Spot the Differential

Cheaper Lacazette can match Aubameyang on final day of 2019/20 season

Gameweek 38+ offers FPL managers a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

Since the restart, we’ve tipped the likes of Aymeric Laporte (£6.3m), Kieran Tierney (£5.3m), Michail Antonio (£7.1m), David Silva (£7.5m), Junior Stanislas (£5.8m), Jay Rodriguez (£5.7m) and Gabriel Jesus (£9.9m), all of whom we like this week, but this time, our final three selections for the 2019/20 campaign are very much in the punt category.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less. 

Alexandre Lacazette

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £9.2m
  • GW38+ fixture: WAT

Alexandre Lacazette (£9.2m) has had to bide his time at Arsenal this season, but in recent weeks has finally started to find some form.

It’s now five attacking returns for the Frenchman since the restart, all of which have arrived following Mikel Arteta’s decision to switch to a 3-4-3 formation in Gameweek 31+.

The new approach has provided more balance, and despite Lacazette often dropping deep to link play, he’s still managed to accumulate four big chances during that run, which is the same amount as team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£10.9m), despite fewer minutes.

Since the change to a back-three, only five teams have scored more goals than Arsenal, which is an ominous sign for their opponents on Sunday, Watford. To add to their worries, the manager-less Hornets have given up more big chances than any other side since the restart, conceding seven goals in their last two games, and realistically need to avoid defeat to harbour any hopes of securing Premier League safety.

Despite Arsenal being out of the running for a Europa League spot via their league position, Arteta will still be demanding a response having lost 1-0 to Aston Villa on Tuesday night, and whilst Aubameyang remains the popular pick, if funds are needed elsewhere, Lacazette is worth a look.

Gylfi Sigurdsson

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £7.3m
  • GW38+ fixture: BOU

While Gylfi Sigurdsson (£7.3m) has underwhelmed for much of the season, a change in system by Everton boss Carlo Ancelotti in Gameweek 37+ may give the Icelandic international an opportunity to finish strongly. 

Since the Italian’s appointment in December, when selected, Sigurdsson has had to operate in a 4-4-2, either as part of a central midfield duo, or out on the left flank, neither of which he has looked particularly comfortable in.

However, on Monday night at Bramall Lane, Ancelotti switched things up after a dismal run of results, playing both André Gomes (£5.2m) and Tom Davies (£5.3m) behind Sigurdsson, who operated as a number 10, in a 4-2-3-1.

Suddenly, Everton’s captain on the night was finding himself in good positions between the lines, and went on to create three chances, and lay on an assist for Richarlison’s (£8.2m) winner. 

He actually could have scored himself too, had Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£6.1m) been more aware of his team-mate’s position.

Everton will finish the season in 11th or 12th spot, and entertain second bottom Bournemouth on Sunday, who need three points and other results to go their way to stand any chance of staying up.

There is no doubt Sigurdsson looks more comfortable in his natural position behind the forward, and with a share of set-pieces and penalties, could be an intriguing differential for the final round.

Trézéguet

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW38+ fixture: whu

Winger Trézéguet (£5.2m) has taken time to settle in the Premier League, but is now well on his way to becoming a Villa Park hero, having scored three vital goals in as many games.

The Egyptian has often rotated with Anwar El Ghazi (£5.2m) this season, with neither player offering any kind of consistency, but since the restart, Trézéguet ranks first amongst teammates for big chances with five, and against Arsenal on Tuesday night, was the most advanced player in a claret and blue shirt. Finally, he’s starting to deliver on that early season promise he showed against the Gunners back in September. 

Now out of the relegation zone for the first time in five months, Villa’s destiny is in their own hands when they face West Ham United at the London Stadium on Sunday, and you get the feeling they’ll need to score, having failed to keep a Premier League clean sheet on the road all season. 

To do that, they may well have to rely on wide players Trézéguet and Jack Grealish (£5.9m), with both of their forward options, Mbwana Samatta (£5.1m) and Keinan Davis (£4.2m), struggling in front of goal.

The positive for Villa is they have momentum, having picked up seven points from the past nine available, and despite inconsistencies throughout the season, Trézéguet is now stepping up, and could be a nice differential for those on the lookout for a budget midfielder.

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4,295 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Will J 256
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    1 month, 25 days ago

    Salah and Greenwood or Martial and Ings?

