Pro Pundits - Holly

The player and team stats that could shape your Free Hit squad for Gameweek 38+

Holly from Fantasy Football Community looks at some of the key numbers from our Members Area over the last four Gameweeks.


The final Gameweek of the season is here and I’m taking a look at the underlying statistics from the last four Gameweeks, in a bid to sort out those transfer and Free Hit dilemmas going into Gameweek 38.

Note that some players will have seen more minutes than others over this period.


Holly, the founder of FPL Community, has two top 10k finishes in five FPL seasons, is a regular guest on the FPL Show and recent addition to the Scoutcast line-up.

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1,681 Comments Post a Comment
  1. WhinyKlopp
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    18 points back in my ML. No chips left for either of us.

    Me (usually play 3-4-3):
    Pope/Martin/Robbo/Doh/Tark/Lund/Klinman
    KDB/Salah/Martial/Bruno/Guendouzi
    Kane/Jimenez/Greenwood

    Him (has been playing 4-5-1):
    Pope/Martinez/TAA/Doh/Pieters/AWB/Lamptey
    KDB/Salah/Martial/Bruno/Willian
    Jimenez/Mousset/Connolly

    Any suggestions (on 1 FT with .6 in bank)?

    Thinking of getting Dilva in for one of the United midfield assets or taking a -4 to swap KDB & Bruno for Sterling & Dilva for some differential vs 1st place. Son is also in the back of my mind. Palace have been terrible since the restart, ready for holiday.

    Thanks in advance for any thoughts!

    1. Scots Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      Think getting Sterling and captaining is prob your best bet. Good luck

    2. ritzyd
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      Yeah, sterling captain sounds like a plan

  2. Obi Wan Elokobi
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    Are we expecting team news before deadline on Sunday?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      Should get City team news

      1. Weasel Boy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        1 year, 1 month ago

        Really, why is that?

    2. FOO FIGHTER
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      We can only hope.

  3. Miguel Sanchez
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    Need a defender with a high point ceiling this GW who is 5.9 or under and not Aurier?

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      Dunk mate

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        1 year, 1 month ago

        Interesting - want to bet against the Burnley boys so who better than the CB directly opposite them

        1. FOO FIGHTER
          • 2 Years
          1 year, 1 month ago

          I have him. Hoping for attacking returns and more than capable 😉

    2. Christina.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      Digne
      Mendy

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        1 year, 1 month ago

        This is my current shortlist

    3. JabariParkersEyelid
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 1 month ago

      Obvious answer is Digne.

    4. ZTF
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      Probably worth keeping an Neco Williams if team news permits

    5. Make Arrows Green Again
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      Digne for sure

      Otherwise Tierney

    6. La Roja
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      Tierney

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        1 year, 1 month ago

        Thought about Tierney but his attacking stats are quite poor, but he passes the eye test.

        1. Make Arrows Green Again
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          1 year, 1 month ago

          You won't get many better fixtures. Super differential - depends if you want a hail Mary pick or not!

          1. Miguel Sanchez
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            1 year, 1 month ago

            Prefer him over Digne?

    7. CrouchDown
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      Mendy definitely

    8. Major League Shocker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 1 month ago

      Jonny

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        1 year, 1 month ago

        Gonna be losing Doherty so feels a bit sideways

  4. Mikey2001
    • 1 Year
    1 year, 1 month ago

    Team is
    Pope
    Tar,Aurier , doc(Holgate , Saïss )
    Sterling, Bruno,kdb,puli,martial
    Ings,Jesus (Greenwood)

    I have 1 FT , no chips ,OR5
    I want to make a transfer that is left field that most likely won’t be made by the top 4 .
    Might take one hit .
    Was thinking of bringing in Pepe , lo CELSO or MOURA as a differential
    Any help or ideas greatly appreciated

  5. ZTF
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    Ederson (3.9)
    TAA Doherty Saiss (C.Taylor*, Ngakia*)
    Martial Bruno Salah Sterling Pulisic
    Greenwood Ings (Connolly)

    1 FT / 1.2m

    What move(s) would you make chasing someone with a FH & 18 pt lead?

    1. toerag
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      make a move to the bar and get em in, youve not quite made it

      1. ZTF
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 1 month ago

        Haha probably not, but was 70 points behind on Monday so not giving up now!

        1. toerag
          • 11 Years
          1 year, 1 month ago

          well done

    2. linkafu
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      saiss out

  6. toerag
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    FH mids

    these right?? good enough??

    Sterling Salah Martial Pulisic Dilva

    1. Zladan
      • 4 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      Antonio over Pulisic

    2. ZTF
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      I have pulisic, wouldn’t want him on a fh

    3. toerag
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      hmmmm

    4. ritzyd
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      I actually like the pulisic pick

    5. DannyDrinkVodka
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      I like Mahrez over Pulisic

  7. Mini Mahouse
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    Why are so many skipping TAA on free hit? If he starts he is very likely to haul - Any reason to believe he won't start?

