Tips

The Complete Guide to Scout’s tips and advice for FPL Gameweek 4

Welcome to the Fantasy Football Scout Guide to Gameweek 4, the final round of fixtures before the October International Break. It’s another 11:00 BST deadline before the action gets underway with Chelsea hosting Crystal Palace in the early kick-off.

This week’s Guide focuses on Manchester City’s enticing encounter with Leeds United, and offers advice from a selection of Fantasy Football Scout contributors on the best players for our FPL teams.

STOP PRESS: Sadio Mané (£11.9m) has been ruled out of Gameweek 4.

Diogo Jota (£6.3m) is Neale‘s tip to replace the stricken Senegalese in the Liverpool starting XI. The doyen of the Team News has made his informed line-up predictions ahead of the weekend matches.

Elsewhere, Jose Mourinho has been keeping FPL managers guessing. Having originally ruled Son Heung-Min (£9.0m) out with a hamstring injury until after the international break, the Portuguese later opened the door to an early return:

I don’t believe [he can play]. But because he is so optimistic and always trying to give us positive feelings and hopes, I don’t want to say he is completely out – because maybe he can surprise us.

– Jose Mourinho

Son replacements were discussed on the Scoutcast. Commenting on the South Korean’s awkward £9.0m price tag, Pro Pundit Holly Shand suggested managers have an opportunity to reshape their attacks::

It makes sense just to go right down and if you’re in a 3-5-2 like we are Az, or if you’re not happy with your strikers anyway, you can get yourself a whole new forward line, get a load of attacking penalty takers.

– Holly

It’s been a high-scoring start to the season but without doubt the headline over the first few weeks has been the number of spot-kicks awarded. Should we all be stocking up on penalty takers and turning our FPL teams into ‘Penalty FC’?

Neale took an in-depth look at the players we might consider targeting should the present rate of spot-kicks continue. However, a Premier League meeting on Tuesday resolved to allow referees “greater subjectivity within the existing rules” in regards to handball decisions.

Although the controversial penalty awarded against Eric Dier (£5.0m) would still have stood.

Penalties were also a topic touched on by Pro Pundit Lateriser this week. Following a disappointing start to his Wildcard in Gameweek 3, the three-time top 200 manager is considering saving a transfer ahead of the international matches. 

As fellow Pro Pundit Zophar highlighted in the latest installment of The FPL Wire, some national teams are playing three times in the upcoming break, therefore saving a transfer could be a sensible decision.

And with three Manchester City players in his side, Lateriser is hoping for a green arrow to propel him up the leaderboard.

Pep Guardiola’s troops travel to Leeds United in what promises to be a high-scoring match. G-Whizz informs us that the Whites have just a nine per cent chance of a clean sheet but even that feels slightly generous given what we’ve seen so far.

Goalkeeper Illan Meslier (£4.5m) made a string of impressive saves to keep Sheffield United at bay, after conceding four to Liverpool on the opening day. 

Writing in Captain Sensible, Jan Sienkiewicz notes:

Unless Bielsa decides to play in a more defensive fashion against Manchester City, which I think is quite unlikely, we should expect to see plenty of goals in this game.

– Jan

As a result, Jan feels that Kevin De Bruyne (£11.6m) and Raheem Sterling (£11.5m) can offer better explosivity this week than Salah and Mané.

Speaking in the Captaincy Video, David feels that it’s the Beligan who can deliver the bigger points tally out of the two:

I don’t think Man City are as dangerous when Sterling has to play the centre-forward role. So I also don’t think Sterling is as dangerous when he has to play the centre forward role because it’s not really what he’s used to… De Bruyne is playing this advanced role, his stats so far have been more rounded than Sterling – he’s created more chances than him: nine chances that he’s created and four shots on target, Sterling only with two.

– David

Outside of the armband dilemma, Pro Pundit Tom Freeman has singled out Riyad Mahrez (£8.4m) as his headline differential pick.

Following his return from a positive COVID-19 test, the Algerian has completed 90 minutes in three successive matches. And he has the potential to deliver points as a goalscorer or creator, having registered 11 goals and 14 assists last year.

While an insight from Neale in his big numbers article offers further encouragement:

Fifteen chances conceded by Leeds United from their left flank this season, the highest total in the division from that side of the pitch. The Whites are up against Manchester City this weekend, and that possible weakness will be of interest to Riyad Mahrez (£8.4m) and, depending on the formation, Kevin De Bruyne (£11.6m).

– Neale

The excellent form of Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.5m) makes him the most popular acquisition for the second successive Gameweek.

Zophar consulted the stats after three matches before making his transfer decision: the Evertonian joining for the yet-to-impress Timo Werner (£9.4m).

Fellow Pro Pundit Andy has a similar decision to make with German occupying a spot in his side, but is considering a move for Raul Jimenez (£8.6m) instead. While for Career Hall of Fame No 1, Fábio Borges, there’s no question of selling him just yet:

Werner is a world-class forward with two excellent home fixtures ahead of him. I think these two factors overshadow all the possible reasons to lose faith in him so soon.

