Tips

The Complete Guide to Scout’s tips and advice for FPL Gameweek 38+

It’s here: the final day of the season! Soon all the tinkering will stop and the rollercoaster ride will begin. Strap yourselves in! 

Welcome to the Fantasy Football Scout Guide to Gameweek 38+. Today’s deadline is at 15:00 BST, one hour before all ten matches kick-off.

The basics first: check the team news. Neale watches all the press conferences throughout the season and will have a sense for how each Premier League manager might approach their last game.

His predicted line-ups and notes contain the most up-to-date information about each team. Make sure your picks or potential transfer targets are included in his best-guess starting XIs. We might get some early team news but it helps to be prepared as much as possible beforehand.

There are a number of different ways to approach Gameweek 38+ and what you choose to do may depend on your overall rank and mini-league situation.

Mark Sutherns, for instance, hasn’t enjoyed his best campaign despite climbing the ranks since the resumption. And he revealed on the FPL show that Christian Pulisic will be his captain because he needs something different to break into the top 100k.

But this isn’t a recommendation that all FPL managers do the same, as Mark himself admitted a safe pick would be a Manchester City player such as Raheem Sterling or, perhaps, Kevin De Bruyne. In the conclusion to his Captain Sensible article, David wrote:

Sterling is clearly the most promising asset from Guardiola’s squad based on his last four performances. No Citizen can match him for big chances or shots on target during that period as he has rediscovered his clinical edge and an impassioned desire to hit 20 or more goals in the Premier League this season.

– David, Captain Sensible

Not only is Sterling in good form but he faces a team in bad shape. Norwich City have conceded 54 shots in the box over their last four matches; only Brighton have been worse. 

It’s easy to understand why so many are considering Pep Guardiola’s troops. To add fuel to the fire, Pep himself revealed that scoring goals will be a motivation for his players:

Every game there has to be a target, a focus, a desire to win the game, and maybe, scoring 100 goals is one of the reasons why.

– Pep Guardiola

The Citizens are currently on 97 goals for the season. So, is everyone tripling up on the former champions?

We’ve had five articles from our Pro Pundits this week: Zophar, Sam, Az, Holly, and Lateriser12 and they all have three City players in their teams.

Likewise Neale, who is preparing his Free Hit team, and Andy, who isn’t on a Free Hit but will have three City attackers.

using-the-top-10000-ownership-to-increase-your-fpl-rank-andys-article 9

On the Scoutcast, Az unveiled an alternative Free Hit team, one without Aubameyang, while both Joe and guest Aleksander will have two City attackers. Aleksander is currently third in the world and is debating whether he goes all out to win FPL – which means picking some differentials – or playing safe and trying to hold onto the bronze medal.

And in his regular review, TheFantasyFreÆK explained how he favours the City front three

It seems only Mark will have one City player as he considers swapping Willian for David Silva

Who knows where the points are going to go, it’s a bit of a lottery isn’t it?

– Mark Sutherns, FPL Show

But there are plenty of opportunities this week for captain and transfer options with a number of enticing match-ups. 

Newcastle, as Neale outlined on the Team News video, are down five of their recognised six centre-halfs, while David described them as being “among the most obliging defences of the last four matches”.

Good news for Liverpool and perhaps Mohamed Salah, who has, according to expected goals, been “the ‘unluckiest’ player in the Premier League from Gameweek 30+ onwards when we factor in both the quality of his chances and the execution of his shots”.

As Pro Pundit Holly notes:

[Salah’s] top for shots (21), shots on target (12) and shots inside the box (19), so ignore him at your peril.

– Pro Pundit Holly
 1

On the Breakfast Club, Neale explained that Mané’s aerial ability could lead to points against the Magpies. Steve Bruce’s side have conceded the most headed chances since the restart, which is consistent with their performance all season. 

There could be a lot of joy in the air for Liverpool.

– Neale, Breakfast Club

Crystal Palace are another side who are expected to struggle, with injuries across their backline. Good news for Harry Kane:

Not only are the Eagles giving up a host of high-quality chances, Spurs’ centre-forward has been steadily improving his total of big chances and shots on target over the last four.

– David, Captain Sensible

Kane’s teammate Son Heung-min was mentioned by Aleksander on the Scoutcast, and Johnny Orphan, currently 53rd in the world, has an interesting theory that the Eagles’ current right-back Joel Ward is a weak link in their defence.

