Spot the Differential

Jesus allows FPL managers to exploit Aguero absence

Differentials continue to be the bedrock of success for Fantasy Premier League managers in 2019/20.

Even though Gameweek 14 saw the popular players deliver, the top three FPL points scorers of the round each had ownership of 3% or less.

It was also nice to see the column’s picks of Danny Ings (£6.1m) and Alexandre Lacazette (£9.3m) also joining in on the fun with more goals.

It just goes to shows that there is value still to be found in unexpected places. 

With that in mind, here are three differentials worth thinking about for Gameweek 14.

Gabriel Jesus

Aguero’s absence could unlock Jesus’ potential as a Fantasy asset

Price: £9.5m

Ownership: 1.9% 

GW14 Opponent: Newcastle United (away)

It’s not very often that Fantasy managers are treated to a striker priced at less than £10M becomes a credible starting option for the Premier League’s reigning champions. 

But with Sergio Aguero (£11.9m) out injured for a few games, the door into our teams looks to have been opened for Gabriel Jesus (£9.5m). 

The Brazilian has only scored three league goals this season and for the most part, he’s just made cameo substitute appearances but when he has played, he has delivered.

Jesus has started four matches this season and has attacking returns in each of them, while four of his five goal involvements in 2019/20 have come away from home. Both of those statistics bode well for Gameweeks 14 and 15 when Manchester City are on the road without Aguero, against Newcastle and Burnley.

The Magpies are without a clean sheet since Gameweek 8 while Burnley have so far conceded seven goals at home to opposition from last season’s top-six.

Some Fantasy managers might be put off by the fact that Jesus has only scored 10 times in his last 37 league appearances. However, he has still registered a Fantasy attacking return every 99 minutes during the same period. 

It certainly shows that Jesus has made the most of his limited game time.

Dele Alli 

Alli could seriously benefit from Mourinho’s arrival at Spurs

Price: £8.4m

Ownership: 1.4%

GW14 Opponent: Bournemouth (home)

Dele Alli (£8.4m) has made a fantastic start to life under Jose Mourinho at Tottenham Hotspur and can be a fantastic differential option moving forward.

Without a start in the first eight Gameweeks, the England international regained his regular spot in the team in Gameweek 9, before Mauricio Pochettino left, and since then he has three attacking returns in the Premier League.

Mourinho’s arrival has already had an impact on Spurs as Gameweek 13 saw them record a first away league win of the campaign with three goals in one match for the first time since September.

He then oversaw a dramatic comeback 4-2 win over Olympiakos on Tuesday night.

One of the players to have stood out in each of these matches was Alli who registered an assist against West Ham and scored Spurs’ first goal in the Champions League.

While we don’t have too much relevant data available just yet, and the likes of James Maddison (£7.6m) and Christian Pulisic (£7.5m) are currently cheaper, getting in on Alli now could be a rewarding move.

Tottenham as a whole, including Alli, have the potential to be reinvigorated under Mourinho for the foreseeable future, especially when considering they must get back to winning ways if they are to finish in a respectable position come May. 

Alli himself has been deployed in a number 10 role and, thus far, has looked comfortable and dangerous.

Tottenham have scored almost two goals per home league match this season and in Gameweek 14 host a Bournemouth team with just one clean sheet on the road in 2019/20.

Danny Ings 

Danny Ings cannot stop scoring but is still owned by less than 5%

Price: £6.1m

Ownership: 4.2%

GW14 Opponent: Watford (away)

We might sound like a broken record recommending Ings for a second week running but it’s hard to ignore him when he’s scoring goals. 

That said, the wider public are doing their best to overlook him because despite his recent form still just 4.2% own the Southampton striker.

Among all forwards over the last six Gameweeks, only Jamie Vardy (£9.7m) scored more goals than Ings. 

Players such as Teemu Pukki (£6.6m), Callum Wilson (£7.7m) and Diogo Jota (£6.1m) have had far more touches in the penalty box than Ings and yet, since Gameweek 8 they’ve all failed to score while the former Burnley man has found the net four times.

It just goes to show that Ings hasn’t been wasteful with his limited goal-scoring opportunities of late and is even capable of scoring away from home at Arsenal and Manchester City.

Right now, there isn’t another striker in the same price bracket displaying the same kind of form as him.

Having said that, Southampton have only won two league game this season and it’s not a huge surprise that they’re currently found in 19th place on the back of pretty derisory home form. 

On the plus side, it’s clear that when they do score Ings’ has an important part to play – he has been their main forward driving outlet. 

After all, he has been involved with 54% of the Saints’ league goals since August. 

They now have a good run of upcoming games that they simply must win to avoid a relegation dog fight from the New Year. 

