Spot the Differential

Doherty hinting at return to incredible debut season form

Differentials had a lot of success once again in Gameweek 21, so Fantasy Premier League managers need to keep an eye out for these sorts of options.

Of the eleven players who scored over 10 points last time out, seven had ownership of 5% or less.

The likes of Gabriel Jesus (£9.5m), Gerard Deulofeu (£6.1m) and César Azpilicueta (£5.8m) all hit double-digit hauls, confirming there is still time to find some hidden gems.

In his last Spot the Differential article, FPL Hints suggested James Tomkins (£5.0m) was due another goal, and right on cue, he delivered in Gameweek 20, heading Luka Milivojevic’s (£6.7m) delivery into the net via the underside of the crossbar.

I’ve had a bit of success picking out differentials this season too, including Jack Grealish (£6.4m) back in October, and more recently Ismaïla Sarr (£6.2m).

Let’s see if I can follow it up, so here are three low-owned picks worth considering for Gameweek 22 and beyond.

Matt Doherty

FPL ownership: 4.9%

Price: £6.1m

GW22-26 fixtures: NEW | sou | LIV | mun | LEI

Matt Doherty (£6.1m), is a player I’ve liked as a differential for quite some time.

Having tipped him on the Scoutcast back in November, and here, the Irishman has since returned in three of Wolverhampton Wanderers last four home games, including one double-digit haul.

In fact, out of the 10 league games he’s played at Molineux this season, he’s provided returns in six of them.

Whilst Wolves have suffered back-to-back league defeats, they head into Gameweek 22 level on points with sixth-placed Tottenham Hotspur and only a point behind Manchester United, who they restricted to no shots on target in last weekend’s FA Cup goalless draw.

The underlying stats further highlight Doherty’s appeal.

He’s taken more shots (seven) and importantly, more shots in the box (seven) than any other defender over the last four Gameweeks, whilst his four Big Chances over the same period is bettered by only Gabriel Jesus (£9.5m) and Sadio Mané (£12.3m).

Up next for Wolves is Newcastle United, who have a poor defensive record on the road, conceding 21 away goals, second only to Aston Villa’s 23.

In terms of their attack, their forwards have just three goals between them this season, and are often having to rely on their defenders to bail them out.

This is a team low on confidence, with the lowest possession figure in the league, who have lost their last three league games.

Doherty can take advantage of those weaknesses, and could be a nice differential going forward.

Pablo Fornals

FPL ownership: 0.5%

Price: £6.0m

GW22-26 fixtures: shu | EVE | lei + LIV | BHA | mci

After a difficult start, Pablo Fornals (£6.0m) has been one of West Ham United’s best players in recent weeks.

Slowly but surely, the Spanish midfielder is beginning to show the level of performance many fans expected, delivering one goal and three assists in his last seven games.

Looking at data from the last two Gameweeks, only five midfielders have taken more shots in the box, which suggests further returns could be on the way.

The question is, can we trust the Hammers?

Generally, they have not been great in attack, and have struggled defensively this season, but David Moyes has been hired to try and fix these issues, and early signs are fairly positive after back to back wins over Bournemouth and Gillingham.

The real appeal, however, lies in their forthcoming Double Gameweek.

Taking their Gameweek 24 fixtures in isolation (lei, LIV), West Ham assets don’t look too appealing, but with home ties against Everton and Brighton & Hove Albion positioned either side, Fornals could be an intriguing option.

Available for just £6.0m, Fornals is coming into form at just the right time, and could be an effective differential for the crucial Double Gameweek.

Sead Kolašinac

FPL ownership: 0.6%

Price: £5.2m

GW22-26 fixtures: cry | SHU | che | bur | NEW

It is less than three weeks since Mikel Arteta took over at Arsenal but we are already starting to see clear patterns of play.

On paper, Arsenal are using a 4-2-3-1, but in reality, it’s a 4-4-2 without the ball, transitioning into a 2-3-5 in possession.

The approach against Manchester United involved Sead Kolašinac (£5.2m) pushing forward on the overlap to become a fifth forward, with opposite full-back, Ainsley Maitland-Niles (£4.6m) performing a more traditional full-back role.

