Spot the Differential

Cheaper Lacazette can match Aubameyang on final day of 2019/20 season

Gameweek 38+ offers FPL managers a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

Since the restart, we’ve tipped the likes of Aymeric Laporte (£6.3m), Kieran Tierney (£5.3m), Michail Antonio (£7.1m), David Silva (£7.5m), Junior Stanislas (£5.8m), Jay Rodriguez (£5.7m) and Gabriel Jesus (£9.9m), all of whom we like this week, but this time, our final three selections for the 2019/20 campaign are very much in the punt category.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less. 

Alexandre Lacazette

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £9.2m
  • GW38+ fixture: WAT

Alexandre Lacazette (£9.2m) has had to bide his time at Arsenal this season, but in recent weeks has finally started to find some form.

It’s now five attacking returns for the Frenchman since the restart, all of which have arrived following Mikel Arteta’s decision to switch to a 3-4-3 formation in Gameweek 31+.

The new approach has provided more balance, and despite Lacazette often dropping deep to link play, he’s still managed to accumulate four big chances during that run, which is the same amount as team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£10.9m), despite fewer minutes.

Since the change to a back-three, only five teams have scored more goals than Arsenal, which is an ominous sign for their opponents on Sunday, Watford. To add to their worries, the manager-less Hornets have given up more big chances than any other side since the restart, conceding seven goals in their last two games, and realistically need to avoid defeat to harbour any hopes of securing Premier League safety.

Despite Arsenal being out of the running for a Europa League spot via their league position, Arteta will still be demanding a response having lost 1-0 to Aston Villa on Tuesday night, and whilst Aubameyang remains the popular pick, if funds are needed elsewhere, Lacazette is worth a look.

Gylfi Sigurdsson

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £7.3m
  • GW38+ fixture: BOU

While Gylfi Sigurdsson (£7.3m) has underwhelmed for much of the season, a change in system by Everton boss Carlo Ancelotti in Gameweek 37+ may give the Icelandic international an opportunity to finish strongly. 

Since the Italian’s appointment in December, when selected, Sigurdsson has had to operate in a 4-4-2, either as part of a central midfield duo, or out on the left flank, neither of which he has looked particularly comfortable in.

However, on Monday night at Bramall Lane, Ancelotti switched things up after a dismal run of results, playing both André Gomes (£5.2m) and Tom Davies (£5.3m) behind Sigurdsson, who operated as a number 10, in a 4-2-3-1.

Suddenly, Everton’s captain on the night was finding himself in good positions between the lines, and went on to create three chances, and lay on an assist for Richarlison’s (£8.2m) winner. 

He actually could have scored himself too, had Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£6.1m) been more aware of his team-mate’s position.

Everton will finish the season in 11th or 12th spot, and entertain second bottom Bournemouth on Sunday, who need three points and other results to go their way to stand any chance of staying up.

There is no doubt Sigurdsson looks more comfortable in his natural position behind the forward, and with a share of set-pieces and penalties, could be an intriguing differential for the final round.

Trézéguet

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW38+ fixture: whu

Winger Trézéguet (£5.2m) has taken time to settle in the Premier League, but is now well on his way to becoming a Villa Park hero, having scored three vital goals in as many games.

The Egyptian has often rotated with Anwar El Ghazi (£5.2m) this season, with neither player offering any kind of consistency, but since the restart, Trézéguet ranks first amongst teammates for big chances with five, and against Arsenal on Tuesday night, was the most advanced player in a claret and blue shirt. Finally, he’s starting to deliver on that early season promise he showed against the Gunners back in September. 

Now out of the relegation zone for the first time in five months, Villa’s destiny is in their own hands when they face West Ham United at the London Stadium on Sunday, and you get the feeling they’ll need to score, having failed to keep a Premier League clean sheet on the road all season. 

To do that, they may well have to rely on wide players Trézéguet and Jack Grealish (£5.9m), with both of their forward options, Mbwana Samatta (£5.1m) and Keinan Davis (£4.2m), struggling in front of goal.

The positive for Villa is they have momentum, having picked up seven points from the past nine available, and despite inconsistencies throughout the season, Trézéguet is now stepping up, and could be a nice differential for those on the lookout for a budget midfielder.

4,295 Comments Post a Comment
  1. dshv
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Kdb or mahrez ??

    1. Klip Klopp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Anybodies guess

    2. LLoris
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      whichever plays

    3. frenchfries
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      KDB is always my pick, but i dont fancy Mahrez, mostly to gametime

    4. KaBoZ: Kids,don't Drin…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      kdb more safe, mahrez slightly more explosive imo

  2. LLoris
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Who should I bring in?
    A) Saiss to Aurier
    B) Doherty to Robo

    1. Klip Klopp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

    2. frenchfries
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

    3. Bushman
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

  3. Dele
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Is Jesus to Kane worth a hit?

    1. Klip Klopp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      No

    2. frenchfries
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      No

    3. Bushman
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      No

    4. Dele
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      That’s a no then! Thanks all

  4. Will J 256
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Which draft do you prefer. Having a few headaches!
    1: 3-4-3
    Pope
    Trent, Aurier, Pieters
    Salah, Sterling, Mahrez, D Silva
    Kane, Greenwood, Ings

    2: 3-5-2
    Pope
    Trent, Aurier, Pieters
    Sterling, Mahrez, D Silva, Martial, Pulisic,
    Kane, Ings (Greenwood benched)

    You can just put a 1 or 2 in the chat! Chasing a ML victory so quite an important decision! Hope your teams are coming along nicely

    1. jimmy.floyd
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      One

    2. TIME TO VARTY
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      1

  5. Klip Klopp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Why are people selling B.Fernandes?

    1. Sir Edo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Because we are experienced managers.. 😉

      1. Sir Edo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        ..but agree, I think it might be stupid.
        A few blanks and managers start selling.

