Spot the Differential

Brighton fixtures could see Trossard become powerful differential

In Gameweek 22, the likes of Abdoulaye Doucouré (£5.6m), Reece James (£5.0m) and Brandon Williams (£4.0m) hit double-digit hauls, all of whom have ownership of 5% or less.

There’s no shortage of differential candidates to consider this week either.

This time we’re focusing on the value on offer in midfield, with three promising match-ups a key factor in our thinking.

Leandro Trossard

Ownership: 0.4%

Price: £5.8m

GW23-27 fixtures: AVL | bou | whu | WAT | shu

It’s quite simple, if Brighton want to start scoring more, they need to get Leandro Trossard (£5.8m) firing.

The Belgian winger is without a goal since Gameweek 11, so this is a move which comes with risk, but there are encouraging signs that returns may be on the horizon.

He went closest to scoring for Brighton at Goodison Park last weekend, when he hit the bar, and has impressed at home this season – both his goals and four of his five assists have come at Amex Stadium.

With the Seagulls seeking to extend their unbeaten home record to three matches, having beaten Bournemouth and drawn with Chelsea recently, this is a huge game at the bottom of the table, and they will see it as an opportunity to put some distance between them and the relegation zone.

Aston Villa, meanwhile, visit on Saturday having struggled defensively this season and are without a clean sheet on their travels. In fact, no team has conceded more away than Villa’s 23.

Trossard can take advantage of those frailties at the back, and with his next four games all against teams near the bottom of the table, could be a nice differential over the next few weeks.

Emiliano Buendía

Ownership: 0.9%

Price: £6.0m

GW23-27 fixtures: BOU | tot | new | LIV | wol

Norwich City are probably destined to get relegated this season, but in recent weeks, have offered a small glimmer of hope to supporters picking up points against Tottenham Hotspur and Crystal Palace.

Whilst a revival is unlikely, if they are to come good, the Argentinian playmaker Emiliano Buendía (£6.0m) will be central to it.

In his last two matches at Carrow Road, Buendía has supplied two assists and 14 points.

The underlying stats further highlight Buendía’s importance to the 2018/19 Championship winners.

He’s created more chances (28) than any other player in the league over the last six Gameweeks. Remarkably, that’s 12 more than Kevin De Bruyne (£10.7m) has managed in that time.

Although he has yet to score this season, his total of 24 shots is only bettered by Teemu Pukki (£6.5m) and Todd Cantwell (£4.9m) for Daniel Farke’s side.

Their opponents on Saturday, Bournemouth, have conceded nine goals in their last three games against Watford, West Ham United and Brighton & Hove Albion.

Bournemouth’s poor defence bodes well for Buendía, who sits in just 0.9% of squads, to deliver big points on Saturday.

Callum Hudson-Odoi

Ownership: 0.6%

Price: £5.3m

GW23-27 fixtures: new | ARS | lei | MUN | TOT

Next up is an interesting budget option at Chelsea, Callum Hudson-Odoi (£5.3m), who is regaining confidence after recovering from a ruptured Achilles tendon.

He has now produced attacking returns in each of his last two appearances across all competitions, having scored against Nottingham Forest in the FA Cup and Burnley in Gameweek 22.

A theme in both matches has been his brilliant link-up play with right-back James, which was seen when they combined for the Blues second goal against Burnley, before Tammy Abraham (£7.8m) headed home.

These comments from Frank Lampard suggest we’ll be seeing plenty more of this partnership going forward…

“Hopefully it’s just the start of the partnership as far as first-team football goes. When Callum is being as aggressive as he was today and Reece is behind him, of course it is a big thing.” – Frank Lampard

Chelsea’s away form is worth noting, only Liverpool have picked up more than their seven wins on the road this season, with 25 goals scored in 11 games, compared to just 14 at home.

Saturday evening’s away meeting with Newcastle United, who have failed to win since Gameweek 18, hands Hudson-Odoi the chance to continue his form.

The winger’s instant impact upon returning to Chelsea’s starting eleven offers us a cut-price route into the Chelsea attack, and if he can nail down a spot in Frank Lampard’s eleven, which looks likely with Christian Pulisic (£7.0m) out injured, he could offer real value at just £5.3m.