Kolašinac looked dangerous throughout, with his deflected cross finding Nicolas Pépé (£9.1m) for the opener, whilst continually providing an attacking outlet on the left.

The Bosnian sits somewhere between a full-back and a winger, who can sometimes be a liability defensively, so this overlapping role suits him well.

Defensively, Arsenal are still a work in progress, putting up mid-table expected numbers, but it’s worth noting only Liverpool, Southampton and Watford have conceded fewer goals since the change of manager.

Their opponents this week, Crystal Palace, look vulnerable.

Their 19 goals scored is the second-fewest in the top flight, with their attack, outside of Wilfried Zaha (£6.8m), lacking imagination.

Add to that an injury crisis, with captain Milivojević also suspended, and Kolašinac looks an ideal gamble for Gameweek 22, and possibly beyond.

Become a Member and access our data

Memberships for the rest of the 2019/20 campaign are now available for the discounted price of £9.99 or the monthly price of £2.99.

Join now to get the following:

  • Plot your transfer strategies using the fully interactive Season Ticker.
  • Get projections for every Premier League player provided by the Rate My Team statistical model.
  • Use Rate My Team throughout the season to guide your selections and transfers.
  • Get access to over 150+ exclusive members articles over the season.
  • Analyse our OPTA-powered statistic tables specifically tailored for Fantasy Football Managers.
  • Use our exclusive tool to build custom stats tables from over 100 OPTA player and team stats.
  • Enjoy our brand NEW Flat-Track Bully feature which introduces an opposition filter to your tables.
  • View heatmaps and expected goals data for every player.
  • Use our powerful comparison tool to analyse players head-to-head.

ALREADY A USER? CLICK HERE TO UPGRADE YOUR FREE ACCOUNT

NEW TO SCOUT? CLICK HERE TO START A MEMBERSHIP ACCOUNT

avfc82 https://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/11211/history | https://fplgeneral.com/articles/elite-64-manager-profile-tom-freeman/”

1,047 Comments Post a Comment
  1. luk46
    • 1 Year
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Ryan
    TAA Lund Holgate
    Salah KDB Maddy Grealish
    Vardy (c) Ings Rash
    4m Soy Kiko 4.3m

    I got 2 ft with 1m itb, would you do Grealish > Traore? Holgate > 4m another option... makes Maddy + Rash > Mane + DCL affordable!

  2. Tactical Nous
    • 7 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Who to bench - Alli or Grealish ?

    1. How I met your Mata
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      in same dilemma grealish on bench atm

    2. sunzip14
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Grealish

    3. Solano's Trumpet
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      I've gone Grealish , but Kane news miht switch my decision tbh

      1. Blunder fc
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 28 days ago

        alli might play as a false 9 which could be good

        1. Solano's Trumpet
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 28 days ago

          Thanks for that lil nugget mate. I'm putting my faith in you now!

  3. Niho992
    • 1 Year
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Who to start Tomori or Soyuncu?

    1. claretparrot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Soy

  4. amit1964
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    hii, pick one:

    a) martial
    b) dilva
    c) grealish

    thank's

    1. sunzip14
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      A

  5. hogree
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    1) Play Soy or Holgate?

    2) Salah owners, are you captaining?

    1. sunzip14
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Holgate

    2. Debauchy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Soy
      Not an owner(Mane) , but there are better options imo

  6. Drogba Legend
    • 2 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Feels nice to be back on here, thoughts on this lot:

    Pope
    TAA - Soy - Lundy - Rico
    KDB (C) - Traore - Pulisic
    Vardy - Aguero - Kane**

    Button - Moura - Cantwell - Aurier

    A) move Kane
    B) move Moura/Aurier
    C) move Pope
    D) Save and play Moura/Cantwell over Kane

    1FT and unsure what to do this week.

    1. Skins
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      A) to DCL/Ings to free up funds for Pulisic to Mane/Salah ahead of Liv dgw.

      1. claretparrot
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Great minds!

    2. claretparrot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Pulisic injured too. So Kane & Pulisic out for a -4 seems like it'll pay back.

      Something like Salah & DCL/Ings in?

