Tips

The Complete Guide to Scout’s tips and advice for FPL Gameweek 8

With the next international break breathing down our necks, be sure to savour the thrills, heartache, jam, and (fingers crossed) joy that Gameweek 8 will undoubtedly provide.

As ever, Fantasy Football Scout is here to help you separate fact from rumour, stat from gobbledegook, and Pep from his roulette wheel. Well, ok separating Pep from his roulette wheel is probably surgically impossible, but two out of three ain’t bad. And, just for the heck of it, we’ll even explain what a “compound differential” is. Oh yes.

Talking points

The main headline this week has undoubtedly been the injury to Kevin De Bruyne. Guardiola confirmed on Friday that the brilliant Belgian will miss Gameweek 8

No, tomorrow [De Bruyne] is not fit. After the international break, he will be ready. It’s not a big, big problem.

Over half a million managers have wasted no time in ditching De Bruyne with Mount, Yarmolenko, and Mahrez (more on him later), the popular replacements. 

For other more patient souls – willing to trust Pep when he says the midfield maestro will return for Gameweek 9 – this will mean a substitute taking his place in their fantasy teams. 

If you’ve got options like John Lundstram (£4.5m) or Todd Cantwell (£5.0m) on your bench, hold on to Kevin.

The FPL General

However, as Neale reported in his team news round-up, some may have reason to worry. Speaking on Friday, Norwich City boss Daniel Farke reported a problem with 27%-owned Todd Cantwell:

There is a little doubt, a little question mark behind Todd Cantwell. He’s got some hamstring problems. He was out Wednesday and Thursday, returned back today on the training pitch, it looked alright. We have to wait a bit, how his body reacts. I hope to have him available for tomorrow.

For the low-down on all the treatment room latest, we not only have Neale’s quote-filled articles, but Rotation’s Alter Ego has kindly summarised the key points for each team. Could Allison be about to make his return this weekend?

Who to trust with the armband?

Raheem Sterling leads the captain poll with 25.8% of the vote, ahead of Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Mohamed Salah, and Sergio Aguero. Without an overwhelming favourite to stick the armband on, FPL managers face another tricky decision. 

The underlying statistics once again point to the potential of Manchester City assets ahead of their home encounter with Wolverhampton Wanderers, as David highlighted on the Captaincy Video

Only three teams have conceded more shots in the box [than Wolves], and no team has had more shots in the box than Manchester City.

Digging a little deeper – using data available to FFS Members – TheFantasyFreÆK focused on Wolves’ defensive problems this campaign:

… the stark contrast I notice in Wolves 19/20 v Wolves 18/19 from a defensive point of view is very worrying. Wolves have conceded triple the number of big chances this season than they did at this stage last season (12 v 4), hence their xGC (expected goals conceded) has nearly doubled (5.5 to 10). Shots in the box conceded have also witnessed an alarming rise of 46%.

The problem is knowing which City player to trust. 

In Gameweek 7, many FPL pundits and experts felt Aguero would definitely start following his midweek rest. They were wrong. This week it’s Raheem Sterling’s turn to be the favoured captain pick.

Sterling has scored in his last three matches in all competitions and emerged from the bench in the Champions League on Tuesday night to inspire City to victory. The 24-year-old will lead the FPL General’s troops on Sunday. 

However, one manager who won’t be giving Sterling the armband is Career Hall of Fame number one Sean Tobin. Sean, as Greyhead informed us in the latest installment of The Great and The Good, omitted Sterling from his Gameweek 7 Wildcard. Instead he’s chosen to go with Aguero and Salah as his only players costing over £11.0m.

Backing up Sean’s decision to favour Aguero, David observed in his Captain Sensible article:

Once again, we come into a Gameweek with Aguero as the busiest attacking player in the penalty box over the previous four matches. He has shot 17 times there from Gameweek 4 onwards, more than any other player in their last four outings.

While The FPL General feels that we shouldn’t be put off by Salah’s upcoming fixtures:

On paper, Liverpool have a tricky run of games but is it really that difficult? It’s Leicester at home this weekend (Salah’s lowest score at Anfield this season is nine points), then a trip to face mid-table side Manchester United before a home tie against a Spurs outfit who conceded seven goals to Bayern Munich this week.

Second in the captain poll, Aubameyang is attracting interest and it’s easy to understand why. Brandon pointed out in FPL Question Time:

With no blanks through the first seven weeks of the season, Aubameyang is indeed the real deal.