Meanwhile, Watford’s recent poor form will give encouragement to those backing Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Alexandre Lacazette. The latter was selected by Pro Pundit Tom Freeman as one of his three differentials this week.

[The Hornets’] 13 big chances conceded over the last four matches is the same number as Palace and Norwich but means giving up one every 2.7 shots in the box.

– David, Captain Sensible

Seven of those big chances conceded were against Manchester City, it has to be said. 

Tricky Calls

We might feel reasonably confident in predicting wins for City, Liverpool, Spurs and Arsenal but a number of matches are much harder to call.

Take Chelsea v Wolves, for example. Both teams need to get a result to fulfil their European ambitions. The boldness of Mark’s decision to hand Pulisic the armband is highlighted when we consider the strength of the opposition defence: 

Five big chances conceded by Wolverhampton Wanderers since the restart, which is the lowest total in the division. No club has conceded fewer goals (four), shots in the box (16) or efforts in the box (41) than Wolves from Gameweek 30+ onwards.

– Neale, Big Numbers

And Manchester United’s trip to Leicester City is another game with a lot potentially riding on the result – a place in the Champions League could be at stake.

Their recent schedule afforded Ole Gunnar Solskjær’s men very little time to recover between matches, which may well have contributed to some tired-looking performances. However, as Az warned on the Scoutcast, taking out United players could hurt given their huge ownership levels. 

But, equally, this could be a very cagey match as a draw will be good enough for both teams should Wolves beat Chelsea.

Go cheap at the back?

With many managers looking to invest in appealing attacking assets, identifying cut-price defenders with clean sheet potential could be key to Gameweek 38+ success.

So Chris Wood’s comments ahead of Burnley’s match against Brighton were music to our ears:

As a team, we’ll be fighting like hell for [Nick Pope]. He’s an outstanding goalkeeper. Hopefully, we can get him one more so he can get his hands on the Golden Glove.

– Chris Wood

Not only do Burnley offer several cheap defensive options but there’s also the chance they could produce some attacking returns too:

36 chances conceded by Brighton and Hove Albion from their right flank since the restart. Only relegated Norwich City have allowed more opportunities to be created from that zone than the Seagulls… Erik Pieters could potentially exploit that weakness when the two sides meet on Sunday, then.

– Neale, Big Numbers

Since replacing Bernd Leno in goal in Gameweek 30+, Emiliano Martinez has saved 83.3% of the shots on target he’s faced. At £4.4m, he could help enable more expensive options further forward.

And Southampton have the fifth-best chance of recording a clean sheet according to the latest odds supplied, as ever, by G-Whizz. Alex McCarthy, Jack Stephens and Kyle Walker-Peters are all sub-£4.5m options for our squads.

Enjoy the final day

Lateriser12 reminded us that we should try to have fun, and one way of doing that is by playing the game our way:

… you still need to make well informed decisions that are based on stats and the eye-test and on the correct side of probability. The point is that you have to be happy you made the right choice for your playing style, regardless of the outcome.

– Lateriser12

In his article this week, he quoted former community member Eunuch Jelly, who defined what made playing FPL so enjoyable for him:

If you keep your eye on the ball, you can set yourself up for hours of enjoyment at the expense of your rivals. I urge you to transcend points and find the true heart of the game, where those who take a different path can mock others for a few minutes on the weekend and be the real champions of the game.

– Eunuch Jelly

Whether it’s getting one over on a rival or reaching a certain rank, FPL is a game which unites us all.

And speaking of the Fantasy community, here’s your chance to get more involved with the site by joining the Scout Network.

Be it a cool tool, a video channel, amazing tech skills or anything else in between, we want to hear from you.

Community Competitions

For an update on all FFS Mini-Leagues and Community Competitions – including the winners of both the Head-to-Head league and Last Man Standing – please click here to read the latest round-up.

The Head-to-Head fixtures for Gameweek 38+ can be found below:

Use the drop-down menus to show your league and division. To find out which league and division you are in (although you probably know by now!), follow the instructions on the main Head-to-Head page.

May your arrows be green!


