Spot the Differential

Bowen can exploit Liverpool defence ahead of West Ham fixture swing

Differentials did a lot of the talking in Gameweek 6, with the likes of Vladimir Coufal (£4.5m), James Ward-Prowse (£5.8m) and Diogo Jota (£6.3m) all registering attacking returns for their owners.

There’s no shortage of candidates to consider this week either.

This time, we’ve selected differentials from West Ham United, Leeds United and Chelsea who we think have the potential to make a big impact in Gameweek 7 and beyond.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Jarrod Bowen

  • FPL ownership: 2.2%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW7-11 fixtures: liv | FUL | shu | AVL | MUN

Since his January arrival, Jarrod Bowen (£6.3m) has proven to be a hit in East London.

The 23-year-old racked up a combined five attacking returns in 11 Premier League starts last season, as David Moyes’ side narrowly avoided relegation. His post-lockdown performances against Chelsea, Newcastle United and Manchester United caught the eye, as he emerged as one of West Ham United’s key players.

Despite a testing opening schedule in 2020/21, Bowen has already netted three times, averaging just over five points per game, and ranks in the top 10 midfielders for shots in the box, big chances and expected goals (xG). 

While a trip to Anfield in Gameweek 7 is hardly the most enticing of matchups, the Reds are struggling for numbers at the back and have at times this season looked vulnerable down their left-side, conceding 17 chances from that flank compared to 10 on the other. That boosts Bowen’s appeal, having started on the right-wing in all six appearances so far. 

However, their main threat on Saturday may arrive from set-pieces. In the absence of Virgil van Dijk (£6.4m), Everton were able to capitalise from a dead-ball situation in the Merseyside derby, and it’s surely something the Hammers will look to benefit from too. That’s important with Bowen on most corners and a share of free-kicks. 

Bowen and West Ham have been in good form this season, and with a promising run of fixtures from Gameweeks 8 to 20, could be set to make a real impact. Getting on one of their key men a week early could prove a shrewd decision.

Illan Meslier

  • FPL ownership: 4.0%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW7-11 fixtures: LEI | cry | ARS | eve | che

After becoming Leeds United’s first-choice goalkeeper in the second half of last season, Illan Meslier (£4.5m) has gone on to establish himself as one of the Premier League’s most exciting young prospects.

Despite having already faced Liverpool and Manchester City, the 20-year-old ranks joint-fourth in the goalkeeper standings, behind only Emiliano Martínez (£4.8m), Karl Darlow (£5.0m) and Kasper Schmeichel (£5.5m), two of whom have benefitted from penalty saves.

The Whites defence did not make the best of starts back in the top tier, conceding four goals at Anfield and three against Fulham. However, since Gameweek 3, they have become more resilient at the back and conceded just two goals across their last four games. No team has given up fewer over the same period. 

The Frenchman has secured clean sheets in the victories over Sheffield United and Aston Villa, as well as making key saves throughout. In fact, his shot-stopping abilities have helped him collect an additional save point in four out of his six fixtures so far, as well as three bonus points. 

The immediate fixtures look promising for Leeds defensively: Monday’s opponents Leicester City have scored just one goal in their last three matches, with Crystal Palace and Arsenal to follow. They also welcome West Ham United, Newcastle United and Burnley to Elland Road before the end of the year.

Meslier is becoming a reliable figure who has settled extremely quickly in the top tier, and could be the pick of the budget FPL keeper options right now.

Christian Pulisic

  • FPL ownership: 4.0%
  • Price: £8.3m
  • GW7-11 fixtures: bur | SHU | new | TOT | LEE

Christian Pulisic (£8.3m) is still looking for his first league goal of the season, but having got off the mark in Europe in midweek, it is surely only a matter of time before he opens his account.

Chelsea strolled their way to victory on Wednesday night with a comfortable 4-0 Champions League win over Russian side FC Krasnodar. 

Arriving from the bench with just 19 minutes to go, Pulisic’s strike capped off a productive evening for Frank Lampard’s attacking assets, and offered a glimpse of what might be to come now everyone is fit and firing.

It’s easy to forget just how much of an impact Pulisic made upon the Premier League’s resumption back in June. The United States international produced a goal or assist in seven of Chelsea’s final nine league fixtures, and went on the score in the FA Cup final too. 

