Members

Which FPL assets have the best goal conversion rates?

As Fantasy writers and managers, many of us place a lot of emphasis on underlying statistics in our research and articles.

Be it penalty box touches, attempts on goal or key passes, the key performance indicators (KPIs) in both attack and defence can help form our judgements on certain players and teams.

Of course, there is a subculture of Fantasy Premier League bosses who think the whole thing is a load of mind-cluttering claptrap and prefer to rely on the so-called ‘eye test’, gut instinct or basic figures such as goals scored and clean sheets.

There is a statistic that unites the two approaches: goal conversion rate.

This is a KPI that deals in cold, hard fact and tells us how clinical players are with the chances they are afforded.

Being presented with a host of goalscoring opportunities is one thing but if Fantasy assets are not ruthless enough when seeing the whites of a goalkeeper’s eyes, then all the underlying stats in the world mean nothing.

One only has to look at poor Che Adams’ (£5.6m) KPIs – the Southampton striker had five big chances in the first six Gameweeks, an eye-catching statistic had it not been for the fact that he failed to convert any of them or indeed a single one of his 12 attempts on goal overall.

Is goal conversion rate something we should pay more attention to, then?

It is certainly relevant: eight of the current top ten in the Premier League sit in the top half of the table for goal conversion, underscoring the very obvious point that better quality players convert a higher proportion of their chances, no matter how many or few.

The rest of this article will look at the goal conversion rate of various key FPL assets, to see if their current output is sustainable or likely to regress/improve based on past figures.

Lessons learned from Gameweek 9


Members can view goal conversion rates on the Goal Threat tabs under Players Stats.

463 Comments Post a Comment
  1. McSauce
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    Why can’t sterling & Sergio save these up for the weekend!!! 🙁

    Have 2 in form players who in fantasy I should be delighted to have now I am unsure if both will even start on Saturday....

    1. zdrojo187
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      IMO Pep gonna put Aguero & Jesus together in 532 or 442 formation

  2. Feed tha Sheep
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    Bottomed
    Which one on a WC?
    A. Soy
    B. Tomori

    1. Super Saints
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      B

  3. Sz21
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    1ft. 0.9m ITB. Still have the WC so can take a gamble or two.
    Save or make a move somewhere we reckon?

    Pope.
    Robbo, Otamendi, Lundstram.
    Cantwell, Mount, Sterling, KDB, Salah.
    Abraham, Wilson.
    Button, Soyuncu, A Smith, Wickham.

  4. tucaoneo
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    Bald fraud is all out...

    Pep Guardiola on Raheem Sterling: "All the credit is for him. He’s a guy whose physicality is incredible. He is strong. ***The day after a game, he could play another game.*** His regeneration is incredible; he can play both sides. He is an extraordinary player."

    1. Lord.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      I think he was talking about Dr Who

  5. Ask Yourself
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 1 month ago

    Posted this last night after man City game but might be more useful for people who haven’t been watching them regularly.

    Guardiola at the start of the season stuck with his trusty inverted 433, KDB excelled in each and every game. Walker and Zinchenko would tuck inside and fill the the DM spots with Fernandinho/Rodri dropping back in between the CBs to form a 3223 in the attacking phase with Dilva and KDB pushing really close to the forwards so they could get involved in a variety of ways.

    Since the CB injury crisis pep hasn’t been able to comfortably push so many players up the field and prefers to have one drop deeper, this was KDB as an extra number there doubling as someone to cut passing lines and offer a deep playmaking option, which is where he was deadly whipping crosses from deep on the right hand side.

    This was all well and good with walker for protection but since the introduction of Cancelo there instead KDB has been pushed back even further by cancelo’s attacking runs. KDB’s single biggest opportunity for goal involvement is to hang deep on the right hand side to try and send the same cross every team has seen him pepper in every week. This made it very easy for palace and Atlanta to mark him out of the game which was annoying to watch.

    Now the good bit is that they now have 2 fit CBs returning in Ota and Stones, this should mean Fernandinho can slot back into his role in midfield. This was tested last night just for the last half an hour when the game was won. This gives Kevin the licence to roam around again like he used to before he could be marked out of games.

    That’s what I’ve been seeing anyway. Hope pep sees the same thing and makes him the explosive captaincy option we began to know and love this season x

    1. Man Chest Hair United
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Nice write up. Kevin will find a way regardless

    2. Party time
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Very Insightful, agree with alot of the details as well

      • In and Out
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        It was unbelievable he didn’t get attacking returns against palace, not sure where you’re getting marked out of the game from

      • ‘Tis the Season
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        insightful. thanks for this

      • Kiwi Don
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Is Sterling’s upturn in form down to Mendy’s return?
        Is Mendy adding width allowing Sterling to be more central hence scoring more goals.