Discussing the Gabonese international in the Captaincy Video, Joe enthused:

It’s a six-point floor!… At the Emirates Bournemouth have conceded eleven goals and scored just three over their last three league visits, and Aubameyang has scored in his last two encounters against the Cherries.

High-end Purchases on a Limited Budget

The challenge facing many FPL managers is deciding which of the £11.0m+ players to own, with many offering the promise of points. Three premium-priced assets make this week’s Scout Picks: Salah, Sterling, and Aubameyang.

To help ease the pressure on our limited budgets players such as McGinn, Pukki, and Abraham – as well as a shift towards cheap defenders – are proving popular. All three offer the promise of goals this weekend.

In his analysis of the underlying stats, Neale revealed that Abraham had been presented with nine big chances in the last four Gameweeks:

Abraham had four of those gilt-edged opportunities in the last two Gameweeks, so he has still been getting into dangerous positions despite recording back-to-back blanks.

And goals are expected when Norwich City host Aston Villa later today:

486 shots conceded by Arsenal (126), Aston Villa (121), Norwich City (121) and Bournemouth (118) combined this season. Those four clubs have allowed the most attempts on goal in the Premier League this season and play each other this weekend, with Norwich entertaining Aston Villa and Arsenal hosting the Cherries.

Compound Differential

The form of Riyad Mahrez has been discussed this week. The injury to Kevin De Bruyne and a potential ban for Bernardo Silva increasing his appeal.

Neale goes into impressive depth exploring not only how well Mahrez has performed this season, but also his potential for minutes. While the Algerian does not have the luxury of guaranteed game-time, Neale observed:

If we are to accept the occasional rest for [Sterling, Aguero, and De Bruyne], then why not the more affordable Mahrez?

The most transferred-in player ahead of the Gameweek 8 deadline and with an ownership fast approaching 10%, Mahrez just about squeezes into the differential category

But it’s as a “compound differential” that he could really make a difference. Appearing on the Scoutcast this week Tom, from Who Got The Assist?, explained:

Where I think Mahrez is really interesting is that because he’s a compound differential, so it’s not really a differential in and of itself, it’s a differential because you’re pairing him with other players and making a unique combination, which is a little bit different to everybody else.

Tom went on to point out that selecting a triple City midfield of Sterling, De Bruyne, and Mahrez is pretty maverick: that combination is owned by just 0.04% of managers.

Even selecting City’s three most highly-owned players – Sterling, De Bruyne, and Aguero – each owned by over 29% of managers, as a combination is only selected by 2.3%

In Case You Missed It

There was another take on the De Bruyne injury / Mahrez appeal, tuvok thinks that perhaps De Bruyne’s absence could have a negative impact on Mahrez.

Elsewhere, Sebastes asked can Spurs bounce back? And Meltens kindly previewed Gameweek 27 (only four Gameweeks to go!) in Fantasy Allsvenskan.

To view all our discussions please visit our Hot Topics page, and if you’ve got some analysis, scout reports or features brewing, be sure to visit our community section to submit your article.

If you’re a member and are yet to get to grips with the custom statistics tables, you can view this movie for an explanation of how they work. Also, remember to tag them so that people can find the tables with ease.

Community Tournaments

For a full update on all FFS Mini-Leagues and Community Tournaments, please click here to read the latest round-up. 

For those interested in the Head-to-Head Leagues, the main page can be linked to here. A link has also been added to the ‘Scout Leagues’ section on the home page

The fixtures for Gameweek 8 can be found below:


Use the drop-down menus to show your league and division. To find out which league and division you are in, follow the instructions on the main Head-to-Head page.

Once the Gameweek starts, if you click on your opponent’s name you will be linked to their team on the FPL website.

Best of luck for Gameweek 8!

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2,244 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Paddy Gooner
    • 4 Years
    11 months, 25 days ago

    Due to KDB injury I will have to play 4 4 3. Bench David Luiz or Guilbert? I have both Wilson and Pukki:

    Pieters Diop Lund Luiz/Guilbert

    Salah Mount McGinn

    Pukki Auba(C) Wilson

    Bench: KDB, Ceballos and Luiz / Guilbert.

    1. Paddy Gooner
      • 4 Years
      11 months, 25 days ago

      sorry, meant to say 4 3 3

    2. Bring back Rafa
        11 months, 25 days ago

        I'd play Ceballos, apparently played really well mid week

    3. PogBruno
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      11 months, 25 days ago

      g2g?