– Fábio

Concluding his research into the available forwards, the six-time top 5,000 manager, Zophar, agreed with Holly’s sentiment that 3-4-3 will be the successful formation this campaign:

The forward area certainly has more options than it did in previous years and I guess the only silver lining to the new handball rule is that it has made budget strikers more viable. I certainly plan to stick to my 3-4-3 formation going forward.

– Zophar

Meanwhile, during her foray into the numbers, Pro Pundit Sam Bonfield has decided to give underperforming striker Che Adams (£5.9m) a stay of execution. She suggests that his expected goal involvement (xGI) of 1.52 makes him worthy of some loyalty. West Brom should offer further opportunities to score.

However on FPL Black Box, Fantasy Football Scout founder Mark revealed that he has shipped out the Southampton forward in favour of the popular Calvert-Lewin.

And using stats from the Members Area, Mark revealed how much Wolves have struggled this season – only West Brom have a worse minutes per expected goals (xG) tally.

Nonetheless, this hasn’t dissuaded him from adding Jimenez to his squad.

Earlier this week, the Best of the Community feature focused on Chelsea and player value to find the perfect squad. It’s also rounded-up all FFScout Mini-Leagues and Community Competitions.

And finally, for those interested in the Head-to-Head Leagues, the main page can be linked to here. The fixtures for Gameweek 4 can be found below:

Use the drop-down menus to show your league and division. To find out which league and division you are in, follow the instructions on the main Head-to-Head page.

Once the Gameweek starts, if you click on your opponent’s name you will be linked to their team on the FPL website.

May your arrows be green!

TopMarx Fan of Fantasy Football and Monty Python. "Archimedes out to Socrates, Socrates back to Archimedes, Archimedes out to Heraclitus, he beats Hegel. Heraclitus a little flick, here he comes on the far post, Socrates is there, Socrates heads it in! Socrates has scored! The Greeks are going mad, the Greeks are going mad! Socrates scores, got a beautiful cross from Archimedes. The Germans are disputing it. Hegel is arguing that the reality is merely an a priori adjunct of non-naturalistic ethics, Kant via the categorical imperative is holding that ontologically it exists only in the imagination, and Marx is claiming it was offside.”

1,707 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Top Lad Dakes.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 21 hours ago

    Actually can't believe I've stuffed that.

    Congrats KDB captainers, you're on for a haul while Salah blanks now lol

    1. riot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 21 hours ago

      Replied last page but I think we're fine

      1. Top Lad Dakes.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 21 hours ago

        Haha yeah, hopefully works out.

    2. Gudjohnsen
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 21 hours ago

      Why?

      1. Top Lad Dakes.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 21 hours ago

        Werner to Salah VC switch somehow got jumbled into KDB to Salah C switch and I somehow didn't notice. Hadn't checked team in a few days cos I was set on no transfers

        1. riot
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 21 hours ago

          Nightmare

          1. Top Lad Dakes.
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 21 hours ago

            still baffled tbh. was on mobile, must've somehow pressed the wrong button and not even noticed

  2. Dacra
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 21 hours ago

    James, Saiss, Podence, Foden.

    Only 2 playing subs.

    Ropey.

    1. Good Times
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 21 hours ago

      On the exact same boat

    2. Dark Side Of The Loon!
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 21 hours ago

      Same here

    3. Good Times
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 21 hours ago

      Feels like the worst wc already

    4. Top Lad Dakes.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 21 hours ago

      Foden will get minutes regardless (though hopefully starts). I'd imagine James would too. Be surprised if Saiss gets dropped off one bad performance tbh, and Podence did train this week apparently so I'm hopeful

      1. Dacra
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 21 hours ago

        Positive attitude, I like it!

        1. Top Lad Dakes.
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 21 hours ago

          Saiss Foden Podence all starting for me too haha, so that's part of it. But genuinely that's how I see things too

    5. Gudjohnsen
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 21 hours ago

      Same

    6. Jon Walter's Hatty
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 21 hours ago

      That lot plus Richarlson here

    7. fish&chips
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 21 hours ago

      I think Foden plays

  3. Right In The Stanchion
      2 months, 21 hours ago

      Sold Jorginho to Hudson Odoi and now know Chelsea will get pens.

      Bad unlucky move. Lampard out

      1. Seanigula
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 21 hours ago

        You brought in CHO...they want you sacked as well

        1. ivantys
            2 months, 21 hours ago

            LOL

          • Right In The Stanchion
              2 months, 21 hours ago

              I want FFS sacked for telling me Jorginho wouldn’t play in predicted lineups

        2. Gudjohnsen
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 21 hours ago

          Reese James fail

          1. Hazz
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 21 hours ago

            Reece's in Pieces

        3. JBG
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 21 hours ago

          Where does these covid news come from even? I'm reading 4 wolves players and now TAA, in the comments. No source..

          1. Andy_Social
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            2 months, 21 hours ago

            All trolling. Relieve we had 8 hours' power cut today. Blocked out all the cr4p.

