Scout Notes

Why appealing home fixtures are becoming a problem for Abraham

Chelsea assets continue to frustrate Fantasy Premier League managers as they recorded yet another awful home result in Gameweek 19.

They were undone by basement boys Southampton on an afternoon when many a captain armband was placed on Blues options.

Meanwhile, we got our first chance to see Arsenal under new manager Mikel Arteta.

We’ve got some analysis on both matches in this latest Scout Notes article.

Chelsea 0-2 Southampton

Goals: Michael Obafemi (£4.9m), Nathan Redmond (£6.2m)

Assists: Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (£4.8m)

Bonus Points: Cédric Soares x3 (£4.8m), Jan Bednarek x2 (£4.4m), Obafemi x2

Tammy Abraham‘s (£7.9m) stock continues to fall as he recorded yet another blank in a disappointing result for Chelsea on Boxing Day.

Despite naming a strong line-up, Frank Lampard saw his side lose 2-0 at home to a Southampton outfit that started the match without in-form goalscorer Danny Ings (£6.5m).

It was the third time in four Premier League matches at Stamford Bridge that Chelsea have lost to a relegation-threatened club without scoring – which has gone a long way to causing trust issues when it comes to captaining their players.

Furthermore, with so many so-called smaller clubs coming to Chelsea and registering positive results, it appears that Stamford Bridge is losing fear for the sides that Lampard’s men should be beating. Southampton manager Ralph Hasenhüttl explained his players were motivated by that and it suggests that this sort of problem could potentially create a vicious cycle at home.

“When you see that two teams win here then why shouldn’t you also? This is more of losing the fear, don’t be afraid. Come here, be brave. I spoke before about how we want to win here.” – Ralph Hasenhüttl

Despite doing so well against Spurs in Gameweek 18, Chelsea barely got any kind of rhythm going against Southampton on Boxing Day, not managing a single shot on target until the stroke of half-time.

Mason Mount (£6.5m), who was named on the bench alongside Christian Pulisic (£7.2m), replaced Kurt Zouma (£4.7m) at half-time, triggering a switch from the 3-4-3 formation to a 4-2-3-1.

There was something of an impact as Abraham soon after had the chance to lash an effort into the side-netting, his only shot of the match, and even after that, Chelsea were still woeful going forward.

“Mason has been feeling rough the last few days. It brightened it a bit [when he came on at half-time] but not enough. We controlled the game but we are not getting anything in the box. It’s a testing period but we have to deal with that.” – Frank Lampard

It means that Abraham has now blanked in six of his last seven Premier League outings. It will be interesting to see how his ownership suffers over the coming days as Chelsea still have relatively favourable fixtures to come, including trips to Arsenal and Brighton.

While there was a second start in a row for Fikayo Tomori (£4.8m) in a back-three, there was no repeat of the impressive defensive display witness at Spurs in Gameweek 18.

Tomori himself and Kepa Arrizabalaga (£5.5m) produced important second-half blocks but could not record back-to-back clean sheets.

The fact that Michael Obafemi (£4.9m) and Nathan Redmond (£6.2m), two players with fairly sketchy scoring histories, were able to find the net adds insult to injury in many respects – as the more ruthless Ings featured for only 21 second-half minutes and one-pointed his 14.5% ownership.

With plenty of options at Lampard’s disposal, the Gameweek 20 trip to Arsenal could well see some rotation for Chelsea.

Given recent displays, it must be said that Abraham is at risk of being replaced by Michy Batshuayi (£6.6m).

However, Mount and Pulisic can probably feel more confident of a start at the Emirates Stadium having both featured only as substitutes in Gameweek 19.

Furthermore, Ings’ absence from the majority of this match, while frustrating, should significantly boost his chances of starting Southampton’s hosting of Crystal Palace on Saturday.

Callum Hudson-Odoi (£5.4m) came in for his first start since Gameweek 9 but was panned by the local press. Despite such a poor performance, Lampard lent his backing to the player after the full-time whistle.

