Metrics

Top 10k managers set for chip extravaganza in Gameweek 38+

Just under a third of Fantasy Premier League managers inside the top 10k are preparing to use their Free Hit chip on the final day of the season.

With 2.6% of them deploying it for Gameweek 37+, that brings the total usage of that chip at this level to 68.9% with one round left to go.

That means 31.1% are saving the Free Hit for Gameweek 38+, a sizeable number and certainly enough for significant change to take place in the top 10k on the final day of the campaign.

Meanwhile, an additional 2.2% of managers at this level will be lining up with a completely brand new squad on Sunday, considering that’s how many of them are yet to play their second Wildcard.

As well as a large number of top 10k line-ups expected to fluctuate between the final two Gameweeks of the season, there will be a noteworthy number of Triple Captains in play.

2.5% of them used the enhanced armband for Gameweek 37+, bringing the total for the season to 91.7%. Therefore, 830 managers from the top 10k are likely to be heading into the final day of the campaign with their skipper armed with a Triple Captain chip.

What all of those numbers boil down to is that 54.3% of top 10k managers have no exhausted their chip supply for the 2019/20 season.

It means that 45.7% of them will have the ability to deploy one on the final day of the season.

As already mentioned, this is a significant portion of the top 10k managers, which could lead to plenty of rank changes in the upper echelon.

Bringing things back to Gameweek 37+, it is the Manchester United attack that will determine the narrative of this season’s penultimate round of action.

Bruno Fernandes (£9.1m) has amassed the highest level of support ahead of West Ham’s visit to Old Trafford, 35.8% of the top 10k managers handing him the armband.

The Portuguese international has now broken the 100-points mark after just 12 games in a Manchester United shirt, which is probably why the top 10k see him as the more reliable option.

However, those who have backed Anthony Martial (£8.5m) can feel relatively secure going into Gameweek 37+ too. The Frenchman has delivered in every home match since the Premier League restart, averaging 16 points per game in that time. The fact that just over 30% of the top 10k made the same decision to captain him, they are somewhat protected in that respect too.

Fernandes and Martial are the only two players to boast more than 100% effective ownership at this level for Gameweek 37+, on 131.9% and 100.8% respectively.

Despite proving unfortunate to blank in his last two outings, Mohamed Salah (£12.5m) has only convinced 7.6% of the top 10k to back him for the captaincy.

However, those who felt confident enough to do so will probably enjoy how few managers handed Salah the armband. Considering how poor Chelsea’s defence has looked on the eye recently, there does appear to be an opportunity for the Egyptian’s backers to make up real ground if he delivers the big haul he has been promising in recent weeks.

Martial’s increasing popularity in the top 10k can be spotted by his showing in the Free Hit squads at this level.

The Frenchman was chosen by 95.1% of such managers, more than Fernandes (91.3%) and more than any other player in any other position.

The Free Hitters were big fans of Manchester United, with Aaron Wan-Bissaka (£5.5m) and Marcus Rashford (£8.9m) both making it into this matrix of most popular assets chosen on them.

They were clearly put off by Manchester City’s awkward FA Cup schedule though. Despite a favourable trip to Watford, Kevin De Bruyne (£10.7m) is the only Citizen to be given serious consideration by the top 10k Free Hitters this week.

Gabriel Jesus (£9.8m) has suffered a similar fate in the overall ownership at this level.

He was the third-most-popular forward in the top 10k for Gameweek 36+ but has dropped out after the latest deadline.

Replacing him in the template is Raúl Jiménez (£8.1m). The Wolves forward netted against Burnley and faces a Crystal Palace defence that has conceded 15 goals since the Premier League returned.

Outside of that switch, there has not been a tremendous amount of fluctuation in the template between the two most recent Gameweeks, perhaps suggesting that some top 10k managers are holding a free transfer ahead of the final round of the season.

In midfield, Christian Pulisic (£7.4m) has dropped from 50.5% to 32.9% ownership at this level, leapfrogged by Salah, although the Egyptian only rose from 43.12% ownership to 43.2%.

The only other relatively major change is in defence, where Serge Aurier (£5.1m) has replaced Wan-Bissaka in the top-five, the right-back perhaps suffering as managers try to realign how they are tripled-up on Manchester United assets.

