Spot the Differential

Pogba and Alli differential United and Spurs options for Gameweek 31+ onwards

The return of the Premier League, and Fantasy Premier League, saw several intriguing mid-price differentials emerge with double-digit hauls, including Matt Ritchie (£5.3m), Allan Saint-Maximin (£5.4m), Stuart Armstrong (£5.2m) and one of our Gameweek 29 selections, Phil Foden (£5.1m).

Suddenly, there’s no shortage of low-owned picks to consider for those willing to think outside of the box.

This time, we focus on three assets who we like the look of for Gameweek 31+ and beyond, all of whom have an ownership of 5% or less.

Dele Alli

  • FPL ownership: 3.4%
  • Price: £8.3m
  • GW31+ to 35+ fixtures: WHU | shu | EVE | bou | ARS

Having missed Friday’s 1-1 draw with Manchester United through suspension, Dele Alli (£8.3m) is back for Tottenham Hotspur’s home clash with London rivals West Ham United.

The feeling amongst supporters is that he will replace Erik Lamela (£5.7m) in Spurs’ starting XI and will line up in his favoured no. 10 role, behind Harry Kane (£10.8m) in a 4-2-3-1.

Alli’s resurgence at the time of Jose Mourinho’s appointment in November saw him go on a run of four goals and three assists in seven league matches. In fact, no teammate has scored more goals (six) or provided more assists (four) for Spurs in the Premier League since, whilst his 12 big chances over that period is more than any other midfielder.

His ability to both create and score is appealing, and the hope is now that he can kick on and finish the season strongly.

Spurs sit nine points behind Chelsea in fourth, and four points behind Manchester United in fifth, which could be enough for Champions League qualification depending on Manchester City’s appeal against their impending ban.

Whilst many are looking to Son Heung-min (£9.7m) as their Spurs differential of choice this week, Alli is flying under the radar, and with nine goals in all competitions already this season, it surely won’t be long before he’s into double figures.

Paul Pogba

  • FPL ownership: 3.7%
  • Price: £8.3m
  • GW31+ to 35+ fixtures: SHU | bha | BOU | avl | SOU

At his best, there is no doubt that Paul Pogba (£8.3m) is one of the most talented midfielders in the world. The question for FPL managers is, how consistently can he show it?

The 27-year-old has endured a stop-start campaign due to a string of injuries but returned on Friday night with an eye-catching cameo. In just over half an hour at Spurs, he completely changed the course of the game and won the equalising penalty after some neat footwork. The stats were telling: 95% pass competition, two out of two take-ons completed, four ball recoveries, one assist and one shot.

Whilst debate rages about his inconsistencies and off-the-ball contributions, what no-one can doubt is his ability. Amongst midfielders who have played over 500 minutes this season, he ranks seventh for chances created per 90, and his passing and dribbling ability will be a key weapon for United when trying to unpick deeper-lying defences.

The Red Devils are now unbeaten in 12 games across all competitions, and with Bruno Fernandes (£8.7m) adding some much-needed creativity and invention further forward, they are starting to look good again.

We suspect we may see Pogba from the start against Sheffield United and, if he can repeat what he showed on Friday night going forward, he can be a key figure as United battle for a place in the top four.

James Justin

  • FPL ownership: 0.4%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW31+ to 35+ fixtures: BHA | eve | CRY | ars | bou

James Justin (£4.7m) has had to wait patiently for his opportunity since joining Leicester City for £6m plus add-ons last summer but with first-choice right-back Ricardo Pereira (£6.3m) out until October after rupturing his anterior cruciate ligament, the 22-year-old is set for a run in the first team.

In Saturday’s 1-1 draw at Watford, Justin provided an exciting glimpse of his potential. Amongst teammates, only James Maddison (£7.5m) had more final third touches, whilst he also created two chances and won seven of his eight tackles. It was a composed performance, in what was just his third Premier League start.

The young English full-back, who can play on either flank, is a forward-thinking, energetic and hard-working player, and whilst he doesn’t offer the same level of attacking threat as Pereira, his performance at the weekend suggests he should do well for bonus.

Leicester are now only three points clear of fourth-place Chelsea and while they still look odds-on to secure Champions League football, Brendan Rodgers has to make sure his side don’t take their foot off the gas during the run-in.

