Spot the Differential

Bowen can exploit Liverpool defence ahead of West Ham fixture swing

Differentials did a lot of the talking in Gameweek 6, with the likes of Vladimir Coufal (£4.5m), James Ward-Prowse (£5.8m) and Diogo Jota (£6.3m) all registering attacking returns for their owners.

There’s no shortage of candidates to consider this week either.

This time, we’ve selected differentials from West Ham United, Leeds United and Chelsea who we think have the potential to make a big impact in Gameweek 7 and beyond.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Jarrod Bowen

  • FPL ownership: 2.2%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW7-11 fixtures: liv | FUL | shu | AVL | MUN

Since his January arrival, Jarrod Bowen (£6.3m) has proven to be a hit in East London.

The 23-year-old racked up a combined five attacking returns in 11 Premier League starts last season, as David Moyes’ side narrowly avoided relegation. His post-lockdown performances against Chelsea, Newcastle United and Manchester United caught the eye, as he emerged as one of West Ham United’s key players.

Despite a testing opening schedule in 2020/21, Bowen has already netted three times, averaging just over five points per game, and ranks in the top 10 midfielders for shots in the box, big chances and expected goals (xG). 

While a trip to Anfield in Gameweek 7 is hardly the most enticing of matchups, the Reds are struggling for numbers at the back and have at times this season looked vulnerable down their left-side, conceding 17 chances from that flank compared to 10 on the other. That boosts Bowen’s appeal, having started on the right-wing in all six appearances so far. 

However, their main threat on Saturday may arrive from set-pieces. In the absence of Virgil van Dijk (£6.4m), Everton were able to capitalise from a dead-ball situation in the Merseyside derby, and it’s surely something the Hammers will look to benefit from too. That’s important with Bowen on most corners and a share of free-kicks. 

Bowen and West Ham have been in good form this season, and with a promising run of fixtures from Gameweeks 8 to 20, could be set to make a real impact. Getting on one of their key men a week early could prove a shrewd decision.

Illan Meslier

  • FPL ownership: 4.0%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW7-11 fixtures: LEI | cry | ARS | eve | che

After becoming Leeds United’s first-choice goalkeeper in the second half of last season, Illan Meslier (£4.5m) has gone on to establish himself as one of the Premier League’s most exciting young prospects.

Despite having already faced Liverpool and Manchester City, the 20-year-old ranks joint-fourth in the goalkeeper standings, behind only Emiliano Martínez (£4.8m), Karl Darlow (£5.0m) and Kasper Schmeichel (£5.5m), two of whom have benefitted from penalty saves.

The Whites defence did not make the best of starts back in the top tier, conceding four goals at Anfield and three against Fulham. However, since Gameweek 3, they have become more resilient at the back and conceded just two goals across their last four games. No team has given up fewer over the same period. 

The Frenchman has secured clean sheets in the victories over Sheffield United and Aston Villa, as well as making key saves throughout. In fact, his shot-stopping abilities have helped him collect an additional save point in four out of his six fixtures so far, as well as three bonus points. 

The immediate fixtures look promising for Leeds defensively: Monday’s opponents Leicester City have scored just one goal in their last three matches, with Crystal Palace and Arsenal to follow. They also welcome West Ham United, Newcastle United and Burnley to Elland Road before the end of the year.

Meslier is becoming a reliable figure who has settled extremely quickly in the top tier, and could be the pick of the budget FPL keeper options right now.

Christian Pulisic

  • FPL ownership: 4.0%
  • Price: £8.3m
  • GW7-11 fixtures: bur | SHU | new | TOT | LEE

Christian Pulisic (£8.3m) is still looking for his first league goal of the season, but having got off the mark in Europe in midweek, it is surely only a matter of time before he opens his account.

Chelsea strolled their way to victory on Wednesday night with a comfortable 4-0 Champions League win over Russian side FC Krasnodar. 

Arriving from the bench with just 19 minutes to go, Pulisic’s strike capped off a productive evening for Frank Lampard’s attacking assets, and offered a glimpse of what might be to come now everyone is fit and firing.

It’s easy to forget just how much of an impact Pulisic made upon the Premier League’s resumption back in June. The United States international produced a goal or assist in seven of Chelsea’s final nine league fixtures, and went on the score in the FA Cup final too. 

It’s the kind of output that suggests a big season lies ahead, and now looks like the time to invest.

If the Season Ticker were to focus solely on the next three Gameweeks, Chelsea would be top of the pile. Heading to Burnley in Gameweek 7 is far from straightforward, but the firepower at Blues’ disposal should be enough to see them off, while it’s worth noting Pulisic scored a hat-trick on his last visit to Turf Moor.

