Spot the Differential

FPL differential Antonio has form and fixtures heading into Gameweek 34+

Once again differentials had a lot of success in Gameweek 33+.

Of the 14 players who registered 10 points or more, seven had an ownership of 5% or less.

The likes of Leandro Trossard (£5.8m), Ross Barkley (£5.6m) and James Tarkowski (£5.2m) all hit double-digit hauls, confirming there is still time to find some hidden gems.

There’s no shortage of differential candidates to consider this week, either, and this time we’re focusing on three low-owned picks who we like the look of for Gameweek 34+ and beyond.

Michail Antonio

  • FPL ownership: 1.0%
  • Price: £6.9m
  • GW34+ – 38+ fixtures: BUR | nor | WAT | mun | AVL

We’ve been big on Michail Antonio (£6.9m) for a while now, having included him in Spot the Differential ahead of Gameweek 28.

Now, having emerged from the restart as one of the league’s form players, we think he’s worth talking about again.

Since Gameweek 30+, Antonio leads the way amongst midfielders for shots in the box, whilst his three big chances is only bettered by Anthony Martial (£8.3m) and Sadio Mané (£12.4m). The expected data is also encouraging – the versatile forward sits top for xG (2.88) and xGI (4.03).

At Newcastle United on Sunday, Antonio was in the right place at the right time when another of our column favourites, Jarrod Bowen (£6.4m), squared it across the face of the goal. It was the former Nottingham Forest forward’s fourth goal of the season and the first time he’s scored in back-to-back games since April 2019.

With a point gained at St James’ Park, West Ham United are edging closer to Premier League safety and are starting to pick up some form with four points in their last two games. Interestingly, only six sides have registered more big chances than the Hammers since the restart, with two of them (Manchester City and Arsenal) playing an additional game.

With matches against Burnley, Norwich City and Watford up next, you’d expect the club to now push further clear of the drop zone.

Antonio has thrived as a lone forward for West Ham this season and is an in-form differential ready for those willing to move away from the midfield template.

Benjamin Mendy

  • FPL ownership: 1.5%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW34+ – 38+ fixtures: NEW | bha | BOU | wat | NOR

Having started four matches for Manchester City in all competitions since the restart, including the last three in a row, Benjamin Mendy (£5.5m) was rested in Gameweek 33+, and should be raring to go when Newcastle visit the Etihad Stadium on Wednesday.

Mendy’s time at City has been hampered by a persistent knee injury, but he has recently started showing flashes of his best form, providing width and energy on his flank.

Against Liverpool in Gameweek 32+, the French defender was superb. In fact, no player from either side could match his 37 opposition half touches, whilst he also provided several enticing crosses for his teammates.

Man City will be looking for a reaction against the Magpies, having now lost three consecutive away league games, and will want to secure a Champions League place for next season as soon as possible – providing the club are successful in their appeal to the Court of Arbitration for Sport.

Mendy, owned by just 1.5% of managers, adds creativity to Guardiola’s team and has perhaps been a little unfortunate to earn just two assists this season. With some promising fixtures to come, Mendy has the potential to earn points at both ends of the pitch and could be an effective differential for the run-in.

Ismaïla Sarr

  • FPL ownership: 1.7%
  • Price: £6.1m
  • GW34+ – 38+ fixtures: NOR | NEW | whu | MCI | ars

Ismaïla Sarr’s (£6.1m) inclusion in this column is all about fixtures, rather than form.

Defeats against Burnley, Southampton and Chelsea have left Watford in a precarious position, just one point above the relegation zone, whilst they’ve found the back of the net on just two occasions since the restart.

Now, they have back-to-back home games, against Norwich and Newcastle, which will surely define their season.

It really does feel like it’s all or nothing for the Hornets now, and if they are to come good, Senegal winger Sarr will probably be central to it.