    1. Jon Walter's Hatty
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      Depends who gets most damaged from the partying...

    2. toerag
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      keeping

    3. Pep's Money Laundry
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      People are taking a gamble with the money they'd save but I'd be very worried if I left him as my rival has him

    4. Major League Shocker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 1 month ago

      People have this idea that there are few CS in the last week and therefore it's not worth spending on "defenders". Of course, not all defenders are reliant on CS for points.

    5. Make Arrows Green Again
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      Psychology. If people have FH they want to make as many transfers as possible. He has a very high ceiling against that Newcastle defence.

  8. EL tridente
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    Who to captain?
    A) Kane
    B) Salah
    C) David Silva

    1. linkafu
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      A

    2. ritzyd
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      B

  9. Zladan
    • 4 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    Ings or Antonio as the 7th starting attacker?

    1. Strchld
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      Ings

  10. Jon Walter's Hatty
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    Going Vardy and Ings up top...can't see the boot going to anyone else unless Watford totally fold and Raz or Mo surely won't get 4.

    1. El Presidente
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 1 month ago

      Everyone´s dumping Vardy but I have a feeling he´s not done just yet.

      1. Jon Walter's Hatty
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 1 month ago

        Yep nice diff if you ask me, United look ropey at the back.

  11. CrouchDown
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    What would you guys recommend doing with this crap team?

    Button

    TAA Saiss Stevens

    KDB Martial Bruno Son Saka

    Vardy Jimi

    Subs: Pope, Greenwood Kabasele Lascelles

    1. ritzyd
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      FH or Wildcard

  12. BEARZINHO
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    Need your help to win my ML!

    ML is 2 way tie going into final GW. My rival has Sterling, KDB, Dsilva, kane, Jimmy, greenwood. (and 2ft).

    I have Sterling, Foden, KDB, ings, wood, martial and rashford. 0 ft.

    Do i take a -8 to get Dsilva / Kane to cover his risk and hope my differentials outscore him by 11 or stick with what I have and hope my assets outscore kane / dsilva?

    Thank you!

  13. Champions League Varane
    • 2 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    Terrified of not owning KDB this week should I get him in?

    1. Jon Walter's Hatty
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      I am a bit but if you have 3 other City attackers they are likely to be involved in the goals he is.

  14. riot
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    fellow DCL owners, have no fear. Sunday is when our faith will be rewarded

    1. Jon Walter's Hatty
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      ...with another 2 pointer.

    2. toerag
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      😆

    3. La Roja
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      I don’t think he starts

      Ancelotti hinted Kean will instead

  15. The Mantis
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    On a FH with £2.3 still ITB! Feels like a waste, any improvements to the below?

    Pope (Button)
    TAA / Aurier / Tark / Pieters (Williams)
    KDB / Dilva / Sterling / Salah (4.1)
    Kane / Greenwood (Nketiah)

    TIA

    1. Obi Wan Elokobi
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      Tark to a 3.9 gives you 3.9 itb upgrade Guen to Antonio or Puli or Nketiah to Ings

  16. L S P
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    Quiz Time:

    1. If you're on a FH, how many of your original 15 are you planning to hold?

    2. If you're not on a FH, how many hits are you planning to take?

    3. Who's the "big hitter" you plan to go without?

    4. Who is your "head" and "heart" captain?

    1. L S P
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      Mine:

      1. Looking like 6
      2. n/a
      3. KDB, Bruno
      4. Head: Sterling / Heart: Dilva

    2. Jafooli
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      1. Six
      -
      3. Fernandes, DSilva, Mane, Aubameyang, Rashford & Liverpool Def
      4. Head - KdB, Heart - Sterlo, going with Heart

      1. L S P
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        1 year, 1 month ago

        Really undecided on Rashford v Auba myself...

        You playing Martial or Greenwood or going without?

        1. Jafooli
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          1 year, 1 month ago

          Martial & Greenwood (need to as my SV is rubbish):

          Salah - KdB - Sterling - Martial
          Kane - Ings - Greenwood

          Pretty happy with that front seven - Saka on the bench

          1. L S P
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            1 year, 1 month ago

            looks good - 352 v 343 is a big decision of mine as well.

    3. Make Arrows Green Again
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      2: -4 to get Sterling, Silva, Antonio (for Willian, KdB, Bruno)
      3: KbD, Bruno (Kane/Auba etc etc)
      4: same as you

  17. Jafooli
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    Sterlo is so gonna get a 2pt’er......the hype never fails to dent the hope

    1. La Roja
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      Its blank written all over isn’t it

    2. Jon Walter's Hatty
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      With my captain record that is highly likely. At least Bruno will be spared from my curse a 3rd time.

