Pro Pundits

My Free Hit draft for FPL Double Gameweek 30+

As the Fantasy Premier League Double Gameweek 30+ deadline edges ever closer, I am feeling more confident about my latest draft.

As you know, it has been a strange few months. So strange in fact I now own three Manchester United players but only two from Liverpool.

I made the most of the slow Wildcard over the last few weeks, bringing in players who had good overall fixtures left, although in hindsight the decision to play the fixtures in the same order was a pretty obvious outcome, and one I didn’t think much about.

With £2.0m in the bank my team is flexible enough, at least from Gameweek 31+ onwards.

andys-pp-article

The only chip I have left is Free Hit. While I’m quite happy with this side for Gameweek 31+ (as happy as anyone can be not knowing how teams and players are going to react to the long break, and who might be in form), I’m not so happy about it for Gameweek 30+. There are not enough Double Gameweek players for my liking.

As there aren’t any more Double Gameweeks planned I don’t see a great reason for holding the Free Hit chip with only nine Gameweeks to go and that’s why it will be activated before Wednesday’s 5pm deadline. Here’s how the current draft looks.

andys-pp-article 1

There’s some players that have been in every single draft so far, they’re the more obvious picks, lets get them out of the way first:

Sergio Aguero (£11.8m) has scored 16 goals already this season, that’s the same as Mohamed Salah (£12.7m) in 849 fewer minutes. There’s naturally concerns about the Argentinian getting two starts but I’m hoping the temporary five substitute rule may actually help teams like Manchester City have a more consistent starting XI that they can manage the minutes of easier. 

Kevin De Bruyne (£10.6m) was the first name in my team. From a pure FPL point of view he’s finally shown us what he can do while being fully fit for the season. He looks on course to smash his previous record season tally of 209 points and if anyone outside of Edersen (£6.0m) has a chance of starting twice, it’s De Bruyne. He’s top for minutes played by an outfield Manchester City player in 2019/20.

Aston Villa are not a team I’m looking to load up on players from. They’re very generous when it comes to conceding goals and I can’t get excited by many of their attackers. Jack Grealish (£6.4m) has to be in though. He’s had a good season with seven goals and seven assists and I’d expect him to continue as the main points scorer in the team. No midfielder at his price or under has scored more points, and he represents good value going into this week.

I see some concerns from people about having Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£11.m) in their teams, but he’s been so consistent again this season whether playing as a centre-forward, or in a wider position. I can’t look past him when he has two games, even if one of them is against Manchester City.

The bench is Emiliano Martínez (£4.2m), Matt Targett (£4.4m), Jamaal Lascelles (£4.3m), and Ondrej Duda (£4.7m). I’m hopeful that I won’t have to rely on it this week.

John Lundstram (£4.9m) is currently missing from the team mostly due to fears of him having not won his place back completely from Sander Berge (£4.8m). The two goals he scored during a behind closed doors game has piqued my interest again though. I’m really hoping for early teams news that will let me swap him for John Egan (£4.6m). Lundstram has five double-figure hauls already this season. That’s four more than all of the other Sheffield United defenders combined. One start and a bench appearance in the other game could be enough to see him outscore the other options, and I, for one, am sick of being punished by ‘The Lord’.

With 10 clean sheets already this season I see the appeal of triple Sheffield United defence. My slight concern is whether there will be some rustiness to shake off which may lead to a few more goals than normal as players get up to speed. Dean Henderson (£5.3m) is also the goalkeeper who has prevented the highest expected goals at 4.4. You can view that from two ways – he’s a great goalkeeper, or at some point, he may not be able to keep preventing the number of good quality chances that the defenders are allowing. The triple up is an all eggs in one basket approach and I’m currently looking to avoid.

My third Sheffield United slot goes to Oliver McBurnie (£5.7m). I’ll be honest, this is a hard sell and you’d probably be better off without him, especially considering he has just four goals in 1,428 minutes of football. Around Gameweek 22 he started getting regular starts and minutes, although in the seven game period until the end of the season still only managed one goal. But there were some encouraging underlying statistics in that time. 

