Tips

The Complete Guide to Scout’s tips and advice for FPL Gameweek 23

The Fantasy Football Scout Guide to Gameweek 23 begins with a heads-up about Gameweek 24 – the deadline is Tuesday 18:30 GMT – don’t forget to set your team for the first Double Gameweek of the season after this weekend.

However, we have another round of fixtures to consider before then. And plenty of team news, analyses and captaincy decisions to ponder. You’ll even discover why Joe’s transfer plans involve him going “Choudhury deep”. Yes, it does sound very wrong. 

Given Lateriser’s headline success of Vardy to Aguero last week, the Scoutcast trio of Joe, Sam and Lee asked the question: is it time to sell Vardy?

Lee’s concern, as someone who has owned him since early in the season, would be the amount of value lost. Especially if you want to buy him back later on. Joe countered that for him it’s “points not pounds” that count – he doesn’t care about losing value but he does worry about losing points. Leicester face Burnley and West Ham next.

Sam cautioned that given Vardy is likely to be highly captained this week, not owning him could hurt. Indeed, the former England international is currently second in the captain poll. 

Encouragement for handing Vardy the armband was to be found in David’s Captain Sensible article: 

The expected data paints an even more damning picture for Burnley ahead of hosting Vardy, who may feel he has a point to prove after failing to shoot against Southampton. The Clarets’ expected goals conceded (xGC) score from their last four stands at 7.70, the third-worst in the league.

– David

However it’s Kevin De Bruyne who leads the poll and was described as “the safe bet” in the Gameweek 23 Captaincy Video. He is a player who is overperforming – he hasn’t had a big chance since Gameweek 9 but has scored five goals in that time – but as Neale observed

That doesn’t mean [De Bruyne’s] returns are unsustainable, of course. As we have pointed out before, the so-called ‘better’ players tend to … convert a higher proportion of their chances (or have teammates who more reliably convert their key passes).

– Neale

And with so many of his teammates in fine form, assists are perhaps a more likely source of points. Pro Pundit Tom Freeman is leaning towards handing the Belgian the captain’s armband. 

Resurgent Saints

Tom was one of many to talk up Southampton assets this week. David labeled their defence as “FPL-investment-ready” following his in-depth examination of their credentials. Tom agreed, pointing out that their expected goals conceded over the last ten matches is second only to Liverpool. He highlighted goalkeeper Alex McCarthy and defender Jack Stephens as potential bargains.

McCarthy is Andy’s favoured option to replace the stricken Fabianski. The face of Let’s Talk FPL discussed goalkeeper replacements earlier this week. 

And fellow Pro Pundit Zophar drafted in McCarthy as part of a mini-Wildcard (three transfers for the cost of four points). He’s one of two Saints players added to his squad, the other being Danny Ings. Assessing the in-form striker, Zophar enthused:

No forward has scored more goals (five), taken more SiB (19) or landed more shots on target (SoT) (11) than the Englishman over the last five Gameweeks.

– Pro Pundit Zophar

Saints fan Differential (c) brought us his insights into the turnaround in Southampton’s fortunes this season, noting that a settled back four has been a key component of their upturn in form. Once again McCarthy, Stephens, and that man Ings were given special mention. 

For the third transfer of his mini-Wildcard Zophar decided to play “Pep Roulette” in an effort to climb the ranks. 

Riyad Mahrez put pen to paper for the six-time top 5,000 manager. A move Pro Pundit Sam – currently in the top 10,000 – considers fraught with peril. Adding that Man City don’t play Aston Villa every week and a look at this site’s fixture ticker reveals they are bottom over the next ten Gameweeks.

Nonetheless, Zophar feels the Algerian has done enough to become a regular starter and found comfort in the words of Guardiola:

You see his legs it is impossible to be injured because he has no muscles. The final third he has something special, always I have the feeling he can score a goal.

– Pep Guardiola

Mahrez is included in the predicted line-up for the Sky Blues. And the Citizens top the latest DS stats, fixtures and clean sheet odds provided by G-Whizz.

Richarlison and Rashford updates

The surprising news from Friday’s press conferences came from Everton manager Carlo Ancelotti: 

“We are without for this game Richarlison. He had a little problem yesterday in training and will not be available for the game. I hope he will be available on Tuesday. Little problem on his knee, he had a little twist but nothing special. Minor problem but unfortunately will not be available tomorrow. We are without Sigurdsson, he has minor groin issues.”

– Carlo Ancelotti

How their absence will impact Everton’s creativity is anyone’s guess. Of particular interest to fantasy managers is Dominic Calvert-Lewin, who has taken 14 shots in his last four matches. David wrote of him in Captain Sensible:

Calvert-Lewin is a player who boasts considerably better individual underlying statistics since Gameweek 19 than De Bruyne and Vardy – and faces an opposition whose defence is arguable worse than Crystal Palace or Burnley’s.

