Spot the Differential

Doherty hinting at return to incredible debut season form

Differentials had a lot of success once again in Gameweek 21, so Fantasy Premier League managers need to keep an eye out for these sorts of options.

Of the eleven players who scored over 10 points last time out, seven had ownership of 5% or less.

The likes of Gabriel Jesus (£9.5m), Gerard Deulofeu (£6.1m) and César Azpilicueta (£5.8m) all hit double-digit hauls, confirming there is still time to find some hidden gems.

In his last Spot the Differential article, FPL Hints suggested James Tomkins (£5.0m) was due another goal, and right on cue, he delivered in Gameweek 20, heading Luka Milivojevic’s (£6.7m) delivery into the net via the underside of the crossbar.

I’ve had a bit of success picking out differentials this season too, including Jack Grealish (£6.4m) back in October, and more recently Ismaïla Sarr (£6.2m).

Let’s see if I can follow it up, so here are three low-owned picks worth considering for Gameweek 22 and beyond.

Matt Doherty

FPL ownership: 4.9%

Price: £6.1m

GW22-26 fixtures: NEW | sou | LIV | mun | LEI

Matt Doherty (£6.1m), is a player I’ve liked as a differential for quite some time.

Having tipped him on the Scoutcast back in November, and here, the Irishman has since returned in three of Wolverhampton Wanderers last four home games, including one double-digit haul.

In fact, out of the 10 league games he’s played at Molineux this season, he’s provided returns in six of them.

Whilst Wolves have suffered back-to-back league defeats, they head into Gameweek 22 level on points with sixth-placed Tottenham Hotspur and only a point behind Manchester United, who they restricted to no shots on target in last weekend’s FA Cup goalless draw.

The underlying stats further highlight Doherty’s appeal.

He’s taken more shots (seven) and importantly, more shots in the box (seven) than any other defender over the last four Gameweeks, whilst his four Big Chances over the same period is bettered by only Gabriel Jesus (£9.5m) and Sadio Mané (£12.3m).

Up next for Wolves is Newcastle United, who have a poor defensive record on the road, conceding 21 away goals, second only to Aston Villa’s 23.

In terms of their attack, their forwards have just three goals between them this season, and are often having to rely on their defenders to bail them out.

This is a team low on confidence, with the lowest possession figure in the league, who have lost their last three league games.

Doherty can take advantage of those weaknesses, and could be a nice differential going forward.

Pablo Fornals

FPL ownership: 0.5%

Price: £6.0m

GW22-26 fixtures: shu | EVE | lei + LIV | BHA | mci

After a difficult start, Pablo Fornals (£6.0m) has been one of West Ham United’s best players in recent weeks.

Slowly but surely, the Spanish midfielder is beginning to show the level of performance many fans expected, delivering one goal and three assists in his last seven games.

Looking at data from the last two Gameweeks, only five midfielders have taken more shots in the box, which suggests further returns could be on the way.

The question is, can we trust the Hammers?

Generally, they have not been great in attack, and have struggled defensively this season, but David Moyes has been hired to try and fix these issues, and early signs are fairly positive after back to back wins over Bournemouth and Gillingham.

The real appeal, however, lies in their forthcoming Double Gameweek.

Taking their Gameweek 24 fixtures in isolation (lei, LIV), West Ham assets don’t look too appealing, but with home ties against Everton and Brighton & Hove Albion positioned either side, Fornals could be an intriguing option.

Available for just £6.0m, Fornals is coming into form at just the right time, and could be an effective differential for the crucial Double Gameweek.

Sead Kolašinac

FPL ownership: 0.6%

Price: £5.2m

GW22-26 fixtures: cry | SHU | che | bur | NEW

It is less than three weeks since Mikel Arteta took over at Arsenal but we are already starting to see clear patterns of play.

On paper, Arsenal are using a 4-2-3-1, but in reality, it’s a 4-4-2 without the ball, transitioning into a 2-3-5 in possession.

