Spot the Differential

Signing Cancelo a week before fixture swing can give FPL owners the edge

Fantasy Premier League managers could turn to Manchester City, Aston Villa or Crystal Palace to replace their Liverpool defenders for Gameweek 9.

Key members of the Reds’ back-line leave teams in their droves following the international break, so we have used this week’s Differential column to identify three exciting replacements; all of whom we think have the ability to deliver points at both ends of the pitch over the forthcoming weeks.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

João Cancelo

Cancelo stars for City as Sheff Utd's weak right-side bodes well for Chelsea
  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW9-13 fixtures: tot | BUR | FUL | mun | WBA

João Cancelo (£5.4m) endured a tough first season in England, but is now starting to shine.

Since making his first Premier League start of the campaign in Gameweek 5, the Portugal international has amassed 24 FPL points, averaging six per game. In that time, he has registered two clean sheets and, despite only providing one assist, has created more chances than any defender in the entire division.

Having performed as a right full-back in his first appearance against Arsenal, he has since been deployed on the left in Benjamin Mendy’s (£5.9m) absence. It remains to be seen what will happen when the Frenchman returns from injury, but given Cancelo’s excellent form, it is hard to see an immediate route back into the team.

Since losing 5-2 to Leicester City back in September, Manchester City have conceded just four goals in nine games in all competitions, keeping five clean sheets. While many FPL managers will be looking at Gameweek 10 as the optimum time to invest in their backline, there could be value in going a week early, given Matt Doherty’s (£5.8m) positive coronavirus (COVID-19) test, and the fact most of Tottenham Hotspur’s chances tend to be conceded from their right-side.

Manchester City’s left-back problem has been a theme throughout Pep Guardiola’s time at the club, but the recent form of Cancelo has perhaps provided a solution. Consistency will now be the key to retaining his place, but if he can do that, it’s hard to envisage him being a differential too much longer. 

Matt Targett

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW9-13 fixtures: BHA | whu | NEW | wol | BUR

Matt Targett (£4.5m) has been a solid performer for Aston Villa since joining from Southampton in 2019, making the left-back spot his own.

A product of the Saints academy, he has played a key role in a defence that has already kept four clean sheets in seven attempts this season, and perhaps doesn’t get the praise his performances often deserve.

The Englishman is yet to miss a single minute of league action so far, and with Jack Grealish (£7.5m) regularly drifting infield in front of him, plenty of space often opens up for him to attack. He’s got a good delivery too, which he showed in flashes against Arsenal last time out, when he provided the cross that was turned in by Bukayo Saka (£5.3m) for Villa’s first goal in their 3-0 win.

Interestingly, the 25-year-old scored his first goal for the club when he netted an injury time winner against this weekend’s opponents, Brighton and Hove Albion, back in October 2019.

This time, with Tariq Lamptey (£4.8m) likely to surge forward for Albion and support their attack, Targett could have his hands full defensively on Saturday, but at the same time, gaps could appear if space is left in behind. That has certainly been the case so far this season, with the Seagulls giving up 17 of their 42 chances down their right-flank, compared to just nine from the left. 

Still priced at just £4.5m, Targett offers the cheapest route into Villa’s defence, and could be a solid set and forget option given their appealing fixtures.

Patrick van Aanholt

  • FPL ownership: 0.7%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW9-13 fixtures: bur | NEW | wba | TOT | whu

Having just returned from a long-term injury, Patrick van Aanholt (£5.4m) looked back to his best against Leeds United before the international break.

The Dutchman supplied an assist and carried plenty of goal threat, registering three shots in the box. Determined to get forward at every opportunity, his attacking runs created space for Eberechi Eze (£5.8m) and Wilfried Zaha (£7.4m) to thrive and gave them a cutting edge which has been missing without him in the team.

In his absence, Tyrick Mitchell (£4.1m) has impressed, but it was evident against Leeds just how much they’ve missed the 30-year-olds attacking nature, which leads us to think he’ll retain his place in the starting XI come Monday.