      1. La Roja
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        1 year, 1 month ago

        Should keep and cap him then

  18. Eastman
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    Any thoughts on this fh team. Thanks

    Martinez
    TAA Mendy Pieters
    Sterling (c) Dilva Antonio Martial
    Kane Auba Ings

    Martin Saka Bardsley Woods

  19. robith
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    So I have closed a 120 point gap to just 3 (though he has TC to play)
    So I'm keen to avoid a hit at all costs - but the only way I can get Sterling in hitless is to replace KDB - not entirely sure it's worth it? (oppo) doesn't have Sterling and could only bring him in for Salah without a hit)

    Martinez (Button)
    Aurier/TAA/Pieters(Doherty/Holgate)
    Salah/KDB/Martial/Foden(Saka)
    Greenwood/Rashford/Jesus

    £1.1m ITB, 2 FTs

    Was thinking I've made my bed so to go Doherty to Bardsley (he has double Burnley) and then Foden to Mahrez.

    Am I mad, or should I squeeze Sterling in any way possible?

  20. linkafu
    • 2 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    OR 76k, first in my ML with my rival 52 points behind.
    BB for GW38

    What to do?:

    A) Take -4 and go fora better OR rank assuring my place in ML

    B) Take -12 and just enjoy the party

  21. MosF94
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    Martinez (Button)
    TAA, Aurier, Dunk (Pieters, Williams)
    Sterling (c), Salah, KDB, Mahrez, Grealish
    Kane (v), DCL, (Connolly)

    Punting on starting without Burnley defence and praying Dunk can get the goal to give me a big rank-boost...

  22. Christina.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    seems there are only a "pool" of say 15 or so players all FH teams are picked from. Those without a fh doing nothing will have lots of differentials.

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      Poor them

  23. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    RMT has these mids in the following order, agree?

    Kev
    Mahrez
    Antonio
    Bruno
    Pulisic
    Martial

    1. Christina.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      good, I will have 2 max of those.

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        1 year, 1 month ago

        Which 2? 🙂

        1. Christina.
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          1 year, 1 month ago

          Antonio and Mahrez if he starts

    2. Make Arrows Green Again
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      Swap Bruno and Martial

  24. ZTF
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    From the team early on this page btw.. who would you captain? Really need a differential

    A) Ings
    B) Martial
    C) Bruno
    D) Trent (team news permitting)
    E) Salah (likewise)

    1. linkafu
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      Martial

  25. fakelund
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    Debating one of these...
    a) Rashford & Foden > Wood & Mahrez (-4)
    b) AWB > Robbo, and bench Foden or Doherty

    1. linkafu
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      B and bench foden

  26. Hryszko
    • 4 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    G2G?

    Pope
    Trent - Aurier - Egan
    Sterling (c) - Dilva - KDB - Salah
    Greenwood - Rashford - Ings

    Subs: Henderson, Fernandez, Hayden & Holgate

    1. OneDennisBergkamp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      FH? similar to mine below

      1. Hryszko
        • 4 Years
        1 year, 1 month ago

        Not on a FH mate no. Just my team haha!

        1. OneDennisBergkamp
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          1 year, 1 month ago

          looks good then!

    2. linkafu
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      GTG

  27. OneDennisBergkamp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    Am I good or should I downgrade TAA > anyone and do Greenwood > Ings?

    Pope
    Alexander-Arnold / Pieters / Aurier
    De Bruyne / Fernandes / Salah / Sterling / David Silva
    Greenwood / Kane

    1. toerag
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      its fine

  28. Gudjohnsen
    • 4 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    A. Foden, Fernandes to Dilva, Antonio
    B. Fernandes, Jesus to Sterling, Wood

  29. CrouchDown
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    So I'm chasing an 18 point lead and my rival is playing TC on Dilva. He also owns TAA and KDB.

    In this case only, would it still be crazy to do the following for a -8?

    TAA > Mendy
    KDB > Sterling (C)
    Vardy > Auba

    1. toerag
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      yes

  30. Notorious
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 1 month ago

    Hi all, I am 30 pts behind the ML leader, assuming he captains Sterling to cover my captain, here are our differentials:

    Me (the good) on FH

    Aurier / Long
    Salah
    Kane / Ings

    My rival (the bad and ugly) with 1 FT

    Doherty / Boly
    Bruno
    Vardy / Jimenez

    Do you think it is possible to make up 30 pts or should I look into other differentials? Will really appreciate your input.

    1. Gudjohnsen
      • 4 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      You need a different captain than him. If you know somehow that he Captains Sterling you need to captain say Kane or Salah IMO.

    2. toerag
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 1 month ago

      more points with you there but not 30 id guess

      1. Notorious
        • 8 Years
        1 year, 1 month ago

        thanks, it's just so frustrating having him covered all players that I think will do well - Silva, Mahrez, Martial, double Burnley def and especially Sterling

    3. Major League Shocker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 1 month ago

      Think you need to captain Salah or Kane and hope Sterling fails.

      1. Notorious
        • 8 Years
        1 year, 1 month ago

        that would be so difficult to watch but I guess there is no other option, thanks.