The approach against Manchester United involved Sead Kolašinac (£5.2m) pushing forward on the overlap to become a fifth forward, with opposite full-back, Ainsley Maitland-Niles (£4.6m) performing a more traditional full-back role.

Kolašinac looked dangerous throughout, with his deflected cross finding Nicolas Pépé (£9.1m) for the opener, whilst continually providing an attacking outlet on the left.

The Bosnian sits somewhere between a full-back and a winger, who can sometimes be a liability defensively, so this overlapping role suits him well.

Defensively, Arsenal are still a work in progress, putting up mid-table expected numbers, but it’s worth noting only Liverpool, Southampton and Watford have conceded fewer goals since the change of manager.

Their opponents this week, Crystal Palace, look vulnerable.

Their 19 goals scored is the second-fewest in the top flight, with their attack, outside of Wilfried Zaha (£6.8m), lacking imagination.

Add to that an injury crisis, with captain Milivojević also suspended, and Kolašinac looks an ideal gamble for Gameweek 22, and possibly beyond.

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1,047 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Goonerly
    • 2 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Who to pick?

    A) Aurier --> Jonny
    B) Alli - Richarlison?

    1. Coys96
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      b

    2. iL PiStOlErO
      2 months, 18 days ago

      A

  2. Coys96
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Jesus in for Kane?

    From Pep's presser it seems he may start...

    1. There's Always One!
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      I'd prefer get someone you are sure will start

      1. JOELIO8701
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        No Man City player then 🙂

    2. NABIL - Gettin' Siggy …
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Good luck second guessing pep

    3. GloryManUnited
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Kun will start

      1. Lecky Legs FC
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        I thought that for Everton last GW when I had him as captain never be sure with Pep

  3. Wiseman Resistant ⚽⚠
    • 7 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Anyone interested on Lascelles for 4.2 mil ?

    1. Wiseman Resistant ⚽⚠
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      After Bruce news that he will be ready for Tuesday...

    2. NABIL - Gettin' Siggy …
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      o/

    3. Lecky Legs FC
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      o/

  4. John Arne Pizza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Any help for my mini
    draft league

    Fabski
    Perrira Sid Gomez
    Fornals Sarr Sterling Alli Willian
    Jimmy Vardy

    Subs: Guiata Kolasinac Digne Martinelli

  5. There's Always One!
    • 10 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Lewin or Jim for next 3 or 4 weeks?

    1. baps sniffer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      D

    2. Cricket_Badger
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      DCL for next few.

  6. Arteta
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Gazzaniga McGovern
    Pereira Lundstram Söyüncü Rico Williams
    Mané Sterling de Bruyne Zaha Grealish
    Vardy Ings Mousset

    Would you wildcard this team? Already used free transfers to get rid of Kane & Dele. Also have £1.0 in the bank.

    I would make at least 7 changes.

    1. davmatter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Gazza/Zaha/Mousset on the chopping block, surely..

  7. Stram Dunk
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    2 months, 18 days ago

    A) Kelly + Rash -> VVD + Ings
    B) Kelly + Tammy -> VVD + Maupay

    A or B for dgw24?

    1. Stram Dunk
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 18 days ago

      I'm considering B. Any thoughts?

  8. john25
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Hey guys, which would you remove first between Kelly and Rico? Want to take one of them out as I have 2 FT but can’t decide which.

    Cheers

    1. Cricket_Badger
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      I own both and sort of in a similar position. Don't want BOU defence but I currently own Guaita hence I'm thinking to ditch Kelly first to maybe Holgate.

      My aim is to get a bit in the bank to get a Liv asset in for DGW.

    2. Stram Dunk
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 18 days ago

      I'll get rid of Kelly first

    3. Debauchy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Seems Kelly could lose place sooner than Rico , so probs him.