    3. Man Chest Hair United
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Who’s the better option to bring in this week

      A, Maddison
      B, Robertson

      I own vardy and Taa if that impacts

      1. lilmessipran
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Depends on who you are getting rid of really

    4. I SPEAK ENGELS AND DRINK GI…
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      A) Son+Auba -> Sterling+Jimenez
      B) Son+Auba -> Aguero+Bilva/Dilva

      Have KDB

      1. Man Chest Hair United
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Neither keep Auba

      2. Offs!de
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Why are you getting rid of Auba?

    5. Starlydon
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Bottomed sorry....

      (A) martial
      (B) Madison

      Causing me awful headache!!!

      1. Man Chest Hair United
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Madison

      2. Rhodes your boat
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        B right now A if United pick up

    6. lilmessipran
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      What's the latest news on Taa's illness?

        1. lilmessipran
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 1 month ago

          cheers

    7. Al-Chemy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Reckon that Aurier to Tomori/Dunk/Rico is my best bet here?
      Also wanting to sell Son and Cantwell in the near future

      Pope (Heaton)
      TAA Ota Lundy Soy (Aurier)
      Sterling Mount Son Cantwell (Hayden)
      Aguero Tammy Wilson

      1FT 0.2 ITB

      Thanks for any help!

      1. Al-Chemy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Or debating Son and Cantwell -> Madison and CHO

    8. Peter Ouch
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Is it too mad to bring Mahrez kdb Sterling for a hit in the next 2 gws?

      1. Slouch87
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        You haven't got any of these ? Wouldn't be bringing in for hits as it's a double kick in the goolies if they don't start . But I would look to get KDB & Sterling in .

        1. Peter Ouch
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 years, 1 month ago

          I have Sterling and Mahrez.
          I will need to get out mount McGinn and Pukki for kdb.
          I still have strong bench

          1. Slouch87
            • 6 Years
            2 years, 1 month ago

            Why were you talking about brining in Sterling and Mahrez then in your question ?
            Have you got 1 or 2 FT's as yes for -4 , no for -8 to get KDB

    9. Rhodes your boat
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Thoughts on cantwell to d.silva for free for a few week punt

      Gives me this next gw

      Pope
      Taa lundstram rico
      Salah sterling kdb silva CHo
      Abraham jimi

      Button tomori soyuncu greenwood

      Have 1FT 3.7itb

      1. Offs!de
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        worthy

    10. camarozz
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Pope

      TAA/Rico/Lundstram

      Sterling(c) /Kdb/Mount/
      Tieleman

      Auba/Vardy/Tammy

      (Heaton/Soy/Cantwell/Mings

      On a - 8 to make four changes so really need this team to preform fingers crossed

      Look okay?

      1. Slouch87
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        It's quite a good front 7 but the defence is terrible.

        1. camarozz
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 1 month ago

          I had Otamendi and sold him for Rico.

          All defences are terrible clean sheet wise... But TAA, Rico and Lundstram can get attacking returns so I don't agree with you.

          1. Rhodes your boat
            • 5 Years
            2 years, 1 month ago

            Agreed

        2. xHaTr
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 years, 1 month ago

          Thats the template defence lol

      2. Rhodes your boat
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Not too sure about the -8 but yes a good team

        1. camarozz
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 1 month ago

          I know. Kinda panicked Saturday night.

          But I got rid of Son and Pukki. Altho Son did good last nite, spurs as a whole not great in league.

      3. Amey
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Yep

    11. ‘Tis the Season
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Are these moves worth a -4 hit? KDB + Haller for Auba & Saka.

      1. Rhodes your boat
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Wouldn’t take a hit to get auba out

      2. Slouch87
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        No. Wait a week and get KDB and Jimenez

        1. ‘Tis the Season
          • 3 Years
          2 years, 1 month ago

          I have sterling, is having KDB not essential this GW with benching risk?

      3. Amey
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Will it add benching headaches ???
        If not yes with Jimenez for me

        1. ‘Tis the Season
          • 3 Years
          2 years, 1 month ago

          no, means i dont play Cantwell as 4th mid. thanks Amey.