      Adrian
      Lund OTA Pieters
      Sterling Mane Mount KDB
      Auba (c) Tammy Pukki

      Cantwell Kelly soy

      1. Evasivo
        • 10 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        Yes sir

    4. Codetto
      • 4 Years
      11 months, 25 days ago

      On a wildcard, should I put in Aguero or Auba? Sterling is captain.

      1. Paddy Gooner
        • 4 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        Auba. Kun not playing the full 90 every week, and Arsenal have great fixtures coming up AND Auba is cheaper.

      2. Sloopy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        Auba

    5. Naby K8a
      • 4 Years
      11 months, 25 days ago

      Read that Egypt’s manager has explained that Salah has been managing a groin injury as they’ve elected to rest him for upcoming internationals.

      1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • 10 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        Interesting

      2. IRBOX ⚽
        • 3 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        Phantom IB injury

      3. Greenbackbøøg…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        Ye this salah stuff is a bit fishy to me honestly

    6. ChuckN
      • 10 Years
      11 months, 25 days ago

      Worth dropping KdB (9.8) for Son for 2 weeks?

      Mainly h2h cash league.

      1. lespaul
        • 10 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        No

      2. Evasivo
        • 10 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        No

      3. Camzy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        No. I don't know why people are selling KdB for one week.

        It costs two transfers and saved value on KdB. Just hold, prepare your bench and set up the team for the future. KdB would be a good remove if you don't want him after the Intl. Break but that's clearly not the case.

        1. ChuckN
          • 10 Years
          11 months, 25 days ago

          Appreciate the detailed reply.

          My issue is I also have Cantwell and AWB.

          I have Maddison and Soy on my bench.

          Just can't see any other good transfers this week.

        2. ChuckN
          • 10 Years
          11 months, 25 days ago

          And like I said, it's primarily H2H.

          Pope
          TAA Ota Lund
          Mane KDB* Mount Cantwell*
          Kun Abraham Pukki

          McGovern AWB* Maddison Soy

        3. Royal5
          • 9 Years
          11 months, 25 days ago

          I can. Most likely he'll drop twice and he gives you 10 mill for a good replacement. Most people got poor benches. And it's not even sure he's back after the IB.

      4. Royal5
        • 9 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        Yup

    7. PocketZola
      • 3 Years
      11 months, 25 days ago

      Good to go?

      -4 for

      Pope
      Zinch taa tomori lund
      Salah sterling(c) yarm
      Auba Abraham pukki(vc)

      Subs. Cantwell, rico

      1. MPC
        • 2 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        Yep

    8. MPC
      • 2 Years
      11 months, 25 days ago

      Which order would you start them in?

      A: Lowton (EVE)
      B: Fredericks (CRY)
      C: Cantwell (AVL)
      D: Lund (wat)
      E: Tomori (sou)

      Thanks.

      1. PocketZola
        • 3 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        D,e,c

        1. MPC
          • 2 Years
          11 months, 25 days ago

          Thanks!

    9. drcooper817
      • 5 Years
      11 months, 25 days ago

      How likely is it that Aguero will start?

      1. Squib
        • 2 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        Worrying me. I need 75 plus minutes and returns from him with KDB out but tempted to swap for Auba...

    10. lordkippe
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      11 months, 25 days ago

      Should I get AUba for a couple of hits ?

      Pope ( Button )

      TAA - Otamendi - Awb ( Lundstram, Soyoncu )

      Salah - Sterling - KDB - Mount - Mcginn

      Pukki - Abraham ( Wickham )

      1. Cookie Kid
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        No, play Lundstram and assess KDB after break

    11. Balls of Steel
      • 4 Years
      11 months, 25 days ago

      GTG this week or shift Hayden for Saka for a - 4 in case Cantwell doesn't play?

      Pope
      Otamendi Lundy Fredericks Tomori
      Sterling (VC) Mané Cantwell
      Auba(C) Tammy Pukki

      Button Rico Hayden KDB

      1. KGFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        Did the same

      2. Cookie Kid
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        G2g

      3. Balls of Steel
        • 4 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        Thanks all

    12. aborg
      • 3 Years
      11 months, 25 days ago

      I have KDB, Cantwell and Mount ( any rumors of Mount not starting?) in my team.
      Should I be worried with Cantwell, Kelly and Aurier(who misses match) on my bench?

      1. aborg
        • 3 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        *Son in my team I meant

      2. Cookie Kid
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        Nothing worth hitting over

        1. aborg
          • 3 Years
          11 months, 25 days ago

          Thnks.

