463
Members

Which FPL assets have the best goal conversion rates?

As Fantasy writers and managers, many of us place a lot of emphasis on underlying statistics in our research and articles.

Be it penalty box touches, attempts on goal or key passes, the key performance indicators (KPIs) in both attack and defence can help form our judgements on certain players and teams.

Of course, there is a subculture of Fantasy Premier League bosses who think the whole thing is a load of mind-cluttering claptrap and prefer to rely on the so-called ‘eye test’, gut instinct or basic figures such as goals scored and clean sheets.

There is a statistic that unites the two approaches: goal conversion rate.

This is a KPI that deals in cold, hard fact and tells us how clinical players are with the chances they are afforded.

Being presented with a host of goalscoring opportunities is one thing but if Fantasy assets are not ruthless enough when seeing the whites of a goalkeeper’s eyes, then all the underlying stats in the world mean nothing.

One only has to look at poor Che Adams’ (£5.6m) KPIs – the Southampton striker had five big chances in the first six Gameweeks, an eye-catching statistic had it not been for the fact that he failed to convert any of them or indeed a single one of his 12 attempts on goal overall.

Is goal conversion rate something we should pay more attention to, then?

It is certainly relevant: eight of the current top ten in the Premier League sit in the top half of the table for goal conversion, underscoring the very obvious point that better quality players convert a higher proportion of their chances, no matter how many or few.

The rest of this article will look at the goal conversion rate of various key FPL assets, to see if their current output is sustainable or likely to regress/improve based on past figures.

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463 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Wiseman Resistant ⚽⚠
    • 7 Years
    29 days, 19 hours ago

    So City almost won 1st place in group stage of CL ?
    I think both Aguero and Sterling will play, will probably captain KDB, and Aguero VC...

    1. SkekTek (AKA: AnzhiBabakin)
      • 4 Years
      29 days, 19 hours ago

      I'm doing it the other way round but who knows what to expect

    2. jayzico
      • 8 Years
      29 days, 19 hours ago

      I own Kun, Sterling and KdB. Think I'll captain KdB and VC Sterling

      1. Kopkloppers
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        29 days, 18 hours ago

        Careful about VC your second choice if a City player. The last thing you want is both C and VC not to play.

  2. Lestat
    • 9 Years
    29 days, 19 hours ago

    A - Salah, Sterling, 4.5mid, Aguero (Current team)

    B - KDB, Sterling, Aubameyang

    C - KDB, Sterling, Martial, Aguero (4 point hit)

    C - Salah, Sterling, KDB, 6.4M striker

    Best option this weekend?

  3. phily4321
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    29 days, 19 hours ago

    On my wildcard, good to go?

    Pope.
    Trent, Otamendi, Soyuncu, Lundstram.
    Salah, KDB, Sterling, Mount.
    Wilson, Vardy.
    (Mcgovern, Connolly, Cantwell, Reid)

    I feel like i have actually wasted the chip as I have only made 3 changes from my original team ffs

    1. Jullepuu
      29 days, 19 hours ago

      Why not Rico over Reid?

      1. phily4321
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        29 days, 19 hours ago

        0 ITB

        1. Jullepuu
          29 days, 19 hours ago

          In that case I would do Mount to CHO and spend the cash on the bench

    2. nkhoughton
      • 4 Years
      29 days, 19 hours ago

      On a wc I'd be tempted by Hudson odoi over Mount unless you're already invested in mount

      1. phily4321
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        29 days, 19 hours ago

        I've had Mount from his original price

    3. Rhodes your boat
      • 3 Years
      29 days, 19 hours ago

      I’d drop ota for tomori and upgrade bench

      1. phily4321
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        29 days, 19 hours ago

        Tempted by this, but I feel that city and liverpool are still the most likely clean sheets so i'd like to hold one of each

        1. denial
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          29 days, 19 hours ago

          Go for Ederson then. I'm not convinced Ota will play enough

  4. Little Red Lacazette
    • 3 Years
    29 days, 19 hours ago

    1FT. 1.1M ITB.