      4. Invincibles
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Haller > Jimenez

    12. SHOWSTOPPERRR
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Guyyyys
      A) salah and Cantwell to kdb and Madison
      B) salah and greenwood to kdb and Dealofue..
      C) Just salah to kdb and save one ft

      Both are for free

      Team

      Pope button
      Tea otta soyu digne lund
      Salah sterling kdb mcgin mount cantwell
      Auba green Abru

      Thanks

      1. Rhodes your boat
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Keep salah

    13. Super Saints
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Play Lundstram over Soyunca?

      No clean sheets for Leicester away. Two for Sheffield already and Lundstram has more attacking threat.

      1. Slitherene
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Yes

      2. Rhodes your boat
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        I’m going Lundy over soy

      3. Camzy
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Definitely. But vs Rico is tougher. Rico has attacking threat and plays Watford.

    14. FOO FIGHTER
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Long term who would you rather have? Only one.

      KDB or Sterling

      1. My heart goes Salalalalah
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Sterling

      2. Rhodes your boat
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Sterling

      3. Jacky boy
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Kdb

    15. My heart goes Salalalalah
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Is the Pool defensive double-up still a viable option after Spurs' performance last night?

      I thought before the United game last week, that Pool only had 1 tough fixture which is Man City. But United did well against them too.

      Would you hold if you had double Pool defence? I am thinking of VVD out for a hit actually, then get Robbo to partner TAA in my team after the City game

    16. No Kane No Gain
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      I haven't even reached 50 points for the last 3 weeks but still managed to improve my or to 12,000 from 23,000.

      Madness.

    17. Slitherene
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Son (liv) + Pukki (MUN) ➡
      A) Martial (nor) + Lacazette (CRY)
      B) Maddison (sou) + Firmino (TOT)
      C) David Silva (avl) + Rashford (nor)

      Differential Forwards, The Playmakers or Clinical Finishers?

    18. Super Saints
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      G2G?

      Pope
      TAA Robbo Ota Lundstram
      Mane(VC) KDB(C) Mount
      Aguero Wilson Abraham
      Button Soy Geundouzi Dendonker

      1. Slouch87
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Apart from Otamendi and Wilson that's a good team.

        1. Jebiga
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 1 month ago

          LoL, why Otamendi ? Rodri is injured...
          And Wilson ?

          1. Slouch87
            • 6 Years
            2 years, 1 month ago

            Because if he has 2 FT's both those players can be removed for better options . LOL

    19. Jacky boy
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Do you think sterling starts this gw or not?

      1. Slouch87
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        Nobody truly knows.

        1. Christina.
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          2 years, 1 month ago

          +1

        2. Jacky boy
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 1 month ago

          I know. Wanted to hear people' thoughts.
          May do sterling ---> salah for -4

          1. Christina.
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            2 years, 1 month ago

            *sigh

          2. Slouch87
            • 6 Years
            2 years, 1 month ago

            Genuinely people on here or anywhere else for that matter have no idea. So any replies you get will be misleading as they are pure guesswork.

      2. lilmessipran
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        yes imo he doesn't want to fall too far behind liverpool so he probably starts his best players

      3. No Kane No Gain
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        sterling ----> david silva?!

        1. Jacky boy
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 1 month ago

          Want salah more really

          1. No Kane No Gain
            • 3 Years
            2 years, 1 month ago

            wouldn't rush getting salah until after man city. I don't think his points returns will reflect a 12.4m man for the next 3 gameweeks.

    20. Atimis
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Early transfer suggestions with 2.8ITB and 1FT?
      Been thinking about Cantwell to Maddison

      Pope
      TAA/Ota/Tomori/Soy
      Mane/KDB/Mount
      Auba/Abraham/Wilson

      Button/Cantwell/Lund/Hayden

    21. No Kane No Gain
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 1 month ago

      Just noticed Man Citys EFL cup match is southampton on tuesday..

      Surely he'll play some of his key players for this?! not like its port vale at home or something.

      I fear sterling bench against villa and plays this..

      1. Slouch87
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        You're over thinking it.

        1. Jacky boy
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 1 month ago

          That's reality

          1. Slouch87
            • 6 Years
            2 years, 1 month ago

            No it isn't. Reality is a team of fringe players for the EFL. EPL is much higher priority in Pep's eyes.

            1. Jacky boy
              • 5 Years
              2 years, 1 month ago

              He did it exactly this year. Sterling started cup match

      2. Jacky boy
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 1 month ago

        This will happen imo.
        Bernardo and dilva rested. Kdb taken off soon and mahrez has been resting for too long
        Can't see any of them not playing

        1. No Kane No Gain
          • 3 Years
          2 years, 1 month ago

          i concur.