Elsewhere in the side, Raheem Sterling (£11.7m) gets one of the midfield slots. For the first 29 Gameweeks, I think it’s fair to see he’s flopped considering his hefty price tag. He’s scored fewer points than Riyad Mahrez (£8.5m) having played considerably more minutes.

I am encouraged by the fact he has the second-highest expected goal involvement for all players this season. It hasn’t gone right for him in terms of actual points so far but at some point I’d expect it to click. The enforced break, and the potential return of Leroy Sané (£9.3m) could really help him too. This is a player with over 32 and 35 attacking returns in the last couple of seasons. This year he has 13 and if there’s anyone that is going to come back and be the opposite of the rest of the season I’m putting my money on Sterling. 

I’ll quickly touch on the single Gameweek players in the starting XI. As I mentioned for McBurnie and Sheffield United, I don’t think you can go wrong targeting Aston Villa’s defence for conceding goals and that’s why I’m looking at Chelsea players. It’s difficult to know exactly which side Frank Lampard will go with, but Mason Mount (£6.2m) has only failed to start three times in the league this season and with the ability to play centrally and off the left I’m hoping he’ll be given another start, although there is a lot of competition for places in that Chelsea team. 

Raúl Jiménez (£8.1m) is definitely a consideration up front instead of McBurnie but at the moment I’ve gone with Matt Doherty (£6.3m) for my Wolves player. When I look at single Gameweek fixtures in Gameweek 30+ a few stand out, and one of them is Wolves getting to play a poor West Ham side.

Jiménez is incredibly consistent and I don’t for one second think he won’t get some kind of return this week. But in a week when I’m using my final chip and am trying to improve on a poor rank I want to do something different. The Mexican has 19 attacking returns so far, but when you include clean sheets, Doherty isn’t far behind on 16. The Irish wing-back also has four double digital hauls vs Jiménez with three, so it’s not like he’s any less explosive on his day.

That trio of McBurnie, Mount and Doherty is about the only part of this team that’s now fully locked in. That could be any combo of Sheffield United, Chelsea or Wolves player, and I’d even be tempted by an Arsenal defender instead of Leno to go for something even more different.

But for now I’m trying not to overthink. I know the fixtures I want to target, and  I have a good core of Double Gameweek players I’m very happy with, alongside some calculated differntials.

We’re about to go into the unknown. We’ve heard the phrase “a new normal” a lot over the last few weeks and it’s going to apply to football as well. I’ve gone with what I know when picking this squad but the new normal could mean things are completely different, I just hope I’ve got at least some of it right. 

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4,183 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Pickle juice
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    For DGW

    Nketia

    Or

    Pukki

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Pukki

  2. michudagawd
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Would it be a good play to use Free Hit on this pre-GW30+ team?

    Henderson
    TAA Boly Stevens
    Salah KDB Grealish Fernandes
    Auba Jimenez

    Pope - Stephens Cathcart Brewster*

    1. michudagawd
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Martial the missing mid.

  3. Liastro ⭐️
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Think I’ve cracked it with this BB... FH and WC available...

    Leno Henderson
    Doherty Baldock Egan Targett Lascelles
    DeBruyne Mahrez Grealish Mount Saka
    Aguero Aubameyang Jimenez

    1. SADIO SANÉ
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Decent

  4. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    If not captaining Sterling and given Pep roulette and five transfer rule is he worth 3.2 m over Mahrez?

    1. SADIO SANÉ
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Hard to argue that he is, people might get lucky though

    2. ㅤRising
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Thats the question. But Sterling is the player we put first in our drafts for a reason. Who ever starts will do great. Especially Sterling with his quick feet should get himself in some fantastic positions. If he starts both, carnage.

