Spot the Differential

Cheaper Lacazette can match Aubameyang on final day of 2019/20 season

Gameweek 38+ offers FPL managers a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

Since the restart, we’ve tipped the likes of Aymeric Laporte (£6.3m), Kieran Tierney (£5.3m), Michail Antonio (£7.1m), David Silva (£7.5m), Junior Stanislas (£5.8m), Jay Rodriguez (£5.7m) and Gabriel Jesus (£9.9m), all of whom we like this week, but this time, our final three selections for the 2019/20 campaign are very much in the punt category.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less. 

Alexandre Lacazette

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £9.2m
  • GW38+ fixture: WAT

Alexandre Lacazette (£9.2m) has had to bide his time at Arsenal this season, but in recent weeks has finally started to find some form.

It’s now five attacking returns for the Frenchman since the restart, all of which have arrived following Mikel Arteta’s decision to switch to a 3-4-3 formation in Gameweek 31+.

The new approach has provided more balance, and despite Lacazette often dropping deep to link play, he’s still managed to accumulate four big chances during that run, which is the same amount as team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£10.9m), despite fewer minutes.

Since the change to a back-three, only five teams have scored more goals than Arsenal, which is an ominous sign for their opponents on Sunday, Watford. To add to their worries, the manager-less Hornets have given up more big chances than any other side since the restart, conceding seven goals in their last two games, and realistically need to avoid defeat to harbour any hopes of securing Premier League safety.

Despite Arsenal being out of the running for a Europa League spot via their league position, Arteta will still be demanding a response having lost 1-0 to Aston Villa on Tuesday night, and whilst Aubameyang remains the popular pick, if funds are needed elsewhere, Lacazette is worth a look.

Gylfi Sigurdsson

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £7.3m
  • GW38+ fixture: BOU

While Gylfi Sigurdsson (£7.3m) has underwhelmed for much of the season, a change in system by Everton boss Carlo Ancelotti in Gameweek 37+ may give the Icelandic international an opportunity to finish strongly. 

Since the Italian’s appointment in December, when selected, Sigurdsson has had to operate in a 4-4-2, either as part of a central midfield duo, or out on the left flank, neither of which he has looked particularly comfortable in.

However, on Monday night at Bramall Lane, Ancelotti switched things up after a dismal run of results, playing both André Gomes (£5.2m) and Tom Davies (£5.3m) behind Sigurdsson, who operated as a number 10, in a 4-2-3-1.

Suddenly, Everton’s captain on the night was finding himself in good positions between the lines, and went on to create three chances, and lay on an assist for Richarlison’s (£8.2m) winner. 

He actually could have scored himself too, had Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£6.1m) been more aware of his team-mate’s position.

Everton will finish the season in 11th or 12th spot, and entertain second bottom Bournemouth on Sunday, who need three points and other results to go their way to stand any chance of staying up.

There is no doubt Sigurdsson looks more comfortable in his natural position behind the forward, and with a share of set-pieces and penalties, could be an intriguing differential for the final round.

Trézéguet

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW38+ fixture: whu

Winger Trézéguet (£5.2m) has taken time to settle in the Premier League, but is now well on his way to becoming a Villa Park hero, having scored three vital goals in as many games.

The Egyptian has often rotated with Anwar El Ghazi (£5.2m) this season, with neither player offering any kind of consistency, but since the restart, Trézéguet ranks first amongst teammates for big chances with five, and against Arsenal on Tuesday night, was the most advanced player in a claret and blue shirt. Finally, he’s starting to deliver on that early season promise he showed against the Gunners back in September. 

Now out of the relegation zone for the first time in five months, Villa’s destiny is in their own hands when they face West Ham United at the London Stadium on Sunday, and you get the feeling they’ll need to score, having failed to keep a Premier League clean sheet on the road all season. 

To do that, they may well have to rely on wide players Trézéguet and Jack Grealish (£5.9m), with both of their forward options, Mbwana Samatta (£5.1m) and Keinan Davis (£4.2m), struggling in front of goal.

The positive for Villa is they have momentum, having picked up seven points from the past nine available, and despite inconsistencies throughout the season, Trézéguet is now stepping up, and could be a nice differential for those on the lookout for a budget midfielder.

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4,295 Comments Post a Comment
  1. dshv
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 27 days ago

    G2g now ??

    Martinez
    Pieters tarkowski aurier
    Salah kdb sterling dilva antonio
    Kane ings ?

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      Looks good

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 27 days ago

      nice team

    3. Dash4
      2 months, 27 days ago

      Yes, like it

  2. Warby84
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 27 days ago

    Thoughts on non-FH team

    Pope
    Trent Doherty Wan-Bissaka
    Salah Sterling(C) Pulisic D.Silva
    Ings Aubameyang Greenwood

    Armstrong Egan Basham

    Anything for a -8 or Gtg??