Stats taken from LiveFPL.net

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2,444 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Greek Freak
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Amazon sure know how to pick their games - this week they're showing Sheffield United-Everton...

    1. Srv210
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Best of the lot

  2. Eriksen Maestro
    • 2 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Thoughts on below? -4

    Jimenez, Doherty => Jesus, Pieters

    1. Mac90
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      I like it. Jesus possible haul.

  3. davies
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Exact money to do DCL > Jesus (c)

    Going to be watching price changes like a hawk this week

    1. Garam MOSALAH
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Jesus rises

  4. FourLokoLeipzig
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Who should I bench?

    A Greenwood (Lei)
    B Saka (WAT)

    1. The Knights Template
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      B

    2. E25
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      B

    3. FourLokoLeipzig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 10 days ago

      Thanks

  5. KINGS
    • 1 Year
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Auba or Jesus for the final GW?

    1. Srv210
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      I have 3 city mids so went Auba

    2. E25
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Auba

  6. jdp219
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Which defender 5.0 or under for gw38?

  7. masyuris
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Free Hit for GW38:
    Martinez
    Garcia-Bardsley-Pieters
    Salah-KdB-Antonio-Bruno-Sterling
    Aubameyang-Rashford

    Sub: Macey-Greenwood-Brantwaithe-Thomas

    3 non owned players that worry me to explode on GW38:
    A. TAA
    B. Son
    C. David Silva
    D. Ings

    1. panda07
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      It's a good team but going without David Silva could hurt

    2. bigbudgie
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Kane

  8. panda07
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Any opinions on this FH team?

    Pope
    TAA Robbo Pieters
    (S)alah Dilva Mahrez Bruno
    Auba Jesus Greenwood

    Button Saka Williams Tanganga

  9. Phil's Stamps
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Someone mentioned earlier that Son will be playing through the middle. I was wondering where that came from, did I miss something?

    1. Dthinger
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Wouldn’t surprise me if Kane plays holding mid, as deep as he’s been playing under Mou!

  10. bigdip
    • 8 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    DDG (Martin)
    Bardsley VVD Saiss (Kiko, Lascelles)
    Mane KDB (TC) WILLIAN Bruno
    Jesus Greenwood KANE

    Saiss & Willian -> Pieters & Dilva (-4 hit)

  11. bigdip
    • 8 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    TC choices for GW 38:
    A) KDB
    B) Jesus
    C) Dilva
    D) Mane
    E) Kane

    1. panda07
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      If defending a lead KDB, if chasing Mane

    2. E25
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Let's see how Kane does this week. I think he could be a good option for 38.

      Otherwise C/D

  12. pakornk
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Vardy and Jimenez -> Auba and Ings for -4 in final gw?

    1. Mac90
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      I'd do it

  13. Francescoli
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    First draft Free Hit team. Thoughts?

    Pope
    VVD Pieters O’Connell
    Mane Bruno Sterling KDB
    Jesus Aubameyang Greenwood

    1. Francescoli
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Or downgrading Sterling to Martial would give me the following defence:

      TAA Doherty Pieters

    2. Srv210
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Sterling if plays can be good, don't downgrade him ...team looks fine

  14. pakornk
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Auba will get another rest against Watford?

    1. Atlan Arjan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 11 days ago

      FA Cup final is on 1st aug.

    2. Dthinger
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Auba has his rest

  15. IRBOX ⚽
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Bournemouth will get points against Saints and Everton. Think Howe will keep them up and Watford to join Villa and Norwich in the Championship next season

    1. tokara
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Who to get from Bournemouth

    2. Amey
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Rico is my 4/5 th Defender on FH atm. Agree they will fight !
      I'd love if Villa stay up though ...

  16. IRBOX ⚽
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Anyone else having issue with mobile version of the site? Zoom parameters out of whack.

    1. The Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      I had that until I worked out you clock on the phone looking icon bottom left of page to toggle to mobile version.

      1. The Units
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        *click

  17. Atlan Arjan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    2 months, 11 days ago

    RMT, 1st draft gw38 FH;

    Martinez
    Tierney, Gomez, Pieters
    Salah, Martial, KdB, Fernandes, Antonio
    Auba, Kane

    Bench; Steke(gk), Greenwood, Lemptey, Simpson

    Thanks.

    1. Atlan Arjan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Currently leading on my ML. Rival will play TC & might tripple up on City players.