    4. iL PiStOlErO
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Kelly, only cause feels like Rico should stay nailed

  9. Wensink
    • 2 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Have TAA and Mane, preparing for DGW 24. Bench boost already used. For free,

    A. KDB, Rico > Salah, Reid (leaves .3 ITB) B. Rico, Kelly > VVD, Reid (.2m)

    1. Stram Dunk
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 18 days ago

      B

    2. Cricket_Badger
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Prefer the latter. Especially as you can TC Mane.

      1. Wensink
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Thanks. Think that’s how I’m leaning. Who wants the headache of getting the armband wrong each week with Salah and Mane on the same squad?

  10. thewhitepele
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Got 2ft and 1.7m itb so need to figure out at least one sub:

    Gazza
    TAA Soy Lund
    Salah KDB Maddison Grealish
    Vardy Rash Ings

    Button Cantwell Rico Lascelles

    A) Gazza -> Ryan/Pickford
    B) Lascelles -> Sidibe
    C) Something else?

  11. Pep Roulette
    • 2 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    BOTTOMED. GTG?

    Schmeichel
    TAA B.Williams Lundy
    Mane KDB(C) Martial Traore
    Vardy Tammy DCL

    Button Dendo Rico Kelly

    1. Debauchy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Aye

    2. iL PiStOlErO
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Vamossss Pepeee

    3. Pep Roulette
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Thanks fam

  12. Cricket_Badger
    • 7 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    2FT and not sure what's best. Guaita --> Ryan / Fabianski or maybe Kelly --> Holgate and roll the other?

    Guaita
    TAA | Lundstram | Rico
    Salah | KDB | Maddison | Martial
    Vardy | Jimenez | Ings

    Button | Cathcart | Kelly | Dendo [0.5m ITB + 2FT]

  13. Jones Kusi
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    2 months, 18 days ago

    If you already own Mane and Taa, would you bring in Salah or Robertson?

    1. Zico Senna
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Robbo

    2. Longlatini
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Mo

    3. POLSKA GOLA
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      In a perfect word where price has no effect on your team I’d have Mo. In FPL word Robbo

      1. POLSKA GOLA
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        *world

      2. Jones Kusi
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 18 days ago

        I mean, if I own both Mane and Salah I can only captain one of them. If I only own Mane I can pretty much perma captain him gw24 and after without thinking too much and then have Robbo and Taa bringing assists and cs

    4. Debauchy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Salah for me but should be close especially so if you will Cpt Mane gw24. Go gut

      1. Cricket_Badger
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Captain or TC?

    5. iL PiStOlErO
      2 months, 18 days ago

      No

  14. damiang2233
    • 10 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Any update on Madisson playing this weekend?

    1. sunzip14
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Rodgers said he is ok to play. Only he knows if he will start though!

    2. Fudgy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 18 days ago

      He fine

  15. A message to you Rudi
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Repost

    Who to put 1st Sub?

    A. Söyuncu
    B. Robbo/TAA
    C. Lundstram
    D. Traore
    E. Ings

    Currently on E and leaves me with this:

    Pope
    TAA Söyuncu Lundstram Robbo
    Salah KDB Martial Traore
    Vardy(C) Jimènez

    Button / Ings / Cantwell / Kelly

    1. POLSKA GOLA
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      I’m playing Ings ahead of Soy

  16. MrFrodo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Boring transfer alert! I’ve currently got Pope but was thinking about switching him out as I’ve got two transfers who do you prefer?

    A. Foster
    B. Fabianski
    C. Ryan
    D. Stick with Pope and use the transfer to get rid of Pieters

    Thanks

    1. POLSKA GOLA
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      D

  17. OneDennisBergkamp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Rashord (NOR) or Vardy (SOU) captain?

    1. Kay317
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Rash is more of a gamble. Utd not exactly looked great last few games either. Think I'd go Vardy.

    2. Stram Dunk
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Rash

    3. Coys96
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Rash

    4. Debauchy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Vardy

    5. NABIL - Gettin' Siggy …
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      R

      Hey ya dennis

  18. Kay317
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Need a bit of advice on starting line up please. Currently on:

    Hendo
    TAA, Pereira, Sidibe
    Salah, KDB (vc), Maddison, Martial
    Vardy (c), Abraham, Ings
    (Button, Lund, Traore, Rico)

    Thoughts appreciated.

