612
Spot the Differential

Jesus a tempting differential for Manchester City’s post-Gameweek 32+ fixture swing

Once again differentials had a lot of success in Gameweek 31+.

The likes of Eddie Nketiah (£4.4m), Christian Pulisic (£6.9m), Matt Ritchie (£5.3m) and one of last week’s selections, James Justin (£4.7m), all delivered for their owners, suggesting there is still value to be found.

This time, we focus on three low-owned picks, all of whom have an ownership of 5% or less, who we like the look of for Gameweek 32+ and beyond.

Jarrod Bowen

  • FPL ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £6.4m
  • GW32+ – 36+ fixtures: CHE | new | BUR | nor | WAT

Jarrod Bowen (£6.4m) has enjoyed a promising start to life at West Ham United.

Having arrived at the London Stadium in January from Hull City, where he registered 16 and six assists goals in 29 Championship appearances this season, Bowen does not look out of place in the Premier League.

He’s now started four back-to-back matches for the Hammers, scoring his first goal on his first start against Southampton in Gameweek 28, and went close on Tuesday against Tottenham Hotspur, with one effort blocked and another rattling the post.

Following a second consecutive defeat, David Moyes’ side remain precariously above the relegation zone on goal difference alone.

However, until they were forced to chase the game at Spurs, they were well drilled and limited their opponents to just a few chances, and the return of Sébastien Haller (£6.8m) from a hip problem could give them a sharper edge going forward.

Despite a tricky tie against Chelsea on Wednesday, the Blues will have played twice since the Hammers last played a game, and the real appeal lies in Bowen’s fixtures to follow, which includes promising home matches against Burnley, Watford and Aston Villa.

With a crucial run of games coming up, 23-year-old Bowen can make a real impact, and could be a bargain at just £6.4m.

Gabriel Jesus

  • FPL ownership: 3.8%
  • Price: £9.6m
  • GW32+ – 36+ fixtures: LIV | sou | NEW | bha | BOU

With Sergio Agüero (£11.7m) facing a lengthy spell on the sidelines, Gabriel Jesus (£9.6m) looks set to profit, which hands FPL managers an intriguing, and potentially explosive differential for the run-in.

Ahead of last night’s match against Chelsea, Pep Guardiola revealed the Brazilian forward was carrying a knock which prevented him from starting, but having appeared from the bench in the second half, he should be fit and raring to go when Liverpool visit on Thursday.

This campaign has felt a lot like previous ones for Jesus – almost half of his appearances have come from the bench, yet he has still racked up 18 goals in all competitions, and has the second highest xG per 90 of players who have registered 200+ minutes. Whilst it can be difficult to draw strong conclusions from that data (he doesn’t start as many of the big games as others), it does demonstrate his ability to get into good shooting positions.

Like Bowen, this is a move with fixtures from Gameweek 33+ in mind, when the highest ranked team Manchester City will face is Newcastle United in 13th.

Jesus has never been able to hold down a spot in the City starting XI due to the brilliance of Agüero, but now has seven Premier League matches to impress, and although it’s unlikely Guardiola will start him in every game until the end of the season, he will certainly get more chances, and could be an ideal gamble for those willing to roll the dice.

Abdoulaye Doucouré

  • FPL ownership: 2.2%
  • Price: £5.6m
  • GW32+ – 36+ fixtures: SOU | che | NOR | NEW | whu

27-year-old midfielder Abdoulaye Doucouré (£5.6m) joined Watford from Rennes in 2016 and has been one of their most consistent performers since.

Whilst he’s been coached by five different managers during that time, some of his best performances have arrived this season when playing in a more advanced midfield role. Manager Nigel Pearson pushed the Frenchman further up the pitch in his first match in charge, and he’s largely stayed there, registering three goals and three assists.

Doucouré was close adding to his tally in Gameweek 30+ against Leicester City, when he missed a great opportunity to open the scoring, and despite dropping to the bench last night, the feeling amongst supporters is that it was purely for rotation purposes, bearing in mind it was Watford’s second game in five days.