    3. Lecky Legs FC
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Pulisic is our for a few weeks too

    4. Drogba Legend
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Cheers all! Been much help

  7. sunzip14
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    better pick on WC?

    A) Maddison (3-5-2)
    B) Ings (3-4-3)

    1. hogree
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      A for me

      1. denial
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        B

    2. Debauchy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      B

  8. DAZZ
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Any Man Utd cappers? Who you going, Rashford or Martial? Im tempted by Martial as he’s the CF, but then Rash is on pens/FK’s.

    1. OldBenKenobi
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Don’t own Rash but currently on Martial(c) ...bit punty with the likes of Vardy and KDB about but I need to take some gamble if I want to make up ground

    2. Debauchy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Was thinking Martial but Norwich have improved somewhat , so sticking with Vardy

      1. DAZZ
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        So have Southampton ?? Contradicting yourself, saints wont be a walk in the park

        1. claretparrot
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 28 days ago

          Why are so many people getting at each other on here today?

    3. Stram Dunk
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Rash here

  9. Lord Flashheart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Cap:

    A rashford (NOR)
    B Jiménez (NEW)

    1. PepSala
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Rash.

      Would you cap Vardy or Sterling?

      1. Lord Flashheart
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Sterling if chasing
        Vardy if in the lead

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      A

    3. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      STill a problem

  10. PepSala
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Play Lundstram or Traore?

    1. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Traore

    2. hogree
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Both surely

      1. denial
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        This ideally

      2. Debauchy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        This

      3. PepSala
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Surely if I asked about those two its because I favour my other players...but thanks for wasting everyones time

        1. hogree
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 28 days ago

          Struggling to think of 11 players who will get more points than Adama and Lund will this week in the entire game ngl

          would pref Lund over Adama though if you're picking

          1. PepSala
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 28 days ago

            Ryan
            Soy taa Robbo
            Maddison Sterling KDB Traore
            Ings Tammy Vardy

            4.0. Lund Rico Dendo

            You're telling me you would play Lund over any of those players?

            1. XABI 15
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 28 days ago

              If I had Soyuncu and Ings in same match. I would bench one for Lundstram yep

              1. PepSala
                • 4 Years
                2 months, 28 days ago

                You would bench Soy or Ings for Lund?? What's your rank

                1. XABI 15
                  • 4 Years
                  2 months, 28 days ago

                  ranked 14K this year! Overall historical rank of 650 🙂

            2. hogree
              • 3 Years
              2 months, 28 days ago

              Lund over Soy every day of the week
              Would even play above Robbo and Ings tbf

        2. XABI 15
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 28 days ago

          People are trying to offer advice. Lundstram and Traore are some of best players to own this week hence why people are saying "ideally" play both. Dont be rude

        3. sunzip14
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 28 days ago

          be grateful people are responding to your post? 😀

          1. PepSala
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 28 days ago

            It was rude and I apologize

        4. claretparrot
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 28 days ago

          Unbelievable!

        5. CMJC
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 28 days ago

          So inconsiderate, wasting our time!
          Always Lordstram forever and always.
          Except maybe gw24 : )

          1. PepSala
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 28 days ago

            I haven't slept all night my kid had a fever..still no excuse. Thank you all for your advice.

            1. CMJC
              • 2 Years
              2 months, 28 days ago

              I hope your kid feels better. Now stop wasting our time ; )

              1. PepSala
                • 4 Years
                2 months, 27 days ago

                Guess you guys were right haha

  11. denial
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Stick and Roll FT?

    Fabs
    TAA Soy lund
    Salah Alli Maddison kdb
    Vardy ings Abraham

    / Grealish Kelly Aurier

  12. Sndeshdhkl
    • 1 Year
    2 months, 28 days ago

    best option for next 2 games??
    A) mahrez
    B) maddison
    c) pepe

    1. Debauchy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      A if you think he gets decent game time

    2. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      B

  13. POLSKA GOLA
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Bench one:
    A) Soy
    B) VVD
    C) Ings

    1. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      A

    2. Blunder fc
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 28 days ago

      A

    3. POLSKA GOLA
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Thank you, that’s what I’m on atm 🙂

  14. Krupinho
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Want to get rid of Aurier, not sure who to go for, and one of the below will prob replace Grealish in starting 11;