        1. frenchfries
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          A few blanks is not why we are selling, just better options for the last gameweek.

          Also has looked very tired with all the games with no rest. Lucky to get returns in the last matches. Was not surprised at all with no return the last game. I also expect A right game with the high stakes, unlikely to be A goalfest

  6. abaalan
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Is this mad to take a -12. Not really playing for anything (solid 3rd in ML):

    1) TAA + Doherty + Soucek + Jimenez -> Bardsley + fodder + D.Silva + Kane (triple Bur def!)

    2) Doherty + Soucek -> Fodder + D. Silva -4
    (TAA, Maguire, Pieters other def)

    3) Doherty + Vardy -> Aurier + Kane -4

  7. SteJ
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Martinez
    Pieters Bardsley Aurier
    KDB, Salah, Son, Sterling, Dilva
    Kane, Ings
    Greenwood, Lamptey, Williams, Button

    Any suggestions or gtg?

    1. TIME TO VARTY
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      GTG.
      Got exactly the same team with mahrez instead of KDB. But still not 100% on it lol. Same boat as u I guess.
      Not scared of TAA or liv defense?

  8. The Overthinker
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Laporte won't probably play against Norwich as at the moment he is in Spain!!!

  9. Ci Siamo
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Who to captain?

    a) Kane

    b) Auba

    1. jimmy.floyd
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

    2. The Overthinker
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

    3. Pep's Money Laundry
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

    4. Kuzser
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

    5. FPL_Gyarados
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

    6. Bushman
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

    7. Dele
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

      1. Ci Siamo
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Wow what a landslide, didn't expect double Spurs attack would win tbh!

  10. TheDragon
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    A) Fernandes
    B) Son

    1. The Overthinker
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B

    2. Bushman
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B

    3. Dele
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B

  11. Burger
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    A Mahrez & Bardsley
    B. Ings & Walker?

    (on FH)

    1. The Overthinker
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

    2. Kuzser
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

      1. Burger
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks chaps

    3. Sune
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

    4. Dele
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

  12. Federerisgod
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Is rashford to Kane worth a -4? 18points up in my mini-league and 2nd place guy has free hit with Kane on his brain for sure...

    1. FPL_Gyarados
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      No

      1. Federerisgod
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Do you not think Kane outscores Rashford by more than 4? You could well be right. How about Foden to Mahrez for -4? Or just leave the team be?

    2. acidicleo
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Yes

  13. Kuzser
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    What would be the best move here guys?Need to catch 20 pts (ML leader's key differentials are Salah and Auba)
    1) Vardy Willian Bruno -> Rodriguez, Salah, Dilva for -4
    2) Vardy Bruno -> Kane/Auba Dilva
    3) Vardy Willian-> Connolly Sterling and play Greenwood
    4) Vardy Bruno-> Jesus Son

    McCarthy
    TAA - Doherty - Baldock
    KdB - Mahrez - Fernandes - Martial - Willian
    Jimenez - Vardy

    Subs: Greenwood Lascelles Lund. Krul

    1. Bagheri Arce
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B with Kane and captain Silva

  14. drughi
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Salah or Kane for the last gameweek if you had to choose ?

    1. TheDragon
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I’ve got Salah but I’d like both

    2. Feed tha Sheep
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Kane for me

    3. Dele
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Kane

  15. Will J 256
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Is it OK to downgrade Trent to Robbo in order to upgrade my bench just incase there are any unexpected benchings tomorrow or shall I just stick with Trent and hope all my players start?

  16. Sune
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Martinez (Button)
    Robertson, Pieters, xxxx (Williams, xxxx)
    Salah, Dilva, Sterling, xxxx, xxxx
    Kane, xxxx (Connolly)

    A) Bardsley, KdB, Pulisic, Greenwood (Branthwaite)
    B) Long, Mahrez, Antonio, Ings (Tanganga)

  17. AC Yew
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Need someone to replace C Taylor under 4.6
    Currently got Doherty Tarkowski AWB Egan

    Any suggestions

    1. how now brown cow
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Pieters or maybe garcia

      1. AC Yew
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks. I got 3 man city already. And pieters would be tripling up on Burnley which im not too keen on

        1. how now brown cow
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          Branthwaite?

          1. AC Yew
            • 5 Years
            3 years, 8 months ago

            Good shout if he starts

    2. HashAttack
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      KWP 4.4

      1. AC Yew
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks!

  18. how now brown cow
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    I take it sterling is in the country, right?