    3. FPL_DON
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      It’s such a tricky one, but I’m gambling on him being so

    4. _Ninja_
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      If i was on bb i wouldn't have him, on a FH he's worth the risk as i've nothing else to do with the money.

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Thanks - my choice is

        A Alonso Mahrez Jiménez
        B Egan Sterling Abraham

        Which would you go for?

        1. dunas_dog
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          * on FH

        2. _Ninja_
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          Jimmy/Tammy will score similarly.

          I think Sterling outscores Mahrez over the 2 games

          Egan v Alonso is tough to call with 2 games v 1 so B just shades it for me but could go either way.

          Whichever option you pick will do worse anyway 😛

          1. dunas_dog
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            3 years, 9 months ago

            Cheers- going to sleep on it and decide pre deadline

  5. Davidwes
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Is Douglas Luiz nailed on to start both games?

    1. Thescaff
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      No

    2. One Man
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      McGinn is back so

  6. barcaa7
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    a-Pukki , Mahrez , TAA
    b-Nkeitah , Sterling , Doherty

    .

    1. Starky22
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A

  7. MarcoHammy111
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Is this bb team worth it ?

    Leno and hendo

    Lunds, Alonso , saiss, baldock , mendy ,

    Kdb, Mount , Fernandes , grealish traore

    Kun , aubi, Sametta

    Thoughts ?

  8. Liastro ⭐️
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Auba or Nketiah?

    1. Royal5
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Not sure if serious

    2. Now I'm Panicking
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Your grav looks like a fat Jimmy Saville

  9. goriuanx
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    A) Lascelles McGinn Saka Aguero
    B) Doherty McGinn Saka Jesus
    C) Boly McGinn Sterling Nketiah

    Which one do you prefer?

  10. Totti
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    who do u rather?

    A) sterling mcburnie
    B) bruno and jimenez

    1. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      B

    2. Botman
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Long term B, if FH then A

      1. Totti
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        will wildcard next gameweek

    3. Krafty Werks
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      C) Mahrez & Jimenez

  11. toerag
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Getting concerned in loss of team value for this week
    if i swap
    pope for hendo -0.6
    salah and dcl for grelish and auba -0.4
    mane and jota for kun and (7.9) -0.5
    looking at maybe not going the whole hog now

    what do ya all think.

    1. toerag
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      comes down to mane and salah and jota and dcl

      for kun and auba and grelish and another. not sure it is good in the long run

  12. JelliedSpark968
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Is it worth having El Mohamedy (bench of course)? I have 4.1m, could go Kelly instead?

    1. Arsenal97
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      El mohamedy imo

  13. Prison Mike
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Who’s the more attacking Sheffield United fullback?

    Stevens or Baldock?

    1. SADIO SANÉ
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Same

    2. goriuanx
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Stevens

    3. Krafty Werks
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Stevens just.

  14. The Yorkshire Pirlo
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    BB, no WC. Kinda different. Thoughts?

    Leno, Button
    TAA, Doherty, Saiss, Egan, Stevens
    KDB, Son, Bruno, Mount, Saka
    Aguero, Jimenez, Abraham

    1. Royal5
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Seen Mount in many teams. He has been awful for a long time. What has changed?

      1. Royal5
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Like the rest though. Probably go Pierre over Son /Bruno.

    2. SADIO SANÉ
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Auba instead of Aguero and upgrade Button? Otherwise pretty nice

      1. SADIO SANÉ
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Mount to Grealish too probably

  15. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    if I use my unlimited transfers but then click free hit will I regain the squad I had?

    1. toerag
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      😆

    2. Athletic Nasherbo
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Yeah mate then you get an extra 2m too.

    3. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      No. Reverts to the GW38 squad

    4. TheSteel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I would think so

    5. SADIO SANÉ
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Nope

  16. Arsenal97
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Did James Justin played in Leicester's friendlies ?

  17. kysersosa
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Ballers thoughts on this BB team? WC31

    Leno, Henderson
    TAA, Doherty, *Basham, Stephens, Egan
    KDB, Sterling, Grealish, Mount, Barnes
    Aguero, Jimenez, Nketiah

    *Will change to Lord Lundstram if early team news favors.