    A. Cleverly -> Grealish
    B. Kelly -> Lundstram
    C. Better move?

    Pope
    TAA Tomori Söyüncü
    Mane Sterling Mount Cantwell
    Abraham Pukki Auba

    Button Diop Cleverly Kelly

    1. Jullepuu
      29 days, 19 hours ago

      B

      Aston Villa has some tough fixtures coming up

    2. Rhodes your boat
      • 3 Years
      29 days, 19 hours ago

      B

    3. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      29 days, 19 hours ago

      B Palace going on horror run

  5. lilmessipran
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    29 days, 19 hours ago

    Going forward do we think Jota slots straight back in to the starting 11 ? Wolves have some decent fixtures coming up after a few games and the Wilson to Jota switch will enable me to get Mane/Salah after their city game

    1. Jullepuu
      29 days, 19 hours ago

      I think so because Cutrone hasn't really done much.

    2. HarryB29
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      29 days, 19 hours ago

      Jimenez offers good way into that attack and is almost 100% nailed, looks good price at 7.1

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 5 Years
        29 days, 19 hours ago

        this

      2. ‘Tis the Season
        • 1 Year
        29 days, 19 hours ago

        agree with this

    3. Skonto Rigga
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 2 Years
      29 days, 19 hours ago

      You'd probably have to swallow the odd bit of rotation because of the Europa League (benched in GW4, for example). Santo obviously has Cutrone to deputise alongside Jimenez if he plays two up top and can use Neto wide left if he plays a 3-4-3.

  6. nkhoughton
    • 4 Years
    29 days, 19 hours ago

    Best Adrian replacement?
    I own pope too, looking at budget keepers

    1. Rhodes your boat
      • 3 Years
      29 days, 19 hours ago

      I would just downgrade to cheapest and use funds elsewhere with pope set and forget

    2. Epic Fail ⚽ 墅
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      29 days, 19 hours ago

      I've gone for Roberto

    3. GARY AND JAMIE
      • 6 Years
      29 days, 19 hours ago

      Went Hendo last week based on Sheff U performance v Pool. Glad I did now....the only rider is the Man U game...

  7. unitednations
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    29 days, 19 hours ago

    which combo do you prefer next few gw's

    A: Zincheko + Vardy + Rashford with...................Rico/Cantwell/Docker as bench
    B: Zincheko + Auba + Jimenez with.................... Rico/Cantwell/Docker as bench
    C: Awb + Auba + Pukki with................................ Rico/Cantwell/Docker as bench
    D: Richarlison + Wilson + Pukki with................... Zincheko/Rico/Cantwell on bench

  8. jtreble
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    29 days, 19 hours ago

    Anyone come across Trossard injury news? Brighton seems very quiet.

    1. Skonto Rigga
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 2 Years
      29 days, 19 hours ago

      Was on the bench last weekend, so could be pushing for a start soon.

      1. jtreble
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        29 days, 19 hours ago

        Thanks for your reply.

  9. YoungPretender
    • 5 Years
    29 days, 19 hours ago

    McGinn > Yarmalenko/Tielemans for free? Or any mid up to 6.6 for that matter...

    1. Epic Fail ⚽ 墅
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      29 days, 19 hours ago

      CHO

      1. YoungPretender
        • 5 Years
        29 days, 19 hours ago

        Already have Mount and Tammy?

        1. dbeck
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          29 days, 18 hours ago

          I'd sill go for CHO, or drop down to a 4.5 guy to get a defender up to Robbo/TAA (which ever one you dont own)

  10. endy919
    29 days, 19 hours ago

    Pope-Button
    TAA-Lunds-Fredericks-Boly-Soy
    Salah-Raz-KDB-Mount-Csntwell
    Tammy-Wilson-Ayew

    1ft, 0,7m ITB

    What to do here?