Since Nigel Pearson took charge back in Gameweek 17, Sarr has eight goal contributions in 14 appearances, which is a good return for a debut Premier League campaign in a struggling side, and ranks second amongst teammates for shots in the box and big chances over that period.

This is a player who has shown he has big performances in his locker. He was pivotal in ending Liverpool’s unbeaten run in February by scoring two goals and providing an assist in his side’s 3-0 win, and also contributed a goal and assist in Watford’s 2-0 victory over Manchester United back in December.

If Sarr can return to the kind of form he showed before the season was suspended, Watford have a chance of Premier League survival, whilst FPL managers have the opportunity to purchase a potentially explosive differential.

It just depends on which type of FPL manager you are: form or fixtures?

FPL Lessons Learned from Gameweek 33+

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624 Comments Post a Comment
  1. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    28 days, 21 hours ago

    Anyone tempted by Deeney? DCL replacement

    1. avfc82
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 10 Years
      28 days, 21 hours ago

      He's in my starting XI, quite a lot of Watford fans think he'll be benched for Welbeck tho. Personally I don't see that happening, but it's worth keeping an eye on team news pre deadline just in case.

      1. POLSKA GOLA
        • 6 Years
        28 days, 21 hours ago

        I’m considering Jimi to Deeney 3 week punt, it could backfire spectacularly though

    2. jtreble
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      28 days, 21 hours ago

      This could work out well over the next three fixtures.

    3. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 3 Years
      28 days, 21 hours ago

      After last year (or year before?) RC against Arsenal in DGW(?), he is never coming near my team again. Would rather have Sarr from Watford if any.

      1. avfc82
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 10 Years
        28 days, 21 hours ago

        I like Sarr too, the prob is fitting him in with all the midfield options.

    4. linkafu
        28 days, 21 hours ago

        Don't

      • RECKLESS
        • 7 Years
        28 days, 21 hours ago

        Just benching him as reoving Salah unlocked funds for midfield 5

      • Jönny
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        28 days, 21 hours ago

        I brought him in last week (instead of Greenwood... sigh) as a bit of a punt vs a shonky Chelsea defence, but really with an eye on the next three. It's now or never time for Watford, and I tend to think if anyone is going to drag them kicking and screaming out of the mire, it's going to be him...

        1. avfc82
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 10 Years
          28 days, 21 hours ago

          I really hope so mate!

      • Sotamendi84
        • 3 Years
        28 days, 21 hours ago

        i might join you

    5. Ed
      • 9 Years
      28 days, 21 hours ago

      2FTs. Would quite like Foden in. So thinking Rashford + Guendouzi > Greenwood + Foden.

      Already have Martial & Bruno, and would leave me with just enough cash to do DCL > Vardy next week.

      What do you reckon?

      1. The Units
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        28 days, 21 hours ago

        I like it.

      2. Fulchester's New Centr…
        • 3 Years
        28 days, 21 hours ago

        Lovely stuff

      3. JoeSoap
        • 6 Years
        28 days, 21 hours ago

        Thinking something similar myself.

    6. linkafu
        28 days, 21 hours ago

        Nyland (second keeper is button) not nailed anymore, here are my options:

        A -8 Nyland Hayden Auba to De gea Pulisic Greenwood
        B -8 Nyland Hayden Auba to De Gea Pulisic Ings
        C -4 Nyland Auba to De Gea Ings

        1. RECKLESS
          • 7 Years
          28 days, 21 hours ago

          A with Ederson so you can get another Manutd attack next gw

        2. Fulchester's New Centr…
          • 3 Years
          28 days, 21 hours ago

          What reckless says, go big or go home.

      • RECKLESS
        • 7 Years
        28 days, 21 hours ago

        Such a FPL boomerang. Brought in Martial for KDB in last 3 for 15pt upside as dint want to lose Tottenham coverage. Bit the bullet and Did Son to KDB C when Son faces bou...but better believe in Ole and Pep attack than Mourinhos. Cant have it all as wanted Chelsea coverage with Pulsiic as well lol

      • Dacra
        • 5 Years
        28 days, 21 hours ago

        Should I play Pope (wha) or Patricio (shu)?