The Foxes are unbeaten in their previous five encounters when facing Brighton and Hove Albion and head into the match as heavy favourites.

Looking at Leicester’s next five opponents, the highest-ranked team is Crystal Palace in ninth, and with Justin now the cheapest route into their backline, he could be a nice differential for those in search of a budget defender.

Double Gameweek 30+ FPL Lessons Learned

915 Comments Post a Comment
  1. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Vardy to start tonight?

    1. Maddamotha
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Ofc?

    2. Kloppcorn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Look on fpl rockstar before deadline

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        He just said he isn’t giving early team news today.

        1. jason_ni
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          Has the info, just not giving it out, the mans gone power mad.

          1. jason_ni
            • 8 Years
            3 years, 10 months ago

            Tbf, if I had that intel, no way would i be sharing it out to the masses!

  2. pundit of punts
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    On FH

    A. Alisson + Doherty + Ritchie

    Or

    B. TAA + DDG + Saiss

    1. Seamy
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A for me

    2. YoungPretender
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B is the safe pick.

      A looks more fun, but if TAA hauls you're in trouble!

    3. jason_ni
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B for me.

  3. fr3d
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Thoughts on captaining Ings?

    1. Origi-nal
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Nah

  4. Hig1990
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Removed Son > Richarlson and upgraded Foster > Pat

    AWB or Maguire? Rash or Vardy?

    Thoughts on this? Leaves 1.2 ITB for tinkering

    Pat/Martain
    AWB, Doherty, Ritchie, Lascelles, Robinson
    Salah, KDB, Richarlson, Bruno, Guensouzi
    Rash, DCL, Jimmy

  5. gers23
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Is it bordering on stupidity to not have any Man Utd players for this week? Rival has Bruno,Pogba and Rashford... 50 behind me

    1. Rains of Castamere
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      You should really cover yourself with Bruno... plenty will captain him. Two goals or a goal and an assist is around a 30pt captain haul.

      1. gers23
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Can only get him in for a hit,unless i take out Kdb.

    2. Railwayman
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      It really is. It could easily be 25 after the match, try to get at least 1 Utd player.

      1. gers23
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Aguero to Rashford for free

        or

        Aguero and Grealish to Rash/Vardy and Bruno for a hit?

        1. fish&chips
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          Aguero to rash. Grealish could score some points

        2. Jullepuu
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          Aguero to Rashford for free

        3. Rains of Castamere
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          I'd take the hit and lose Grealish. Villa are done, and tough fixtures ahead.

        4. Railwayman
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          Aguero to Rashford sounds like a plan.

          1. gers23
            • 12 Years
            3 years, 10 months ago

            thanks guys

  6. Dele
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Is this worth a bench boost this week?

    Martinez, Lascelles, James Justin, Douglas Luiz

    1. gers23
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      no imo

    2. Rains of Castamere
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Not with Luiz... looking at 2, 6, 6, 2.... at best.

      1. jason_ni
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        nah, at best its 6 - 6 - 6 - 2, which is not beyond the realm of possibility, and would be a great BB score.

        Of course it could be 2 - 2 - 2 - 2, you never know, but I think its a decent punt.

    3. jason_ni
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Think its a decent shout, Arsenal might surprise you, and Lasc / Justin both could easily get CS, when else will you use it?

      1. Dele
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks man! It’s a shame Luiz can’t become a Saka for example.

  7. Greko82
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    A) Vardy
    B) Jimenez

    For the captaincy?

    1. GreennRed
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Going B, A vc

    2. Ninja Škrtel
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      both usually don't give big hauls..i'll go with Jimenez if these are your only options.

  8. Boleyn Boy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Morning All. Trying to decide on the last few spots for my WC team. Which option is best? Thanks in advance:

    a) Martinez or McCarthy / 3.9m GK / Guendouzi / Rashford
    b) Martinez / McCarthy / Martial / Nketiah
    c) Martinez / 3.9m GK / Martial / Ayew

    1. Soto Ayam
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A, McCarthy

    2. jason_ni
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A

  9. Seamy
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Would you prefer to have Boly or Saiss for the run in?
    I think i have a budget of 4.9m

    1. Greko82
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I had the same dilemma and went for Saiss. More bonus point potential I think.