Become a Member and access our data

Memberships for the rest of the 2019/20 campaign are now available for the discounted price of £9.99 or the monthly price of £2.99.

Join now to get the following:

  • Plot your transfer strategies using the fully interactive Season Ticker.
  • Get projections for every Premier League player provided by the Rate My Team statistical model.
  • Use Rate My Team throughout the season to guide your selections and transfers.
  • Get access to over 150+ exclusive members articles over the season.
  • Analyse our OPTA-powered statistic tables specifically tailored for Fantasy Football Managers.
  • Use our exclusive tool to build custom stats tables from over 100 OPTA player and team stats.
  • Enjoy our brand NEW Flat-Track Bully feature which introduces an opposition filter to your tables.
  • View heatmaps and expected goals data for every player.
  • Use our powerful comparison tool to analyse players head-to-head.

ALREADY A USER? CLICK HERE TO UPGRADE YOUR FREE ACCOUNT

NEW TO SCOUT? CLICK HERE TO START A MEMBERSHIP ACCOUNT

avfc82 https://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/11211/history | https://fplgeneral.com/articles/elite-64-manager-profile-tom-freeman/”

1,870 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Bubz
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 5 days ago

    Oh ffs Richarlison

  2. Cahill
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 5 days ago

    do we think Ricky Martin starts for West Ham tomorrow?

    1. Richard Richard (AKA: Anzhi…
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 5 days ago

      Randy straight in there I would say

      1. Cahill
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 5 days ago

        ah annoying - with no richarlison and siggy I quite fancied him over Guaita

        1. Richard Richard (AKA: Anzhi…
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 5 days ago

          Play and hope

    2. Jarvish Scott Talent
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 5 days ago

      Ricky Martin 😆

  3. Colonel Shoe 肝池
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 5 days ago

    Feck.... Is richa likely to miss tuesday

    1. Colonel Shoe 肝池
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 5 days ago

      Otherwise I need to get rid

    2. MaticMVP
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 5 days ago

      According to twitter news, he's back Tuesday.

  4. Miguel Sanchez
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 5 days ago

    On WC

    A) Keep Richarluson and play Lundstram (ars) this GW?

    B) Go Mahrez instead

    1. The 12th Man
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 5 days ago

      If your on a WC surely Richarlison needs to be flushed away.

    2. Richard Richard (AKA: Anzhi…
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 5 days ago

      Don't keep imo. Is Mahrez the only other option you'd accept?

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 5 days ago

        Anything sub 8.5

        1. Richard Richard (AKA: Anzhi…
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 5 days ago

          Go for him then I guess unless you fancy going down a bracket

    3. Jarvish Scott Talent
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 5 days ago

      One does not include an injured player on a WC

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 5 days ago

        True - I had Trent for 4 GWs injured on last year's WC

        1. Jarvish Scott Talent
          • 5 Years
          1 month, 5 days ago

          I like the Mahrez punt - could be an awesome differential (or a disaster)

      2. Debauchy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 5 days ago

        Obvious innit

  5. Richard Richard (AKA: Anzhi…
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 5 days ago

    Do we think Kelly will be ousted this week?
    Bit worried that him and Rico are now two duds (no FT)

    1. Holmes (specialist in failu…
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 5 days ago

      I guess he will play this week but cant expect much vs Man City

  6. La vida FPL
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 5 days ago

    Fleck or cantwell??

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 5 days ago

      Cantwell this GW

    2. GARY AND JAMIE
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 5 days ago

      Depends if for short or long term i think

    3. La vida FPL
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 5 days ago

      Long term

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 5 days ago

        Fleck them if long term

  7. Holmes (specialist in failu…
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 5 days ago

    Would you get a WHM defender to play over Ayew this week and over Traore in next?

  8. SADIO SANÉ
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 5 days ago

    one of Digne or Sidibe OOP this week … you love to see it

    1. Rainer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 5 days ago

      Coleman in to push Sidibe up.

      Wagon will regain speed tomorrow night.

      1. BNMC
          1 month, 5 days ago

          I really hope so.

