Spot the Differential

Willian a differential FPL route into an explosive Chelsea attack

On the face of it, last weekend seemed to return to type as the top three Fantasy Premier League points’ scorers had an average ownership of more than 15%. But they all happened to be defenders priced at £6.0m or less – or in John Lundstram’s (£4.8m) case, a midfielder that just happens to be listed as a defender.

In this climate of unexpected backline mega-hauls, the differentials also matched these tallies with double-digit points of their own from Lys Mousset (£4.9m) to Leandro Trossard (£5.8m).

This column’s picks also chipped in with attacking Fantasy returns for Christian Pulisic (£7.3m) and Sebastian Haller (£7.3m).

It’s time to look again at some other players that may be flying under the radar. Here are three differentials to have a think over for Gameweek 12:

Dele Alli

  • Ownership: 0.8%
  • Price: £8.4M
  • GW12 fixture: Sheffield United (h)

It’s strange to think that a midfielder that has scored in excess of 40 Premier League goals over the past four seasons has an ownership of less than 1%.

In fact, it wasn’t that long ago that Dele Alli was a mainstay for FPL managers. However, form and fitness issues over the past 12 months have reduced his output and ultimately resulted in him losing his place in the England team.

Having said that, Alli has seemingly turned a corner with three full Premier League starts in a row that saw him score two goals for good measure.

Of course, it may seem a bit steep to purchase a player with his price tag after only recently returning to the first-team set-up.

But it can’t be discounted that, over the past four Gameweeks, only Pulisic and Ayoze Perez (£6.1m) have scored more goals than him among midfielders priced at £8.5m or less.

Alli’s two goals have come from three shots on target. While this highlights accuracy, the lacks of shots over 300 minutes is a minor concern.

Up next for Tottenham are Sheffield United. The newly-promoted team have proven their defensive credentials of late but they’ve conceded during their last two travels to the capital and Spurs’ attack will definitely challenge them.

Willian

  • Ownership: 2.7%
  • Price: £7.1M
  • GW12 fixture: Crystal Palace (h)

Tammy Abraham (£7.9m) and Mason Mount (£6.9m) are currently among the most-owned players in Fantasy Premier League, while Pulisic has also demonstrated his worth of late.

But there’s a player from Chelsea’s old guard that is definitely worth considering if you’re looking for someone different.

Willian has started every Premier League game since Gameweek 5 and has also quietly racked up four attacking returns during his last five league outings.

Over the last six league games, he is ranked fourth for passes received in the final third (128) and sixth for touches in the final third (195) among midfielders priced at £7.5m or less.

Despite playing in an attack-minded team, the biggest concern with Willian is that Mount could offer more in terms of price per million with his marginally cheaper price.

Willian also takes set-pieces which adds to his appeal and he has averaged over ten attacking returns during the past four seasons, which shows his capabilities and importance to the team.

Chelsea this weekend face Crystal Palace, who have only kept one clean sheet in their past seven Premier League games. This should bode well for Willian and his teammates as Chelsea have scored 25 goals in 11 Premier League games this season.

Harvey Barnes

  • Ownership: 1.0%
  • Price: £5.9m
  • GW12 fixture: Arsenal (h)

Leicester seem almost unbeatable of late under Brendan Rodgers.

For now, they reside at the top echelons of the Premier League table, as they were during their unexpected title-winning season.

If they are to challenge the status quo again, then it will be players like Harvey Barnes who could make the difference in terms of durability across the season.

His FPL ownership is a fraction of Jamie Vardy’s (£9.4m) and yet Barnes has also chipped in by registering 23 points in his last three games. That’s no mean feat for a player priced at less than £6m, especially one that has proven to play across multiple midfield positions.

In his last six games, Barnes has had more touches in the final third than the likes of Son Heung-min (£9.6m) and Andriy Yarmolenko (£6.0m).

Barnes has also exceeded his attacking returns from last season in half the minutes played.

It’s clear that he’s getting better and could be a genuine fourth or fifth midfield option for those FPL managers that can’t afford the likes of James Maddison (£7.4m) or Youri Tielemans (£6.6m).

Leicester currently boast the third-best home record in the Premier League and on Saturday face an Arsenal team that have only won one away league match this season and are struggling to keep clean sheets.

Lessons learned from Gameweek 11

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691 Comments Post a Comment
  1. NielsvanDelft
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    3 days, 5 hours ago

    Who to play? It's easy as ABC right??