Timing is key for Pulisic, but now up to speed he could prove the difference maker at Chelsea, and be an effective differential moving forward. 

Become a Member and get unrestricted access to our data and articles

Full-year memberships are now available for the price of £19.99. Monthly subscriptions also cost just £2.99. A FREE trial is now available during December.

Join now to get the following:

  • Plot your transfer strategies using the fully interactive Season Ticker.
  • Get projections for every Premier League player provided by the Rate My Team statistical model.
  • Use Rate My Team throughout the season to guide your selections and transfers.
  • Get access to over 150+ exclusive members articles over the season.
  • Analyse our OPTA-powered statistic tables specifically tailored for Fantasy Football Managers.
  • Use our exclusive tool to build custom stats tables from over 100 OPTA player and team stats.
  • Enjoy our brand NEW Flat-Track Bully feature which introduces an opposition filter to your tables.
  • View heatmaps and expected goals data for every player.
  • Use our powerful comparison tool to analyse players head-to-head.

ALREADY A USER? CLICK HERE TO UPGRADE YOUR FREE ACCOUNT

NEW TO SCOUT? CLICK HERE TO START A MEMBERSHIP ACCOUNT

avfc82 https://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/894/history”

1,212 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Sid07
    • 6 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    1) James to Zaha
    2) lamptey to 4.5 and play def

    1. Poison Apple
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      1

      1. SmasherLagru
        • 1 Year
        4 months, 4 days ago

        1

  2. TheDragon
    • 2 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Play 1:

    A) Mitchell
    B) Lamptey
    C) KWP

    1. Poison Apple
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      C

    2. Sid07
      • 6 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      C

      1. SmasherLagru
        • 1 Year
        4 months, 4 days ago

        C

  3. Kurt Cobain
    • 2 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    a) Podence -> Foden
    b) Play Podence and save transfer

    1. JJeyy
      • 5 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      A

      1. Sid07
        • 6 Years
        4 months, 4 days ago

        A

    2. Aubaaaaa
      • 4 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      B

      1. SmasherLagru
        • 1 Year
        4 months, 4 days ago

        B

  4. 007 [RoboKlopp]
    • 4 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Hamez ->
    A. Grealish
    B. Zaha

    Cheers.

    1. GreennRed
      • 9 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      A

      1. SmasherLagru
        • 1 Year
        4 months, 4 days ago

        A

    2. Eezer Goode, Eberechi Goode
      • 8 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      B

    3. Kurt Cobain
      • 2 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      easy A

  5. Warby84
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Sterling/Rodriguez out for Pulisic/Rashford-4
    Or
    Rodriguez our for Zaha

    1. TB303
      • 4 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      I think I'm going for Zaha

    2. EmreCan Hustle
      • 8 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Zaha

      1. SmasherLagru
        • 1 Year
        4 months, 4 days ago

        Just zaha

  6. TB303
    • 4 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    This Kane v Son v Salah capt each week is killing me!

    What is the consensus here this week?

    A) Son
    B) Salah
    C ) Kane

    Salah was unlucky last week no

    1. abhirup780
      • 6 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Salah if you want to preserve your rank. Son if you want to be aggressive.

      1. noone
        • 3 Years
        4 months, 4 days ago

        What if you had both Salah and Mane?

      2. Zim0
        • 2 Years
        4 months, 4 days ago

        Son has more ownership than Salah

    2. GreennRed
      • 9 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Son, Salah vc for me. Son's points better so far.

    3. TB303
      • 4 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      and why not Kane ? ahhhhh

    4. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Son whilst he is in form

    5. ReindeerHotdog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      4 months, 4 days ago

      One way of looking at the captaincy is working out in your head who you think scores most points across the entire season and just captaining them every week. That way you're guaranteed all their points doubled.

      Chopping and changing each week is a more high risk/high reward strategy. Depends how much stress you want in your life.

    6. Pukki Party
      • 3 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      B

    7. TB303
      • 4 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      That's a good point HOTDOG. In that case I will go with salah.
      Salah will score the most points over the season

  7. Nightcrawler
    • 1 Year
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Team SET

    Bring it ON

    Martinez

    Saiss Justin Chillwell

    Mane salah Grealish Son

    Bamford DCL Kane

  8. Bumbaclot
    • 10 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Lost in the shuffle. Apologies

    Hi guys best option here???