        1. Park the bus
          • 9 Years
          28 days, 21 hours ago

          any other wolves defence? if doubling up i would say Pope, otherwise Patricio

          1. Dacra
            • 5 Years
            28 days, 21 hours ago

            Have Saiss, but hes benched..

        2. Dr. Agabuse
          • 7 Years
          28 days, 21 hours ago

          pat!

      • Park the bus
        • 9 Years
        28 days, 21 hours ago

        Pope (4.0)
        TAA AWB Doherty (Femenia Fernandez)
        Salah KDB Martial Bruno (D.Luiz)
        DCL Ings Jiminez

        Save FT this week? need to upgrade D.Luiz and have funds for Saka but also want to get Greenwood in so need to ship AWB - thinking 2 FTs next week should allow me to do this.

        1. Fulchester's New Centr…
          • 3 Years
          28 days, 21 hours ago

          Save

        2. linkafu
            28 days, 21 hours ago

            Save

        3. Ruinenlust
          • 2 Years
          28 days, 21 hours ago

          Will Mahrez start?

          1. Park the bus
            • 9 Years
            28 days, 21 hours ago

            unfortunately i think he will

          2. jtreble
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            28 days, 21 hours ago

            50:50 imho.

          3. ElliotJHP
            • 8 Years
            28 days, 21 hours ago

            Si, magic 15 pointer inbound

        4. QUEN
          • 1 Year
          28 days, 21 hours ago

          Would you do

          DCL and traore

          A- Richarlison Greenwood
          B - Pulisic/Willian Greenwood
          c - other

          Martinez
          Doherty Trent aurier
          Kdb mane son Fernandez
          Dcl rashford nkeitah

          3.9 3.9 lascelles traore

          1. The Units
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            28 days, 21 hours ago

            B out of those.

          2. JoeSoap
            • 6 Years
            28 days, 21 hours ago

            B

          3. King Didier
              28 days, 21 hours ago

              Pulisic/Greenwood, united look very good currently

            • Fulchester's New Centr…
              • 3 Years
              28 days, 21 hours ago

              B - Willian playing for a new contract

            • linkafu
                28 days, 21 hours ago

                B

            • bombayblues
              • 7 Years
              28 days, 21 hours ago

              Chasing ML leader by 25 points

              FH34 team:

              Pope. (McCarthy)
              TAA. Aurier. Azpi (Saiss. Taylor)
              KDB. Sterling. Martial. Bruno. Son
              Jimi. Greenwood (Nketiah)

              Captain - KDB or Bruno

              1. Sterling or Mahrez?

              Any suggestions will be appreciated

              1. Park the bus
                • 9 Years
                28 days, 21 hours ago

                Sterling
                Captain KDB

              2. King Didier
                  28 days, 21 hours ago

                  Depends if they have KDB or not but I would captain KDB this week

                  1. bombayblues
                    • 7 Years
                    28 days, 21 hours ago

                    His forward 8:
                    Salah. KDB. Martial. Saka. McCarthy (CPL)
                    Rashford. Jiminez. Vardy

                    I know he is itching to get in Bruno but that is only possible if he takes out one out of Salah/KDB/Rashford/Jiminez/Vardy

                    1. King Didier
                        28 days, 21 hours ago

                        Your forward 8 is looking better this week imo, so you should be good and captain KDB to protect your rank in ML

                        1. bombayblues
                          • 7 Years
                          28 days, 21 hours ago

                          I am chasing by 27 points. So I need to cut down that margin. He doesnt have a FH or WC

                      • Brosstan
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 5 Years
                        28 days, 21 hours ago

                        Hes gonna remove Salah for Bruno for sure

                        1. bombayblues
                          • 7 Years
                          28 days, 21 hours ago

                          He got Salah in last week so I am not so sure. I am guessing Rashford + Saka = Greenwood + Bruno

                • King Didier
                    28 days, 21 hours ago

                    Foster
                    AWB Doherty TAA Kiko
                    Fernandes Martial Salah Son
                    Jimenez Nketiah
                    Pope Saint-Max Lascelles Gayle

                    1.9 itb
                    1 FT

                    Salah + Jimenez to KDB + Jesus???