    1. pitstop1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 25 days ago

      Mo

    2. azamn013
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 25 days ago

      Salah & Greenwood for me

    3. FeverPitch
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 25 days ago

      First one

    4. Reckoner
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 25 days ago

      Close. I predict a Salah brace, and Martial and Ings a goal each 🙂

      1. Will J 256
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        1 month, 25 days ago

        Cheers guys

    5. TorresMagic™ - 48n69x
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 25 days ago

      2nd

  2. azamn013
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 25 days ago

    Jesus or DSilva - who is likely to score more, assuming they both start?

    1. MTPockets
        1 month, 25 days ago

        Jesus

      • Reckoner
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 25 days ago

        I hope Jesus, too 🙂

      • JfA
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 25 days ago

        Dilva will get more points, get Kane if you can.

        1. The Dance
          • 9 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          Kane not worth it imo

    2. camarozz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 25 days ago

      Chasing. Rival has Kane.

      Would u go Jesus over Kane in a city triple up? Will babe Auba too in the hope I can gain..

      1. Reckoner
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 25 days ago

        If Jesus starts and doesn't at least match Kane tomorrow, well...... If chasing, then surely go for it.

    3. TeddiPonza
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 25 days ago

      Current team:
      Martinez
      Pieters Long X
      Sterling Dilva Martial X
      X Kane X

      What combo is best on FH?

      A. TAA Salah Greenwood Auba
      B. TAA Antonio Jesus Auba
      C. 4,3m def (not Burnley) Salah Mahrez Auba
      D. Digne Salah KdB Ings

      Thanks...

      1. JfA
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 25 days ago

        Why not Burnley?

        1. TeddiPonza
          • 10 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          Currently on double up. No 4,3 op available

    4. Cheeto__Bandito
        1 month, 25 days ago

        Chasing in mini-league, should I just go Kane over Sterling (who rival will have) or hope rest of my team outscore them

        1. azamn013
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          Depends how far behind you are. If over 25-30 points to make up, then you have to differentiate with Kane over Sterling

      • Totti
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 25 days ago

        what to do with that lot?

        pope
        TAA doherty kiko
        Salah KDB Mahrez bruno martial
        wood greenwood

        4.0 jimenez fernandez holgate

        A) TAA and martial -> 4.9 sterling (-4)
        B) bruno and martial -> sterling and grealish or 6.1 (-4)
        C) KDB and martial -> sterling and D.silva
        D) other suggestion

        1. TeddiPonza
          • 10 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          V

        2. TeddiPonza
          • 10 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          C

      • yer old da
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 25 days ago

        Which trio?

        A. Branthwaite and Bruno
        B. Aurier and Ings

        1. Will J 256
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          1 month, 25 days ago

          B

        2. azamn013
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          B

        3. pitstop1
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          Duo?
          B

        4. Reckoner
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          Trio?

          B for this duo 🙂

      • Alli
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 25 days ago

        This FH GTG?

        Pope
        TAA - Aurier - Pieters
        Mané - Sterling - Dilva - Martial
        Kane - Jesús - Greenwood

        Martin - Saka - Lamptey - Thomas

        1. Alli
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          Or Sterling, Aurier, Saka > KDB, Egan, Antonio and start Antonio instead of Gwood?

          1. boroie
            • 2 Years
            1 month, 25 days ago

            Definitely not this. Unless you’re chasing.

      • AD2110
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 25 days ago

        Who would you rather have?

        A) Auba, Son, Antonio
        B) Kane, Mahrez, Martial

        1. boroie
          • 2 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          B

        2. Victor6359
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          A

        3. EvertonSteve1983
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          A i think. Can you mix the two? Kane, Son, Antonio?

          1. AD2110
            • 3 Years
            1 month, 25 days ago

            Yeahh just not sure on a double up on spurs if went A

      • acidicleo
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 25 days ago

        Advise please:

        A) Ings + Salah ( - 4)
        B) Kane + Martial

        1. OptimusBlack
          • 7 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          So Close

        2. azamn013
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          B

      • FeverPitch
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        1 month, 25 days ago

        A) Dilva and KDB
        B) Stanislas and Sterling (c)

        Would captain either Mo or Dilva if I went A

        Thanks

        1. Victor6359
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          A

          1. FeverPitch
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            1 month, 25 days ago

            Thanks

      • Will J 256
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        1 month, 25 days ago

        Hi guys. Chasing an important ML victory. Is this FH draft GTG:
        Pope
        Trent, Aurier, Pieters
        Salah, Sterling, D Silva, Mahrez, Pulisic,
        Kane, Greenwood

        Would really appreciate your feedback

        1. JfA
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 1 Year
          1 month, 25 days ago

          Doesn't get better than that.