    Ryan
    Trent/Justin/targett
    Salah/kdb/son/podence
    DCL/Watkins/Werner

    Button/Dallas/kwp/soucek

    A. Werner and kdb to Kane and rashford
    B, Werner and Trent to Kane and chillwel
    C. Any other option anyone can think of

    1. Forever In Our Shadow
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Don’t get rid of KDB. I want him back in ASAP now he’s fit again.

      I’d do Werner and Podence to Kane and 4.5 and play Soucek. He will have a big chance of a set piece goal against Liverpool with no VVD and going forward I think he can play as a 4th mid with their fixtures.

      1. SmasherLagru
        • 1 Year
        4 months, 4 days ago

        What he said

  9. wilson007
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Hold on, is JRod out?

    1. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Yep.

    2. Poison Apple
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      His manager said so

  10. BrutalLogiC
    • 5 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Martinez
    Saiss TAA Taylor Lamp Mitchell
    Son Salah KDB Jrodri Pod
    Jim DCL Brewster

    Who shall I get rid? got 2 FT

    1. veedub1989
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Hamez - injured
      Podence - limited impact
      Taylor - better options available

  11. Fernando Torres
    • 9 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Is this worth it...

    Wilson + Bale out for Vardy + Barkley

    1. Fernando Torres
      • 9 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      For a -4

      1. noone
        • 3 Years
        4 months, 4 days ago

        Nah

  12. Corgzzzz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Guys. Play one.
    A, KWP
    B, Brewster.
    C, Struijk.

    1. royals forever
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      C

    2. Nedvěd11
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      KWP

      1. SmasherLagru
        • 1 Year
        4 months, 4 days ago

        A

  13. Az
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 11 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Just sold Trent
    And bought Kane

    Hate myself.

    1. TheDragon
      • 2 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Oh no.....

    2. abhirup780
      • 6 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      All the best! Put on the armband too.

    3. Holmes
      • 7 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Anything wrong with Kane?

      1. Az
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 11 Years
        4 months, 4 days ago

        Just not feeling the love.

    4. The 12th Man
      • 7 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Trent haul
      Kane injury
      INCOMING.

    5. Nedvěd11
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      1-1. Trent YC

    6. Pukki Blinders
      • 1 Year
      4 months, 4 days ago

      You've just convinced me to follow

    7. KUNingas
      • 5 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Trent to who?

    8. Galza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Was considering trying to get Kane in myself this week.

      Don’t think I’ll bother now... 😉

    9. Forever In Our Shadow
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      You dirty boy. Mark will be ribbing you about that one. But you knew that anyway. Did you get Chilwell as part of the Kane move?

  14. Von Lipwig
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Is JRod is OK? What's the word?

    1. noone
      • 3 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      out for this game atleast

    2. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Ancelotti on Rodriguez: "He had a little problem. He needs to rest for this game, I think he will be available for the next game."

    3. Von Lipwig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Thanks. Goddamn it, now what?

  15. noone
    • 3 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Would you guys sell Hamez if you got him for 7.5? or just hold on?

    1. Zim0
      • 2 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Im holding. Have a sub

      1. noone
        • 3 Years
        4 months, 4 days ago

        Mitchell, Lamptey, Brewster are my subs. Who to play?

        1. Zim0
          • 2 Years
          4 months, 4 days ago

          Mitchell if he starts (don't think he'll come on if he doesn't). Even stevens between Lamptey and Brewster for me

          1. abhirup780
            • 6 Years
            4 months, 4 days ago

            Mitchell and Brewster for me. Mitchell may not play. So it may become Lamptey and Brewster anyway.

          2. noone
            • 3 Years
            4 months, 4 days ago

            Was thinking the same, thanks!

    2. Nedvěd11
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Hold

    3. Sean
      • 11 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Selling for 2 week pulisic punt, will reassess during international break if i want him back

      1. noone
        • 3 Years
        4 months, 4 days ago

        I got Pulisic last week and want Hamez for the whole season maybe, so I'll just let it slide if it's not long term

        1. SmasherLagru
          • 1 Year
          4 months, 4 days ago

          Im holdin like i did last week

  16. royals forever
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Lost in the big kerfuffle of pages

    Your kind help is needed please

    Is this team G2G or are there any other changes that you would make to it

    Martinez

    Chilwell Semedo Keane

    Son (c) Havertz Grealish Lookman

    DCL Kane Jimenez (vc)

    Areola Trossard Dallas Lamptey

    0FT No WC 2.1 ITB

    Any ideas would be welcomed

    1. Original Pirate Material
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Kane my skip, I own both him and Son too.