    13. DeadStar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      11 months, 25 days ago

      Go safe on Yarmolenko or take a punt on Saka? Saka would leave money in bank but I own Auba too.

      1. Danstoke82
        • 6 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        Yarmy as you own auba.

    14. Danstoke82
      • 6 Years
      11 months, 25 days ago

      Please help. Last decision of the GW

      Captain
      A) Aguero (don’t own Sterling)
      B) Pukki

      1. Evasivo
        • 10 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        A for me

        1. Danstoke82
          • 6 Years
          11 months, 25 days ago

          Cheers for the reply!

      2. tiger
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        Aguero

      3. The Units
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        B

    15. joersherman
      • 4 Years
      11 months, 25 days ago

      A) Son
      B) Firmino

      on WC?

      1. Royal5
        • 9 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        Son

    16. Squib
      • 2 Years
      11 months, 25 days ago

      1. Aguero to Auba yes or no?
      2. Keep KDB or swap for?

    17. aborg
      • 3 Years
      11 months, 25 days ago

      * Son in my team I meant

    18. Gaffa914
      • 6 Years
      11 months, 25 days ago

      James—> David Silva for a -4 one week punt?

    19. Caesar, Hot Mustache
      • 5 Years
      11 months, 25 days ago

      Little dilemma here.

      A. Save FT & keep KDB (Cantwell in Starting 11)
      B. KDB > Son
      C. KDB > Mahrez

      I don’t have much value locked on KDB. Rank’s suffering

    20. The Overthinker
      • 3 Years
      11 months, 25 days ago

      Chuuu chhuuu Panic station...

      All aboard the train

    21. Mesh
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      11 months, 25 days ago

      Who to captain?
      A. Aguero
      B. Abraham
      C. Son
      D. Pukki

      1. 1zverGGadeM
        • 3 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        Kun

      2. THE WERNER DELUSION
        • 5 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        Why do this to yourself?

      3. Evasivo
        • 10 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        A or D

    22. andrinho
      • 5 Years
      11 months, 25 days ago

      Is Auba and Sterling in for Aguero and KDB worth a 4 point hit?

      1. 1zverGGadeM
        • 3 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        Yep

      2. Fodderx4
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        Yes i wish i had such an easy decision (see above)

      3. The Mighty Hippo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        Yes

    23. Stoichkov#8
      • 4 Years
      11 months, 25 days ago

      Better pick this GW:

      a) Cantwell (Rico first on bench)
      b) Abraham -4

      1. IRBOX ⚽
        • 3 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        B

      2. Royal5
        • 9 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        Abby

      3. 1zverGGadeM
        • 3 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        Tammy

    24. Tamagotchi Massacre
      • 6 Years
      11 months, 25 days ago

      Trying to work out KdB value stuff and can't work out if this explanation from CO3KYSMURF is right or not. It's such a simple bit of maths as well haha

      "Correct me if I'm wrong, but if you bought him for 9.5 and he drops to 9.9, you won't lose any money by selling and buying him back. You sell for a 0.2 profit, then buy back for an extra 0.2, which cancels out the profit you earned. Break even. It's the same as not selling him as you're not getting the profit unless you sell him. Your point about losing 2 FTs is very relevant though"

      Initially I thought that made sense, but hold up. If you have 9.5 only remaining and you buy a player at that price who you subsequently sell for 9.7, if he's 9.9 or 10 you have to retrieve the extra from your team, don't you. So you have lost money???

      Someone with brain sort this out please

      1. IRBOX ⚽
        • 3 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        Yes you will sell him for 9.7 with 1 or 2 drops.. but even with 2 drops you will have to pay the extra 0.1 to get him back at 9.8. If he only drops once, you will lose 0.2

        1. Camzy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          11 months, 25 days ago

          He won't drop more than 0.1m I'm telling you.

          Everyone sells in one go. And those that keep (which is a lot of teams), will keep through the break. He will be 9.9m next week. Heck, he might not even be 9.9m. The red flag might keep him at 10.0m and no one will sell over the break since he's sitting out the internationals and will (fingers crossed) be back in GW8.

          1. IRBOX ⚽
            • 3 Years
            11 months, 25 days ago

            You’re telling me, but I wasn’t asking? I agree..

        2. mookie
          • 7 Years
          11 months, 25 days ago

          Very few will sell him after deadline. It just wouldn't make sense.
          Then again people are stupid.

