Spot the Differential

Fit-again Laporte among the differentials for FPL Double Gameweek 30+ and beyond

It’s Double Gameweek time in Fantasy Premier League and with just nine rounds of fixtures to go, finding a stand-out differential now could play a vital role in final mini-league standings.

This time, two of our picks have Double Gameweeks to enjoy, whilst the third spot is reserved for a budget midfielder whose pre-lockdown stats caught the eye of several of our Scouts.

As always, all three options we have picked out as differentials have an FPL ownership of 5% or less.

Aymeric Laporte

→ How many FPL points did Aymeric Laporte register across Manchester City's three Double Gameweeks?
  • FPL ownership: 3.1%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW30+ – 34+ fixtures: ARS + BUR | che | LIV | sou | NEW

With Aymeric Laporte (£6.3m) injured for most of the season, Manchester City have often looked vulnerable defensively.

His absence led to Fernandinho’s (£5.1m) deployment at centre-back, and whilst the Brazilian has impressed in his new role, neither Nicolás Otamendi (£4.9m) nor John Stones (5.3m) have looked particularly convincing alongside him, with frequent lapses of concentration.

Laporte took part in a training match at the Etihad Stadium last Thursday, and it’s likely he’ll take his place as first-choice centre-back against Arsenal.

His return will be a huge boost to City, who have missed his pace and ability to play out from the back and initiate attacks from deeper positions. He’s left-footed too, so brings much-needed balance to the backline, and Guardiola’s team look far more assured when the 26-year-old plays.

In fact, the Citizens have kept five clean sheets in Laporte’s seven league starts this season, and notably, they are unbeaten this season with him in the starting XI.

City will move seven points clear of third-placed Leicester City with a win over Arsenal and have won their last six matches against the Gunners in all competitions.

The second part of their Double Gameweek sees them take on Burnley, who they comfortably dispatched 4-1 in the reverse fixture back in December.

Whether Laporte lines up alongside Fernandinho, Otamendi or Stones, he is a strong under-the-radar pick and if he gets two starts, a repeat of his 2018-19 Double Gameweek heroics could be on the cards.

Oliver McBurnie

Lundstram
  • FPL ownership: 0.5%
  • Price: £5.7m
  • GW30+ – 34+ fixtures: avl + new | mun | TOT | bur | WOL

Before football ground to a halt in March, Yorkshireman Oliver McBurnie (£5.7m) was beginning to realise his potential.

The striker had become a regular at Bramall Lane, starting seven consecutive league games, which saw the Blades collect 14 points.

Whilst he could only deliver a solitary goal during that run, his numbers were encouraging. In fact, only four forwards registered more shots in the box between Gameweeks 22-29, and he was perhaps unfortunate not to score more, with an xG of 3.04.

McBurnie also sits top amongst all forwards this season for headed goal attempts per 90, and with Sheffield United’s opponents in Gameweek 30+, Aston Villa and Newcastle United, both looking vulnerable defending crosses, he could be the Blade to benefit.

Sheffield United are seventh in the table and chasing Champions League football. A win at Villa Park will move them up to fifth, and ahead of their two road trips, it’s worth noting they’ve only lost two of their 13 away matches in the Premier League this season, with those defeats coming against Liverpool and Manchester City.

Whilst it’d be a surprise to see any Sheffield United forward lasting the full 90 minutes in both Double Gameweek fixtures, McBurnie has featured in all but two of their league matches this term, and having upped his performance level in 2020, now could be his time to shine.

Ondrej Duda

  • FPL ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW30-34 fixtures: SOU | EVE | ars | BHA | wat

Attacking midfielder Ondrej Duda (£4.7m) joined Norwich City from Hertha Berlin in January, after falling out of favour with then-boss Jurgen Klinsmann.

Having started every league game since his arrival as a no. 10, he has just a solitary assist to his name, but the stats suggest he should have had more.

Since making his Canaries debut in Gameweek 23, the Slovakia international has created 15 chances – that’s six more than teammates Emiliano Buendia (£6.0m) and Todd Cantwell (£4.7m). In fact, amongst all midfielders, only James Maddison (£7.5m), Kevin De Bruyne (£10.6m) and Jack Grealish (£6.4m) have registered more.

Over the same period, he’s taken eight shots, which is equal to Buendia and trumps Cantwell, suggesting attacking returns could be imminent.

Norwich are six points adrift of safety but have a favourable run-in. They don’t face anyone currently higher than ninth until the last three games, and return to Carrow Road having won their last match against Leicester City. They have now won two and drawn two of their previous five home matches, with their only defeat in that run coming against Liverpool.

Up next is a Southampton side who had lost their last three away matches in all competitions before football was suspended, conceding at least three goals on each occasion, whilst their backline allowed more big chances than all teams bar Aston Villa over the last six Gameweeks.