    1. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      29 days, 19 hours ago

      Nothing, that's a good team for this week

      1. endy919
        29 days, 19 hours ago

        i was thinking the same before the previous gw too ... and got 32 points 🙁

  11. denial
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    29 days, 19 hours ago

    No idea what to do. Save FT and hope for the best?

    Pope

    Ota TAA Tomori Soy

    Mane Mahrez Maddison

    Kun Auba Abraham

    // Lund / Cantwell / Haydn

    1. Jullepuu
      29 days, 19 hours ago

      Looks good to me

    2. dbeck
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      29 days, 19 hours ago

      yeah id save, like me you'll be sweating over Peps team sheet

  12. ‘Tis the Season
    • 1 Year
    29 days, 19 hours ago

    Worth a -4 hit? KDB + Haller for Auba & Saka. i have sterling and worried about benching after 90 min last night.

    1. jayzico
      • 8 Years
      29 days, 19 hours ago

      Lacazette is due back

      1. ‘Tis the Season
        • 1 Year
        29 days, 19 hours ago

        i know, Auba not as effective out on the left. worth the transfer then?

    2. dbeck
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      29 days, 19 hours ago

      not sure on bringing Haller in, look at Maupay for the next two and then he can become Ings.

      1. dbeck
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        29 days, 19 hours ago

        but i feel you need to do this move, KDB is a must have

        1. ‘Tis the Season
          • 1 Year
          29 days, 18 hours ago

          thanks bud, feel the same way

      2. ‘Tis the Season
        • 1 Year
        29 days, 19 hours ago

        not keen on Maupay yet. Jimmy instead of jimmy? hit worth it to bring in KDB?

        1. ‘Tis the Season
          • 1 Year
          29 days, 18 hours ago

          lol jimmy instead of Haller

          1. dbeck
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            29 days, 18 hours ago

            i'm not sold on Jimmy tho with EL still going on. Wood?

  13. jayzico
    • 8 Years
    29 days, 19 hours ago

    Presuming KdB got rested after 67mins? Sorry, never watched the game.

    1. jtreble
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      29 days, 19 hours ago

      Yes.

    2. ‘Tis the Season
      • 1 Year
      29 days, 19 hours ago

      yip

  14. HarryB29
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    29 days, 19 hours ago

    Genuine question, are people being slightly flippant regarding Peps comments on Sterling saying that he will be benched this weekend, or do people actually think his comments mean he will be benched?

    1. GARY AND JAMIE
      • 6 Years
      29 days, 19 hours ago

      3 days full rest...then a break for League cup. I can't see a rest tbh...

      1. HarryB29
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        29 days, 18 hours ago

        This was the exact setup the last time though, and he was fully rested in the 8-0 watford game and then played in the league cup!

        1. Qaiss
          • 3 Years
          29 days, 18 hours ago

          If you're worried he will be rested then why do you own him? Apart from Ederson, no City player is ever nailed. This has been the case for a few years now, so if you are worried 12m of your team will be rested, just get rid. High risk, high reward with their players.

          1. HarryB29
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            29 days, 18 hours ago

            Well he is more nailed than most players, and I have no issue owning him, but for this specific game I am worried about captaining him, as it looks a great fixture on paper

            1. Qaiss
              • 3 Years
              29 days, 18 hours ago

              3 days rest now before weekend and a league cup game next week. If can't captain him to Villa at home, no point owning. He won't be rested.

    2. jtreble
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      29 days, 19 hours ago

      The “less than clever” amongst us have all sorts of theories. 🙂

    3. FOO FIGHTER
      29 days, 19 hours ago

      Did Pep say Sterling will be benched?

    4. Murder On Zidanesfloor
      • 1 Year
      29 days, 18 hours ago

      Started messi for literally every game

    5. Jarvish Scott Talent
      • 4 Years
      29 days, 18 hours ago

      Pointless worrying or thinking about it - it's Pep and what will be will be.

