Spot the Differential

Pogba and Alli differential United and Spurs options for Gameweek 31+ onwards

The return of the Premier League, and Fantasy Premier League, saw several intriguing mid-price differentials emerge with double-digit hauls, including Matt Ritchie (£5.3m), Allan Saint-Maximin (£5.4m), Stuart Armstrong (£5.2m) and one of our Gameweek 29 selections, Phil Foden (£5.1m).

Suddenly, there’s no shortage of low-owned picks to consider for those willing to think outside of the box.

This time, we focus on three assets who we like the look of for Gameweek 31+ and beyond, all of whom have an ownership of 5% or less.

Dele Alli

  • FPL ownership: 3.4%
  • Price: £8.3m
  • GW31+ to 35+ fixtures: WHU | shu | EVE | bou | ARS

Having missed Friday’s 1-1 draw with Manchester United through suspension, Dele Alli (£8.3m) is back for Tottenham Hotspur’s home clash with London rivals West Ham United.

The feeling amongst supporters is that he will replace Erik Lamela (£5.7m) in Spurs’ starting XI and will line up in his favoured no. 10 role, behind Harry Kane (£10.8m) in a 4-2-3-1.

Alli’s resurgence at the time of Jose Mourinho’s appointment in November saw him go on a run of four goals and three assists in seven league matches. In fact, no teammate has scored more goals (six) or provided more assists (four) for Spurs in the Premier League since, whilst his 12 big chances over that period is more than any other midfielder.

His ability to both create and score is appealing, and the hope is now that he can kick on and finish the season strongly.

Spurs sit nine points behind Chelsea in fourth, and four points behind Manchester United in fifth, which could be enough for Champions League qualification depending on Manchester City’s appeal against their impending ban.

Whilst many are looking to Son Heung-min (£9.7m) as their Spurs differential of choice this week, Alli is flying under the radar, and with nine goals in all competitions already this season, it surely won’t be long before he’s into double figures.

Paul Pogba

  • FPL ownership: 3.7%
  • Price: £8.3m
  • GW31+ to 35+ fixtures: SHU | bha | BOU | avl | SOU

At his best, there is no doubt that Paul Pogba (£8.3m) is one of the most talented midfielders in the world. The question for FPL managers is, how consistently can he show it?

The 27-year-old has endured a stop-start campaign due to a string of injuries but returned on Friday night with an eye-catching cameo. In just over half an hour at Spurs, he completely changed the course of the game and won the equalising penalty after some neat footwork. The stats were telling: 95% pass competition, two out of two take-ons completed, four ball recoveries, one assist and one shot.

Whilst debate rages about his inconsistencies and off-the-ball contributions, what no-one can doubt is his ability. Amongst midfielders who have played over 500 minutes this season, he ranks seventh for chances created per 90, and his passing and dribbling ability will be a key weapon for United when trying to unpick deeper-lying defences.

The Red Devils are now unbeaten in 12 games across all competitions, and with Bruno Fernandes (£8.7m) adding some much-needed creativity and invention further forward, they are starting to look good again.

We suspect we may see Pogba from the start against Sheffield United and, if he can repeat what he showed on Friday night going forward, he can be a key figure as United battle for a place in the top four.

James Justin

  • FPL ownership: 0.4%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW31+ to 35+ fixtures: BHA | eve | CRY | ars | bou

James Justin (£4.7m) has had to wait patiently for his opportunity since joining Leicester City for £6m plus add-ons last summer but with first-choice right-back Ricardo Pereira (£6.3m) out until October after rupturing his anterior cruciate ligament, the 22-year-old is set for a run in the first team.

In Saturday’s 1-1 draw at Watford, Justin provided an exciting glimpse of his potential. Amongst teammates, only James Maddison (£7.5m) had more final third touches, whilst he also created two chances and won seven of his eight tackles. It was a composed performance, in what was just his third Premier League start.

The young English full-back, who can play on either flank, is a forward-thinking, energetic and hard-working player, and whilst he doesn’t offer the same level of attacking threat as Pereira, his performance at the weekend suggests he should do well for bonus.