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      Nothing worth a hit, GTG.

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 27 days ago

      GTG

    3. Dash4
      2 months, 27 days ago

      Personally I don’t like Pulisic or Wan Biss but if it’s not FH then go with it. Might consider Egan in for Wan Biss.

  3. Tonyawesome69
    • 1 Year
    2 months, 27 days ago

    I'm chasing 25 points in cash ML and need some help on the transfer suggestion below. Midfield is a stalemate!

    a. Foden to Dilva
    b. Foden and Jimenez to Trezeguet and Jesus (-4)
    c. Saiss and Jimenez to Branthwaite and Auba (-4)
    d. Foden and KDB to D Silva and Son (-4)
    e. KDB and Jimenez to Son and Jesus (-4)

    My team
    1ft 2.5itb and no chips
    Pope Martinez
    TAA Doherty Saiss Aurier Taylor
    Martial KDB Bruno Sterling Foden
    Jimenez Ings Wood

    ML Leader - 1ft 0.7itb and no chips
    Hendo Martinez
    TAA Boly Egan Targett Tarkowski
    Martial KDB Bruno Sterling Hayden
    Jimenez Kane Greenwood

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      Don't take a hit.

      1. Tonyawesome69
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 27 days ago

        Foden to Dilva or Jimenez to Laca?

  4. ViperStripes
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 months, 27 days ago

    Where is the Spot the Differential Striker this week? 2 midfielders!

    1. Rover
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      Lacazette?

    2. Dash4
      2 months, 27 days ago

      Wood/Rodriguez

    3. avfc82
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      Lacazette is up there mate.

  5. unitednations
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 months, 27 days ago

    which combo would you prefer on a FH

    A: Martinez + Bardsley + Mahrez + Martial
    B: Pope + Mendy + Martial + Antonio
    C: Pope + Tierney + Mahrez + Antonio

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      A with Dilva over Mahrez

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 27 days ago

      A

    3. unitednations
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      Martial more essential than Antonio ?

  6. wulfranian
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 27 days ago

    I am want to get Laca or Firmino but i think that both could not start.
    Is Trezequet the best pick from Villa or the captain will save them in the final day?

    1. wulfranian
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      I want*

    2. Dash4
      2 months, 27 days ago

      Peculiar choices, how much have you got and what position are you trying to fill?

  7. ViperStripes
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 months, 27 days ago

    With Latiser recommending Jesus, that’s thrown my plans into doubt.

    Currently have KDB, Dilva and Jesus. Was going to do 2 transfers get rid of Jesus, bring in Sterling for Willian and then a differential striker 8.4 max.

    So do I stick with Jesus and perhaps switch KDB to Sterling?

    1. Wolves Ay We
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      Every expert can be wrong, even lateriser. Jesus may not actually not play.

      1. Dash4
        2 months, 27 days ago

        Is that a secret double negative?

  8. milanista10
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 months, 27 days ago

    Bruno & Pulisic to Dilva & Mahrez for -4

    Yes or No?

    1. Vazza
      2 months, 27 days ago

      Just make one of those moves for free

    2. Dash4
      2 months, 27 days ago

      Can you just do Pulisic to Dilva

  9. el polako
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 27 days ago

    Siggy and Trezeguet... ?!

    Just wanted to big up Laterisers latest article if you haven't read it go on and do it.

    Lateriser +1

    1. ViperStripes
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      aagreed, very good advice.

    2. avfc82
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      Not a fan of the Sigurdsson and Trezeguet picks then mate?! Both very, very punty, but the latter has 29 points over the last 3 GW’s, and we’re fighting for our lives.

  10. masyuris
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 months, 27 days ago

    FH Team
    Martinez
    Bardsley - Pieters - Brathwaite
    KdB - Sterling - DaSilva - Salah - Antonio
    Kane - Aubameyang
    Sub: Button - Greenwood - KWP - Williams

    Feeling insecure with cheap defenders
    Any thoughts?

    1. TheDragon
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      I’d downgrade Auba to Ings and upgrade the defence / keeper

      Feel like the gain from improving 2 to 3 defenders is far greater then what you lose from Auba ti Ings

  11. Vazza
    2 months, 27 days ago

    Which one -

    A. Aurier
    B. VVD

    Money no issue and need a replacement for Doherty

    1. AfriKan OddLegZ
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      Aurier

  12. Rover
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 27 days ago

    Is a United mid (Bruno or Martial) to a City mid (Mahrez or D.Silva) worth a hit?