    6. jason_ni
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      29 days, 16 hours ago

      Where is the quote that pep said sterling was going to be benched this weekend?

  15. GARY AND JAMIE
    • 6 Years
    29 days, 19 hours ago

    Peps comments about Sterling and his regeneration are encouraging...then again this is Pep we are talking about.

  16. n-doggg
    • 7 Years
    29 days, 18 hours ago

    2Fts, would appreciate some advice on my transfers

    A. Salah, Greenwood to Maddison, Firmino
    B. Otamendi, Yarmolenko to Rico, Maddison
    C. Otamendi, Yarmolenko, Greenwood to Rico, dendonca and Jiminez

    Current team below

    Pope
    Taa, otamendi, soyunco, lundstrum, Gilbert
    Salah, sterling, kdb, Mount, Yarmolenko
    Tammy, pukki, Greenwood

    Thanks all

    1. LordRougeGrog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      29 days, 18 hours ago

      C has the biggest net impact on your team. Having 3 strikers who play is a big upgrade.

    2. dbeck
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      29 days, 18 hours ago

      B looks good. Otherwise just move Ota out and roll the other FT

  17. JammySprat
    • 1 Year
    29 days, 18 hours ago

    I've only just realised how close the Overall rank is this season. 60odd points to go from outside top 1mil to top 10k

    1. jtreble
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      29 days, 18 hours ago

      That’s why, in part, managers who took hits the past two weeks have seen their ranks hurt so badly.

    2. Jarvish Scott Talent
      • 4 Years
      29 days, 18 hours ago

      Yep - why people with current "bad" ranks shouldn't be panicking yet.

    3. jason_ni
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      29 days, 16 hours ago

      Ml leader is 90 points ahead of me.. sitting 80 OR.. I am 330k OR..I'll catch him yet!

      1. JammySprat
        • 1 Year
        29 days, 14 hours ago

        Aye precisely, all to play for

  18. Murder On Zidanesfloor
    • 1 Year
    29 days, 18 hours ago

    One more Auba blank this weekend and it might be time to sell for vardy

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      29 days, 18 hours ago

      I have both but Auba blank and it’s welcome back Kun lol

      1. Murder On Zidanesfloor
        • 1 Year
        29 days, 18 hours ago

        Too interchangeable with jesus for me

    2. MoManeTaa
      • 2 Years
      29 days, 18 hours ago

      Welcome lacca

      1. Murder On Zidanesfloor
        • 1 Year
        29 days, 18 hours ago

        Vardy is better than Laca imo

    3. ‘Tis the Season
      • 1 Year
      29 days, 17 hours ago

      still undecided. so worried that Auba will haul against Palace but palace are playing really well. well thats what im telling myself at least..

  19. iL PiStOlErO
    29 days, 18 hours ago

    Worst rank ever in 4 years of playing this game. Need some big points. Any suggestions what to change here?

    Pope Button
    TAA Soy Guilbert Lund Rico
    Mo KdB Son Maddison Cantwell
    Auba Tammy Connolly

    0.0 itb, 1 ft

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      29 days, 18 hours ago

      I’m hearing you mate. My worse rank in 5 yrs

      1. iL PiStOlErO
        29 days, 18 hours ago

        Whatever I do same thing, points just won't come.

        1. the dom 1
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          29 days, 18 hours ago

          Casuals have it sorted lol

    2. avfc82
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 9 Years
      29 days, 18 hours ago

      Nothing wrong with that team - looks good. I'd be tempted to move Son on this week, next 3 fixtures look tough for Spurs. Hudson-Odoi or possibly one of the cheaper City midfielders are worth looking at.

      1. Peter Ouch
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        29 days, 18 hours ago

        Moderator, well done for the promotion 🙂

        1. avfc82
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 9 Years
          29 days, 18 hours ago

          Cheers 🙂

      2. iL PiStOlErO
        29 days, 18 hours ago

        Cheers. That's what I am looking at. Removing Son and maybe even Cantwell for a hit.

