Spot the Differential

Cheaper Lacazette can match Aubameyang on final day of 2019/20 season

Gameweek 38+ offers FPL managers a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

Since the restart, we’ve tipped the likes of Aymeric Laporte (£6.3m), Kieran Tierney (£5.3m), Michail Antonio (£7.1m), David Silva (£7.5m), Junior Stanislas (£5.8m), Jay Rodriguez (£5.7m) and Gabriel Jesus (£9.9m), all of whom we like this week, but this time, our final three selections for the 2019/20 campaign are very much in the punt category.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less. 

Alexandre Lacazette

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £9.2m
  • GW38+ fixture: WAT

Alexandre Lacazette (£9.2m) has had to bide his time at Arsenal this season, but in recent weeks has finally started to find some form.

It’s now five attacking returns for the Frenchman since the restart, all of which have arrived following Mikel Arteta’s decision to switch to a 3-4-3 formation in Gameweek 31+.

The new approach has provided more balance, and despite Lacazette often dropping deep to link play, he’s still managed to accumulate four big chances during that run, which is the same amount as team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£10.9m), despite fewer minutes.

Since the change to a back-three, only five teams have scored more goals than Arsenal, which is an ominous sign for their opponents on Sunday, Watford. To add to their worries, the manager-less Hornets have given up more big chances than any other side since the restart, conceding seven goals in their last two games, and realistically need to avoid defeat to harbour any hopes of securing Premier League safety.

Despite Arsenal being out of the running for a Europa League spot via their league position, Arteta will still be demanding a response having lost 1-0 to Aston Villa on Tuesday night, and whilst Aubameyang remains the popular pick, if funds are needed elsewhere, Lacazette is worth a look.

Gylfi Sigurdsson

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £7.3m
  • GW38+ fixture: BOU

While Gylfi Sigurdsson (£7.3m) has underwhelmed for much of the season, a change in system by Everton boss Carlo Ancelotti in Gameweek 37+ may give the Icelandic international an opportunity to finish strongly. 

Since the Italian’s appointment in December, when selected, Sigurdsson has had to operate in a 4-4-2, either as part of a central midfield duo, or out on the left flank, neither of which he has looked particularly comfortable in.

However, on Monday night at Bramall Lane, Ancelotti switched things up after a dismal run of results, playing both André Gomes (£5.2m) and Tom Davies (£5.3m) behind Sigurdsson, who operated as a number 10, in a 4-2-3-1.

Suddenly, Everton’s captain on the night was finding himself in good positions between the lines, and went on to create three chances, and lay on an assist for Richarlison’s (£8.2m) winner. 

He actually could have scored himself too, had Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£6.1m) been more aware of his team-mate’s position.

Everton will finish the season in 11th or 12th spot, and entertain second bottom Bournemouth on Sunday, who need three points and other results to go their way to stand any chance of staying up.

There is no doubt Sigurdsson looks more comfortable in his natural position behind the forward, and with a share of set-pieces and penalties, could be an intriguing differential for the final round.

Trézéguet

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW38+ fixture: whu

Winger Trézéguet (£5.2m) has taken time to settle in the Premier League, but is now well on his way to becoming a Villa Park hero, having scored three vital goals in as many games.

The Egyptian has often rotated with Anwar El Ghazi (£5.2m) this season, with neither player offering any kind of consistency, but since the restart, Trézéguet ranks first amongst teammates for big chances with five, and against Arsenal on Tuesday night, was the most advanced player in a claret and blue shirt. Finally, he’s starting to deliver on that early season promise he showed against the Gunners back in September. 

Now out of the relegation zone for the first time in five months, Villa’s destiny is in their own hands when they face West Ham United at the London Stadium on Sunday, and you get the feeling they’ll need to score, having failed to keep a Premier League clean sheet on the road all season. 

To do that, they may well have to rely on wide players Trézéguet and Jack Grealish (£5.9m), with both of their forward options, Mbwana Samatta (£5.1m) and Keinan Davis (£4.2m), struggling in front of goal.

The positive for Villa is they have momentum, having picked up seven points from the past nine available, and despite inconsistencies throughout the season, Trézéguet is now stepping up, and could be a nice differential for those on the lookout for a budget midfielder.