  18. Saka Punch
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Who scores more points this gw:

    A) Mount
    B) Alonso

    1. Thescaff
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Assuming both start, B

  19. Arsenal97
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Leno Henderson
    TAA Lascelles Lundstram Target Justin (leicester)

    KDB Mahrez Ozil Fleck Grealish

    Aguero Auba Jimenez

  20. Eastman
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Anyone considering Jesus over Aguero?

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      many

    2. Another Hoops
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I certainly am but expect Aguero to outscore him but not by much.

      1. Eastman
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Can see equal game time and Jesus may get the Burnley fixture. Allows me to keep Salah

    3. _Ninja_
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Yes, the people who can't afford Aguero.

      1. Another Hoops
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        People can afford Aguero mate but I believe if you can use the extra 2.2 somewhere then you can justify going Jesus over Aguero. I've seen a lot of teams with Aguero but also have Cantwell and Saka so I imagine its making a sacrifice to upgrade.

    4. JelliedSpark968
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      me

      1. Eastman
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        May come down to captain choice and I think I prefer KDB to Aguero so may go for Jesus.

  21. Another Hoops
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Any changes? 0.2 ITB, BB & FH available.

    Pope
    Trent - Doherty - PVA
    Mane (c) - Mahrez - Bruno - Traore
    Rashford - Jiminez - Jesus

    Hart - Cantwell - Lascelles - Aarons

    I'm currently sat in mid-table mediocrity with nothing to play for, I'm not finishing top and hopefully I'm not finishing bottom. So I've decided to have some fun, enjoy the football and pick a team full of exciting players that should be fun to watch. My only regret is not being able to get Alonso in 🙁

    Plan next week is Jesus > Vardy with 0.2 ITB and very likely in the future Mahrez > Richarlison.

  22. vincentwsho
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    A) Martial + Richarlison + Guendouzi (bench fodder) OR B) James + KDB + Cantwell (bench) for GW 31 onwards?

    1. Another Hoops
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      I feel that James is not a reliable source for points mate. Martial will outscore him, having said that KDB and Cantwell look good. I'd probably go A if I had to choose.

  23. One Man
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Will Douglas Luiz start for Villa ? Could be a good cheap option.

    1. Thescaff
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Mcginn is back so

  24. JelliedSpark968
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Play Nketiah or McGinn?

  25. TheSteel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    How likely is Samatta to start both?

    1. SADIO SANÉ
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Got to be 'very' surely

    2. Royal5
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Brutal fixtures

  26. AD2110
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    What dyou guys reckon about this BB team? Any changes or good to go?

    Leno, Reina
    TAA, Lascelles, Egan, Basham, Saiss
    Salah, Grealish, KDB, Saka, Fleck
    Auba, Kun, Jimi

    1. SADIO SANÉ
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Check Fleck on twitter 15 minutes before deadline, Reina too

  27. The-Red-1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Would you change anything here?

    BB DGW...

    Leno Henderson
    TAA Egan Stephens Saiss Doherty
    KDB Mane Grealish ElGhazi Fernandes 
    Aguero Jiminez Nekitah
    0.0itb

  28. Klip Klopp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Can I get some feedback on my first team draft please?

    Leno / Henderson
    Lundstrum / Lascelles / TAA / Egan / D.Luiz
    Grealish / KDB / Cantwell / Bruno / 4.5 mid - could be D.Luiz from Villa
    Kun / Auba / Jimi

    I'm gonna BB this week and WC next week

    1. toerag
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      looks ok. mine was going a similar way

  29. Hana
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Where is this rumour about Fleck not starting / being injured coming from?

  30. toerag
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    are there price rises tonight???