Up first is a Watford team currently short of some key defensive personnel. Craig Dawson (£4.8m), Christian Kabasele (£4.3m), Sebastian Prödl (£4.0m) and Daryl Janmaat (£4.4m) are all injured for Gameweek 14.

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2,503 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Nightf0x
    • 5 Years
    11 months, 1 day ago

    Pick 1 from each with itb 14.1

    A) lowton to chilwel/aurier/baldock/robo/lovren/doherty (have Soy lund taa)
    B) tamy to boby/jesus/jimy/laca/bats/ayew/mouset/keep tamy bench him (have vardy ings)

    1. iL PiStOlErO
      • 1 Year
      11 months, 1 day ago

      A) Aurier
      B) keep, good attack or move to Jesus

      1. Nightf0x
        • 5 Years
        11 months, 1 day ago

        Thats 14.4, total must be 14.1

        1. iL PiStOlErO
          • 1 Year
          11 months, 1 day ago

          Then it is done...keep Tammy.

  2. FirminoIsBetterThanYou
    • 3 Years
    11 months, 1 day ago

    If you were getting one in now, Maddison or Alli?

    1. cheeky moses
      • 5 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      Alli

    2. potatoace
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      Maddison still

    3. iL PiStOlErO
      • 1 Year
      11 months, 1 day ago

      Madds, but if you have Party and no Spura then Alli

    4. Dr. Mantis Toboggan
      • 4 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      Madds

  3. BNMC
    • 1 Year
    11 months, 1 day ago

    Call me crazy, but I'm gonna have my eye on Martinelli.
    He's been very clinical in the cup competitions for Arsenal, Freddie loves the youth, he could provide some rest for Auba/Laca, could be a supersub type player. And he's dirt cheap. Obviously I'm getting ahead of myself given that we haven't seen Arsenal play yet, but he could be a huge bargain if it works out.

    1. Nightf0x
      • 5 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      Good shout

  4. CRO KLOPP
    • 3 Years
    11 months, 1 day ago

    Where should I spend 1 FT and 2.8 itb?

    Pope
    TAA Lundstram Tomori
    Mane KDB Son Mount Cantwell
    Vardy Jimenez
    (4.0 Kelly Rico Tammy)

    1. Tamagotchi Massacre
      • 6 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      Get a Leicester defender and bench Lundstram this week

      1. CRO KLOPP
        • 3 Years
        11 months, 1 day ago

        For Rico?

        1. Tamagotchi Massacre
          • 6 Years
          11 months, 1 day ago

          I reckon. Seems like him for chilly is worth investigating

          1. CRO KLOPP
            • 3 Years
            11 months, 1 day ago

            Cheers mate

    2. Tamagotchi Massacre
      • 6 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      That way you can bench Cantwell after this week and play chilly and ride out the Tammy injury if that's the plan

      1. CRO KLOPP
        • 3 Years
        11 months, 1 day ago

        Thanks

  5. potatoace
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    11 months, 1 day ago

    With Fabinho out liv clean sheets are going to be even harder to come

    TAA to Chilwell is becoming more appealing.

    similar attacking potential,
    Probably better CS potential now.
    Plays GW18.

    Thoughts?

    1. Brosstan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      Chilwell a great pick. Ive changed my structure to 4-4-2 with TAA/Roboo/Chil/Lund. Dont think Fabinho matters too much regarding LIV CS... Robbo and TAA are mostly in team for attacking returns anyway

  6. JHolmes
    • 4 Years
    11 months, 1 day ago

    Like so many here, gutted by the Abraham injury... Got him at 7.2 so would lose a lot by transfering out. Also -4 if I do it... I'm sticking but feels awful either way.

    Currently on:
    Pope
    Lundstram-TAA-Soyuncu (Kelly, Rico)
    Mane-Salah-McGinn-Cantwell-Mount
    Vardy-Rashford-Abraham

    1. g40steve
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      Doing same, will be 7.5 tonight, but allows another drop.
      If he plays next week fine by me, another hattie & those that sold will get burnt.

    2. Whatever100
      • 3 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      Jimmy has 2 quite nice fixtures inc hammers at home so for same price I am opting for him.

  7. The SK
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    11 months, 1 day ago

    Which move?

    A) Sterling+Martial -> KDB+Son
    B) Sterling+Connolly -> Son+Ings

    Current team
    Henderson McGovern
    TAA Lundstram Soyuncu Janmaat Rico
    Mane Sterling Martial Tielemans Mount
    Vardy Jimenez Connolly

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      Bringing in KDB? B for me

    2. potatoace
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      Prefer A , coz its kdb

    3. wolvesmad
      • 4 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      B. A is kinda sideways

      1. The SK
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        11 months, 1 day ago

        B would mean benching headache will have to choose between Mount and Tielemans

  8. Magic Zico
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    11 months, 1 day ago

    Front playing 7:
    Mane KDB Maddison Mount
    Vardy [C] Rashford Abraham

    For 2 FT which one would you do? Currently on B, will trigger tonight!
    A. Abraham Mount > Ings Pulisic
    B. Abraham KDB > Jimenez Pulisic
    C. Abraham KDB > Jimenez Son

    1. CRO KLOPP
      • 3 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      A

    2. Karan14
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      A

    3. iL PiStOlErO
      • 1 Year
      11 months, 1 day ago

      A

    4. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      Cheers unanimous A it is

  9. Bubbles1985
    • 3 Years
    11 months, 1 day ago

    Ok so I have used my FT already and have Tammy.