Leicester are now only three points clear of fourth-place Chelsea and while they still look odds-on to secure Champions League football, Brendan Rodgers has to make sure his side don’t take their foot off the gas during the run-in.

The Foxes are unbeaten in their previous five encounters when facing Brighton and Hove Albion and head into the match as heavy favourites.

Looking at Leicester’s next five opponents, the highest-ranked team is Crystal Palace in ninth, and with Justin now the cheapest route into their backline, he could be a nice differential for those in search of a budget defender.

Double Gameweek 30+ FPL Lessons Learned

915 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Totti
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    last decision on wildcard

    A) degea lascelles mane
    B) pope fernandez salah

    1. Champions League Varane
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      B

    2. coolmule
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      B

  2. Champions League Varane
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Would you do any of these transfers?.

    Leno TO Pope.
    Kun and Martial TO Rash and Son.
    Kun and Martial TO Salah and DCL.
    Kun and Grealish/ Douglas Luiz TO DCL and Son.

    1. How I met your Mata
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      A or B

    2. Totti
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      do u have other goal keeper as a subs for leno?
      if so the B

      1. Champions League Varane
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Yes I have McCarthy

        B is very popular with everyone which it should be even though I like D

  3. juicewagz
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Is it madness to not have Mane, Salah or KDB in my Wildcard team? Trying to play catchup in mini league.

    1. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Yes, much more risk then reward. Those two/three can hardly be replaced

    2. Totti
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      choose KDB min.
      but salah or mane and KDB might hurt u too much

    3. St Pauli Walnuts
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      In a word, yes.

  4. How I met your Mata
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Richie or no Richie? I can't decide 🙁

    1. DaisyDaisyDaisyDaisy
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Fine if you have the TV but Lascelles + a million for me...

    2. FCSB
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Ritchie

    3. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      No Richie, Fernandez or Las much cheper

      1. How I met your Mata
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Being on penalties not enough to warrant the extra million?

        1. Hairy Potter
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          Last time he scored one?

        2. iL PiStOlErO
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          If he was playing some other team then yes but new attack is just dreadful. And hardly gets any pens. Now for cs that is a different story, more potential but this way with Las you can also save money.

        3. Rover
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          He did miss his last 2. It's more the OOP factor for me, but there is a rotation risk. They are still in the cup after all.

          1. Jekori
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 9 months ago

            he scored 7 and missed 3. Those aren't great penalty stats for sure. But i think Newcastle looked pretty sharp vs Sheffield, ok it was only vs 10 men when they got the goals. But with these fixtures and hopefully better attacking form, i expect him to at least get 1 goal or assist in the next 3. He's been 1/5 for goals and assist overall in his career, so i think he could better that in easy fixtures.

    4. How I met your Mata
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      cheers all

  5. iL PiStOlErO
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Choose cpt:

    A) Jimmy
    B) Sonny
    C) Rash
    D) Mo

    1. FCSB
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      D I think

      1. iL PiStOlErO
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Noooooooo, the only one I am not comfortable with, putted him here more because of a habit, haha.

    2. Corgz Dark side of the Loon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      d

      1. iL PiStOlErO
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Why are you doing this to me?

        1. Corgz Dark side of the Loon
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          you mean playing the greatest point scorer in FPL and possible three time winner of the golden boot playing against a team with nothing to play for at home is a bad decision........be my guest and pick someone else.....

    3. Rover
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      B

  6. FCSB
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Who are you captaining then?

    1. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Wanted Jimmy or Rash but you made things more complicated for me now

    2. St Pauli Walnuts
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      KDB, under the radar.

  7. jdogg
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    4.4 for a mid to sit last on my bench.
    Aswell to just go guendouzi and bank the 0.2?x

    1. JabariParkersEyelid
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Think so yeah.

    2. How I met your Mata
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      yeah 100%

    3. FCSB
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Guen

    4. Bobby_Baggio
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      yep i am

    5. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Go Guendo

    6. jdogg
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Thought so cheers guys.x

  8. Hairy Potter
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    How's this FH look?

    DDG
    TAA, Doherty, VVD
    Salah, Son, Bruno, Richarlison
    Rashford, Jimenez, DCL

    Button, Lascelles, Dendoncker, 3.9

    1. Bobby_Baggio
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      nice

  9. Totti
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    A) salah and guenduzi
    B) mane and hayden

    1. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      It doesn't matter who the 5th mid is. So just pick Salah or Mane. Salah probably by a hair.