It’s the kind of output that suggests a big season lies ahead, and now looks like the time to invest.

If the Season Ticker were to focus solely on the next three Gameweeks, Chelsea would be top of the pile. Heading to Burnley in Gameweek 7 is far from straightforward, but the firepower at Blues’ disposal should be enough to see them off, while it’s worth noting Pulisic scored a hat-trick on his last visit to Turf Moor.

Timing is key for Pulisic, but now up to speed he could prove the difference maker at Chelsea, and be an effective differential moving forward. 

Become a Member and get unrestricted access to our data and articles

Full-year memberships are now available for the price of £19.99. Monthly subscriptions also cost just £2.99. A FREE trial is now available during December.

Join now to get the following:

  • Plot your transfer strategies using the fully interactive Season Ticker.
  • Get projections for every Premier League player provided by the Rate My Team statistical model.
  • Use Rate My Team throughout the season to guide your selections and transfers.
  • Get access to over 150+ exclusive members articles over the season.
  • Analyse our OPTA-powered statistic tables specifically tailored for Fantasy Football Managers.
  • Use our exclusive tool to build custom stats tables from over 100 OPTA player and team stats.
  • Enjoy our brand NEW Flat-Track Bully feature which introduces an opposition filter to your tables.
  • View heatmaps and expected goals data for every player.
  • Use our powerful comparison tool to analyse players head-to-head.

ALREADY A USER? CLICK HERE TO UPGRADE YOUR FREE ACCOUNT

NEW TO SCOUT? CLICK HERE TO START A MEMBERSHIP ACCOUNT

avfc82 https://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/894/history”

1,212 Comments Post a Comment
  1. FFFoxy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    4 months, 7 days ago

    DCL can’t create a chance for himself and I don’t know how he’s going to get any service without Digne, J.Rod or Richarlison. Who else tempted to ship?

    1. cheeky moses
      • 5 Years
      4 months, 7 days ago

      very tempted

    2. Jones Town
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 months, 7 days ago

      Yep I'm thinking of using him to fund my move for Rashford (see below)

      1. camarozz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        4 months, 7 days ago

        Yeah me too.

        Jrod/DCL
        ➡️Rash/Adams - 4

        But after utd Everton have 3 great fixtures

    3. Make United Great Again
      • 8 Years
      4 months, 7 days ago

      He’s in the firing line. But keeping for another week

      1. veedub1989
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        4 months, 7 days ago

        Same

    4. Old Man
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 months, 7 days ago

      I've seen worse arguments!

    5. Pukki Blinders
      • 1 Year
      4 months, 7 days ago

      Its literally one game

    6. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      4 months, 7 days ago

      I’m gonna keep but certainly not expecting much this week.

    7. Fit_to_drop
      • 1 Year
      4 months, 7 days ago

      Its not like there isn't other guys in that squad that cant take a free kick or corner kick guys. Im sure he will get chances. The question is, will he take them.

    8. shiraz
        4 months, 7 days ago

        I will keep DCL and ship out hamez, just becaise i have 2 ft and don't want to waste it.

      • ReindeerHotdog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        4 months, 7 days ago

        Got rid of him this week for that very reason.

        I'm happy to have Rodriguez recover on my bench. Pulisic brought in for Trap Townsend and Castagne out for Trent.

        Took a huge punt on Grant (WBA) as he has Fulham this week and Sheffield Utd at the end of the month. Rest of my team can cover him for the games against Spurs and Utd.

    9. KUNingas
      • 5 Years
      4 months, 7 days ago

      In order to get Kane, Robbo ->
      A) Coufal
      B) Kilman

      1. Poison Apple
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        4 months, 7 days ago

        A. But only if free

        1. KUNingas
          • 5 Years
          4 months, 7 days ago

          Yes for free

    10. DycheDycheBaby
      • 5 Years
      4 months, 7 days ago

      Afternoon all. Save FT?
      Martinez
      Kilman, Saiss, Chilly
      Son, Salah, Grealish, JRod
      Kane(c), Ings, DCL
      Forster, Konsa, Cresswell, Bissouma

      1. mr messi
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        4 months, 7 days ago

        JRod is injured

        1. DycheDycheBaby
          • 5 Years
          4 months, 7 days ago

          Yeah just realised...thanks!