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avfc82 https://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/894/history”

4,295 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Ha.
    • 5 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    Foden or Grealish?

    1. super zlatan
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      I don’t think Foden will start. So Grealish.

      1. Ha.
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 4 days ago

        Same, so thinking of switching over

  2. King Kohli
    • 8 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    Thoughts here with 2 FTs?

    Pope Hendo
    TAA Doherty Gomez Long Taylor
    Salah Raz Bruno Mahrez Foden
    Rashford DCL Greenwood

    0.1 ITB

    A. Foden + Doherty > Dilva + 4.5
    B. Foden + TAA > Dilva + 5.6 def
    C. Mahrez + DCL > Soucek + Jesus
    D. Salah + Foden > Son + Dilva

    1. Rolls-Royce
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      A

  3. Shark Team
    • 3 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    Newcastle has some great results in past years' final matchweeks. They constantly score in the last matchweek.
    This game against Liverpool seems very strange:
    - It seems that Liverpool won't concede because Newcastle seemed poor last game
    - but Liverpool always seems that that won't concede until they do. Without Jordan Henderson they have been very leaky and they always concede.

    1. Old Man
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      Liverpool will concede - I'm resigned to it.

  4. Rolls-Royce
    • 6 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    Hands up if you have finished tinkering?

    -o-

    1. Amey
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      /0\

    2. Old Man
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      o/ (finished on Thursday, but not on FH)

    3. Dthinger
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      o/

    4. The 12th Man
      • 7 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      O/

    5. ritzyd
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      o/ subject to any early team news

  5. FPL Kaka
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    Who is a better captain?

    A) Mahrez

    B) Jesus

    1. KingZZ
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      Tough one. I would go Jesus.

    2. TorresMagic™ - 48n69x
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      Do they both start?

      1. FPL Kaka
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 4 days ago

        I reckon they do

    3. super zlatan
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      Jesus

  6. KingZZ
    • 4 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    Bruno + Jimenez - - > Kane + Dilva/Mahrez for - 4

    Yay or Nay?

    1. screamer73
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      Yes

  7. JurgenRodgers
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    2 FTs

    Salah TAA Foden out

    Sterling (C) Robertson Antonio in -4

    Y or N

    1. Old Man
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      No! Just do the first and last if you must.

  8. MESSINHO
    • 4 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    Which one guys?

    A. TAA + Martial
    B. Bardsley + Auba

    1. Dthinger
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      B

    2. Rodgers's CHARACTER
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      B

  9. Teahupo'o
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    Final draft. G2G?

    Martinez
    TAA Pieters Long
    Sterling DSilva Son Salah Martial
    Jesus Kane

    (Button, Connolly Branthwaite Williams)
    0ITB

    1. Pukki Party
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      High team value? Looks great.

      1. Teahupo'o
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 4 days ago

        Cheers 🙂 108.6 Dunno, fairly high I think.

  10. Pukki Party
    • 3 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    Bench one:

    A) Jimenez (che)
    B) Greenwood (lei)
    C) Foden (nor)

    1. Ha.
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      C

    2. Teahupo'o
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      Unless leaked news shows Foden starting, C

    3. Pukki Party
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      Thanks

  11. Connor's Calling
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    I’m still struggling to pick one here! I’m defending a small lead and we have v similar teams currently but I have my TC left

    A)
    Aurier
    KDB Sterling Foden
    Greenwood
    (-4)

    B)
    Pieters
    Sterling D Silva Foden
    Jiménez
    (-4)

    C)
    Walker
    Sterling Foden Fernandes
    Rodriguez
    (Free)

    D)
    Walker
    KDB D Silva Fernandes
    Rodriguez
    (Free)

  12. Bubbles1985
    • 3 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    Help please!

    Pope
    *** Doherty Stephens
    *** / *** KDB Martial
    Mason Jiminez Kane(c)

    Button *** Holgate Lascelles

    I have 0.0itb 2ft
    Options :

    A - Walker/Silva/Salah/StMax
    B - Aurier/Silva/Salah/StMax
    C - Aurier/Sterling/Bruno/Saka (-4)
    D - Something else

    Any thoughts?

    Cheers!