        2. No Kane No Gain
          • 3 Years
          2 years, 1 month ago

          Nice to agree with a fellow iranian 😉

          1. Jacky boy
            • 5 Years
            2 years, 1 month ago

            Haha. Where are you from?

            1. No Kane No Gain
              • 3 Years
              2 years, 1 month ago

              manchester but parents are from Tehran and Shiraz...you?!

              I'm aiming for that number 1 spot in the Iran league ha

              1. Jacky boy
                • 5 Years
                2 years, 1 month ago

                Wow great. So you are basically iranian. Try for no2. 1 is for me :))
                Would love to be in contact with you more

                1. Party time
                    2 years, 1 month ago

                    Iranian prince 😆

                  • No Kane No Gain
                    • 3 Years
                    2 years, 1 month ago

                    haha yeah we'll keep in contact! You can get me a cholo kebab if you get the no1! but you have some catching up to do 😉

                    I've decided, nothing will convince me that sterling will start, i'm 75% certain he will be rested for midweek and the next week. Looking to get Dilva and hudson odoi with the funds!

                    If sterling smashes it, i'll be laying low for a while..

        3. jtreble
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 1 month ago

          ... did you “notice” the travel? 🙂

          1. Jacky boy
            • 5 Years
            2 years, 1 month ago

            No

      3. Party time
          2 years, 1 month ago

          Lundstams's position changed in January?

          1. Jacky boy
            • 5 Years
            2 years, 1 month ago

            Not possible

          2. lilmessipran
            • 9 Years
            2 years, 1 month ago

            Don't think they can do that mid season

          3. Stoic
            • 5 Years
            2 years, 1 month ago

            First season ?

            1. Party time
                2 years, 1 month ago

                Sorry I just had a sniff

          4. andre_c
            • 3 Years
            2 years, 1 month ago

            Who to play out of these:

            A) Rico (Watford Away)
            B) Soy (Sout Away)
            C) Lund (West Ham Away)

            1. Wild Card this!
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              2 years, 1 month ago

              One with most points/clean sheets. 😉

            2. lilmessipran
              • 9 Years
              2 years, 1 month ago

              same dilemma I am going with Lundstorm

            3. Party time
                2 years, 1 month ago

                Lundy

            4. andre_c
              • 3 Years
              2 years, 1 month ago

              is Mahrez to KDB a bit sideways?

              1. Stoic
                • 5 Years
                2 years, 1 month ago

                No. For free it's a no brainer. More nailed and more potential

            5. AzzaroMax99
              • 5 Years
              2 years, 1 month ago

              Would you do this Auba+Cantwell to Vardy+CHO (-4)?

              1. Will Kane
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 5 Years
                2 years, 1 month ago

                Don't think I would take a hit for it when Auba has a nice home fixture. Saints have been a bit leaky at home so Vardy could do well, but CHO has a tough fixture away to Burnley. For free, maybe, but not for a -4

            6. Will Kane
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              2 years, 1 month ago

              I'm normally quite decisive about my transfers but I think for the first time this season I'm genuinely flummoxed.

              Current team is:
              Ryan
              TAA, Ota, Montoya
              KDB, Mane, Maddison, Mount
              Wilson, Tammy, Vardy

              Button, Lund, Donk, Lowton
              £3.1m ITB

              The cash is burning a hole in my pocket and I'm fearful of not having Sterling or Aguero this week, but to get either of them requires a hit and it seems very risky to take a hit for any player who is a potential bench risk (even if my gut tells me both will start). Also, I only sold Sterling (for Maddison) last week in order to fund Pukki>Vardy. Strategy-wise I'm not quite sure where I'm heading.... still considering the Mane/Salah double up soon if Salah shows signs of his best form in the next 2-3 games. My head says do nothing this week, roll the FT and give myself more flexibility next week and just hope that Sterling and/or Aguero don't go crazy against Villa.

              Any thoughts/advice?

            7. Stoic
              • 5 Years
              2 years, 1 month ago

              Lundstram would go from 33% owned this season to less than 3% owned next, when he is 5/5.5 Midfielder.

              1. Camzy
                • 11 Years
                2 years, 1 month ago

                Happens all the time. Look at Doherty.

              2. Party time
                  2 years, 1 month ago

                  True except he plays an attacking role