“I thought (Hudson-Odoi) put a lot of effort in today, he was trying things, making runs, not quite coming off for him in the first half. He’s come off the back of a big injury and this is certainly a period where we have to stick with him. He’s very young. A lot of talk last year about contract and would he or wouldn’t he and now he has and he’s in a period now where he has to get his head down and work and he knows that – to show what he can be for this club. It’s down to him now. I showed faith in him playing today and I will continue to do that. But we also have to go with him a little bit. And I’ve sat here and I’ve probably been relatively harsh on Callum a couple of times and I don’t think now is the moment to do that because I think today I saw an effort and a desire, I’ve seen it in training these last couple of weeks.” – Frank Lampard

Chelsea XI (3-4-3): Kepa; Tomori, Zouma (Mount 46′), Rüdiger; Emerson, Jorginho, Kanté, Azpilicueta; Willian (Pedro 84′), Abraham, Hudson-Odoi (Pulisic 67′).

Southampton XI (4-4-2): McCarthy; Bertrand, Bednarek, J Stephens, Cédric; Redmond, Højbjerg, Ward-Prowse, Armstrong (Romeu 86′); Adams (Boufal 80′), Obafemi (Ings 69′).

Bournemouth 1-1 Arsenal

Goals: Dan Gosling (£4.9m) | Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£10.8m)

Assists: Jack Stacey (£4.3m) | Reiss Nelson (£5.3m)

Bonus Points: Stacey x3, Aubameyang x2, Gosling x1

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£10.8m) scored the first goal of Arteta’s reign as Arsenal manager as he continued his recent impressive form away from home.

In the Gunners’ last four matches away from the Emirates Stadium, Aubameyang has now registered a total of five attacking returns.

The centre-forward did not offer a huge amount in the first half but sprung to life in the second period. 

As predicted, he was deployed on the left flank of an attacking midfield trio behind Alexandre Lacazette (£9.3m), his wide station helping him remain unmarked by marauding full-back Jack Stacey (£4.3m).

Aubameyang caused plenty of problems when running at the Bournemouth defence and his persistence led to ending up in the right place at the right time to turn in the rebound from Reiss Nelson‘s (£5.3m) shot.

Back in the team for a first start since Gameweek 15, Lacazette showed some threat early on but faded as the game went on and he started missing easy passes.

Of particular note for Arsenal was an impressive performance from Mesut Özil (£7.2m), who earned praise both from the local press and his new manager.

He was deployed in the number 10 role of the 4-2-3-1 formation and was arguably unfortunate not to leave Bournemouth with a couple of assists to his name.

He set up Lacazette for a decent chance but the Frenchman couldn’t get the ball under control while Aubameyang spurned another chance created by Özil.

“Özil’s attitude since I’ve joined has been incredible. We believed he could be the key and he responded and he could have created two or three goals.” – Mikel Arteta

However, there is still not much improvement to Arsenal’s defence as, once again, injuries elsewhere in the squad forced them into starting Bukayo Saka (£4.5m) and Ainsley Maitland-Niles (£4.6m) at left-back and right-back respectively.

As players who have mostly played in midfield, they offered a little extra going forward but remain assets to be exploited.

Bournemouth’s opening goal came after Aubameyang’s pass to Saka did not find its target, leaving room behind to run in.

The Cherries’ attack has stuttered in recent months but they got some joy down Stacey’s flank as his cross was swept in by Dan Gosling (£4.9m) at the near-post.

Callum Wilson (£7.4m) was back in the starting XI for the Boxing Day clash but has now gone 12 successive Gameweeks without any attacing returns.

A suspension for left-back Diego Rico (£4.3m), as well as long-term injuries to Lloyd Kelly (£4.4m) and Charlie Daniels (£4.3m), did not put Howe off deploying a 4-4-2 formation once again.