    1. Vazza
      2 months, 27 days ago

      No IMO.

    2. Karan14
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      It's tough to justify that.

      If City mid scores 8 points and United mid blanks that's a 2 point gain.

      1. Vazza
        2 months, 27 days ago

        Can you please apply your intelligence on my query above

  13. Sid07
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 27 days ago

    1) rashford + kdb to Ings + Sterling (-4)
    2) vardy + kdb to Ings + Sterling (-4)
    3) salah to Sterling

    Planning to tc Sterling

  14. el polako
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 27 days ago

    22 points gap to catch up against someone who have hos FH to play.
    May go bonkers and captain Theo Walcott.

    1. TheDragon
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      Just go Richarlison if you want to go wild

      1. el polako
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 27 days ago

        Need to pull something out of a hat.
        Its this time of the season when all misjudged captaincy picks and bad luck really coming back to me making me constantly think "what if...?".

    2. Vazza
      2 months, 27 days ago

      You can catch up on 22 points so need to make wild moves

      1. el polako
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 27 days ago

        He's no mug and have his FH to play, will need a miracle to catch up.

    3. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      Captain Digne

      1. el polako
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 27 days ago

        Cant captain defender unless its TAA 😉

    4. Amey
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      Captain salah

      1. el polako
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 27 days ago

        I watched the Chelsea game, put me off Salah.

        1. Amey
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 27 days ago

          Hope that he does same & stil © SALAH
          I think it's your best chance. On FH he will surely © Raz

          1. el polako
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 27 days ago

            Will give it some consideration, thanks pal.

  15. AdamJ91
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 27 days ago

    On a FH;

    A) Martinez, Pieters & KDB
    or
    B) Pope, Aurier & Mahrez

    1. what's my name
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      close but B

  16. Don Van Vliet
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 27 days ago

    Sad news about Peter Green.

    I think it was BB King who once said that only Peter Green's tone could bring a tear to his eye.

    1. wulfranian
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      RIP

  17. Rinseboy
    • 8 Years
    2 months, 27 days ago

    Dilva odds at Bet 365 have been massively smashed from yday.

    He is now shorter odds to score 2 or a hatrick than Kane Auba and Salah!

    Any tempted to captain him?

    1. Trophé Mourinho
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 27 days ago

      well they have some strong Crack, Kane will destroy Dilva

    2. Vazza
      2 months, 27 days ago

      What exactly are the odds?

    3. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      You think they know something about him being on pens?

      1. Vazza
        2 months, 27 days ago

        Haha!!

        1. Vazza
          2 months, 27 days ago

          Krul is good at saving penalties you know

  18. what's my name
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    2 months, 27 days ago

    captain:
    a. Salah
    b. Mahrez
    c. KDB

    thx

  19. Bruno Commando
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 27 days ago

    Currently at A but other options are tempting me as I am not 100% convinced about Auba..

    A) Bardsley + Antonio + Auba
    B) TAA + Son + Greenwood
    C) Bardsley + Son + Ings

    Rest of team:
    Martinez
    Aurier Pieters
    Salah Martial Dilva Sterling
    Kane

    1. BrutalLogiC
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      why the doubts over Auba?

      doubt on starting or early sub?

    2. what's my name
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      C

  20. BurnMyBread
    2 months, 27 days ago

    Does this team look ready for tomorrow? I'm in a strange position where I want to significantly improve my OR but I'm also defending my position in the mini-league.

    Martinez
    TAA - VVD - Tierney
    Silva - Antonio - Sterling (C) - Salah - Pulisic
    Jesus - Ings

    0.9 in the bank.

    I'm a bit nervous about not having United assets since my rivals have them in abundance. They don't have any FH chips left.

    1. Vazza
      2 months, 27 days ago

      Despite what the community is saying, I really think Utd are going to beat Leicester by at least 3 goals tomorrow

      1. BrutalLogiC
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 27 days ago

        not put off by how tired they looked last game?

    2. Dash4
      2 months, 27 days ago

      I’ve got Bruno but worried that he looks tired, stale and getting targeted/marked.

  21. Shark Team
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 27 days ago

    Ok I managed to have in my FH team:

    Sterling(C)
    Salah
    Mahrez
    Dilva
    Kane
    Auba
    Ings

    Lots of times in the past Gw38 means raining goals. I expect it this time too.

    1. Vazza
      2 months, 27 days ago

      You have opted for no UTD players? Interesting!

    2. Dash4
      2 months, 27 days ago

      Wow, do you have a bench of Reaney, Cherry and Madeleine?