      • RobinKerr1987
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 25 days ago

        Points predictions for the following? Want a differential Captain to chase down the 10 point deficit in our cash league:

        Son
        Salah
        Vardy
        DSilva

        Currently leaning towards Son for skipper. Team is as follows:

        Ederson
        Tarkowski, Aurier, Alexander-Arnold
        Son, Martial, David Silva, Salah, Foden
        Ings, Vardy

        Bench: Martin, Greenwood, Doherty, Saïss

        1. Traction Engine Foot
          • 2 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          9
          10
          6
          12

      • Chucky
        • 6 Years
        1 month, 25 days ago

        Captain who
        A) Salah
        B) Vardy
        C) Martial

        Chasing top 10k... currently 14k...

        1. boroie
          • 2 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          A

          1. Chucky
            • 6 Years
            1 month, 25 days ago

            thanks

        2. Tonyawesome69
          • 1 Year
          1 month, 25 days ago

          got to be Salah, he could have a field day

          1. The Dance
            • 9 Years
            1 month, 25 days ago

            if he knows how to shoot this time lol

        3. acidicleo
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          A

        4. Chucky
          • 6 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          cheers all. appreciated...

        5. Traction Engine Foot
          • 2 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          A

        6. JfA
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 1 Year
          1 month, 25 days ago

          Salah, Salah. Salah, he's going to twenty point haul tomorrow 🙁

      • boroie
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 25 days ago

        A - Salah, Sterling, Ings
        B - Fernandes, Sterling, Kane

        1. yer old da
          • 10 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          Why didn’t you just write Salah and Ings or Fernandes and Kane? 🙂

          1. boroie
            • 2 Years
            1 month, 25 days ago

            Haha I realised my mistake and repaired it two comments down. Which would you go for?

        2. Victor6359
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          B

      • More Cowbell
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 25 days ago

        Hi all, quick vote please:
        a) Guendouzi > Silva (-4) & Jimi first sub
        b) Play jimi (and risk it with a fully dead bench!)

      • boroie
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 25 days ago

        A - Salah & Ings
        B - Fernandes & Kane

        1. Chucky
          • 6 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          A

      • camarozz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        1 month, 25 days ago

        An awful lot of teams have Mahrez in it?? His minutes have been very irratic?
        Not concerned?

        1. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
          • 9 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          No
          No
          Yes

      • Steviedwex
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 25 days ago

        Bench which one
        1 ) Pulisic
        2) rashford

        Have martial

      • HMC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 25 days ago

        Common question but as a non Sterling owner, how would you approach captain choice?

        A) not overthink and captain Kdb for expected goal involvement
        B) one last hurrah for Dilva
        C) Salah is due and will tear Newcastle apart
        D) Kane to continue his clinical form

        I’ve been on A all week

        I’m in Aus and might not stay up for team news...

        1. Chucky
          • 6 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          C. sterling will blank

          1. HMC
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            1 month, 25 days ago

            So you expect city to share the points?

            1. Chucky
              • 6 Years
              1 month, 25 days ago

              yes,dilva might get a double digit haul..

        2. boroie
          • 2 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          C

        3. The Littlest Robbo
          • 5 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          C or D

          1. HMC
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            1 month, 25 days ago

            Can they be trusted ha, Salah been quite wasteful lately

        4. JfA
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 1 Year
          1 month, 25 days ago

          I honestly don't know how Salah is being overlooked given the chances he's been getting, how seriously bad we are and the fact that all the Man City returns will likely to be shared, Salah is going for GB against the worst Newcastle defence since Steve Mclaren???

          1. HMC
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            1 month, 25 days ago

            I’ve captained him the last 2 so a little reluctant. Could easily be 2pts or hat trick so the upside is there. Stats wise Kdb has dropped but nothing like facing Norwich to get you back into form.
            Lots of options again this week

        5. Victor6359
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          B for me

      • Hryszko
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 25 days ago

        Captain one of the following...

        1. KDB
        2. Dilva
        3. Sterling
        4. Salah

        1. boroie
          • 2 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          3 if leading
          4 if chasing

          1. dunas_dog
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            1 month, 25 days ago

            This

        2. Victor6359
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          3

      • Infamy, Infamy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 25 days ago

        No idea how accurate they normally are, but Manchester Evening News is predicting Foden to start with Mahrez on bench.