Selected in just 0.1% of FPL squads, differentials don’t come much bigger than £4.7m midfielder Duda, and we’re backing him to deliver.

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2,800 Comments Post a Comment
  1. gers23
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 22 days ago

    Where can I use 0.7 on this BB team?

    Ederson Reina

    TAA Eggan Lascelles Lund Seiss

    Kdb Grealish Mount Traore Cantwell

    Aguero Auba Jiminez

    1. Herman Toothrot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 22 days ago

      Mount to Pulisic if you're feeling saucy.

      1. Tempestic
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 22 days ago

        Could be explosive

        1. Tempestic
          • 2 Years
          1 month, 22 days ago

          Could get 30 minutes

      2. gers23
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 22 days ago

        Lol I had him originally!! Playing it bit safe to start with.

    2. gryffsonofarthur
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 22 days ago

      Upgrade Traore

      1. gers23
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 22 days ago

        There's nobody really I want except maybe Martial /Fernandes. Too dear though

    3. azamn013
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 22 days ago

      Cantwell to Mcginn might be worth a punt if its one week only

      1. gers23
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 22 days ago

        Interesting shout thanks

  2. Kiyoshi
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 22 days ago

    McBurnie or Samatta?

  3. HD7
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 22 days ago

    Fernandez Newcastle
    Saiss Wolves
    Justin Leicester
    Targett Villa

    Pick one only for the DGW:)

    1. Shakshuka
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 22 days ago

      i have justin and targett fwiw

  4. kamdaraji
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 22 days ago

    Ozil to start both games?

    1. FPL ElasticO
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 22 days ago

      Auba only better option from Ars

    2. _sidney_will
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 22 days ago

      Possibly but lots of talk that Willock will be in the midfield (not sure in place of Ozil)

  5. Mané money
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 22 days ago

    Does O`Connell being out make Lundstram nailed?

    1. The_Fish
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 22 days ago

      No.

    2. Tempestic
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 22 days ago

      Fleck being potential out might help Lund tho

      1. Tempestic
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 22 days ago

        Potentially *

      2. The Big Fella
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 22 days ago

        Do we know anything else about Fleck yet?

  6. Starky22
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 22 days ago

    A. Sterling + Jota
    or
    B. Aguero + Mount

    1. Ceebes
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 22 days ago

      B

  7. FPL ElasticO
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 22 days ago

    G2g on FH?? Got 0.3 ITB .... pls suggest if any more changes required.....

    Leno
    Doherty/ Lundstram/ Stevens
    KDB/ Sterling/ Mount/ Grealish
    Auba/ Aguero(c)/ Jimenez

  8. Team Cruel
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 22 days ago

    With KDB most likely on pens, is it better to TC him than BB?

    1. FPL ElasticO
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 22 days ago

      BB

  9. Ceebes
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 22 days ago

    What are people doing to deal with Hanley injury? 0.1 ITB, trying to work out a way to get to Lascelles.

    Team:

    Henderson - Leno
    TAA - Lundstram - Egan - Hanley* - Saiss
    KdB - Mahrez - Mount - Grealish - Cantwell
    Auba - Aguero - Jota

    Thanks!

  10. n-doggg
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 22 days ago

    Come down to the final few spots:

    A. Saka and Samatta
    B. Mount and nketiah

    1. azamn013
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 22 days ago

      B

    2. gers23
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 22 days ago

      Tough one. A I think

  11. Giorgi89
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 22 days ago

    Sorry bottomed
    Hi lads,

    Any Villa fan that could help deciding between Reina and Nyland between the sticks for DGW?
    Only have 4.5m ITB and want to have a second DGW GK

    1. Boyd to Sven
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 22 days ago

      Reina most likely but it's not nailed. And we'll probably concede more than once in both games at I'd rather have a single gameweek player personally.

  12. Jafooli
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 22 days ago

    Any late team news on Twitter? 😉

  13. FOO FIGHTER
    1 month, 22 days ago

    Score predictions for tonight?

    1. _sidney_will
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 22 days ago

      1-1 Villa vs Sheffield Utd
      2-2 City vs Arsenal

    2. Hot Toddy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 22 days ago

      Villa 1 - 1 SHU
      City 4 - 1 Arsenal

    3. Bubz
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 22 days ago

      0-2 sheff
      3-1 city

  14. Camzy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 22 days ago

    Pretty much locked in.

    FH

    Leno
    Baldock Egan Lundstram
    KdB Sterling Fernandes Grealish Pepe
    Auba Aguero
    (scraping every last penny)\
    0.0m

    1. Rinseboy
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 22 days ago

      Love it Camzy.
      Who is the best sgw pick from Tammy Mount Jimi or Bruno Fernandes?