    11. zizoo10
      • 5 Years
      4 months, 7 days ago

      Would Dunne > 4.0 Williams (predicted to start @ CB for Liverpool) be a dumb move? Would let me roll FT again (have 2) while solving a potential no show in defence this week, however I lose a 3rd pool spot down the track

    12. Van der Faart
      • 9 Years
      4 months, 7 days ago

      Rolling FT here to make 2/3 next week. Best choice?

      McCarthy
      TAA Coady Dallas (Bavies Lamptey)
      Salah Son Pulisic Podence (Bissouma)
      Kane DCL Adams

      1m ITB.
      Planned moves are TAA and Pulisic out to Sterling/KDB and a 5.2/5.1 defender. Considering a hit for Podence out too.

    13. Jones Town
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 months, 7 days ago

      I quite fancy getting Rashford in for Rodriguez after that explosive showing mid-week, but need a downgrade somewhere to fund it. Have 2 FTs... I think maybe DCL to Bamford/Watkins/Adams? Bad move? Any other routes?

      Martinez - Forster
      Robbo - Chilwell - Lamptey - Mitchell - Dallas
      Salah - Son - Grealish - Soucek - Rodriguez*
      Kane - DCL - Maupay

      0.1 ITB

      1. cheeky moses
        • 5 Years
        4 months, 7 days ago

        Good moves imo

        1. Jones Town
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          4 months, 7 days ago

          Ta

          1. cheeky moses
            • 5 Years
            4 months, 7 days ago

            could also downgrade Maupay to Brewster i guess and alternate him and soucek

      2. Sean
        • 11 Years
        4 months, 7 days ago

        Not easy to get DCL or JRod back in for their GW 9-11 run then, would hold onto DCL personally and go JRod to Pulisic and Maupay to Bamford

        1. Jones Town
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          4 months, 7 days ago

          Thanks, good alternatives

    14. ZakyJ
      • 5 Years
      4 months, 7 days ago

      Martinez Forster
      Robbo Saiss James Justin Mitchell
      Salah Son Rodriguez Grealish Podence
      Kane DCL Brewster

      £2.1itb 1FT

      1. Hold
      2. Podence > Zaha
      3. James > Chilwell
      4. Rodriguez > ?

    15. Fernando Torres
      • 9 Years
      4 months, 7 days ago

      Bale to Rashford for 1 FT?

      1. Make United Great Again
        • 8 Years
        4 months, 7 days ago

        Yes.

      2. Jones Town
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        4 months, 7 days ago

        Definitely

    16. Bennyboy1907
        4 months, 7 days ago

        Martinez (forster)
        Robbo Chillwell Saiss (Lamptey Mitchell)
        Salah Son Grealish Zaha (Bissouma)
        Kane DCL Bamford

        OR 2.8mil
        Where am I going wrong ?

        1. Alex1995
          • 4 Years
          4 months, 7 days ago

          Nothing wrong with that team at all mate

      • VinMar
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        4 months, 7 days ago

        Digne + Jrod (-4) -->

        A.) Pulisic + Dias (have chilwell)
        B.) Rashford + 4.8

      • 03farmboy
        • 1 Year
        4 months, 7 days ago

        Can any help please what transfers would you make with this team?

        What transfer should I make to this team?

        McCarthy, nyland
        TAA, Justin, holding, Kwp, Mitchell
        Salah, Son, Barkley, bissouma, Harper
        Kane, Werner, Calvert-lewin

      • Luis Suarez Ate My Homework
        • 9 Years
        4 months, 7 days ago

        Has anyone else rotated Kane/Son for the armband these last couple weeks?

        For the last two game weeks, I have rotated my captaincy between my Spurs forwards and so far it's worked.

        GW5 - Kane (C) 16 points Son (A) 13 points
        GW6 - Son (C) 11 points Kane (A) 5 points

        I'm planning to continue to do this for the next two, maybe 3 game weeks where Spurs face BHA (Kane), wba (Son), MCI (Kane).

        Spurs play on the counter-attack more when they are away from home, and this favours Son, while Kane's home form favours him for these games.