Despite often struggling in attack, Crystal Palace have had a bright start to the season. They sit eighth in the table, and looking at the run of games coming up, they have the potential to pick up points given the struggles of goal-shy Burnley and West Bromwich Albion, and to a slightly lesser extent Newcastle United.

In Gameweek 8 there were signs of progress. The expectation now is that results should pick up, and with the possibility of goals and clean sheets, at least in the short term, van Aanholt could be a nice pick-up for those in search of a differential currently owned by just 0.7% of FPL managers. 

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1,986 Comments Post a Comment
  1. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 4 days ago

    Finding it hard to ignore Bruno ...

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 4 days ago

      What if I told you he's never scored from open play at Old Trafford

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 4 days ago

        It doesn’t overly matter for FPL thought does it? Pen and a couple of assists and a max bonus and we are laughing?

        1. Miguel Sanchez
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 4 days ago

          True - in fairness I haven't confirmed Salah to Rashford yet but it's only cause Ole didn't 100% state Rashford would start

          1. RAFA THE GAFFA
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 4 days ago

            This is what put me off the most. Would be a horrible transfer if he come on for a 15minute run out getting back to fitness. It’s a very hard call though.

          2. FOMFF
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 4 days ago

            I'm very close to pulling the trigger on Rash Bruno double up. Switch one to KDB next week.

      2. Blush Response
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 4 days ago

        That statistic is completely meaningless and in the words of Bret Hart, you know it.

    2. Karan14
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 4 days ago

      Not just this game the next 2 away games also look good for him. He seems like a good placeholder for Salah in GW12.

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 4 days ago

        What about Rash, Karan? Too risky?

  2. Slim25
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 4 days ago

    Current team
    Martinez
    Digne, Chilwell, Semedo
    Grealish, Rodriquez, Son, Zaha
    Brewster, Kane, DCL
    (Button, Lamptey, Salah, Mitchell)

    2 free transfers, thinking of doing this over the next 2 weeks, thoughts would be appreciated!
    Wk 9 - Digne, Salah, Brewster - Balbuena/Lewis, Bruno, Watkins (-4 hit, 1.7m in bank)
    Week 10 - Son & Kane - KDB & Vardy (-4 hit)

  3. hogree
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 4 days ago

    A. Cancelo + Mitchell + Riedewald (means playing Targett, Cancelo and Chilwell every week)
    B. Justin + Coufal + Soucek

  4. jdp219
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 4 days ago

    Continuing to tinker with the WC:

    McCarthy, Forster
    Chilwell, Cancelo, Targett, Justin, KWP
    Bruno, -----, KDB, Grealish, Soucek
    DCL, Watkins, -----

    1) Ziyech, Vardy -- objectively, probably better decision, but...
    2) Mane, Bamford -- the draw to Mane is the easier move back to Salah.

    1. Kannbury
        2 months, 4 days ago

        2.

    2. C_G
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 4 days ago

      on WC

      Werner or DCL?

      my attack:

      KDB Ziyech Grealish Bruno Riedwald

      Watkins Vardy

    3. Le Bluff
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 4 days ago

      https://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/sport/football/football-news/man-city-line-up-tottenham-19317995

      MEN predicts a start for Sterling:

      Predicted City XI vs Tottenham: Ederson; Walker, Dias, Laporte, Cancelo; Rodri, De Bruyne, Foden; Torres, Jesus, Sterling

      1. Karan14
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 4 days ago

        Now Foden will start after I sell him 😛

        1. Karan14
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 4 days ago

          Fortunately I've just picked up Torres in one of my draft games so let's hope he gets some mins.

      2. Brosstan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 4 days ago

        0% chance of that lineup lol

      3. caldracula
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 4 days ago

        Think that looks about right tbh

    4. bitars
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 4 days ago

      Martinez, Steer
      Bellerin, Coufal, Chilwell, ( Lamptey, Siass)
      Son, Salah*, James, Grealish, (Bissouma)
      Jimenez, DCL, Wilson*

      What to do here? Got no FT and 4,3 ITB.
      Feels wrong to have 4,3+ Salahs value on the bench.
      Salah to Bruno or KDB for a hit?