    A: Robbo
    B: Willems
    C: Tomori
    D: Lundy
    E: Soy Sauce

    1. TheDragon
      • 1 Year
      3 days, 5 hours ago

      It’s never easy to bench Lund

      1. NielsvanDelft
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        3 days, 5 hours ago

        Yeah, would like to believe Chelsea will keep a clean sheet with Kanté back, so Tomori is getting the advantage.

    2. antis0cial
      • 3 Years
      3 days, 5 hours ago

      ABD

    3. iL PiStOlErO
        3 days, 5 hours ago

        ACD

    4. ^Freedom Fighter^
      • 7 Years
      3 days, 5 hours ago

      Captain????
      Henderson
      Lowton Dunk Rico// Guilbert
      Sterling KDB Martial Adamatraore.
      Kun. Vardy Abraham
      ###mount kelly

      Thanks

      1. Plonatron
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        3 days, 5 hours ago

        Martial might be fun as a differential captain?

        Otherwise Vardy/Abraham. I currently have it on Vardy atm as an Arsenal fan, I very much expect him to score!

      2. iL PiStOlErO
          3 days, 5 hours ago

          Abraham or Tony

      3. Malkmus
        • 8 Years
        3 days, 5 hours ago

        GTG? 1FT, 1.2 ITB

        Pope (Button)
        Robbo - Chilwell - Tomori - Lundy
        KDB - Sterling - Mane - Tielemans
        Vardy (c) - Tammy

        Subs - Rico, Dendonk, Wickham

        Ta!

        1. Kanchelskis
          • 2 Years
          3 days, 5 hours ago

          Good

          1. Malkmus
            • 8 Years
            3 days, 5 hours ago

            Thanks !

      4. rohaansunil
          3 days, 5 hours ago

          Aguero+dilva to jiminez +kdb/son for -4
          Or
          Dilva to maddison/tielemans for free?
          Thanks in advance!!!!!

          1. Kanchelskis
            • 2 Years
            3 days, 5 hours ago

            Dilva to a Leicester mid

        • Maddamotha
          • 3 Years
          3 days, 5 hours ago

          What would you do here fellas? 1FT 0.7 ITB

          Pope
          TAA, Tomori, Lund, Rico
          Salah, Sterling, KDB, Mount
          Vardy, Abraham

          Button, Dendoncker, Soy, Greenwood

          A) Sterling/Salah > Son/Martial (upgrade Dendo next week)
          B) Mount > Maddison (if Mount is ruled out)
          C) Save
          D) Smth else

          1. antis0cial
            • 3 Years
            3 days, 5 hours ago

            C

        • MikeRyko
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          3 days, 5 hours ago

          Hows this wildcard team looking? £0 itb

          Gazz/McGovern
          Trent/Chilwell/Lundy/Rico/Janmat
          Mane/KDB/Son/Grealish/Hayden
          Vardy/Tammy/Jimmy

          1. iL PiStOlErO
              3 days, 5 hours ago

              Nice. Maybe downgrade Chill to Soy and update Grill or not if you want to be little different.

            • CONNERS
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              3 days, 5 hours ago

              Would prefer a Leicester mid to Grealish, but good otherwise.

              1. MikeRyko
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 3 Years
                3 days, 5 hours ago

                Thanks both.

                Tielmans & Soy for Grealish & Chilwell something I've considered - but Grealish was really in form prior to slight injury & could be a good differential as rest of team is fairly template.

          2. Sungshine
            • 5 Years
            3 days, 5 hours ago

            For this week only should I get Pulisic or Maddison? Have both Tammy and Vardy already if that helps. Thanks!

            1. Kanchelskis
              • 2 Years
              3 days, 5 hours ago

              Pulisic if just for this week.

          3. Whats the Mata?
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            3 days, 5 hours ago

            Hold CHO if Mount is fit? Or sell for a hit?

            1. iL PiStOlErO
                3 days, 5 hours ago

                Hold, too much unsecurity this gw

            2. Twitter: @Ze_Austin
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 1 Year
              3 days, 5 hours ago

              Go on, Lampard... Give us the Mason news

            3. I Member
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 4 Years
              3 days, 5 hours ago

              Where has this Maguire flag come from? Haven't seen anything from Ole on him.