Rather than switch to a wing-back system, he brought budget defender Jack Simpson (£3.9m), who usually plays centre-back, into the side to operate as make-shift left-back.

Fantasy managers should probably not expect Simpson to stick around in the first-team for too long as Rico will be available for the Gameweek 20 trip to Brighton, likely starting the game having technically had a rest on Boxing Day.

Finally, Bournemouth’s defensive potential has arguably increased somewhat by a surprise return to fitness of Steve Cook (£5.0m), who came in for the injured Simon Francis (£4.4m) and lasted 90 minutes.

Bournemouth XI (4-4-2): Ramsdale; Simpson, Mepham, S Cook, Stacey; Fraser, Gosling (Billing 70′), Lerma, L Cook; J King (H Wilson 66′), C Wilson.

Arsenal XI (4-2-3-1): Leno; Saka, D Luiz, Sokratis (Mustafi 77′), Maitland-Niles; Xhaka, Torreira; Aubameyang, Özil (Willock 75′), Nelson (Pépé 82′); Lacazette.

3,484 Comments Post a Comment
  1. The-Red-1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Thoughts on this?

    Guaita, button
    TAA, Soy, Lunds, Rico, Kelly
    Mane, KDB, Maddison, Grealish, Dendonker
    Kane, Vardy, Rashford

  2. FPL Virgin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    After selling TAA for a -8 to buy bench fodder defenders, Andy is hitting the toblerone like Alan Partridge! 😆

    https://mobile.twitter.com/LetsTalk_FPL/status/1210319616377012225
    https://youtu.be/YlcL7S1NzGM

    1. Yank Revolution
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      His diet is in jeopardy!

  3. Ten Season Wonder
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    I’m rueing ditching Trent and not bringing him back instantly.

    I also kept hold of Sonny for this current game week as I had Cantwell on bench..

    So I am forced to make these switches tonight.

    Aurier > Trent
    Sonny > ______ (upto £9.1m mid)

    Which mid?

    1. Ten Season Wonder
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Already have:

      • KDB
      • Dele
      • Mane
      • Cantwell

      1. jimmyabs1987
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        Martial

    2. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Maddison or Martial (if you fancy United up and down)

    3. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Maddison

  4. Pukki Blinders
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Need to act before the price rise... should I ship out Soy or Aurier for TAA??

    1. Ten Season Wonder
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Up to you but I’m going Aurier

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Yes I would ( and will )- just not sure which of these 2 should go yet!

  5. Arctic monkeys
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Trent a must have for the future ?

    Only move I can get him is Chilwell to him and must be done now.

    Yes or no ? Cheers

    1. Ten Season Wonder
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Yes

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Yes

    3. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Of course

    4. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Do it and never look back.

    5. Arctic monkeys
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Done, huge mistake letting him go before the blank.

    6. Yank Revolution
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Yasssss

    7. Ibra
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Trent has always been a must have

  6. Klopp's Kids
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    now that our teams are settled a bit, watch Sterling do really well

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      He probably would ... until Pep roulette runs again

  7. olidooley
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Hey guys....save FT here and reassess on NYE?

    Gazzaniga
    TAA Söyüncü Kelly
    Salah KDB Alli Maddison
    Abraham Vardy Rashford

    McGovern Reid Lundstram Dendoncker

    1. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Its never good to reassess things on NYE.

  8. Tsparkes10
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Getting TAA and Martial for Cantwell and Kelly too kneejerky?

    1. Alisson WondHaaland
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      How on earth can you afford that is the real question

      1. Tsparkes10
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        6.5m itb haha, did Son to Cantwell this week and TAA to Aurier before that

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      No -good moves

    3. Quackadoodz
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Great upgrades imo. Should do you wonders esp in the mid term when Kelly loses his starting berth. Problem is you’ll probably have benching headache (and it’s only a good problem to have in the festive period which is ending in 2 GWs)

  9. Fred54
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Butterfly effect in FPL never ceases to amaze me, simply not doing Pulisic to Grealish has cost me over 40 points alone in 2 GWs and 2 transfers to boot.