    1. Connor's Calling
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      A from that lot, team news depending

      1. Bubbles1985
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 4 days ago

        Thanks.
        That's my current choice but keep tinkering!

  13. Bad Kompany
    • 2 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    Why are so many going Gabriel Jesus over KDB on fh?

    1. Eastman
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      Jesus has a forward slot where there are less options maybe

    2. Amey
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      I'm thinking about it too.

  14. Rodgers's CHARACTER
    • 5 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    Some Everton fans on Twitter says that Baines will play his final Game with the club against Bournemouth, Could this means that Digne won't start?

    1. The 12th Man
      • 7 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      He’s been offered a years extension on his contract but hasn’t signed it yet.

      Ancelotti has said he will play some part against Bournemouth. How much?
      We don’t know.

      I see Digne being subbed after 70-80 mins for him.

  15. AJ24
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    Free hit team:

    Martinez
    Trent, Pieters, Branthwaite
    Sterling (C), Salah, KDB, D Silva
    Kane (VC), Ings, Greenwood

    Stek, Lamptey, B Williams, McCarthy. 0.0mITB

    All good to go for one last push!?

  16. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    Still switching back & fourth between Dilva & Sterling TC

    Sterling’s mega-hauls are almost always away... but his home output has improved a lot lately too though

    - Sterling home scores this season:
    - 6, 3, 0, 2, 11, 1, 2, 2, 5, 3, 1, 2, 0, 10, 0, 16, 10, 1

    1. Connor's Calling
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      I have TC left too - and I think if we get news Sterling is starting it’ll be hard to look past him.

      That said, if I can get convinced on D Silva, then I could save 4 points and not get Sterling at all.

      8-10 points for my C this week would be massive

  17. Eastman
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    Have the two top scoring strikers in the league and don't feel good about it.

    1. Inter Family Special
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      Leicester need to score. For that reason I’ve kept Vardy despite my lack of faith in him.

      1. Eastman
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 4 days ago

        Yes I’m keeping him. Could pay off actually.

  18. Sune
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    I guess my FH team is settled then.

    Martinez (Button)
    Robbo, Pieters, Long (Williams, Tanganga)
    Sterling(c), Salah(vc), Mahrez, Antonio, Dilva
    Kane, Ings (Connolly)

    Good luck guys!

  19. Djemba-Djemba
    • 5 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    No one mentioning Pulisic, but he did great off the bench last GW, wouldnt he start this week. Am I missing anything?

    1. Fozzyb34r
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      Seen him mentioned a few times. People maybe struggling to fit him in with 3 x city mids + Salah + Bruno

    2. Hana
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      It’s him or Antonio for me and Chelsea have the harder game although it was high scoring earlier in the season

  20. Djemba-Djemba
    • 5 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    A) Auba
    B) Kane

    Cant get both

    1. Fozzyb34r
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      B

  21. Fozzyb34r
    • 5 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    Lascelles + Jimi —> Tark/ Aurier + Kane (-4)?

    1. Djemba-Djemba
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      I'd rather have Tark and Kane than Lascalles and Jimi, and its the final day so -4 is worth it

      1. LFC4EVER
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 4 days ago

        +1 to that

  22. FPL Kaka
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    I don't have FH but I can reach this with my 2FT, good to go?

    McCarthy
    Egan • Trent • Basham
    Son • Mahrez • Sterling • Pulisic
    Kane • Jesus • Greenwood

  23. The Suspended One
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    A) Ings Mane James
    B) Auba Mahrez Bardsley

    1. Blandiblub
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      3 months, 4 days ago

      A

  24. Inter Family Special
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    Is KdB and Foden to Sterling (c) and Dilva for -4 a worthwhile move?

    1. Blandiblub
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      3 months, 4 days ago

      I'd say so. Doesn't seem to much talk of Foden starting. Early team news will be gold today!

  25. Hazardous1983
    • 9 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    I have 33 point lead. Shal i get mahrez n silva for -8.

    To block rival

    1. LFC4EVER
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      What other differences do you 2 have.

  26. LFC4EVER
    • 6 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    Play

    A) Stephans (vs. Sheffield)
    B) Doherty (Vs. Chelsea)
    C) Wood (Vs. Brighton)

    Cheers.