              1. Cruz88
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 4 Years
                3 days, 5 hours ago

                He had a knock during the game last night but still played the second half. Think Ole said he might be ok

            4. Twitter: @Ze_Austin
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 1 Year
              3 days, 5 hours ago

              Ederson ruled out

              1. iL PiStOlErO
                  3 days, 5 hours ago

                  Mo brace incoming

              2. EmreCan Hustle
                • 7 Years
                3 days, 5 hours ago

                Firmino and McGinn over Maddison and Jimenez.

                Is that a bad idea?
                Have Vardy and Salah.

                Thanks.

                1. iL PiStOlErO
                    3 days, 5 hours ago

                    It is not bad idea but I think Madds and Jimmy will outscore them by lot.

                    1. EmreCan Hustle
                      • 7 Years
                      3 days, 5 hours ago

                      Ouch. Cheers.

                      1. Pipermaru
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 4 Years
                        3 days, 5 hours ago

                        And I think Firmino and McGinn will outscore Maddison and Jimenez.

                  • Kanchelskis
                    • 2 Years
                    3 days, 5 hours ago

                    Certainly outside the box, I wouldn't, but I'm very dull.

                    1. EmreCan Hustle
                      • 7 Years
                      3 days, 5 hours ago

                      So am I. McGinn is pretty dull 😛

                2. Sickboy
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 10 Years
                  3 days, 5 hours ago

                  Salah & Mane double up incoming!

                  1. Rhys85
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 5 Years
                    3 days, 5 hours ago

                    Something I'm considering after the IB too.

                    1. Sickboy
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 10 Years
                      3 days, 5 hours ago

                      May as well go now with Ederson out.

                3. Tshelby
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 4 Years
                  3 days, 5 hours ago

                  Non Vardy owners who will be your captain? I'm think Tammy or Mane ( cause Ederson is out )

                  1. iL PiStOlErO
                      3 days, 5 hours ago

                      Tammy. If I had Jimmy would consider him. Also now with Ederson out maybe Pool attack

                  2. itsmeguneet
                    • 3 Years
                    3 days, 5 hours ago

                    Any chances i could save FT this week?

                    Pope
                    VVD- Soy- Lund- Dunk
                    Salah- Traore- Sterling- Mount
                    Vardy- Tammy

                    Button, Greenwood, Zinch, Dilva

                    1. TheDragon
                      • 1 Year
                      3 days, 5 hours ago

                      Your bench is wafer thin - if Mount is out then you definitely can’t save

                    2. Kanchelskis
                      • 2 Years
                      3 days, 5 hours ago

                      If Mount out you got nothing... Cross your fingers.

                    3. ZICO SENNA
                      • 8 Years
                      3 days, 5 hours ago

                      Traore and that bench, wowsers

                    4. Jarvish Scott Talent
                      • 4 Years
                      3 days, 5 hours ago

                      Get rid of Zinch and/or Dilva

                  3. TheDragon
                    • 1 Year
                    3 days, 5 hours ago

                    Any thoughts please :

                    1 FT 0 ITB
                    Ryan
                    TAA, Lundstram, Rico
                    Salah, Sterling, KDB, Mount, CHO
                    Abraham, Pukki
                    Button l Mendy, Soyuncu, Greenwood

                    A) Save FT
                    B) KDB & Pukki -> Tielmans & Vardy (-4) - if I don’t do it this week I’ll do it for free next week.

                    Bonus question. If I go for A, then out of 10 how crazy a decision is captaining Pukki?

                    1. Kanchelskis
                      • 2 Years
                      3 days, 5 hours ago

                      B
                      Pretty crazy

                    2. ElliotJHP
                      • 7 Years
                      3 days, 5 hours ago

                      A

                      7, why not though

                    3. Rhys85
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 5 Years
                      3 days, 5 hours ago

                      I'd be tempted by the hit, but having 2FT over the IB is always a good thing too. Not sure I'd captain Pukki though.

                  4. Roll The Dyche
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 7 Years
                    3 days, 5 hours ago

                    Ederson out - confirmed by Pep

                  5. FOO FIGHTER
                      3 days, 5 hours ago

                      No Ederson.

                      Salah CAPTAIN!!!

                      1. Noé Pamarot
                          3 days, 5 hours ago

                          Actually tempted...