Watford need a reaction against Southampton on Sunday and will want to be safe by Gameweek 37+ when they face a Manchester City side who have beaten them 6-0 and 8-0 in their previous two encounters.

You get the feeling the Hornets’ season will be defined by their next three home matches, which sees them take on Norwich City and Newcastle United after the Saints.

The task of avoiding relegation won’t be easy for Watford but they have enough quality to survive and, whilst many FPL managers will turn to Ismaïla Sarr (£6.3m), Doucouré is an interesting, cheaper alternative who has the ability to thrive.

FPL Lessons Learned from Gameweek 31+

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612 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Buck The Trent
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 2 months ago

    Is he nailed on?

    1. Pep Roulette
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      No. I think Sterling is a better pick if you're looking for a differential!

    2. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      No. Would rather have Mahrez.

    3. antis0cial
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      Far from it.

    4. avfc82
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      To be fair, I did write that it was unlikely he'd start every game till the end of the season, and whilst I like Sterling + Mahrez a lot, their ownership numbers (16.3% and 9.8%) prevent me from including them in Spot the Differential.

      Also think Foden can do well, but I included him in GW29!

      1. Would Ed Woodward
        • 2 Years
        1 year, 2 months ago

        Posted about both Jesus and Bowen recently, thanks for making me feel less crazy about considering the latter especially. I think if they do stay up then he's gonna have to be the one scoring the goals.

  2. Pep Roulette
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 2 months ago

    FH team. Thoughts?

    Martinez
    Doherty Alonso Aurier
    Salah KDB Son Martial
    Auba(c) Jiminez Nketiah

    XX Lamptey Robinson XX

    1. Little Red Lacazette
      • 4 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      Good. Would captain Jimi myself.

      1. Pep Roulette
        • 3 Years
        1 year, 2 months ago

        Yes, he is a great option! But I think Auba is due now!

    2. Oscar Slater
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      Personally, I'm avoiding the Liverpool/Manchester City game as I think it will now be a little flat and so I'm avoiding the likes of KDB & Salah. Pepe's not in their class but if he played Norwich at home every week he'd cost 12m!

      1. Pep Roulette
        • 3 Years
        1 year, 2 months ago

        I'm also avoiding City & Pool players. But can't risk to go without Salah & KDB. Highest scoring players of highest scoring teams! Not doubling up on their attack or defence though for this week.

    3. waltzingmatildas
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      Like it. Worried about Son's positioning?

      1. Pep Roulette
        • 3 Years
        1 year, 2 months ago

        It was worrying. But I feel he'll pop up with a goal or assist as he always does.

  3. manu4life99
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 2 months ago

    Help appreciated on improving this WC team!

    Martinez
    TAA Aurier Doherty AWB
    Sarah KDB Martial Pulisic
    Rash Jimi

    Ederson,Lasc,Nketiah,Foden

    1. Motty FPL
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      Nice team. Do you have BB left? If not then bench is fine, if you do then bench looks thin, not likely starters

    2. Motty FPL
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      would also add bench may come in useful when city and pool rotate regardless of bb

  4. DA Minnion (Legendary manag…
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 2 months ago

    Wouldn't touch him with a barge pole.

  5. Cruz88
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 2 months ago

    Can't decide who to bench:

    A) DCL (leicester defence is the best away from home over the last six)
    B) Traore (might not start, but against villa if he does. Not as prolific away from home)
    C) Sarr (better at home, watford fighting relegation but haven't been great recently)

    1. Nightcrawler
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      Traore easily

    2. waltzingmatildas
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      Hmm, I'd lean towards A

    3. Hot Toddy
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      Traore for me. Never liked him as a fantasy player to be honest.

      1. Nightcrawler
        • 2 Years
        1 year, 2 months ago

        Yes hes not capable of hauls like the other two

    4. D.Glynn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      I currently have DCL on my bench. B see below

    5. antis0cial
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      A

    6. yosim
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 2 months ago

      going A myself

  6. Tomskipow
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 2 months ago

    Mane to Martial now that Liverpool are on the beach???

