Spot the Differential

Jesus allows FPL managers to exploit Aguero absence

Differentials continue to be the bedrock of success for Fantasy Premier League managers in 2019/20.

Even though Gameweek 14 saw the popular players deliver, the top three FPL points scorers of the round each had ownership of 3% or less.

It was also nice to see the column’s picks of Danny Ings (£6.1m) and Alexandre Lacazette (£9.3m) also joining in on the fun with more goals.

It just goes to shows that there is value still to be found in unexpected places. 

With that in mind, here are three differentials worth thinking about for Gameweek 14.

Gabriel Jesus

Aguero’s absence could unlock Jesus’ potential as a Fantasy asset

Price: £9.5m

Ownership: 1.9% 

GW14 Opponent: Newcastle United (away)

It’s not very often that Fantasy managers are treated to a striker priced at less than £10M becomes a credible starting option for the Premier League’s reigning champions. 

But with Sergio Aguero (£11.9m) out injured for a few games, the door into our teams looks to have been opened for Gabriel Jesus (£9.5m). 

The Brazilian has only scored three league goals this season and for the most part, he’s just made cameo substitute appearances but when he has played, he has delivered.

Jesus has started four matches this season and has attacking returns in each of them, while four of his five goal involvements in 2019/20 have come away from home. Both of those statistics bode well for Gameweeks 14 and 15 when Manchester City are on the road without Aguero, against Newcastle and Burnley.

The Magpies are without a clean sheet since Gameweek 8 while Burnley have so far conceded seven goals at home to opposition from last season’s top-six.

Some Fantasy managers might be put off by the fact that Jesus has only scored 10 times in his last 37 league appearances. However, he has still registered a Fantasy attacking return every 99 minutes during the same period. 

It certainly shows that Jesus has made the most of his limited game time.

Dele Alli 

Alli could seriously benefit from Mourinho’s arrival at Spurs

Price: £8.4m

Ownership: 1.4%

GW14 Opponent: Bournemouth (home)

Dele Alli (£8.4m) has made a fantastic start to life under Jose Mourinho at Tottenham Hotspur and can be a fantastic differential option moving forward.

Without a start in the first eight Gameweeks, the England international regained his regular spot in the team in Gameweek 9, before Mauricio Pochettino left, and since then he has three attacking returns in the Premier League.

Mourinho’s arrival has already had an impact on Spurs as Gameweek 13 saw them record a first away league win of the campaign with three goals in one match for the first time since September.

He then oversaw a dramatic comeback 4-2 win over Olympiakos on Tuesday night.

One of the players to have stood out in each of these matches was Alli who registered an assist against West Ham and scored Spurs’ first goal in the Champions League.

While we don’t have too much relevant data available just yet, and the likes of James Maddison (£7.6m) and Christian Pulisic (£7.5m) are currently cheaper, getting in on Alli now could be a rewarding move.

Tottenham as a whole, including Alli, have the potential to be reinvigorated under Mourinho for the foreseeable future, especially when considering they must get back to winning ways if they are to finish in a respectable position come May. 

Alli himself has been deployed in a number 10 role and, thus far, has looked comfortable and dangerous.

Tottenham have scored almost two goals per home league match this season and in Gameweek 14 host a Bournemouth team with just one clean sheet on the road in 2019/20.

Danny Ings 

Danny Ings cannot stop scoring but is still owned by less than 5%

Price: £6.1m

Ownership: 4.2%

GW14 Opponent: Watford (away)

We might sound like a broken record recommending Ings for a second week running but it’s hard to ignore him when he’s scoring goals. 

That said, the wider public are doing their best to overlook him because despite his recent form still just 4.2% own the Southampton striker.

Among all forwards over the last six Gameweeks, only Jamie Vardy (£9.7m) scored more goals than Ings. 

Players such as Teemu Pukki (£6.6m), Callum Wilson (£7.7m) and Diogo Jota (£6.1m) have had far more touches in the penalty box than Ings and yet, since Gameweek 8 they’ve all failed to score while the former Burnley man has found the net four times.

It just goes to show that Ings hasn’t been wasteful with his limited goal-scoring opportunities of late and is even capable of scoring away from home at Arsenal and Manchester City.

Right now, there isn’t another striker in the same price bracket displaying the same kind of form as him.