    Dunk
    Sidibe / Holgate
    Kolasinac

    Fabi
    TTA Lund Soy
    Mane Alli Grealish KDB (c)
    Vardy Jimenez Ings

    Button Aurier Kelly Guen

    1. Debauchy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Depends if you need cash for 3 pool for gw 24

      1. Krupinho
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Yeah will need some, was going to get rid of Alli and one other to get Salah and another

  15. JasonG123
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Any news from Ancelotti’s presser?

  16. masyuris
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    No love for Fuc#s??
    Play as starter for the last 2 EPL games and FA cup semifinal

  17. Viper
    • 10 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Start Maupay or Soyuncu?

    1. WALOR
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Maupay

  18. Lignja
    • 2 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Gtg?

    Pope
    Taa, Lundstram, Soyuncu
    Mane, Kdb, Son, Traore
    Abraham, Vardy(c), Rashford

    Martin, Rico, Dendoker, Kelly

    Gw24 plan is Son, Rash to Salah, Ings or Rico, Rash to Robertson, Ings

  19. Lingard’s Shin Guards
    • 1 Year
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Alli -> Rich for free then gtg?

    Guaita
    TAA Soy Lund
    Mane KDB Alli Maddison
    Vardy (c) Rash Jim

    Button Rico Kelly Dendo (1ft 1.1m itb

    1. HUATSHOOTER
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Yes thats what i do

  20. HUATSHOOTER
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Cantwell or grealish start?

    1. Jindaljain
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Obviously Grealish

    2. claretparrot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Cantwell

    3. WALOR
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Same dilemma here - starting Grealish atm, but Man Utd so useless, Cantwell could go crazy

  21. De Gea is GOAT
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Anyone considering the armband for Jimenez? Gut feeling says take the risk and go for it.

    1. Hy liverpool
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Siiii senioooor

    2. Effe
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      I originally put it on him when the game rolled forward but have since moved it to Vardy

    3. De Gea is GOAT
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Thanks legends

  22. Mr_Barbs
    • 2 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    On A or B but cant decide...

    Ramsdale >
    A) Fab
    B) Ryan
    C) Foster (have Kiko)
    D) Henderson (have Lund)

    1. Effe
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      A

    2. barcaa7
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      A

  23. Effe
    • 9 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    With West Ham signing Randolf, Fabianski is still first choice right?

    1. claretparrot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 28 days ago

      On the assumption you're not joking, yes.

  24. Strchld
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    So Maddison and KdB are fine?

    Kane and Alli to Salah and Ings for free?

    1. claretparrot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Like that

      1. Strchld
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Thanks

  25. glufs
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Would you do Sterling->Mané now, or hold til after Villa?

    1. Blunder fc
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 28 days ago

      hold 100% maybe till 24

      1. glufs
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 28 days ago

        Thanks, thats where Im at.

  26. seewhyaxe
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    is this the gw where Bournemouth finally keeps a cleansheet

    1. Debauchy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Guess not

  27. ‘Tis the Season
    • 1 Year
    2 months, 28 days ago

    michael Edwards recruitment reputation is really legendary! Liverpool’s talent scout are by far the best in premier league. If that’s anything to go by, Minamino will be the best piece of business done for the entire 2020. R7 bar for such talent, Edwards is a gem at Liverpool

    1. Goonerly
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Would argue that Leicester's scouts have done better work with less money than Liverpool.
      But yeah, Minamino could be a good bit of business, time will tell.

  28. barcaa7
    • 2 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Aurier to
    a-Kola
    b-Soy
    c-Holgate

    1. How I met your Mata
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      c

  29. How I met your Mata
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Would you start Lundi over any of these
    A Maddison
    B ali
    C Soy
    D Holgate
    E No

    1. barcaa7
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      C

  30. Jindaljain
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 28 days ago

    Help me out guys.. Bench one out of Grealish,Ings,Traore?

    1. OldBenKenobi
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Grealish

    2. claretparrot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 28 days ago

      Obviously Grealish 😉