        SON KANE
        H GW1 (EVE) 2 2
        A GW2 (sou) 24 21
        H GW3 (NEW) 1 5
        A GW4 (mun) 18 16
        H GW5 (WHA) 13 16
        A GW6 (bur) 11 5

        Dubious over GW9, but I will see how City's form is before the deadline.

        1. Luis Suarez Ate My Homework
          • 9 Years
          4 months, 7 days ago

          Maybe this is easier to read:

          H GW1 (EVE) SON 2 KANE 2
          A GW2 (sou) SON 24 KANE 21
          H GW3 (NEW) SON 1 KANE 5
          A GW4 (mun) SON 18 KANE 16
          H GW5 (WHA) SON 13 KANE 16
          A GW6 (bur) SON 11 KANE 5

        2. Good Times
          • 7 Years
          4 months, 7 days ago

          Lovely breakdown!

        3. cheeky moses
          • 5 Years
          4 months, 7 days ago

          I like it!

      • Big Ronnie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        4 months, 7 days ago

        McCarthy
        TAA, Dier, Saiss, Ayling
        Salah, Son, Rodriguez*, Podence
        Kane, Jimenez

        Steer, Soucek, Justin, Brewster

        £1.7m ITB and 1FT.

        A) Justin to Chilwell
        B) Dier to Chilwell
        C) Podence to Foden
        D) Rodriguez to Pulisic
        E) Save

      • unitednations
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        4 months, 7 days ago

        I have Son already but Is it really worth getting Kane only for two gw's? Cant keep two spurs attackers for their tough fixtures. Got 2.4m

        Martinez
        Taa - Saiss* - James* --- Mitchell* Lamptey (tot)
        Salah(c) - Son - Havertz - Barnes
        Jimmy - DCL - Watkins

        A: Jimmy >> Kane
        B: James + Havertz >> Kilman + Sterling (-4)
        C: James + Barnes >> Ayling + Rashford (-4)

        1. GreennRed
          • 9 Years
          4 months, 7 days ago

          Fixtures are a poor guide this season and Kane and Son won't be too troubled by seemingly tricky fixtures if they keep up current form.

      • Hect.OR 98th
        • 11 Years
        4 months, 7 days ago

        I've got the exact money and 1FT for JRod to Pulisic. Worth doing?

        Could do

        A. JRod to Pulisic
        B. JRod to Zaha
        C. Play Mitchell/Anguissa/Lamptey and save the transfer.

        1. abhirup780
          • 6 Years
          4 months, 7 days ago

          A

        2. Luis Suarez Ate My Homework
          • 9 Years
          4 months, 7 days ago

          Ziyech better option.

          1. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
            • 4 Years
            4 months, 7 days ago

            Is he going to start though?

            1. Luis Suarez Ate My Homework
              • 9 Years
              4 months, 7 days ago

              After the game he had on Wednesday, I'd be surprised if he didn't.

        3. MESSINHO
          • 4 Years
          4 months, 7 days ago

          Same situation here. I'm going A.

          1. MESSINHO
            • 4 Years
            4 months, 7 days ago

            Except I have 2 FT.

      • FCRS BGD
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        4 months, 7 days ago

        Hi guys

        In fpl Draft , who would you pick
        1) Jesus
        2) Antonio?
        Thanks

        1. Luis Suarez Ate My Homework
          • 9 Years
          4 months, 7 days ago

          How are either of these players still available?

          Antonio for sure.

          1. FCRS BGD
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            4 months, 7 days ago

            I have Antonio, but he is injured. Thinking to replace him with Jesus who seems to be getting back from injury.

          2. FCRS BGD
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            4 months, 7 days ago

            Thanks

      • Nolberto Solano
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        4 months, 7 days ago

        Castagne & JRod out for Chillwell & Foden for a -4?

        1. Luis Suarez Ate My Homework
          • 9 Years
          4 months, 7 days ago

          Why not.

      • Mane Mane Mane
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        4 months, 7 days ago

        Who is best to bring in out of Coufal or Masuaku?

        1. Gregor
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 11 Years
          4 months, 7 days ago

          Coufal probably the most secure.

      • gooberman
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        4 months, 7 days ago

        Arrgg can't decide between Watkins, Adams and Bamford!

        1. FOMFF
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          4 months, 7 days ago

          Bamford

          1. Luis Suarez Ate My Homework
            • 9 Years
            4 months, 7 days ago

            AlaBAMa all the way.