                    1. bombayblues
                      • 7 Years
                      28 days, 21 hours ago

                      KDB + Vardy. The latter plays BOU next week

                  • Rinseboy
                    • 8 Years
                    28 days, 21 hours ago

                    A - Save FT
                    B - Salah to Sterling
                    C - Nketiah and Salah to Kane and Foden -4

                    No idea what to do this week. Leading my ML by a very small lead now of 10. my rival has played a blinder last 3 weeks. Arrggghhh

                    Pope
                    TAA Aurier Maguire Doherty
                    KDB Mahrez Salah Martial Bruno
                    Jimi
                    Martinez DCL Fernandez Nketiah.

                    1. EWH2020
                      • 6 Years
                      28 days, 21 hours ago

                      im in exactly the same position as you. Agonising over B and C. My ML leader has Kane.

                      I think I am going to go for B. Just because it is the most fun 🙂

                      1. Rinseboy
                        • 8 Years
                        28 days, 21 hours ago

                        yeah just the city triple up concerns me a bit

                  • Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
                    • 9 Years
                    28 days, 21 hours ago

                    Last couple of spots in my WC team...
                    A Mahrez
                    B Sterling
                    C Foden

                    1 Vardy
                    2 Kane (for this week only)

                    Y Garcia
                    Z Mendy

                    1. bombayblues
                      • 7 Years
                      28 days, 21 hours ago

                      B2Z

                  • Who are all Lukakus
                    • 3 Years
                    28 days, 21 hours ago

                    A. Saka to Foden, bench Jimenez
                    B. Jimenez to Kane, bench Saka
                    C. Save FT

                    1. Who are all Lukakus
                      • 3 Years
                      28 days, 21 hours ago

                      A. Really want Foden for this fixture, that means I have to bench Mr. Honest. Could back fire
                      B. Same dilemma as I am not certain that Kane will outscore Jim.
                      C. Play boring, believe in honest work and save the FT

                  • Ragnar Lothbrok
                    • 4 Years
                    28 days, 21 hours ago

                    Any desperate changes to make or hold out for 2 FT's?

                    Pope (Button)
                    Holgate / TAA / Doherty (Taylor / Lascelles)
                    Willian / Bruno / KDB / Salah (Foden)
                    Rash / DCL / Greenwood

                    I did want Kane due to fixtures coming up but not sure after last night. Maybe I should get AWB or Aurier to boost defence a bit?

                  • My heart goes Salalalalah
                    • 3 Years
                    28 days, 21 hours ago

                    Would you recommend these moves?
                    Salah, Maguire, Ederson OUT
                    KdB, Digne, Particio IN

                    Have Bruno and Rash, Mahrez and Foden. Will get Martial next week for Son

                    1. Camzy
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 10 Years
                      28 days, 21 hours ago

                      Losing Maguire and not getting another MUN?

                      1. My heart goes Salalalalah
                        • 3 Years
                        28 days, 21 hours ago

                        Will get Martial/Greenwood next gw. You suggest I wait? have 2ft

                        Ederson
                        MAguire, TAA, Doh
                        Salah, MAhrez, Foden, Bruno, Son
                        Rash, Jimmy
                        3.9, Aurier, Nketiah, Lascelles

                    2. jtreble
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 3 Years
                      28 days, 21 hours ago

                      Salah, Maguire, Ederson will outpoint
                      KdB, Digne, Particio imho.