      1. Shark Team
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 27 days ago

        Branthwaite is enough

      2. Dash4
        2 months, 27 days ago

        *Madeley

  22. AlCapwnUK
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 27 days ago

    RMFHT

    Martinez
    Digne, Bardsley, Pieters
    Sterling, Dilva, Salah, Martial
    Kane, Rashford, Wood

    Subs: saka, O'Connell, Thomas , garbage GK

    Should I try and squeeze another city player in there? Should I get some Chelsea assets in with everything to play for? Have I got too much United when they could play for a draw?

    1. what's my name
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      i d get mahrez or kdb depending on budget in place of rash

      1. AlCapwnUK
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 27 days ago

        Thanks.
        I'm certainly considering losing one of rash/martial for Mahrez

    2. Boywiththesoupdragontattoo
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      Agree Mahrez for one of the Rash/Martial would make sense. If you don’t fancy that then I have my suspicions that Sigurdsson will reduce Digne’s threat. He’s still a good pick with a good fixture, but if we get early team news from City then Mendy/Cancelo depending on who starts could be another option.

  23. Vazza
    2 months, 27 days ago

    Reposting. Please advise guys.

    Which one -

    A. Aurier
    B. VVD

    Need a replacement for Doherty and money no issue

    1. what's my name
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      both are probz csheeterz vvd plus attacking threat

    2. Dash4
      2 months, 27 days ago

      Not sure what you’ve already got but Assuming you’ve got Trent, I would go Burnley, Digne, Laporte (other Man C) Before VVD.

      1. Vazza
        2 months, 27 days ago

        I’m already maxed out Burnley and Man City.

        I’m not really interested in Everton’s defence either.

        I already have TAA.

        What do you think mate?

  24. Neo-Viper
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 27 days ago

    Auba Anto to Ings Mane

    Worth?

    1. BrutalLogiC
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      prob going to have Ings/Mane in my FH and neither Auba or Anton... so yeah for free I agree

      1. Neo-Viper
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 27 days ago

        on a Free Hit.

        Reckon Ings and Mane will outscore Auba and Anto?

        1. Vazza
          2 months, 27 days ago

          Most certainly

    2. Neo-Viper
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      Sorry.

      Its Auba Martial to Ings and Salah

  25. James2201
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 27 days ago

    Advice needed

    16 points clear in my cash league. Do I take a -4 to do

    Bruno and Jiminez out to Sterling and Jota (or any other 6million striker)

    Or just to Salah to Sterling

    Or Bruno to Dsilva or Mahrez?

    I'm so confused what would be best option

    1. Amey
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      He has raz ??
      Bruno to dilva looks good enough

      1. James2201
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 27 days ago

        I am not sure i don't think he has, I am trying to be different. Unless he brought him in this week.

        I have greenwood kane and Jiminez upfront

        Is it set for Silva to start? Has pep confirmed it?

        1. Amey
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 27 days ago

          Pep never confirm anything mate. But consensus is Dilva will start

    2. Emm7980
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      Sterling and greenwood for Bruno and jimi? If your set on sterling

  26. Sterling Malory
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 27 days ago

    How should I use my free transfer?

    McCarthy
    TAA Azpi Tarkowski
    KDB Sterling Bruno Martial Pulisic
    Ings Jiminez

    Henderson Greenwood Lamptey Saiss

    Was thinking Pulisic to Dilva, but Pulisic looks great and I think there will goals on that game.

    1. Emm7980
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      UTD mid to dilva?
      Any cash itb, jimi to Jesus?

  27. The Red Devil
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 27 days ago

    Interesting that they have Lacazette as a differential to look out for, but don't have him starting in the team news section

    1. Amey
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      LOL

    2. Qaiss
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      I would rather Pepe than Lacazette

    3. Hakim Ziyech
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 27 days ago

      Lol... Folks are trying to climb up the rank

      What really cracked me up is the “Cheaper Lacazette” term

  28. Xanthorpe
    2 months, 27 days ago

    A) VVD, Pulisic, Jesus, Ings (3-5-2)
    B) Pieters, Lacazette, Jesus, Ings (3-4-3)

    1. Amey
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      Pukes at Laca

      A

  29. BremerHB
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 27 days ago

    A, B or C?

    A) Vardy -> Jesus
    B) Fernandes -> Mahrez
    C) Fernandes & Rashford -> Sterling & Greenwood (-4)

    1. waltzingmatildas
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 27 days ago

      Hmm C looks good if happy to take a hit

  30. waltzingmatildas
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 months, 27 days ago

    Guys, how does FH team look if chasing? Would really appreciate input
    Martinez
    Robbo Dawson pieters
    Salah Mane sterling dilva
    Ings jesus greenwood