    5. Boss Hogg
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 4 days ago

      a. Salah to KDB (-4)

      or

      b. Play 4 at the back - Cancelo, PVA, Coufal, Zouma

      1. AllINeedIsCoffee
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 4 days ago

        Play 4 at the back.

      2. Yank Revolution
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 4 days ago

        B - and watch out for those Duke boys!

    6. Rondon9
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 4 days ago

      Any ideas here gents?

      Martinez
      Chilwell Coufal Semedo
      Salah Grealish Son Bruno
      Kane DCL Bamford

      4m - Lamptey Mitchell Reed

      0FT 0.1ITB

      A Salah -> KDB -4
      B Play Lamptey
      C Something else?

      Cheers

      1. ElChapo
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 4 days ago

        Play Lamptey, hope for Salah return for next gameweek.

        1. Yank Revolution
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 4 days ago

          Thats what Im doing

    7. AllINeedIsCoffee
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 4 days ago

      Tempting to Wilson -> Watkins or Salah -> Sterling but realistically I could just hold a transfer. Thoughts?

      Martínez (Macey)
      Chilwell - Gabriel - Robertson (Coufal - Mitchell)
      Grealish - Fernandes - Salah - Son - Zaha
      Wilson - Bamford (Brewster)
      1.1mitb & 1FT.

      Thanks! 😀

      1. AllINeedIsCoffee
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 4 days ago

        Sterling potentially not fit so even that option not looking too good anyway tbh.

    8. Jink
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 4 days ago

      Which 3 would you play?
      Chilwell (new), Targett (BHA), Cancelo (tot), Lamptey (avl), Kilman (SOU)

      1. Kannbury
          2 months, 4 days ago

          I've gone for Chilwell, Targett and Cancelo.
          Also have Lamptey, hard decision between Cancelo and Lamptey.

          1. Jink
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 4 days ago

            I’ve gone for the same 🙂

      2. hogree
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 4 days ago

        Anyone eyeing up big Scott Dann on a WC?

        1. ElChapo
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 4 days ago

          loves a goal and palace are about as defensive a team as you can get in the PL other than burnley, great differential shout.

        2. Hazz
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 4 days ago

          I've had Guaita for weeks. I am looking to off all Palace defensive assets after these three.

          Go long-term with your WC picks. You can trust Palace.

      3. Sturridge Wars
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 4 days ago

        Feedback please Which one??

        A) KDB & Watkins
        B) Rashford & DCL

        1. Miguel Sanchez
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 4 days ago

          b

        2. Hart-ake
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 4 days ago

          b

        3. FantasyHero
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 4 days ago

          B for this week
          A for longer term

          1. Better off with a pin and a…
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            2 months, 4 days ago

            This.

        4. Kannbury
            2 months, 4 days ago

            A.

        5. Slitherene
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 4 days ago

          Help me choose one?

          A. Ryan/McCarthy + Targett
          B. Martinez + Lamptey

        6. yanky
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 4 days ago

          TAA > Cancelo for -4pt hit? or play Lamptey this week and do the TAA move next week for free?

          1. Kannbury
              2 months, 4 days ago

              Play Lamp this week.

          2. zon
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 4 days ago

            What do you lads think, 1 ft, 3.2 itb (keeping some for Son -> KDB next week). WC available.

            Mendy
            Chilwell Targett KWP
            Son Grealish Foden Bissouma
            Kane DCL(c) Maupay

            4.0 Salah* Justin Mitchell

            A) Foden -> Jota
            B) Salah -> Bruno(c)
            C) Salah + Foden -> Bruno(c) + Ziyech (-4)

            D) RIP IT THE F UP AND WC:

            McCarthy Forster
            Chilwell Cancelo Masuaku Targett Kilman
            Bruno KDB Ziyech Grealish Soucek
            Werner DCL Bamford

            (enough itb to make Bruno -> Salah later)

            1. Tonyawesome69
              • 2 Years
              2 months, 4 days ago

              B

            2. waltzingmatildas
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              2 months, 4 days ago

              B

          3. JelliedSpark968
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            2 months, 4 days ago

            Currently deciding between Grealish and Ziyech

            1. Tonyawesome69
              • 2 Years
              2 months, 4 days ago

              Grealish

            2. waltzingmatildas
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              2 months, 4 days ago

              Grealish

          4. FOMFF
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 4 days ago

            Does Coady play?