    Vardy and Auba my other strikers plus also have Mount. Not worth taking a hit to replace him this week is it? Someone tell me.im right! 😀

    1. cheeky moses
      • 5 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      Depends on your bench

      1. Bubbles1985
        • 3 Years
        11 months, 1 day ago

        Am I GTG??!

        Gazza
        TAA Rico Lundstram Soy
        Sterling KDB Mount
        Abra Auba Vardy

        Button Saka Cantwell Kelly

        1. g40steve
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          11 months, 1 day ago

          Bench Abra.

  10. theroadrunner
    • 3 Years
    11 months, 1 day ago

    Hi peeps. Just need your opinion about whether I should play Soyuncu or Mcginn. Cheers!

    1. Kay317
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      11 months, 1 day ago

      Soy

    2. iL PiStOlErO
      • 1 Year
      11 months, 1 day ago

      Soy

  11. Lightbody
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    11 months, 1 day ago

    Would you take a -4 to get Jesus in for Tammy ahead of this gameweek, if the alternative is to play Cantwell vs an Emery-free Arsenal..?

    1. Tamagotchi Massacre
      • 6 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      Nope

      Cantwell will walk straight through that defence and pass the ball in. He's been in the number 10. I'm absolutely gutted I can't get him off my bench this week

      1. Lightbody
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        10 months, 29 days ago

        I love you.

  12. Ajaxeeding
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    11 months, 1 day ago

    When does RMT update?

    1. TorresMagic™ - 48n69x
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      Later today once Abraham Is on 0

      1. Ajaxeeding
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        11 months, 1 day ago

        Thanks!

  13. Citizen Kane
    • 1 Year
    11 months, 1 day ago

    Do Abraham to Jimenez for a -8?

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      -8? Wow, any other in your team can play?

      1. Citizen Kane
        • 1 Year
        11 months, 1 day ago

        Yeah, already took 2 -8 hits and is 450k Overall

    2. Kay317
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      11 months, 1 day ago

      I have the same issue.

      I can play Lund or traore instead but thinking Jimenez could do very well over the next 3 games so could easily pay it back.

      If you have no bench cover go for it.

      1. Citizen Kane
        • 1 Year
        11 months, 1 day ago

        What are you thinking?
        Worried about Jimenez

        1. Kay317
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 1 Year
          11 months, 1 day ago

          I mean if you have no bench to cover Tammy then go for Jimenez. Not worried about Jimenez mins.

    3. Niho992
      • 2 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      I think i will do a same.

      I have Lundstram on the bench but i would take a hit anyway next week to afford Vardy if i dont rid of Abraham now

      1. Citizen Kane
        • 1 Year
        11 months, 1 day ago

        Might ride my luck on Jimenez, wish me luck

  14. gomez123
    • 7 Years
    11 months, 1 day ago

    Wilson & Tammy > Rashford & Ings

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      Free? Yes ...

    2. cheeky moses
      • 5 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      Like it. Go for it

    3. iL PiStOlErO
      • 1 Year
      11 months, 1 day ago

      Allright

  15. Spoox777
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    11 months, 1 day ago

    Good move or not please?
    Sterling & Abraham > Son & Vardy

    for a -4 ?

    Thank you 🙂

    1. cheeky moses
      • 5 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      Yes. Do it

      1. Spoox777
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        11 months, 1 day ago

        Thanks mate 😉

  16. xHaTr
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    11 months, 1 day ago

    Start one:

    A: Taylor (Palace Home)

    B: Cantwell (Arsenal Home)

    1. Nightf0x
      • 5 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      A

    2. Tamagotchi Massacre
      • 6 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      B

  17. Karan14
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    11 months, 1 day ago

    Son + Kane double up for me.

    If all goes well they probably won't leave my team till start of next year.

    1. cheeky moses
      • 5 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      Nice!

  18. cheeky moses
    • 5 Years
    11 months, 1 day ago

    Ryan
    TAA, Soy, Lund
    Mane, Maddison, KdB, Mount
    Auba, Vardy, Tammy*

    Bench is a mess. Would you wildcard?

