Spot the Differential

Cheaper Lacazette can match Aubameyang on final day of 2019/20 season

Gameweek 38+ offers FPL managers a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

Since the restart, we’ve tipped the likes of Aymeric Laporte (£6.3m), Kieran Tierney (£5.3m), Michail Antonio (£7.1m), David Silva (£7.5m), Junior Stanislas (£5.8m), Jay Rodriguez (£5.7m) and Gabriel Jesus (£9.9m), all of whom we like this week, but this time, our final three selections for the 2019/20 campaign are very much in the punt category.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less. 

Alexandre Lacazette

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £9.2m
  • GW38+ fixture: WAT

Alexandre Lacazette (£9.2m) has had to bide his time at Arsenal this season, but in recent weeks has finally started to find some form.

It’s now five attacking returns for the Frenchman since the restart, all of which have arrived following Mikel Arteta’s decision to switch to a 3-4-3 formation in Gameweek 31+.

The new approach has provided more balance, and despite Lacazette often dropping deep to link play, he’s still managed to accumulate four big chances during that run, which is the same amount as team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£10.9m), despite fewer minutes.

Since the change to a back-three, only five teams have scored more goals than Arsenal, which is an ominous sign for their opponents on Sunday, Watford. To add to their worries, the manager-less Hornets have given up more big chances than any other side since the restart, conceding seven goals in their last two games, and realistically need to avoid defeat to harbour any hopes of securing Premier League safety.

Despite Arsenal being out of the running for a Europa League spot via their league position, Arteta will still be demanding a response having lost 1-0 to Aston Villa on Tuesday night, and whilst Aubameyang remains the popular pick, if funds are needed elsewhere, Lacazette is worth a look.

Gylfi Sigurdsson

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £7.3m
  • GW38+ fixture: BOU

While Gylfi Sigurdsson (£7.3m) has underwhelmed for much of the season, a change in system by Everton boss Carlo Ancelotti in Gameweek 37+ may give the Icelandic international an opportunity to finish strongly. 

Since the Italian’s appointment in December, when selected, Sigurdsson has had to operate in a 4-4-2, either as part of a central midfield duo, or out on the left flank, neither of which he has looked particularly comfortable in.

However, on Monday night at Bramall Lane, Ancelotti switched things up after a dismal run of results, playing both André Gomes (£5.2m) and Tom Davies (£5.3m) behind Sigurdsson, who operated as a number 10, in a 4-2-3-1.

Suddenly, Everton’s captain on the night was finding himself in good positions between the lines, and went on to create three chances, and lay on an assist for Richarlison’s (£8.2m) winner. 

He actually could have scored himself too, had Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£6.1m) been more aware of his team-mate’s position.

Everton will finish the season in 11th or 12th spot, and entertain second bottom Bournemouth on Sunday, who need three points and other results to go their way to stand any chance of staying up.

There is no doubt Sigurdsson looks more comfortable in his natural position behind the forward, and with a share of set-pieces and penalties, could be an intriguing differential for the final round.

Trézéguet

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW38+ fixture: whu

Winger Trézéguet (£5.2m) has taken time to settle in the Premier League, but is now well on his way to becoming a Villa Park hero, having scored three vital goals in as many games.

The Egyptian has often rotated with Anwar El Ghazi (£5.2m) this season, with neither player offering any kind of consistency, but since the restart, Trézéguet ranks first amongst teammates for big chances with five, and against Arsenal on Tuesday night, was the most advanced player in a claret and blue shirt. Finally, he’s starting to deliver on that early season promise he showed against the Gunners back in September. 

Now out of the relegation zone for the first time in five months, Villa’s destiny is in their own hands when they face West Ham United at the London Stadium on Sunday, and you get the feeling they’ll need to score, having failed to keep a Premier League clean sheet on the road all season. 

To do that, they may well have to rely on wide players Trézéguet and Jack Grealish (£5.9m), with both of their forward options, Mbwana Samatta (£5.1m) and Keinan Davis (£4.2m), struggling in front of goal.

The positive for Villa is they have momentum, having picked up seven points from the past nine available, and despite inconsistencies throughout the season, Trézéguet is now stepping up, and could be a nice differential for those on the lookout for a budget midfielder.

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4,295 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Goooo Rickie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    3 months, 9 hours ago

    Foden > Trezeguet - 4?