      1. Camzy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 22 days ago

        I could stretch to even Rash if I wanted too by downgrading Baldock > Basham.

        I don't trust Abraham. I don't think he gets enough minutes. Jimi is safe but a bit boring, and Fernandes on the flipside is exciting with a high ceiling.

        Rashford vs Fernandes is the final dilemma and I think Fernandes is a bit safer. Just a bit.

        1. Rinseboy
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 22 days ago

          thanks!

    2. Tempestic
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 22 days ago

      It’s big

    3. ManUnitedComeBack
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 22 days ago

      I think this is easily the best FH team I've come across in terms of attacking the DGW (and that's the whole idea behind playing the FH isn't it).

      The only changes I'd even consider making are Baldock + Bruno > Trent + McBurnie (but that's only because I am less confident in the defensive triple-up with O'Connell out)

    4. ididnt
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 22 days ago

      sorry - how have you afforded this team...?

  15. IrishRed
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 22 days ago

    Rashford or Son? Already have Bruno but getting Son would mean Egan over Lundstram/Stevens

    1. Team Cruel
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 22 days ago

      Rashy and Lundy

    2. Daniel S. - Forgot the GW 3…
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 22 days ago

      Rash for me

  16. FPL_WILDCARD
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 22 days ago

    One week punt for the single gameweekers out of these 3 midfielders...

    A) Mount
    B) Zaha
    C) Duda/Cantwell

    Currently on Zaha as a bit of a differential

    1. Hitmonlee
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 22 days ago

      I looked at Zaha. Not done much all season but he used to be very explosive

    2. azamn013
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 22 days ago

      I would stick with Zaha against a poor Bournemouth defence, he's the most explosive of the options.

  17. Daniel S. - Forgot the GW 3…
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 22 days ago

    Guys I already have Kun so for this week only which combo is better?

    Jesus and Pepe (both have double GW's) or
    Sterling and Jimmy (Jimmy has single)

    After Pep's comments about rotation I am more confident on Jesus and less on Sterling. Am I right?

    Thanks,

      1. Daniel S. - Forgot the GW 3…
        • 11 Years
        1 month, 22 days ago

        Thanks Jafooli

  18. The Big Fella
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 22 days ago

    Any news on Fleck? Will he play?

    1. Hitmonlee
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 22 days ago

      Think he will be benched

      1. The Big Fella
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 22 days ago

        Think or hope

  19. Bishopool
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 22 days ago

    I am chasing with no Wildcard left...

    1) UL transfers + BB
    2) Free Hit

    No1 seems a bit more risky, because we dont know a thing? + 5 subs rule.

    No2 it is then?

  20. AdamJ91
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 22 days ago

    On a BB, will be using my WC next gameweek.

    A) Sterling + Nketiah
    B) Auba + McGinn

  21. Hitmonlee
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 22 days ago

    Would you rather

    A) Leno, Egan, Lundy
    B) Hendo, Egan, Lundy

    1. Hitmonlee
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 22 days ago

      Sorry - B is Stevens not Egan

  22. Parm
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 22 days ago

    Aguero & Jesus double up is a legit play

    1. Team Cruel
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 22 days ago

      Pep: "hold my beer, Sterling false 9"

    2. SouthCoastSaint
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 22 days ago

      But city midfielders are preferable to Pépé for example even if they are benched once

    3. Daniel S. - Forgot the GW 3…
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 22 days ago

      I am considering that Parm too.

  23. FPL ElasticO
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 22 days ago

    Any news about Lundstram starting today....

    1. Hitmonlee
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 22 days ago

      I’m confident he’s in. Especially as Fleck is a doubt

  24. BobbyDoesNotLook
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 22 days ago

    Traore replacements?

  25. Kvnforthewin
    1 month, 22 days ago

    Gw30+ team only

    Ederson/Leno

    Saiss baldock Basham Egan Fernandez

    KDB mahrez grealish Fernandes sarr

    Abraham Jimenez pukki

    Bench boost activated

    What do y’all think

  26. FOO FIGHTER
    1 month, 22 days ago

    Pep vs Arteta. Think we will see plenty of goals later.

  27. Jimbo-Jones
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 22 days ago

    Salah or Auba?

    1. Leno, Moutinho, Douglas Luiz, Auba
    2. McCarthy, Saka, Salah, Nketiah

  28. Big Ronnie
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 22 days ago

    Duda or Saka?

  29. SuperDan
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 22 days ago

    Any upgrades needed here for my BB team?

    Henderson, Leno
    Doherty, PVA, Lundstrom, Egan, Saiss
    KDB, Mahrez, Grealish, Mount, Saka
    Aguero, Auba, Jiminez
    .4 ITB

  30. Bishopool
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 22 days ago

    WHO is also considering Aguero TC?