Spot the Differential

Aguero still only owned by 2.5% of FPL managers despite Jesus injury

Once again differentials had a lot of success in Gameweek 5, with the likes of Che Adams (£5.8m), Ross Barkley (£6.0m) and former column inclusion Sergio Reguilón (£5.5m) all registering attacking returns for their owners.

There’s no shortage of candidates to consider this week either.

This time, we’re focusing on differentials from Manchester City, Leeds United and Fulham, who we like the look of for Gameweek 6 and beyond.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Sergio Agüero

Cut-price Aguero back on FPL radar as Guardiola rules Jesus out for "more months"
  • FPL ownership: 2.5%
  • Price: £10.4m
  • GW6-10 fixtures: whu | shu | LIV | tot | BUR

Sergio Agüero (£10.4m) is back on the FPL radar after scoring a penalty in Wednesday’s Champions League comeback win against Porto.

Manchester City’s all-time leading scorer has now played 133 minutes since returning to the starting XI against Arsenal last weekend, and it surely won’t be long before he rediscovers his usual goal-scoring form.

The impact of City having to use makeshift strikers in recent weeks has been well documented. During this period, manager Pep Guardiola has turned to Raheem Sterling (£11.6m) and Riyad Mahrez (£8.5m) to lead the line, but with the attack not functioning quite as fluidly as in previous seasons, it’s probably fair to say it hasn’t worked out for them.

However, with Agüero gaining fitness day-by-day and Kevin De Bruyne (£11.5m) back in training ahead of schedule, we should see them move up a gear in the coming weeks.

City travel to the London Stadium to take on West Ham United in Gameweek 6, having won all five of their previous visits in all competitions. That run has seen them score at least four goals in each game, and should they collect another three points on Saturday lunchtime, they will lift themselves up to third in the Premier League, at least temporarily. 

Agüero scored 16 times in just 18 league starts last season, and with a crucial run of games coming up, could make a real impact for early investors.  

Pascal Struijk

  • FPL ownership: 2.2%
  • Price: £4.0m
  • GW6-10 fixtures: avl | LEI | cry | ARS | eve

With Kalvin Phillips (£5.0m) set to sit out the next few games with a shoulder injury sustained in Monday’s loss to Wolverhampton Wanderers, Marcelo Bielsa has confirmed Pascal Struijk (£4.0m) will replace him in Leeds United’s starting XI.

That hands FPL managers a medium-term, starting £4.0m defender, who will be deployed out-of-position as a holding midfielder. 

The 21-year-old was outstanding in Leeds’ deep-lying midfield role during the final games of last season, and has continued to impress this term after featuring at centre-back against Liverpool and Wolves.

Struijk offers a big physical presence, with good passing ability, which was recently highlighted in an interview with teammate Luke Ayling (£4.5m).

“… his range of passing is probably the best at the club, honestly. Both feet he can ping a ball 40/50 yards and it’s pretty impressive to be honest.” – Luke Ayling

You can certainly see an assist or two over the coming weeks with a long pass out to one of Leeds’ wide-players, while he also carries a goal threat from set-pieces.

Leeds United kick off Gameweek 6 tonight at Aston Villa, with games against Leicester City and Crystal Palace to follow, both of whom have struggled to score from open-play in recent weeks.

Understandably, there is a lot of interest in Max Kilman (£4.1m) in the community right now. However, with question marks around who is Nuno Espírito Santo’s first choice left wing-back, and who he prefers as his left-sided centre half if Romain Saïss (£5.2m) is displaced from the flanks, Struijk currently looks the safer option for regular starts, at least. He has made big strides since moving to Leeds in 2018, and given how much Bielsa can improve players, could be a solid value pick for the next run of fixtures.

Ademola Lookman

  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW6-10 fixtures: CRY | WBA | whu | EVE | lei

Since joining Fulham on a season-long loan from RB Leipzig last month, Ademola Lookman (£5.0m) has impressed.

The 22-year-old was excellent at Sheffield United last weekend, netting the opener in an eye-catching appearance which saw him register three shots and lay on three further chances for his team-mates. Always looking to get on the ball, run at opposition defenders and exploit space between the lines, his performance was a breath of fresh air. 

Interestingly, Fulham moved away from their usual 4-2-3-1 shape and opted for a 3-4-2-1, with Ruben Loftus-Cheek (£5.9m) and Lookman handed free roles behind Aleksandar Mitrović (£5.9m). If Scott Parker is to continue with that system it certainly heightens Lookman’s appeal, and would give him a real platform to thrive free from too many defensive responsibilities. 

Fulham have largely disappointed since returning to the Premier League, but take on a Crystal Palace side in Gameweek 6 who are without a clean sheet in four matches. With a home tie against West Bromwich Albion to follow, the fixtures give them the opportunity to kick start their season. 

Lookman is an exciting player who offers something different for Fulham. Already, he looks like the most likely of their attackers to make things happen in the final third, and at just £5.0m, could be a nice enabler who can step into your starting XI when needed.

Become a Member and get unrestricted access to our data and articles

Full-year memberships are now available for the price of £19.99. Monthly subscriptions also cost just £2.99.