    1. Tamagotchi Massacre
      • 6 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      What's the bench

      1. cheeky moses
        • 5 Years
        11 months, 1 day ago

        Rico only playing benchfodder. I do have a FT, so can do Tammy> Ings or Jimi

    2. Tamagotchi Massacre
      • 6 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      Def not a wildcard by the look of it though

  19. Niho992
    • 2 Years
    11 months, 1 day ago

    Jimenez or Ings fellas? Personally i think Jimenez is safer and better but others in my league have Jimi and not Ings and im chasing.

    So, what to do?

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      None originally but Tammy out pushed me to get one. Ings at the moment as I need the funds to get Pulisic.

  20. Bruin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    11 months, 1 day ago

    Hi, is the first round of the Cup starting tomorrow? If so what was the qualifying score and where can I view the matchups. Thanks

    1. potatoace
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      Been asking same question here....
      Anyone

    2. CRO KLOPP
      • 3 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      It's been postponed due to Emery news

    3. TorresMagic™ - 48n69x
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      Tomorrow, article out today or tomorrow.

      1. TorresMagic™ - 48n69x
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 11 Years
        11 months, 1 day ago

        65 and 229K overall rank is about the cutoff.

    4. ElliotJHP
      • 8 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      I think it was quite high, around 65

  21. Kay317
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    11 months, 1 day ago

    Need advice please:
    Start:
    A) Lord Lund.
    B) Traore

    Or take.a -8 to do Abraham to Jimenez. Pretty sure I shouldnt do that though when I have bench cover.

    1. DantheManinaPan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      Easily A

  22. Wiseman Resistant ⚽⚠
    • 8 Years
    11 months, 1 day ago

    The best Tammy replacent?
    Have Vardy and Ayew already

    1. Ings
    2. Firmino
    3. Jesus
    4. Jimenez

    1. Van der Faart
      • 8 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      I'm considering Firmino. Could be a great pick

    2. korbendallas82
      • 7 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      I Got in ings this week. Have Firmino and Vardy before. Depends on wallet and team structure.

  23. JBG
    • 2 Years
    11 months, 1 day ago

    Posted under wrong article, ffs..

    RMWCT:

    Henderson-Button
    Robbo-Chilwell-Tomori-Lund-Williams
    Mane-Son-Martial-Mount-Dendo
    Jimenez-Rashford-Vardy

    0.4 left itb.

    Any feedback is much appreciated.

  24. Van der Faart
    • 8 Years
    11 months, 1 day ago

    2 FT. KDB to Alli and Abraham to Firmino or Jesus

    Or

    Save 1FT
    KDB to Son

  25. Kaiser123
    • 1 Year
    11 months, 1 day ago

    Tammy/Martial to Jimi/Alli yay or nay.

    1. TorresMagic™ - 48n69x
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      Why sell MartiAl before Villa at home?

  26. F4L
    • 5 Years
    11 months, 1 day ago

    has there been any concrete indication of how long Aguero is out for?

    1. TorresMagic™ - 48n69x
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      A few games is at least a week.

      1. F4L
        • 5 Years
        11 months, 1 day ago

        definitely. Don't fancy having to make 2/3 transfers to accommodate Jesus though if he's not going to get at least the next 4/5 games.

  27. gomez123
    • 7 Years
    11 months, 1 day ago

    Keep sterling?? Y/N

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      Depends on who you would bring in etc.

  28. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    11 months, 1 day ago

    Had benching headaches, Abraham solved that problem for me. Good to go?

    Gazza
    TAA Robbo Soy Lordstram
    Mane KDB Son Pulisic Tielemans
    Party (C)

    (4.0 Abraham* Rico Greenwood) 0itb 0FT

  29. FF Dirtbag
    • 9 Years
    11 months, 1 day ago

    How does the team look for this week? 0FT and 0.7 mill in the bank.

    Pope
    TAA Robertson Soyuncu Tomori
    Mane Son Maddison Pulisic
    Vardy(c) Jimenez

    Button; Lundstram, Dendoncker, Abraham

  30. tisza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    11 months, 1 day ago

    Tomori or Lundstram?
    Wolves haven't blanked since GW1 so it's all about Lund's attacking potential.
    3 successive home CSs for Chelsea.
    stats say start Tomori (and watch Lundstram's haul on the bench 🙂 )

    1. FF Dirtbag
      • 9 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      See my decision above.

      1. tisza
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        11 months, 1 day ago

        yep.
        I'm going with logic over over FPL on this one.
        Thanks

    2. Tamagotchi Massacre
      • 6 Years
      11 months, 1 day ago

      The most likely outcome seems to be that SHU score once or not at all and Wolves score. I figure Lunds chance of a return are fairly low given he typically returns when a couple of goals or more are scored. In your shoes I'd be playing tom

      1. tisza
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        11 months, 1 day ago

        thanks