Tips

The Complete Guide to Scout’s tips and advice for FPL Gameweek 38+

It’s here: the final day of the season! Soon all the tinkering will stop and the rollercoaster ride will begin. Strap yourselves in! 

Welcome to the Fantasy Football Scout Guide to Gameweek 38+. Today’s deadline is at 15:00 BST, one hour before all ten matches kick-off.

The basics first: check the team news. Neale watches all the press conferences throughout the season and will have a sense for how each Premier League manager might approach their last game.

His predicted line-ups and notes contain the most up-to-date information about each team. Make sure your picks or potential transfer targets are included in his best-guess starting XIs. We might get some early team news but it helps to be prepared as much as possible beforehand.

There are a number of different ways to approach Gameweek 38+ and what you choose to do may depend on your overall rank and mini-league situation.

Mark Sutherns, for instance, hasn’t enjoyed his best campaign despite climbing the ranks since the resumption. And he revealed on the FPL show that Christian Pulisic will be his captain because he needs something different to break into the top 100k.

But this isn’t a recommendation that all FPL managers do the same, as Mark himself admitted a safe pick would be a Manchester City player such as Raheem Sterling or, perhaps, Kevin De Bruyne. In the conclusion to his Captain Sensible article, David wrote:

Sterling is clearly the most promising asset from Guardiola’s squad based on his last four performances. No Citizen can match him for big chances or shots on target during that period as he has rediscovered his clinical edge and an impassioned desire to hit 20 or more goals in the Premier League this season.

– David, Captain Sensible

Not only is Sterling in good form but he faces a team in bad shape. Norwich City have conceded 54 shots in the box over their last four matches; only Brighton have been worse. 

It’s easy to understand why so many are considering Pep Guardiola’s troops. To add fuel to the fire, Pep himself revealed that scoring goals will be a motivation for his players:

Every game there has to be a target, a focus, a desire to win the game, and maybe, scoring 100 goals is one of the reasons why.

– Pep Guardiola

The Citizens are currently on 97 goals for the season. So, is everyone tripling up on the former champions?

We’ve had five articles from our Pro Pundits this week: Zophar, Sam, Az, Holly, and Lateriser12 and they all have three City players in their teams.

Likewise Neale, who is preparing his Free Hit team, and Andy, who isn’t on a Free Hit but will have three City attackers.

using-the-top-10000-ownership-to-increase-your-fpl-rank-andys-article 9

On the Scoutcast, Az unveiled an alternative Free Hit team, one without Aubameyang, while both Joe and guest Aleksander will have two City attackers. Aleksander is currently third in the world and is debating whether he goes all out to win FPL – which means picking some differentials – or playing safe and trying to hold onto the bronze medal.

And in his regular review, TheFantasyFreÆK explained how he favours the City front three

It seems only Mark will have one City player as he considers swapping Willian for David Silva

Who knows where the points are going to go, it’s a bit of a lottery isn’t it?

– Mark Sutherns, FPL Show

But there are plenty of opportunities this week for captain and transfer options with a number of enticing match-ups. 

Newcastle, as Neale outlined on the Team News video, are down five of their recognised six centre-halfs, while David described them as being “among the most obliging defences of the last four matches”.

Good news for Liverpool and perhaps Mohamed Salah, who has, according to expected goals, been “the ‘unluckiest’ player in the Premier League from Gameweek 30+ onwards when we factor in both the quality of his chances and the execution of his shots”.

As Pro Pundit Holly notes:

[Salah’s] top for shots (21), shots on target (12) and shots inside the box (19), so ignore him at your peril.

– Pro Pundit Holly
 1

On the Breakfast Club, Neale explained that Mané’s aerial ability could lead to points against the Magpies. Steve Bruce’s side have conceded the most headed chances since the restart, which is consistent with their performance all season. 

There could be a lot of joy in the air for Liverpool.

– Neale, Breakfast Club

Crystal Palace are another side who are expected to struggle, with injuries across their backline. Good news for Harry Kane:

Not only are the Eagles giving up a host of high-quality chances, Spurs’ centre-forward has been steadily improving his total of big chances and shots on target over the last four.

– David, Captain Sensible

Kane’s teammate Son Heung-min was mentioned by Aleksander on the Scoutcast, and Johnny Orphan, currently 53rd in the world, has an interesting theory that the Eagles’ current right-back Joel Ward is a weak link in their defence.