– David

Pep Pig backs the 22-year-old to find the back of the net at the London Stadium.

Marcus Rashford was subbed off shortly after coming on in Man United’s FA Cup replay against Wolverhampton Wanderers, giving owners cause for concern. At yesterday’s press conference manager Ole Gunnar Solskjaer failed to reassure, stating only that Rashford was receiving “checks and treatment”.

Perhaps the bigger worry for FPL bosses is not the match against leaders Liverpool but rather the midweek game at home to Burnley.

Sam urged us not to ignore teams with only one match in Double Gameweek 24: 

Double Gameweeks are a gift for us FPL managers but my experience of dealing with them is to not let them blindside you into forgetting about the single Gameweek players.

– Sam

In addition to the Clarets trip to Old Trafford, Watford’s fixture against Aston Villa also appeals:

Watford play Aston Villa, who have only won twice in their last nine games. In the reverse fixture, Watford won 3-0.

– Sam

Neale’s Big Numbers article showed us just how good the Hornets have been of late: 

21 chances created by Gerard Deulofeu (£6.1m) and Troy Deeney (£6.2m) combined since Nigel Pearson first took charge of Watford in Gameweek 17. The pair are first and joint-second respectively for key passes among FPL forwards over the last six Gameweeks.

– Neale

Deeney’s leadership since his return from injury an important factor, with Ismaïla Sarr another to thrive under the new manager.

Liverpool and Enablers

Liverpool assets continue to dominate our thoughts ahead of their two fixtures next Gameweek. Reds-fan Lee feels that ignoring the 40%-owned Mané could ruin his season given that many are likely to captain him.

While Joe has devised a plan, which involves switching to a 4-3-3 formation and acquiring the £4.3m-rated Hamza Choudhury, in order to get Mané and play his Triple Captain chip on him. 

We’ve had a couple of articles attempt to map out the Blank and Double Gameweeks later in the season, and devise a chip strategy. Both Neale and Lord – Blaming it on Rio feel that Gameweek 24 could be a good time to use the Triple Captain chip, although it’s difficult to say if a better opportunity won’t present itself further down the line.

Meanwhile, considering her Liverpool trio, Sam feels a more balanced approach is the way to go. For her, the cheaper Firmino and Martial – with his home fixture against Burnley – is a good combination. Against Tottenham last weekend, the Brazillian scored his seventh away league goal of the season (more than Mane and Salah combined) and drew praise from Klopp:

When I went to him and wanted to give him a hug after the game, he wanted to stop and talk first. He said, ‘I know I should have scored more goals’. It was absolutely not what I wanted to say! Yes, a super player, super. I don’t say this for the first time and will hopefully not say it for the last time. Pretty impressive.

– Jurgen Klopp

David added to the growing confidence in Liverpool’s number nine in his members-only assessment: 

Both over the last four matches and his last four away trips especially, the Brazilian has produced some incredibly encouraging underlying statistics.

– David

For those favouring double Liverpool attack, cheap enablers are needed.

Picked out as differential by Joe on the Scoutcast, Tom Freeman in his differentials article, and Andy in the Community Q&A videoLeandro Trossard is tipped to fit the bill. Brighton face Aston Villa next – no team has conceded more goals away than Villa and with Trossard’s next four games all against teams near the bottom of the table, he has the potential to do well. 

Not everyone is set on double attack as Greyhead discovered in his latest look at The Great and The GoodCareer Hall of Fame number one, Sean Tobin, has opted for a defensive double-up in the shape of Robertson and Alexander-Arnold. 

Chelsea’s Big Chance

Two Chelsea players are included in this week’s Scout Picks – Tammy Abraham and Reece James make the cut.

Part of the reason for their inclusion is the strength of the team they are facing:

Newcastle defence that has conceded the second-highest number of big chances over the last four Gameweeks.

– Scout Picks

The importance of looking at Big Chances was highlighted by AK this week, who found them to be the best indicator of goals alongside expected goals.

Good news then for owners of Abraham. Pep Pig felt he was unlucky not to score more than once against Burnley.

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2,577 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Tronity
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 4 days ago

    Bench one of:

    A) Cantwell
    B) Martial
    C) Alli?

    1. Captain Casual
      1 month, 4 days ago

      Mart

    2. Ron_Swanson
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      A

    3. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      B

    4. Greenbackbøøg…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      martial

    5. Catastrophe
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      B

    6. Coys96
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      B

    7. Cookie Kid
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      C

  2. Sun Jihai
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 4 days ago

    Looking at the transfer stats, Ings ownership is going to be huge now.