        1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          The Brighton game they predicted KDB and Mahrez on the bench mate and they both started!! Haha

          1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            1 month, 25 days ago

            They predicted Foden would start and he was on the bench too

        2. The Dance
          • 9 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          wouldn't believe any paper line up

        3. dunas_dog
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          They don’t know just making prediction. But as Foden owner hope they have it right:)

      • Pulp Minion
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 25 days ago

        Has there been some news on TAA?

        1. The Dance
          • 9 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          what news is there?

          1. Pulp Minion
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            1 month, 25 days ago

            Saw some random comment earlier saying he might be out (don't take this as true)

            I've no def subs **eeeekkkk**

            1. Bring back Rafa
                1 month, 25 days ago

                I'm confident he plays. Liverpool have had the title won since pretty much before the virus hit and from the restart they have played 9 games in 6 weeks.
                If Klopp wanted to blood Nico he could have started him in half of these games while giving TAA a full weeks rest in between. Why, would he start now?

        2. Will J 256
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          1 month, 25 days ago

          Would you prefer Martial in a 3-5-2 with Kane and ings up top or Kane and Greenwood but with salah in a 3-5-2?

          1. panda07
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            1 month, 25 days ago

            probably Salah

        3. panda07
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 25 days ago

          Which of these options is the best?

          A) De Bruyne, Kane, Martial
          B) Sterling, Kane, Antonio
          C) Sterling, Ings, Son

          1. boroie
            • 2 Years
            1 month, 25 days ago

            B

          2. dunas_dog
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            1 month, 25 days ago

            C

          3. Bring back Rafa
              1 month, 25 days ago

              B or C, hard to split

            • panda07
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              1 month, 25 days ago

              Thanks all

            • Victor6359
              • 3 Years
              1 month, 25 days ago

              Defo B for me

          4. Jukes
              1 month, 25 days ago

              Mahrez or Jesus???

              1. dunas_dog
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 5 Years
                1 month, 25 days ago

                If starting Mahrez as gets extra points being a midfielder

              2. The Littlest Robbo
                • 5 Years
                1 month, 25 days ago

                Jesus

              3. toerag
                • 10 Years
                1 month, 25 days ago

                jesus - 1 assist

              4. panda07
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 8 Years
                1 month, 25 days ago

                Mahrez if confirmed to start

            • ooooo
              • 3 Years
              1 month, 25 days ago

              Changes to FH team?
              Martinez
              TAA Pieters Aurier
              Salah Sterling Mahrez Dilva Antonio
              Kane Ings

              Button Greenwood Brathwaite 3.8.

              1. toerag
                • 10 Years
                1 month, 25 days ago

                yes

            • The Dance
              • 9 Years
              1 month, 25 days ago

              I still can't get over that miss from Salah on a one on one with epa, can anyone explain how that even happened for a man of his class? It wasn't just a miss, it was like something off a Benny Hill show!

              Ah well, i'm keeping him for Newcastle hoping he turns up, and remembers how to shoot!

              1. Ajax Hamsterdam
                • 6 Years
                1 month, 25 days ago

                will you captain ?

                1. The Dance
                  • 9 Years
                  1 month, 25 days ago

                  Maybe, but nah, fear in me will go Sterling

              2. Chucky
                • 6 Years
                1 month, 25 days ago

                I think his blank against Chelsea will keep the casuals away from him, and they will all captain sterling for his blank ,while,loyal salah owners will be rewarded with a well-deserved hattie 😀

                1. The Dance
                  • 9 Years
                  1 month, 25 days ago

                  Hope you're right! I'm stll capping sterling, i can't trust Salah as much right now, but hope they both do the business.

            • toerag
              • 10 Years
              1 month, 25 days ago

              ooh
              i just moved some people around to see what happens

              pope
              robbo bards aurier
              dilva sterling martial pusilic
              kane auba ings

              trezeguet williams branthwaite

              what do you reckon??

              1. Klopp For The Kopps 😆
                • 4 Years
                1 month, 25 days ago

                Needs Salah

                1. toerag
                  • 10 Years
                  1 month, 25 days ago

                  he dropped out for ings and auba

            • Georgeyboy33
              • 2 Years
              1 month, 25 days ago

              BENCH ONE:

              Greenwood
              Jimenez

              1. dunas_dog
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 5 Years
                1 month, 25 days ago

                That’s hard. Greenwood

              2. Victor6359
                • 3 Years
                1 month, 25 days ago

                Jim