Having said that, Southampton have only won two league game this season and it’s not a huge surprise that they’re currently found in 19th place on the back of pretty derisory home form. 

On the plus side, it’s clear that when they do score Ings’ has an important part to play – he has been their main forward driving outlet. 

After all, he has been involved with 54% of the Saints’ league goals since August. 

They now have a good run of upcoming games that they simply must win to avoid a relegation dog fight from the New Year. 

Up first is a Watford team currently short of some key defensive personnel. Craig Dawson (£4.8m), Christian Kabasele (£4.3m), Sebastian Prödl (£4.0m) and Daryl Janmaat (£4.4m) are all injured for Gameweek 14.

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2,503 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Totti
    • 4 Years
    10 months, 26 days ago

    1 Ft

    what do u rather guys?

    A) Abraham -> kane
    B) Abraham and mount -> kane and pulisic (-4)
    C) abraham and mcginn -> ings and son (-4)

    1. F0oTBall GuRu
      • 1 Year
      10 months, 26 days ago

      A and captain

    2. Me Spurs
      • 2 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      I like b

    3. Tempestic
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      C imo

    4. Totti
      • 4 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      LoL
      A B C
      what shall I do now 🙂

      1. Warby84
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        10 months, 26 days ago

        B

      2. Rhodes your boat
        • 4 Years
        10 months, 26 days ago

        B

  2. n14mul
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    10 months, 26 days ago

    Evening,

    Yes I appreciate the Tammy subject has been asked but please could anyone help me with either of these 2 options.

    A. Ings
    B. Bats (Not seen him mentioned really)

    Already have vardy and jimi

    1. F0oTBall GuRu
      • 1 Year
      10 months, 26 days ago

      A

    2. Calm
      • 6 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      Both quite risky, but I prefer Ings.

      Bats is just inviting trouble. Whenever Tammy is back (which we don't know), he's a transfer waiting to happen. At least Ings plays in Saints' preferred XI.

      1. n14mul
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        10 months, 26 days ago

        My thoughts too. Just don't know if Bats is a 2 week punt. End of the day he will play

    3. BobbyDoesNotLook
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      A.

      Giroud could get mins and matches. Plus Bats is nevertheless only for timebeing compared to Ings who is talisman (who can get injured though).

    4. Dr. Mantis Toboggan
      • 4 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      Both are a bit myopic, you'll be spending a transfer to get rid in a few weeks.
      I personally fancy the pants off of Danny, think it'll pay off

      1. n14mul
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        10 months, 26 days ago

        Lots of love for Danny but I can see why. Good run of games plus Norwich on th horizon

        1. Dr. Mantis Toboggan
          • 4 Years
          10 months, 26 days ago

          This weekend is going to be the best one I think. Watford are without Dawson, Kabasele, Prodl and Janmaat.

          He'll probably be off injured after half an hour

    5. Totti
      • 4 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      A

  3. BobbyDoesNotLook
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    10 months, 26 days ago

    I will transfer Tammy out and currently have 0.0 itb and awful bench which I would like to update next week. I am leaning to Ings since I really need money to upgrade bench. Otherwise Jimmy would look more tempting choice. Do:

    a) Tammy -> Ings (1.7 itb), next week Greenwood -> Mousset (still 1.0 itb)
    b) Tammy -> Jimmy (0.3itb), next week Janmaat -> max 4.6 def

    Pope (Button)
    TAA Aurier Lund Rico (Janmaat*)
    Salah Mane KDB Pulisic (Dendo)
    Vardy Ings/Jimmy (Greenwood)

  4. Calm
    • 6 Years
    10 months, 26 days ago

    Happy Friday everyone!

    McGinn & Abraham -> Pulisic & Rashford with 2FTs? Leaves 0.7itb

    Current team:
    Pope / Button
    TAA / Chillwell / Soy / Lund / Smith
    Mane / KDB / Mount / McGinn / Nakamba
    Tammy / Vardy / Jimmers

    1. wolvesmad
      • 4 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      I'd do Mount to Pulisic and have more funds

  5. Dynamic Duos
    • 7 Years
    10 months, 26 days ago

    Sticking with Aubameyang now that Dracula has left

    1. BNMC
      • 1 Year
      10 months, 26 days ago

      I sold him earlier this week, might regret it.