                      1. My heart goes Salalalalah
                        • 3 Years
                        28 days, 21 hours ago

                        Well that sucks for me 😆

                        See my team in comments above. Any suggestions? I want KdB and Martial/Greenwood soon though.Maybe Salah and Ederson moves only for free?

                        1. jtreble
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • 3 Years
                          28 days, 20 hours ago

                          Personally, I would keep your team the way it is.

                  • sovietrockettes
                    • 1 Year
                    28 days, 21 hours ago

                    WC tinkering......

                    A) Sterling + Greenwood
                    B) Pulisic + Rashford

                    1. Shankly611
                      • 4 Years
                      28 days, 21 hours ago

                      Right now A but I would definitely get Pulisic in for GW 36

                      1. DannyDrinkVodka
                          28 days, 21 hours ago

                          Thanks

                      2. what's my name
                        • 2 Years
                        28 days, 21 hours ago

                        А

                    2. KUNingas
                      • 4 Years
                      28 days, 21 hours ago

                      Thoughts on Eric Garcia? Three 90 mins in last 4 games. 4.5 m!!

                      1. Cricket_Badger
                        • 7 Years
                        28 days, 21 hours ago

                        I think Pep will rest him and Laporte in alternate matches but not sure who gets the rest in which match.

                      2. Fulchester's New Centr…
                        • 3 Years
                        28 days, 21 hours ago

                        Yep. Greenwood, Foden and Garcia allows you to have Pele, Bobby Moore, Maradonna and Cruyff too.

                    3. ZimZalabim
                      • 3 Years
                      28 days, 21 hours ago

                      pick one def to keep for the rest of the season

                      A. Taylor
                      B. Garcia
                      C. Stephens
                      D. Holgate

                      1. KUNingas
                        • 4 Years
                        28 days, 21 hours ago

                        See above. Just saw that Garcia could be an option. I already have Holgate

                      2. FF Dirtbag
                        • 8 Years
                        28 days, 21 hours ago

                        Garcia. Holgate is injured, Ben mee now out for the season - so Burnley defence a bit weaker.

                      3. linkafu
                          28 days, 21 hours ago

                          D

                      4. AshtonJ
                        • 3 Years
                        28 days, 21 hours ago

                        Any suggestions what to do with this lot? 1 FT (don’t mind one hit) and obviously need to bring in KdB. Even thinking to FH.

                        Pope
                        Kiko Maguire Doherty
                        Bruno Pulisic Son Salah
                        Jesus Rash Vardy

                        Button Lascelles Gunsuzi

                        1. Geraaaard
                            28 days, 21 hours ago

                            Kdb is a must have. Maybe drop son?

                        2. Taegugk Warrior
                          • 2 Years
                          28 days, 21 hours ago

                          Auba to Kane or save FT..?

                        3. FF Dirtbag
                          • 8 Years
                          28 days, 21 hours ago

                          Hows it looking for the GW? Gtg? 1FT and 0.5mill in the bank.

                          Patricio
                          AWB VVD Doherty
                          KDB(c) Salah Fernandes Mahrez Pulisic
                          Jimenez Rashford

                          Button;Nketiah, Lascelles, Simpson

                        4. Camzy
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • 10 Years
                          28 days, 21 hours ago

                          Vardy + Boly
                          OR
                          Kane + Lamptey

                          Boly will be benched this week.

                          1. Shark Team
                            • 3 Years
                            28 days, 21 hours ago

                            Kane Lamp

                          2. ElliotJHP
                            • 8 Years
                            28 days, 21 hours ago

                            Vardy for me, I know Bournemouth look poor but I cant see much from that Spurs side.

                            Think Vardy is top goalscorer over next 3 GW

                          3. FF Dirtbag
                            • 8 Years
                            28 days, 21 hours ago

                            K+L

                          4. The Mighty Hippo
                            • 4 Years
                            28 days, 21 hours ago

                            V + B

                            1. Camzy
                              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                              • 10 Years
                              28 days, 21 hours ago

                              Damn it's close.