    1. POLSKA GOLA
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Play the Lord ahead of Pereira as you also have Ings

      1. Kay317
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        2 months, 18 days ago

        That was my thought too. But feels wrong benching him when he's done so well for me.

  19. Iceball
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Do you trust Vardy for the armband? He hasnt played much recently...

    1. Zico Senna
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Not at all, can’t trust him this GW against a much resolved Southampton side

    2. Kay317
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Seemed to be pretty sharp in the cup and got an assist. Don't think his rest is an issue.

    3. Debauchy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Yes , party on

    4. iL PiStOlErO
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Don know tbh. Feel like its a trap this week.

    1. Coys96
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Captain Mane. I would but I never captain someone against my team

      1. Tony Martial
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Salah or mane though?

        1. Coys96
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Mane, against aurier and better record away from home

    2. NABIL - Gettin' Siggy …
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      BUs driver mour says hi

      1. Berbinho's Forehead
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Liverpool have beaten every bus that doesn't begin with Manchester and end with United.

        1. NABIL - Gettin' Siggy …
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Indeed

          Mour specialty to spoil the party

  20. Jatz10
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Do I start Rico or Grealish? I have Ramsdale in goal.

    1. NABIL - Gettin' Siggy …
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      G higher ceiling

      1. Jatz10
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Thanks!

    2. Kay317
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Grealish

  21. NABIL - Gettin' Siggy …
    • 7 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Beware

    Son (NOR), rash & tony (BUR) have a good chance to outscore salah or mane (or even both) in DGW24

    Just sayin'

    1. Cricket_Badger
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      As a group of 3 you vs LIV's 2? Or individually?

      1. NABIL - Gettin' Siggy …
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Individually

    2. Holmes
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Thats why you keep them as well as get LIV mids 😉

      1. NABIL - Gettin' Siggy …
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Tried but to no avail

        Might keep my red devils n get robbo for my 3rd liv in the end

        1. Holmes
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Get on "KDB-out" train asap 😀

  22. john25
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Repost.

    Hey guys, does Begovic back mean Ramsdale is getting dropped soon?

    Cheers

    1. Holmes
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Unlikely

  23. Dream Killers 2.0
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Would you rather have D.Silva, Sarr or Maddison?

    1. Cricket_Badger
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      For this GW, D.Silva.

    2. John Arne Pizza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Maddison draft league
      Sarr value wise

    3. Kay317
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Maddison

  24. Cricket_Badger
    • 7 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Kelly --> Holgate (FT) a good way to burn one of 2 FT's?

    1. Tony Martial
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 18 days ago

      100%

    2. sunzip14
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      yes

    3. Iceball
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Yeah. I did Rico to Holgate and also had 2ft.

  25. John Arne Pizza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Any changes or GTG? mini draft league

    Fabski
    Perrira Sid Gomez
    Fornals Sarr Sterling Alli Willian
    Jimmy Vardy

    Subs: Guiata Kolasinac Digne Martinelli

  26. Wiseman Resistant ⚽⚠
    • 7 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    What do you reckon, who is the best pick for 4.2 mil for my bench ? Would like to rotate sometimes with Lundstram or Cantwell...

    1. Lascelles
    2. Mariappa
    3. Kiko Femenia

    1. John Arne Pizza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Reece james?

      1. Wiseman Resistant ⚽⚠
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        hes 5, i need for 4.2

    2. Tony Martial
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Anyone of the Watford boys I think..

      I am waiting on Jaanmat to return @4.1

    3. John Arne Pizza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Kiko

  27. Tony Martial
    • 1 Year
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Mane or Salah captain?

    1. Kay317
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Flip a coin. Mane plays down Aurier's side so if I had to choose I'd go for him.

  28. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    Play Alli or Grealish lol

  29. Jafooli
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 months, 18 days ago

    New article posted numbnuts....