    1. The Littlest Robbo
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      No way

    2. St Pauli Walnuts
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      Insane

    3. Avery78
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      Big nope

  2. Magic Zico
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    3 months, 9 hours ago

    Bruno Jesus > Sterling Deeney/Wood (-4), Yes or No?

    1. Avery78
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      Sterling is on fire and Wood is at home
      If I was to do it I would and (c) sterling
      I think Sterling will return more than Jesus

  3. Athletic Nasherbo
    • 3 Years
    3 months, 9 hours ago

    Son is tempting me. The Free hitters are not mentioning him (majority) and Palace are in woeful form and have so many injuries. 2G 2A in his last 3...

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      Definitely has the potential for a big score.

    2. Victor6359
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      Thinking the same. Good stats v CP

    3. Strchld
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      I had him on my FH, but really wanted Ings aswell.

      But yes, really would like to get him too, but cant have them all.

  4. Rondon9
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 months, 9 hours ago

    Any ideas with 2 FT here?

    Pope
    Lamptey TAA Boly
    Sterling Martial Bruno Salah Pulisic
    Ings Jesus

    Button - Greenwood Saiss Taylor

    Cheers

    1. BC1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      TAA and Bruno to Mendy and Son

    2. Traction Engine Foot
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      Nice team, maybe Bruno to D Silva and Taylor to Aurier?

  5. Mr. Chimes
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    3 months, 9 hours ago

    KDB, Bruno to Sterling, Dilva (-4)?

    1. Bis_78
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      I’m undecided with the same problem????

      1. Mr. Chimes
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        3 months, 9 hours ago

        The sad part about it is that I’m really just trying to block my ML rival. Just going with the herd is boring but can’t see any other way around it...

    2. Kuzser
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      Just Bruno to Dilva?

      1. Mr. Chimes
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        3 months, 9 hours ago

        Hmm... maybe

  6. toerag
    • 10 Years
    3 months, 9 hours ago

    TAA Tarkowski salah

    or

    Robbo Bardsley Auba ings

    last time b4 bed

    1. COLLIN QUANER
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      1st

    2. ZimZalabim
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      missing one player

    3. ZimZalabim
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      just saw ur post on the previous page prefer salah team

  7. Sarri-ball
    • 10 Years
    3 months, 9 hours ago

    Best move

    Holgate to taylor bench (saiss)
    Vardy to jesus
    Mane to son (if out)

    1. toerag
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      mane to jesus??

      1. Sarri-ball
        • 10 Years
        3 months, 9 hours ago

        Cant do that different postions

  8. Oakley
    • 4 Years
    3 months, 9 hours ago

    Please someone convince my why l shouldn't just get in Jesus (TC )instead of Sterling ..lm chasing only 2pts and everyone going Sterling but Jesus is explosive as well!!

    1. Victor6359
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      Sterling good stats v Norwich if I remember correctly

    2. Wolves Ay We
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      Jesus may not play

    3. Sarri-ball
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      My orginal plan was jesus playing 90 mins midweek has put me off now not eveb sure if will take in

    4. ZimZalabim
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      ur only 2 points behind i would look to gain that with other players and just captain sterling u dont want to end up being so far behind with missing out on sterling that the league is gone

  9. Victor6359
    • 3 Years
    3 months, 9 hours ago

    Who would you bench?

    A: Martial (not as good away)
    B: Ings (not as good at home)
    C: Giroud

    Cheers

    1. El Lobito 10
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      C

    2. Bis_78
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      B

    3. Kuzser
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      C

      1. Victor6359
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 9 hours ago

        Cheers fellas

    4. michudagawd
      • 7 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      C

    5. St Pauli Walnuts
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      C

    6. Shearer & Sutton
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      C

  10. Muscout
    • 1 Year
    3 months, 9 hours ago

    A) Mahrez and Jesus
    B) Dilva and Aubameyang

    Already have Sterling

    1. Victor6359
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      B

    2. Kuzser
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      A. All in can be nice if you fancy some risk

  11. Bis_78
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 months, 9 hours ago

    I have KDB + Foden. Should I do:
    A) Foden > Dilva
    B) KDB + Foden > Sterling + Dilva -4hit

    1. Kuzser
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      A

    2. St Pauli Walnuts
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      A

    3. Avery78
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      B

  12. El Lobito 10
    • 3 Years
    3 months, 9 hours ago

    Who as GK:

    A. Calamity DDG (away LEI)
    B. McCarthy (home SHEF)

    1. Kuzser
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      B

      1. El Lobito 10
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 9 hours ago

        Thx

    2. FOO FIGHTER
      • 1 Year
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      B

      1. El Lobito 10
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 9 hours ago

        Thanks

    3. St Pauli Walnuts
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      B

    4. Shearer & Sutton
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      B

  13. Kuzser
    • 3 Years
    3 months, 9 hours ago

    What would be the best move here guys?Need to catch 20 points (ML leader's key differentials are Salah and Auba)
    1) Vardy Willian Bruno -> Rodriguez, Salah, Dilva for -4
    2) Vardy Bruno -> Kane/Auba Dilva
    3) Vardy Willian-> Connolly Sterling and play Greenwood
    4) Vardy Bruno-> Jesus Son

    McCarthy
    TAA - Doherty - Baldock
    KdB - Mahrez - Fernandes - Martial - Willian
    Jimenez - Vardy

    Subs: Greenwood Lascelles Lund. Krul

    1. Muscout
      • 1 Year
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      2 with Kane

    2. Bis_78
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      2 with Kane or 4

      1. Kuzser
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 9 hours ago

        Cheers guys. Will need to do now as will be priced out otherwise

    3. Kuzser
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      Or 5) Taa Bruno-> Sterling Pieters

  14. The Trentminator
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 months, 9 hours ago

    A or B?

    A Ings KdB
    B Auba Mahrez

    1. Muscout
      • 1 Year
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      B

    2. St Pauli Walnuts
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      A

    3. Shearer & Sutton
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      A

  15. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
    • 9 Years
    3 months, 9 hours ago

    Can anyone provide a link to TAA news please?

    1. ㅤRising
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      What TAA news?

  16. JURGENAUT
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    3 months, 9 hours ago

    KDB and Vardy to Mahrez and Kane for a -4?

    1. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      not in a Millon fpl transfers

      1. JURGENAUT
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        3 months, 9 hours ago

        Thanks

      2. JURGENAUT
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        3 months, 9 hours ago

        Could you help me regarding this:

        Henderson and 3.9m to Martinez/McCarthy and Bardsley for -4 with BB activated?

        Or just Henderson to Martinez/McCarthy for FT.

        Which GK likely for CS?

        1. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
          • 9 Years
          3 months, 9 hours ago

          FT is the way to go man

  17. Will J 256
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    3 months, 9 hours ago

    Hi guys. Have been going back and forth with my FH drafts and have landed on these two. Just so I know, which one do you prefer?
    1:
    Pope
    Trent, Aurier, Pieters
    Salah, Sterling, D Silva, Mahrez, Pulisic,
    Kane, Greenwood

    2:
    Pope
    Trent, Aurier, Pieters
    Sterling, D Silva, Mahrez, Martial, Pulisic,
    Kane, Ings

    Just put 1 or 2 in the chat! Hope you all have a great gameweek!!

    1. Bis_78
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      1

    2. The Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      1 as it has Salah.

    3. TorresMagic™ - 48n69x
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      The one you don't pick will score more.
      Would you captain Salah is the question?

      1. Will J 256
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        3 months, 9 hours ago

        I wouldn’t captain salah. I will captain sterling most likely

    4. Kuzser
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      1 is better

  18. R44J
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 months, 9 hours ago

    70 points behind the leader in my mini league. Looks impossible to oust him but who knows? How can I improve this FH side?

    Pope
    TAA, Digne, Aurier
    KDB, Pulisic, Dilva, Sterling(c)
    Kane, Auba, Greenwood

    Avoiding to bring in Salah, Bruno, Martial as he owns them.

    1. wulfranian
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      If you have money Kdb+Pulisic->Mahrez+Son.Else downgrade Digne imo.

      1. R44J
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 9 hours ago

        Digne is capable of a double digit return. Who would you swap him for?

        1. wulfranian
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 9 hours ago

          i like Bertrand and Tarkowski.

  19. JURGENAUT
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    3 months, 9 hours ago

    Anyone expecting Vardy returns?

    1. The Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      I think he will score.

    2. The Cisco Kid
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      Yes. More points per game (6.1 v 5.3) and more double digit hauls (8 v 4) than Kane, I almost have the guts to take him instead on my FH. Don’t think I will—the Palace league position and defense swayed me–but I would not fault anyone who did.

    3. Brooksy86
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      With passin at the back like utd's I'm sure he'll have a field day...