    2. BNMC
        1 month, 5 days ago

        Are we expecting City to spank Palace? I'd say 3 goals max.

        1. Miguel Sanchez
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 5 days ago

          Hope so have Aguero (c) KDB and Mahrez potentially

        2. Holmes (specialist in failu…
          • 6 Years
          1 month, 5 days ago

          2 goals at best

        3. Jarvish Scott Talent
          • 5 Years
          1 month, 5 days ago

          Money line last night was on a Man City win by 2.5 goals iirc

      • Mortal.Swinbat
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 5 days ago

        Ryan
        TAA, Lundstrum, Soyuncu
        Salah, Mane, KDB, Grealish
        Vardy, DCL, Ings

        Button, Kelly, Reid, Hayden
        0.6 itb 1ft

        g2g or shall i spend the transfer?

      • Disturbed
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        1 month, 5 days ago

        Richarlison injured. Will have to play lund now. Hopefully a blessing in disguise.

      • Gudjohnsen
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 5 days ago

        Martial to Moura, Alli, Mahrez or Maddison?

        1. onceuponatyne
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          1 month, 5 days ago

          Why get rid or Martial??

        2. in sane in de bruyne
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 5 days ago

          I went for Mahrez. Risky but exciting. High ceiling!

      • BNMC
          1 month, 5 days ago

          Why am I so hell-bent on bench boosting? Part of me knows it will come good in a DGW but pretty much all my players except Rico have huge potential to haul this week.
          And yes, I have 2 playing GKs.

          1. Dreadful
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            1 month, 5 days ago

            I think I’m doing it with only 1 playing keeper. I think the way the doubles and blanks are looking, 2nd wildcard will be needed way in advance of double Gameweek 37, so it will be a pain trying to get 15 double Gameweek players in.

        • andres
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 5 days ago

          Hedno
          Sidibe TAA Soy
          Kdb Alli Salah Cantwell
          Rash Vardy Ings

          Traore, Lund, Kelly 2.5, 2FT

          A Alli, Rash => Mane, DCL
          B Soy => Robb (and save other FT?), could sell Alli
          C other - involving a one week punt on Mahrez or shipping out Traore?

        • southcoastbeast
            1 month, 5 days ago

            Worth a hit doing rashford + traore to salah + Greenwood ?

          • Nespinha
            • 4 Years
            1 month, 5 days ago

            RMT
            1FT + 2.0ITB

            foster
            robbo, sidibe, lundstram
            salah (c), kdb (vc), grealish, sarr
            vardy, firmino, maupay

            subs: button, dendoncker, kelly, kiko

            1. Debauchy
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              1 month, 5 days ago

              No but gtg

              1. Nespinha
                • 4 Years
                1 month, 5 days ago

                no what?

                1. Dreadful
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 1 Year
                  1 month, 5 days ago

                  He means that he won’t rate it for you but it’s gtg, or that he doesn’t rate your team but it’s still gtg.

                  1. Nespinha
                    • 4 Years
                    1 month, 5 days ago

                    oh okay lol, fair enough

          • Bubz
            • 6 Years
            1 month, 5 days ago

            Which one would you play (coming in for Richarlison)

            A. Rico
            B. Lundstrum
            C. Dendonker

            1. Richard Richard (AKA: Anzhi…
              • 4 Years
              1 month, 5 days ago

              B

            2. stu92
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              1 month, 5 days ago

              B, how good is your team that you’re not playing him anyway?!

              1. dicky2014
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 5 Years
                1 month, 5 days ago

                He is injured.

              2. Bubz
                • 6 Years
                1 month, 5 days ago

                Currently...

                Ryan,
                TAA, Soyuncu, Aurier
                Salah, KDB, Richarlison, Martial
                Firmino, Ings, Jiminez

                Couldve played him above Aurier though

                1. TheDragon
                  • 1 Year
                  1 month, 5 days ago

                  How you feeling about no Mane for the DGW?

                  What’s your OR currently?

                  1. Bubz
                    • 6 Years
                    1 month, 5 days ago

                    Scared.

                    16k

                    1. TheDragon
                      • 1 Year
                      1 month, 5 days ago

                      Great rank!