  17. TheOneAndOnly
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    JRod out for?

    A) Rashford
    B) Bruno

    1. Holmes
      • 7 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Bruno

    2. TB303
      • 4 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Brunoo

    3. No Professionals
      • 3 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Rashford

    4. Gudjohnsen
      • 4 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      B

    5. TB303
      • 4 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Zaha if you don't have him

  18. Mane Mane Mane
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Amateur question but if I have 2FT and I use one will I have 2FT again next week or will it be just the one?

    1. Good Times
      • 7 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      You will have two next week if you use 1ft this week

    2. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Yep, you will have 2 next week.

    3. Gudjohnsen
      • 4 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      2

    4. OptimusBlack
      • 7 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      2

      1. Mane Mane Mane
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        4 months, 4 days ago

        Cheers all

    5. Poison Apple
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      2

      1. SmasherLagru
        • 1 Year
        4 months, 4 days ago

        2ft i remember them lol

  19. TB303
    • 4 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Bench

    A) Konsa (Sou home)
    B) Dallas (Lei home)

    1. Original Pirate Material
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      A

    2. TB303
      • 4 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      thanks

  20. Original Pirate Material
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Do we think Chilwell will start this weekend?

    Im thinking Reece James to Chillwell this week. Then Saiss to Cresswell next.

    1. Pukki Blinders
      • 1 Year
      4 months, 4 days ago

      I think he may be rested

    2. VinMar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      read that ppl think james will start

    3. Forever In Our Shadow
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Chilwell won’t be benched imo. He has been too important in their recent defensive improvement.

  21. HashAttack
    • 3 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Thought that Hames would price drop last night ... was over -100% earlier today but has now been reset to -55%, seems a bit strange

    1. Pukki Party
      • 3 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Flagged?

      1. HashAttack
        • 3 Years
        4 months, 4 days ago

        Seems the only explanation but didn't know being flagged would have such an immediate impact

  22. Tempestic
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Saiss to Chilwell or save? Have Kilman for wolves defensive cover

    1. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Save.

  23. Rinseboy
    • 9 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Thoughts on Jrod and Barnes to Foden and Pullisic?

    1. Tempestic
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Like it

    2. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Decent.

    3. Poison Apple
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      For free yes.

    4. YTH LORD KARIUS
      • 3 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      I do Hamez for Pulisic myself

    5. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Like these moves - I would make them.

      1. SmasherLagru
        • 1 Year
        4 months, 4 days ago

        Definitely

  24. COYR
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Any help greatly appreciated!

    Guaita
    Justin KWP James
    Salah Son Bruno J.Rod
    Kane(c) DCL Bamford

    Forster | Soucek Mitchell Lamptey
    1FT 0.6ITB

    A) Save
    B) J.Rod to Pulisic
    C) J.Rod & Bruno to Pulisic & Rashford
    D) Other

    1. MESSINHO
      • 4 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      B

      1. COYR
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        4 months, 4 days ago

        Cheers

    2. TheOneAndOnly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      C is essentially Bruno to Rashford for a hit?
      Do you really think Rash adds that much more value?
      I can't decide who to get in for JRod out of Rash/Bruno

      1. COYR
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        4 months, 4 days ago

        It's more due to my rank (2.7m) and owning some highly owned players. Looking for some differentials! J.Rod to Pulisic may be enough though. Bruno is still a good option just more expensive and higher ownership

        1. SmasherLagru
          • 1 Year
          4 months, 4 days ago

          B

          1. COYR
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            4 months, 4 days ago

            Cheers

  25. mitro
    • 7 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Is zaha still on pens?

    1. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Dunno, Mili might get them back if he plays.

  26. Von Lipwig
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Best option for JRod Replacement?
    A) Keep and play Kilman off bench
    B) Rod > Zaha for free
    C) Rod > someone else for free, 8m max

    1. SmasherLagru
      • 1 Year
      4 months, 4 days ago

      A

  27. mr messi
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Jrod and Ings to
    Rashford and Bamford for -4?

    1. DycheDycheBaby
      • 5 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      No.

  28. zizoo10
    • 5 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Is Reece James expected to start this gw?

    1. Garlana
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      based on the mid week game i'd imagine so

    2. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      I think he will.

  29. Henrik Larsson
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Jrod to Pulli & DCL to Bamford for -4 ?

    Getting ahead of the curve and dumping DCL before he tanks without supply this weekend. Not sure it's worth a hit though. Not enough funds to do the straight James to Pulli swap.

  30. Twisted Melon
    • 6 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Ings or Vardy?

    1. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Probably Ings, you could even bank some cash and go Adams.