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3,847 Comments Post a Comment
  1. All about the galacticos
    • 6 Years
    4 months, 12 days ago

    With less than minute left brought in kane and under time stress did auto transfer
    I got thomas from leicester, oh well

    1. It’s gonna Ben Mee
      • 6 Years
      4 months, 12 days ago

      How could a defender get auto picked for a forward slot?

      1. Andy_Social
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        4 months, 12 days ago

        If he's 1st sub.

      2. All about the galacticos
        • 6 Years
        4 months, 12 days ago

        took out trent leaving a blank, using cash to upgrade striker to kane
        then auto transfered the empty defender slot

  2. how now brown cow
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    4 months, 12 days ago

    Good luck all.

    Planned all week to do egan, bruno, jimenez -> pieters, silva, jesus -4

    Panicked into TAA, Salah-> laporte & sterling instead.

    Need an unlikely wolves win and sheff utd cs.

  3. Matjes_taet
    • 3 Years
    4 months, 12 days ago

    Need a Pukki-Party now.

  4. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    4 months, 12 days ago

    40 minutes still no update...

    Must be a big one!

  5. Niho992
    • 2 Years
    4 months, 12 days ago

    Chooses Mahrez ahead od KdB and Jesus for my 3rd City asset on FH. Just great.

  6. diesel001
    • 4 Years
    4 months, 12 days ago

    Free Hitters causing update to be long

  7. lilmessipran
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 months, 12 days ago

    Hoping Mahrez comes on for 30 odd minutes vs that terrible Norwich defense

  8. Nightcrawler
    • 1 Year
    4 months, 12 days ago

    Kept dcl thinking he would get a few chances with Bournemouth looking to win. Now hes benched too

    Any chance he stays there? Greenwood first sub

  9. Moose™
    • 8 Years
    4 months, 12 days ago

    Salah and Mahrez 30 mins brace!

  10. Vazza
      4 months, 12 days ago

      Who is more likely to keep a clean sheet today

      A. Spurs
      B. Liverpool

      1. NABIL - 1 season 1der
        • 8 Years
        4 months, 12 days ago

        A

      2. Sun Jihai
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        4 months, 12 days ago

        A

      3. antis0cial
        • 4 Years
        4 months, 12 days ago

        A

      4. DandyDon
        • 2 Years
        4 months, 12 days ago

        Spurs based on lineups

    • DandyDon
      • 2 Years
      4 months, 12 days ago

      How do you think I do? Quite glad no salah/mane meant keeping some Utd cover. Lacazette is my main differential and hoping Jesus has a nightmare but can't see it

      Ederson
      Bardsley Robbo Aurier
      Sterling(C) Dsilva Martial Antonio
      Kane Ings Lacazette

    • NABIL - 1 season 1der
      • 8 Years
      4 months, 12 days ago

      Anyone else here starting foden?

      1. Von Lipwig
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        4 months, 12 days ago

        yo

      2. Andy_Social
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        4 months, 12 days ago

        Yeh, my City trio all scored last GW so they go again - Laporte, Foden, Sterling (c)

        1. DandyDon
          • 2 Years
          4 months, 12 days ago

          nice

        2. NABIL - 1 season 1der
          • 8 Years
          4 months, 12 days ago

          Nice.. best of luck again!

      3. Pompel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        4 months, 12 days ago

        No, first on benched, just like last GW 🙁
        Salah needs to stay on bench then

      4. Holmes
        • 7 Years
        4 months, 12 days ago

        Good luck 😀

    • ClassiX
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      4 months, 12 days ago

      The same guys that got Garmin just got FPL... 😉

      1. Lord - Blaming it on Rio
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        4 months, 12 days ago

        Don't need the pros.

    • Tony Martial
      • 2 Years
      4 months, 12 days ago

      Come on KDB!!

    • 03farmboy
      • 1 Year
      4 months, 12 days ago

      Aubameyang or Martial who scores more?

      1. It’s gonna Ben Mee
        • 6 Years
        4 months, 12 days ago

        Martial

      2. Tony Martial
        • 2 Years
        4 months, 12 days ago

        Who do you think

      3. beric
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        4 months, 12 days ago

        tied on 15 each

    • THE WERNER DELUSION
      • 5 Years
      4 months, 12 days ago

      any way for FFS to funnel some of their £500k+ assets into new servers for deadline traffic? 😀

      1. badgerboy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        4 months, 12 days ago

        Mark squirrelled it away in his 'Special Swiss ISA'

        1. THE WERNER DELUSION
          • 5 Years
          4 months, 12 days ago

          😀 😀

    • Christina.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      4 months, 12 days ago

      that was fun for the last 5 mins

      Jesus, TAA, Salah out
      Auba, Robbo, KdB in

      1. NABIL - 1 season 1der
        • 8 Years
        4 months, 12 days ago

        FH?

