Spot the Differential

The best FPL differentials to consider for the new season

The Gameweek 1 deadline is now upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some differential options for the start of the season.

As always, we’ve selected three players with an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing, who represent viable alternatives to some of the more popular assets out there.

Christian Pulisic

Willian and Pulisic make case for Chelsea double-up with Norwich on horizon
  • FPL ownership: 6.6% (4.8% at the time of writing)
  • Price: £8.5m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: bha | LIV | wba | CRY | SOU

Despite a slow start, Christian Pulisic (£8.5m) enjoyed a fine first season at Chelsea, and hit top gear upon the Premier League’s resumption back in June.

The United States international contributed a combined eight goals and assists in just nine league appearances during Project Restart, and went on to score in the FA Cup final defeat to Arsenal.

That kind of output suggests a big campaign lies ahead.

In yesterday’s press conference, manager Frank Lampard confirmed Pulisic is in contention for Monday’s trip to Brighton, and with an ownership of just 4.8% at the time of writing, could be an explosive differential for those willing to gamble on him starting. Saying that, an appearance off the bench might not be the end of the world for owners, considering his ability to haul from limited minutes, as evidenced at Anfield last season.

The Blues’ opponents in Gameweek 1, Brighton and Hove Albion, head into the season with plenty of optimism themselves after a busy transfer window, though it’s worth noting they shipped 11 goals in just three home games against Liverpool, Manchester City and Manchester United during the restart, while doubts linger over their ability to keep things tight against the best attacking setups in the league. 

Following the arrivals of Kai Havertz (£8.5m), Hakim Ziyech (£8.0m) and Timo Werner (£9.5m), competition for places at Chelsea is fierce right now. However, we think this could have a positive effect on Pulisic, who could now take his game to another level and thrive alongside such quality.

James Ward-Prowse

  • FPL ownership: 4.7%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: cry | TOT | bur | WBA | che

James Ward-Prowse (£6.0m) may only have registered nine attacking returns last term, but with the Saints going from strength-to-strength, we’re backing the England international to kick on this season.

A product of the Saints academy, Ward-Prowse has become a vital part of manager Ralph Hasenhüttl’s midfield unit, and played every minute of the club’s 2019/20 Premier League campaign. 

It has been suggested the departure of Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (£5.0m), and re-introduction of Oriol Romeu (£4.5m) to the starting XI, will give the Southampton captain a bit more freedom to get forward, which is encouraging, but there is no getting away from the fact his ability from set-pieces and delivery from wide areas is the main attraction.

Ward-Prowse whipped in a massive 72 crosses from Gameweek 30+ onwards, more than any other player, while his 20 shots ranked joint-ninth amongst midfielders. Add to that free-kicks, corners and a share of penalties with Danny Ings (£8.5m), and we think there is a lot to like here. 

After a disappointing start to last season, Southampton performed well once Hasenhüttl had settled on his 4-4-2 / 4-2-2-2 system. Their away form was only bettered by Liverpool and Manchester City, while just the Manchester clubs collected more points during Project Restart.

The Saints are unbeaten in their last five league matches on the road, and take on a Crystal Palace side in Gameweek 1 who have won just four games all calendar year, all of which bodes well for Ward-Prowse and Southampton’s prospects this weekend.

Dele Alli

  • FPL ownership: 3.3%
  • Price: £8.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: EVE | sou | NEW | mun | WHU

This season feels like a defining moment for Dele Alli (£8.0m), after another disappointing campaign last time round.

However, his performances under Jose Mourinho in the early weeks of his tenure offers hope he may be able to find his best level again. 

Under Mourinho’s stewardship, there was an immediate improvement in Alli’s output, which saw him go on a run of four goals and three assists in five matches, while his underlying statistics suggest he may be being overlooked.

Since Mourinho’s first game in charge, amongst midfielders, only Raheem Sterling (£11.5m), Mohamed Salah (£12.0m) and Sadio Mané (£12.0m) accumulated big chances at a faster rate. His expected goal data was also encouraging, and trumped that of team-mate Son Heung-min (£9.0m), despite seeing fewer minutes.

While I’m unsure how much we can read into pre-season, Alli’s displays have offered promise, having registered two assists in a 3-0 home win over Ipswich Town before scoring in a 4-1 victory at Reading.

Up first for Tottenham Hotspur is Everton. While the Toffees’ will no doubt look a much better unit with their new midfield recruits, it may take time for them to gel, while their poor away record last term saw them concede 35 goals – only five teams gave up more.