      1. Totti
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        who do u think will score more?
        salah or mane

    2. Bobby_Baggio
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      the final ones make no odds its between Salah or Mane. I am on Mane

      1. Totti
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        so you choose mane over salah?

        1. Bobby_Baggio
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 9 months ago

          i have yes

  10. Bobby_Baggio
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Which combo do you prefer to fill the gaps to the missing puzzle please?

    Martin - _______
    Lascelles- Holgate - TAA - Ngakia - _____
    Mane - Son - KDB - Fernandes - Guendozi
    DCL - Jimenez - Rashford

    A) DDG + Saiss
    B) Patricio + Saiss
    C) Martinez + Doherty

    1. Totti
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      go big or go home
      B 🙂

    2. Tinkertank
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      B

    3. Bobby_Baggio
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      cheers

  11. juicewagz
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Martial or Pogba if trying to catch mini league rival?

    1. Totti
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      martial

    2. Champions League Varane
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      .........

    3. Bobby_Baggio
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Montana

  12. SomeoneKnows
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Pope (Martinez)
    TAA, Maguire, Saiss (Lascelles, Holgate)
    XXX, KDB, Fernandes, Son (Dendoncker)
    Jimenez, Rashford, XXX

    A) Mane + Ings
    B) Salah + DCL

    1. Kuzser
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      B

  13. Stupendous
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Ugh. Selling KDB sounds ridiculous. Thinking about it.

    1. Bobby_Baggio
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      you'll be crying on here afterwards

      1. Stupendous
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Yea I mean all it needs is a 30 min cameo for a brace even if benched

    2. St Pauli Walnuts
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Never go to Vegas.

  14. Kuzser
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Which combo to complete my FH team?
    Dubravka
    TAA, Doherty, Awb
    Salah, Son, Bruno, XXX
    Jimenez, DCL XXX

    1) Vardy Martial
    2) Rashford Richarlison

  15. Sloane426
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    DCL + Richarlison too much Everton?

    1. St Pauli Walnuts
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Against Norwich, not enough! Beyond that, we will see. I have both and have Richarl VC behind KDB despite plenty of others could have (Jimi, Mane, Son etc.)

  16. Champions League Varane
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Any thoughts?

    Kun and Grealish TO DCL and Son. -4
    Kun and Martial TO Rash and Son. -4
    Kun and Martial TO Salah and DCL. -4

    Leno McCarthy
    Trent Doherty Lascelles Justin Lund.
    KDB Bruno Martial D.Luiz Grealish
    Vardy Jimenez Kun.

  17. Tinkertank
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Best midfielder under 7.5? Only Bergwijn?

    1. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Maybe Mount. Or ASM.

      1. Tinkertank
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        Thank you

  18. ludaslol
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Cap?

    A) Salah
    B) Bruno
    C) Son

    1. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Salah for me right now. Unlikely to change it unless I get some late news.

      1. Rinseboy
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 9 months ago

        agree Camzy going for Salah too

  19. DMP
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Last call on WC, Son or Alli+1.4M?

    1. Ibra
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      Sonaldo

    2. DMP
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 9 months ago

      1.4M for bench purpose, only.

  20. Sterling Archer
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Alli stats under jose are decent, hes made the cut as my team only had 5 different clubs present in my first 11!

  21. Mr. Mystic
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    WC Team thoughts? (0.8 ITB)
    Pope (Martin)
    TAA Doherty Aurier (Taylor, Lascelles)
    Mane KDB (vc) Bruno (c) Son (Guendouzi)
    Jiminez Rashford DCL

    Sat on a bit of cash to make future transfers easier, any upgrades welcomed!

  22. Slim25
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 9 months ago

    Thoughts?

    Aurier > Holgate
    Mane > Salah

    Pope (Button)
    TAA, Doherty, Ritchie (Aurier, Robinson)
    Bruno, Mane, Son, Rich, Martial
    DCL, Jimi (Nketiah)