Tips

The Complete Guide to Scout’s tips and advice for FPL Gameweek 6

Welcome to the Fantasy Football Scout Guide to Gameweek 6. It’s the first Friday deadline of the season – you have until 18:30 BST to ready the troops!

Who to captain?

This week Jan Sienkiewicz, our sage of the armband, recommends Sadio Mané (£11.9m), Mohamed Salah (£12.3m) and Raheem Sterling (£11.6m) in his Captain Sensible article. Risk-taking often factors into our decision-making process, and in terms of popularity Salah is the safest pick:

“Backed by over 66% of our voters combined, Salah and Kane seem to be the safe choices for Gameweek 6, the heavily-backed Egyptian the safest of the two.”

– Jan

In the latest edition of The Review, BigManBakar also tips Salah ahead of an enticing encounter against Sheffield United:

He’s on penalties playing for a team that has the best xG this season. According to the bookies, Salah has the best odds of scoring a goal and Liverpool are the most likely team this Gameweek to score 2.5+ goals. No player in the league has recorded more shots in the box this season.

– BigManBakar

Meanwhile David, who returned to the Captain Video after successfully transferring out a wisdom tooth last week, brought more good news for those considering a Liverpool player. Pointing out the impact the now-departed Dean Henderson (£5.4m) had on the Blades’ defence, he noted:

Sheffield United last season, for all the clean sheets they kept, I think a lot of people … would have assumed their xGC (expected goals conceded) was often quite good, but actually it really wasn’t. They would give up lots of Big Chances, but Dean Henderson had the second-best xG Prevented in the whole division last year, i.e. he was making incredible saves to keep Sheffield United in games.

– David

And if you prefer a differential option – a tactic last week’s Meet the Manager guest Graeme Sumner advocates – Neale was on hand with a tasty stat in his Big Numbers piece.

79.4 minutes per expected goal involvement (xGI) recorded by Sadio Mane, the best figure in the division from any player who has started at least one Premier League match this season.

– Neale

At under 10 per cent ownership, the Senegalese could be the better option for those willing to move away from Salah.

High opportunity cost

With so many players performing well this year it’s impossible to have them all. One strategy is to switch between the premium assets for their best fixtures, to give yourself the best captain candidates. 

But, as Greyhead has found out this season, you will have to accept the high opportunity cost.

The Community scribe sold Jamie Vardy (£10.0m) before his unexpected Gameweek 3 hat-trick away to Manchester City, he then ditched a potentially-injured Son Heung-min (£9.4m) ahead of his brace in Gameweek 4, and even his Gameweek 5 transfer-out Che Adams (£5.8m) returned 11 points after leaving his team.

The topic was raised on this week’s Scoutcast, with all three of Joe, Az, and Lee holding differing opinions on how to deal with the season. Az in particular was against switching out expensive players:

I think you can build a team with these premiums and you don’t need to worry about switching them out every week to try and catch different ones, because we’ve seen how much that can hurt people.

– Az

Instead, Az prefers to identify blocks of fixtures rather than transferring out a player because he blanked. 

Pro Pundit Simon March offered a different perspective on opportunity cost when discussing loss aversion, a cognitive bias that describes our tendency to fear losses more than we value gains.

Arguably the number one source of anxiety among Fantasy managers comes from transferring a player out who you suspect might suddenly start scoring, something that always seems to happen.

– Simon

Citing Timo Werner’s (£9.3m) haul against Southampton’s high-line defence, Simon explained that “one of the key skill elements of FPL is identifying the contextual factors that influence whether a player will score or not.

Essentially, judge the decision not the outcome. Simon concluded:

Most importantly, although it might feel like it, a player did not start scoring because you transferred them out. That kind of ‘magical thinking’ can quickly sabotage a Fantasy manager’s season as it removes logic and objectivity and puts events firmly into the hands of chance.

– Simon

And fellow Pro Pundit Lateriser doesn’t expect the rollercoaster of a season to stop any time soon.

This season, variance is a lot higher than usual and I expect that trend to continue. Be prepared for it and remember that this is only a game, one which involves a fair amount of luck and unpredictability as well.

– Lateriser

Value Villains 

Several contributors have noted the value on offer in Aston Villa’s ranks, who have surprised us all with their excellent start.