Heading into the new season, it is vital for Alli to keep himself fit and find a bit more consistency in his performances. If he can do that, while retaining an attacking midfield role, he could be in for a big season.

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2,172 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Muhammed Wael
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Recommend a 6.5 player mid

      1. Ron_Swanson
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Jota

      2. anish10
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Foden

        1. Marmalade Forest
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Foden

      3. Sterling Malory
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Traore or Periera @6m

      4. GloryManUnited
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Noone

        1. Ron_Swanson
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Craig Noone? He plays for Melbourne last I checked

      5. AuFeld
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Bowen to start, then Foden.

      6. TONY123
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        Bowen

    • Bunk Moreland
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Oh wow, Branislav Ivanovic back in the PL.

      1. Drizz ✅
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Lucky Saurez is no longer in EPL

        1. Ron_Swanson
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          No such luck for Chiellini

    • Jacky boy
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Vinagre innnn???

      Nuno Espirito Santo on new signings Vitinha and Marcal: "We need to give them time to consolidate, to integrate to how we play and then we support them. They have to adapt to a new city, a new competition."

      1. AnfieldLad
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Never left my team

      2. Ron_Swanson
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Just too risky and a transfer waiting to be done

        1. Top Lad Dakes.
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          this is the only issue. swapped him for justin (same problems though I suppose but at least fairly certain he starts for now!

      3. Ser Davos
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        We need to really research these potential bargains and read between the lines. I was dismissive of Lundstram last year as he'd barely got a kick in the Championship

        Looking at Vinagre, there's two LWBs. Himself and this 31 year old Marcal who could well be cover across that position and LCB. The only other threat would ostensibly be a new signing in the form of Telles

        As it stands, Vinagre looks to start and could well be first choice, which could be enough

        1. Jacky boy
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 17 days ago

          Yes. But what about transfer rumours around him?

          1. Ser Davos
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 17 days ago

            Important to consider

    • anish10
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      A) Ings
      B) Jiminez

      1. Ron_Swanson
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        A ( I have both)

    • Jafooli
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      So disappointed in my team already.....

      1. Super Saints
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Same, hate it as I'm following ownership

    • GloryManUnited
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      If this can hold on the page for 5 seconds....

      Someone tell me who has been in there team since the first time they made it.

      TAA/Kane/Auba for me

      1. Ron_Swanson
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        TAA, Werner

      2. Super Saints
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        TAA Salah Auba Son

      3. Marmalade Forest
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Johnstone
        Salah/Auba/Greenwood/Foden

        All in it pre fixtures too.

        All defenders and forwards have left at least once.

      4. HuttonDressedasLahm
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        Trent
        Salah
        Auba

      5. BlueEddy
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        TAA Kane Werner

      6. NABIL - 1 season 1der
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        Trent
        Salah
        Auba
        Kane

      7. jb1985
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        TAA
        Doh
        Auba
        Salah
        Werner

      8. Warby84
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        Trent Salah Werner Aubameyang Tierney

    • Top Lad Dakes.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Hiya fellas. Fairly settled... I think. Tear it apart though! 0.5 ITB 🙂

      Ryan (Walton)
      TAA Doherty KWP Justin (Mitchell)
      Auba(c) Salah Alli JRod (Burke)
      Werner Wilson (Davis)

      Cheers and good luck all x

      1. HuttonDressedasLahm
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        HRod not JRod 😉

    • Malinwa
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Final team!
      Any advice would be welcome.

      McCarthy (Nyland)
      Davies - Egan - TAA - KWP (Mitchell)
      Auba - Salah - Son - ASM (Bissouma)
      Werner - Ings (Brewster)

      1. PocketZola
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        4-4-2 makes me feel uneasy

        1. Super Saints
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 17 days ago

          This!!

      2. Top Lad Dakes.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Good team! Had almost exactly the same but decided I might try to go a bit puntier. Scared of Ings tbh though.

        Help above?

      3. Ron_Swanson
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        I have 8 of them. Looks ok

        1. Malinwa
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 17 days ago

          How does your team looks like?

          1. Ron_Swanson
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            2 months, 17 days ago

            I have VVD instead of Egan, then James Rodriguez and Jiminez up front. No Salah or ASM (433)

    • PocketZola
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Is it really worth keeping taylor or get a playing 4.5 like dallas?

      1. Amey
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Taylor is good value. If you can afford to bench GW 1, get him

        1. Marmalade Forest
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 17 days ago

          Yeah if I wasn’t planning 2 Manchester assets I’d have him.

    • HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Loved my team last night, now just changed about 5 players 😆
      Having doubts over Spurs and Southampton now

      1. NABIL - 1 season 1der
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        Why Spurs?

      2. Twisted Saltergater
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        You’re right to have doubts. Listen to them 🙂

      3. Chris_H
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        There's so many unknowns at the moment there's no harm in playing the fixtures

    • Podorsky
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Best mid up to 10,5 for one game week only?

      1. Ron_Swanson
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        Willian

    • Ninjaa
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Vardy and jwp
      Or
      Ings and Rodriguez/Barnes

    • AnyoneButLiverpool
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Is this Demi guy trustful? 80 per person seems like a lot of money..

      1. Jafooli
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Demi time...

      2. Drizz ✅
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 18 days ago

        ???

    • ShaunGoater123
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 18 days ago

      Thoughts on the below team for GW1?

      McCarthy
      Belleri / TAA / Doherty / Justin
      Salah / Auba / Alli
      Werner / Adams / Wilson

      Steer / Soucek / Bissouma / Mitchell
      1m ITB

      I can will then do the below in GW3:
      1 - Bellerin, Doherty & ALli > 4.5, Davies & Fernandes
      2- Bellerin , Doherty , Wilson > 4.5, Davies & Martial

    • Muhammed Wael
        2 months, 18 days ago

        Leicester mid who will play?!

        1. Amey
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Barnes

          1. Muhammed Wael
              2 months, 17 days ago

              what about Pérez?!

          2. HuttonDressedasLahm
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 17 days ago

            NDidi

            1. HuttonDressedasLahm
              • 11 Years
              2 months, 17 days ago

              You didn’t mention points 😉

        2. subhojit123
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Hi guys...just wanted to have your opinion on Antonio. Is he a good punt for captaincy just for first gameweek?

          1. Lord - Blaming it on Rio
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 17 days ago

            Only if you are in a mini-league where you can only pick West Ham players.

            1. subhojit123
              • 3 Years
              2 months, 17 days ago

              Ok...thanks for that 🙂

        3. Jafooli
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          How is a player like Fornals 6.5m....I don’t even know who he is....

          1. KujaliaFC
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            2 months, 18 days ago

            I don't think he's nailed on. Attackingish midfielder I think.

          2. NABIL - 1 season 1der
            • 8 Years
            2 months, 17 days ago

            Because ozil is 7.0

        4. KujaliaFC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Koch (Leeds) or Kenny (Everton)?

          1. Amey
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 18 days ago

            Don't like either.

            Koch though if from this only

            1. KujaliaFC
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              2 months, 17 days ago

              I'm torn because Koch will be the main main in Leeds defence, but if Kenny can take over from Coleman, there's huge upside.

          2. Jafooli
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            2 months, 17 days ago

            Koch looks solid....

            1. KujaliaFC
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              2 months, 17 days ago

              Maybe I should start on Koch and move to Kenny if he's looking to be first choice at RB.

              1. Jafooli
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 8 Years
                2 months, 17 days ago

                😛 😉

          3. HuttonDressedasLahm
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 17 days ago

            Kenny will be bargain of the season

          4. HashAttack
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 17 days ago

            Just read this ...
            "Ancelotti has reiterated that he has full faith in Jonjoe Kenny and if he does impress the Italian in the opening few games before October 5, the Toffees may not even try to sign another right back"

            How does Kenny impress in the first few games unless he plays?

        5. Rafa_is_a_geordie.
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Think i'm done, but will probably wake up at 3am and change the whole lot, who knows.

          McCarthy
          TAA / Doherty / Justin
          Salah / Auba / Son / ASM
          Werner / Mitro / Adams

          Nyland / Vinagre / Mitchell / Bissouma
          1.5 ITB

          Was thinking of Doherty, Son, Adams becoming Davies, Alli and Ings but I really want Doherty.

          Probably Werner > Martial for GW 2 and Auba . KDB/Sterling GW 3 but that might all change obvs. Will definitely want Pulisic when fit too. Comments appreciated 🙂

          1. Warby84
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 17 days ago

            I quite like it, would take a punt in Wilson over Mitrovic, but just my opinion

            1. Rafa_is_a_geordie.
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 2 Years
              2 months, 17 days ago

              Yeah I do fancy Wilson, I just didn’t want to double up as really like ASM and think he’s best in that price range by far. Did think of double but also aware I’m a deluded mag lol

        6. Harry's Car Window
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          Squad for first couple of weeks... thoughts?