    2. Shearer & Sutton
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Boly

    3. FPL Elephant
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Boly. Saiss loves a yellow card. If he gets two more, that is a two game ban.

    4. Origi-nal
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Aurier

  10. Skogen89
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Im chasing in ml so going slightly different from template..

    Ederson
    Doherty, aurier, taa
    Kdb, Bruno, son, sarr
    Kane, rash, jiminez

    Look som gtg?

  11. Origi-nal
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Can Bergwin match Son for the run home?

    1. Rains of Castamere
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Can probably get close. But it's not just Son vs Bergwijn... the money spent elsewhere could be difference between Saiss to Doherty, or Jota to Jimenez for example.

    2. avfc82
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Not IMO, but Alli might.

    3. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Can Son match Bergwijn? 😉

    4. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      probably not - but will be close

    5. Valar(Keith)
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I don't think so.. going with alli and son ahead of him. Those 2 are the blue chip spurs players to own

  12. Maddamotha
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    My WC team so far. I like my starting 11, but my bench is bad. Is it too much risk? And also with Martinez in goal. Could downgrade Aurier maybe, or Son or DCL... What yall think?

    Martinez
    TAA, Sais, Aurier
    Son, KDB, Mane, Bruno
    Jimenez, DCL, Rashford

    Norris, Simpson, Jack Robinson, Guendouzi

  13. Tmel
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    On a WC:

    Martinez Button
    TAA Doherty Saiss Lascelles Holgate
    Salah KDB Bruno X Davis
    Rashford Jimi X

    1) Bergwijn & DCL
    2) Son & Greenwood
    (so essentially playing 1 of Lasc/Holgate/Greenwood each week to afford Son)

    1. _Ninja_
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      1

  14. Magic Zico
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Anything you would change here folks or GTG? 1FT 0ITB

    McCarthy
    TAA AWB Doherty
    Salah [C] KDB Bruno Martial Sarr
    Jimenez DCL

    Pope Cathcart Egan Wood

    1. have you seen cyan
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Maybe DDG and AWB to idk saiss? Biased tho as that’s what I have lol

      1. have you seen cyan
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Oh it’s not wc nvm

  15. the vanisher
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    gtg wilcard team?

    Martinez (Martin)
    TAA Holgate Saiss (Lascelles) (Ngakia)
    Salah KdB Barnes Bruno Son
    Jimenez Rashford (Nketiah)

  16. grennans2
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Which team do you prefer on a WC?

    A)

    Martinez*
    TAA - Doherty - Saiss
    Salah - KDB - Son - Fernandes
    Rashford* - Jimenez- DCL

    Button - Lascelles - Guendouzi* - Simpson

    B)

    Pope*
    TAA - Doherty - Saiss
    Salah - KDB - Son - Fernandes - Martial*
    Jimenez - DCL

    Button - Lascelles - Greenwood* - Simpson

    1. iL PiStOlErO
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A with Pope would be ideal

    2. Union_Jacks
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I honestly prefer martial Martinez

  17. Cahill
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    no rockstar news 🙁

    think barnes starts?

    1. _Ninja_
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Yes

    2. Seamy
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Rockstar news isn't due until 4.45pm

      1. Cahill
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        he said no news today

    3. Mufc202020
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Someone called @SmuelMartinFPL is taking over for today. Let’s hope he’s as accurate

      1. jason_ni
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        what about @FPLLeaker, was full of useful BS last wednesday.

  18. TeddiPonza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Start one of:
    Lascelles
    Saiss
    CTaylor

    Already starting Doherty.

    1. avfc82
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I'd double on Wolves, so Saiss.

    2. Railwayman
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Saiss

  19. Henning
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Repost.
    Is this a freehit team or would -4 be enough for this gw?( No WC left)

    Henderson Leno

    Doherty TAA Egan Stevens Fernandez

    Saka Mount KDB Grealish Fernandes

    Agüero Aubameyang Jimenez

  20. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Want to get Bruno in this week.
    Sell Salah or KDB?
    Or save transfer

    1. Buck The Trent
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Maybe K

      1. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Reckon Salah starts?

      2. TKC07
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Save. Both KDB & Salah were rested and will start this GW.

    2. Henning
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Think you must have Bruno, but who to get rid of is a through One.