            1. Miguel Sanchez
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 4 days ago

              Nuno wasn't at all clear

              1. FOMFF
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 5 Years
                2 months, 4 days ago

                How long has he been isloating?

          5. Tonyawesome69
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 4 days ago

            One to start and first on the bench?
            A. Justin (A vs LIV)
            B. Ayling (H vs ARS)
            C. Taylor (H vs CRY)

            1. Kannbury
                2 months, 4 days ago

                Taylor start, Ayling bench.

            2. Ninjaa
              • 10 Years
              2 months, 4 days ago

              Which is the better combo

              A. Martinez and Walker Peter's
              Or
              B. McCarthy and Targett

              1. Tonyawesome69
                • 2 Years
                2 months, 4 days ago

                I think both options will score similar points. Go with cheaper option B and bank the difference

              2. waltzingmatildas
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 10 Years
                2 months, 4 days ago

                B (cheaper)

            3. Abhishek Chitre
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 1 Year
              2 months, 4 days ago

              Telles in? Wildcarding

              1. waltzingmatildas
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 10 Years
                2 months, 4 days ago

                Bit of a punt, but I quite like it

                1. Abhishek Chitre
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 1 Year
                  2 months, 4 days ago

                  Who else?

              2. Tonyawesome69
                • 2 Years
                2 months, 4 days ago

                Short term probably yes

                1. Abhishek Chitre
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 1 Year
                  2 months, 4 days ago

                  Who else?

            4. waltzingmatildas
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              2 months, 4 days ago

              A) son to grealish
              B) son and Kane to kdb and vardy (-4)
              C) son and Kane to grealish and vardy (-4)

              Leaning towards C

              1. Tonyawesome69
                • 2 Years
                2 months, 4 days ago

                I think it is 1 GW too early to get rid of both Son and Kane but if you had to get rid of one of them then A. I assume you don't have enough to do Son to KDB

                1. waltzingmatildas
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 10 Years
                  2 months, 4 days ago

                  Yeah you might be right. But it also feels like a fear based move opposed to being a bit more proactive.
                  I'm down at 3mil so feel like I need to do something different

              2. zon
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 6 Years
                2 months, 4 days ago

                A

            5. Big Ronnie
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              2 months, 4 days ago

              Was settled on my WC team below but then with the news Castagne and Pereira are nearing comebacks had a play and would you prefer A or B?

              Martinez, £4m
              Chilwell, Cancelo, Coufal, Justin, Lamptey
              Ziyech, KDB, Grealish, Bruno, Soucek
              DCL, Watkins, Vardy

              A) Justin, Lamptey & Soucek
              B) Castagne, Mitchell & Bissouma

              1. zon
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 6 Years
                2 months, 4 days ago

                A. Justin may well keep his place if they play with a back three

                1. Big Ronnie
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 7 Years
                  2 months, 4 days ago

                  Cheers. Yeah didn't realise he's played a couple there recently so hopefully keeps his place until Soy is back

              2. Tonyawesome69
                • 2 Years
                2 months, 4 days ago

                Justin is a transfer waiting to happen. I wouldn't bring him in on WC

                1. Big Ronnie
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 7 Years
                  2 months, 4 days ago

                  Had him since the beginning so thought stick with him seeing as they have 3 good fixtures after Liverpool

            6. Geordie19
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 4 days ago

              Evening all, what you think?

              A) Wilson and Salah to Watkins/Antonio and Bruno -4
              B) Salah to Bruno
              C) Wilson to Watkins and play JWP

              1. Kannbury
                  2 months, 4 days ago

                  B.

              2. bruuuno
                • 2 Years
                2 months, 4 days ago

                Doing wc next gw. Do you think Telles (-4) could outscore Lamptey this week?

                Thinking of doing Johnson(4.0) to Telles and bench Lamptey. Have jimenez and think/hope wolves will store against Brighton

              3. thetommy14
                  2 months, 4 days ago

                  What to do with Robbo? Keep or sell?