    1. Woy_is_back
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Im glad I finally got rid of Pulisic

    2. Brosstan
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      If I had picked Mane instead of Salah in GW1 I would have been top 1 OR. The butterfly effect is very cruel...

      1. EL TANO
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        You’re a mug

  10. Yank Revolution
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    150 k rank jump to 300 k...BOOOM BABY!

    1. Fred54
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Same but opposition way!

      1. Fred54
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        *opposite way.

        1. Yank Revolution
          • 12 Years
          4 years, 3 months ago

          Sorry Frederick...what doomed you? No TAA? United assets?

          1. Fred54
            • 9 Years
            4 years, 3 months ago

            No TAA, caused massive problem. Salah blanking didn't help.

            Still have KdB (c) and Jiminez to claw back something. Obvious lots have KdB so would need monster haul to make worthwhile.

            Also got Heaton/Pope wrong way around again.

  11. Luton_Fan
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Martial, pogba or maddison next few games?

  12. StayoutheSpiceZone
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Well Harry, that’s one of your five festive goals. Another 4 at Norwich and saints please

  13. Champions League Varane
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    0.0 ITB

    Have Pukki and Richarlison

    Pukki TO Ings?

    Or

    Richarlsion TO Grealish?

    1. boroie
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Rich to Grealish

    2. Luton_Fan
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Maupay or ings for next 7 or 8 games? TIA

      1. Champions League Varane
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks both

  14. Collie01
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Who to lose for TAA. Soy, Kelly, Lord or Rico?

    1. boroie
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Kelly

    2. Niho992
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      LOSE THEM ALL !!

    3. Yank Revolution
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Kelly or Rico

  15. boroie
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Best captain for GW20

    A - Mane (medium rotation risk but home fixture)
    B - KDB (medium rotation risk but home fixture)
    C - Vardy (away fixture but low rotation risk)
    D - Alli (away fixture but low rotation risk)
    E - Martial (away fixture which Utd usually struggle in but little to no rotation risk)

    1. Niho992
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      A

  16. LǝgleSs e|even
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Captaining Salah has cost my gw.
    Keep or swap for Mane before too late?

    1. boroie
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Keep. Waste of a transfer and Salah is a much lower rotation risk for the Wolves game due to coming off early.

  17. Hect.OR 98th
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    65 and a jump from 510k to 270k. A decent week and a green arrow for the first time in weeks.

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Nice

    2. Woy_is_back
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Im at 912. Hopefully I win this season

    3. Yank Revolution
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Thats a monster score this week

    4. Party time
        4 years, 3 months ago

        Well done

    5. Wheyyyy
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Considering Maupay for the next 6 or so GWs. Is he now nailed on after his rest today? Can we read much into his benching?

      1. potatoace
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        Its hard to predict who's nailed on in BRI front line from once week to the next.

        1. Wheyyyy
          • 5 Years
          4 years, 3 months ago

          That's what bothers me. It's a bit of a gamble which I don't like but seeing him benched today gives me hope of him starting the next few?

    6. SADIO SANÉ
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      just a general question here, nothing to do with TAA, what annoys you more?

      bad losers or bad winners?

      1. SADIO SANÉ
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        sore loser vs ungracious winner (for anyone that doesn't like the above terms)

      2. Fred54
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        Bad winners, no one deliberately plays to lose, sure its obvious afterwards.

        Game is based on decisions, you chose well... you could easily choose wrong too.

      3. Collie01
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        I think the not-so-subtle subtle brags are the worst. Like people saying things like 'Aahhh no I captained Martial instead of TAA how unlucky am I.' Obviously an exaggerated example but you get my drift. Guess that counts as bad winners.

      4. evilfish
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        Definitely bad winners

      5. goriuanx
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        Bad winners.