                      I want to do what you’ve done (ie Firminio and no Mane) but his EO will be so high I’m not sure it’s a risk I’m brave enough to take.

                      1. Bubz
                        • 6 Years
                        1 month, 5 days ago

                        Firmino is great away from home and Mane is more of a home player so Im hoping Firmino at least matches or outscores him...

            3. Debauchy
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              1 month, 5 days ago

              Sell

              1. Bubz
                • 6 Years
                1 month, 5 days ago

                Iv used my FTs 🙁 rookie error

                1. Bubz
                  • 6 Years
                  1 month, 5 days ago

                  To be fair theres nobody else id particularly want at that price range

            4. Dreadful
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 1 Year
              1 month, 5 days ago

              Playing B could be a blessing in disguise. Hate having Lundstram on the bench

          • stu92
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            1 month, 5 days ago

            Ryan
            Chilwell - Robbo - TAA - Lundstram
            Maddison - Salah - KDB - Traore
            Vardy - Jiminez
            (Martin - Connolly - Tomori - Hayden)

            2FT, 1.3ITB

            Thinking of using both transfers to replace Tomori and Connolly, who are best options here? Wary about having too much money on the bench, would probably have 9 definite starters every week and four rotating the last two slots.

            A) Holgate, Stephens
            B) Maupay, DCL

            C) Jiminez > Ings, frees up 0.7 extra to improve elsewhere.

          • as33
            • 4 Years
            1 month, 5 days ago

            Rashi is out for the weekend?

            1. Rainer
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              1 month, 5 days ago

              No.

            2. g40steve
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 1 Year
              1 month, 5 days ago

              Nothing confirmed & don’t trust Ole.

            3. Bubz
              • 6 Years
              1 month, 5 days ago

              Probably but wouldnt surprise me if he plays.

          • Niho992
            • 1 Year
            1 month, 5 days ago

            Are u considering Salah for C ?

            1. Debauchy
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              1 month, 5 days ago

              No

            2. Rainer
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              1 month, 5 days ago

              Maybe next GW.

              1. Niho992
                • 1 Year
                1 month, 5 days ago

                Firmino is my C next GW

            3. Catastrophe
              • 9 Years
              1 month, 5 days ago

              No. KDB.

            4. Cricket_Badger
              • 7 Years
              1 month, 5 days ago

              No, think it could be a cagey, low-scoring affair so personally looking at KDB / Vardy.

              1. Niho992
                • 1 Year
                1 month, 5 days ago

                Thx. Then Vardy probably

            5. The 12th Man
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 6 Years
              1 month, 5 days ago

              No, Pukki

            6. Dreadful
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 1 Year
              1 month, 5 days ago

              Vardy, but wouldn’t be surprised if Salah outscores him.

          • jake0910
            • 2 Years
            1 month, 5 days ago

            Any of these worth a -4?

            Richarlison out for:

            A. Sterling
            B. Son
            C. Mahrez

            Would be a 1 week punt before i transfer in Mane for GW24.

            1. Cricket_Badger
              • 7 Years
              1 month, 5 days ago

              What is your alternative starter if you don't make a transfer?

              Mahrez / Sterling the best out of those two and worth the -4 IMO.

              1. Niho992
                • 1 Year
                1 month, 5 days ago

                Why would you rid of Richa?

          • Disco Stu
            • 7 Years
            1 month, 5 days ago

            Better replacement for Rashford

            A. DCL
            B. Deeney
            C. Maupay

            Better set for Double Gameweek

            A. Mane/TAA/Robby
            B. Mane/Salah/Gomez

            1. Catastrophe
              • 9 Years
              1 month, 5 days ago

              A and A for longer term.

          • Cricket_Badger
            • 7 Years
            1 month, 5 days ago

            Is Jimenez + Maddison --> DCL + Mahrez (FT) overdoing it?