    3. BigBillyBass
      • 1 Year
      29 days, 17 hours ago

      Get rid of Aubameflop

      1. iL PiStOlErO
        29 days, 17 hours ago

        Harsh to say flop. He is the only thing worth there at Ars. Keeping for the run, at least for now

        1. BigBillyBass
          • 1 Year
          29 days, 17 hours ago

          Enjoy those 2 pointers!

          1. iL PiStOlErO
            29 days, 17 hours ago

            I wouldn't be so sure. He scored all this goals playing for poor Ars side so we will see, even better if people are selling him.

  20. DMil
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    29 days, 18 hours ago

    Anyone else considering Mendy for the next couple of weeks? Thinking of playing Pep Roulette and bringing him in for Zinchenko.

  21. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    29 days, 18 hours ago

    Harsh to drop Pukki completely from the watchlist?

    1. DAZZ
      • 5 Years
      29 days, 18 hours ago

      Everyone left the Pukki Party, there was an open invitation to the Vardy Party

      1. Annie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        29 days, 18 hours ago

        Higher entry fee

    2. iL PiStOlErO
      29 days, 18 hours ago

      Maybe it still is but time is ticking...

    3. Jarvish Scott Talent
      • 4 Years
      29 days, 18 hours ago

      Probably fair looking at who is on the list.

  22. rohan
    • 8 Years
    29 days, 18 hours ago

    Mane (C) against Spurs? Does well at home against them and Spurs still don't look great in the PL

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      29 days, 18 hours ago

      Another CL romp incoming

  23. FOO FIGHTER
    29 days, 18 hours ago

    If Cancelo starts this weekend he is in 🙂

    1. Jarvish Scott Talent
      • 4 Years
      29 days, 18 hours ago

      Commenting disabled though - they must be freeing up extra server space for Lateriser's fan mail.

  24. Peter Ouch
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    29 days, 18 hours ago

    Aston villa is a solid team

    He will probably be forced to play with otamendi (vulnerable at the back)

    Sterling has to find his form again and there is no better chance to build up the momentum in a home game

    Home games 17-18 16 wins 2 draws 1 defeat.
    Home games 18-19 18 wins 1 defeat.

    He is 24 years old and he very likely won't play next midweek cup game.

    1. DAZZ
      • 5 Years
      29 days, 18 hours ago

      I agree. Although i wouldnt be surprised if he was benched, nothing pep does surprises me anymore. I’ll captain and just hope.

    2. Jamb0
      • 1 Year
      29 days, 18 hours ago

      Sterling 3 goals and 2 assists last night.. horribly out of form

      1. Peter Ouch
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        29 days, 18 hours ago

        1 good game isn't considered as form

        1. Jamb0
          • 1 Year
          29 days, 18 hours ago

          Okay then how about the last 3 games? 5 goals and 4 assists...

  25. Jamb0
    • 1 Year
    29 days, 18 hours ago

    Should I do Son + Digne -> KDB + Rico for a hit?
    Would allow me to do Wilson -> Vardy next week..

  26. tibollom
    • 3 Years
    29 days, 18 hours ago

    Keep my FT and 1.1 ITB for next week? Team to play for the weekend:

    Heaton
    Ota Taa Rico Lunds Boly
    Sterling(c) KDB Salah
    Tammy Wilson

    Button, McGin, Dedonck, Greenwood

    1. DAZZ
      • 5 Years
      29 days, 18 hours ago

      Yeah keep. No point wasting a transfer

  27. XABI 15
    • 3 Years
    29 days, 18 hours ago

    Kane to:
    1. Aguero
    2. Vardy
    3. Jimenez

  28. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    29 days, 18 hours ago

    Friday deadline fast approaching

    Be interesting to see Liverpool & Chelsea lineups tonight & if any casualties

  29. CroatianHammer
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    29 days, 18 hours ago

    Has the FFS HU league page broken? The GW scores vanish after League 6 and the tables don't seem to be updated.