                  1. Tonyawesome69
                    • 2 Years
                    2 months, 4 days ago

                    depends on if you have any other fires to put out

                    1. thetommy14
                        2 months, 4 days ago

                        Bruno to Salah

                    2. zon
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 6 Years
                      2 months, 4 days ago

                      keep for sure

                    3. ...al
                      • 11 Years
                      2 months, 4 days ago

                      Can probalby sit with bigger fish to fry for most.

                      Maybe consider a move to Cancelo or Dias at some point

                  2. Blush Response
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 2 Years
                    2 months, 4 days ago

                    Timo Werner has never scored from open play at St James' Park.

                    1. Miguel Sanchez
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 4 Years
                      2 months, 4 days ago

                      Touche

                    2. Boss Hogg
                      • 11 Years
                      2 months, 4 days ago

                      Timmers are never winners.

                    3. Brosstan
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 6 Years
                      2 months, 4 days ago

                      He's out of my team along with Bruno. #statsticalapproach

                      1. jtreble
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 4 Years
                        2 months, 4 days ago

                        "... #statsticalapproach ...". Ha ha. Good one. 🙂

                  3. Bury94
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 3 Years
                    2 months, 4 days ago

                    What are we doing with Salah then lads, selling?

                    1. GreennRed
                      • 9 Years
                      2 months, 4 days ago

                      For Ziyech.

                    2. zon
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 6 Years
                      2 months, 4 days ago

                      I have no idea.

                    3. ⱼₐᵣᵥᵢₛₕ
                      • 6 Years
                      2 months, 4 days ago

                      Who?

                    4. ...al
                      • 11 Years
                      2 months, 4 days ago

                      Already sold last week for old Bruno

                    5. Kannbury
                        2 months, 4 days ago

                        Sold to bring in Bruno, looks like he could be out for 2 games.

                      • caldracula
                        • 4 Years
                        2 months, 4 days ago

                        Waiting and will decide tomorrow am

                      • Yank Revolution
                        • 9 Years
                        2 months, 4 days ago

                        Holding

                    6. Sharkytect
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 6 Years
                      2 months, 4 days ago

                      Apologies - I know little else was discussed earlier in the week, but is there somewhere that explains the process that Salah needs to go through. Including the “ifs and buts”.

                      he started isolating earlier this week. Does the 10 days start from then? Even if he had a positive test since?

                      1. ...al
                        • 11 Years
                        2 months, 4 days ago

                        I presume there's a few days of isolation after a negative result is yielded?

                        Not sure though, the news is quite cryptic

                      2. Tonyawesome69
                        • 2 Years
                        2 months, 4 days ago

                        10 days start from 1st positive test

                      3. ⱼₐᵣᵥᵢₛₕ
                        • 6 Years
                        2 months, 4 days ago

                        It should be isolation for 10 days from when the first positive test was taken, and then isolation ends as soon as a negative test is confirmed after these 10 days.

                        1. caldracula
                          • 4 Years
                          2 months, 4 days ago

                          This is correct

                      4. caldracula
                        • 4 Years
                        2 months, 4 days ago

                        He has 10 days from the first positive to test negative and then he’ll be available.

                        1. ...al
                          • 11 Years
                          2 months, 4 days ago

                          Sounds like 1 week out the most likely outcome

                          If you kept Salah until now and missed the drops/falls, you can probably keep

                          1. caldracula
                            • 4 Years
                            2 months, 4 days ago

                            He would have taken a test today when he arrived back in the UK so hopefully get a negative result tomorrow which makes it an easy keep. If not then it’s a bit of a risk to keep with the potential of missing two GWs.

                    7. bso
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 6 Years
                      2 months, 4 days ago

                      Is Mitchell likely to start.

                      1. ...al
                        • 11 Years
                        2 months, 4 days ago

                        He's fit and Roy said it's a good problem to have. Not sure if he will. It would be nice if he started with PVA in MF

                        1. bso
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • 6 Years
                          2 months, 4 days ago

                          Thanks. Fingers crossed. I have Lamptey, but think Grealish will upset his apple cart.