          McCarthy
          Doherty, KWP, Vinagre, Mitchell
          Aube, Traore, Saka
          Kane, Werner, Mitro

          Ramsdale, Rashford, Greenwood, Williams

          Plan is to go

          Traore > Foden for GW2
          Aube > KDB for GW3

          1. Marmalade Forest
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 17 days ago

            You’ll be top 1% if Leeds beat Liverpool 1-0.

        7. Pep bites Kun
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          I'm happy with my first 11 for gw1, but still have Brewster sitting on my bench. I'm tempted to let him sit in the 3rd spot as although there is no decisive transfer news as yet, there is plenty of interest (however he may also move outside PL)

          I have 3 options; keep, switch or change my forward line. Advice?

          K. Keep: Werner, Ings, Brewster
          S. Switch Brewster to Davis or other?
          C. Change: Werner, Antonio, Mitrovic

          1. MARVELLUS
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 17 days ago

            C consider Adams over Antonio

            1. Pep bites Kun
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 17 days ago

              Cheers - Hadn't considered him. I'll take a look.

        8. Hansel
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 18 days ago

          A) 2x4,5 defenders + Pulisic/Havertz
          B) Robbo, Davies, ASM

          1. FPL ElasticO
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 17 days ago

            A for me

        9. FPL ElasticO
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 17 days ago

          Who should you have in your team?

          A. Mitrovic
          B. Adams

          1. luk46
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 17 days ago

            both ok, Mitrovic if one

        10. Dacra
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 17 days ago

          McCarthy (4)
          TAA - Davies - Saliba - Mitchell (Shaw)
          Auba - Salah - Havertz - Alli (Bissouma)
          Werner - Adams (David)

          0.5itb - likey 1 of the Chelsea guys out first for Utd/City depending how it goes.

          1. NETFLIX & CHILWELL
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 17 days ago

            Pretty much the same team as mine, part from Bissouma and Shaw.

            Solid.

            I have Douglas (Leeds) as a 4.0m defender instead, and am trying to work out which 5th midfielder to have - budget of £6m to make it a 3-5-2.

            Decisions!

        11. Kakashi Of The Leaf
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 17 days ago

          Has Marcus Rashford featured in any of England games recently? Or is he out still injured?

          1. Drizz ✅
            • 8 Years
            2 months, 17 days ago

            INJ

          2. Ron_Swanson
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            2 months, 17 days ago

            Didn’t travel

        12. jaguar shark
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 17 days ago

          Ok what do you all think of this? Tempted to swap Adams for JWP, would you?

          McCarthy
          TAA : Doherty : James
          Aub (c) : Salah : Havertz : ASM
          Werner : Mitrović : Adams

          Button : Mitchell : Taylor : Bissouma

        13. luk46
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 17 days ago

          pick one:
          A - Saiss B - Egan C - Davies

          this option is better:
          1 - VVD + JWP + Martial
          2 - 5m def + Fernandes + Adams

        14. Pep Roulette
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 17 days ago

          Why are people considering Ryan over McCarthy?

          1. JelliedSpark968
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            2 months, 17 days ago

            They probably have KWP

          2. GloryManUnited
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 17 days ago

            Why do people consider women over men or vice versa? Good question

          3. AuFeld
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 17 days ago

            Loss of Hojbjerg.

          4. GuenDoozy
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            2 months, 17 days ago

            Brighton could be a very solid defence this season

        15. tristanabc
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 17 days ago

          Am I good to go ladies and gents?

          Keeping 1.0m in the bank to fund one of the below in GW2 depending on GW1 performance.

          a) Salah, Wilson -> Bruno, Martial
          b) Salah, Son -> Bruno, KDB/Sterling
          c) Son -> Rashford

          McCarthy Steer
          TAA Davies KWP (Dallas) (Mitchell)
          Auba Salah Son ASM (Bissouma)
          Werner Adams Wilson

          1. subhojit123
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 17 days ago

            How nailed is Wilson?

        16. wildnothing
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 17 days ago

          First draft of the season. How does it look?

          Ryan Walton
          TAA Robbo KWP Vingre Dallas
          Auba Sala Havertz Soucek Bissouma
          Werner Mitro Adams

          1. GloryManUnited
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 17 days ago

            Template

          2. JelliedSpark968
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            2 months, 17 days ago

            Downgrade Robbo and upgrade Adams