        Heck, some don't even win and become self proclaimed FPL experts, profiting from others in the FPL community.

      6. Brosstan
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        The absolute worst is people who moan when they have had tons of luck. I.e people who are top 10k yet whine because a few decisions go wrong. If you are top 10k or even top 100k youve had a massive amount of luck already.

      7. SADIO SANÉ
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        a clean sweep for bad winners, nice!

        The problem I find is that a bad loser has something to be annoyed about, even if it is a bit childish going mad about it, but being a knob when you win doesn't really make any sense.

        I'm interested in the psychology behind it

        1. EL TANO
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          4 years, 3 months ago

          It’s not childish to have a whinge on these pages. Everybody’s been there when the FPL gods crush your best laid plans. Complaining about bad luck and and jammy mini league foes is why (some of us) pay for this site. I’d stick another category in here - the hindsight gloater. This TAA haul has brought them all out. (TAA owner here btw - saved me big time)

          1. EL TANO
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            4 years, 3 months ago

            If you want the psychology behind why people complain on this site, it’s for support from all the other fpl nerds out there, especially when nobody in the real world wants to hear it. Patronising your fellow fpl fiends is not only pompous but boring.

    7. KINGS
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Didn’t watch the game. How did Salah perform in the Leicester match?

      1. goriuanx
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        Overthinking too much, resulting in poor decision making.

      2. boroie
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        He did fine. Looked a little tired. Probably should have scored a couple.

    8. Sz21
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      WC Option A. Soyuncu, Rico/Holgate, Cantwell, Rashford.
      WC Option B. Sidibe, Kiko, Maddison, Maupay.

      Ramsdale, Button.
      TAA, Kelly, Lundstram, Soyuncu, Rico/Holgate.
      KDB, Sterling, Salah, Grealish, Cantwell.
      Vardy, Rashford, Greenwood.
      0.0m.

      Ramsdale, Button.
      TAA, Kelly, Lundstram, Sidibe, Kiko.
      KDB, Sterling, Salah, Grealish, Maddison.
      Vardy, Maupay, Greenwood.
      0.0m.

      1. potatoace
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        A looks good

    9. potatoace
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Joe Gomez gets his third 90mins in a row. Liverpool get their third clean sheet in a row.
      Coincidence?

    10. Willmissudimitrypayet
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      1. Reckon Southampton will keep scoring even though they have some difficult fixtures? Nice moment to bring in Ings after his rest?

      2. How will Leicester bounce back? Bring in Maddison as he got 15 minutes off at the end of the game?

      1. DA Minnion (Former great)
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        Yeah they looked really good today.

    11. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Risky not having Mane or Salah for next two GWs?

      1. Wensink
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        For the next 18 weeks too.

      2. La Roja
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        Have the same issue

        Massively risky, no idea what to do lok

      3. boroie
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        Yes and no. I think they will both score but there’s every chance they could play 1 game each in the next two.

      4. It’s gonna Ben Mee
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        No

    12. hogree
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Exact cash for

      Abraham + Soy --> Maupay + Trent (-4)

      Would you?

    13. La Roja
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      69 points on Boxing Day

      Thinly veiled message to missus

    14. Wensink
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Dele and Tammy > Grealish and Rashford for free or hold?

      Ramsdale/Martin
      TAA/Soyuncu/Lundstram/Kelly/Rico
      KDB/Mane/Maddison/Dele/Cantwell
      Jimenez/Vardy/Abraham

    15. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Mane or Salah ?

    16. Arron Wan Bissaka Nil
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Keep Tammy or sub in Ings?

    17. Neo-Viper
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Ryan Button
      Taa Pereira Lundstram - Rico Lascelles
      KDB Madds Mane Grealish - Norwood
      Vardy Kane Mousset

      What transfer on wildcard? this is my current team. i will activate the wildcard now, could any of you suggest what players are pressing in the team. Lascelles and Mousset have to go.
      who to bring in for them?