Now is a good time to invest in [Villa] from an attacking standpoint. When it comes to their attackers, I get the feeling that you will get what you pay for. Jack Grealish (£7.2m), Ross Barkley (£6.0m) and Ollie Watkins (£6.0m) are all correctly priced in my opinion and could be good stick-and-forget options for a while.

– Lateriser

In his Scout Notes from Gameweek 5, David Wardale, the author of Wasting Your Wildcard, revealed that Grealish was the most advanced Aston Villa player against Leicester City. While Az also recommends the Villa talisman:

Looking at the numbers, Grealish seems the stand-out option. Turning attention to Mark’s “Top Penalty Box Dweller” table in the Premium Members Area also shows that no player in the league can better the number of touches that Grealish has had in the opposition box (38) over the last four Gameweeks.

– Az

Referring once more to Neale’s stat-dive article, we find that Dean Smith’s men could be set for more immediate returns:

2.8 direct attacks per game recorded by Aston Villa this season, the highest number in the Premier League. Leeds United, Villa’s opponents on Friday, have had the most direct attacks against per game so far this term (4.0). A direct attack is one that starts just inside a team’s own half, has at least 50% of movement towards the opposition goal and ends with a shot or touch in the opponent’s box. Aston Villa ranked 16th for this statistic last season (1.4).

– Neale

A change in attacking style this season that looks set to reap rewards again in Gameweek 5.

Are Premium Defenders Worth the Money?

– the black circles represent the defenders priced £5.5m and over

Lateriser is considering selling Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.5m), Magnus Carlsen has sold Trent Alexander-Arnold, and BigManBakar’s research finds that “Andrew Robertson (£7.1m) is beating Trent in almost every single underlying stat that matters – not only this season but post restart”.

The graphic above is taken from FPL Ted’s video analysing premium defenders. Alexander-Arnold stands out with nine shots and nine chances created, which would suggest attacking returns are imminent. But perhaps the numbers aren’t as impressive as they first appear:

Alexander-Arnold seems to have monopolised direct free-kicks, which may explain why all nine of goal attempts have been small chances.

– FPL Ted

Neale, too, paints a less-than-ideal picture of the Liverpool full-back:

50 minutes per chance created by Trent Alexander-Arnold this season, still a very reasonable figure but down on last season’s average of 37. His average number of crosses per match has dropped from 10.1 to 7.4, in no small part thanks to his rate of corner-kicks dipping (4.3 to 2.6); Robertson, indeed, has delivered more of those than the Liverpool right-back in 2020/21.

– Neale

Will he be making way in your team this week?

Finally, before confirming your starting line-up, don’t forget to check the latest Team News and Predicted Line-ups. In case you missed it, James Rodriguez (£8.0m) may make a miraculous recovery for Sunday’s game!

Community latest

Earlier today, the Best of the Community feature included a tactical analysis from Kroos Kontrol, a ‘keeper evaluation from El Estadístico, and Jaydutt’s list of potential transfer traps ahead of the weekend’s fixtures.

And finally, for those interested in the Head-to-Head Leagues, the main page can be linked to here. The fixtures for Gameweek 6 can be found below:

Use the drop-down menus to show your league and division. To find out which league and division you are in, follow the instructions on the main Head-to-Head page.

Once the Gameweek starts, if you click on your opponent’s name you will be linked to their team on the FPL website.

May your arrows be green!


Become a Member and get unrestricted access to our data and articles

Full-year memberships are now available for the price of £19.99. Monthly subscriptions also cost just £2.99. A FREE trial is now available during December.

Join now to get the following:

  • Plot your transfer strategies using the fully interactive Season Ticker.
  • Get projections for every Premier League player provided by the Rate My Team statistical model.
  • Use Rate My Team throughout the season to guide your selections and transfers.
  • Get access to over 150+ exclusive members articles over the season.
  • Analyse our OPTA-powered statistic tables specifically tailored for Fantasy Football Managers.
  • Use our exclusive tool to build custom stats tables from over 100 OPTA player and team stats.
  • Enjoy our brand NEW Flat-Track Bully feature which introduces an opposition filter to your tables.
  • View heatmaps and expected goals data for every player.
  • Use our powerful comparison tool to analyse players head-to-head.