          2. gooberman
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            4 months, 7 days ago

            That's the player I want but he had the worse fixtures. Just so annoying.

        2. abhirup780
          • 6 Years
          4 months, 7 days ago

          Adams

        3. Jones Town
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          4 months, 7 days ago

          Ha was just about to ask same thing... I've got Grealish so think I'm ruling out Watkins and then maybe just about leaning towards Bamford, who is obviously the focal point of that attack whereas Ings clearly is at Saints?

        4. cheeky moses
          • 5 Years
          4 months, 7 days ago

          Tight call between Adams and Bamford. For me, fixtures swing it for Adams

          1. gooberman
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            4 months, 7 days ago

            Mitrovic is also an option. He has the best stats of them all and a decent next 3 fixtures. Also on pens unlike the other options.

      • abaalan
        • 4 Years
        4 months, 7 days ago

        2FT, 0 ITB. Nothing major required
        a) Maupay -> Bamford
        b) Maupay -> Wilson
        c) Maupay -> Mtirovic (short term - next 3 nice fixtures)
        d) Other? (also own Saiss, Mitchell)

      • Mind över Mata
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        4 months, 7 days ago

        Play Bissouma (tot) or do Ferguson -> Kilman and play him?

        Already own Saiss

      • adstomko
        • 4 Years
        4 months, 7 days ago

        Choose one:

        A) Rodriguez (7.5) -> Ziyech
        B) DCL (7.7) & Podence > Bamford & Ziyech

      • Kuyt Hero
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        4 months, 7 days ago

        Have 2 FTs

        A) JRod to Grealish and roll the other one

        B) JRod to Rashford and Robbo to 5m defender?

      • Von Lipwig
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        4 months, 7 days ago

        DCL + JRod > Rashford + Bamford for -4

        Yey or Nay?

        1. FOMFF
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          4 months, 7 days ago

          Nah, keep 1 from Eve

          1. Von Lipwig
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            4 months, 7 days ago

            Rod > Zaha ?

      • Von Lipwig
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        4 months, 7 days ago

        A) DCL + JRod > Rashford + Bamford for -4
        B) JRod > Zaha for free

        Martinez
        Robbo TAA Saiss
        Salah Son Rodriguez Barkley
        DCL Kane Maupay

        Cheers lads

      • Henrik Larsson
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        4 months, 7 days ago

        Repost:

        Jrod to Pulli & DCL to Bamford for -4 ?

        Getting ahead of the curve and dumping DCL before he tanks without supply this weekend. Not sure it's worth a hit though. Not enough funds to do the straight James to Pulli swap.

        1. GreennRed
          • 9 Years
          4 months, 7 days ago

          No. DCL scored last season without great supply.

      • ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
        • 4 Years
        4 months, 7 days ago

        Do you see Zaha getting anything out of tonight's game?

        1. FC Hakkebøf
          • 4 Years
          4 months, 7 days ago

          A penalty

        2. RAFA THE GAFFA
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          4 months, 7 days ago

          No

        3. Eezer Goode, Eberechi Goode
          • 8 Years
          4 months, 7 days ago

          Yep.

      • FC Hakkebøf
        • 4 Years
        4 months, 7 days ago

        Got 2 FT. My plan was to do Maupay to Mitrovic as a one week punt before getting Antonio. But with the uncertainty regarding the duration of Antonio's injury, I am now considering Bamford instead. Thoughts?

        1. Camzy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          4 months, 7 days ago

          Bamford makes sense.

      • Nightcrawler
        • 1 Year
        4 months, 7 days ago

        People selling DCL is actually quite amusing

        Look at his fixtures after next week. Digne and jrod will also be back by theb

        Will be quite expensive to get him back in

      • RAFA THE GAFFA
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        4 months, 7 days ago

        -4 team... JRod out for another -4? Or just hope Davies / Mitchell get some gametime?

        McCarthy
        Chilwell, Saiss, Justin
        Salah(C), Pulisic, JRod*, Son, Grealish
        Kane(v), DCL
        (Nyland, Davies, Mitchell, Davis)

        1. RAFA THE GAFFA
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          4 months, 7 days ago

          Or WC?