Meanwhile, Watford’s recent poor form will give encouragement to those backing Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Alexandre Lacazette. The latter was selected by Pro Pundit Tom Freeman as one of his three differentials this week.

[The Hornets’] 13 big chances conceded over the last four matches is the same number as Palace and Norwich but means giving up one every 2.7 shots in the box.

– David, Captain Sensible

Seven of those big chances conceded were against Manchester City, it has to be said. 

Tricky Calls

We might feel reasonably confident in predicting wins for City, Liverpool, Spurs and Arsenal but a number of matches are much harder to call.

Take Chelsea v Wolves, for example. Both teams need to get a result to fulfil their European ambitions. The boldness of Mark’s decision to hand Pulisic the armband is highlighted when we consider the strength of the opposition defence: 

Five big chances conceded by Wolverhampton Wanderers since the restart, which is the lowest total in the division. No club has conceded fewer goals (four), shots in the box (16) or efforts in the box (41) than Wolves from Gameweek 30+ onwards.

– Neale, Big Numbers

And Manchester United’s trip to Leicester City is another game with a lot potentially riding on the result – a place in the Champions League could be at stake.

Their recent schedule afforded Ole Gunnar Solskjær’s men very little time to recover between matches, which may well have contributed to some tired-looking performances. However, as Az warned on the Scoutcast, taking out United players could hurt given their huge ownership levels. 

But, equally, this could be a very cagey match as a draw will be good enough for both teams should Wolves beat Chelsea.

Go cheap at the back?

With many managers looking to invest in appealing attacking assets, identifying cut-price defenders with clean sheet potential could be key to Gameweek 38+ success.

So Chris Wood’s comments ahead of Burnley’s match against Brighton were music to our ears:

As a team, we’ll be fighting like hell for [Nick Pope]. He’s an outstanding goalkeeper. Hopefully, we can get him one more so he can get his hands on the Golden Glove.

– Chris Wood

Not only do Burnley offer several cheap defensive options but there’s also the chance they could produce some attacking returns too:

36 chances conceded by Brighton and Hove Albion from their right flank since the restart. Only relegated Norwich City have allowed more opportunities to be created from that zone than the Seagulls… Erik Pieters could potentially exploit that weakness when the two sides meet on Sunday, then.

– Neale, Big Numbers

Since replacing Bernd Leno in goal in Gameweek 30+, Emiliano Martinez has saved 83.3% of the shots on target he’s faced. At £4.4m, he could help enable more expensive options further forward.

And Southampton have the fifth-best chance of recording a clean sheet according to the latest odds supplied, as ever, by G-Whizz. Alex McCarthy, Jack Stephens and Kyle Walker-Peters are all sub-£4.5m options for our squads.

Enjoy the final day

Lateriser12 reminded us that we should try to have fun, and one way of doing that is by playing the game our way:

… you still need to make well informed decisions that are based on stats and the eye-test and on the correct side of probability. The point is that you have to be happy you made the right choice for your playing style, regardless of the outcome.

– Lateriser12

In his article this week, he quoted former community member Eunuch Jelly, who defined what made playing FPL so enjoyable for him:

If you keep your eye on the ball, you can set yourself up for hours of enjoyment at the expense of your rivals. I urge you to transcend points and find the true heart of the game, where those who take a different path can mock others for a few minutes on the weekend and be the real champions of the game.

– Eunuch Jelly

Whether it’s getting one over on a rival or reaching a certain rank, FPL is a game which unites us all.

And speaking of the Fantasy community, here’s your chance to get more involved with the site by joining the Scout Network.

Be it a cool tool, a video channel, amazing tech skills or anything else in between, we want to hear from you.

Community Competitions

For an update on all FFS Mini-Leagues and Community Competitions – including the winners of both the Head-to-Head league and Last Man Standing – please click here to read the latest round-up.

The Head-to-Head fixtures for Gameweek 38+ can be found below:

Use the drop-down menus to show your league and division. To find out which league and division you are in (although you probably know by now!), follow the instructions on the main Head-to-Head page.

May your arrows be green!


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3,847 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Chucky
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    Salah starting lads? He’s my captain so need leaked team news...