            1. JBG
              • 2 Years
              2 months, 21 hours ago

              Ah okey.

            2. fish&chips
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              2 months, 20 hours ago

              Where in Cambodia are you based Andy?

        4. CostaCoffee
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 21 hours ago

          Next weeks team looking kinda nice. Brewster (FUL), Mitchell (BHA) and Taylor (wba) on the bench.. gonna be tough to choose an XI
          James Rod might even have to be sacrificed

          1. Valar(Keith)
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 21 hours ago

            The IB and PVA returning will sort that out for you. Good position to be in though

          2. Holmes
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 21 hours ago

            BB is your friend

        5. Hairy Potter
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 21 hours ago

          Anyone know of a site where those who are confirmed to have test positive for covid are listed?

          1. Seanigula
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 21 hours ago

            getalife.com

            1. Hairy Potter
              • 5 Years
              2 months, 21 hours ago

              Ha

          2. tutankamun
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 21 hours ago

            https://www.premierinjuries.com/injury-table.php

            Lists all injuries including Covid

            1. Hairy Potter
              • 5 Years
              2 months, 21 hours ago

              Thanks

        6. Dark Side Of The Loon!
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 21 hours ago

          With 1 confirmed and 3 possible no shows need Sterling (C) to fire!

          1. Wicked Weapon
              2 months, 21 hours ago

              I would like that very much as well

          2. Captain Vantastic™
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            2 months, 21 hours ago

            Anyone got link to Fabio Borges team?

          3. Gudjohnsen
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 21 hours ago

            Is Lampard the new Pep

            1. Andy_Social
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              2 months, 21 hours ago

              The new Sherwood.

            2. Ze_Austin
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 2 Years
              2 months, 21 hours ago

              Nope. The new Potter

            3. Stormbringer22
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 1 Year
              2 months, 21 hours ago

              Needs to lose his hair first

          4. riot
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            2 months, 21 hours ago

            Brewster v Fulham next week already looking tasty

            1. tokara
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 20 hours ago

              Bamford

          5. Stormbringer22
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            2 months, 21 hours ago

            I can already see a 59th minute substitution of Werner out for Pulisic. Oh well, lesson learned

            1. Seanigula
              • 11 Years
              2 months, 21 hours ago

              and someone in for the injured Pulisic at ‘79

              1. Seanigula
                • 11 Years
                2 months, 21 hours ago

                or 79’, ha

              2. Stormbringer22
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 1 Year
                2 months, 21 hours ago

                😀

          6. acesingh
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 21 hours ago

            I still don’t understand why I’m paying 9.4 mio for an out of form, reverse OOP Chelsea mid who is not on pens....

            1. Holmes
              • 7 Years
              2 months, 21 hours ago

              FOMO

              1. THFC4LIFE
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 4 Years
                2 months, 21 hours ago

                This

          7. dshv
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 21 hours ago

            Hope werner to show some clas today..

            1. Jon Walter's Hatty
              • 7 Years
              2 months, 21 hours ago

              He will as I've sold him. I've never had such a bad start to a season for a guy who once had 4 top 7k finishes on the trot - fully expect every move I have to be reverse Midas this horror year.

          8. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 21 hours ago

            Would be Mitchell be starting GW5?

            1. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 21 hours ago

              *would Mitchell be

          9. Ze_Austin
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 21 hours ago

            FL finally starts his best defender

            1. Flair
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              2 months, 21 hours ago

              CS incoming

            2. ivantys
                2 months, 21 hours ago

                *Best back 5, maybe except Zouma.

            3. Pedram
              • 7 Years
              2 months, 20 hours ago

              Captaincy percent:

              Salah 19.31%
              De Bruyne 15.72%
              Aubameyang 10.94%
              Calvert-Lewin 8.53%
              Vardy 7.99%
              Jiménez 5.12%
              Werner 4.80%
              Kane 4.43%
              Ings 3.43%
              Sterling 2.41%

              1. fish&chips
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 10 Years
                2 months, 20 hours ago

                2.41% nice!!

              2. Uncle Gamst
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 9 Years
                2 months, 20 hours ago

                2.41% for a guy who's quick as lightening, playing as main striker against a team who play such an open game?

            4. Gudjohnsen
              • 3 Years
              2 months, 20 hours ago

              James to Robbo?

              1. tokara
                • 6 Years
                2 months, 20 hours ago

                No bainer

            5. Gudjohnsen
              • 3 Years
              2 months, 20 hours ago

              Werner will score for sure.

              Only a quaestion if it's 1 or 2.

            6. Dark Side Of The Loon!
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 20 hours ago

              C'mon Palace!

            7. ThisTimeNxtYrRodney
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              2 months, 20 hours ago

              This is the time to "sit on your hands" (to use a fishing term) and not rush into early transfers. The IB will involve players travelling and socialising a lot more with the liklehood of an increase in covid cases. Those not playing in international matches may be given a few days off as well. This coupled with the risk of injury with a very busy IB with 3 matches for some teams could leave some rueing early transfers.
              The Mane "situation" should be a warning to all. Be patient and good luck to all.