                      2. ZICO SENNA
                        • 8 Years
                        3 days, 5 hours ago

                        Does anyone have Dayvy FPL’s team link?
                        Can’t find it anywhere.
                        Appreciate any links 🙂

                      3. Rhys85
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 5 Years
                        3 days, 5 hours ago

                        So the FPL Experts Panel squad has the exact same defence as my team:

                        Gazzaniga / Henderson
                        TAA / Mendy / Lundy / Soy / Rico

                        They're playing Gazza, TAA and Lundy this week of course, but also Mendy and Soy with Rico on the bench. I'm the other way around, so should I be playing Mendy and/or Soy over Rico as well?

                        Cheers

                        1. Kanchelskis
                          • 2 Years
                          3 days, 5 hours ago

                          I'd play Rico, but if you are palying him over Mendy, you don't need Mendy.

                          1. Rhys85
                            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                            • 5 Years
                            3 days, 5 hours ago

                            That's true, he was a mistake I intend to remedy after the IB. I thought I was being clever bringing him in.

                      4. MeatPieSausageRoll
                          3 days, 5 hours ago

                          Pep said Ederson wouldn’t be able to play tomorrow. He didn’t say anything about Sunday

                          1. Kanchelskis
                            • 2 Years
                            3 days, 5 hours ago

                            More mind games?

                        • merin
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • 4 Years
                          3 days, 5 hours ago

                          Mount -> Pulisic or roll the transfer?

                          Pope McGovern
                          TAA Tomori Soyuncu Lundstram Rico
                          Mané KDB Mount Perez Guendouzi
                          Auba Vardy Abraham

                          1 FT, 1.3 ITB

                          1. Kanchelskis
                            • 2 Years
                            3 days, 5 hours ago

                            I was going to say only if you have little value in Mount, but you got a few quid in the bank so why not.

                            1. merin
                              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                              • 4 Years
                              3 days, 5 hours ago

                              I got Mount for 6m a while back...

                              1. King Kun Ta
                                • 4 Years
                                3 days, 5 hours ago

                                Then keep

                        • donlobatto
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • 2 Years
                          3 days, 5 hours ago

                          Mané captain looking tasty with Ederson out!

                          Vardy, Jimi and Tammy owner so is this crazy thinking?

                          500k OR fwiw so looking to climb!

                          1. ZICO SENNA
                            • 8 Years
                            3 days, 5 hours ago

                            Same conundrum here, think i may just go with the man in form vardy still though

                        • Big Ping
                          • 1 Year
                          3 days, 5 hours ago

                          Assuming Mount plays.

                          TAA, Robbo, Chilwell (Lund, Rico)

                          Do we agree on this order? Somethings telling me big Jeff's gonna make me pay for nothing him!

                          1. Big Ping
                            • 1 Year
                            3 days, 5 hours ago

                            Benching*

                        • ^Freedom Fighter^
                          • 7 Years
                          3 days, 5 hours ago

                          Aguero Captain?! Bad idea ?

                          1. Ajax Hamsterdam
                            • 5 Years
                            3 days, 5 hours ago

                            Well worst fixture of the season so id say so

                        • Fudgy
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          3 days, 5 hours ago

                          Lampard is about to mention Mount

                          1. ZICO SENNA
                            • 8 Years
                            3 days, 5 hours ago

                            What did he say? 😉

                        • royaljoe
                          • 3 Years
                          3 days, 5 hours ago

                          Wildcarding deciding on midfield...

                          Which 2?

                          A) Martial
                          B) Pulisic
                          C) Maddison

                          1. FISSH
                            • 6 Years
                            3 days, 5 hours ago

                            The 2 teams scoring goals and playing well

                        • FISSH
                          • 6 Years
                          3 days, 5 hours ago

                          Abraham or vardy captain?

                          1. Ajax Hamsterdam
                            • 5 Years
                            3 days, 5 hours ago

                            Vardy

                          2. skilldave
                            • 9 Years
                            3 days, 5 hours ago

                            Bookies have Abraham as more likely to score, but Vardy for me. Has track record of scoring against arsenal also

                        • Never a FT
                            3 days, 5 hours ago

                            Any midfielder any price for this week

                            Who?

                          • Oh Mane Mane
                            • 3 Years
                            3 days, 5 hours ago

                            Apologies if asked before...

                            Start:

                            A - Rico
                            B - Lundstram

                            1. skilldave
                              • 9 Years
                              3 days, 5 hours ago

                              I'm going with Rico