    1. COLLIN QUANER
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      Likewise

    2. Heres hoping x 6
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 24 days ago

      Same. Need to know so I can get on with my day!

    3. FOO FIGHTER
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 24 days ago

      I reckon he will. Still an outside chance of winning the GB.

      Benching Salah is not something Klopp ever does.

    4. Oringer7
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Where does one go for team news?

    5. JONALDINHO
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      On 500% EO on city attack today. A 5-1 would be nice

      1. Forza
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        A CS for your mids would be better.

        1. JONALDINHO
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Would be 5 pts I suppose

    6. Cheeto__Bandito
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Keep or sell Vardy??

        1. Chucky
          • 6 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Keep

      • Ohh1454
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Did sterling say he’s going for a hat trick today ?

        1. T.Henry14
          • 6 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          no, but that goes without saying

      • Joshtrini
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Emi
        Taa saiss tark
        Willian kdb dsilva puli bruno
        Laca jesus
        Bench: greenwood, taylor, lundstram
        TC available
        1 FT
        Thinking KDB --> SON and TC DSILVA
        Help!?

      • UKG
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Start greenwood or Foden

        1. timmmuh
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Greenwood

        2. No Totti No Party
          • 9 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          If foden starts i prefer hm

        3. Hairy Potter
          • 5 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Greenwood

        4. iL PiStOlErO
          • 1 Year
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Green

      • Mr_Barbs
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Which one below worth -4 (if any)?

        A) Vardy > Kane
        B) Lascelles > Robbo/Aurier/Tark (have TAA/pope)

        Def: TAA, Saiss, Egan, Lascelles, Holgate
        Att: Vardy, Rashford, Wood

        1. bc82
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Vardy to Kane.. if any

          TAA holgate Egan at the back

          1. Mr_Barbs
            • 3 Years
            1 month, 24 days ago

            Holgate's injured, would have to play saiss. Going to make me low on bench options if one doesn't play. Kane is tempting tho.

      • S.Kuqi
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Which one to sell for Sterling?

        Martial or Fernandes

        1. Christina.
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          bruno

        2. osceola31909
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Bruno

        3. jimmy.floyd
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Bruno

        4. S.Kuqi
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Cheers and gl for last gw. See ya in next season

        5. Snooze ya lose
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Bruno

      • Muscout
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 24 days ago

        A or B

        A)
        Martinez
        TAA, Pieters, Bardsley
        Salah (c), Sterling, Dilva, MARTIAL
        Kane, Auba, GREENWOOD

        Douglas Luiz, Branthwaite, Rico - 0 itb

        B)
        Martinez
        BRANTHWAITE, Pieters, Bardsley
        Salah (c), Sterling, Dilva, ANTONIO
        Kane, Auba, JESUS

        Williams, Guendouzi, Tanganga - 0 itb
        **no Man Utd, bad bench**

      • Gentle_Turks
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        1 FT. 2.0 itb.
        A Bruno to Son / Antonio
        B Doherty to Robertson and bench Aurier
        C Something else

        Pope
        Pieters, TAA, Aurier
        Sterling(c), KDB, Martial, Fernandes, Pulisic
        Jesus, Greenwood
        (Mccarthy, Doherty, Niketiah, Kiko)

      • DAZZ
        • 6 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Start one of these:
        A) Greenwood
        B) Jiminez
        C) Doherty

        1. jamiejoe
          • 5 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          A or B
          Or C

        2. Skorr
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          I choose B when faced with the same choice (although Boly instead of Doherty)

      • Ruinenlust
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Who’s doing TAA -> Neco Williams??

        1. Christina.
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          no one

        2. jtreble
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Just you. 🙂

        3. iL PiStOlErO
          • 1 Year
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Hope that Klopp is not

      • Mattious8
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Auba or Jesus?

        1. A Fat Spanish Waiter
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Auba. Use your city slots elsewhere.

          1. Christina.
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            1 month, 24 days ago

            lol, where?

            1. bc82
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              1 month, 24 days ago

              Ldsilva or even foden

        2. iL PiStOlErO
          • 1 Year
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Jesus

      • A Fat Spanish Waiter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Odds TAA gets rested?