    1. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      Doesn't sound like Pool are letting off. They also have nothing else to play for so can go for PL records.

      1. Nightcrawler
        • 2 Years
        1 year, 2 months ago

        Exactly this whol post title beach pool is such nonsense if anythibg theyll play with no handbrakes now

        1. Well you know, Triffic
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          1 year, 2 months ago

          Don;t think it's nonsense.

          With next season around the corner they can have a huge advantage over City, Chelsea and United by giving their key players a prolonged rest. Whilst the aforementioned clubs will need to play their full strength teams in the league and champions league.

          Also allows Klopp to use the youngsters and squad players.

          I'm not saying we won't see Salah and Mane again, rather we may see them sparingly e.g. 1 game a week.

    2. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      Too soon to decide on LIV assets

  7. waltzingmatildas
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 2 months ago

    GTG?
    Henderson
    TAA Doherty AWB
    KDB Son Bruno Martial Mount
    Jimenez Nketiah
    (Leno DCL Lund Egan)

    Captain tbc!

    Next week thinking Mount - Mahrez

    1. g40steve
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      Only Trent with S&M chasing golden boot?

      1. waltzingmatildas
        • 11 Years
        1 year, 2 months ago

        Made a call couple of weeks ago - think there may be rotation. But it is a risk I'm not sure on!
        Would be quite easy - Son and Leno to Salah and Martinez.
        Will see how Son does this week, if he is still out wide, then easy choice

  8. pablo discobar
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 2 months ago

    GK Foster
    DEF TAA, Maguire, Doherty 
    MID Salah, KDB, Son, Fernandes
    FWD Rash, Jimmy, DCL

    Subs Pope, Holgate, Jorghinio, Lascalles

    DCL to Niketeh and Jorghinio to Pulisic?

    Cheers

    1. D.Glynn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      I like three sound of those moves

  9. Top Mark.S
    • 4 Years
    1 year, 2 months ago

    Null and void?

    Now you are going to believe...

    YNWA

    1. Nightcrawler
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      I dont think pool fans have to stoop down to mocking trolls

      1. Top Mark.S
        • 4 Years
        1 year, 2 months ago

        Celebrating my man and long may it last!!!!

  10. Neo-Viper
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 2 months ago

    Bruno to Martial

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      Find another way to get Martial if you want him. Too sideways and what do you do if/when Bruno outscores Martial one week?

    2. antis0cial
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      No

    3. g40steve
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      Sideways, if Bruno scores heavily movement will be opposite direction

    4. Tomskipow
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      I’m going with both. Just brought Martial in. I wouldn’t take Bruno out..

    5. Neo-Viper
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      Cheers guys for clearing my mind!!

  11. Corgzzzz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 2 months ago

    Good morning. Any thoughts on what are the best GWs to play TC chip......currently looking at GW 33 on Salah v Villa but LFC have now won the title..........however this will be the first game back at Anfield as champions ??? any other week other than the last GW.

  12. Magic Zico
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 2 months ago

    Think that Son could score big this week and I don’t have him

    1. g40steve
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      Same, cannot have them all!

  13. Little Red Lacazette
    • 4 Years
    1 year, 2 months ago

    On BB. GTG?

    Pope
    TAA Saiss Boly
    Salah KDB Fernandes Saka
    Auba DCL Jimi(C)

    Martinez Cathcart Sarr C.Taylor

  14. D.Glynn
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    1 year, 2 months ago

    Looking for advice on who to bench.

    Who's joining Robinson, pick 2.
    A) Sarr
    B) DCL
    C) Lascelles
    D) Ayew

    Thanks

    1. antis0cial
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      CD

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        1 year, 2 months ago

        This

  15. g40steve
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 2 months ago

    With the FA Cup, forget BB?

    Best C?