  6. Weasel51
    • 4 Years
    10 months, 26 days ago

    Have 2 FT's

    A) Sterling + Greenwood >>> Pulisic + Vardy ( Keep Tammy and downgrade Mount next week)
    B) Sterling + Tammy >>> KDB + Vardy

    Thanks

    1. Calm
      • 6 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      I prefer A. Think Pulisic can easily outscore KdB over the next month for a far lower price. Gives you more ITB to play with and you can reassess Tammy when the extent of his injury is revealed on Monday.

  7. Klopp it
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    10 months, 26 days ago

    Gtg?

    Pope
    Lundstram, taa, Pereira
    Pulisic, kdb, mane,(c) Maddison,
    cantwell
    vardy,(vc), ings

    Bench, mcgovern, o'connell, cathcart, abraham

  8. Mind över Mata
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    10 months, 26 days ago

    Start one of:

    A) Kelly (bur)
    B) Dendoncker (SHU)

    1. Calm
      • 6 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      Kelly for me.

      Doncks playing @ CB so offers limited goal threat & no CS points.

  9. Stimps
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    10 months, 26 days ago

    A fair bit behind in my leagues... Kane (c)?

    I have Vardy and Mane

    1. iL PiStOlErO
      • 1 Year
      10 months, 26 days ago

      Do it

    2. Calm
      • 6 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      Go for it. The game is about fun. 🙂

  10. Benditlike
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    10 months, 26 days ago

    A) Dunk -> Chilwell for a hit
    or
    B) Play Cantwell

    1. Tamagotchi Massacre
      • 6 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      I'd play Cantwell.

  11. tisza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    10 months, 26 days ago

    salah-kdb-Martial-Mount-Dendoncker
    Vardy-Jiminez-Abraham

    a. Abraham & Mount to Pulisic & Ings. 2.7 itb for a 2nd Pool defender or KDB to Sterling or a Martial upgrade to Son next GW.
    b. Abraham & Dendoncker to Son & Greenwood . 0.3 itb
    c.something else

    1. Tshelby
      • 5 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      Done A

      1. tisza
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        10 months, 26 days ago

        thanks.
        That's my gut reaction.

  12. Teror
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    10 months, 26 days ago

    Do I even need a liverpool def on wildcard?

    1. TorresMagic™ - 48n69x
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      Makes a better attack without one.

      1. Teror
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        10 months, 26 days ago

        Precisely my dilemma. I can do Rash + Alli or Jesus + Moura but I can't get Son in there. However if I sacrifice a Liverpool def...

    2. Pukki Party
      • 3 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      No

    3. Pukki Blinders
      • 1 Year
      10 months, 26 days ago

      When CSs start coming it'll hurt

    4. TheDragon
      • 2 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      It’s a sign of where Liverpool are that this is the question rather than ‘Do you need 2 Liverpool defenders)

      I’d personally definitely have TAA or Robbo (as a minimum) but they are only worth it if Liverpool start keeping clean sheets.

    5. iL PiStOlErO
      • 1 Year
      10 months, 26 days ago

      It is not a must but all defences are risk so only if you want to have cover.

    6. Bogisa
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      10 months, 26 days ago

      Liverpool def is like an insurance right now, they are underperforming but have high ownership and they can go ballistic at any point and probably will at some point. Are you willing to take a risk?

  13. andres
    • 9 Years
    10 months, 26 days ago

    So i am selling tammy and also want pulisic... how would you do that?

    Pope
    TAA Soy Lund
    Mane KDB son tielemans
    Abraham* Vardy jimenez

    Pieters, Cantwell, Kelly 1.6 ITB 1FT

    1. Pieterke30
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      KDB and Tammy for Pulisic and Jesus (can afford Kane?)

      Or Abraham and Tielemans to Ings and Pulisic

      1. andres
        • 9 Years
        10 months, 26 days ago

        I can afford both jesus and kane if i sell kdb.

        Also considering selling tielemans.

        So net net, who score more points over the next couple of gws, kdb or tielemans?

        1. Pieterke30
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          10 months, 26 days ago

          Id go for Kane then. KDB Tammy out

    2. TheDragon
      • 2 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      On the transfer page on the FPL website.....

      ...more seriously...one Option could be Abraham to Ings/ Mousset & Cantwell to Pulisic.

      1. andres
        • 9 Years
        10 months, 26 days ago

        Cantwell upgrade would create a benching problem...