        1. Rainer
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          50/50

        2. Heres hoping x 6
          • 1 Year
          1 month, 24 days ago

          It's all rumours. Why would u? U could have the same argument for all Liverpool/City players

          1. sully29
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            1 month, 24 days ago

            Liverpool trickier to predict than City today.

            1. HMC
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              1 month, 24 days ago

              Agree
              Reckon City will be:
              Sterling Jesus Mahrez
              Kdb Dilva Fernandinho

        3. Sun Jihai
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          50/50

        4. jtreble
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          50:50 imho.

      • Pep Roulette
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Play Saiss or Egan?

        1. osceola31909
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Egan

      • Totti
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        who do u rather guys?

        A) de bruyne and bruno -> sterling and silva ( already owning mahrez )

        B) TAA and bruno -> stepens and sterling ( will have KDB STERLING MAHREZ)

      • FDMS All Starz
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Which one?

        A) Auba - Martial - Bardsley

        B) Ings - Pulisic - Bardsley

        C) Greenwood - Pulisic - Robertson

        1. FDMS All Starz
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          On A it’s TAA* not Bardsley

      • DavidCuz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        salah and greenwood or son and pulisic?

      • Werner Brothers
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Moving TAA to VVD... Feel relieved...

        1. Magic Zico
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Robbo rested as well?

          1. Werner Brothers
            • 5 Years
            1 month, 24 days ago

            No info on that... Just choose the obvious one... Newcastle vulnerable on set pieces too

        2. Werner Brothers
          • 5 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Btw i don't have any info on TAA, just want to avoid late minutes rush

      • primal33
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Team is settled:

        Pope (Button)
        TAA Doherty Bardsley (Masina Robinson)
        Dilva KdB (VC) Salah Sterling (TC) Martial
        Nketiah Ings (Greenwood)

        ML won so playing for position

      • chrisw333
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Martial or Bruno?

        1. ㅤRising
          • 2 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Im on Martial but its tricky

        2. Snooze ya lose
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          M

      • ㅤRising
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Lets say both start and both are priced the same... David Silva or Mahrez?

        1. Hairy Potter
          • 5 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Mahrez

        2. Geezer
          • 9 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Silva

        3. Werner Brothers
          • 5 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Both

        4. osceola31909
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          For today, Silva

        5. iL PiStOlErO
          • 1 Year
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Dilva today all the way

        6. Christina.
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          but they are not....

      • dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        To get D Silva was going to remove Doherty- with rumours of TAA not starting would you remove him instead?

        1. Amey
          • 1 Year
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Wait for information.
          I'm keeping if nothing arises

        2. FPL FAN
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          1 month, 24 days ago

          This...the same dilemma here

      • Sun Jihai
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Rashford or Bruno on the next penalty?

        1. Rainer
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Bruno today.

        2. Amey
          • 1 Year
          1 month, 24 days ago

          I don't trust this logic at all.
          If match isn't won Bruno will take it

      • Bishopool
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        -4pts moves

        a) Jimi, Buldock -> Kane, Pieters
        b) Jimi, Bruno -> Kane, DSilva

        I have KDB and Foden.

        1. Netley Lucas
          • 5 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Raul can score today for 9pts, add the hit it's a Kane brace! Do A with just Pieters.

      • Kane Lane
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Words on Twitter TAA is benched I had feeling do I take him out for minus 4 got Alonso I don't see him starting

        1. Rainer
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Link to the words?

      • Reggie Nainggolan
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        A) KDB for Sterling TC
        B) Salah for Sterling TC

        1. osceola31909
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          A

        2. iL PiStOlErO
          • 1 Year
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Dont like either but B then. A is too sideways

      • bautasten
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        A) Bruno > Silva
        B) Bruno, Doherty > Sterling, Branthwaite (-4)

        1. Shipstontrev
          • 11 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          A

        2. iL PiStOlErO
          • 1 Year
          1 month, 24 days ago

          A

      • Blue Gaffer
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Mane & Jiminez to Ings & Salah (c)-4 yes or no?

        1. Shipstontrev
          • 11 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          No

        2. iL PiStOlErO
          • 1 Year
          1 month, 24 days ago

          No

      • vityovics
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Thoughts on my FH Team?
        I think Raz+Kdb wont play much..

        Pope
        TAA-Pieters-Aurier
        Mahrez-Dilva(C)-Bruno-Martial-Son
        Kane-Jimmy