  18. pakornk
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Who scores more final gw?

    a. KDB, Vardy and Ings

    B. Salah, Vardy and Wood

    c. KDB, Auba and Ings

    1. Chandler Bing
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      C for me

    2. E25
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      C. Would probably prefer mo over KDB and focus on the cheaper starting city players

      1. Dthinger
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        And who are they?

        1. Mac90
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          C

        2. LegendMoon
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          Silva defo starts last game for club

        3. St Pauli Walnuts
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          Dilva and Jesus.

  19. pakornk
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Salah or KDB final gw?

    1. sminkypinky
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Hopefully both but Mo if chasing, KDB if leading.

      1. E25
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        This. I'm tempted to go without KDB if there's a leak pregame to get cheaper options.

  20. Gobigorgohome
    • 9 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Imagine Morgan vs Martial

    1. Gobigorgohome
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      who is 37 years old

    2. E25
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Surely a tight / cagey game?!

    3. Holmes
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Evans and Bennett to the rescue 😎

    4. sminkypinky
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Morgan 3baps last time out. The old war horse has a point to prove. Still, you're right. When you don't have the speed anymore, you're behind in every occasion. Tough for him.

    5. Dthinger
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Wes Morgan is a brilliant defender. He’s gonna own Martial.

    6. LegendMoon
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Won't matter vardy always scores against top sides

      1. Holmes
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Unfortunately that's not true this year

  21. greenybne
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Thoughts on this FH team? Shocking TV!

    Martinez
    Cresswell, Bardsley, Pieters
    Bruno, Sterling, KDB, Salah, Dilva (c)
    Auba, DCL

    Martin, Egan, Greenwood, Thomas

    1. E25
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      DCL on a FH? Surely not.
      Even if that was your team you'd surely start GW ahead of him.

      1. greenybne
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        I know! But can’t see any other strikers under 7 and Bournemouth at home surely gives something?

        1. sminkypinky
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          Wood?

        2. E25
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          Yep wood a good pick. Giroud, play greenwood.. Damn, I would rather Solanke!

          Just play greenwood and upgrade your defence tbh

          1. greenybne
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 11 days ago

            Thanks legends, will take a look at Wood

  22. masyuris
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    History Stats vs Opponent GW38

    Aubameyang: 4 Matches (4 Goals/1 Assist) = 125% (% Goal Involvement/Matches)
    Lacazette: 2 Matches (1 Assist) = 50%
    Wood: 12 Matches (7 Goals) = 58%
    Salah: 5 Matches (4 Goals/2 Assists) = 120%
    Mane: 7 Matches (3 Goals) = 43%
    TAA: 4 Matches (3 Assists) = 75%
    Van Dijk: 6 Matches (1 Goal) = 17%
    Robertson: 7 Matches (1 Assist) = 14%
    Martial: 5 Matches (1 Goal) = 20%
    Rashford: 6 Matches (4 Goals) = 67%
    Kane: 12 Matches (3 Goals/3 Assists) = 50%
    Son: 6 Matches (5 Goals) = 83%
    Antonio: 2 Matches (1 Goal/ 1 Assist) = 100%
    Ings: 1 Match (0 Goal) = 0%
    Vardy: 10 Matches (5 Goals/ 4 Assists) = 90%
    Ayoze: 6 Matches (1 Assist) = 17%
    KdB: 1 Match (1 Goal/ 1 Assist) = 200%
    David Silva: 7 Matches (1 Goal / 3 Assists) = 57%
    Mahrez: 1 Match (0 Goal) = 0%
    Sterling: 5 Matches (3 Goals / 4 Assists) = 140%
    Jesus: 1 Match (1 Assist) = 100%
    Richarlison: 4 Matches (1 Goal / 1 Assist) = 50%
    DCL: 3 Matches (2 Goals) = 67%
    Digne: 2 Matches (1 Assist) = 50%
    Jimenez: 3 Matches (2 Goals) = 67%
    Doherty: 3 Matches (1 Assist) = 33%
    Pieters: 3 Matches (1 Assist) = 33%
    Tarkowski: 10 Matches (1 Goal) = 10%
    Bardsley: 3 Matches (0 Goal/Assist) = 0%
    Willian: 3 Matches (2 Assists) = 67%

    Notable Players (% Goal Involvement > 60%)
    Aubameyang, Vardy, Jesus, Rashford, DCL, Jimenez
    Salah, Son, Antonio, KdB, Sterling, Willian
    TAA

    1. NATSTER
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      wait & see return from Fernandes in his first GW38 match

      1. masyuris
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        No history stat for Fernandes, because he has never met Leicester. But, yes, he will get return, as Leicester has conceded the most penalties for season 2019/20.