    Pope,
    Trent, Doherty C, Aurier, Boly
    Salah, KDB, Fernandes,
    Jimmy, Rashford, Vardy

    McCarthy, Barnes, Sarr, Taylor

    .2 itb

    1. BNMC
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 2 months ago

      I'm on Rashford at the moment.

      1. g40steve
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        1 year, 2 months ago

        Switching between Doherty, Rashford & Salah.
        Got burned by Bruno 🙁

  16. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 2 months ago

    Stephens+Fleck to AWB+Martial for -4?

    1. Neo-Viper
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      Do it

    2. james 101
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      I’m personally focusing on pure attacking assets for Man U

      But still, those are nice moves mate

  17. Tomskipow
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 2 months ago

    I’m going with both. Just brought Martial in. I wouldn’t take Bruno out.

    1. Neo-Viper
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      Already Tripled up. Awb and Rashy.

      so it has to be Bruno. Not worth?

      1. Tomskipow
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        1 year, 2 months ago

        Sounds like you’ve got it well covered with what you’ve got. I’d stick.

  18. FOO FIGHTER
    • 2 Years
    1 year, 2 months ago

    How does this look? Cost me -12. Sitting at 223k so might as well go balls to the walls now.

    Patricio
    TAA Aurier Doherty Alonso
    Salah(c) Martial Mane Son Pulisic
    Rashford

    Button Nketiah Connolly Robinson

    Can't believe I still managed to have a playable bench...

    1. Hot Toddy
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      Looks good but starting from such a huge deficit I struggle to see a green arrow this week unfortunately.

      1. FOO FIGHTER
        • 2 Years
        1 year, 2 months ago

        Maybe, maybe not.

      2. Party time
        1 year, 2 months ago

        🙂

  19. BNMC
    • 1 Year
    1 year, 2 months ago

    Anyone else feeling that Spurs will struggle against Sheffield? It will be a pretty drab low-scoring game, that's for sure.

    1. Jellyfish
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      I think the opposite

    2. FOO FIGHTER
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      SHU are struggling. Reckon a Spurs win on the cards.

      1. BNMC
        • 1 Year
        1 year, 2 months ago

        Part of me feels like they will be tougher to beat with Egan and potentially O'Connell back.

    3. Well you know, Triffic
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      Spurs will have had a longer rest.

    4. waltzingmatildas
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      Possibly, Sheff have Henderson and Egan, and poss O'Connell back?
      Don't think it'll be an easy game

  20. antis0cial
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 2 months ago

    0ft 1.9 itb, good to go?

    Pope
    TAA AWB Boly
    Salah KDB Son Bruno
    Rash Jime(c) Nketiah

    Traore Lascelles Stevens

    1. Cojones of Destiny
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      Nketiah wont score every game so id go with new def but overall looks gtg

      1. antis0cial
        • 5 Years
        1 year, 2 months ago

        True, but they are playing the 2nd worst defence in the league this week

  21. df34
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 2 months ago

    Anyone know why H to H leagues haven’t updated yet ? Cheers.

    1. Party time
      1 year, 2 months ago

      Mine was decided by virtual coin toss...Shame!

      1. BNMC
        • 1 Year
        1 year, 2 months ago

        I was second place in mine, 1 point behind the leader - but the leader took a hit over the lockdown and lost a game which allowed me to overtake him on total score. Crazy.

        1. Party time
          1 year, 2 months ago

          I was 2nd place in mine with the most wins and 1 point behind. After the toss, I remained 2nd. Wish it didn’t end that way

  22. whof arted
    • 1 Year
    1 year, 2 months ago

    Reckon Mahrez is the best Citeh pick for the run in

    1. g40steve
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      Who would of ever thought that?

      1. whof arted
        • 1 Year
        1 year, 2 months ago

        Not AVFC82 by the looks...

        1. avfc82
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 11 Years
          1 year, 2 months ago

          Mahrez is a fantastic option, but not possible for Spot the Differential with an ownership of 9.8%, unfortunately.