    4. L S P
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      I’m bringing him in on FH

      (Not popular around these pets it seems)

      1. L S P
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 9 hours ago

        Ugh *parts

  20. The Units
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 months, 9 hours ago

    I think I have cracked it for my WC Team:

    Martinez
    Pieters – Aurier – Robbo
    Salah – Sterling – KdB – Dilva
    Kane – Greenwood - Ings
    (Martin) (Saka - Williams – Branthwaite)
    0.0itb

    Thoughts?

    1. The Cisco Kid
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      Very close to what I have; I kept Martial and Pope instead of KDB and Emi. I’d be happy with what you have.

    2. St Pauli Walnuts
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      Very similar to my FH, I have TAA over Rob, Antonio over Green, Nket over Saka and Rico over Will. Like it

    3. Avery78
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      Good to go

  21. ㅤRising
    • 2 Years
    3 months, 9 hours ago

    Dilva or Mahrez for Bruno or Martial?
    Currently on Bruno > Dilva but if early team news confirms Mahrez starting he would be very tempting.

    1. The Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      I have gone Dilva as I think it is a coin toss.

    2. Avery78
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      Dsilva. Last game, will play a part and his buddies want him to score and try to set him up. He’s also likely more to grab more assists imo

  22. FPLSafety
    3 months, 9 hours ago

    Which FH team please? Cheers.

    A)
    Martinez
    Trent-Aurier-Pieters
    Sterling(c)-KDB-Dilva-Salah
    Ings-Kane-Greenwood

    B)
    Martinez
    Trent-Robbo-Pieters-Aurier
    Sterling(c)-Mahrez-Martial
    Kane-Ings-Jesus

    1. The Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      A as its the same as mine above!

    2. L S P
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      A as I think you want 7 attackers

  23. @fpl_phenom
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 months, 9 hours ago

    2 Free Transfers planned for tomorrow... waiting on Team News hoping theres nothing crazy....

    Patricio > Ederson

    Lascelles > Aurier

    ------------------Ederson---------------
    --------Trent Aurier Doherty---------
    Salah Sterling KDB Bruno Martial
    -----------Ings Greenwood-----------
    --------------------------------------------
    Button Egan Connolly Taylor

    What do we think mangers am I good to go?

    1. L S P
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      I wouldn’t want so many eggs in UTD’s basket

      1. @fpl_phenom
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 9 hours ago

        ye I get that but with a dodgy backine, I think I need to use my transfers this week to rectify that and hope for an early Utd goal which will change the dynamic of the game completely...

        If leicester score first they could all blank as Leicester will really sit back I think

        1. L S P
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 9 hours ago

          Sounds like you’ve already made up your mind but those aren’t the transfers I’d be targeting with that team but GL

    2. St Pauli Walnuts
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      I think there'd be more upside in going United mid to City. Mahrez or Dilva.

  24. Pep Roulette
    • 3 Years
    3 months, 9 hours ago

    Bruno surely falling tonight?

    1. Berbs
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      Seems to fall every game if we're honest

      1. Bennerman
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 9 hours ago

        Unlike, say, Salah?

  25. JURGENAUT
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    3 months, 9 hours ago

    Martinez or McCarthy for CS?

  26. Sarri-ball
    • 10 Years
    3 months, 9 hours ago

    Mane or son this gw only

    Worth a 4 hit saiss to robbo (if go son)

  27. Will J 256
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    3 months, 9 hours ago

    Do you guys think Liverpool will go full strength against Newcastle?

  28. SuperMane Returns
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    3 months, 9 hours ago

    Fernandes + Wood to Kane + Mccarthy (benched) for a -4?

    1. The Dance
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      big no from me

      1. SuperMane Returns
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 9 hours ago

        I tend to agree. Why am i getting sucked in by Kane 🙁

        1. The Dance
          • 9 Years
          3 months, 9 hours ago

          becauae of the hype, understandable. He is one player i am certainly not afraid of not owning though, two good games and he's apparently back to his best? please... haha.

  29. Lignja
    • 3 Years
    3 months, 9 hours ago

    A. Taa, Greenwood
    B. Bardsly/Webster, Martial

    1. FPLSafety
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      A

  30. JenkoJunko
    • 2 Years
    3 months, 9 hours ago

    Can anyone tell me who if any players could change price overnight? Or tell me how to find out? Thanks

      1. JenkoJunko
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 9 hours ago

        Thanks

    1. Sid123
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      fpl statistics website

    2. TorresMagic™ - 48n69x
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      http://www.fplstatistics.co.uk/

      Hit target for fallers.

    3. JenkoJunko
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 9 hours ago

      Thanks all very helpful