        1. Christina.
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          4 months, 12 days ago

          yep

      2. beric
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        4 months, 12 days ago

        nice moves babe. i got auba in last minute too

        1. Christina.
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          4 months, 12 days ago

          xxx

    • Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      4 months, 12 days ago

      Micah Richards spent two minutes eulogising about how Man Utd are UNDER PRESSURE today

      Keane just dismisses it - so much better than the Yes Men normally on Sky

    • NABIL - 1 season 1der
      • 8 Years
      4 months, 12 days ago

      First time sterling owner here. Captained him

      If he fails, you guys know who to blame now.

    • Sharkytect
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 months, 12 days ago

      Ready for david silva to sign off by spending the day assisting the assists

    • Brosstan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 months, 12 days ago

      Mark would never have let the site go down 10 minutes before deadline... He needs to come back

      1. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        4 months, 12 days ago

        He’d have been punching those 1’s & 0’s by hand if he’d had to

        1. Brosstan
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          4 months, 12 days ago

          He often had a reserve server up and going that was manually powered by him pedaling along on a bike. ALways went the extra mile did Mark

          1. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            4 months, 12 days ago

            FPL could do with his bike as well by looks of things

            45 mins & stiiiiiiiillllllllll updating

      2. df34
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        4 months, 12 days ago

        Yes this was irritating

    • bigbadsaint
      • 10 Years
      4 months, 12 days ago

      Have you ever know such a barrage of childish people setting up fake accounts on Twitter to sabotage people's teams when their only 'crime' is to have a bit of free time and the enthusiasm to search for a little early team news. Utterly pathetic, petulant, jealous, 9 year boy stuff.

      Was astounded at the sheer volume of purposeful misinformation today.

      Had various plans to fill up on City attack based on possibility one of KDB/Salah/Fernandez/Martial didn't start
      Ended up doing my plan B a -12 for Salah/Ederson/Foden/Jiminez to Sterling(c)/Martinez/Antonio/Jesus

      Fingers crossed.

      1. Tony Martial
        • 2 Years
        4 months, 12 days ago

        I agree with you and good luck!

      2. NABIL - 1 season 1der
        • 8 Years
        4 months, 12 days ago

        Ouch Foden gonna punish you. Sorry mate

    • Pompel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 months, 12 days ago

      Think I agree with advocates of 90 minute deadline, to give even playing odds. Admittedly, I have often used the team leaks to my advantage, but would be more fair if everyone had to make their own assumptions on line-ups.

    • df34
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 months, 12 days ago

      Game has not updated yet, it didn’t work for me before the deadline

      1. FPLShaqiri
        • 2 Years
        4 months, 12 days ago

        Very frustrating. Want to know whether it's worth watching City if I have different captain to my rivals.

    • SAY MY NAME
      • 3 Years
      4 months, 12 days ago

      This season has been tough, had an awful first half, was ranked about 3.5m at halfway point, managed to haul myself up to about 120k, and then dropped back a bit last couple of weeks, and now with TAA and Salah benchings i don't think that will improve.....

      Next season has got to be better!

    • Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 months, 12 days ago

      Did Salah, Taa and Foden to Sterling, Aurier and Antonio.

      I’m sure Foden will punish me for selling him for a hit

    • yalala
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 months, 12 days ago

      I hate this game

    • Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      4 months, 12 days ago

      Longest. Update. Ever.

      1. the dom 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        4 months, 12 days ago

        Yep wtf?

      2. AVFCChris1984
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        4 months, 12 days ago

        Always wondered why it takes so long to update, are they manually putting in everyone's transfers, lol.

    • Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 months, 12 days ago

      So Pick supposed to be showing City v Norwich but I'm seeing Leicester v Utd.
      Wtf?

    • Pino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 months, 12 days ago

      Lol I forgot the deadline time, I thought it was 1 hour later. Didn't do my transfer, but I think I captenaid Sterling.And Im in top 5k.