      2. Camzy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        He's wrong.

        You lose 0.2m on the transaction.

        1. Camzy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          11 months, 25 days ago

          But more importantly, you waste two transfers doing that for a player you will want back.

          If you didn't want him back for a while, sure ship him, but you'll want KdB back the moment he's fit which has clearly been communicated as next GW. So it makes 0 sense imo to sell him.

          1. Tamagotchi Massacre
            • 6 Years
            11 months, 25 days ago

            No way I'm shipping. Player and team value is misunderstood and underrated. Insignificant if you're buying a player at 0.2 over the odds who you'll ship a couple of weeks later but if it's a season keeper then you're just locking in a season long disadvantage

            Ultimately it ends in transfers and hits

      3. Tamagotchi Massacre
        • 6 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        That's what I thought.

        Good

      4. Sloopy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        If you buy at 9.5 and the player grows up to a price of 9.9, you sell for 9.7. Your Squad Vallue has gone up with 0.2!

    25. Fodderx4
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      11 months, 25 days ago

      Repost as no replies, really appreciate input lads...

      Pope
      VVD Zinc Lund
      Mount Salah (VC) Cantwell McGinn
      Kun (C) Abraham Pukki

      Button, Lowton, Soy, KDB
      1 FT 1m ITB

      A) Save and use 2 transfers next GW to get Vardy
      B) KDB to Mahrez or Son
      C) VVD and KDB to Tomori and Sterling (c)
      D) Something else

      1. Royal5
        • 9 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        B

      2. Squib
        • 2 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        If Cantwell plays then probably save FT.
        I am in similar boat considering KDB out short term but I would have to then make two swaps to be able to afford him back.

    26. Jurgen Flopp
      • 6 Years
      11 months, 25 days ago

      Pukki will score a brace today. Look at his home record. Look at Norwich results at home not just this season but last season too.

      1. Royal5
        • 9 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        He's gone if he blanks again

      2. IRBOX ⚽
        • 3 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        They have scored two or more goals in 17 of their last 18 matches, incredible attacking stats!

        1. Jurgen Flopp
          • 6 Years
          11 months, 25 days ago

          Wow I didn't know that

        2. IRBOX ⚽
          • 3 Years
          11 months, 25 days ago

          At home that is though sorry

          1. Jurgen Flopp
            • 6 Years
            11 months, 25 days ago

            Ye that's all that matters today!

      3. maff
        • 9 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        It's possible. The worry with Norwich is that the defence is in pieces (1 fit centre back) and the only fit defensive midfielder will have to plug the gap, so the whole base of the team is a bit compromised. If they can get on the ball they can always score but I'd be wary of them being bullied out if it a bit.

        1. Jurgen Flopp
          • 6 Years
          11 months, 25 days ago

          Everyone thought the same v City and look what happened

          1. maff
            • 9 Years
            11 months, 25 days ago

            True, though the situation has got worse since then (albeit villa aren't man city). Just saying be a little wary for any who might be thinking about captaining him

    27. Stef rocks
      • 3 Years
      11 months, 25 days ago

      Guys is there anywhere I can see whether Son will star for Spurs before the deadline, so I can transfer him if he is benched ?

      1. Royal5
        • 9 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        No. And Poch can't afford resting him. Spurs desperate for an away win.

      2. Arteta
        • 4 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        Twitter, maybe on reddit r/coys.

      3. Jurgen Flopp
        • 6 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        Son will start no reason he would get benched

      4. jtreble
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        No.

        1. Stef rocks
          • 3 Years
          11 months, 25 days ago

          FFS team news say different!

          1. jtreble
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            11 months, 25 days ago

            FFS’s crystal ball has been broken for a long time. :).

    28. Mr. Mystic
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      11 months, 25 days ago

      People who haven’t yet used their wildcard, when do you intend to play it?

      1. fc_skrald
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        Last week in December

      2. Railwayman
        • 7 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        Until I have a few injuries or a really, really catastrophic week.

    29. Railwayman
      • 7 Years
      11 months, 25 days ago

      Is it mad to bring in Madison now instead Mount or Yarmolenko ?

    30. Mr_Barbs
      • 3 Years
      11 months, 25 days ago

      A) Dendoncker > Saka
      B) VVD & Dendoncker > Tomori & Mount (-4)

    31. Pieterke30
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      11 months, 25 days ago

      Start Cantwell or Vardy?

      1. The Mighty Hippo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        11 months, 25 days ago

        Vardy, without a doubt.