  21. LIARS POKER
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Found a way to get Doherty in, worth it?

    A) Martinez, Doherty, Martial (3-5-2)
    B) DDG, Saiss, Rashford (3-4-3)

    1. Soto Ayam
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Yes, good fixture run and wolves are fighting for position. I'd go A.

    2. jason_ni
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B prob gonna get you more points overall i'd say.
      If wolves keep CS saiss hoovers up BAPS. There is always the Doherty threat from attacking, but DDG and Rashford much superior to Martinez/Martial

  22. Wild Rover
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    If Rockstar isn't posting leak, try seanfromenderby. Bit of a d!ck but usually right

    1. Rains of Castamere
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Yep. If you can stomach his pro-Trump tweets, his Leicester information is usually spot on

  23. UshFPL
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Obviously he performed great last night but should I sell Mahrez? He's probably unlikely to start vs Chelsea and I have the budget to get Son in

    1. JollyGoodYellows
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I'd say so. WHU defence is poor so surely Son is due some returns.

      1. Soto Ayam
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Ditto

    2. jason_ni
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      He was brought off after 60 mins in both games.
      I'm keeping him, sold KDB instead, which is maybe reckless, but I want to try and push on to top 10k(120k -> 50k last GW)

      Honestly think he is a great option, and can get points even if he does come from bench, but feel like he is primed to start.

  24. Jönny
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Free-hitting this week... how does this look?

    Pope
    TAA, Doherty, Digne
    Mane, Richarlison, Alli, Son
    Jimenez, Rashford, DCL

    Nothing on the bench or in the bank.

    1. Henning
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Missing Bruno.

      1. jason_ni
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Yeah, Bruno for Richa for me.

        1. jason_ni
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          Would downgrade Digne to afford it.

    2. Soto Ayam
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Like the digne pick. Alli to fernandes?

  25. iL PiStOlErO
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Kiko or Simpson + 0.3itb for that last place on the bench?

    1. Seamy
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I think Kiko.
      Definitely is you have Lascelles as they rotate well until the end of the season

      1. iL PiStOlErO
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Have Fernandez myself but like the idea of rotating them.

    2. Soto Ayam
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Kiko? I think at least he played last week

      1. iL PiStOlErO
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        On wc so this is why I am asking. With 0.3itb I have more flexibility but leaning Kiko myself also yes.

  26. Rocky FPL
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    DDG vs Dubravka?

    1. YoungPretender
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      DDG

      1. james 101
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        But don’t tell Roy

    2. Rains of Castamere
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Dave.

    3. jason_ni
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      #Dave(Sometimes)Saves

  27. JollyGoodYellows
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Any changes to my WC team here?

    Martinez (Button)
    TAA Doherty Lascalles (Saiss Simpson)
    Salah KDB Bruno Son (Guendouzi)
    Jimmy DCL Rashford

    1. YoungPretender
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Nice team. GTG

      1. JollyGoodYellows
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Cheers, my only worry is Martinez if Leno isn't injured for as long as it looked.

    2. Rains of Castamere
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Very template but very good.

      1. JollyGoodYellows
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        OR rank of 5k so its risky not going template.

        1. Rains of Castamere
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          Yep you're in a position of strength. I'm 10k and trying to get to somewhere near that team without a wildcard! But with a few differences.

  28. Soto Ayam
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Which

    A) richarlison or
    B) martial

    Richarlison seems to get a lot of love here, but martial has the better stats.

    Leaning towards martial myself

    Thoughts please?

    Many thanks

    1. YoungPretender
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Martial

      1. Soto Ayam
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Cheers, I'm inclined to say the same

  29. Rover
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Newcastle being pretty much safe will prioritise the cup I suppose?
    Do we expect Ritchie to be rested in the league against Villa or in the cup against City? Or is that enough of an uncertainty to avoid altogether?

  30. Mr. Mystic
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    WC Team thoughts? 0.3m ITB
    Pope (Martin)
    TAA Doherty Aurier (Taylor, Lascelles)
    Mane KDB (vc) Bruno (c) Son (Saka)
    Jiminez Rashford DCL

    1. JollyGoodYellows
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I like it. You must have good team value!

      1. Mr. Mystic
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        106.5 - A few late nights monitoring price rises/fallers 🙂

      2. Mr. Mystic
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        And thanks!