ALREADY A USER? CLICK HERE TO UPGRADE YOUR FREE ACCOUNT

NEW TO SCOUT? CLICK HERE TO START A MEMBERSHIP ACCOUNT

TopMarx Fan of Fantasy Football and Monty Python. "Archimedes out to Socrates, Socrates back to Archimedes, Archimedes out to Heraclitus, he beats Hegel. Heraclitus a little flick, here he comes on the far post, Socrates is there, Socrates heads it in! Socrates has scored! The Greeks are going mad, the Greeks are going mad! Socrates scores, got a beautiful cross from Archimedes. The Germans are disputing it. Hegel is arguing that the reality is merely an a priori adjunct of non-naturalistic ethics, Kant via the categorical imperative is holding that ontologically it exists only in the imagination, and Marx is claiming it was offside.”

1,099 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Ibra
    • 2 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    Podence + R. James -> Bruno + Balbuena (-4)?

  2. Leif Erikson-Formerly of La…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    G2G? Sub order all good?

    Ryan

    Robertson, Semedo, Chilwell

    Salah (c), Son, Hamez, Grealish

    Kane, DCL, Maupay

    Subs: Button, Mitchell, Dallas, Stephens

    1. Troll hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      Yes g2g

      1. Leif Erikson-Formerly of La…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 4 days ago

        Cheers!

  3. NABIL - I had 4 Spurs GW1
    • 8 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    Good luck peeps

  4. Niho992
    • 2 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    Come on Grealish and Ayling !

  5. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 10 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    best 4.5 defender?

    1. GOTHAM City F.C.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      Targett

    2. Troll hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      Mitchell?

    3. toluthadon
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      Target might be a good shout

  6. si
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    Selling C Wilson doesn’t feel right but I enjoyed it.

    1. Daniel - FH,BB,TC,WC left
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      good, who do you got? Walters or Maupay?

    2. HashAttack
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      Just sold him for Werner ... can hope for a Kilman CS now

  7. toluthadon
    • 6 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    Bench one?
    A. Lamptey
    B. Podence
    C. Play bench boost with Mitchell, Bissouma, 4.0 Gk

    1. Leif Erikson-Formerly of La…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      A

      Don't do C

      1. toluthadon
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 4 days ago

        Cheers

    2. Make ManeMane Make ManeMane
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      A and it's not close

      1. toluthadon
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 4 days ago

        Cheers

  8. tabby98
    • 5 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    Bench 2
    A) Justin
    b) James
    c) KWP
    D) Mitchell

  9. Little Red Lacazette
    • 4 Years
    3 months, 4 days ago

    Need a 10 pointer from Martinez, and just 16 from Grealish. Not too much to ask.

    1. Joey Tribbiani
        3 months, 4 days ago

        "You musnt afraid to dream a little bigger, darling"

        1. Free Hat
          • 1 Year
          3 months, 4 days ago

          Inception?

          1. Brosstan
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            3 months, 4 days ago

            Friends. It's a Joey Tribbiani quote

    2. PremKraut
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      Really tough to captain Salah when you had Kane last week.
      Just doesn't feel right.

    3. SHOWSTOPPERRR
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      Hames price drop??

      1. Twisted Saltergater
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 4 days ago

        *rise

      2. Troll hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 4 days ago

        Looks like it

    4. jamiejoe
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      A) Rodriguez or B) Greenwood first sub?

      1. GOTHAM City F.C.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 4 days ago

        B

        1. GOTHAM City F.C.
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 4 days ago

          Guessing you're playing A

          1. jamiejoe
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 4 days ago

            Just switched it

    5. corderz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      Play one:

      A) Chilwell
      B) Dallas
      C) Mitchell

      1. Reggie Nainggolan
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 4 days ago

        A

        1. Reggie Nainggolan
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 4 days ago

          Salah

    6. HD7
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      Salah or Kane as C?

      1. Reggie Nainggolan
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 4 days ago

        Salah

      2. chilli con kone
        • 7 Years
        3 months, 4 days ago

        Captain poll - Salah

    7. Firminoooo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 4 days ago

      Start KdB or Brewster.