            Guaita
            TAA | Lundstam | Holgate
            Salah | KDB | Martial | Maddison
            Vardy | Jimenez | Ings

            Button - Cathcart - Dendoncker - Rico [2FT + 0.5m ITB]

          • Nightf0x
            • 4 Years
            1 month, 5 days ago

            Ryan (rams)
            Soy lund taa (sidibe simpson)
            Kdb mane mads traore (martial)
            Vardy dcl maupay

            Which way?
            A) g2g, gw24 martial rams -4 to salah buton/mcarthy

            B) martial -4 to son, gw24 dcl/maupay mads -4 to firmino 6.5 mid.

            C) dcl -4 to ings, gw24 mads martial -4 to salah 6.5 mid.

          • Catastrophe
            • 9 Years
            1 month, 5 days ago

            1 FT, 1.1 ITB. Help greatly appreciated!

            Ryan
            TAA, Holgate, Lundstram
            Salah, Mane, KDB, Cantwell
            Vardy, Ings, Rashford*

            (Woodman, Traore, Kelly, Simpson)

            A) Traore -> Sarr (keep Rashford)
            B) Rashford -> DCL (Kelly & Traore -> Son & Williams next week)
            C) Save FT. A or B next week dependent on this weekend
            D) Something else

            Small risk of not fielding 11 if I save FT (likely playing Kelly away to City). May be priced out of Rashford, Kelly & Traore -> DCL, Son & Williams if I don't do Rashford -> DCL today/tomorrow.

            Cheers

          • Big Chris Wood
            • 6 Years
            1 month, 5 days ago

            Start Martin(eve) or Foster(toy) in view of the Everton attacking injuries?

            1. Big Chris Wood
              • 6 Years
              1 month, 5 days ago

              Toy = tottenham

          • wasp3000
            • 5 Years
            1 month, 5 days ago

            Button & Jimmy -->> McCarthy & Ings done and dusted with my 2FT

            McCarthy
            TAA Soyuncu Robbo
            Grealish KDB (C) Salah Cantwell
            Ings Vardy (vc) Abraham
            [Guaita / Lundstram Traore Rico]

            G2G?? Start Lund over anyone??

            1. Big Chris Wood
              • 6 Years
              1 month, 5 days ago

              Nah I think you have your bench right

              1. wasp3000
                • 5 Years
                1 month, 5 days ago

                TY

            2. how now brown cow
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              1 month, 5 days ago

              No. Looks good

              1. wasp3000
                • 5 Years
                1 month, 5 days ago

                cheers pal, just hate seeing the Lord on the bench 😉

            3. Cricket_Badger
              • 7 Years
              1 month, 5 days ago

              Keep it as it is. Looks good.

              Confident KDB will start and will get a rest against Sheff Utd midweek?

              1. wasp3000
                • 5 Years
                1 month, 5 days ago

                I think his early sub last week would suggest starting both. I just don't think City can afford to rest anyone if they feel they can still catch Lpool.

                1. Cricket_Badger
                  • 7 Years
                  1 month, 5 days ago

                  Fair enough, thanks. Things might change when CL comes back around.

                  1. wasp3000
                    • 5 Years
                    1 month, 5 days ago

                    Yes different story then. It most likely will get to the point where the CL is 100% the priority and then rotation in the Prem becomes massive.

          • how now brown cow
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            1 month, 5 days ago

            Mccarthy (button)
            TAA Soyuncu Holgate (lund kiko)
            Salah KDB Martial Grealish (dendonker)
            Ings vardy abraham

            Got 1 ft to use or carry over. What do you prefer for dgw?
            A - lund -> robbo
            B - soyuncu, kiko -> williams, robbo
            C - tammy -> firmino

            Have to do the kiko move to afford B

          • Energetics
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            1 month, 5 days ago

            Ramsdale to McCarthy or Ryan worth a -4?

            If so which one?

            1. Big Chris Wood
              • 6 Years
              1 month, 5 days ago

              I wouldn't do ramsdale. McCarthy for me t save £££

          • checkit_j
              1 month, 5 days ago

              1FT - What do you recommend?

              Ryan
              Lund Soy TAA
              KDB Salah Madi Traore
              Vardy Ings Rash

              McG - Rico - Kiko - Dendo

              1. Big Chris Wood
                • 6 Years
                1 month, 5 days ago

                Save you can get 3 pool next week