    2. FOO FIGHTER
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      Pretty much but is he going to start vs LFC? That is the issue...

      1. whof arted
        • 1 Year
        1 year, 2 months ago

        Unsure, but I would be looking to GW33 to bring him in

  23. Well you know, Triffic
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 2 months ago

    Captaincy is so tough this week with alot of the good options playing in the FA cup. For me that rules out the United players, as they could pick up injuries etc.

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      i m going Salah

      1. Well you know, Triffic
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        1 year, 2 months ago

        Yes i can see that being a good option.

      2. FOO FIGHTER
        • 2 Years
        1 year, 2 months ago

        This

    2. FOO FIGHTER
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      Think Ole will start fringe players in the Cup. Europe is their 1st priority.

      1. Well you know, Triffic
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        1 year, 2 months ago

        Silverware would be welcome though.

    3. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      Between Salah and Jimenez for me. Leaning towards Salah chasing a third golden boot.

  24. GuenDoozy
    • 1 Year
    1 year, 2 months ago

    Would you bench boost with this bench?

    Mccarthy (wat) Nketiah (NOR) C.Taylor (cry) Kiko Femenia (SOU)

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      yep

  25. MattyW
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 2 months ago

    Hi guys ... play

    a) Jota v Villa
    b) Saka v Norwich

    1. Mahjongking
      • 4 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      Jota

    2. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      i d be tempted by Saka. your bench must be strong ?

      1. MattyW
        • 5 Years
        1 year, 2 months ago

        Pope (McCarthy)
        TAA, Saïss, Masina (Taylor) Egan)
        Salah, Bruno, Son, Sarr (Saka)
        Vardy Jimi Jota

  26. Mahjongking
    • 4 Years
    1 year, 2 months ago

    Pope
    Vvd aurier doherty
    Mane bruno kdb bergwin
    Rash jimenez dcl

    Subs: button. Lascelles, soyun, saka

    Bergwin for pulisic? Or save?

    And capt jimenez?

  27. wulfrunian
    • 4 Years
    1 year, 2 months ago

    What would you do here?

    Pope
    Alonso/Boly/Smith
    Barnes/Mount/Mane/Fernandes
    Jota/Auba(c)/Jimenez

    McMCarthy-Hayden/VVD/Taylor
    1ft 0.9itb

    a)Barnes->Sarr
    b)save
    c)something else

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      B

      1. wulfrunian
        • 4 Years
        1 year, 2 months ago

        cheers

    2. FOO FIGHTER
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      Need TAA?

      1. wulfrunian
        • 4 Years
        1 year, 2 months ago

        After ManCity.

    3. Mahjongking
      • 4 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      Barnes to pulisic?

      1. wulfrunian
        • 4 Years
        1 year, 2 months ago

        I already have Mount.

      2. Belli2007
        • 11 Years
        1 year, 2 months ago

        Leicester do need to pull their finger out now and score goals and so Barnes will be involved....

        Not keen on Jimi and Jota upfront, perhaps look at upgrading Jota (consider Adama if you want 3 wolves).....how set are you on Alonso as that could be route to do this and get Rashford over a couple of gw's....

  28. thepuntmaster
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 2 months ago

    Who to start:

    A) Grealish (WOL)
    B) Egan (tot)
    C) Lascelles (bou)

    1. Sid07
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      A

    2. Traction Engine Foot
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      A

  29. Sid07
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 2 months ago

    Thoughts on
    1) bergwin + dcl to son + nketiah (-4)
    2) save and give bergwin more week

    1. Mahjongking
      • 4 Years
      1 year, 2 months ago

      I have bergwin too, still thinking. Wanted swap for pulisic but afraid bergwin is going to do smth.

  30. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 2 months ago

    Want to bench boost my GW32+ team. Surely the best move?

    Pope
    TAA,Doherty,Saiss
    Bruno,KDB,Sarr,Martial
    Auba,Ings,Jiminez

    McCarthy, Perez,Lascelles,Wan-Bissaka