      1. chilli con kone
        • 7 Years
        3 months, 4 days ago

        Kevin easy

      2. Cookie Kid
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 4 days ago

        lol Kevin

      3. Jdpz
        • 1 Year
        3 months, 4 days ago

        kdb xd

      4. Joey Tribbiani
          3 months, 4 days ago

          wtf

        • Iceball
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          3 months, 4 days ago

          Start KDB or sell

      5. Reggie Nainggolan
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 4 days ago

        PANIC STATION KICKING INN

        1. Leif Erikson-Formerly of La…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          3 months, 4 days ago

          I'd stay there

      6. Twisted Saltergater
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 4 days ago

        A little worried about Liverpool's attacking thrust being blunted by making sure they don't concede. Going Kane(c) over Salah.

        1. chilli con kone
          • 7 Years
          3 months, 4 days ago

          I think its the opposite. They will make sure they score enough goals to win the game and Sheff are not much of a counter attack threat

          1. Twisted Saltergater
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            3 months, 4 days ago

            Team's usually react to conceding a lot of goals and can go too much in the opposite direction. If Klopp plays Milner and Henderson in from of the back 2, it doesn't bode well for Salah imo.

        2. YEAH PITCH!
          • 2 Years
          3 months, 4 days ago

          Think it'll go the other way. All out attack. Best form of defence.

      7. chilli con kone
        • 7 Years
        3 months, 4 days ago

        Start one

        A. Soucek (MCI)
        B. Mitchell (ful)
        C. Brewster (liv)

        1. Twisted Saltergater
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          3 months, 4 days ago

          A or C. A.

        2. toluthadon
          • 6 Years
          3 months, 4 days ago

          A

      8. Jdpz
        • 1 Year
        3 months, 4 days ago

        Keep?
        McCarthy
        TAA, Tierney, Konsa
        Bruno, Son, JRod, Podence
        Kane(c), Ings, DCL

        bench: Nyland, Bissouma, Justin, Taylor

      9. g40steve
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 4 days ago

        Best C
        Son
        Kane
        Salah

        On Son?

        1. Little Red Lacazette
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 4 days ago

          Salah

        2. Ha.
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 4 days ago

          Kane for me

      10. Sir Alex Telles.
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 4 days ago

        good luck everyone. I hope this is finally going to be my first decent week.

        1. Twisted Saltergater
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          3 months, 4 days ago

          Who have you captained?

      11. Woy_is_back
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 4 days ago

        So who else TAA(C)?

        1. Twisted Saltergater
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          3 months, 4 days ago

          Prefer him over Salah at the minute lol

        2. Limbo
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          3 months, 4 days ago

          Nuts

        3. Pukki Party
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 4 days ago

          Almost had the balls

      12. jdp219
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 4 days ago

        1) Soucek > McGinn (in a 352)
        2) McCarthy > Martinez
        3) Save

        1. Make ManeMane Make ManeMane
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 4 days ago

          Save and do one next week if no fires to put out

      13. Oggle22
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 4 days ago

        Holding j. Rod hope it doesn't back fire!

        G2G?
        Mccarthy
        TAA Mitchell Saiss
        Salah Bruno Son Rodriguez Grealish
        Mitrovic Jiminez

        Nyland KWP Taylor Davies

        Cheers

      14. Sun Jihai
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 4 days ago

        Start KWP or Mitchell?

        Mitchell much better CS prospects, but could get a cameo?

      15. DycheDycheBaby
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 4 days ago

        On wildcard:
        a) Grealish
        b) Barkley

        1. Little Red Lacazette
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 4 days ago

          a

        2. Niho992
          • 2 Years
          3 months, 4 days ago

          a

      16. tiger
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 4 days ago

        It's all about the Grealish tonight

        1. Party time
          • 2 Years
          3 months, 4 days ago

          Barkley’s Premier league

          1. tiger
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            3 months, 4 days ago

            He's the sponsor...or assister...Grealish the champ 😀

        2. Zim0
          • 2 Years
          3 months, 4 days ago

          And Marty

          1. tiger
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            3 months, 4 days ago

            Oh yes, him too...I forgot!

      17. Tony Martial
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 4 days ago

        QUICK
        Start one?

        Targett ( have Martinez already)
        Mitchell (don’t think he starts??)

      18. Snapes on a Plane
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 4 days ago

        Pick one to start please
        A) Chillwell
        B) Kilman
        C) Mitchell

        1. sozopol
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          3 months, 4 days ago

          A

      19. Von Lipwig
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 4 days ago

        Good luck everyone! Time for real players to start rising from the depths 🙂

        1. Leif Erikson-Formerly of La…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          3 months, 4 days ago

          Fingers crossed! GL