    1. Top Lad Dakes.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      I finally caved and brought him in for Rashford, so expect that impending injury now x

    2. The Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      Everyone else is finally catching on.

    3. Cookie Kid
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      Finally bought him so fully expecting a season-ending Ingsjury now

  3. Misteak
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 4 days ago

    Captain:

    A. Salah

    B. KdB

    C. Vardy

    1. Catastrophe
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      B

    2. Top Lad Dakes.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      C is mine (have all but Mane over Mo)

    3. shady4revr
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      B probably
      But i am going for A

    4. RECKLESS
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      B. When in doubt go for easy home game. Can advice me below mate?

  4. RECKLESS
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 4 days ago

    Which of these looks most lovely over next 6
    1) Tammy + Grealish/Sarr + Robbo 2) Mane + Cantwell/Stephens/Greenwood rotate+ Soy
    3) Alli + Cantwell + Robbo

  5. Aubamazette
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 4 days ago

    Chasing in mini league, have all popular Captain options Kdb Vardy Mane Ings to cover anyone captaining them so do I go Salah(c) as no one has him?

  6. Catastrophe
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 4 days ago

    Start Rashford or Traore?

    1. Top Lad Dakes.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      Rashford imo. He’ll be fit to play or he won’t, doubt he’ll be risked as a sub again

      1. Catastrophe
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 4 days ago

        Cheers. Or Ole will start him and he'll have to come off after 10 mins!

    2. The Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      Rash

      1. Catastrophe
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 4 days ago

        Ta

  7. Totti
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 4 days ago

    play:

    A) cantwell
    B) traore

    captain

    1) aguero
    2) KDB
    3) vardy

    1. Catastrophe
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      A 2

    2. The Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      1, 2 and 3

      1. The Units
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 4 days ago

        If only we could

    3. amit1964
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      a1

  8. Muscout
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    1 month, 4 days ago

    What is the likelihood the below will play %
    A) Rashford
    B) Felipe Anderson
    C) Traore
    D) Kelly

    1. shady4revr
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      Rashford out
      Traore out

      1. HonestBlatter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 4 days ago

        Who says Traore is out?

  9. shady4revr
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 4 days ago

    On WC
    Mccarthy
    TAA Aurier Sidibe
    Grealish KDB Mane Salah Cantwell
    Vardy Ings
    Button Greenwood Kelly B. Williams

    0 in the bank

    Should i change sidibe to holgate to save 1m
    Grealish to dendo? Will save 1.9m
    And play 3 upfront?
    Or bring maddison instead of grealish
    Will have to do DLC or maupay instead of ings

    Help

    1. The Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      Get rid of Aurier and rather Maddi over Grealish

      1. shady4revr
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 4 days ago

        Aurier to??

  10. Snapes on a Plane
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 4 days ago

    Planning ahead for DGW. Which west ham defender do i to get?

    1. BENOIT
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      Masuaku cheap and attacking (possible OOO)

    2. The Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      None

    3. shady4revr
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      Aurier to?

  11. matiakez
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 4 days ago

    Rico to Stephens for free? Or play lund and save the transfer?

    1. shady4revr
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      Bring stephens

    2. tiger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      I did that exact transfer, Lund benched...

    3. The Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      Play Lundy

  12. denial
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 4 days ago

    Play lund or Hanley?

    Thanks

    1. HonestBlatter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      Lundy to score

      1. denial
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 4 days ago

        Yep. Nice

    2. Coys96
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      Hanley

  13. MoManeTaa
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 4 days ago

    Is Holgate's place under threat now?

    1. shady4revr
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      Why?

  14. Lukakus talking
    1 month, 4 days ago

    Repost as bottomed:

    Currently have:

    Cantwell Alli KDB Mané Traoré
    Jiménez Vardy Rashford

    Alli and Rashford to:

    (A) Salah and DCL/Maupay
    (B) Martial and Firmino

    This week for -4 or after deadline for free?

    Thanks in advance

  15. amit1964
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 4 days ago

    hii, play one :

    a) holgate
    b) soyuncu
    c) lundstram

    thank you

    1. shady4revr
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      0 hole 0

    2. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      B

    3. AzzaroMax99
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      Soy

    4. HonestBlatter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      C

    5. Coys96
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      B

  16. 'Broadsword Calling Da…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 4 days ago

    KdB or Vardy, can't stop switching. Maybe overthinking this. It has to be Kdb, form is great vs Vardy, who's just back and didn't even have a shot last week. Are Burnley away going to give him much more?

    M City looking like beasts in attack and have just had a Pep funded team-building event where a load of Instagram models were shipped in, has to be City right?

    You don't get that final analysis from the BBC pundits or any Broadsheets!

    1. Qaiss
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      Burnley are going to park it up hard and won’t want to lose 5 in a row

    2. Fitzy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      So you think Southampton and Burnley defensive form pretty similar?