Join now to get the following:

  • Plot your transfer strategies using the fully interactive Season Ticker.
  • Get projections for every Premier League player provided by the Rate My Team statistical model.
  • Use Rate My Team throughout the season to guide your selections and transfers.
  • Get access to over 150+ exclusive members articles over the season.
  • Analyse our OPTA-powered statistic tables specifically tailored for Fantasy Football Managers.
  • Use our exclusive tool to build custom stats tables from over 100 OPTA player and team stats.
  • Enjoy our brand NEW Flat-Track Bully feature which introduces an opposition filter to your tables.
  • View heatmaps and expected goals data for every player.
  • Use our powerful comparison tool to analyse players head-to-head.

ALREADY A USER? CLICK HERE TO UPGRADE YOUR FREE ACCOUNT

NEW TO SCOUT? CLICK HERE TO START A MEMBERSHIP ACCOUNT

avfc82 https://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/894/history”

1,143 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Muscout
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 8 days ago

    McCarthy
    Chillwell, Castagne, Lamptey
    Salah, Sterling, Son, Hamez, Soucek
    Kane, DCL

    Steer, Brewster, Mitchell, Branthwaite

    0.2 itb, make a transfer or save? Brewster to come in for Hamez

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      Looks good

  2. The Count of Monte Cristo
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    Good to go and bench order correct?

    McCarthy
    TAA -- Targett -- Mitchell
    Salah (c) -- Son -- Pulisic -- Soucek
    Mitrovic -- Kane (vc) -- C.Wilson

    4.0 -- Bissouma -- J.Justin -- C.Taylor [0FT + 4.0m ITB]

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      Yep. Pray for mitchell

      1. The Count of Monte Cristo
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        Yep, hopefully Justin and Taylor both start at least.

  3. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    Best move with the JRod news?

    A. Ings >> Kane (risk of 10 men if Jrod didn’t play)

    B. Biss >> Grealish

    C. Davis >> Antonio/Maupay

    McCarthy
    TAA, Mitchell, Saiss
    Pulisic, Salah, Rodríguez**, Son, Biss
    DCL, Ings
    (Nyland, Justin, Davies, Davis)

    1. thepuntmaster
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      B

    2. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      B

  4. thepuntmaster
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    Start two of:
    A) PVA (ful)
    B) Kilman (NEW)
    C) Ayling (avl)
    D) Trossard (WBA)

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      AD - BC bench order

  5. Skogen89
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    A) Play Mitchell or James?

    B) Do James > Robbo (-4)

    If i play Mitchell and PVA start, i have only James (who probably wont start) and Taylor (Tot H).

  6. Cech's Magic Hat
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    Mitro & JRod > Kane & Grealish (or Zaha)

    Worth a hit? Maybe not now I've seen JRod news but I'm 0.1 short of Kane

  7. Baked baines
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    Would you play
    Barkley or Rodriguez??

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      Both

      1. Baked baines
        • 6 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        Or drop Zaha?

  8. merin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    What are you guys doing with JRod, if you have him in your team?

    1. Strchld
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      Keeping

    2. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      Was keeping anyways

    3. Warby84
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      Keeping and (C) haha

  9. Baines on Toast...
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    Sick of Nuno's bullshit.

    1. Seanigula
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      or don’t own risky players

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      Harsh

  10. Strchld
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    I think James have to go. Chillwell or Reguilon in?

    1. Warby84
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      Chilwell

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      Chilwell

  11. Forcella Boys
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    1 month, 8 days ago

    Which would you do ?

    a) Jimenez & Barnes> Maupay & Sterling
    b) Barnes & Klich > Zaha & Foden

  12. RED_ARMY
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    TAA to Robbo worth a -4?

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      No

    2. Warby84
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      Serious..

    3. Calm
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      On its own, hell no. If you are desperate for 0.5 in the short term, maybe (?) depending on the other move you are making.

      1. Ron_Swanson
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        0.4

    4. Seanigula
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      Over 5 weeks he’s only outscored him by ten points, and that seems unlikely to continue forever

  13. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    Chances of this lot playing?

    Mitchell 40%?
    JRod 60%?
    Davies 5%?

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      Davies higher than 5% but still cannot see it happening.

      Ancelotti's comments about James seem pretty positive so I'm sure he'll get some minutes, even if off the bench.

      Absolutely no idea about Mitchell but I'm starting him, ha.

  14. Inazuma X1
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    Lol Hames not out XD

    1. Baines on Toast...
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      ?

      1. Inazuma X1
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        See below

  15. si
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    Did Watkin take penalties for Brentford?

    1. Baines on Toast...
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      Nope

    2. Hy liverpool
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      Benrahma

    3. Calm
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      Nah. Pens for Villa seems a bit of a lottery tbh.

      1. si
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        Thanks all.
        Watkins or Maupay is a real dilemma over here..