    2. Holmes
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Aubameyang, Jesus frontline will do the job.

      1. masyuris
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Vardy record vs MU (5 goals 4 assists in 10 matches) can't be ignored

      2. Dthinger
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        I don’t think Jesus will start that one. He and sterling both played 90 minutes in the cup. I don’t think they’ll both start the next two and one of them has to play through the middle. I think Jesus starts against Watford and Sterling against Norwich.

        1. NATSTER
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          Hope we get the early team news to help on this.

        2. Holmes
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          I expect him to get his rest Vs Watford and then start vs Norwich.

          1. Oggle22
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 11 days ago

            Wishful thinking because you don't own him and bringing him in for final game week?

            1. Holmes
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 11 days ago

              I don't do wishful thinking. It's not like he is my favourite player or something 😆

  23. sminkypinky
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Good morning. 6.41 am here but too excited to sleep. I'll tell you why.

    Planned a surprise for the mrs. In laws will pick up the kids in the morning for a sleep over. Full breakfast on the home terrace. It's supposedly one of the hottest days of the summer. Then I'll pick up a rental jet ski for us and a friend couple. Grab a bottle of champagne in the cooler uncder the seat with some homemade tapas I made yesterday. Drive around for a while in the archipelago. We're heading to a light house, where you can bath in the sauna, swim and they have a very good restaurant with live music and local drinks and food from the grill, fresh fish just caught is supposed to be really good and they make it in front of you as you sip away with drinks. Sounds cool imo. Then back home, more friends coming, dj, barbecue, drinks, garden lights and chilling out for the evening. Maybe a late night swim from our home pier after the friends leave.
    Wife knows nothing. No birthdays for anyone, just a cool summer day. Hoping she likes it.
    No footy at all for me today then... that's not true, though. I'll probably sneak a peek of results later on but today is more about marriage. 😉
    Good luck today all! I'll be around again tomorrow, probably a bit hung over.

    1. NATSTER
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Have a very good day !!!

      1. sminkypinky
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Cheers mate! You too.

  24. Lucky Z
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Ederson
    TAA | Digne | Bardsley
    Martial | B.Fernandes | KDB | Willian | Pulisic
    Vardy | Ings

    McCarthy | Greenwood | Doherty | Justin

    2FTs, 1.7ITB

    Preliminary thoughts, which one?

    Actually think all my current starters from CHE, MUN and LEI worth keeping as they are involved in UCL battle, but surely want to have D.Silva and also benefit from 2 FTs.

    A. Willian + Vardy => D.Silva + Auba
    B. Martial + Vardy => D.Silva + Auba
    C. KDB + Ings => D.Silva + Auba

    1. Holmes
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      A is safe

  25. HUATSHOOTER
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Do you think dsilva or ster will play afainst watford still?

    1. Holmes
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Silva probably won't. Sterling is 50-50.

    2. Oggle22
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      I reckon full strength to find the 'rhythm' for the champs league

      1. pingissimus
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Doubt it.

        CL means Rodri and Gündogan which doesn’t stack up against teams like Norwich.

        Very curious that Pep played Dilva and KdB against Arsenal - atypical set up in a crunch match.

  26. lilmessipran
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Who scores more in the current gw -

    A Greenwood + Mane + Son
    B Rash + Willian + Vardy

  27. Oggle22
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Chances of Lundstarm starting?

  28. Ahmed Adam
    • 2 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Best Replacement of Soyuncu?

    1. Holmes
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      One of the Burnley boys

  29. Ahmed Adam
    • 2 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    What are the best Budget Option difenders?

    1. jtreble
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Burnley D is one.

    2. LegendMoon
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Burnley, bednarek for saints, Garcia for city, Mina for everton

  30. b91jh
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Lundstram have gone straight in my FH38. High risk, high reward, and a sharp differential (he needs to start tho).