        Could also do pieters to aurier and bench tammy

    3. Kroos Kontrol
      • 7 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      If you want to remove Tammy, the only way is either downgrading (probably to Ings), or upgrading to Rashford (or beyond that).

      A) If you downgrade/don't go for a 8.5+, Tielemans -> Pulisic
      B) If you upgrade to 8.5+, KdB -> Pulisic

      If you're looking to downgrade, I'd avoid a hit personally. Tammy can play midweek, Cantwell can step in this week.And you can get in Pulisic for whichever MF you wanted to remove

      1. andres
        • 9 Years
        10 months, 26 days ago

        Pulisic plays whm though... i am pretty set on him.

        The striker is an issue though, ings, jesus, rash, kane... all good options kind of

    4. Me Spurs
      • 2 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      I’m doing tammy Tielemans for ings pulisic -4

  14. Tshelby
    • 5 Years
    10 months, 26 days ago

    Mount and Tammy -> Pulisic and Ings (-4) done

    Bench Soyuncu or Lundstram?

    1. Rinseboy
      • 8 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      Would have kept Tammy and played both!

  15. Andrew
    • 8 Years
    10 months, 26 days ago

    Just done Abraham and Tielemans > Ings and Pulisic, sound ok?

    1. Jon Snow
      • 5 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      Surely too late to ask for advice if you've already done it?

      1. ⱼₐᵣᵥᵢₛₕ
        • 5 Years
        10 months, 26 days ago

        Just say "yes" to make him feel better - don't be a meanie 😉

        1. iL PiStOlErO
          • 1 Year
          10 months, 26 days ago

          Yes mate. Even more if you own Party.

    2. Tamagotchi Massacre
      • 6 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      Sounds groovy though always sad to see Tielemens leave a team. He's not a spectacular or tricksy player, he just has end product, and will keep popping up with goals

    3. TheDragon
      • 2 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      Wow not good....I mean it could be good

  16. Jon Snow
    • 5 Years
    10 months, 26 days ago

    Is Tammy price locked?

    1. TorresMagic™ - 48n69x
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      No

      1. iL PiStOlErO
        • 1 Year
        10 months, 26 days ago

        Njet

  17. Hryszko
    • 3 Years
    10 months, 26 days ago

    Captain Dilemma, who do I pick?

    1. Son
    2. KDB
    3. Mane
    4. Vardy
    5. Jiminez

    1. iL PiStOlErO
      • 1 Year
      10 months, 26 days ago

      Sonny

  18. Nightf0x
    • 5 Years
    10 months, 26 days ago

    Complete team transfers with (itb 21.6)

    A) def. (Soy lund taa kely, lowton to ..)
    - chilwel aurier baldock robo lovren

    B) Mid. (Mane son kdb dendo, mount to ..)
    - puli or keep mount

    C) fwd. (Vardy ings, tamy to ..)
    - boby jesus jimy laca bats ayew mouset or keep tamy for now

    1. TorresMagic™ - 48n69x
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      You want to make 3 transfers?

      1. Nightf0x
        • 5 Years
        10 months, 26 days ago

        No, 1 or 2 -4 but setting things up for next 3 gwks

        1. TorresMagic™ - 48n69x
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 11 Years
          10 months, 26 days ago

          Least important is the defender if that helps.

          1. Nightf0x
            • 5 Years
            10 months, 26 days ago

            It helps thanks was thinking the same but want robbo taa doubleup, so primarly tamy out 343 can also do lowton out 442 next gw mount to puli then lowton out

  19. Pukki Blinders
    • 1 Year
    10 months, 26 days ago

    Tammy to Firmino/Laca for a -4 or play Lundstram?

    1. Sicaholic
      • 8 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      Glad to see someone other than me considering bobby

      1. Debauchy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        10 months, 26 days ago

        He is on my radar too but this week think just play Lordy

    2. Calm
      • 6 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      I'd just play Lundstram and wait tbh.

  20. Jullepuu
    • 1 Year
    10 months, 26 days ago

    Help me out guys!

    Should I do:
    A) Tammy to Jimenez/Ings
    B) Sterling and Connolly to Son and Ings for -4.Tammy would be on on the bench.