                              I thought it might be. Boly is quite helpful in GW35 where I would want to bench Aurier vs Arsenal and he has Everton at home but otherwise I don't think Boly plays again over Digne + Aurier.

                        5. Shark Team
                          • 3 Years
                          28 days, 21 hours ago

                          Sell Pulisic for Antonio for the next 2? Or get Foden/Son ? Thanks

                          1. Fulchester's New Centr…
                            • 3 Years
                            28 days, 21 hours ago

                            Foden

                        6. linkafu
                            28 days, 21 hours ago

                            Is reina nailed now?

                            1. Fulchester's New Centr…
                              • 3 Years
                              28 days, 21 hours ago

                              Probably give Steer a go in a couple of weeks.

                          • mrmrscott
                            • 8 Years
                            28 days, 21 hours ago

                            son > foden / mahrez ?

                            1. Fulchester's New Centr…
                              • 3 Years
                              28 days, 21 hours ago

                              Foden seems to play every other week, Mahrez a bit more random.

                            2. RamaJama
                              • 7 Years
                              28 days, 21 hours ago

                              Mahrez, more proven and gets more minutes

                          • wilson007
                              28 days, 21 hours ago

                              Pope
                              TAA Doh AWB
                              KDB Sterling(C) Pulisic Bruno
                              DCL Rash Jimmy

                              0FT

                              I'm chasing, so Sterling(C) is a 'gamble' to close the gap.

                              Thoughts? G2G?

                              Thanks guys.

                              1. ElliotJHP
                                • 8 Years
                                28 days, 21 hours ago

                                It's a good gamble too, G2G

                              2. mrmrscott
                                • 8 Years
                                28 days, 21 hours ago

                                Good gamble

                              3. wilson007
                                  28 days, 20 hours ago

                                  Thanks guys 🙂 Best of luck to you.

                              4. wildnothing
                                • 2 Years
                                28 days, 21 hours ago

                                Patricio Martinez
                                Doherty TAA Maguire Ritchie Aurier
                                Pulisic Fernandes Son Willian Saka
                                Kane Rashford Jimenez

                                2.0 itb 1 ft.

                                What do you think of Rashford and Saka to Greenwood and KDB (c) for a hit?

                                1. what's my name
                                  • 2 Years
                                  28 days, 21 hours ago

                                  two good players for two better player plus best C option yay from me mate

                              5. Raging wildcard
                                  28 days, 21 hours ago

                                  Bench which one?

                                  1) Jiminez
                                  2) DCL

                                  1. what's my name
                                    • 2 Years
                                    28 days, 21 hours ago

                                    2

                                  2. mrmrscott
                                    • 8 Years
                                    28 days, 21 hours ago

                                    2

                                • what's my name
                                  • 2 Years
                                  28 days, 21 hours ago

                                  DCL -> Ings for a hit Y or N

                                  1. Fulchester's New Centr…
                                    • 3 Years
                                    28 days, 21 hours ago

                                    No

                                  2. RamaJama
                                    • 7 Years
                                    28 days, 21 hours ago

                                    No

                                • InvertedWinger
                                  • 5 Years
                                  28 days, 21 hours ago

                                  What are DEF/Bruno/Rashford owners doing moving forward?
                                  A) Using FTs/Hits to get Triple United attack by removing DEF
                                  B) Using FTs/Hits to reshuffle and get Martial for Rashford
                                  C) Leaving this trio for the rest of the season and resigned to going without Martial

                                  1. RamaJama
                                    • 7 Years
                                    28 days, 21 hours ago

                                    A

                                    1. InvertedWinger
                                      • 5 Years
                                      28 days, 21 hours ago

                                      Cheers

                                  2. ElliotJHP
                                    • 8 Years
                                    28 days, 21 hours ago

                                    Just done A.

                                    I didn't have Bruno so was slightly more pressing for me ha