNA
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Redmond. I deliberated all week and feel confident in going with Redmond. United, Pogba, hugely out of form, Saints playing worst team in the league. The answer is there 🙂

  26. Lav
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Who do I shift Son to? 1.6m ITB

    Lloris - Ryan
    TAA - Digne - AWB - Cathcart - Valery
    Sterling - Mane - Son* - B.Silva - JWP
    Aguero - Jimenez - Wilson

    1. barcaa7
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 6 days ago

      Easy son to pogba

  27. TheSteel
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Play jwp or deulofeu?

  28. La Roja
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Any last minute news about Robbo?

  29. Puyol Pants Up
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    Hey all!
    Anything worth a hit here?

    Lloris
    Laporte, TAA, Valery
    Salah, Mane, Babel, Redmond
    Jimenez, Aguero, Rondon

    Foster, Jota, Masina, Keane

    3.2 ITB 🙂

    1. semiconductor
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 6 days ago

      I don't think you do but could go jiminez to vardy or wilson

      1. Puyol Pants Up
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 6 days ago

        Yeah, I'm considering Jim/Vardy

  30. semiconductor
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 6 days ago

    On FH. Can you help with benching order?
    1. Chambers
    2. McTominay
    3. Kelly