    1. leroybrown84
      • 1 Year
      10 months, 26 days ago

      A

  21. yer old da
    • 10 Years
    10 months, 26 days ago

    Not convinced by any other strikers as the Tammy swap apart from Kane and Rashford, but would need 3 transfers for a 4 point hit to do it. Therefore, should I just stick with this?

    Pope
    TAA, Soyuncu, Tomori, Lundstram
    Sterling, Mane, Martial, Mount
    Vardy, Jimenez

    Subs: Gazzaniga, Dendoncker, Rico, Tammy*

    1. Hybrid.power
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      Yeah stick imo

  22. BNMC
    • 1 Year
    10 months, 26 days ago

    Is Rico, Mings, Cantwell, and Mousset a reliable bench if I have to play at least one of them each week?

    1. iL PiStOlErO
      • 1 Year
      10 months, 26 days ago

      It is.

    2. BobbyDoesNotLook
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      Yes. Mousset is looking really good and SHU is playing good ball so I would play him almost every week nevertheless. Rico and Mings are quite good rotating defs for nice fixtures. Cantwell is a bit of a question mark but not the worst.

      1. BNMC
        • 1 Year
        10 months, 26 days ago

        I have the money to go to Traore, but I'm not convinced by him.

  23. Jones Kusi
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    10 months, 26 days ago

    Any tips what to do?
    2 FT 2.0 ITB

    Pope McGovern
    Lundstram TAA Rico Soy Tomori
    Mane KDB Mount Maddison Cantwell
    Vardy Jimenez Tammy

    1. aapoman
      • 6 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      I'd just downgrade Cantwell to cheaper fodder cuz otherwise looks really good

      1. Jones Kusi
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        10 months, 26 days ago

        Mount > Pulisic maybe?

      2. Tamagotchi Massacre
        • 6 Years
        10 months, 26 days ago

        Cantwell is head and shoulders the best midfield fodder. Really not worth it imo to save .3 or whatever. He's a gem

    2. Tamagotchi Massacre
      • 6 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      Just go Tammy to ings unless you really don't want to lose value, and roll the ft

  24. aapoman
    • 6 Years
    10 months, 26 days ago

    G2g?

    Pope
    PvA Soy Coady
    Salah Mane KDB Mount Tielemans
    Vardy Jimenez

    4.0; Lundy, Guilbert, Greenwood

    1. Cahill
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      lund over coady

  25. Cahill
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    10 months, 26 days ago

    GTG?

    Gazza
    Robbo Lund Tomori
    Salah Mane (c) KDB Pulisic
    Vardy Ings Mousset

    McGinn lowton Rico

  26. Slitherene
    • 2 Years
    10 months, 26 days ago

    Pope
    Aurier Matip Tomori
    Salah KdB Mount Maddison
    Vardy Rashford(c) Ings
    Heaton Soyuncu Baldock Stephens

    Correct bench order?

    1. Cahill
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      yep

  27. Hryszko
    • 3 Years
    10 months, 26 days ago

    Who to captain??

    1. Son
    2. KDB
    3. Mane
    4. Vardy
    5. Jiminez

    1. F0oTBall GuRu
      • 1 Year
      10 months, 26 days ago

      vardy party

    2. TorresMagic™ - 48n69x
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      What order are you thinking?

      1. Hryszko
        • 3 Years
        10 months, 26 days ago

        Vardy it is then?

        1. TorresMagic™ - 48n69x
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 11 Years
          10 months, 26 days ago

          If that's your top pick.

    3. iL PiStOlErO
      • 1 Year
      10 months, 26 days ago

      Sonny

  28. Cruz88
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    10 months, 26 days ago

    Play Brandon Williams or Lundstrum? Not expecting Lundy to get a clean sheet but he's an attacking threat. Man United at home to villa, but haven't been keeping clean sheets...

    1. Cahill
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      lund

  29. King Didier
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 months, 26 days ago

    Tammy + Traore 1 FT

    A. Ings + Willian
    B. Pulisic + Ayew
    C. Jimenez & keep Traore
    D. Other

  30. FPL FREAK
    • 6 Years
    10 months, 26 days ago

    Is it worth keeping Abraham for next gw....?? Cuz he is 8.0 in market and 7.6 in my team.. Can't get him back easily....

    1. TorresMagic™ - 48n69x
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      Does he play next week?

    2. Tamagotchi Massacre
      • 6 Years
      10 months, 26 days ago

      Depends entirely on your bench