      1. 'Broadsword Calling Da…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 4 days ago

        Southampton and Burnley are only separated by 2 goals, in terms of goals conceded for the season.

        Man City have 62 goals for , vs 47 for Leicester.

        Netting those and form, i'd be happy with M City?

        1. Fitzy.
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 4 days ago

          So you don't think Southampton have tightened up recently? Burnley have conceded twice as many in the last 9 or 10 games.

    3. The Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      Vardy all day long

  17. Ycfc
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 4 days ago

    Bench 1:

    A) Cantwell
    B) Maupay
    C) Grealish

    1. Qaiss
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      Grealish

    2. tiger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      Grealish

    3. HonestBlatter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      A

    4. Coys96
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      So tough, I'm playing all 3, but C if you must

      1. Ycfc
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 4 days ago

        Thanks guys, other’s are Mane, Salah, KDB, Vardy and Ings so can’t start all 3 unfortunately!

  18. AlvyRonson
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 4 days ago

    Who to bench out of
    A-Jimenez
    B-Martial
    C-Maddison or D-cantwell

    1. CONNERS
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 4 days ago

      B

    2. amit1964
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      b

  19. CONNERS
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 4 days ago

    Hi guys

    Is Williams more or less nailed at left back for the forseeable?

    Thanks

  20. HonestBlatter
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 4 days ago

    Van Dijk as a differential for DGW. Will he score from corners anymore?

    1. Qaiss
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      Robertson for .6 more though..

    2. Coys96
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      No, man utd are quite tall defensively

      1. HonestBlatter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 4 days ago

        Maguire + Lindelof tall but awful

  21. Gaffa914
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 4 days ago

    Who to transfer in?
    A) McCarthy
    B) Reina

    1. Coys96
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      A

    2. The Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      A

    3. gooner_112233445566
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      1 month, 4 days ago

      A

    4. Colonel Shoe 肝池
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      A... Can almost fit and forget with those fixtures to the end

  22. OptimusBlack
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 4 days ago

    Who to play ?
    A-Traoré
    B- Grealish

  23. gooner_112233445566
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    1 month, 4 days ago

    Captain salah or vardy?? First to 5 gets it

    1. The Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      V

    2. checkit_j
      1 month, 4 days ago

      S

    3. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      Jamie. Both good options and should return.

  24. tiger
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 4 days ago

    Captain choice time again...seems to be between Vardy and KDB for me.

    Outsiders are Ings and Maupay, although probably won't be able to bring myself to go with those.

    I'm veering towards Vardy...what do you fine people think?

    1. The Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      V

    2. Euro Raiders
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 4 days ago

      Going for Mane.

    3. AnyLaporteinastorm
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      Been on kdb all week but leaning towards Vardy now...

  25. The EJJ
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 4 days ago

    Dunk or Stephens?

    1. Colonel Shoe 肝池
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      To play.... Prob dunk

  26. OldBenKenobi
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 4 days ago

    A) Fleck
    B) Jorginho
    C) Mooy

    (Already have Cantwell)

    1. The Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      A

  27. The Mighty Hippo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 4 days ago

    Deeney is my differential for today, I think he'll score against Spurs.

    1. TheTinman
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      60% chance I reckon

    2. Levy’s Wallet
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      Even foster has a chance of scoring vs spurs, you probably will have some joy there

  28. TheTinman
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 4 days ago

    Don't understand the Mahrez moves?

    4 relatively tricky away games in next 6
    SHU away
    Spurs away
    Lei away
    Man U away

    Plus there is rotation risk. Imagine he gets rested today and against West Ham?

  29. Hybrid.power
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 4 days ago

    Team for this week:

    Ryan
    Sidibe, Soyuncu, Trent, Lundstram
    Salah, KDB, Grealish, Alli
    Vardy, Ings

    Ramsdale, Rico, Greenwood, Longstaff

    Leave as is or bring in Robertson or Stephens for Rico for a hit?

  30. Fantasy 11
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 4 days ago

    Need help as chasing for ML

    Ryan
    Soy TAA Aurier
    Mane Salah KDB Grealish
    DCL Vardy Tammy

    Should I do

    Mane and Gre to Mahrez and Son
    Or just Mane to Ster and capt him

    Got 2FT. Thanks

    1. gooner_112233445566
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      1 month, 4 days ago

      You can’t take mane out now when there is double gameweek next werk

    2. Hybrid.power
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      Neither. Keep Mane. Use a free transfer to upgrade a bench player because your team is fine

    3. tiger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      Why do you want to get rid of Mane ahead of the DGW?

    4. Fantasy 11
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      Ok tq

    5. Origi-nal
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 4 days ago

      Mane out is madness