        1. Calm
          • 6 Years
          1 month, 8 days ago

          I think Villa (Grealish) will continue to create a lot and they have great fixtures, so personally would go Watkins. Pens are an annoying factor though I agree 😀

  16. Calm
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    Hey all. Don't have Salah or Kane. Tempted to go a few more weeks without Salah, with Wham and City coming up in the next 3 weeks. I am fairly certain both will perform well this week. Would appreciate any comments on my below options 🙂

    A) Jimi to Kane, Barnes to Grealish (-4)
    B) Barnes to Salah, Jimi to Watkins (-4)

  17. OptimusBlack
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    About Jrod
    "No he's not definitely out. Fortunately his recover was really good and he trained today, just a partial training session.

    I hope he'll train tomorrow and we'll see if he's ready for sunday"

  18. Make United Great Again
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    Hamez back in training lol

    1. Over Midwicket
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      Loool

  19. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    Best VVD replacement?

    A) Lamptey (4.8 max)
    B) Saiss
    C) Reguilón
    D) Chilwell

    A) enables Jimenez -> Aguero

    McCarthy
    TAA, Bellerin, VVD*
    Salah, Son, Foden, Barkley
    Kane, Jiménez, Antonio

    Steer, Bissouma, Holding, Mitchell
    Bank 0.3m, 1FT, WC available

    1. Over Midwicket
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      D

      1. Jinswick
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        I like Chilwell, but 3 things are putting me off:

        1) Chelsea can’t defend, especially away from home
        2) I expect him to concede this week away at United, so perhaps he can wait
        3) it makes it hard to get Aguero

        A) keeps options open - could also be one of the AVL defenders who have good fixtures and are playing well.

        Original plan was Saiss who I still like. Wouldn’t be too hard to find the extra 0.2m to fund Aguero

    2. Calm
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      I think Lamptey can overperform his price tag in the short-medium term, while also giving you cash to move Jimi to Werner/Kun or Foden to Pulisic, Ziyech, Kai etc. as you said. So, for me, A. Best of luck 🙂

    3. royals forever
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      Lamptey

    4. Bavarian
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      B

  20. royals forever
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    Help is needed on the final part of my WC

    Best 6.0MF for this front 8

    Grealish Havertz Son Soucek xxxxxxxx

    Aguero Kane DCL

    Any ideas would be really appreciated

  21. BlzE_94
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    GTG?

    Martinez
    Chilwell Lamptey Mitchell
    Mane Sterling Son Grealish
    Kane DCL Wilson

    Bench: Forster, Kilman, Targett, Bissouma

    1. Warby84
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      I would play kilman over Mitch..

  22. OptimusBlack
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    Pick one to play
    A- Semedo NEW (H)
    B - Chilwell MUN (A)

  23. Jubilanus / BSC Small Boys …
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    I love fantasy football scout, but... sometimes you can just have too much content and things/ideas/tips start to overlap.

    Both Lookman and Struijk feature in spot the differential but are also in cited in the "potential traps for GW 6" article.

    Somebody needs to "tame the beast".

  24. ajay_kl +42
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    McCarthy
    Trent, Mitchell, Justin
    Salah, Son, Grealish, Podence
    DCL, Mitrovic, Kane

    Steer, Bissouma, Taylor, Lascelles

    1FT, 4.8 in bank. What looks best?

    1 - Lascelles to Saiss
    2 - Podence to Zaha/JRod
    3 - Mitrovic to Maupay
    4 - Save FT and reassess next week with 2FTs

  25. The Rumour Mill
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    For anyone wondering what a "big hematoma" is: massive bruise. Very positive he's back in partial training 🙂

    1. IRBOX ⚽
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      Was never a doubt. A slight bruise from a Virgin van Dyke. He is fine and will score massively. I hope people didn’t rid already

      1. The Rumour Mill
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        Agree with you on all counts apart from your last one, I hope people did get rid and are punished for it! 😛

        1. IRBOX ⚽
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 8 days ago

          Touché 😎

  26. Brakos2k
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    Play Lascelles or switch to Lamptey or Konsa for -4?

  27. drughi
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    100% keeping jrod now, will be back for newcastle next week in worse case

    1. IRBOX ⚽
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      Huh? He will score big points against Southampton

  28. Inazuma X1
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    RIP 350 thousand people who transferred out Hames

    1. IRBOX ⚽
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      Fickle bunch or premature ejaculators

  29. joey
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    A couple of finishing touches needed for my team, feedback appreciated

    Martinez

    Lamptey Saiss Kilman

    Salah(c) Bruno Son Jrod Grealish

    Kane DCL

    Button Konsa Struijk Brewster

    On a wildcard and have 0.4m to play with.

    1) Targett over Konsa? I like Konsa for a bit of goal threat but Targett gets forward ok. Saves 0.1m which isn't much but if Kilman or Struijk suddenly fall out of favour leaves me enough for another 4.5m defender without messing around

    2) Play either Targett or Konsa? Maybe Rodriguez won't play or he could have lesser minutes but I want him in really. Can see a clean sheet for Villa but not as likely as Wolves against Newcastle or Brighton against WBA, plus Lamptey has a bit of attacking threat

    Captain is a bit of a coin toss between Salah and Kane but going with Salah at home against a pretty poor team seems sensible. Any advice appreciated