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      He lives in a house
      A very big house in the country...

    2. Feed tha Sheep
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I hope he is

    3. FPL Pillars
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Sterling’s officially now the bench

    4. FPL Pillars
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Well I definitely typed that wrongly... I meant to say... Sterling is now off the beach 😆

  19. FOO FIGHTER
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    I am liking the look of all these hits...

    1. Eat my goal!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Always the same, doesn’t mean it’s actually a high hit week

      Largely the impact is less than 1/2 a point. I expect this week to be closer to 1 point gain if no hit taken

  20. Ci Siamo
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    What is a better combo?

    a) Kane and Son

    b) Auba and Son

    1. Feed tha Sheep
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A prob

    2. Sune
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A)

    3. Bushman
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

    4. Dele
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

  21. Bushman
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    FH team. Right subs and bench order?

    Martinez
    TAA Pieters Bardsley
    Salah Sterling (c) Dilva Martial
    Jesus (vc) Kane Ings

    Lamptney Williams Guendouzi

    I really want Aurier and could afford him by downgrading TAA to VVD/Robbo and losing both Burnley boys but TAA and double Burnley blocks my rival.

  22. PattBrofield
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Last one of the season boys, gtg?

    Martinez

    TAA, Aurier, Pieters

    Salah, Dilva, Sterling, Mahrez, Bruno

    Kane, Greenwood

    Bench: Nketiah, Branthwaite, Williams

    0.1 itb, FH

    Good luck all

  23. Hits from the Bong
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Finally done. Good to go?

    Pope
    TAA Aurier Pieters
    Salah Sterling KDB Silva
    Kane Ings Greenwood

    (Martinez Saka Bardsley Williams)

  24. UshFPL
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Aurier + Bruno + KDB or Stephens + Mane + Mahrez?

    1. Bushman
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

  25. dontyouknowimloko
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Guys, need some help. Got decent TV of 106.2 but can’t decide on FH, any changes here?

    Pope (button)
    TAA, Aurier, Pieters, (Branthwaite, Williams)
    Salah, Sterling, Bruno, Dilva (Guendo)
    Kane, Jesus, Ings

    2m in the bank

    a) Ings to Aubam means losing TAA (rival 13 points ahead has him & Aurier + TC)
    or
    b) Jesus to Aubam and upgrade a defender
    c) leave it

    Which option is best?
    If b, which defender to upgrade and to who?

    1. dontyouknowimloko
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Aah, not Bruno... Antonio

      Pope (button)
      TAA, Aurier, Pieters, (Branthwaite, Williams)
      Salah, Sterling, Antonio, Dilva (Guendo)
      Kane, Jesus, Ings

      1. FOO FIGHTER
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Looks GTG

      2. Saro0808
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Pope
        Taa Aurier alonso
        Salah Sterling antonio Mahrez Dilva/pulisic
        Kane Ings
        Can this be done?

        1. dontyouknowimloko
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          Wouldn’t swap Pieters for Alonso tbh but could easily switch Jesus and get Mahrez in

  26. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    I am chasing ML leader who will have Pope in goal. I have Pope and Martinez- who would you start in my position?

    A Pope - and accept equal keeper points
    B Martinez - albeit probably less chance of CS but offers hope of extra 4/5 points

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      * he has Pieters as well so double Burnley defence

      1. FOO FIGHTER
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Martinez cleanie will beat him if Burnley concede.

      2. Pep's Money Laundry
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Stick with Pope mate and try to gain elsewhere, Martinez is not going to give you 4 or 5 extra points unless it's a penalty saved which no one can predict

    2. frenchfries
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      How would he get 4/5 points extra?

      Pope most likely to get CS, i would go with that and hope your other players can gain, not that i know how much you need to gain

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks- hope being Martinez CS and Brighton score v Burnley

      2. FOO FIGHTER
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Brighton have failed to score twice in their last 5. One of those being City. They scored vs LFC.

        I would not bet against them getting something vs Burnley.

  27. Eastman
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Lacazette? Worth a punt?

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I have feeling Aubameyang and Nketiah might start but if confirmed starter could be good differential

  28. Feed tha Sheep
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Which one on FH?
    Antonio or Pulisic?

    1. Sune
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Pulisic

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Pulisic

    3. KaBoZ: Kids,don't Drin…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      pulisic

    4. Eat my goal!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Tough, I’d edge to Antonio

  29. Saro0808
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Draft 1
    Pope
    Aurier Pieters/Williams Alonso
    Sterling Salah Mahrez Martial Pulisic/Dsilva
    Ings Kane

    Draft 2
    Martinez
    Aurier Taa Alonso
    Sterling Mahrez Martial Pulisic/Dsilva Son/Antonio
    Ings Kane

    Draft 3 (Currently on this)
    Pope
    Aurier Pieters Williams/Branthwaite
    Sterling Salah Martial Pulisic/Dsilva
    Jesus Rashford Kane

    (could drop pope to martinez and upgrade branthwaite to reece james/any burnley defender)

  30. JELLYFISH
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Jumbo go away